https://redanalysis.org/zh/2022/02/14/%e4%b9%98%e8%83%9c%e8%bf%bd%e5%87%bb-%e6%88%98%e7%95%a5%e4%b8%8a%e7%9a%84%e6%83%8a%e5%96%9c%e6%88%96%e6%88%98%e7%95%a5%e4%b8%8a%e7%9a%84%e5%86%b2%e5%87%bb/
Multiplicating Crises: Strategic Surprises or Strategic Shocks?