{"id":7,"date":"2019-04-23T08:22:46","date_gmt":"2019-04-23T06:22:46","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/www.redanalysis.org\/?page_id=7"},"modified":"2026-10-23T01:23:19","modified_gmt":"2026-10-22T23:23:19","slug":"%e5%ae%b6","status":"publish","type":"page","link":"https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/zh\/","title":{"rendered":"\u5c06\u6218\u7565\u6027\u610f\u5916\u8f6c\u5316\u4e3a\u53ef\u884c\u7684\u51b3\u7b56"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<div class=\"wp-block-group alignwide\"><div class=\"wp-block-group__inner-container is-layout-flow wp-block-group-is-layout-flow\">\n<div class=\"wp-block-group alignwide textfutura\"><div class=\"wp-block-group__inner-container is-layout-flow wp-block-group-is-layout-flow\">\n<div class=\"wp-block-columns alignfull is-layout-flex wp-container-core-columns-is-layout-8f761849 wp-block-columns-is-layout-flex\">\n<div class=\"wp-block-column is-vertically-aligned-top is-layout-flow wp-block-column-is-layout-flow\" style=\"flex-basis:20%\"><\/div>\n\n\n\n<div class=\"wp-block-column is-layout-flow wp-block-column-is-layout-flow\" style=\"flex-basis:60%\">\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading has-text-color has-link-color wp-elements-1\" style=\"color:#c3a85b\"><strong>\u8fdc\u666f\u6d1e\u5bdf<\/strong> <br><strong>\u6218\u7565\u9884\u89c1\u4e0e\u65e9\u671f\u9884\u8b66<\/strong><\/h2>\n<\/div>\n\n\n\n<div class=\"wp-block-column is-vertically-aligned-top is-layout-flow wp-block-column-is-layout-flow\" style=\"flex-basis:20%\"><\/div>\n<\/div>\n\n\n\n<div class=\"wp-block-columns alignfull is-layout-flex wp-container-core-columns-is-layout-8f761849 wp-block-columns-is-layout-flex\" style=\"font-size:0.9em\">\n<div class=\"wp-block-column is-vertically-aligned-top is-layout-flow wp-block-column-is-layout-flow\" style=\"flex-basis:20%\"><div class=\"wp-block-image\">\n<figure class=\"aligncenter size-full is-resized\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"996\" height=\"996\" src=\"https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/12\/RTAS-CHINE-LOGO-ras-gold-PNG.png\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-42588\" style=\"width:250px;height:auto\" srcset=\"https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/12\/RTAS-CHINE-LOGO-ras-gold-PNG.png 996w, https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/12\/RTAS-CHINE-LOGO-ras-gold-PNG-300x300.png 300w, https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/12\/RTAS-CHINE-LOGO-ras-gold-PNG-941x941.png 941w, https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/12\/RTAS-CHINE-LOGO-ras-gold-PNG-768x768.png 768w, https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/12\/RTAS-CHINE-LOGO-ras-gold-PNG-12x12.png 12w, https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/12\/RTAS-CHINE-LOGO-ras-gold-PNG-250x250.png 250w, https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/12\/RTAS-CHINE-LOGO-ras-gold-PNG-100x100.png 100w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 996px) 100vw, 996px\" \/><\/figure>\n<\/div><\/div>\n\n\n\n<div class=\"wp-block-column is-layout-flow wp-block-column-is-layout-flow\" style=\"flex-basis:60%\">\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\"><strong>\u9884\u89c1\u529b<\/strong> (<strong>\u6838\u5fc3<\/strong>)<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\u5728\u4e0d\u786e\u5b9a\u6027\u4e2d\u5148\u884c\u8fa8\u8bc6\u5f31\u4fe1\u53f7\uff0c\u6784\u5efa\u53ef\u884c\u52a8\u7684\u672a\u6765\u8def\u5f84\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h4 class=\"wp-block-heading\"><strong>\u6d77\u4f26\u00b7\u5170\u535a\u58eb<\/strong> (<a href=\"https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/about-us\/the-team\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">Dr Hailun Lan \/ H\u00e9l\u00e8ne Lavoix<\/a>)<\/h4>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><strong>\u6218\u7565\u9884\u89c1\u987e\u95ee\uff5c\u590d\u6742\u4e16\u754c\u7684\u5bfc\u822a\u8005<\/strong><br>\u8fd1\u4e8c\u5341\u5e74\u6df1\u8015\u56fd\u5bb6\u4e0e\u56fd\u9645\u5b89\u5168\u8bae\u9898\uff0c\u4ee5\u7cfb\u7edf\u6027\u601d\u7ef4\u3001\u60c5\u666f\u63a8\u6f14\u4e0e\u5f31\u4fe1\u53f7\u5206\u6790\uff0c\u4e3a\u51b3\u7b56\u8005\u63d0\u4f9b\u72ec\u7acb\u3001\u4e25\u8c28\u3001\u53ef\u64cd\u4f5c\u7684\u524d\u77bb\u6027\u5224\u65ad\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<blockquote class=\"wp-block-quote is-layout-flow wp-block-quote-is-layout-flow\">\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><em>\u201c\u9884\u89c1\uff0c\u662f\u884c\u52a8\u7684\u8d77\u70b9\uff0c\u800c\u975e\u6c89\u601d\u7684\u7ec8\u70b9\u3002\u201d<\/em><\/p>\n<\/blockquote>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\"><strong>\u89c6\u89c9\u652f\u6301\uff08\u6309\u9700\u534f\u540c\uff09<\/strong><\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><em>\u5f53\u6218\u7565\u6d1e\u89c1\u9700\u8981\u66f4\u5f3a\u7684\u8ba4\u77e5\u7a7f\u900f\u529b\u65f6\uff0c\u6211\u4eec\u53ef\u534f\u540c\u89c6\u89c9\u6218\u7565\u5bb6\uff0c\u5c06\u590d\u6742\u601d\u60f3\u8f6c\u5316\u4e3a\u53ef\u611f\u3001\u53ef\u89e6\u3001\u53ef\u4f20\u64ad\u7684\u53d9\u4e8b\u7ed3\u6784\u3002<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n<h4 class=\"wp-block-heading\">\u2192 <em><strong>\u5170\u5148\u751f<\/strong> (<a href=\"https:\/\/jdlavoixcarli.com\/\">Jean-Dominique Lavoix-Carli<\/a>)\uff5c\u89c6\u89c9\u6218\u7565\u5bb6 \u00b7 \u8fdc\u666f\u6d1e\u5bdf\u827a\u672f\u987e\u95ee<\/em><\/h4>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><em>World Architect \u2014 \u4e13\u6ce8\u6218\u7565\u53d9\u4e8b\u7684\u89c6\u89c9\u5316\u6784\u5efa<\/em><\/p>\n<\/div>\n\n\n\n<div class=\"wp-block-column is-vertically-aligned-top is-layout-flow wp-block-column-is-layout-flow\" style=\"flex-basis:20%\"><\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div><\/div>\n\n\n\n<div class=\"wp-block-group alignwide textfutura\"><div class=\"wp-block-group__inner-container is-layout-flow wp-block-group-is-layout-flow\">\n<div class=\"wp-block-columns alignfull is-layout-flex wp-container-core-columns-is-layout-8f761849 wp-block-columns-is-layout-flex\">\n<div class=\"wp-block-column is-vertically-aligned-top is-layout-flow wp-block-column-is-layout-flow\" style=\"flex-basis:20%\"><\/div>\n\n\n\n<div class=\"wp-block-column is-layout-flow wp-block-column-is-layout-flow\" style=\"flex-basis:60%\">\n<hr class=\"wp-block-separator has-text-color has-alpha-channel-opacity has-background is-style-wide\" style=\"background-color:#2b2c4b;color:#2b2c4b\"\/>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"has-drop-cap wp-block-paragraph\" style=\"font-size:0.9em\">We live today in a world of accelerating strategic surprise \u2014 fraying supply chains, disappearing markets, resource competition turning to conflict, a world order where might is again right. Political and geopolitical uncertainty is no longer the exception; it is the baseline.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\" style=\"font-size:0.9em\">How can you <a href=\"https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/articles-research-and-publications\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">make sense<\/a> of this changing world? How can you anticipate what is coming, adapt in time, and turn surprise into constructive decisions rather than let crises develop?<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\" style=\"font-size:0.9em\">Specialised in international relations, geopolitical and political analysis for over 30 years, and in risk and <a href=\"https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/about-2\/concept-philosophy\/\">strategic foresight and early warning<\/a> for 20 years, we help you understand this world and take insightful and useful actions.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n\n\n\n<div class=\"wp-block-column is-layout-flow wp-block-column-is-layout-flow\" style=\"flex-basis:20%\"><\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div><\/div>\n<\/div><\/div>\n\n\n\n\n\n<div class=\"wp-block-group alignfull\"><div class=\"wp-block-group__inner-container is-layout-flow wp-block-group-is-layout-flow\">\n<div class=\"wp-block-group alignwide\"><div class=\"wp-block-group__inner-container is-layout-flow wp-block-group-is-layout-flow\">\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading has-text-align-center alignwide\" id=\"our-expertise\">Our Expertise<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<div class=\"wp-block-columns alignwide is-layout-flex wp-container-core-columns-is-layout-8f761849 wp-block-columns-is-layout-flex\">\n<div class=\"wp-block-column is-layout-flow wp-block-column-is-layout-flow\" style=\"flex-basis:33.33%\"><div class=\"wp-block-image is-resized is-style-rounded\">\n<figure class=\"aligncenter size-full\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"256\" height=\"256\" src=\"https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/02\/Alternative_chessboard-edited.jpg\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-32683\" style=\"aspect-ratio:1;object-fit:cover;width:200px;height:auto\" srcset=\"https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/02\/Alternative_chessboard-edited.jpg 256w, https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/02\/Alternative_chessboard-edited-12x12.jpg 12w, https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/02\/Alternative_chessboard-edited-250x250.jpg 250w, https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/02\/Alternative_chessboard-edited-100x100.jpg 100w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 256px) 100vw, 256px\" \/><\/figure>\n<\/div>\n\n\n<p class=\"has-text-align-center subtitlehome wp-block-paragraph\">An understanding of geopolitics grounded in knowledge, science and experience<\/p>\n\n\n\n<div style=\"height:10px\" aria-hidden=\"true\" class=\"wp-block-spacer\"><\/div>\n<\/div>\n\n\n\n<div class=\"wp-block-column is-layout-flow wp-block-column-is-layout-flow\" style=\"flex-basis:33.33%\"><div class=\"wp-block-image is-resized is-style-rounded\">\n<figure class=\"aligncenter size-full\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"479\" height=\"479\" src=\"https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/02\/fractal-methodo.jpg\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-32668\" style=\"object-fit:cover;width:200px;height:200px\" srcset=\"https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/02\/fractal-methodo.jpg 479w, https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/02\/fractal-methodo-300x300.jpg 300w, https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/02\/fractal-methodo-12x12.jpg 12w, https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/02\/fractal-methodo-250x250.jpg 250w, https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/02\/fractal-methodo-100x100.jpg 100w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 479px) 100vw, 479px\" \/><\/figure>\n<\/div>\n\n\n<p class=\"has-text-align-center subtitlehome wp-block-paragraph\">A strong methodology developed over years of practical experience yet obeying to scientific rules and adapted to complex issues<\/p>\n\n\n\n<div style=\"height:10px\" aria-hidden=\"true\" class=\"wp-block-spacer\"><\/div>\n<\/div>\n\n\n\n<div class=\"wp-block-column is-layout-flow wp-block-column-is-layout-flow\" style=\"flex-basis:33.33%\"><div class=\"wp-block-image is-resized is-style-rounded\">\n<figure class=\"aligncenter size-full\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"200\" height=\"199\" src=\"https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/02\/Imagination.jpg\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-32673\" style=\"aspect-ratio:1;object-fit:cover;width:200px;height:auto\" srcset=\"https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/02\/Imagination.jpg 200w, https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/02\/Imagination-12x12.jpg 12w, https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/02\/Imagination-100x100.jpg 100w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 200px) 100vw, 200px\" \/><\/figure>\n<\/div>\n\n\n<p class=\"has-text-align-center subtitlehome wp-block-paragraph\">Considering truly the future and not only the past by integrating also imagination, system-thinking and thinking out of the box<\/p>\n\n\n\n<div style=\"height:10px\" aria-hidden=\"true\" class=\"wp-block-spacer\"><\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div><\/div>\n\n\n\n\n\n<div class=\"wp-block-group alignwide\"><div class=\"wp-block-group__inner-container is-layout-flow wp-block-group-is-layout-flow\">\n<hr class=\"wp-block-separator has-text-color has-alpha-channel-opacity has-background is-style-wide\" style=\"background-color:#c3a85b;color:#c3a85b\"\/>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading has-text-align-center\">\u00ab \u6211\u4eec\u7684\u89e3\u51b3\u65b9\u6848 \uff5c Solutions Strat\u00e9giques \u00bb<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<div class=\"wp-block-columns alignfull is-layout-flex wp-container-core-columns-is-layout-8f761849 wp-block-columns-is-layout-flex\">\n<div class=\"wp-block-column is-layout-flow wp-block-column-is-layout-flow\" style=\"flex-basis:20%\"><\/div>\n\n\n\n<div class=\"wp-block-column is-layout-flow wp-block-column-is-layout-flow\" style=\"flex-basis:60%\">\n<blockquote class=\"wp-block-quote is-layout-flow wp-block-quote-is-layout-flow\">\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><strong>\u6211\u4eec\u63d0\u4f9b\u4e09\u5c42\u5d4c\u5957\u5f0f\u89e3\u51b3\u65b9\u6848\uff0c\u52a9\u60a8\u5728\u590d\u6742\u4e16\u754c\u4e2d\u6784\u5efa\u81ea\u4e3b\u6218\u7565\u80fd\u529b\uff1a<\/strong><br><strong>\u4ece\u8ba4\u77e5\u5347\u7ea7 \u2192 \u80fd\u529b\u5efa\u8bbe \u2192 \u6301\u7eed\u652f\u6301<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/blockquote>\n\n\n\n<div class=\"wp-block-group alignwide\"><div class=\"wp-block-group__inner-container is-layout-constrained wp-block-group-is-layout-constrained\">\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">1.<strong> \u8ba4\u77e5\u5347\u7ea7 \u00b7 \u9ad8\u9636\u57f9\u8bad\u4e0e\u77e5\u8bc6\u4f20\u9012<\/strong><\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><em>(Cognitive Upgrade \u2014 Formation &amp; Knowledge Transfer)<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n<h4 class=\"wp-block-heading\"><a href=\"https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/the-blue-lab-advanced-strategic-model-analysis-for-foresight-and-warning\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">Blue Lab<\/a>\uff5c<a href=\"https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/red-team-strategic-lab-training-coaching\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">Red Lab<\/a><\/h4>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><em>\u7ebf\u4e0b\u7cbe\u7814\uff5c\u5c0f\u73ed\u5b9a\u5236\uff5c\u535a\u58eb\u4eb2\u6388<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n<h4 class=\"wp-block-heading\">\u81ea\u4e3b\u8fdb\u9636\u8bfe\u7a0b\uff5cSelf-Paced Masterclasses<\/h4>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><em>\u7ed3\u6784\u5316\u5b66\u4e60\u8def\u5f84 \u00b7 \u535a\u58eb\u7ea7\u5185\u5bb9 \u00b7 \u9879\u76ee\u5f0f\u5b9e\u8df5<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\u4e24\u95e8\u9ad8\u5bc6\u5ea6\u3001\u65b9\u6cd5\u8bba\u9a71\u52a8\u7684\u5f55\u64ad\u8bfe\u7a0b\uff0c\u4e13\u4e3a\u5e0c\u671b<strong>\u7cfb\u7edf\u638c\u63e1\u6218\u7565\u9884\u89c1\u6838\u5fc3\u80fd\u529b<\/strong>\u7684\u4e13\u4e1a\u4eba\u58eb\u8bbe\u8ba1\u3002\u8bfe\u7a0b\u91c7\u7528\u300c\u7406\u8bba \u2192 \u5de5\u5177 \u2192 \u5e94\u7528\u300d\u4e09\u6bb5\u5f0f\u7ed3\u6784\uff0c\u6bcf\u5355\u5143\u542b\u89c6\u9891\u8bb2\u6388\u3001\u9605\u8bfb\u6750\u6599\u3001\u5b9e\u64cd\u7ec3\u4e60\u4e0e\u81ea\u6d4b\uff0c\u652f\u6301\u60a8<strong>\u6309\u81ea\u8eab\u8282\u594f\u5b8c\u6210\u4e00\u4e2a\u5b8c\u6574\u6218\u7565\u9879\u76ee<\/strong>\uff08\u5982\u6784\u5efa\u5206\u6790\u6a21\u578b\u6216\u60c5\u666f\u6811\uff09\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><strong><a href=\"https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/product\/online-course-geopolitical-risks-and-crisis-anticipation-analytical-model\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">\u300a\u4ece\u6d41\u7a0b\u5230\u6a21\u578b\u300b<\/a><\/strong>\uff5c12 \u5468\uff5c\u6784\u5efa\u56e0\u679c\u77e5\u8bc6\u56fe\u8c31\uff08CKG\uff09\uff0c\u638c\u63e1\u5f31\u4fe1\u53f7\u2192\u7ed3\u6784\u2192\u9884\u8b66\u5168\u6d41\u7a0b<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><strong><a href=\"https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/product\/online-course-geopolitical-risks-crisis-anticipation-scenario-building\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">\u300a\u4ece\u6a21\u578b\u5230\u60c5\u666f\u300b<\/a><\/strong>\uff5c14 \u5468\uff5c\u5f00\u53d1\u53ef\u884c\u52a8\u60c5\u666f\u6811\uff0c\u5e94\u5bf9\u9ed1\u5929\u9e45\u4e0e\u6781\u7aef\u4e0d\u786e\u5b9a\u6027<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><strong>\u542b\u8ba4\u8bc1\u8bc1\u4e66<\/strong>\uff5c<strong>\u53ef\u9009\u5347\u7ea7\uff1a\u535a\u58eb\u7ea7\u4e13\u5bb6\u6df1\u5ea6\u966a\u8dd1<\/strong>\uff081\u5bf91\u6216\u5c0f\u73ed\uff09\u2192 <a href=\"https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/product\/strategic-foresight-early-warning-live-tutoring-online-courses\/\">\u4e86\u89e3\u66f4\u591a<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><strong>\u5b9a\u5236\u9ad8\u7ba1\u8bb2\u5ea7\u4e0e\u95ed\u95e8\u7814\u8ba8\u4f1a<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">2. \u80fd\u529b\u5efa\u8bbe \u00b7 \u4e13\u5c5e\u7814\u7a76\u4e0e\u6218\u7565\u54a8\u8be2<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><em>(Capacity Building \u2014 Research &amp; Advisory)<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\u4e3a\u60a8\u5b9a\u5236\u6218\u7565\u80fd\u529b\u6784\u5efa\u8def\u5f84\uff1a<\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>\u5b9a\u5236\u7814\u7a76\u62a5\u544a\uff5c\u6df1\u5ea6\u5206\u6790\u5730\u7f18\u653f\u6cbb\u3001\u5b89\u5168\u3001\u65b0\u5174\u6280\u672f\u8bae\u9898<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>\u57fa\u4e8e\u60a8\u7684\u8bae\u9898\uff0c\u6784\u5efa\u4e13\u5c5e\u56e0\u679c\u77e5\u8bc6\u56fe\u8c31\uff08Causal Knowledge Graph, CKG)<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>\u9884\u8b66\u7cfb\u7edf\u5171\u5efa\uff5c\u4ece\u5f31\u4fe1\u53f7\u76d1\u6d4b\u5230\u53ef\u884c\u52a8\u9884\u8b66\u7b80\u62a5<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>\u60c5\u666f\u89c4\u5212\u652f\u6301\uff5c\u5f00\u53d1\u591a\u8def\u5f84\u60c5\u666f\u6811\uff0c\u5e94\u5bf9\u6781\u7aef\u4e0d\u786e\u5b9a\u6027<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>\u80fd\u529b\u79fb\u4ea4\uff5c\u57f9\u8bad\u56e2\u961f\u72ec\u7acb\u8fd0\u884c\u6a21\u578b\u4e0e\u66f4\u65b0\u5206\u6790<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\u2192 \u6210\u679c\u793a\u4f8b\uff1a\u94c0\u4f9b\u5e94\u94fe\u9884\u8b66\u7cfb\u7edf\uff5c\u4e2d\u7f8e\u79d1\u6280\u7ade\u5408\u60c5\u666f\u96c6<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">3. \u6301\u7eed\u652f\u6301 \u00b7 \u667a\u5e93\u8d44\u6e90\u4e0e\u793e\u7fa4\u8d4b\u80fd<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><em>Ongoing Support \u2014 Strategic Knowledge &amp; Dynamic Intelligence<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\u4f1a\u5458\u77e5\u8bc6\u5e93\uff5c600+ \u6df1\u5ea6\u6587\u7ae0 \u00b7 \u6309\u8bae\u9898\/\u65f6\u95f4\/\u6a21\u578b\u53ef\u68c0\u7d22<br>\u60a8\u7684\u5916\u90e8\u6218\u7565\u8bb0\u5fc6\u4f53\uff0c\u52a9\u60a8\u5728\u4fe1\u606f\u8fc7\u8f7d\u65f6\u4ee3\u4fdd\u6301\u8ba4\u77e5\u4f18\u52bf\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\u5f31\u4fe1\u53f7\u7b80\u62a5\uff5c\u6708\u5ea6\u63a8\u9001\uff1a\u65b0\u5174\u5173\u8054\u63d0\u793a<\/p>\n<\/div><\/div>\n<\/div>\n\n\n\n<div class=\"wp-block-column is-layout-flow wp-block-column-is-layout-flow\" style=\"flex-basis:20%\"><\/div>\n<\/div>\n\n\n\n<hr class=\"wp-block-separator has-text-color has-alpha-channel-opacity has-background is-style-wide\" style=\"background-color:#2b2c4b;color:#2b2c4b\"\/>\n<\/div><\/div>\n<\/div><\/div>\n\n\n\n<div class=\"wp-block-group alignfull\"><div class=\"wp-block-group__inner-container is-layout-flow wp-block-group-is-layout-flow\">\n\n\n<div style=\"height:10px\" aria-hidden=\"true\" class=\"wp-block-spacer\"><\/div>\n\n\n\n\n\n<div class=\"wp-block-group alignwide\"><div class=\"wp-block-group__inner-container is-layout-flow wp-block-group-is-layout-flow\">\n<div class=\"wp-block-columns alignwide is-layout-flex wp-container-core-columns-is-layout-8f761849 wp-block-columns-is-layout-flex\">\n<div class=\"wp-block-column is-layout-flow wp-block-column-is-layout-flow\" style=\"flex-basis:20%\"><\/div>\n\n\n\n<div class=\"wp-block-column is-layout-flow wp-block-column-is-layout-flow\" style=\"flex-basis:60%\">\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading has-text-align-center\" id=\"think-tank-and-publicationsmore-than-a-website-a-path-to-handle-geopolitics-and-uncertainty\">\u8fdc\u666f\u6d1e\u5bdf \u00b7 \u4e09\u5c42\u77e5\u8bc6\u4f53\u7cfb<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<blockquote class=\"wp-block-quote is-layout-flow wp-block-quote-is-layout-flow\">\n<p class=\"has-text-align-left wp-block-paragraph\"><em><strong>\u975e\u4fe1\u606f\u5806\u780c\uff0c\u800c\u662f\u65b9\u6cd5 \u2192 \u5b9e\u8bc1 \u2192 \u524d\u77bb\u7684\u5b8c\u6574\u95ed\u73af<\/strong><\/em><\/p>\n<\/blockquote>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">\u65b9\u6cd5\u8bba\u57fa\u77f3<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><em>\u6218\u7565\u9884\u89c1\u4e0e\u65e9\u671f\u9884\u8b66\u7684\u65b9\u6cd5\u4f53\u7cfb<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\u4ece\u5f31\u4fe1\u53f7\u8bc6\u522b\u3001\u56e0\u679c\u77e5\u8bc6\u56fe\u8c31\uff08CKG\uff09\u5230\u60c5\u666f\u6811\u6784\u5efa\u2014\u2014\u6211\u4eec\u516c\u5f00\u5206\u4eab\u6838\u5fc3\u65b9\u6cd5\u8bba\uff0c\u52a9\u60a8\u638c\u63e1\u201c\u5982\u4f55\u601d\u8003\u201d\uff0c\u800c\u4e0d\u4ec5\u662f\u201c\u601d\u8003\u4ec0\u4e48\u201d\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\u2192 <a href=\"https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/articles-research-and-publications\/methodology-strategic-foresight-early-warning-for-geopolitics\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">\u63a2\u7d22\u65b9\u6cd5\u8bba\u4f53\u7cfb<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">\u8bae\u9898\u5b9e\u8bc1<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><em>\u5730\u7f18\u653f\u6cbb\u4e0e\u5168\u7403\u98ce\u9669\u7684\u6df1\u5ea6\u7814\u5224<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">600+ \u5206\u6790\u8986\u76d6\u94c0\u5b89\u5168\u3001AI\u6218\u4e89\u3001\u91cf\u5b50\u6cbb\u7406\u3001\u4e2d\u7f8e\u7ade\u5408\u7b49\u5173\u952e\u8bae\u9898\u2014\u2014\u7531\u4e13\u5bb6\u56e2\u961f\u57fa\u4e8e\u7edf\u4e00\u65b9\u6cd5\u6301\u7eed\u8ffd\u8e2a\uff0c\u786e\u4fdd\u6df1\u5ea6\u4e0e\u8fde\u8d2f\u6027\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\u2192 <a href=\"https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/articles-research-and-publications\/issues-and-stakes-in-geopolitics\/\">\u6d4f\u89c8\u8bae\u9898\u4e0e\u7814\u5224<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">\u6218\u7565\u53d9\u4e8b<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><em>\u53ef\u884c\u52a8\u7684\u672a\u6765\u56fe\u666f<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\u300a<a href=\"https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/portal-to-the-chronicles-of-everstate\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">\u6c38\u6052\u56fd\u7eaa\u4e8b<\/a>\u300b\u300a<a href=\"https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/portal-strategic-foresight-warning-analysis-libya\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">\u5229\u6bd4\u4e9a\u524d\u77bb<\/a>\u300b\u7b49\u539f\u521b\u60c5\u666f\u96c6\u2014\u2014\u5c06\u62bd\u8c61\u6a21\u578b\u8f6c\u5316\u4e3a\u5177\u8c61\u8def\u5f84\uff0c\u52a9\u51b3\u7b56\u8005\u5728\u4e0d\u786e\u5b9a\u6027\u4e2d\u201c\u770b\u89c1\u201d\u672a\u6765\u3002<br>\u2192 <a href=\"https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/category\/how-to-foresee-and-warn\/creating-scenarios-for-the-future\/scenarios-real-world-examples\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">\u9605\u8bfb\u6218\u7565\u53d9\u4e8b<\/a><\/p>\n<\/div>\n\n\n\n<div class=\"wp-block-column is-layout-flow wp-block-column-is-layout-flow\" style=\"flex-basis:20%\"><\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div><\/div>\n\n\n<\/div><\/div>\n\n\n\n<div style=\"height:44px\" aria-hidden=\"true\" class=\"wp-block-spacer\"><\/div>\n\n\n\n<div class=\"wp-block-group alignwide\"><div class=\"wp-block-group__inner-container is-layout-flow wp-block-group-is-layout-flow\">\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading has-text-align-center alignwide\" id=\"latest\">Our latest articles<\/h3>\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-latest-posts__list is-grid columns-3 alignwide wp-block-latest-posts is-layout-grid wp-container-core-latest-posts-is-layout-0fed8f92 wp-block-latest-posts-is-layout-grid\"><li><div class=\"wp-block-latest-posts__featured-image aligncenter\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"640\" height=\"384\" src=\"https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/11\/RTAS-RedKing.jpg\" class=\"attachment-large size-large wp-post-image\" alt=\"Isometric view of multilayer chessboard symbolising a complex global risk environment with chessboard pieces for various experts exposing their methods and a Red King representing the Red Team Analysis Society methodology and contribution as grand temoin to AMRAE 50 Anniversary Atoit Risk Manager issue\" style=\"max-width:250px;max-height:235px;\" srcset=\"https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/11\/RTAS-RedKing.jpg 1568w, https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/11\/RTAS-RedKing-500x300.jpg 500w, https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/11\/RTAS-RedKing-250x150.jpg 250w, https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/11\/RTAS-RedKing-768x461.jpg 768w, https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/11\/RTAS-RedKing-1536x922.jpg 1536w, https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/11\/RTAS-RedKing-18x12.jpg 18w, https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/11\/RTAS-RedKing-1320x792.jpg 1320w, https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/11\/RTAS-RedKing-1038x623.jpg 1038w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 34.9rem) calc(100vw - 2rem), (max-width: 53rem) calc(8 * (100vw \/ 12)), (min-width: 53rem) calc(6 * (100vw \/ 12)), 100vw\" \/><\/div><a class=\"wp-block-latest-posts__post-title\" href=\"https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/zh\/2026\/11\/10\/rtas-contribution-amrae-50-atout-risk-manager\/\">RTAS Contribution to AMRAE\u2019s 50th Landmark Edition of Atout Risk Manager<\/a><div class=\"wp-block-latest-posts__post-excerpt\">(Art direction and design; illustration created with AI: Jean-Dominique Lavoix-Carli) We are pleased to share Dr H\u00e9l\u00e8ne Lavoix\u2019s latest contribution to Atout Risk Manager (Issue 50, Autumn 2026), the official quarterly journal of AMRAE (Association pour le Management des Risques et des Assurances de l&#8217;Entreprise). For this landmark 50th edition, the editorial board chose to &hellip; <p class=\"link-more\"><a href=\"https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/zh\/2026\/11\/10\/rtas-contribution-amrae-50-atout-risk-manager\/\" class=\"more-link\">\u7ee7\u7eed\u9605\u8bfb<span class=\"screen-reader-text\">\u201cRTAS Contribution to AMRAE\u2019s 50th Landmark Edition of Atout Risk Manager\u201d<\/span><\/a><\/p><\/div><\/li>\n<li><div class=\"wp-block-latest-posts__featured-image aligncenter\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"640\" height=\"360\" src=\"https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/10\/Broadcast-Map-of-Yemen-in-Studio-1568x882.png\" class=\"attachment-large size-large wp-post-image\" alt=\"\" style=\"max-width:250px;max-height:235px;\" srcset=\"https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/10\/Broadcast-Map-of-Yemen-in-Studio-1568x882.png 1568w, https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/10\/Broadcast-Map-of-Yemen-in-Studio-500x281.png 500w, https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/10\/Broadcast-Map-of-Yemen-in-Studio-768x432.png 768w, https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/10\/Broadcast-Map-of-Yemen-in-Studio-1536x864.png 1536w, https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/10\/Broadcast-Map-of-Yemen-in-Studio-18x10.png 18w, https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/10\/Broadcast-Map-of-Yemen-in-Studio-1320x743.png 1320w, https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/10\/Broadcast-Map-of-Yemen-in-Studio-250x141.png 250w, https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/10\/Broadcast-Map-of-Yemen-in-Studio-1038x584.png 1038w, https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/10\/Broadcast-Map-of-Yemen-in-Studio.png 1672w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 34.9rem) calc(100vw - 2rem), (max-width: 53rem) calc(8 * (100vw \/ 12)), (min-width: 53rem) calc(6 * (100vw \/ 12)), 100vw\" \/><\/div><a class=\"wp-block-latest-posts__post-title\" href=\"https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/zh\/2026\/10\/16\/rtas-expertise-italian-television-channel-la7\/\">RTAS Expertise Highlighted on Italian Television Channel LA7<\/a><div class=\"wp-block-latest-posts__post-excerpt\">(Art direction and design; illustration created with AI: Jean-Dominique Lavoix-Carli) We are pleased to share that The Red Team Analysis Society\u2019s latest strategic insights have been featured on the prominent Italian current affairs program Piazzapulita, broadcast on LA7. On 15 October 2026, Piazzapulita explored the growing threats to maritime security resulting from the military escalation &hellip; <p class=\"link-more\"><a href=\"https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/zh\/2026\/10\/16\/rtas-expertise-italian-television-channel-la7\/\" class=\"more-link\">\u7ee7\u7eed\u9605\u8bfb<span class=\"screen-reader-text\">\u201cRTAS Expertise Highlighted on Italian Television Channel LA7\u201d<\/span><\/a><\/p><\/div><\/li>\n<li><div class=\"wp-block-latest-posts__featured-image aligncenter\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"640\" height=\"384\" src=\"https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/10\/Houthis-Mandeb.jpg\" class=\"attachment-large size-large wp-post-image\" alt=\"Featured image of the article &quot;The Houthis, Bab el-Mandeb, and Maritime Transport&quot; by Dr H\u00e9l\u00e8ne Lavoix for RTAS - Image by Jean-Dominique Lavoix-Carli\" style=\"max-width:250px;max-height:235px;\" srcset=\"https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/10\/Houthis-Mandeb.jpg 1568w, https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/10\/Houthis-Mandeb-500x300.jpg 500w, https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/10\/Houthis-Mandeb-250x150.jpg 250w, https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/10\/Houthis-Mandeb-768x461.jpg 768w, https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/10\/Houthis-Mandeb-1536x922.jpg 1536w, https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/10\/Houthis-Mandeb-18x12.jpg 18w, https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/10\/Houthis-Mandeb-1320x792.jpg 1320w, https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/10\/Houthis-Mandeb-1038x623.jpg 1038w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 34.9rem) calc(100vw - 2rem), (max-width: 53rem) calc(8 * (100vw \/ 12)), (min-width: 53rem) calc(6 * (100vw \/ 12)), 100vw\" \/><\/div><a class=\"wp-block-latest-posts__post-title\" href=\"https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/zh\/2026\/10\/08\/houthis-bab-el-mandeb-maritime-transport\/\">The Houthis, Bab el-Mandeb, and Maritime Transport<\/a><div class=\"wp-block-latest-posts__post-excerpt\">(Art direction and design; illustration created with AI: Jean-Dominique Lavoix-Carli) Fighting rages in Yemen, as the strategic battle for control over Bab el-Mandeb, the West Coast, and its mountainous defense line intensifies. Whatever the current battlefield dynamics, a profound shift occurred in September 2026. On 10 September, the Houthis seized the port city of Mocha, &hellip; <p class=\"link-more\"><a href=\"https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/zh\/2026\/10\/08\/houthis-bab-el-mandeb-maritime-transport\/\" class=\"more-link\">\u7ee7\u7eed\u9605\u8bfb<span class=\"screen-reader-text\">\u201cThe Houthis, Bab el-Mandeb, and Maritime Transport\u201d<\/span><\/a><\/p><\/div><\/li>\n<\/ul><\/div><\/div>\n\n\n\n<div class=\"wp-block-group alignwide\"><div class=\"wp-block-group__inner-container is-layout-flow wp-block-group-is-layout-flow\">\n\n\n<hr class=\"wp-block-separator has-text-color has-alpha-channel-opacity has-background alignfull is-style-wide\" style=\"background-color:#2b2c4b;color:#2b2c4b\"\/>\n\n\n\n<div class=\"wp-block-group alignfull\"><div class=\"wp-block-group__inner-container is-layout-flow wp-block-group-is-layout-flow\">\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading has-text-align-center\" id=\"some-customers-and-references\">Selected Collaborations<\/h2>\n<\/div><\/div>\n\n\n\n<div class=\"wp-block-columns alignwide is-layout-flex wp-container-core-columns-is-layout-8f761849 wp-block-columns-is-layout-flex\">\n<div class=\"wp-block-column is-layout-flow wp-block-column-is-layout-flow\" style=\"flex-basis:20%\"><\/div>\n\n\n\n<div class=\"wp-block-column is-layout-flow wp-block-column-is-layout-flow\" style=\"flex-basis:60%\">\n<p class=\"textfutura wp-block-paragraph\" style=\"font-size:0.9em\">Trust and discretion are at the core of our engagements. For most projects \u2014 especially those conducted with public institutions, international organisations, and research bodies \u2014 the substance of the work remains confidential, and outputs are not disclosed.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"textfutura wp-block-paragraph\" style=\"font-size:0.9em\">Below are select organisations with whom we have collaborated on non-confidential or publicly acknowledged projects. Their names are shared <strong>strictly for factual reference<\/strong>, without implying endorsement, ongoing partnership, or disclosure of any confidential material.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"textfutura wp-block-paragraph\" style=\"font-size:0.9em\">All references respect professional confidentiality obligations and contractual boundaries.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n\n\n\n<div class=\"wp-block-column is-layout-flow wp-block-column-is-layout-flow\" style=\"flex-basis:20%\"><\/div>\n<\/div>\n\n\n\n<div class=\"wp-block-group alignfull\"><div class=\"wp-block-group__inner-container is-layout-flow wp-block-group-is-layout-flow\">\n<p class=\"has-text-align-center textfutura has-dark-gray-color has-text-color has-link-color wp-elements-5 wp-block-paragraph\">HEART LEADERSHIP UNIVERSITY <span style=\"color:#ce0022;\">\uff65<\/span> CIVIPOL <span style=\"color:#ce0022;\">\uff65<\/span> EXPERTISE FRANCE <span style=\"color:#ce0022;\">\uff65<\/span> THE KINGDOM OF JORDAN <span style=\"color:#ce0022;\">\uff65<\/span> THE TUNISIAN REPUBLIC <span style=\"color:#ce0022;\">\uff65<\/span> ESFSI <span style=\"color:#ce0022;\">\uff65<\/span> EUROPEAN COMMISSION (PROGRAMS COUNTER-TERRORISM AND PREVENTION OF RADICALISATION) <span style=\"color:#ce0022;\">\uff65\uff65<\/span> EESTI MALU INSTITUUT <span style=\"color:#ce0022;\">\uff65<\/span> ALTERRE BOURGOGNE-FRANCHE-COMTE <span style=\"color:#ce0022;\">\uff65<\/span> RESOCLUB <span style=\"color:#ce0022;\">\uff65<\/span> PJ &#8211; SCRC &#8211; ONSTS \uff65 BPI FRANCE <span style=\"color:#ce0022;\">\uff65<\/span> NATO INNOVATION CENTER <span style=\"color:#ce0022;\">\uff65<\/span> OECD &#8211; SWISS CHANCELLERY <span style=\"color:#ce0022;\">\uff65<\/span> ARF &#8211; EEAS <span style=\"color:#ce0022;\">\uff65<\/span> TUIC <span style=\"color:#ce0022;\">\uff65<\/span> EUROPEAN COMMISSION &#8211; LEAGUE OF ARAB STATE LIAISON OFFICE (EC-LASLO) <span style=\"color:#ce0022;\">\uff65<\/span> LIFE DEFENSE NATURE <span style=\"color:#ce0022;\">\uff65<\/span> SCPO-PSIA <span style=\"color:#ce0022;\">\uff65<\/span> ANSSI <span style=\"color:#ce0022;\">\uff65<\/span> WEF <span style=\"color:#ce0022;\">\uff65<\/span> NORDIS <span style=\"color:#ce0022;\">\uff65<\/span> GCSP <span style=\"color:#ce0022;\">\uff65<\/span> AXA FUND FOR RESEARCH AND IFRI <span style=\"color:#ce0022;\">\uff65<\/span> LUTHER COLLEGE <span style=\"color:#ce0022;\">\uff65<\/span><\/p>\n<\/div><\/div>\n\n\n\n\n\n<hr class=\"wp-block-separator has-text-color has-alpha-channel-opacity has-background alignfull is-style-wide\" style=\"background-color:#2b2c4b;color:#2b2c4b\"\/>\n<\/div><\/div>\n\n\n\n<div class=\"wp-block-group alignwide\"><div class=\"wp-block-group__inner-container is-layout-flow wp-block-group-is-layout-flow\">\n<div class=\"wp-block-group alignfull\"><div class=\"wp-block-group__inner-container is-layout-flow wp-block-group-is-layout-flow\">  \n  \n  <div class=\"\n    mailpoet_form_popup_overlay\n      \"><\/div>\n  <div\n    id=\"mailpoet_form_9\"\n    class=\"\n      mailpoet_form\n      mailpoet_form_html\n      mailpoet_form_position_\n      mailpoet_form_animation_\n    \"\n      >\n\n    <style type=\"text\/css\">\n     #mailpoet_form_9 .mailpoet_form {  }\n#mailpoet_form_9 form { margin-bottom: 0; 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