我们很可能需要准备好应对温度上升2℃及其对世界的严重影响,因为到本世纪末温度上升6℃--甚至更高--的可能性越来越大。事实上,利益和当前的挑战和紧张局势很可能有利于页岩燃料的生产和政策,并对 "绿色努力 "产生不利影响。对全球安全问题(如水和生物多样性)的其他生态不利影响可能会加强,必须予以监测。公民在这些问题上的动员可能会随着权衡的进行和影响的感受而发生变化。

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发布者:Dr Helene Lavoix (MSc PhD Lond)

Helene Lavoix博士 is President and Founder of The Red Team Analysis Society. She holds a doctorate in political studies and a MSc in international politics of Asia (distinction) from the School of Oriental and African Studies (SOAS), University of London, as well as a Master in finance (valedictorian, Grande École, France). An expert in strategic foresight and early warning, especially for national and international security issues, she combines more than 25 years of experience in international relations and 15 years in strategic foresight and warning. Dr. Lavoix has lived and worked in five countries, conducted missions in 15 others, and trained high-level officers around the world, for example in Singapore and as part of European programs in Tunisia. She teaches the methodology and practice of strategic foresight and early warning, working in prestigious institutions such as the RSIS in Singapore, SciencesPo-PSIA, or the ESFSI in Tunisia. She regularly publishes on geopolitical issues, uranium security, artificial intelligence, the international order, China’s rise and other international security topics. Committed to the continuous improvement of foresight and warning methodologies, Dr. Lavoix combines academic expertise and field experience to anticipate the global challenges of tomorrow.

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