悲剧性事件袭击了Everstate。我们目睹了龙卷风和干旱,中东的战争,甚至一个重大的工业事故,而一个新的金融危机开始。考虑到全球、区域和Everstate内部所做的或未做的，这些都是主持Everstate命运的各种情况的实例。
每种情景都应使用同一组事件进行压力测试。然而，情景的逻辑将是第一位的，假设它影响到事件的合理性。在这种情况下，....
标签存档：Everstate的编年史
2213 - 2218 EVT - Involution (Mamominarch)
Last episodes’ summary: In 2212 EVT, Everstate (the ideal-type corresponding to our very real countries created to foresee the future of governance and of the modern nation-state) knows a rising dissatisfaction of its population. To face the various difficulties and widespread discontent, in a first scenario, Everstate’s governing bodies implement as policies the conclusions of the Mamominarch Commission: a programme of drastic reduction of public expenses …
2213 - 2218 EVT - 缩减国家的收入 (Mamominarch)
Last episodes’ summary: In 2212 EVT, Everstate (the ideal-type corresponding to our very real countries created to foresee the future of governance and of the modern nation-state) knows a rising dissatisfaction of its population. To face the various difficulties and widespread discontent, in a first scenario, Everstate’s governing bodies have transformed the conclusions of the Mamominarch Commission into policies: a programme of drastic reduction of public …
继续阅读“2213 – 2218 EVT – Shrinking the Income of the Nation (Mamominarch)”
2213 - 2218 EVT - 经常账户有盈余？再想想吧!(Mamominarch)
Last episodes’ summary: In 2212 EVT, Everstate (the ideal-type corresponding to our very real countries created to foresee the future of governance and of the modern nation-state) knows a rising dissatisfaction of its population. To face the various difficulties and widespread discontent, in a first scenario, Everstate’s governing bodies have transformed the conclusions of the Mamominarch Commission into policies. They have thus started implementing the programme …
继续阅读“2213 – 2218 EVT – A Current Account Surplus? Think again! (Mamominarch)”
特色图像、符号和预见性产品：《Everstate编年史》的例子
(2012年4月17日更新)当一个图像的特点，并且是为了代表一个预见性或预期性产品的整体，或者是它的一大部分，它必须抓住产品的要领。因此，符号和象征主义对于传递信息至关重要。符号的重要性在任何图像的使用中都应该被考虑到（以及在发展情景叙述时，例如在选择名字时）。这里将以《Everstate》的编年史为例。该图像旨在象征性地捕捉当代（21世纪初）现代民族国家的特征。当然，它是霍布斯-利维坦的继承者。然而，与原始图像相比，君主的头没有显示出来......
继续阅读“Featured Images, Symbols & Foresight Product: the Example of The Chronicles of Everstate”
2212-2213年EVT--实施Mamominarch结论
Last episodes’ summary: In 2212 EVT, Everstate (the ideal-type corresponding to our very real countries created to foresee the future of governance and of the modern nation-state) knows a rising dissatisfaction of its population. To face the various difficulties and widespread discontent, Everstate’s governing authorities decide to follow the conclusions of the Mamominarch Commission that recommend to drastically reduce state expenditures. (The reader can …
继续阅读“2212-2213 EVT – Implementing the Mamominarch conclusions”
2212 EVT - 情景1 - Mamominarch。与国家决裂
Last episodes’ summary: In 2212 EVT, Everstate (the ideal-type corresponding to our very real countries created to foresee the future of governance and of the modern nation-state) knows a rising dissatisfaction of its population. Plagued with a deepening budget deficit and an increasing need for liquidity, a creeping appropriation of resources while the strength of central public power weakens to the profit of various elite groups …
继续阅读“2212 EVT – Scenario 1 – Mamominarch: Off with the State”
2212 EVT：过时的世界观中的物质利害关系（《Everstate编年史》）。
Last episodes’ summary: In 2212 EVT, Everstate (the ideal-type corresponding to our very real countries created to foresee the future of the modern nation-state) knows a rising dissatisfaction of its population as authorities cannot anymore deliver security. The last phenomenon driving Everstatan governing bodies’ rising inefficiency in ensuring their mission is an outdated worldview that leads to misunderstanding and disconnect, which is first upheld …
继续阅读“2212 EVT: Material Stakes in an Outdated Worldview (The Chronicles of Everstate)”
浏览Everstate的编年史
This page presents ways to follow and access the series of posts constituting The Chronicles of Everstate beyond usual linear menus.This idea, mapping the very posts of The Chronicles of Everstate, is a direct result of the interactive quality of this foresight experiment. One faithful reader, indeed, underlined that, as the number of posts increased, reading and understanding was becoming more complex, notably for newcomers. He suggested that a map would be very helpful to allow users and readers to navigate among posts. We then discussed various ways to implement this idea. Here are the results of this idea. The Chronicles of Everstate Mapped with PearltreesClick on the image to access the interactive map of the articles on Pearltrees. There, the …
2212 EVT：过时的世界观中的意识形态利害关系（《Everstate编年史》）。
Last episodes’ summary: In 2212 EVT, Everstate (the ideal-type corresponding to our very real countries created to foresee the future of the modern nation-state) knows a rising dissatisfaction of its population. The increasing incapacity of the political authorities to deliver the security citizens seek increases the risks to the legitimacy of the whole system. The first two phenomena driving Everstatan political authorities’ incapacity to deliver …
继续阅读“2212 EVT: Ideological Stakes in an Outdated Worldview (The Chronicles of Everstate)”
