{"id":44152,"date":"2026-06-17T10:01:10","date_gmt":"2026-06-17T08:01:10","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/?page_id=44152"},"modified":"2026-09-28T11:57:10","modified_gmt":"2026-09-28T09:57:10","slug":"%e5%9c%b0%e7%bc%98%e6%94%bf%e6%b2%bb-%e9%94%82-2040-%e5%85%ab%e7%a7%8d%e6%83%85%e6%99%af-%e4%b8%8a%e6%b8%b8","status":"publish","type":"page","link":"https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/zh\/geopolitics-lithium-2040-eight-scenarios-upstream\/","title":{"rendered":"\u300a2040\u5e74\u9502\u8d44\u6e90\u7684\u5730\u7f18\u653f\u6cbb\u2014\u2014\u4e0a\u6e38\u4f9b\u5e94\u94fe\u7684\u516b\u79cd\u60c5\u666f\u300b"},"content":{"rendered":"<div class=\"wp-block-columns alignfull is-layout-flex wp-container-core-columns-is-layout-8f761849 wp-block-columns-is-layout-flex\">\n<div class=\"wp-block-column is-layout-flow wp-block-column-is-layout-flow\" style=\"flex-basis:100%\">\n<style data-wp-block-html=\"css\">\n.entry .entry-header {\ndisplay:none;\n}\n\n\/* \u2500\u2500 Reset scoped to landing page only \u2500\u2500 *\/\n.rtas-lp *, .rtas-lp *::before, .rtas-lp *::after {\n  box-sizing: border-box; margin: 0; padding: 0;\n}\n\n\/* \u2500\u2500 Variables + base \u2500\u2500 *\/\n.rtas-lp {\n  --bg:       #080808;\n  --bg-card:  #111111;\n  --bg-mid:   #181818;\n  --text:     #f5f2e9;\n  --muted:    #f5f2e9;\n  --faint:    #252525;\n  --red:      #b72b22;\n  --red-hi:   #d43c32;\n  --blue:     #5ab4e0;\n  --blue-dim: #2a6a8a;\n  --serif:    Baskerville, Georgia, 'Times New Roman', serif;\n  --sans:     'Jost', -apple-system, BlinkMacSystemFont, 'Segoe UI', system-ui, sans-serif;\n  --mono:     'Jost', 'Courier New', Courier, monospace;\n\n  background:              var(--bg);\n  color:                   var(--text);\n  font-family:             var(--sans);\n  font-size:               22px;\n  line-height:             1.7;\n  -webkit-font-smoothing:  antialiased;\n}\n\n.rtas-lp a               { color: var(--blue); text-decoration: none; }\n.rtas-lp a:hover         { text-decoration: underline; }\n.rtas-lp .container      { max-width: 960px; margin: 0 auto; padding: 0 2rem; }\n\n\/* \u2500\u2500 HERO \u2500\u2500 *\/\n.rtas-lp .hero {\n  padding: 1rem 0 4.5rem;\n  border-bottom: 1px solid var(--faint);\n  position: relative; overflow: hidden;\n}\n.rtas-lp .hero-inner {\n  display: grid;\n  grid-template-columns: 1fr 340px;\n  gap: 4rem;\n  align-items: center;\n}\n.rtas-lp .hero-eyebrow {\n  display: inline-block; font-size: 11px; letter-spacing: 0.12em;\n  text-transform: uppercase; color: var(--blue);\n  border: 1px solid var(--blue-dim); padding: 0.3rem 0.8rem; margin-bottom: 1.8rem;\n}\n.rtas-lp .hero h1 {\n  font-family: var(--serif);\n  font-size: clamp(1.8rem, 4vw, 3rem);\n  font-weight: normal; line-height: 1.18; color: #fff;\n  margin-bottom: 1.3rem;\n}\n.rtas-lp .hero h1 em     { font-style: italic; color: #b8b3a8; }\n.rtas-lp .hero-sub       { font-size: 1rem; color: var(--muted); margin-bottom: 2.2rem; line-height: 1.65; }\n.rtas-lp .hero-stats     { display: flex; gap: 2rem; margin-bottom: 2.5rem; flex-wrap: wrap; }\n.rtas-lp .stat           { display: flex; flex-direction: column; gap: 0.15rem; }\n.rtas-lp .stat-n         { font-family: var(--serif); font-size: 1.9rem; color: #fff; line-height: 1; }\n.rtas-lp .stat-n sup     { font-size: 0.9rem; color: var(--blue); vertical-align: super; }\n.rtas-lp .stat-l         { font-size: 10px; letter-spacing: 0.08em; text-transform: uppercase; color: var(--muted); }\n.rtas-lp .hero-ctas      { display: flex; gap: 0.8rem; flex-wrap: wrap; }\n.rtas-lp .hero-cover     { position: relative; }\n.rtas-lp .hero-cover img {\n  width: 100%; display: block;\n  box-shadow: 0 0 60px rgba(90,180,224,0.12), 0 0 120px rgba(183,43,34,0.08);\n}\n.rtas-lp .cover-caption  { font-size: 10px; color: var(--muted); text-align: center; margin-top: 0.6rem; letter-spacing: 0.05em; }\n\n\/* \u2500\u2500 Buttons \u2500\u2500 *\/\n.rtas-lp .btn-primary {\n  background: var(--red); color: #fff; border: none;\n  padding: 0.8rem 1.8rem; font-size: 14px; font-family: var(--sans);\n  cursor: pointer; letter-spacing: 0.02em; transition: background 0.15s;\n  display: inline-block;\n}\n.rtas-lp .btn-primary:hover  { background: var(--red-hi); text-decoration: none; }\n.rtas-lp .btn-ghost {\n  background: transparent; color: var(--text);\n  border: 1px solid var(--faint); padding: 0.8rem 1.8rem;\n  font-size: 14px; font-family: var(--sans); cursor: pointer;\n  letter-spacing: 0.02em; transition: border-color 0.15s, color 0.15s;\n  display: inline-block;\n}\n.rtas-lp .btn-ghost:hover    { border-color: var(--blue); color: #fff; text-decoration: none; }\n\n\/* \u2500\u2500 Sections \u2500\u2500 *\/\n.rtas-lp section            { padding: 5rem 0; border-bottom: 1px solid var(--faint); }\n.rtas-lp .section-eyebrow   { font-size: 11px; letter-spacing: 0.12em; text-transform: uppercase; color: var(--blue); margin-bottom: 0.9rem; }\n.rtas-lp h2                 { font-family: var(--serif); font-size: clamp(1.5rem, 3vw, 2rem); font-weight: normal; color: #fff; margin-bottom: 1.2rem; line-height: 1.25; }\n\n\/* \u2500\u2500 Blind spot \u2500\u2500 *\/\n.rtas-lp .blindspot         { background: var(--bg-card); border-left: 3px solid var(--blue); padding: 2rem 2.2rem; margin: 2rem 0; }\n.rtas-lp .blindspot-quote   { font-family: var(--serif); font-size: 1.5rem; font-style: italic; color: #c4bfb5; line-height: 1.6; margin-bottom: 1rem; }\n.rtas-lp .blindspot p       { color: var(--muted); font-size: 0.9rem; }\n\n\/* \u2500\u2500 Scenario grid \u2500\u2500 *\/\n.rtas-lp .scenario-grid {\n  display: grid; grid-template-columns: repeat(auto-fill, minmax(220px, 1fr));\n  gap: 1px; background: var(--faint); margin: 2rem 0 1rem;\n}\n.rtas-lp .scenario-card         { background: var(--bg-card); display: flex; flex-direction: column; transition: background 0.15s; position: relative; overflow: hidden; }\n.rtas-lp .scenario-card:hover   { background: var(--bg-mid); }\n.rtas-lp .scenario-img          { width: 100%; aspect-ratio: 16\/9; object-fit: cover; display: block; opacity: 0.92; transition: opacity 0.2s; background: var(--bg-mid); min-height: 110px; }\n.rtas-lp .scenario-card:hover .scenario-img { opacity: 1; }\n.rtas-lp .scenario-bar          { height: 2px; background: var(--sc-color, var(--muted)); }\n.rtas-lp .scenario-body         { padding: 1.1rem 1.1rem 1.3rem; flex: 1; }\n.rtas-lp .scenario-tag          { font-size: 10px; letter-spacing: 0.1em; text-transform: uppercase; color: var(--sc-color, var(--muted)); margin-bottom: 0.4rem; }\n.rtas-lp .scenario-name         { font-family: var(--serif); font-size: 1rem; color: #fff; margin-bottom: 0.35rem; line-height: 1.3; }\n.rtas-lp .scenario-desc         { font-size: 11.5px; color: var(--muted); line-height: 1.5; }\n.rtas-lp .scenario-num          { position: absolute; top: 0.7rem; right: 0.9rem; font-family: var(--mono); font-size: 10px; color: #2d2d2d; z-index: 2; }\n\n\/* Scenario colours \u2014 update to match JD's final palette *\/\n.rtas-lp .sc-blue   { --sc-color: #689af7; }\n.rtas-lp .sc-red    { --sc-color: #f53b57; }\n.rtas-lp .sc-gold   { --sc-color: #f5d03b; }\n.rtas-lp .sc-steel  { --sc-color: #ff40ff; }\n.rtas-lp .sc-crimson{ --sc-color: #e76c26; }\n.rtas-lp .sc-amber  { --sc-color: #07dac2; }\n.rtas-lp .sc-teal   { --sc-color: #03905a; }\n.rtas-lp .sc-green  { --sc-color: #6dc303; }\n.rtas-lp .sc-black  { --sc-color: #080808; }\n\n\/* \u2500\u2500 Methodology \u2500\u2500 *\/\n.rtas-lp .method-grid        { display: grid; grid-template-columns: repeat(auto-fit, minmax(160px, 1fr)); gap: 1px; background: var(--faint); margin: 2rem 0; }\n.rtas-lp .method-cell        { background: var(--bg-card); padding: 1.5rem 1.2rem; text-align: center; }\n.rtas-lp .method-n           { font-family: var(--serif); font-size: 2.2rem; color: #fff; display: block; line-height: 1; margin-bottom: 0.4rem; }\n.rtas-lp .method-n sup       { font-size: 1rem; color: var(--blue); }\n.rtas-lp .method-l           { font-size: 11px; color: var(--muted); text-transform: uppercase; letter-spacing: 0.07em; }\n.rtas-lp .method-text        { color: var(--muted); font-size: 0.93rem; max-width: 660px; line-height: 1.7; }\n.rtas-lp .method-text + .method-text { margin-top: 0.8rem; }\n.rtas-lp .method-note        { background: var(--bg-card); border: 1px solid var(--faint); border-left: 2px solid var(--blue); padding: 1rem 1.4rem; margin-top: 1.5rem; font-size: 0.88rem; color: var(--muted); line-height: 1.6; width: 90%;}\n.rtas-lp .method-note strong { color: var(--text); }\n\n\/* \u2500\u2500 No AI banner \u2500\u2500 *\/\n.rtas-lp .no-ai              { display: flex; gap: 1rem; align-items: flex-start; background: var(--bg-card); border: 1px solid var(--faint); border-left: 3px solid var(--red); padding: 1.2rem 1.5rem; margin-top: 2rem; width: 90%; }\n.rtas-lp .no-ai-icon         { color: var(--red-hi); font-size: 1.1rem; flex-shrink: 0; padding-top: 2px; }\n.rtas-lp .no-ai-text         { font-size: 0.9rem; color: var(--muted); line-height: 1.6; }\n.rtas-lp .no-ai-text strong  { color: var(--text); }\n\n\/* \u2500\u2500 Table of contents \u2500\u2500 *\/\n.rtas-lp .toc-list               { list-style: none; margin: 1.5rem 0; }\n.rtas-lp .toc-item               { display: flex; gap: 1.2rem; padding: 1rem 0; border-bottom: 1px solid var(--faint); align-items: flex-start; width: 80%; }\n.rtas-lp .toc-item:last-child    { border-bottom: none; }\n.rtas-lp .toc-num                { font-family: var(--mono); font-size: 14px; color: var(--blue); min-width: 2.2rem; padding-top: 2px; }\n.rtas-lp .toc-title              { color: #fff; font-size: 0.93rem; margin-bottom: 0.2rem; }\n.rtas-lp .toc-sub                { color: var(--muted); font-size: 0.83rem; line-height: 1.5; }\n\n\/* \u2500\u2500 Audience \u2500\u2500 *\/\n.rtas-lp .audience-grid          { display: grid; grid-template-columns: repeat(auto-fit, minmax(220px, 1fr)); gap: 1rem; margin: 2rem 0; }\n.rtas-lp .audience-card          { background: var(--bg-card); border: 1px solid var(--faint); padding: 1.3rem; transition: border-color 0.15s; }\n.rtas-lp .audience-card:hover    { border-color: var(--blue); }\n.rtas-lp .audience-mark          { font-size: 1.1rem; margin-bottom: 0.6rem; color: var(--blue); }\n.rtas-lp .audience-title         { font-size: 0.93rem; font-weight: 500; color: #fff; margin-bottom: 0.3rem; }\n.rtas-lp .audience-desc          { font-size: 0.83rem; color: var(--muted); line-height: 1.55; }\n\n\/* \u2500\u2500 Author \u2500\u2500 *\/\n.rtas-lp .author-block           { background: var(--bg-card); border: 1px solid var(--faint); padding: 2rem; display: grid; grid-template-columns: auto 1fr; gap: 2rem; align-items: start; margin: 2rem 0; }\n.rtas-lp .author-avatar          { width: 60px; height: 60px; border-radius: 50%; background: var(--red); display: flex; align-items: center; justify-content: center; font-family: var(--serif); font-size: 1.3rem; color: #fff; flex-shrink: 0; }\n.rtas-lp .author-name            { font-family: var(--serif); font-size: 1.05rem; color: #fff; margin-bottom: 0.2rem; }\n.rtas-lp .author-role            { font-size: 0.82rem; color: var(--blue); margin-bottom: 0.8rem; }\n.rtas-lp .author-bio             { font-size: 0.88rem; color: var(--muted); line-height: 1.65; }\n.rtas-lp .pills                  { display: flex; flex-wrap: wrap; gap: 0.4rem; margin-top: 0.9rem; }\n.rtas-lp .pill                   { font-size: 10px; border: 1px solid var(--faint); color: var(--muted); padding: 0.18rem 0.55rem; letter-spacing: 0.03em; }\n\n\/* \u2500\u2500 Pricing \u2500\u2500 *\/\n.rtas-lp .pricing-grid           { display: grid; grid-template-columns: repeat(auto-fit, minmax(250px, 1fr)); gap: 1px; background: var(--faint); margin: 2rem 0; }\n.rtas-lp .pricing-card           { background: var(--bg-card); padding: 2rem 1.6rem; display: flex; flex-direction: column; position: relative; }\n.rtas-lp .pricing-card.featured  { background: var(--bg-mid); outline: 1px solid var(--blue); outline-offset: -1px; }\n.rtas-lp .pricing-badge          { position: absolute; top: -1px; left: 50%; transform: translateX(-50%); background: var(--blue); color: #06090c; font-size: 10px; letter-spacing: 0.08em; text-transform: uppercase; padding: 0.2rem 0.8rem; white-space: nowrap; }\n.rtas-lp .pricing-tier           { font-family: var(--serif); font-size: O.7rem; letter-spacing: 0.1em; text-transform: uppercase; color: var(--muted); margin-bottom: 0.7rem; text-align: center; }\n.rtas-lp .pricing-price          { font-family: var(--serif); font-size: 2.4rem; color: #fff; line-height: 1; margin-bottom: 0.25rem; }\n.rtas-lp .pricing-vat            { font-size: 10px; color: var(--muted); margin-bottom: 1.2rem; }\n.rtas-lp .pricing-list           { list-style: none; margin-bottom: 1.8rem; flex: 1; }\n.rtas-lp .pricing-list li        { font-size: 0.7rem; color: var(--muted); padding: 0.38rem 0; border-bottom: 1px solid var(--faint); display: flex; gap: 0.55rem; align-items: flex-start; }\n.rtas-lp .pricing-list li::before{ content: '\u2014'; color: var(--blue); flex-shrink: 0; }\n.rtas-lp .pricing-list li.hi     { color: var(--text); }\n.rtas-lp .btn-buy                { background: var(--red); color: #fff; border: none; padding: 0.72rem; font-size: 13px; font-family: var(--sans); cursor: pointer; text-align: center; width: 100%; transition: background 0.15s; display: block; letter-spacing: 0.02em; }\n.rtas-lp .btn-buy:hover          { background: var(--red-hi); text-decoration: none; }\n.rtas-lp .btn-buy-ghost          { background: transparent; color: var(--text); border: 1px solid var(--faint); padding: 0.72rem; font-size: 13px; font-family: var(--sans); cursor: pointer; text-align: center; width: 100%; transition: border-color 0.15s; display: block; letter-spacing: 0.02em; }\n.rtas-lp .btn-buy-ghost:hover    { border-color: var(--blue); text-decoration: none; }\n.rtas-lp .pricing-note           { font-size: 11.5px; color: var(--muted); text-align: center; margin-top: 1.2rem; line-height: 1.7; }\n\n.rtas-lp .btn-price {\n  white-space: nowrap;\n  display: block;\n  font-size: 0.85em;\n  opacity: 0.85;\n  margin-top: 2px;\n}\n\n\/* \u2500\u2500 Final CTA \u2500\u2500 *\/\n.rtas-lp .final-cta              { text-align: center; padding: 6rem 0; border-bottom: none; }\n.rtas-lp .final-cta h2           { margin-bottom: 0.8rem; }\n.rtas-lp .final-cta p            { color: var(--muted); margin-bottom: 2rem; max-width: 480px; margin-left: auto; margin-right: auto; }\n\n\/* \u2500\u2500 Footer \u2500\u2500 *\/\n.rtas-lp footer                  { padding: 2rem 0; border-top: 1px solid var(--faint); text-align: center; font-size: 11.5px; color: var(--muted); }\n.rtas-lp footer a                { color: var(--muted); }\n.rtas-lp footer a:hover          { color: var(--blue); }\n\n\/* \u2500\u2500 Responsive \u2500\u2500 *\/\n@media (max-width: 700px) {\n  .rtas-lp .hero-inner    { grid-template-columns: 1fr; gap: 2.5rem; }\n  .rtas-lp .hero-cover    { max-width: 280px; margin: 0 auto; }\n  .rtas-lp .author-block  { grid-template-columns: 1fr; }\n  .rtas-lp .hero          { padding: 3.5rem 0 3rem; }\n  .rtas-lp section        { padding: 3.5rem 0; }\n}\n<\/style>\n\n<div class=\"rtas-lp\">\n\n<!-- HERO -->\n<div class=\"hero\">\n  <div class=\"container\">\n    <div class=\"hero-inner\">\n\n      <div>\n        <div class=\"hero-eyebrow\">\u65b0\u62a5\u544a \u00b7 2026\u5e746\u6708<\/div>\n        <h1>2040\u5e74\u9502\u8d44\u6e90\u7684\u5730\u7f18\u653f\u6cbb\uff1a<br><em>\u5173\u4e8e\u2026\u2026\u7684\u516b\u79cd\u60c5\u666f<br>\u4e0a\u6e38\u4f9b\u5e94\u94fe<\/em><\/h1>\n        <p class=\"hero-sub\">\u9996\u4e2a\u60c5\u666f\u96c6\u57fa\u4e8e\u4e00\u4e2a\u7531383\u4e2a\u53d8\u91cf\u548c1,528\u4e2a\u5173\u7cfb\u6784\u6210\u7684\u4e25\u8c28\u56e0\u679c\u6a21\u578b\u2014\u2014\u8fd9\u662f\u4e00\u4e2a\u7528\u4e8e\u5e94\u5bf92040\u5e74\u524d\u5730\u7f18\u653f\u6cbb\u4e0d\u786e\u5b9a\u6027\u7684\u7ed3\u6784\u5316\u6846\u67b6\u3002.<\/p>\n\n        <div class=\"hero-stats\">\n          <div class=\"stat\"><span class=\"stat-n\">8<\/span><span class=\"stat-l\">\u573a\u666f<\/span><\/div>\n          <div class=\"stat\"><span class=\"stat-n\">383<\/span><span class=\"stat-l\">\u6a21\u578b\u8282\u70b9<\/span><\/div>\n          <div class=\"stat\"><span class=\"stat-n\">69<sup>+<\/sup><\/span><span class=\"stat-l\">\u9875\u6570<\/span><\/div>\n          <div class=\"stat\"><span class=\"stat-n\">2040<\/span><span class=\"stat-l\">\u5730\u5e73\u7ebf<\/span><\/div>\n        <\/div>\n\n        <div class=\"hero-ctas\">\n          <a href=\"#pricing\" class=\"btn-primary\">\u67e5\u770b\u4ef7\u683c\u5e76\u4e0b\u5355<\/a>\n          <a href=\"https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/zh\/%e5%85%b3%e4%ba%8e%e3%80%8a2040%e5%b9%b4%e9%94%82%e8%b5%84%e6%ba%90%e5%9c%b0%e7%bc%98%e6%94%bf%e6%b2%bb%e3%80%8b%e7%9a%84%e5%92%a8%e8%af%a2\/\" target=\"_blank\" class=\"btn-ghost\">\u7d22\u53d6\u6837\u54c1<\/a>\n        <\/div>\n      <\/div>\n\n      <div class=\"hero-cover\">\n        <img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/06\/Geopolitics-for-Lithium-2040-cover-scaled.png\" alt=\"\u300a2040\u5e74\u9502\u8d44\u6e90\u7684\u5730\u7f18\u653f\u6cbb\u300b\u2014\u2014\u62a5\u544a\u5c01\u9762\u8bbe\u8ba1\uff1a\u8ba9-\u591a\u7c73\u5c3c\u514b\u00b7\u62c9\u6c83\u74e6-\u5361\u5229\">\n        <p class=\"cover-caption\">\u5c01\u9762 \u00a9 \u8ba9-\u591a\u7c73\u5c3c\u514b\u00b7\u62c9\u6c83\u74e6-\u5361\u5229 2026 \u00b7 <a href=\"https:\/\/jdlavoixcarli.com\" target=\"_blank\">jdlavoixcarli.com<\/a><\/p>\n      <\/div>\n\n    <\/div>\n  <\/div>\n<\/div>\n\n<!-- THE BLIND SPOT -->\n<section>\n  <div class=\"container\">\n    <div class=\"section-eyebrow\">\u95ee\u9898\u6240\u5728<\/div>\n    <h2>\u5927\u591a\u6570\u62a5\u9053\u90fd\u63d0\u5230\u4e86\u5730\u7f18\u653f\u6cbb\u3002.<br>\u63a5\u7740\uff0c\u4ed6\u4eec\u505c\u4e86\u4e0b\u6765\u3002.<\/h2>\n    <div class=\"blindspot\">\n      <p class=\"blindspot-quote\" style=\"font-size:1.2rem;\">\u201c\u5927\u591a\u6570\u5173\u4e8e\u9502\u7684\u62a5\u544a\u3001\u5e02\u573a\u8c03\u67e5\u548c\u60c5\u666f\u5206\u6790\u90fd\u5f3a\u8c03\u4e86\u5730\u7f18\u653f\u6cbb\u5bf9\u4f9b\u5e94\u94fe\u672a\u6765\u7684\u5173\u952e\u91cd\u8981\u6027\u3002\u7136\u800c\uff0c\u4e00\u65e6\u6307\u51fa\u8fd9\u4e00\u70b9\uff0c\u5b83\u4eec\u4fbf\u53ea\u5173\u6ce8\u81ea\u8eab\u7684\u89c6\u89d2\u3002\u8fd9\u4e9b\u5206\u6790\u5145\u5176\u91cf\u53ea\u6d89\u53ca\u6cd5\u89c4\u3001\u5236\u88c1\u3001\u7a0e\u6536\u4ee5\u53ca\u5076\u5c14\u7684\u8d38\u6613\u4e89\u7aef\u2014\u2014\u8fdc\u672a\u80fd\u5168\u9762\u6982\u62ec\u56fd\u9645\u653f\u6cbb\u5c40\u52bf\u3002\u201d<\/p>\n      <p>\u8fd9\u5bfc\u81f4\u4e86\u6bcf\u9879\u9502\u6218\u7565\u6838\u5fc3\u90fd\u5b58\u5728\u4e00\u4e2a\u7ed3\u6784\u6027\u76f2\u70b9\u3002\u672c\u62a5\u544a\u586b\u8865\u4e86\u8fd9\u4e00\u7a7a\u767d\u3002.<\/p>\n    <\/div>\n    <p style=\"color:var(--muted); max-width:660px; font-size:0.93rem;\">\n      \u8fd9\u5957\u573a\u666f\u89e3\u7b54\u4e86\u90a3\u4e2a\u5c1a\u672a\u89e3\u7b54\u7684\u95ee\u9898\uff1a <strong style=\"color:var(--text);\">\u52302040\u5e74\uff0c\u9502\u4e0a\u6e38\u4f9b\u5e94\u94fe\u7684\u5730\u7f18\u653f\u6cbb\u524d\u666f\u4f1a\u5982\u4f55\uff1f<\/strong> \u5b83\u662f\u5bf9\u60a8\u73b0\u6709\u5e02\u573a\u548c\u6280\u672f\u5206\u6790\u7684\u8865\u5145\u2014\u2014\u800c\u975e\u91cd\u590d\u3002.\n    <\/p>\n  <\/div>\n<\/section>\n\n<!-- 8 SCENARIOS -->\n<section>\n  <div class=\"container\">\n    <div class=\"section-eyebrow\">\u573a\u666f<\/div>\n    <h2>\u516b\u79cd\u53ef\u80fd\u7684\u672a\u6765\u3002.<br>\u4e00\u4e2a\u8fde\u8d2f\u7684\u6846\u67b6\u3002.<\/h2>\n    <p style=\"color:var(--muted); max-width:640px; margin-bottom:0.5rem; font-size:0.93rem;\">\u6bcf\u79cd\u60c5\u666f\u90fd\u7531\u4e09\u4e2a\u5173\u952e\u5730\u7f18\u653f\u6cbb\u53d8\u91cf\u7684\u72ec\u7279\u7ec4\u5408\u6240\u5b9a\u4e49\uff0c\u6db5\u76d6\u4e86\u672a\u6765\u6240\u6709\u53ef\u80fd\u7684\u53d1\u5c55\u65b9\u5411\u3002\u6bcf\u79cd\u60c5\u666f\u5747\u7531\u4e00\u5e45\u539f\u521b\u4f5c\u54c1\u6765\u5c55\u73b0\uff0c\u8be5\u4f5c\u54c1\u51fa\u81ea <a href=\"https:\/\/jdlavoixcarli.com\">Jean-Dominique Lavoix-Carli<\/a>.<\/p>\n\n    <div class=\"scenario-grid\">\n\n      <div class=\"scenario-card sc-blue\">\n        <span class=\"scenario-num\">01<\/span>\n        <img decoding=\"async\" class=\"scenario-img\" src=\"https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/06\/RTAS-Lithium-scenario-Pax-Sinica-scaled.png\" alt=\"\u201c\u4e2d\u56fd\u548c\u5e73\u201d\u63d2\u56fe\">\n        <div class=\"scenario-bar\"><\/div>\n        <div class=\"scenario-body\">\n          <div class=\"scenario-tag\">\u4e00\u9879\u7531\u4e2d\u56fd\u4e3b\u5bfc\u7684\u6307\u4ee4<\/div>\n          <div class=\"scenario-name\">\u201c\u4e2d\u56fd\u548c\u5e73\u201d<\/div>\n          <div class=\"scenario-desc\">\u76ee\u524d\uff0c\u6709\u9502\u9700\u6c42\u56fd\u5bb6\u548c\u4f01\u4e1a\u5fc5\u987b\u9075\u5b88\u5317\u4eac\u5236\u5b9a\u7684\u89c4\u5219\u3002\u60a8\u51c6\u5907\u597d\u5728\u8be5\u6846\u67b6\u5185\u5f00\u5c55\u4e1a\u52a1\u4e86\u5417\uff1f\u672c\u6587\u5c06\u901a\u8fc7\u533a\u57df\u6848\u4f8b\u7814\u7a76\u8fdb\u884c\u8be6\u7ec6\u9610\u8ff0\u3002.<\/div>\n        <\/div>\n      <\/div>\n\n      <div class=\"scenario-card sc-red\">\n        <span class=\"scenario-num\">02<\/span>\n        <img decoding=\"async\" class=\"scenario-img\" src=\"https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/06\/RTAS-Lithium-scenario-Hobbesian-World-scaled.png\" alt=\"\u300a\u970d\u5e03\u65af\u5f0f\u4e16\u754c\u300b\u63d2\u56fe\">\n        <div class=\"scenario-bar\"><\/div>\n        <div class=\"scenario-body\">\n          <div class=\"scenario-tag\">\u201c\u4ee5\u5f3a\u51cc\u5f31\u201d\u53c8\u5377\u571f\u91cd\u6765<\/div>\n          <div class=\"scenario-name\">\u4e00\u4e2a\u970d\u5e03\u65af\u5f0f\u7684\u4e16\u754c<\/div>\n          <div class=\"scenario-desc\">\u5f3a\u8005\u4e3a\u738b\u3002\u5404\u56fd\u548c\u4f01\u4e1a\u90fd\u9762\u4e34\u8270\u96be\u6289\u62e9\uff0c\u9677\u5165\u8fdb\u9000\u4e24\u96be\u7684\u5883\u5730\u3002\u60a8\u7684\u4f9b\u5e94\u94fe\u5c06\u5982\u4f55\u5ea6\u8fc7\u96be\u5173\uff1f\u672c\u6587\u5c06\u901a\u8fc7\u533a\u57df\u6848\u4f8b\u7814\u7a76\u8fdb\u884c\u8be6\u7ec6\u9610\u8ff0\u3002.<\/div>\n        <\/div>\n      <\/div>\n\n      <div class=\"scenario-card sc-gold\">\n        <span class=\"scenario-num\">03<\/span>\n        <img decoding=\"async\" class=\"scenario-img\" src=\"https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/06\/RTAS-Lithium-scenario-Hermit-Kingdom-scaled.png\" alt=\"\u300a\u4e2d\u56fd\uff1a\u4e00\u4e2a\u65b0\u7684\u201c\u9690\u4e16\u738b\u56fd\u201d\u300b\u63d2\u56fe\">\n        <div class=\"scenario-bar\"><\/div>\n        <div class=\"scenario-body\">\n          <div class=\"scenario-tag\">\u4e2d\u56fd\u64a4\u519b<\/div>\n          <div class=\"scenario-name\">\u4e2d\u56fd\uff0c\u4e00\u4e2a\u65b0\u7684\u201c\u9690\u4e16\u738b\u56fd\u201d<\/div>\n          <div class=\"scenario-desc\">\u968f\u7740\u5317\u4eac\u8f6c\u5411\u5185\u987e\uff0c\u5168\u7403\u4f9b\u5e94\u683c\u5c40\u53d1\u751f\u53d8\u5316\u3002\u8c01\u6765\u586b\u8865\u8fd9\u4e00\u771f\u7a7a\uff1f<\/div>\n        <\/div>\n      <\/div>\n\n      <div class=\"scenario-card sc-steel\">\n        <span class=\"scenario-num\">04<\/span>\n        <img decoding=\"async\" class=\"scenario-img\" src=\"https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/06\/RTAS-Lithium-Scenario-Cold-War-scaled.png\" alt=\"\u201c\u51b7\u62183.0\u201d\u63d2\u56fe\">\n        <div class=\"scenario-bar\"><\/div>\n        <div class=\"scenario-body\">\n          <div class=\"scenario-tag\">\u4e24\u6781\u5bf9\u5cd9<\/div>\n          <div class=\"scenario-name\">\u201c\u51b7\u62183.0\u201d<\/div>\n          <div class=\"scenario-desc\">\u4e00\u79cd\u5145\u6ee1\u5bf9\u6297\u6027\u4e14\u4e95\u7136\u6709\u5e8f\u7684\u4e8c\u5143\u5bf9\u7acb\u3002\u9009\u8fb9\u7ad9\u6210\u4e3a\u4f60\u9762\u4e34\u7684\u9996\u8981\u6218\u7565\u5236\u7ea6\u3002.<\/div>\n        <\/div>\n      <\/div>\n\n      <div class=\"scenario-card sc-crimson\">\n        <span class=\"scenario-num\">05<\/span>\n        <img decoding=\"async\" class=\"scenario-img\" src=\"https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/06\/RTAS-Lithium-Scenario-Pax-Americana-scaled.png\" alt=\"\u201c\u65b0\u7f8e\u5229\u575a\u548c\u5e73\u201d\u7684\u53c8\u4e00\u4f8b\u8bc1\">\n        <div class=\"scenario-bar\"><\/div>\n        <div class=\"scenario-body\">\n          <div class=\"scenario-tag\">\u7f8e\u56fd\u5360\u636e\u4e3b\u5bfc\u5730\u4f4d<\/div>\n          <div class=\"scenario-name\">\u4e00\u79cd\u65b0\u7684\u201c\u7f8e\u5229\u575a\u548c\u5e73\u201d<\/div>\n          <div class=\"scenario-desc\">\u7f8e\u56fd\u91cd\u7533\u5176\u5168\u7403\u9886\u5bfc\u5730\u4f4d\uff0c\u5e76\u6309\u7167\u81ea\u5df1\u7684\u65b9\u5f0f\u5851\u9020\u5173\u952e\u77ff\u4ea7\u79e9\u5e8f\u3002\u8fd9\u5bf9\u60a8\u83b7\u53d6\u9502\u8d44\u6e90\u610f\u5473\u7740\u4ec0\u4e48\uff1f<\/div>\n        <\/div>\n      <\/div>\n\n      <div class=\"scenario-card sc-amber\">\n        <span class=\"scenario-num\">06<\/span>\n        <img decoding=\"async\" class=\"scenario-img\" src=\"https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/06\/RTAS-Lithium-Scenario-Multipolar-World-scaled.png\" alt=\"\u201c\u771f\u6b63\u7684\u591a\u6781\u5316\u201d\u63d2\u56fe\">\n        <div class=\"scenario-bar\"><\/div>\n        <div class=\"scenario-body\">\n          <div class=\"scenario-tag\">\u652f\u79bb\u7834\u788e\u7684\u79e9\u5e8f<\/div>\n          <div class=\"scenario-name\">\u771f\u6b63\u7684\u591a\u6781\u5316<\/div>\n          <div class=\"scenario-desc\">\u591a\u6781\u7ade\u4e89\u683c\u5c40\uff0c\u7f3a\u4e4f\u5171\u540c\u89c4\u5219\u3002\u5145\u6ee1\u4fb5\u7565\u6027\u4e14\u96be\u4ee5\u9884\u6d4b\u3002\u8fd0\u8425\u98ce\u9669\u6781\u9ad8\u3002\u5728\u6ca1\u6709\u4e3b\u5bfc\u6027\u9738\u6743\u7684\u4e16\u754c\u91cc\uff0c\u4f60\u80fd\u5f00\u5c55\u8fd0\u8425\u5417\uff1f<\/div>\n        <\/div>\n      <\/div>\n\n      <div class=\"scenario-card sc-teal\">\n        <span class=\"scenario-num\">07<\/span>\n        <img decoding=\"async\" class=\"scenario-img\" src=\"https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/06\/RTAS-Lithium-Scenario-Be-Careful-scaled.png\" alt=\"\u300a\u5c0f\u5fc3\u4f60\u8bb8\u7684\u613f\u300b\u63d2\u56fe\">\n        <div class=\"scenario-bar\"><\/div>\n        <div class=\"scenario-body\">\n          <div class=\"scenario-tag\">\u53d7\u5236\u4e8e\u4e2d\u56fd<\/div>\n          <div class=\"scenario-name\">\u5c0f\u5fc3\u4f60\u7684\u613f\u671b<\/div>\n          <div class=\"scenario-desc\">\u4e2d\u56fd\u4e0d\u5f97\u4e0d\u5021\u5bfc\u591a\u8fb9\u89c4\u5219\u2014\u2014\u5e76\u606a\u5b88\u8fd9\u4e9b\u89c4\u5219\u3002\u60a8\u7684\u4e0a\u6e38\u9502\u4f9b\u5e94\u94fe\u662f\u5426\u7b26\u5408\u76f8\u5173\u89c4\u5b9a\uff1f<\/div>\n        <\/div>\n      <\/div>\n\n      <div class=\"scenario-card sc-green\">\n        <span class=\"scenario-num\">08<\/span>\n        <img decoding=\"async\" class=\"scenario-img\" src=\"https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/06\/RTAS-Lithium-scenario-Onu-3.0-scaled.png\" alt=\"UN 3.0 \u63d2\u56fe\">\n        <div class=\"scenario-bar\"><\/div>\n        <div class=\"scenario-body\">\n          <div class=\"scenario-tag\">\u8054\u5408\u56fd 3.0<\/div>\n          <div class=\"scenario-name\">\u8054\u5408\u56fd 3.0<\/div>\n          <div class=\"scenario-desc\">\u4e00\u4e2a\u7115\u7136\u4e00\u65b0\u7684\u56fd\u9645\u5408\u4f5c\u6846\u67b6\u3002\u8fd9\u662f\u6700\u4e50\u89c2\u7684\u8bbe\u60f3\u2014\u2014\u4f46\u8fd9\u771f\u7684\u80fd\u6210\u4e3a\u60a8\u8d44\u672c\u652f\u51fa\u7684\u73b0\u5b9e\u57fa\u7840\u5417\uff1f<\/div>\n<\/div>\n      <\/div>\n\n<div class=\"scenario-card sc-black\">\n        <span class=\"scenario-num\"><\/span>\n        <div class=\"scenario-desc\"><\/div>\n        <div class=\"scenario-bar\"><\/div>\n        <div class=\"scenario-body\">\n          <div class=\"scenario-tag\"><\/div>\n          <div class=\"scenario-name\"><\/div>\n          <div class=\"scenario-desc\"><\/div>\n        <\/div>\n      <\/div>\n\n    <\/div>\n    <p style=\"font-size:0.83rem; color:var(--muted);\">\u573a\u666f <em>\u201c\u4e2d\u56fd\u548c\u5e73\u201d<\/em> \u548c <em>\u4e00\u4e2a\u970d\u5e03\u65af\u5f0f\u7684\u4e16\u754c<\/em> \u4ee5\u8be6\u5c3d\u7684\u53d9\u8ff0\u5f62\u5f0f\u5448\u73b0\u3002\u5176\u4f59\u60c5\u666f\u5219\u91c7\u7528\u7ed3\u6784\u5316\u53d9\u8ff0\u5f62\u5f0f\u3002\u8fd9\u516b\u79cd\u60c5\u666f\u5747\u5bf9\u653f\u5e9c\u548c\u4f01\u4e1a\u5177\u6709\u6df1\u8fdc\u7684\u6218\u7565\u610f\u4e49\u3002.<\/p>\n  <\/div>\n<\/section>\n\n<!-- METHODOLOGY -->\n<section>\n  <div class=\"container\">\n    <div class=\"section-eyebrow\">\u7814\u7a76\u65b9\u6cd5<\/div>\n    <h2>\u8bbe\u8ba1\u4e0a\u529b\u6c42\u4e25\u8c28\u3002.<br>\u6bcf\u4e2a\u6b65\u9aa4\u5747\u53ef\u8ffd\u6eaf\u3002.<\/h2>\n\n    <div class=\"method-grid\">\n      <div class=\"method-cell\"><span class=\"method-n\">383<\/span><span class=\"method-l\">\u6a21\u578b\u8282\u70b9<\/span><\/div>\n      <div class=\"method-cell\"><span class=\"method-n\">1,528<\/span><span class=\"method-l\">\u56e0\u679c\u8fb9<\/span><\/div>\n      <div class=\"method-cell\"><span class=\"method-n\">3<\/span><span class=\"method-l\">\u5173\u952e\u53d8\u91cf<\/span><\/div>\n      <div class=\"method-cell\"><span class=\"method-n\">16<sup>pp\u7b80\u4f53\u4e2d\u6587\uff08\u5927\u9646\uff09<\/sup><\/span><span class=\"method-l\">\u4e66\u76ee<\/span><\/div>\n    <\/div>\n\n    <p class=\"method-text\">\u8be5\u60c5\u666f\u6a21\u578b\u57fa\u4e8e\u5168\u7403\u5173\u952e\u77ff\u4ea7\u7ade\u4e89\u7684\u56e0\u679c\u77e5\u8bc6\u56fe\u6784\u5efa\uff0c\u968f\u540e\u9488\u5bf9\u9502\u8fdb\u884c\u4e86\u7ec6\u5316\u2014\u2014\u6700\u7ec8\u5f62\u6210\u4e86\u4e00\u4e2a\u5305\u542b383\u4e2a\u8282\u70b9\u548c1,528\u6761\u8fb9\u7684\u6a21\u578b\u3002 \u7814\u7a76\u91c7\u7528\u4e86\u7ed3\u6784\u5206\u6790\u6cd5\uff08Godet\uff0c\u91cd\u65b0\u5ba1\u89c6\uff09\uff0c\u5e76\u7ed3\u5408\u7f51\u7edc\u4e2d\u5fc3\u6027\u6307\u6807\uff0c\u4ee5\u5ba2\u89c2\u5730\u8bc6\u522b\u51fa\u6700\u80fd\u9a71\u52a8\u7cfb\u7edf\u6027\u53d8\u9769\u7684\u53d8\u91cf\u3002.<\/p>\n    <p class=\"method-text\">\u6784\u7b51\u8fd9\u516b\u79cd\u60c5\u666f\u7684\u4e09\u4e2a\u5173\u952e\u53d8\u91cf\u2014\u2014\u4ee5\u53ca\u5bf9\u6bcf\u4e2a\u56fd\u5bb6\u81f3\u5173\u91cd\u8981\u7684\u4e24\u4e2a\u53d8\u91cf\u2014\u2014\u662f\u901a\u8fc7\u8be5\u6a21\u578b\u9009\u5b9a\u7684\uff0c\u800c\u975e\u57fa\u4e8e\u76f4\u89c9\u6216\u7f16\u8f91\u60ef\u4f8b\u3002\u6bcf\u4e2a\u53d8\u91cf\u90fd\u6709\u4e24\u79cd\u6781\u7aef\u72b6\u6001\uff0c\u7531\u6b64\u4ea7\u751f\u4e86\u516b\u79cd\u60c5\u666f\u7ec4\u5408\uff0c\u6db5\u76d6\u4e86\u672a\u6765\u53ef\u80fd\u53d1\u5c55\u7684\u5404\u4e2a\u65b9\u9762\u3002.<\/p>\n\n    <div class=\"method-note\">\n      <strong>\u6280\u672f\u8bf4\u660e\uff1a<\/strong> \u8be5\u56fe\u8868\u4f7f\u7528 Gephi\uff08\u4e00\u6b3e\u7528\u4e8e\u56fe\u548c\u7f51\u7edc\u7684\u5f00\u6e90\u53ef\u89c6\u5316\u4e0e\u5206\u6790\u8f6f\u4ef6\uff09\u7ed8\u5236\u5e76\u5206\u6790\u3002\u6570\u636e\u9075\u5faa\u56fd\u9645\u80fd\u6e90\u7f72\uff08IEA\uff09\u7684\u60ef\u4f8b\u2014\u2014\u4ee5\u9502\u542b\u91cf\u548c\u516c\u5428\u4e3a\u5355\u4f4d\u3002\u62a5\u544a\u4e2d\u9644\u6709\u5b8c\u6574\u7684\u53c2\u8003\u6587\u732e\uff0816 \u9875\uff09\u3002.\n    <\/div>\n\n    <div class=\"no-ai\">\n      <div class=\"no-ai-icon\">\u65e0AI<\/div>\n      <div class=\"no-ai-text\"><strong>\u672c\u62a5\u544a\u4e2d\u4e0d\u5305\u542b\u4efb\u4f55\u7531\u4eba\u5de5\u667a\u80fd\u751f\u6210\u7684\u5206\u6790\u5185\u5bb9\u3002.<\/strong> \u6bcf\u4e00\u4e2a\u60c5\u666f\u3001\u6bcf\u4e00\u6761\u56e0\u679c\u5173\u7cfb\u3001\u6bcf\u4e00\u9879\u6218\u7565\u5f71\u54cd\uff0c\u5747\u7531\u4e00\u4f4d\u62e5\u670930\u5e74\u7ecf\u9a8c\u7684\u4eba\u7c7b\u5206\u6790\u5e08\u5236\u5b9a\u3002\u57282026\u5e74\uff0c\u8fd9\u5df2\u6210\u4e3a\u4e00\u9879\u7ecf\u8fc7\u6df1\u601d\u719f\u8651\u4e14\u53ef\u9a8c\u8bc1\u7684\u5dee\u5f02\u5316\u4f18\u52bf\u2014\u2014\u53ef\u901a\u8fc7\u5b8c\u6574\u7684\u53c2\u8003\u6587\u732e\u548c\u65b9\u6cd5\u8bba\u8fdb\u884c\u8ffd\u6eaf\u3002.<\/div>\n    <\/div>\n  <\/div>\n<\/section>\n\n<!-- WHAT'S INSIDE -->\n<section>\n  <div class=\"container\">\n    <div class=\"section-eyebrow\">\u5185\u5bb9<\/div>\n    <h2>\u60a8\u5c06\u83b7\u5f97\u7684\u5185\u5bb9\u3002.<\/h2>\n    <ul class=\"toc-list\">\n      <li class=\"toc-item\">\n        <span class=\"toc-num\">\u7b2c1\u7ae0<\/span>\n        <div><div class=\"toc-title\">\u53ef\u64cd\u4f5c\u7684\u60c5\u666f\u53ca\u5176\u7279\u5f81<\/div><div class=\"toc-sub\">\u4ec0\u4e48\u662f\u60c5\u666f\u5206\u6790\uff1f\u4e3a\u4ec0\u4e48\u53d9\u4e8b\u5982\u6b64\u91cd\u8981\uff1f\u4e3a\u4ec0\u4e48\u5728\u6218\u7565\u89c4\u5212\u4e2d\u63cf\u7ed8\u201c\u53ef\u80fd\u6027\u9525\u201d\u81f3\u5173\u91cd\u8981\uff1f.<\/div><\/div>\n      <\/li>\n      <li class=\"toc-item\">\n        <span class=\"toc-num\">\u7b2c2\u7ae0<\/span>\n        <div><div class=\"toc-title\">\u9502\u60c5\u666f\u96c6\u7684\u903b\u8f91<\/div><div class=\"toc-sub\">\u56e0\u679c\u77e5\u8bc6\u56fe\u8c31\u7684\u6784\u5efa\u65b9\u6cd5\u3001\u4e09\u4e2a\u7cfb\u7edf\u6027\u5173\u952e\u53d8\u91cf\u2014\u2014\u4ee5\u53ca\u6bcf\u4e2a\u56fd\u5bb6\u7684\u63a5\u4e0b\u6765\u4e24\u4e2a\u5173\u952e\u53d8\u91cf\uff0c\u8fd8\u6709\u516b\u79cd\u60c5\u666f\u7ec4\u5408\u80cc\u540e\u7684\u7ed3\u6784\u903b\u8f91\u3002.<\/div><\/div>\n      <\/li>\n      <li class=\"toc-item\">\n        <span class=\"toc-num\">\u7b2c3\u7ae0<\/span>\n        <div><div class=\"toc-title\">\u516b\u79cd\u60c5\u666f<\/div><div class=\"toc-sub\">\u300aPax Sinica\u300b\u4e0e\u300a\u970d\u5e03\u65af\u5f0f\u4e16\u754c\u300b\u2014\u2014\u4ee5\u8be6\u5c3d\u7684\u53d9\u4e8b\u7b14\u89e6\u5c55\u5f00\uff0c\u5e76\u7740\u91cd\u805a\u7126\u5404\u533a\u57df\u3002\u53e6\u9644\u516d\u79cd\u7ed3\u6784\u5316\u7684\u60c5\u666f\u8bbe\u5b9a\u3002.<\/div><\/div>\n      <\/li>\n      <li class=\"toc-item\">\n        <span class=\"toc-num\">Ccl.<\/span>\n        <div><div class=\"toc-title\">\u53d8\u6570\u3001\u6307\u6807\u548c\u6218\u7565\u6307\u5bfc<\/div><div class=\"toc-sub\">\u4e94\u9879\u201c\u9ed1\u5929\u9e45\u201d\u4e8b\u4ef6\u3002\u9762\u5411\u653f\u5e9c\u548c\u4f01\u4e1a\u7684\u5177\u4f53\u6307\u5bfc\u3002\u53ef\u5e94\u8981\u6c42\u63d0\u4f9b\u6982\u7387\u8bc4\u4f30\u548c\u76f8\u5173\u6307\u6807\u3002.<\/div><\/div>\n      <\/li>\n      <li class=\"toc-item\">\n        <span class=\"toc-num\">App.<\/span>\n        <div><div class=\"toc-title\">\u9644\u5f55<\/div><div class=\"toc-sub\">\u56fd\u9645\u80fd\u6e90\u7f72\uff08IEA\uff09\u60c5\u666f\uff08\u53c2\u8003\u6846\u67b6\uff09\u00b7 \u53c2\u8003\u6587\u732e\u4e0e\u8d44\u6599\u6765\u6e90\u2014\u2014\u517116\u9875\uff0c\u5305\u62ec\u7ecf\u540c\u884c\u8bc4\u5ba1\u7684\u6587\u732e\u3001\u4e00\u624b\u8d44\u6599\u3001\u673a\u6784\u8d44\u6599\u3001\u4f01\u4e1a\u76f8\u5173\u8d44\u6599\u53ca\u4e13\u4e1a\u6587\u732e\u3002.<\/div><\/div>\n      <\/li>\n    <\/ul>\n    <p style=\"font-size:0.83rem; color:var(--muted);\">69 \u9875 + \u9644\u5f55\u3002\u4ee5\u9ad8\u5206\u8fa8\u7387 PDF \u683c\u5f0f\u4ea4\u4ed8\u3002.<\/p>\n  <\/div>\n<\/section>\n\n<!-- AUDIENCE -->\n<section>\n  <div class=\"container\">\n    <div class=\"section-eyebrow\">\u53d7\u4f17<\/div>\n    <h2>\u8c01\u9700\u8981\u8fd9\u4efd\u62a5\u544a\u3002.<\/h2>\n    <div class=\"audience-grid\">\n      <div class=\"audience-card\">\n        <div class=\"audience-mark\">\u25ed<\/div>\n        <div class=\"audience-title\">\u77ff\u5546\u4e0e\u51b6\u70bc\u5546<\/div>\n        <div class=\"audience-desc\">\u9488\u5bf9\u6bcf\u79cd\u60c5\u666f\u5bf9\u6295\u8d44\u51b3\u7b56\u8fdb\u884c\u538b\u529b\u6d4b\u8bd5\u3002\u5728\u5355\u70b9\u6545\u969c\u51fa\u73b0\u4e4b\u524d\u5c31\u5c06\u5176\u8bc6\u522b\u51fa\u6765\u3002.<\/div>\n      <\/div>\n      <div class=\"audience-card\">\n        <div class=\"audience-mark\">\u25c8<\/div>\n        <div class=\"audience-title\">\u6280\u672f\u63d0\u4f9b\u5546\u4e0e\u539f\u59cb\u8bbe\u5907\u5236\u9020\u5546<\/div>\n        <div class=\"audience-desc\">\u5236\u5b9a\u57282040\u5e74\u524d\u5404\u79cd\u5730\u7f18\u653f\u6cbb\u60c5\u666f\u4e0b\u5747\u80fd\u884c\u4e4b\u6709\u6548\u7684\u91c7\u8d2d\u7b56\u7565\u3002.<\/div>\n      <\/div>\n      <div class=\"audience-card\">\n        <div class=\"audience-mark\">\u25c9<\/div>\n        <div class=\"audience-title\">\u91d1\u878d\u5bb6\u4e0e\u57fa\u91d1\u7ecf\u7406<\/div>\n        <div class=\"audience-desc\">\u5c06\u5730\u7f18\u653f\u6cbb\u98ce\u9669\u8ba1\u5165\u6d89\u53ca\u9502\u7684\u5934\u5bf8\u4e2d\u3002\u8bc4\u4f30\u54ea\u4e9b\u60c5\u666f\u4f1a\u5a01\u80c1\u6216\u521b\u9020\u60a8\u6295\u8d44\u7ec4\u5408\u7684\u56de\u62a5\u3002.<\/div>\n      <\/div>\n      <div class=\"audience-card\">\n        <div class=\"audience-mark\">\u25a3<\/div>\n        <div class=\"audience-title\">\u6218\u7565\u987e\u95ee<\/div>\n        <div class=\"audience-desc\">\u4e3a\u5730\u7f18\u653f\u6cbb\u54a8\u8be2\u5de5\u4f5c\u63d0\u4f9b\u4e00\u4e2a\u4e25\u8c28\u4e14\u53ef\u5f15\u7528\u7684\u5206\u6790\u57fa\u7840\u2014\u2014\u65e0\u9700\u4ece\u5934\u6784\u5efa\u6a21\u578b\u3002.<\/div>\n      <\/div>\n      <div class=\"audience-card\">\n        <div class=\"audience-mark\">\u25ce<\/div>\n        <div class=\"audience-title\">\u653f\u5e9c\u6218\u7565\u5236\u5b9a\u8005<\/div>\n        <div class=\"audience-desc\">\u5bf9\u56fd\u5bb6\u9502\u6218\u7565\u8fdb\u884c\u538b\u529b\u6d4b\u8bd5\u3002\u5236\u5b9a\u5e94\u6025\u9884\u6848\u3002\u4e3a\u5173\u952e\u77ff\u4ea7\u5916\u4ea4\u63d0\u4f9b\u4f9d\u636e\u3002.<\/div>\n      <\/div>\n      <div class=\"audience-card\">\n        <div class=\"audience-mark\">\u25c7<\/div>\n        <div class=\"audience-title\">\u4e2d\u6e38\u4e0e\u4e0b\u6e38<\/div>\n        <div class=\"audience-desc\">\u5728\u8fd9\u4e9b\u4e0a\u6e38\u6761\u4ef6\u51fa\u73b0\u4e4b\u524d\uff0c\u5148\u4e86\u89e3\u54ea\u4e9b\u6761\u4ef6\u4f1a\u5236\u7ea6\u6216\u4fc3\u8fdb\u60a8\u7684\u8fd0\u8425\u3002.<\/div>\n      <\/div>\n    <\/div>\n  <\/div>\n<\/section>\n\n<!-- AUTHOR -->\n<section>\n  <div class=\"container\">\n    <div class=\"section-eyebrow\">\u5206\u6790\u5e08<\/div>\n    <h2>\u8be5\u9886\u57df\u7684\u6743\u5a01\u3002.<\/h2>\n    <div class=\"author-block\">\n      <div class=\"author-avatar\">HL<\/div>\n      <div>\n        <div class=\"author-name\">H\u00e9l\u00e8ne Lavoix\u535a\u58eb<\/div>\n        <div class=\"author-role\">Red Team Analysis Society \u521b\u59cb\u4eba\u517c\u603b\u88c1<\/div>\n        <p class=\"author-bio\">30\u591a\u5e74\u6765\u4e00\u76f4\u4e13\u6ce8\u4e8e\u56fd\u9645\u5173\u7cfb\u3001\u5730\u7f18\u653f\u6cbb\u4e0e\u653f\u6cbb\u5206\u6790\u4ee5\u53ca\u6218\u7565\u9886\u57df\u300220\u5e74\u6765\u4e00\u76f4\u4ece\u4e8b\u6218\u7565\u524d\u77bb\u4e0e\u65e9\u671f\u9884\u8b66\u65b9\u6cd5\u8bba\u7684\u7814\u7a76\uff0c\u5305\u62ec\u4e0e\u9ad8\u7ea7\u5b98\u5458\u3001\u56fd\u5bb6\u60c5\u62a5\u673a\u6784\uff08\u7f8e\u56fd\u652f\u6301\u7684GFF\u3001\u7f8e\u56fd\u56fd\u5bb6\u60c5\u62a5\u5c40\uff08INR\uff09\u3001 \u7f8e\u56fd\u56fd\u5bb6\u60c5\u62a5\u5c40\u9884\u8b66\u4e8b\u52a1\u5b98\u5458\u3001\u7f8e\u56fd\u80fd\u6e90\u90e8\u3001\u6cd5\u56fd\u56fd\u5bb6\u5b89\u5168\u5c40\u6218\u7565\u5206\u6790\u5904\u3001\u7a81\u5c3c\u65af\u5185\u653f\u90e8\u3001\u7ea6\u65e6\u5b89\u5168\u673a\u6784\uff09\u3001\u7ecf\u5408\u7ec4\u7ec7\u3001\u6b27\u76df\u59d4\u5458\u4f1a\u53ca\u4e16\u754c\u7ecf\u6d4e\u8bba\u575b\u5f00\u5c55\u5408\u4f5c\u3002 \u62e5\u6709\u4f26\u6566\u5927\u5b66\uff08SOAS\uff09\u535a\u58eb\u548c\u7406\u5b66\u7855\u58eb\u5b66\u4f4d\uff0c\u4ee5\u53ca\u6cd5\u56fdISC\u7684\u91d1\u878d\u5b66\u7855\u58eb\u5b66\u4f4d\u30022013\u5e74\u521b\u7acbRTAS\u3002.<\/p>\n        <div class=\"pills\">\n          <span class=\"pill\">\u535a\u58eb \u00b7 \u4f26\u6566\u5927\u5b66\u4e9a\u975e\u5b66\u9662\uff08SOAS\uff09<\/span>\n          <span class=\"pill\">2\u00d7 \u7406\u5b66\u7855\u58eb<\/span>\n          <span class=\"pill\">30\u5e74\u7684\u56fd\u9645\u5173\u7cfb<\/span>\n          <span class=\"pill\">GFF \u00b7 INR \u00b7 DOE \u00b7 SGDSN \u00b7 WEF \u00b7 OECD \u00b7 EC<\/span>\n          <span class=\"pill\">\u6218\u7565\u524d\u77bb\u4e0e\u65e9\u671f\u9884\u8b66<\/span>\n        <\/div>\n      <\/div>\n    <\/div>\n  <\/div>\n<\/section>\n\n<!-- PRICING -->\n<section id=\"pricing\">\n  <div class=\"container\">\n    <div class=\"section-eyebrow\">\u5b9a\u4ef7<\/div>\n    <h2>\u8ba2\u8d2d\u8be5\u62a5\u544a\u3002.<\/h2>\n\n    <div class=\"pricing-grid\">\n\n      <div class=\"pricing-card\">\n        <div class=\"pricing-tier\" style=\"font-size:0.82rem; \">\u62a5\u544a<\/div>\n        <div class=\"pricing-price\"><\/div>\n        <div class=\"pricing-vat\"><\/div>\n        <ul class=\"pricing-list\">\n          <li class=\"hi\">\u5b8c\u6574\u768469\u9875\u62a5\u544a\uff08PDF\uff09<\/li>\n          <li class=\"hi\">\u5168\u90e8\u516b\u79cd\u60c5\u666f<\/li>\n          <li class=\"hi\">16\u9875\u7684\u53c2\u8003\u6587\u732e\u53ca\u8d44\u6599\u6765\u6e90<\/li>\n          <li>\u53d8\u6570\u4e0e\u6218\u7565\u6307\u5bfc<\/li>\n<li>\u5355\u7528\u6237\u8bb8\u53ef\u8bc1\u6216\u4f01\u4e1a\u8bb8\u53ef\u8bc1\uff08\u6700\u591a 20 \u540d\u7528\u6237\uff09<\/li>\n        <\/ul>\n        <a href=\"https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/zh\/%e4%ba%a7%e5%93%81\/%e5%9c%b0%e7%bc%98%e6%94%bf%e6%b2%bb-%e9%94%82-2040%e5%b9%b4%e6%83%85%e6%99%af-%e4%b8%8a%e6%b8%b8%e4%be%9b%e5%ba%94%e9%93%be\/#product-44120\" class=\"btn-buy-ghost\">\u8ba2\u8d2d\u62a5\u544a\n<span class=\"btn-price\">5,900.00 \u6b27\u5143\uff08\u4e0d\u542b\u589e\u503c\u7a0e\uff09<\/span><\/a>\n      <\/div>\n\n      <div class=\"pricing-card featured\">\n        <div class=\"pricing-badge\">\u6700\u53d7\u6b22\u8fce<\/div>\n        <div class=\"pricing-tier\" style=\"font-size:0.82rem; \">\u62a5\u544a + \u7b80\u62a5<\/div>\n        <div class=\"pricing-price\"><\/div>\n        <div class=\"pricing-vat\"><\/div>\n        <ul class=\"pricing-list\">\n          <li class=\"hi\">\u5b8c\u6574\u768469\u9875\u62a5\u544a\uff08PDF\uff09<\/li>\n          <li class=\"hi\">\u4e0e\u62c9\u6c83\u74e6\u535a\u58eb\u8fdb\u884c1\u5c0f\u65f6\u7684\u79c1\u4eba\u7b80\u62a5\u4f1a<\/li>\n          <li class=\"hi\">\u5173\u4e8e\u573a\u666f\u548c\u60a8\u6240\u5904\u60c5\u5883\u7684\u95ee\u7b54<\/li>\n          <li>\u5168\u90e8\u516b\u79cd\u60c5\u666f<\/li>\n          <li>16\u9875\u7684\u53c2\u8003\u6587\u732e\u53ca\u8d44\u6599\u6765\u6e90<\/li>\n          <li>\u53d8\u6570\u4e0e\u6218\u7565\u6307\u5bfc<\/li>\n        <\/ul>\n        <a href=\"https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/zh\/%e4%ba%a7%e5%93%81\/%e5%9c%b0%e7%bc%98%e6%94%bf%e6%b2%bb-%e9%94%82-2040%e5%b9%b4%e6%83%85%e6%99%af-%e4%b8%8a%e6%b8%b8%e4%be%9b%e5%ba%94%e9%93%be\/#product-44120\" briefing\"\"=\"\" class=\"btn-buy\">\u8ba2\u8d2d\u62a5\u544a + \u7b80\u62a5<br>\n  <span class=\"btn-price\">6,700.00 \u6b27\u5143\uff08\u4e0d\u542b\u589e\u503c\u7a0e\uff09<\/span><\/a>\n      <\/div>\n\n      <div class=\"pricing-card\">\n        <div class=\"pricing-tier\" style=\"font-size:0.82rem; \">\u673a\u6784<\/div>\n        <div class=\"pricing-price\"><\/div>\n        <div class=\"pricing-vat\"><\/div>\n        <ul class=\"pricing-list\">\n          <li class=\"hi\">\u5b8c\u6574\u768469\u9875\u62a5\u544a\uff08PDF\uff09<\/li>\n          <li class=\"hi\">1\u5c0f\u65f6\u7684\u79c1\u4eba\u7b80\u62a5\u4f1a<\/li>\n          <li class=\"hi\">\u4f8b\u5982\uff1a\u60c5\u666f\u6982\u7387\u8bc4\u4f30<\/li>\n          <li class=\"hi\">\u4f8b\u5982\uff1a30\u5929\u7684\u5f02\u6b65\u95ee\u7b54\u8bbf\u95ee\u6743\u9650<\/li>\n          <li>\u4f8b\u5982\uff1a\u6839\u636e\u60a8\u7684\u5730\u7406\u6216\u884c\u4e1a\u80cc\u666f\u91cf\u8eab\u5b9a\u5236<\/li>\n        <\/ul>\n        <a href=\"https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/zh\/%e5%85%b3%e4%ba%8e%e3%80%8a2040%e5%b9%b4%e9%94%82%e8%b5%84%e6%ba%90%e5%9c%b0%e7%bc%98%e6%94%bf%e6%b2%bb%e3%80%8b%e7%9a%84%e5%92%a8%e8%af%a2\/\" target=\"_blank\" class=\"btn-buy-ghost\">\u8054\u7cfb\u6211\u4eec<\/a>\n      <\/div>\n\n    <\/div>\n\n    <p class=\"pricing-note\">\n      \u63d0\u4f9b\u5b9a\u5236\u5316\u670d\u52a1\uff1a\u56fd\u5bb6\u5b50\u60c5\u666f\u5206\u6790\u3001\u9488\u5bf9\u7279\u5b9a\u516c\u53f8\u7684\u538b\u529b\u6d4b\u8bd5\u3001\u7814\u8ba8\u4f1a\u4e3b\u6301\uff0c\u4ee5\u53ca\u968f\u65f6\u95f4\u63a8\u79fb\u7684\u6982\u7387\u76d1\u6d4b\u3002.<br>\n      <a href=\"mailto:contact@redanalysis.org\">contact@redanalysis.org<\/a>\n    <\/p>\n  <\/div>\n<\/section>\n\n<!-- FINAL CTA -->\n<section class=\"final-cta\">\n  <div class=\"container\">\n    <div class=\"section-eyebrow\">\u4e0d\u8981\u88ab\u52a8\u53cd\u5e94\uff0c\u8981\u4e3b\u52a8\u9884\u5224\u3002.<\/div>\n    <h2>\u9502\u7684\u5730\u7f18\u653f\u6cbb\u524d\u666f<br>\u5df2\u7ecf\u5f00\u59cb\u5b9e\u65bd\u4e86\u3002.<\/h2>\n    <p>\u672c\u62a5\u544a\u4e3a\u51b3\u7b56\u8005\u63d0\u4f9b\u4e86\u4e00\u4e2a\u7ed3\u6784\u5316\u4e14\u4e25\u8c28\u7684\u6846\u67b6\uff0c\u5e2e\u52a9\u4ed6\u4eec\u5728\u5404\u79cd\u60c5\u666f\u51fa\u73b0\u4e4b\u524d\u505a\u597d\u5e94\u5bf9\u51c6\u5907\u3002.<\/p>\n    <div class=\"hero-ctas\" style=\"justify-content:center;\">\n      <a href=\"#pricing\" class=\"btn-primary\">\u7acb\u5373\u8ba2\u8d2d<\/a>\n      <a href=\"https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/zh\/%e5%85%b3%e4%ba%8e%e3%80%8a2040%e5%b9%b4%e9%94%82%e8%b5%84%e6%ba%90%e5%9c%b0%e7%bc%98%e6%94%bf%e6%b2%bb%e3%80%8b%e7%9a%84%e5%92%a8%e8%af%a2\/\" target=\"_blank\" class=\"btn-ghost\">\u7533\u8bf7\u6837\u672c\u6458\u5f55<\/a>\n    <\/div>\n  <\/div>\n<\/section>\n\n<footer>\n  <div class=\"container\">\n    <p>\u00a9 2026 The Red Team Analysis Society \u00b7 <a href=\"https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/zh\/%e9%9a%90%e7%a7%81%e6%94%bf%e7%ad%96\/\">\u9690\u79c1\u653f\u7b56<\/a> \u00b7 <a href=\"https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/zh\/\">redanalysis.org<\/a><\/p>\n    <p style=\"margin-top:0.4rem; font-size:10.5px;\">\u63d2\u56fe \u00a9 Jean-Dominique Lavoix-Carli 2026\u3002\u672c\u62a5\u544a\u4e0d\u6784\u6210\u5bf9\u672a\u6765\u7684\u9884\u6d4b\u3002\u6240\u6709\u524d\u77bb\u6027\u9648\u8ff0\u5747\u53d7\u6218\u7565\u524d\u77bb\u6240\u56fa\u6709\u7684\u4e0d\u786e\u5b9a\u6027\u5f71\u54cd\u3002.<\/p>\n  <\/div>\n<\/footer>\n\n<\/div><!-- \/.rtas-lp -->\n<\/div>\n<\/div>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>\u65b0\u62a5\u544a \u00b7 2026\u5e746\u6708 \u300a2040\u5e74\u9502\u8d44\u6e90\u5730\u7f18\u653f\u6cbb\uff1a\u4e0a\u6e38\u4f9b\u5e94\u94fe\u7684\u516b\u79cd\u60c5\u666f\u300b \u7b2c\u4e00\u7ec4\u60c5\u666f\u57fa\u4e8e\u4e00\u4e2a\u5305\u542b383\u4e2a\u53d8\u91cf\u548c1,528\u4e2a\u5173\u8054\u5173\u7cfb\u7684\u4e25\u8c28\u56e0\u679c\u6a21\u578b\u6784\u5efa\u2014\u2014\u8fd9\u662f\u4e00\u4e2a\u7528\u4e8e\u5e94\u5bf92040\u5e74\u524d\u5730\u7f18\u653f\u6cbb\u4e0d\u786e\u5b9a\u6027\u7684\u7ed3\u6784\u5316\u6846\u67b6\u3002 8\u79cd\u60c5\u666f 383\u4e2a\u6a21\u578b\u8282\u70b9 69+\u9875 2040\u5e74\u5c55\u671b \u67e5\u770b\u4ef7\u683c\u4e0e\u8ba2\u8d2d \u7d22\u53d6\u6837\u672c \u5c01\u9762 \u00a9 Jean-Dominique \u2026 <\/p>\n<p class=\"link-more\"><a href=\"https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/zh\/geopolitics-lithium-2040-eight-scenarios-upstream\/\" class=\"more-link\">\u7ee7\u7eed\u9605\u8bfb<span class=\"screen-reader-text\">\u300a2040\u5e74\u9502\u8d44\u6e90\u7684\u5730\u7f18\u653f\u6cbb\u2014\u2014\u4e0a\u6e38\u4f9b\u5e94\u94fe\u7684\u516b\u79cd\u60c5\u666f\u300b<\/span><\/a><\/p>","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"parent":0,"menu_order":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","template":"","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[1078,3247,2558],"class_list":["post-44152","page","type-page","status-publish","hentry","category-new-paradigm","category-scenarios-real-world-examples","category-climate-and-resources-crisis","entry"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v28.8 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>Geopolitics for Lithium 2040 - Eight Scenarios for the Upstream Supply Chain &#8226; The Red Team Analysis Society<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/zh\/\u5730\u7f18\u653f\u6cbb-\u9502-2040-\u516b\u79cd\u60c5\u666f-\u4e0a\u6e38\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"zh_CN\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Geopolitics for Lithium 2040 - Eight Scenarios for the Upstream Supply Chain &#8226; The Red Team Analysis Society\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"New Report \u00b7 June 2026 Geopolitics for Lithium 2040:Eight Scenarios for theUpstream Supply Chain The first scenario set built on a rigorous causal model of 383 variables and 1,528 relationships \u2014 a structured framework to navigate geopolitical uncertainty through 2040. 8Scenarios 383Model nodes 69+Pages 2040Horizon See pricing &amp; order Request a sample Cover \u00a9 Jean-Dominique &hellip; \u7ee7\u7eed\u9605\u8bfb\u201cGeopolitics for Lithium 2040 &#8211; Eight Scenarios for the Upstream Supply Chain\u201d\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:url\" content=\"https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/zh\/\u5730\u7f18\u653f\u6cbb-\u9502-2040-\u516b\u79cd\u60c5\u666f-\u4e0a\u6e38\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:site_name\" content=\"The Red Team Analysis Society\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:publisher\" content=\"https:\/\/www.facebook.com\/pages\/Red-Team-Analysis\/341280995886057\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:modified_time\" content=\"2026-09-28T09:57:10+00:00\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:image\" content=\"https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/06\/RTAS-Geopolitics-for-Lithium-2040.png\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:width\" content=\"1600\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:height\" content=\"900\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:type\" content=\"image\/png\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:card\" content=\"summary_large_image\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:image\" content=\"https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/06\/RTAS-Geopolitics-for-Lithium-2040.png\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:site\" content=\"@HLavoix\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:label1\" content=\"\u9884\u8ba1\u9605\u8bfb\u65f6\u95f4\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:data1\" content=\"6 \u5206\" \/>\n<script type=\"application\/ld+json\" class=\"yoast-schema-graph\">{\"@context\":\"https:\\\/\\\/schema.org\",\"@graph\":[{\"@type\":\"WebPage\",\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/redanalysis.org\\\/geopolitics-lithium-2040-eight-scenarios-upstream\\\/\",\"url\":\"https:\\\/\\\/redanalysis.org\\\/geopolitics-lithium-2040-eight-scenarios-upstream\\\/\",\"name\":\"Geopolitics for Lithium 2040 - Eight Scenarios for the Upstream Supply Chain &#8226; The Red Team Analysis Society\",\"isPartOf\":{\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/redanalysis.org\\\/#website\"},\"primaryImageOfPage\":{\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/redanalysis.org\\\/geopolitics-lithium-2040-eight-scenarios-upstream\\\/#primaryimage\"},\"image\":{\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/redanalysis.org\\\/geopolitics-lithium-2040-eight-scenarios-upstream\\\/#primaryimage\"},\"thumbnailUrl\":\"https:\\\/\\\/redanalysis.org\\\/wp-content\\\/uploads\\\/2026\\\/06\\\/Geopolitics-for-Lithium-2040-cover-scaled.png\",\"datePublished\":\"2026-06-17T08:01:10+00:00\",\"dateModified\":\"2026-09-28T09:57:10+00:00\",\"inLanguage\":\"zh-Hans\",\"potentialAction\":[{\"@type\":\"ReadAction\",\"target\":[\"https:\\\/\\\/redanalysis.org\\\/geopolitics-lithium-2040-eight-scenarios-upstream\\\/\"]}]},{\"@type\":\"ImageObject\",\"inLanguage\":\"zh-Hans\",\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/redanalysis.org\\\/geopolitics-lithium-2040-eight-scenarios-upstream\\\/#primaryimage\",\"url\":\"https:\\\/\\\/redanalysis.org\\\/wp-content\\\/uploads\\\/2026\\\/06\\\/Geopolitics-for-Lithium-2040-cover-scaled.png\",\"contentUrl\":\"https:\\\/\\\/redanalysis.org\\\/wp-content\\\/uploads\\\/2026\\\/06\\\/Geopolitics-for-Lithium-2040-cover-scaled.png\"},{\"@type\":\"WebSite\",\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/redanalysis.org\\\/#website\",\"url\":\"https:\\\/\\\/redanalysis.org\\\/\",\"name\":\"The Red Team Analysis Society\",\"description\":\"Strategic Foresight &amp; Early Warning \uff65 Political &amp; Geopolitical Risk \u00b7 Scenarios\",\"publisher\":{\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/redanalysis.org\\\/#organization\"},\"potentialAction\":[{\"@type\":\"SearchAction\",\"target\":{\"@type\":\"EntryPoint\",\"urlTemplate\":\"https:\\\/\\\/redanalysis.org\\\/?s={search_term_string}\"},\"query-input\":{\"@type\":\"PropertyValueSpecification\",\"valueRequired\":true,\"valueName\":\"search_term_string\"}}],\"inLanguage\":\"zh-Hans\"},{\"@type\":\"Organization\",\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/redanalysis.org\\\/#organization\",\"name\":\"The Red Team Analysis Society\",\"url\":\"https:\\\/\\\/redanalysis.org\\\/\",\"logo\":{\"@type\":\"ImageObject\",\"inLanguage\":\"zh-Hans\",\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/redanalysis.org\\\/#\\\/schema\\\/logo\\\/image\\\/\",\"url\":\"https:\\\/\\\/redanalysis.org\\\/wp-content\\\/uploads\\\/2017\\\/03\\\/logo-Sans-fond-interior-white-thick-circle-3-1-250.png\",\"contentUrl\":\"https:\\\/\\\/redanalysis.org\\\/wp-content\\\/uploads\\\/2017\\\/03\\\/logo-Sans-fond-interior-white-thick-circle-3-1-250.png\",\"width\":250,\"height\":250,\"caption\":\"The Red Team Analysis Society\"},\"image\":{\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/redanalysis.org\\\/#\\\/schema\\\/logo\\\/image\\\/\"},\"sameAs\":[\"https:\\\/\\\/www.facebook.com\\\/pages\\\/Red-Team-Analysis\\\/341280995886057\",\"https:\\\/\\\/x.com\\\/HLavoix\",\"https:\\\/\\\/www.instagram.com\\\/helenelavoix\\\/\",\"https:\\\/\\\/www.linkedin.com\\\/company\\\/5403964\\\/admin\\\/dashboard\\\/\"]}]}<\/script>\n<!-- \/ Yoast SEO plugin. -->","yoast_head_json":{"title":"\u300a2040\u5e74\u9502\u8d44\u6e90\u5730\u7f18\u653f\u6cbb\u2014\u2014\u4e0a\u6e38\u4f9b\u5e94\u94fe\u7684\u516b\u79cd\u60c5\u666f\u300b\u2022 The Red Team Analysis Society","robots":{"index":"index","follow":"follow","max-snippet":"max-snippet:-1","max-image-preview":"max-image-preview:large","max-video-preview":"max-video-preview:-1"},"canonical":"https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/zh\/\u5730\u7f18\u653f\u6cbb-\u9502-2040-\u516b\u79cd\u60c5\u666f-\u4e0a\u6e38\/","og_locale":"zh_CN","og_type":"article","og_title":"Geopolitics for Lithium 2040 - Eight Scenarios for the Upstream Supply Chain &#8226; The Red Team Analysis Society","og_description":"New Report \u00b7 June 2026 Geopolitics for Lithium 2040:Eight Scenarios for theUpstream Supply Chain The first scenario set built on a rigorous causal model of 383 variables and 1,528 relationships \u2014 a structured framework to navigate geopolitical uncertainty through 2040. 8Scenarios 383Model nodes 69+Pages 2040Horizon See pricing &amp; order Request a sample Cover \u00a9 Jean-Dominique &hellip; \u7ee7\u7eed\u9605\u8bfb\u201cGeopolitics for Lithium 2040 &#8211; Eight Scenarios for the Upstream Supply Chain\u201d","og_url":"https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/zh\/\u5730\u7f18\u653f\u6cbb-\u9502-2040-\u516b\u79cd\u60c5\u666f-\u4e0a\u6e38\/","og_site_name":"The Red Team Analysis Society","article_publisher":"https:\/\/www.facebook.com\/pages\/Red-Team-Analysis\/341280995886057","article_modified_time":"2026-09-28T09:57:10+00:00","og_image":[{"width":1600,"height":900,"url":"https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/06\/RTAS-Geopolitics-for-Lithium-2040.png","type":"image\/png"}],"twitter_card":"summary_large_image","twitter_image":"https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/06\/RTAS-Geopolitics-for-Lithium-2040.png","twitter_site":"@HLavoix","twitter_misc":{"\u9884\u8ba1\u9605\u8bfb\u65f6\u95f4":"6 \u5206"},"schema":{"@context":"https:\/\/schema.org","@graph":[{"@type":"WebPage","@id":"https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/geopolitics-lithium-2040-eight-scenarios-upstream\/","url":"https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/geopolitics-lithium-2040-eight-scenarios-upstream\/","name":"\u300a2040\u5e74\u9502\u8d44\u6e90\u5730\u7f18\u653f\u6cbb\u2014\u2014\u4e0a\u6e38\u4f9b\u5e94\u94fe\u7684\u516b\u79cd\u60c5\u666f\u300b\u2022 The Red Team Analysis Society","isPartOf":{"@id":"https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/#website"},"primaryImageOfPage":{"@id":"https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/geopolitics-lithium-2040-eight-scenarios-upstream\/#primaryimage"},"image":{"@id":"https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/geopolitics-lithium-2040-eight-scenarios-upstream\/#primaryimage"},"thumbnailUrl":"https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/06\/Geopolitics-for-Lithium-2040-cover-scaled.png","datePublished":"2026-06-17T08:01:10+00:00","dateModified":"2026-09-28T09:57:10+00:00","inLanguage":"zh-Hans","potentialAction":[{"@type":"ReadAction","target":["https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/geopolitics-lithium-2040-eight-scenarios-upstream\/"]}]},{"@type":"ImageObject","inLanguage":"zh-Hans","@id":"https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/geopolitics-lithium-2040-eight-scenarios-upstream\/#primaryimage","url":"https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/06\/Geopolitics-for-Lithium-2040-cover-scaled.png","contentUrl":"https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/06\/Geopolitics-for-Lithium-2040-cover-scaled.png"},{"@type":"WebSite","@id":"https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/#website","url":"https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/","name":"\u8fdc\u666f\u6d1e\u5bdf\u7814\u7a76\u6240","description":"\u6218\u7565\u524d\u77bb\u4e0e\u65e9\u671f\u9884\u8b66 \uff65 \u653f\u6cbb\u4e0e\u5730\u7f18\u653f\u6cbb\u98ce\u9669 \u00b7 \u60c5\u666f\u5206\u6790","publisher":{"@id":"https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/#organization"},"potentialAction":[{"@type":"SearchAction","target":{"@type":"EntryPoint","urlTemplate":"https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/?s={search_term_string}"},"query-input":{"@type":"PropertyValueSpecification","valueRequired":true,"valueName":"search_term_string"}}],"inLanguage":"zh-Hans"},{"@type":"Organization","@id":"https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/#organization","name":"\u8fdc\u666f\u6d1e\u5bdf\u7814\u7a76\u6240","url":"https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/","logo":{"@type":"ImageObject","inLanguage":"zh-Hans","@id":"https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/#\/schema\/logo\/image\/","url":"https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2017\/03\/logo-Sans-fond-interior-white-thick-circle-3-1-250.png","contentUrl":"https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2017\/03\/logo-Sans-fond-interior-white-thick-circle-3-1-250.png","width":250,"height":250,"caption":"The Red Team Analysis Society"},"image":{"@id":"https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/#\/schema\/logo\/image\/"},"sameAs":["https:\/\/www.facebook.com\/pages\/Red-Team-Analysis\/341280995886057","https:\/\/x.com\/HLavoix","https:\/\/www.instagram.com\/helenelavoix\/","https:\/\/www.linkedin.com\/company\/5403964\/admin\/dashboard\/"]}]}},"jetpack_sharing_enabled":true,"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/zh\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/pages\/44152","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/zh\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/pages"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/zh\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/page"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/zh\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/zh\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=44152"}],"version-history":[{"count":55,"href":"https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/zh\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/pages\/44152\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":45394,"href":"https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/zh\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/pages\/44152\/revisions\/45394"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/zh\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=44152"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/zh\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=44152"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}