{"id":12423,"date":"2016-06-20T10:11:03","date_gmt":"2016-06-20T08:11:03","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.redanalysis.org\/?p=12423"},"modified":"2021-10-08T12:45:52","modified_gmt":"2021-10-08T10:45:52","slug":"%e6%9c%aa%e6%9d%a5-%e5%88%a9%e6%af%94%e4%ba%9a-sc-2-2-1-%e5%88%a9%e6%af%94%e4%ba%9a-%e5%86%85%e6%88%98-%e6%ac%a7%e6%b4%b2-%e9%98%bf%e5%b0%94%e5%8f%8a%e5%88%a9%e4%ba%9a-%e5%b0%bc%e6%97%a5%e5%b0%94","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/zh\/2016\/06\/20\/scenarios-future-libya-sc-2-2-1-libyan-civil-war-spills-europe-algeria-niger\/","title":{"rendered":"\u5229\u6bd4\u4e9a\u6218\u4e89\u8513\u5ef6\u5230\u6b27\u6d32\u3001\u963f\u5c14\u53ca\u5229\u4e9a\u548c\u5c3c\u65e5\u5c14 - Sc 2.2 (1) - \u5229\u6bd4\u4e9a\u672a\u6765\u7684\u60c5\u666f"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>\u672c\u6587\u662f\u6211\u4eec\u7cfb\u5217\u6587\u7ae0\u4e2d\u7684\u7b2c\u4e00\u7bc7\uff0c\u91cd\u70b9\u63cf\u8ff0\u4e86\u5229\u6bd4\u4e9a\u6218\u4e89\u53ef\u80fd\u4ea7\u751f\u7684\u4e00\u7cfb\u5217\u6ea2\u51fa\u6548\u5e94\u7684\u60c5\u666f\u3002\u5728\u4e0a\u4e00\u7bc7\u6587\u7ae0\u4e2d\uff0c\u6211\u4eec\u603b\u7ed3\u4e86\u5728\u56e2\u7ed3\u653f\u5e9c\u56db\u5206\u4e94\u88c2\u7684\u60c5\u51b5\u4e0b\u56fd\u9645\u5e72\u9884\u7684\u60c5\u666f\u3002\u5728\u8fd9\u7bc7\u6587\u7ae0\u4e2d\uff0c\u6211\u4eec\u5c06\u91cd\u70b9\u8ba8\u8bba\u4e0e\u51b2\u7a81\u53ea\u5411\u4e00\u4e2a\u65b9\u5411\uff08\u5411\u6b27\u6d32\uff09\u8513\u5ef6\uff0c\u7136\u540e\u5411\u4e24\u4e2a\u65b9\u5411\uff08\u5411\u897f\u5411\u963f\u5c14\u53ca\u5229\u4e9a\u548c\u5411\u5357\u5411\u5c3c\u65e5\u5c14\uff09\u8513\u5ef6\u7684\u60c5\u666f\u3002\u8fd9\u4e9b\u8bbe\u60f3\u7684\u524d\u63d0\u662f\uff0c\u5185\u6218\u7684\u6f14\u53d8\u5bfc\u81f4\u4e86\u51b2\u7a81\u7684\u5916\u6ea2\u3002\u56e0\u6b64\uff0c\u6218\u4e89\u4ece\u5229\u6bd4\u4e9a\u8fb9\u754c\u5185\u7684\u5185\u90e8\u5185\u6218\u548c\u4e00\u5b9a\u7a0b\u5ea6\u7684\u5916\u90e8\u53c2\u4e0e\uff0c\u53d8\u6210\u4e86\u4e00\u573a\u65b0\u7684\u6218\u4e89\uff0c\u5176\u4e2d\u5305\u62ec\u4e86\u8d85\u8fc7...... <\/p>\n<p class=\"link-more\"><a href=\"https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/zh\/2016\/06\/20\/scenarios-future-libya-sc-2-2-1-libyan-civil-war-spills-europe-algeria-niger\/\" class=\"more-link\">\u7ee7\u7eed\u9605\u8bfb<span class=\"screen-reader-text\">\"\u5229\u6bd4\u4e9a\u6218\u4e89\u8513\u5ef6\u5230\u6b27\u6d32\u3001\u963f\u5c14\u53ca\u5229\u4e9a\u548c\u5c3c\u65e5\u5c14--\u7b2c2.2\u671f\uff081\uff09--\u5229\u6bd4\u4e9a\u672a\u6765\u7684\u60c5\u666f\"<\/span><\/a><\/p>\n \t\t<div class=\"woocommerce\">\n\t\t\t<div class=\"woocommerce-info wc-memberships-restriction-message wc-memberships-message wc-memberships-content-restricted-message\">\n\t\t\t\t<p>\u672c\u6587\u7684\u5269\u4f59\u90e8\u5206\u662f\u4e3a\u6211\u4eec\u7684 <a style=\"color: #fff\" href=\"https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/zh\/%e4%ba%a7%e5%93%81\/%e6%88%90%e5%91%98-2\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">\u6210\u5458<\/a>. .\u786e\u4fdd\u60a8\u6536\u5230\u7684\u662f\u771f\u5b9e\u7684\u5206\u6790\uff0c\u800c\u4e0d\u662f\u89c2\u70b9\uff0c\u6216\u8005\u66f4\u7cdf\u7cd5\u7684\u5047\u65b0\u95fb\u3002. <a style=\"color: #fff\" href=\"https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/zh\/my-account\/?wcm_redirect_to=post&amp;wcm_redirect_id=12423\">\u767b\u5f55<\/a> \u5e76\u8bbf\u95ee\u8fd9\u7bc7\u6587\u7ae0\u3002<\/p>\t\t    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<\/p>\n<p class=\"link-more\"><a href=\"https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/zh\/2016\/06\/20\/scenarios-future-libya-sc-2-2-1-libyan-civil-war-spills-europe-algeria-niger\/\" class=\"more-link\">\u7ee7\u7eed\u9605\u8bfb<span class=\"screen-reader-text\">\"\u5229\u6bd4\u4e9a\u6218\u4e89\u8513\u5ef6\u5230\u6b27\u6d32\u3001\u963f\u5c14\u53ca\u5229\u4e9a\u548c\u5c3c\u65e5\u5c14--\u7b2c2.2\u671f\uff081\uff09--\u5229\u6bd4\u4e9a\u672a\u6765\u7684\u60c5\u666f\"<\/span><\/a><\/p>\n<div class=\"woocommerce\">\n<div class=\"woocommerce-info wc-memberships-restriction-message wc-memberships-message wc-memberships-content-restricted-message\">\n<p>\u672c\u6587\u7684\u5269\u4f59\u90e8\u5206\u662f\u4e3a\u6211\u4eec\u7684 <a style=\"color: #fff\" href=\"https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/zh\/%e4%ba%a7%e5%93%81\/%e6%88%90%e5%91%98-2\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">\u6210\u5458<\/a>. .\u786e\u4fdd\u60a8\u6536\u5230\u7684\u662f\u771f\u5b9e\u7684\u5206\u6790\uff0c\u800c\u4e0d\u662f\u89c2\u70b9\uff0c\u6216\u8005\u66f4\u7cdf\u7cd5\u7684\u5047\u65b0\u95fb\u3002. <a style=\"color: #fff\" href=\"https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/zh\/my-account\/?wcm_redirect_to=post&amp;wcm_redirect_id=12423\">\u767b\u5f55<\/a> \u5e76\u8bbf\u95ee\u8fd9\u7bc7\u6587\u7ae0\u3002<\/p>\n<\/p><\/div>\n<\/p><\/div>","protected":false},"author":156,"featured_media":12427,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_jetpack_feature_clip_id":0,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[2502,312,2499,3247,2500],"tags":[1789,2317,2163,2060,2318,2001,1997,1999],"class_list":["post-12423","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-europe","category-libya","category-middle-east-and-north-africa","category-scenarios-real-world-examples","category-sub-saharan-africa","tag-featured","tag-libya","tag-libyan-tribes","tag-libyan-war","tag-spillover","tag-toubou","tag-tribes","tag-tuareg","membership-content","access-restricted","entry"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v28.8 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>Libyan War Spills Over to Europe, Algeria, and Niger - Sc 2.2 (1) - Scenarios for the Future of Libya &#8226; The Red Team Analysis Society<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/zh\/2016\/06\/20\/\u672a\u6765-\u5229\u6bd4\u4e9a-sc-2-2-1-\u5229\u6bd4\u4e9a-\u5185\u6218-\u6b27\u6d32-\u963f\u5c14\u53ca\u5229\u4e9a-\u5c3c\u65e5\u5c14\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"zh_CN\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Libyan War Spills Over to Europe, Algeria, and Niger - Sc 2.2 (1) - Scenarios for the Future of Libya &#8226; The Red Team Analysis Society\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"This article is the first of our series focusing on scenarios depicting the range of spillover that could stem from the Libyan war. In our previous article, we concluded the scenarios for international intervention in light of a fragmenting unity government. In this article, we shall focus on scenarios related to conflict spillover in only &hellip; \u7ee7\u7eed\u9605\u8bfb\u201cLibyan War Spills Over to Europe, Algeria, and Niger &#8211; Sc 2.2 (1) &#8211; Scenarios for the Future of Libya\u201dThis content is restricted to members only. Please log in or become a member to gain access.\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:url\" content=\"https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/zh\/2016\/06\/20\/\u672a\u6765-\u5229\u6bd4\u4e9a-sc-2-2-1-\u5229\u6bd4\u4e9a-\u5185\u6218-\u6b27\u6d32-\u963f\u5c14\u53ca\u5229\u4e9a-\u5c3c\u65e5\u5c14\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:site_name\" content=\"The Red Team Analysis Society\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:publisher\" content=\"https:\/\/www.facebook.com\/pages\/Red-Team-Analysis\/341280995886057\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:published_time\" content=\"2016-06-20T08:11:03+00:00\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:modified_time\" content=\"2021-10-08T10:45:52+00:00\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:image\" content=\"https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2016\/06\/Featured-Photo.jpg\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:width\" content=\"672\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:height\" content=\"372\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:type\" content=\"image\/jpeg\" \/>\n<meta name=\"author\" content=\"Jon Mitchell (Ma)\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:card\" content=\"summary_large_image\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:creator\" content=\"@jbmitchell1212\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:site\" content=\"@HLavoix\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:label1\" content=\"\u4f5c\u8005\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:data1\" content=\"Jon Mitchell (Ma)\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:label2\" content=\"\u9884\u8ba1\u9605\u8bfb\u65f6\u95f4\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:data2\" content=\"20 \u5206\" \/>\n<script type=\"application\/ld+json\" class=\"yoast-schema-graph\">{\"@context\":\"https:\\\/\\\/schema.org\",\"@graph\":[{\"@type\":\"Article\",\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/redanalysis.org\\\/2016\\\/06\\\/20\\\/scenarios-future-libya-sc-2-2-1-libyan-civil-war-spills-europe-algeria-niger\\\/#article\",\"isPartOf\":{\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/redanalysis.org\\\/2016\\\/06\\\/20\\\/scenarios-future-libya-sc-2-2-1-libyan-civil-war-spills-europe-algeria-niger\\\/\"},\"author\":{\"name\":\"Jon Mitchell (Ma)\",\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/redanalysis.org\\\/#\\\/schema\\\/person\\\/51268d86724cf8a939cfc4f20643ccd6\"},\"headline\":\"Libyan War Spills Over to Europe, Algeria, and Niger &#8211; 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In our previous article, we concluded the scenarios for international intervention in light of a fragmenting unity government. In this article, we shall focus on scenarios related to conflict spillover in only &hellip; \u7ee7\u7eed\u9605\u8bfb\u201cLibyan War Spills Over to Europe, Algeria, and Niger &#8211; Sc 2.2 (1) &#8211; Scenarios for the Future of Libya\u201dThis content is restricted to members only. 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