伊斯兰国活活烧死被俘的约旦飞行员的可怕行为和Al-Furqan媒体基金会播放的视频,以及它成功引起的反应,如约旦的报复行动(如ISIS研究小组,2015年2月3日;BBC新闻,2015年2月6日),再次表明充分考虑伊斯兰国的心理战术至关重要,因为它们完全是它发动的战争和它所要建立的秩序的一部分。这些心理战术,除了它们旨在产生的影响外(见 "框架"),还为我们提供了进入伊斯兰国和其希拉法世界观的途径。 如果我们想胜利地打击伊斯兰国,了解后者是至关重要的,因为它的信仰体系和诱导的行动会影响到所有其他的行为者,不管是谁。

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发布者:Dr Helene Lavoix (MSc PhD Lond)

Helene Lavoix博士 is President and Founder of The Red Team Analysis Society. She holds a doctorate in political studies and a MSc in international politics of Asia (distinction) from the School of Oriental and African Studies (SOAS), University of London, as well as a Master in finance (valedictorian, Grande École, France). An expert in strategic foresight and early warning, especially for national and international security issues, she combines more than 25 years of experience in international relations and 15 years in strategic foresight and warning. Dr. Lavoix has lived and worked in five countries, conducted missions in 15 others, and trained high-level officers around the world, for example in Singapore and as part of European programs in Tunisia. She teaches the methodology and practice of strategic foresight and early warning, working in prestigious institutions such as the RSIS in Singapore, SciencesPo-PSIA, or the ESFSI in Tunisia. She regularly publishes on geopolitical issues, uranium security, artificial intelligence, the international order, China’s rise and other international security topics. Committed to the continuous improvement of foresight and warning methodologies, Dr. Lavoix combines academic expertise and field experience to anticipate the global challenges of tomorrow.

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