{"id":3764,"date":"2024-03-04T09:53:41","date_gmt":"2024-03-04T08:53:41","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/www.redanalysis.org\/?page_id=3764"},"modified":"2024-03-04T09:55:01","modified_gmt":"2024-03-04T08:55:01","slug":"%e8%83%bd%e6%ba%90-%e5%ae%89%e5%85%a8","status":"publish","type":"page","link":"https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/zh\/energy-security\/","title":{"rendered":"\u80fd\u6e90\u5b89\u5168"},"content":{"rendered":"<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\u80fd\u6e90\u3001\u80fd\u6e90\u5b89\u5168\u3001\u80fd\u6e90\u72ec\u7acb\u548c\u80fd\u6e90\u4e3b\u6743\u662f\u56fd\u9645\u5173\u7cfb\u548c\u5730\u7f18\u653f\u6cbb\u7684\u57fa\u672c\u7279\u5f81\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\u4e8b\u5b9e\u4e0a\uff0c\u6258\u9a6c\u65af-\u970d\u9ed8-\u72c4\u514b\u900a\uff08Thomas Homer-Dixon\uff09\u5728\u4ed6\u5f15\u4eba\u5165\u80dc\u7684 <a href=\"http:\/\/www.theupsideofdown.com\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">\u6c89\u6ca6\u7684\u98a0\u8986\uff1a\u707e\u96be\u3001\u521b\u9020\u529b\u548c\u6587\u660e\u7684\u590d\u5174<\/a> (\u514b\u8bfa\u666e\u592b\uff0c2006 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height=\"150\" src=\"https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/03\/RTAS-watch-saudi-250x150.jpg\" class=\"attachment-thumbnail size-thumbnail wp-post-image\" alt=\"\" style=\"max-width:63px;max-height:38px;\" srcset=\"https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/03\/RTAS-watch-saudi-250x150.jpg 250w, https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/03\/RTAS-watch-saudi-500x300.jpg 500w, https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/03\/RTAS-watch-saudi-768x461.jpg 768w, https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/03\/RTAS-watch-saudi-1536x922.jpg 1536w, https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/03\/RTAS-watch-saudi-18x12.jpg 18w, https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/03\/RTAS-watch-saudi-1320x792.jpg 1320w, https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/03\/RTAS-watch-saudi-1038x623.jpg 1038w, https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/03\/RTAS-watch-saudi.jpg 1568w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 34.9rem) calc(100vw - 2rem), (max-width: 53rem) calc(8 * (100vw \/ 12)), (min-width: 53rem) calc(6 * (100vw \/ 12)), 100vw\" \/><\/div><a class=\"wp-block-latest-posts__post-title\" href=\"https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/zh\/2026\/03\/30\/watch-out-saudi-arabia-winner-iran-war\/\">\u5c0f\u5fc3--\u4f0a\u6717\u6218\u4e89\u3001\u6c99\u7279\u963f\u62c9\u4f2f\u548c\u80e1\u585e\u6b66\u88c5<\/a><\/li>\n<li><div class=\"wp-block-latest-posts__featured-image alignleft\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"250\" height=\"150\" src=\"https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/10\/RTAS-oil-IA-250x150.jpg\" class=\"attachment-thumbnail size-thumbnail wp-post-image\" alt=\"\" style=\"max-width:63px;max-height:38px;\" srcset=\"https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/10\/RTAS-oil-IA-250x150.jpg 250w, https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/10\/RTAS-oil-IA-500x300.jpg 500w, https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/10\/RTAS-oil-IA-768x461.jpg 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decoding=\"async\" width=\"250\" height=\"150\" src=\"https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/01\/RTAS-Nuclgeo8-250x150.jpg\" class=\"attachment-thumbnail size-thumbnail wp-post-image\" alt=\"\" style=\"max-width:63px;max-height:38px;\" srcset=\"https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/01\/RTAS-Nuclgeo8-250x150.jpg 250w, https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/01\/RTAS-Nuclgeo8-500x300.jpg 500w, https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/01\/RTAS-Nuclgeo8-768x461.jpg 768w, https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/01\/RTAS-Nuclgeo8-1536x922.jpg 1536w, https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/01\/RTAS-Nuclgeo8-18x12.jpg 18w, https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/01\/RTAS-Nuclgeo8-1320x792.jpg 1320w, https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/01\/RTAS-Nuclgeo8-1038x623.jpg 1038w, https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/01\/RTAS-Nuclgeo8.jpg 1568w\" sizes=\"auto, 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class=\"wp-block-latest-posts__featured-image alignleft\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"250\" height=\"150\" src=\"https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/10\/Nucl-Renaissance-US-RTAS-JDLC-250x150.jpg\" class=\"attachment-thumbnail size-thumbnail wp-post-image\" alt=\"\" style=\"max-width:63px;max-height:38px;\" srcset=\"https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/10\/Nucl-Renaissance-US-RTAS-JDLC-250x150.jpg 250w, https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/10\/Nucl-Renaissance-US-RTAS-JDLC-500x300.jpg 500w, https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/10\/Nucl-Renaissance-US-RTAS-JDLC-768x461.jpg 768w, https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/10\/Nucl-Renaissance-US-RTAS-JDLC-1536x922.jpg 1536w, https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/10\/Nucl-Renaissance-US-RTAS-JDLC-18x12.jpg 18w, https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/10\/Nucl-Renaissance-US-RTAS-JDLC-1320x792.jpg 1320w, https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/10\/Nucl-Renaissance-US-RTAS-JDLC-1038x623.jpg 1038w, https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/10\/Nucl-Renaissance-US-RTAS-JDLC.jpg 1568w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 34.9rem) calc(100vw - 2rem), (max-width: 53rem) calc(8 * (100vw \/ 12)), (min-width: 53rem) calc(6 * (100vw \/ 12)), 100vw\" \/><\/div><a class=\"wp-block-latest-posts__post-title\" href=\"https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/zh\/2024\/10\/15\/towards-us-nuclear-renaissance\/\">\u8fc8\u5411\u7f8e\u56fd\u6838\u590d\u5174\uff1f<\/a><\/li>\n<li><div class=\"wp-block-latest-posts__featured-image alignleft\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"250\" height=\"150\" src=\"https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/06\/RTAS-Nuclgeo5v1-250x150.jpg\" class=\"attachment-thumbnail size-thumbnail wp-post-image\" alt=\"\" style=\"max-width:63px;max-height:38px;\" srcset=\"https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/06\/RTAS-Nuclgeo5v1-250x150.jpg 250w, https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/06\/RTAS-Nuclgeo5v1-500x300.jpg 500w, https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/06\/RTAS-Nuclgeo5v1-768x461.jpg 768w, https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/06\/RTAS-Nuclgeo5v1-1536x922.jpg 1536w, https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/06\/RTAS-Nuclgeo5v1-18x12.jpg 18w, https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/06\/RTAS-Nuclgeo5v1-1320x792.jpg 1320w, https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/06\/RTAS-Nuclgeo5v1-1038x623.jpg 1038w, https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/06\/RTAS-Nuclgeo5v1.jpg 1568w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 34.9rem) calc(100vw - 2rem), (max-width: 53rem) calc(8 * (100vw \/ 12)), (min-width: 53rem) calc(6 * (100vw \/ 12)), 100vw\" \/><\/div><a class=\"wp-block-latest-posts__post-title\" href=\"https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/zh\/2024\/06\/21\/niger-threat-france-nuclear\/\">\u5c3c\u65e5\u5c14\uff1a\u6cd5\u56fd\u6838\u80fd\u672a\u6765\u7684\u65b0\u5a01\u80c1\uff1f<\/a><\/li>\n<li><div class=\"wp-block-latest-posts__featured-image alignleft\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"250\" height=\"150\" src=\"https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/05\/RTAS-Nuclgeo4-250x150.jpg\" class=\"attachment-thumbnail size-thumbnail wp-post-image\" alt=\"\" style=\"max-width:63px;max-height:38px;\" srcset=\"https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/05\/RTAS-Nuclgeo4-250x150.jpg 250w, https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/05\/RTAS-Nuclgeo4-500x300.jpg 500w, https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/05\/RTAS-Nuclgeo4-768x461.jpg 768w, https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/05\/RTAS-Nuclgeo4-1536x922.jpg 1536w, https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/05\/RTAS-Nuclgeo4-18x12.jpg 18w, https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/05\/RTAS-Nuclgeo4-1320x792.jpg 1320w, https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/05\/RTAS-Nuclgeo4-1038x623.jpg 1038w, https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/05\/RTAS-Nuclgeo4.jpg 1568w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 34.9rem) calc(100vw - 2rem), (max-width: 53rem) calc(8 * (100vw \/ 12)), (min-width: 53rem) calc(6 * (100vw \/ 12)), 100vw\" \/><\/div><a class=\"wp-block-latest-posts__post-title\" href=\"https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/zh\/2024\/05\/21\/uranium-supply-security\/\">\u91cd\u65b0\u5ba1\u89c6\u94c0\u4f9b\u5e94\u5b89\u5168 (1)<\/a><\/li>\n<li><div class=\"wp-block-latest-posts__featured-image alignleft\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"250\" height=\"150\" src=\"https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/04\/RTAS-Nuclgeo3-250x150.jpg\" class=\"attachment-thumbnail size-thumbnail wp-post-image\" alt=\"\" style=\"max-width:63px;max-height:38px;\" srcset=\"https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/04\/RTAS-Nuclgeo3-250x150.jpg 250w, https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/04\/RTAS-Nuclgeo3-500x300.jpg 500w, https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/04\/RTAS-Nuclgeo3-768x461.jpg 768w, https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/04\/RTAS-Nuclgeo3-1536x922.jpg 1536w, https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/04\/RTAS-Nuclgeo3-18x12.jpg 18w, https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/04\/RTAS-Nuclgeo3-1320x792.jpg 1320w, https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/04\/RTAS-Nuclgeo3-1038x623.jpg 1038w, https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/04\/RTAS-Nuclgeo3.jpg 1568w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 34.9rem) calc(100vw - 2rem), (max-width: 53rem) calc(8 * (100vw \/ 12)), (min-width: 53rem) calc(6 * (100vw \/ 12)), 100vw\" \/><\/div><a class=\"wp-block-latest-posts__post-title\" href=\"https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/zh\/2024\/04\/22\/future-uranium-demand-china-surge\/\">\u94c0\u9700\u6c42\u7684\u672a\u6765--\u4e2d\u56fd\u7684\u6fc0\u589e<\/a><\/li>\n<li><div class=\"wp-block-latest-posts__featured-image alignleft\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"250\" height=\"150\" src=\"https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/04\/RTAS-Nuclgeo2b-250x150.jpg\" class=\"attachment-thumbnail size-thumbnail wp-post-image\" alt=\"\" style=\"max-width:63px;max-height:38px;\" srcset=\"https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/04\/RTAS-Nuclgeo2b-250x150.jpg 250w, https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/04\/RTAS-Nuclgeo2b-500x300.jpg 500w, https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/04\/RTAS-Nuclgeo2b-768x461.jpg 768w, https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/04\/RTAS-Nuclgeo2b-1536x922.jpg 1536w, https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/04\/RTAS-Nuclgeo2b-18x12.jpg 18w, https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/04\/RTAS-Nuclgeo2b-1320x792.jpg 1320w, https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/04\/RTAS-Nuclgeo2b-1038x623.jpg 1038w, https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/04\/RTAS-Nuclgeo2b.jpg 1568w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 34.9rem) calc(100vw - 2rem), (max-width: 53rem) calc(8 * (100vw \/ 12)), (min-width: 53rem) calc(6 * (100vw \/ 12)), 100vw\" \/><\/div><a class=\"wp-block-latest-posts__post-title\" href=\"https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/zh\/2024\/04\/09\/uranium-renewal-nuclear-energy\/\">\u94c0\u4e0e\u6838\u80fd\u590d\u5174<\/a><\/li>\n<li><div class=\"wp-block-latest-posts__featured-image alignleft\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"250\" height=\"150\" src=\"https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/03\/RTAS-Nuclgeo-250x150.jpg\" class=\"attachment-thumbnail size-thumbnail wp-post-image\" alt=\"\" style=\"max-width:63px;max-height:38px;\" srcset=\"https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/03\/RTAS-Nuclgeo-250x150.jpg 250w, https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/03\/RTAS-Nuclgeo-500x300.jpg 500w, https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/03\/RTAS-Nuclgeo-768x461.jpg 768w, https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/03\/RTAS-Nuclgeo-1536x922.jpg 1536w, https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/03\/RTAS-Nuclgeo-18x12.jpg 18w, https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/03\/RTAS-Nuclgeo-1320x792.jpg 1320w, https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/03\/RTAS-Nuclgeo-1038x623.jpg 1038w, https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/03\/RTAS-Nuclgeo.jpg 1568w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 34.9rem) calc(100vw - 2rem), (max-width: 53rem) calc(8 * (100vw \/ 12)), (min-width: 53rem) calc(6 * (100vw \/ 12)), 100vw\" \/><\/div><a class=\"wp-block-latest-posts__post-title\" href=\"https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/zh\/2024\/03\/26\/the-return-of-nuclear-energy\/\">\u6838\u80fd\u7684\u56de\u5f52<\/a><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n<hr class=\"wp-block-separator has-alpha-channel-opacity is-style-dots\"\/>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\u5168\u90e8 <a href=\"https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/zh\/-3\/%e6%88%98%e7%95%a5%e8%bf%9c%e8%a7%81-%e6%97%a9%e6%9c%9f%e9%a2%84%e8%ad%a6-%e9%97%ae%e9%a2%98\/%e6%b0%94%e5%80%99%e5%8f%98%e5%8c%96-%e5%9c%b0%e7%90%83%e8%be%b9%e7%95%8c-%e5%9c%b0%e7%bc%98%e6%94%bf%e6%b2%bb\/%e8%83%bd%e6%ba%90-%e5%ae%89%e5%85%a8\/\">\u80fd\u6e90\u5b89\u5168<\/a> \u76f8\u5173\u6587\u7ae0<\/p>\n\n\n\n<hr class=\"wp-block-separator has-alpha-channel-opacity is-style-dots\"\/>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\u7279\u5199\u56fe\u7247\uff1aazrainman\uff0cCC BY 2.0 <a href=\"https:\/\/creativecommons.org\/licenses\/by\/2.0\">https:\/\/creativecommons.org\/licenses\/by\/2.0<\/a>\uff0c\u901a\u8fc7\u7ef4\u57fa\u5171\u4eab\u8d44\u6e90<\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>\u80fd\u6e90\u3001\u80fd\u6e90\u5b89\u5168\u3001\u80fd\u6e90\u72ec\u7acb\u548c\u80fd\u6e90\u4e3b\u6743\u662f\u56fd\u9645\u5173\u7cfb\u548c\u5730\u7f18\u653f\u6cbb\u7684\u57fa\u672c\u7279\u5f81\u3002\u4e8b\u5b9e\u4e0a\uff0c\u6258\u9a6c\u65af-\u970d\u9ed8-\u8fea\u514b\u68ee\uff08Thomas Homer-Dixon\uff09\u5728\u5176\u5f15\u4eba\u5165\u80dc\u7684\u300a\u6c89\u6ca6\u7684\u53cd\u9762\uff1a\u707e\u96be\u3001\u521b\u9020\u529b\u548c\u6587\u660e\u7684\u590d\u5174\u300b\uff08Knopf, 2006 \u5e74\uff09\u4e00\u4e66\u4e2d\uff0c\u901a\u8fc7\u5bf9\u7f57\u9a6c\u53ca\u5176\u6587\u660e\u7684\u8870\u843d\u4ee5\u53ca\u5176\u4ed6\u707e\u96be\u7684\u53cd\u601d\uff0c\u6307\u51fa\u4e86\u4e00\u4e2a\u793e\u4f1a\u5982\u4f55\u4ee5\u53ca\u4e3a\u4f55\u80fd\u591f... <\/p>\n<p class=\"link-more\"><a 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