{"id":12633,"date":"2016-09-12T09:16:56","date_gmt":"2016-09-12T07:16:56","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.redanalysis.org\/?p=12633"},"modified":"2024-05-23T15:44:28","modified_gmt":"2024-05-23T13:44:28","slug":"%e6%96%b9%e6%a1%88-2-3-%e6%9c%aa%e6%9d%a5-%e5%88%a9%e6%af%94%e4%ba%9a-%e5%88%86%e5%8c%ba","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/zh\/2016\/09\/12\/scenarios-2-3-future-libya-partition\/","title":{"rendered":"\u5229\u6bd4\u4e9a\u672a\u6765\u7684\u8bbe\u60f3--Sc 2.3 \u5229\u6bd4\u4e9a\u7684\u5206\u6cbb"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>\u56fe\u7247\uff1a\u56fd\u6c11\u8bae\u4f1a\u653f\u5e9c\u53d1\u5e03\u5728\u56fd\u6c11\u8bae\u4f1a Facebook \u9875\u9762\u4e0a\uff0c2016 \u5e74 9 \u6708 1 \u65e5 \u5728\u4e0a\u4e00\u7bc7\u6587\u7ae0\u4e2d\uff0c\u6211\u4eec\u8be6\u7ec6\u4ecb\u7ecd\u4e86\u51b2\u7a81\u5411\u6b27\u6d32\u3001\u963f\u5c14\u53ca\u5229\u4e9a\u3001\u5c3c\u65e5\u5c14\u548c\u57c3\u53ca\u7b49\u56db\u9762\u516b\u65b9\u8513\u5ef6\u7684\u5916\u6ea2\u60c5\u666f\u3002\u672c\u6587\u5c06\u91cd\u70b9\u63cf\u8ff0\u5229\u6bd4\u4e9a\u6218\u4e89\u53ef\u80fd\u5f15\u53d1\u7684\u5229\u6bd4\u4e9a\u5206\u6cbb\u60c5\u666f\u3002\u5728\u7b2c\u4e00\u79cd\u60c5\u51b5\u4e0b\uff0c\u963f\u9a6c\u9f50\u683c\u3001\u56fe\u963f\u96f7\u683c\u548c\u56fe\u5e03\u90e8\u843d\u7531\u4e8e\u8fb9\u7f18\u5316\u548c\u7f3a\u4e4f\u5b89\u5168\u611f\uff0c\u4ece\u81ea\u6cbb\u7684\u60f3\u6cd5\u53d1\u5c55\u5230\u76f4\u63a5\u5ba3\u5e03\u72ec\u7acb\u5e76\u8131\u79bb\u5229\u6bd4\u4e9a\u56fd\u5bb6\u3002\u5728\u7b2c\u4e8c\u79cd\u60c5\u51b5\u4e0b\uff0c\u5229\u6bd4\u4e9a\u4eba\u5f00\u59cb\u5ba3\u5e03\u72ec\u7acb\uff0c\u5e76\u4ee5\u7701\u4e3a\u5355\u4f4d\u8131\u79bb\u5229\u6bd4\u4e9a\u5176\u4ed6\u5730\u533a\u3002\u5728\u6700\u540e\u4e00\u79cd\u60c5\u51b5\u4e0b\uff0c\u5229\u6bd4\u4e9a\u6cbf\u5357\u5317\u8f74\u7ebf\u5206\u88c2...... <\/p>\n<p class=\"link-more\"><a href=\"https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/zh\/2016\/09\/12\/scenarios-2-3-future-libya-partition\/\" class=\"more-link\">\u7ee7\u7eed\u9605\u8bfb<span class=\"screen-reader-text\">\"\u5229\u6bd4\u4e9a\u672a\u6765\u7684\u8bbe\u60f3--Sc 2.3 \u5229\u6bd4\u4e9a\u7684\u5206\u6cbb\"<\/span><\/a><\/p>\n \t\t<div class=\"woocommerce\">\n\t\t\t<div class=\"woocommerce-info wc-memberships-restriction-message wc-memberships-message wc-memberships-content-restricted-message\">\n\t\t\t\t<p>\u672c\u6587\u7684\u5269\u4f59\u90e8\u5206\u662f\u4e3a\u6211\u4eec\u7684 <a style=\"color: #fff\" href=\"https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/zh\/%e4%ba%a7%e5%93%81\/%e6%88%90%e5%91%98-2\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">\u6210\u5458<\/a>. .\u786e\u4fdd\u60a8\u6536\u5230\u7684\u662f\u771f\u5b9e\u7684\u5206\u6790\uff0c\u800c\u4e0d\u662f\u89c2\u70b9\uff0c\u6216\u8005\u66f4\u7cdf\u7cd5\u7684\u5047\u65b0\u95fb\u3002. <a style=\"color: #fff\" href=\"https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/zh\/my-account\/?wcm_redirect_to=post&amp;wcm_redirect_id=12633\">\u767b\u5f55<\/a> \u5e76\u8bbf\u95ee\u8fd9\u7bc7\u6587\u7ae0\u3002<\/p>\t\t    <\/div>\n\t\t<\/div>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>\u56fe\u7247\uff1a\u56fd\u6c11\u8bae\u4f1a\u653f\u5e9c\u53d1\u5e03\u5728\u56fd\u6c11\u8bae\u4f1a Facebook \u9875\u9762\u4e0a\uff0c2016 \u5e74 9 \u6708 1 \u65e5 \u5728\u4e0a\u4e00\u7bc7\u6587\u7ae0\u4e2d\uff0c\u6211\u4eec\u8be6\u7ec6\u4ecb\u7ecd\u4e86\u51b2\u7a81\u5411\u6b27\u6d32\u3001\u963f\u5c14\u53ca\u5229\u4e9a\u3001\u5c3c\u65e5\u5c14\u548c\u57c3\u53ca\u7b49\u56db\u9762\u516b\u65b9\u8513\u5ef6\u7684\u5916\u6ea2\u60c5\u666f\u3002\u672c\u6587\u5c06\u91cd\u70b9\u63cf\u8ff0\u5229\u6bd4\u4e9a\u6218\u4e89\u53ef\u80fd\u5f15\u53d1\u7684\u5229\u6bd4\u4e9a\u5206\u6cbb\u60c5\u666f\u3002\u5728\u7b2c\u4e00\u79cd\u60c5\u51b5\u4e0b\uff0c\u963f\u9a6c\u9f50\u683c\u3001\u56fe\u963f\u96f7\u683c\u548c\u56fe\u5e03\u90e8\u843d\u7531\u4e8e\u8fb9\u7f18\u5316\u548c\u7f3a\u4e4f\u5b89\u5168\u611f\uff0c\u4ece\u81ea\u6cbb\u7684\u60f3\u6cd5\u53d1\u5c55\u5230\u76f4\u63a5\u5ba3\u5e03\u72ec\u7acb\u5e76\u8131\u79bb\u5229\u6bd4\u4e9a\u56fd\u5bb6\u3002\u5728\u7b2c\u4e8c\u79cd\u60c5\u51b5\u4e0b\uff0c\u5229\u6bd4\u4e9a\u4eba\u5f00\u59cb\u5ba3\u5e03\u72ec\u7acb\uff0c\u5e76\u4ee5\u7701\u4e3a\u5355\u4f4d\u8131\u79bb\u5229\u6bd4\u4e9a\u5176\u4ed6\u5730\u533a\u3002\u5728\u6700\u540e\u4e00\u79cd\u60c5\u51b5\u4e0b\uff0c\u5229\u6bd4\u4e9a\u6cbf\u5357\u5317\u8f74\u7ebf\u5206\u88c2...... <\/p>\n<p class=\"link-more\"><a href=\"https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/zh\/2016\/09\/12\/scenarios-2-3-future-libya-partition\/\" class=\"more-link\">\u7ee7\u7eed\u9605\u8bfb<span class=\"screen-reader-text\">\"\u5229\u6bd4\u4e9a\u672a\u6765\u7684\u8bbe\u60f3--Sc 2.3 \u5229\u6bd4\u4e9a\u7684\u5206\u6cbb\"<\/span><\/a><\/p>\n<div class=\"woocommerce\">\n<div class=\"woocommerce-info wc-memberships-restriction-message wc-memberships-message wc-memberships-content-restricted-message\">\n<p>\u672c\u6587\u7684\u5269\u4f59\u90e8\u5206\u662f\u4e3a\u6211\u4eec\u7684 <a style=\"color: #fff\" href=\"https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/zh\/%e4%ba%a7%e5%93%81\/%e6%88%90%e5%91%98-2\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">\u6210\u5458<\/a>. .\u786e\u4fdd\u60a8\u6536\u5230\u7684\u662f\u771f\u5b9e\u7684\u5206\u6790\uff0c\u800c\u4e0d\u662f\u89c2\u70b9\uff0c\u6216\u8005\u66f4\u7cdf\u7cd5\u7684\u5047\u65b0\u95fb\u3002. <a style=\"color: #fff\" href=\"https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/zh\/my-account\/?wcm_redirect_to=post&amp;wcm_redirect_id=12633\">\u767b\u5f55<\/a> \u5e76\u8bbf\u95ee\u8fd9\u7bc7\u6587\u7ae0\u3002<\/p>\n<\/p><\/div>\n<\/p><\/div>","protected":false},"author":156,"featured_media":12634,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_jetpack_feature_clip_id":0,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[312,2499,3247],"tags":[2332,1789,2333,170,2317,2330,2329,2060,2334,190,123,1033,2331],"class_list":["post-12633","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-libya","category-middle-east-and-north-africa","category-scenarios-real-world-examples","tag-early-warning","tag-featured","tag-geopolitical-risk","tag-geopolitics","tag-libya","tag-libyas-partition","tag-libyan-scenario","tag-libyan-war","tag-risk-management","tag-scenarios","tag-strategic-foresight","tag-uncertainty","tag-warning","membership-content","access-restricted","entry"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v28.8 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>Scenarios for the Future of Libya \u2013 Sc 2.3 Libya&#039;s Partition &#8226; The Red Team Analysis Society<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"This article depicts three possible scenarios for Libya&#039;s partition as a result from the war, with corresponding indicators.\" \/>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/zh\/2016\/09\/12\/\u65b9\u6848-2-3-\u672a\u6765-\u5229\u6bd4\u4e9a-\u5206\u533a\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"zh_CN\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Scenarios for the Future of Libya \u2013 Sc 2.3 Libya&#039;s Partition &#8226; The Red Team Analysis Society\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"This article depicts three possible scenarios for Libya&#039;s partition as a result from the war, with corresponding indicators.\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:url\" content=\"https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/zh\/2016\/09\/12\/\u65b9\u6848-2-3-\u672a\u6765-\u5229\u6bd4\u4e9a-\u5206\u533a\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:site_name\" content=\"The Red Team Analysis Society\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:publisher\" content=\"https:\/\/www.facebook.com\/pages\/Red-Team-Analysis\/341280995886057\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:published_time\" content=\"2016-09-12T07:16:56+00:00\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:modified_time\" content=\"2024-05-23T13:44:28+00:00\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:image\" content=\"https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2016\/09\/Featured-Photo.jpg\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:width\" content=\"672\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:height\" content=\"372\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:type\" content=\"image\/jpeg\" \/>\n<meta name=\"author\" content=\"Jon Mitchell (Ma)\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:card\" content=\"summary_large_image\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:creator\" content=\"@jbmitchell1212\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:site\" content=\"@HLavoix\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:label1\" content=\"\u4f5c\u8005\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:data1\" content=\"Jon Mitchell (Ma)\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:label2\" content=\"\u9884\u8ba1\u9605\u8bfb\u65f6\u95f4\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:data2\" content=\"11 \u5206\" \/>\n<script type=\"application\/ld+json\" class=\"yoast-schema-graph\">{\"@context\":\"https:\\\/\\\/schema.org\",\"@graph\":[{\"@type\":\"Article\",\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/redanalysis.org\\\/2016\\\/09\\\/12\\\/scenarios-2-3-future-libya-partition\\\/#article\",\"isPartOf\":{\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/redanalysis.org\\\/2016\\\/09\\\/12\\\/scenarios-2-3-future-libya-partition\\\/\"},\"author\":{\"name\":\"Jon Mitchell (Ma)\",\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/redanalysis.org\\\/#\\\/schema\\\/person\\\/51268d86724cf8a939cfc4f20643ccd6\"},\"headline\":\"Scenarios for the Future of Libya \u2013 Sc 2.3 Libya&#8217;s Partition\",\"datePublished\":\"2016-09-12T07:16:56+00:00\",\"dateModified\":\"2024-05-23T13:44:28+00:00\",\"mainEntityOfPage\":{\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/redanalysis.org\\\/2016\\\/09\\\/12\\\/scenarios-2-3-future-libya-partition\\\/\"},\"wordCount\":2328,\"commentCount\":0,\"publisher\":{\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/redanalysis.org\\\/#organization\"},\"image\":{\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/redanalysis.org\\\/2016\\\/09\\\/12\\\/scenarios-2-3-future-libya-partition\\\/#primaryimage\"},\"thumbnailUrl\":\"https:\\\/\\\/redanalysis.org\\\/wp-content\\\/uploads\\\/2016\\\/09\\\/Featured-Photo.jpg\",\"keywords\":[\"early warning\",\"featured\",\"geopolitical risk\",\"geopolitics\",\"Libya\",\"Libya's partition\",\"Libyan scenario\",\"Libyan war\",\"risk management\",\"scenarios\",\"strategic foresight\",\"uncertainty\",\"warning\"],\"articleSection\":[\"Libya and Scenarios\",\"Middle-East and North Africa\",\"Real World Examples of Scenarios\"],\"inLanguage\":\"zh-Hans\",\"potentialAction\":[{\"@type\":\"CommentAction\",\"name\":\"Comment\",\"target\":[\"https:\\\/\\\/redanalysis.org\\\/2016\\\/09\\\/12\\\/scenarios-2-3-future-libya-partition\\\/#respond\"]}]},{\"@type\":\"WebPage\",\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/redanalysis.org\\\/2016\\\/09\\\/12\\\/scenarios-2-3-future-libya-partition\\\/\",\"url\":\"https:\\\/\\\/redanalysis.org\\\/2016\\\/09\\\/12\\\/scenarios-2-3-future-libya-partition\\\/\",\"name\":\"Scenarios for the Future of Libya \u2013 Sc 2.3 Libya's Partition &#8226; The Red Team Analysis Society\",\"isPartOf\":{\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/redanalysis.org\\\/#website\"},\"primaryImageOfPage\":{\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/redanalysis.org\\\/2016\\\/09\\\/12\\\/scenarios-2-3-future-libya-partition\\\/#primaryimage\"},\"image\":{\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/redanalysis.org\\\/2016\\\/09\\\/12\\\/scenarios-2-3-future-libya-partition\\\/#primaryimage\"},\"thumbnailUrl\":\"https:\\\/\\\/redanalysis.org\\\/wp-content\\\/uploads\\\/2016\\\/09\\\/Featured-Photo.jpg\",\"datePublished\":\"2016-09-12T07:16:56+00:00\",\"dateModified\":\"2024-05-23T13:44:28+00:00\",\"description\":\"This article depicts three possible scenarios for Libya's partition as a result from the war, with corresponding indicators.\",\"inLanguage\":\"zh-Hans\",\"potentialAction\":[{\"@type\":\"ReadAction\",\"target\":[\"https:\\\/\\\/redanalysis.org\\\/2016\\\/09\\\/12\\\/scenarios-2-3-future-libya-partition\\\/\"]}]},{\"@type\":\"ImageObject\",\"inLanguage\":\"zh-Hans\",\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/redanalysis.org\\\/2016\\\/09\\\/12\\\/scenarios-2-3-future-libya-partition\\\/#primaryimage\",\"url\":\"https:\\\/\\\/redanalysis.org\\\/wp-content\\\/uploads\\\/2016\\\/09\\\/Featured-Photo.jpg\",\"contentUrl\":\"https:\\\/\\\/redanalysis.org\\\/wp-content\\\/uploads\\\/2016\\\/09\\\/Featured-Photo.jpg\",\"width\":672,\"height\":372,\"caption\":\"scenarios, Libyan scenario, Libyan war, Libya's partition, strategic foresight, warning, early warning, geopolitics, uncertainty, geopolitical risk, risk management\"},{\"@type\":\"WebSite\",\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/redanalysis.org\\\/#website\",\"url\":\"https:\\\/\\\/redanalysis.org\\\/\",\"name\":\"The Red Team Analysis Society\",\"description\":\"Strategic Foresight &amp; Early Warning \uff65 Political &amp; Geopolitical Risk \u00b7 Scenarios\",\"publisher\":{\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/redanalysis.org\\\/#organization\"},\"potentialAction\":[{\"@type\":\"SearchAction\",\"target\":{\"@type\":\"EntryPoint\",\"urlTemplate\":\"https:\\\/\\\/redanalysis.org\\\/?s={search_term_string}\"},\"query-input\":{\"@type\":\"PropertyValueSpecification\",\"valueRequired\":true,\"valueName\":\"search_term_string\"}}],\"inLanguage\":\"zh-Hans\"},{\"@type\":\"Organization\",\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/redanalysis.org\\\/#organization\",\"name\":\"The Red Team Analysis Society\",\"url\":\"https:\\\/\\\/redanalysis.org\\\/\",\"logo\":{\"@type\":\"ImageObject\",\"inLanguage\":\"zh-Hans\",\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/redanalysis.org\\\/#\\\/schema\\\/logo\\\/image\\\/\",\"url\":\"https:\\\/\\\/redanalysis.org\\\/wp-content\\\/uploads\\\/2017\\\/03\\\/logo-Sans-fond-interior-white-thick-circle-3-1-250.png\",\"contentUrl\":\"https:\\\/\\\/redanalysis.org\\\/wp-content\\\/uploads\\\/2017\\\/03\\\/logo-Sans-fond-interior-white-thick-circle-3-1-250.png\",\"width\":250,\"height\":250,\"caption\":\"The Red Team Analysis Society\"},\"image\":{\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/redanalysis.org\\\/#\\\/schema\\\/logo\\\/image\\\/\"},\"sameAs\":[\"https:\\\/\\\/www.facebook.com\\\/pages\\\/Red-Team-Analysis\\\/341280995886057\",\"https:\\\/\\\/x.com\\\/HLavoix\",\"https:\\\/\\\/www.instagram.com\\\/helenelavoix\\\/\",\"https:\\\/\\\/www.linkedin.com\\\/company\\\/5403964\\\/admin\\\/dashboard\\\/\"]},{\"@type\":\"Person\",\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/redanalysis.org\\\/#\\\/schema\\\/person\\\/51268d86724cf8a939cfc4f20643ccd6\",\"name\":\"Jon Mitchell (Ma)\",\"description\":\"He is an independent researcher and writer pursuing his MA in Public Policy \u2013 International Affairs from Liberty University, U.S.. He has contributed to a political-economic analysis report for a non-profit international organization, compiled an unofficial analysis report on Boko Haram for a U.S. Congressional Committee, and writes articles for Foreign Policy Journal. While interning with the Hudson Institute, he researched critical regional security issues and analyzed complex international challenges in their Center for Political-Military Analysis.\",\"sameAs\":[\"https:\\\/\\\/www.linkedin.com\\\/in\\\/jonbmitchell\",\"https:\\\/\\\/x.com\\\/jbmitchell1212\"],\"url\":\"https:\\\/\\\/redanalysis.org\\\/zh\\\/author\\\/jonmitchell\\\/\"}]}<\/script>\n<!-- \/ Yoast SEO plugin. -->","yoast_head_json":{"title":"\u5229\u6bd4\u4e9a\u672a\u6765\u60c5\u666f\u2014\u2014\u60c5\u666f2.3\uff1a\u5229\u6bd4\u4e9a\u5206\u88c2 \u2022 Red Team Analysis Society","description":"\u672c\u6587\u63cf\u8ff0\u4e86\u6218\u4e89\u5bfc\u81f4\u7684\u5229\u6bd4\u4e9a\u5206\u6cbb\u7684\u4e09\u79cd\u53ef\u80fd\u60c5\u51b5\uff0c\u5e76\u9644\u6709\u76f8\u5e94\u7684\u6307\u6807\u3002","robots":{"index":"index","follow":"follow","max-snippet":"max-snippet:-1","max-image-preview":"max-image-preview:large","max-video-preview":"max-video-preview:-1"},"canonical":"https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/zh\/2016\/09\/12\/\u65b9\u6848-2-3-\u672a\u6765-\u5229\u6bd4\u4e9a-\u5206\u533a\/","og_locale":"zh_CN","og_type":"article","og_title":"Scenarios for the Future of Libya \u2013 Sc 2.3 Libya's Partition &#8226; The Red Team Analysis Society","og_description":"This article depicts three possible scenarios for Libya's partition as a result from the war, with corresponding indicators.","og_url":"https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/zh\/2016\/09\/12\/\u65b9\u6848-2-3-\u672a\u6765-\u5229\u6bd4\u4e9a-\u5206\u533a\/","og_site_name":"The Red Team Analysis Society","article_publisher":"https:\/\/www.facebook.com\/pages\/Red-Team-Analysis\/341280995886057","article_published_time":"2016-09-12T07:16:56+00:00","article_modified_time":"2024-05-23T13:44:28+00:00","og_image":[{"width":672,"height":372,"url":"https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2016\/09\/Featured-Photo.jpg","type":"image\/jpeg"}],"author":"Jon Mitchell (Ma)","twitter_card":"summary_large_image","twitter_creator":"@jbmitchell1212","twitter_site":"@HLavoix","twitter_misc":{"\u4f5c\u8005":"Jon Mitchell (Ma)","\u9884\u8ba1\u9605\u8bfb\u65f6\u95f4":"11 \u5206"},"schema":{"@context":"https:\/\/schema.org","@graph":[{"@type":"Article","@id":"https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/2016\/09\/12\/scenarios-2-3-future-libya-partition\/#article","isPartOf":{"@id":"https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/2016\/09\/12\/scenarios-2-3-future-libya-partition\/"},"author":{"name":"Jon Mitchell (Ma)","@id":"https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/#\/schema\/person\/51268d86724cf8a939cfc4f20643ccd6"},"headline":"Scenarios for the Future of Libya \u2013 Sc 2.3 Libya&#8217;s Partition","datePublished":"2016-09-12T07:16:56+00:00","dateModified":"2024-05-23T13:44:28+00:00","mainEntityOfPage":{"@id":"https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/2016\/09\/12\/scenarios-2-3-future-libya-partition\/"},"wordCount":2328,"commentCount":0,"publisher":{"@id":"https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/#organization"},"image":{"@id":"https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/2016\/09\/12\/scenarios-2-3-future-libya-partition\/#primaryimage"},"thumbnailUrl":"https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2016\/09\/Featured-Photo.jpg","keywords":["early warning","featured","geopolitical risk","geopolitics","Libya","Libya's partition","Libyan scenario","Libyan war","risk management","scenarios","strategic foresight","uncertainty","warning"],"articleSection":["Libya and Scenarios","Middle-East and North Africa","Real World Examples of Scenarios"],"inLanguage":"zh-Hans","potentialAction":[{"@type":"CommentAction","name":"Comment","target":["https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/2016\/09\/12\/scenarios-2-3-future-libya-partition\/#respond"]}]},{"@type":"WebPage","@id":"https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/2016\/09\/12\/scenarios-2-3-future-libya-partition\/","url":"https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/2016\/09\/12\/scenarios-2-3-future-libya-partition\/","name":"\u5229\u6bd4\u4e9a\u672a\u6765\u60c5\u666f\u2014\u2014\u60c5\u666f2.3\uff1a\u5229\u6bd4\u4e9a\u5206\u88c2 \u2022 Red Team Analysis Society","isPartOf":{"@id":"https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/#website"},"primaryImageOfPage":{"@id":"https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/2016\/09\/12\/scenarios-2-3-future-libya-partition\/#primaryimage"},"image":{"@id":"https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/2016\/09\/12\/scenarios-2-3-future-libya-partition\/#primaryimage"},"thumbnailUrl":"https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2016\/09\/Featured-Photo.jpg","datePublished":"2016-09-12T07:16:56+00:00","dateModified":"2024-05-23T13:44:28+00:00","description":"\u672c\u6587\u63cf\u8ff0\u4e86\u6218\u4e89\u5bfc\u81f4\u7684\u5229\u6bd4\u4e9a\u5206\u6cbb\u7684\u4e09\u79cd\u53ef\u80fd\u60c5\u51b5\uff0c\u5e76\u9644\u6709\u76f8\u5e94\u7684\u6307\u6807\u3002","inLanguage":"zh-Hans","potentialAction":[{"@type":"ReadAction","target":["https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/2016\/09\/12\/scenarios-2-3-future-libya-partition\/"]}]},{"@type":"ImageObject","inLanguage":"zh-Hans","@id":"https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/2016\/09\/12\/scenarios-2-3-future-libya-partition\/#primaryimage","url":"https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2016\/09\/Featured-Photo.jpg","contentUrl":"https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2016\/09\/Featured-Photo.jpg","width":672,"height":372,"caption":"scenarios, Libyan scenario, Libyan war, Libya's partition, strategic foresight, warning, early warning, geopolitics, uncertainty, geopolitical risk, risk management"},{"@type":"WebSite","@id":"https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/#website","url":"https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/","name":"\u8fdc\u666f\u6d1e\u5bdf\u7814\u7a76\u6240","description":"\u6218\u7565\u524d\u77bb\u4e0e\u65e9\u671f\u9884\u8b66 \uff65 \u653f\u6cbb\u4e0e\u5730\u7f18\u653f\u6cbb\u98ce\u9669 \u00b7 \u60c5\u666f\u5206\u6790","publisher":{"@id":"https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/#organization"},"potentialAction":[{"@type":"SearchAction","target":{"@type":"EntryPoint","urlTemplate":"https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/?s={search_term_string}"},"query-input":{"@type":"PropertyValueSpecification","valueRequired":true,"valueName":"search_term_string"}}],"inLanguage":"zh-Hans"},{"@type":"Organization","@id":"https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/#organization","name":"\u8fdc\u666f\u6d1e\u5bdf\u7814\u7a76\u6240","url":"https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/","logo":{"@type":"ImageObject","inLanguage":"zh-Hans","@id":"https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/#\/schema\/logo\/image\/","url":"https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2017\/03\/logo-Sans-fond-interior-white-thick-circle-3-1-250.png","contentUrl":"https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2017\/03\/logo-Sans-fond-interior-white-thick-circle-3-1-250.png","width":250,"height":250,"caption":"The Red Team Analysis Society"},"image":{"@id":"https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/#\/schema\/logo\/image\/"},"sameAs":["https:\/\/www.facebook.com\/pages\/Red-Team-Analysis\/341280995886057","https:\/\/x.com\/HLavoix","https:\/\/www.instagram.com\/helenelavoix\/","https:\/\/www.linkedin.com\/company\/5403964\/admin\/dashboard\/"]},{"@type":"Person","@id":"https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/#\/schema\/person\/51268d86724cf8a939cfc4f20643ccd6","name":"\u4e54\u6069-\u7c73\u5207\u5c14\uff08\u9a6c\uff09","description":"\u4ed6\u662f\u4e00\u540d\u72ec\u7acb\u7684\u7814\u7a76\u4eba\u5458\u548c\u4f5c\u5bb6\uff0c\u5728\u7f8e\u56fd\u81ea\u7531\u5927\u5b66\u653b\u8bfb\u516c\u5171\u653f\u7b56-\u56fd\u9645\u4e8b\u52a1\u7855\u58eb\u5b66\u4f4d\u3002\u4ed6\u66fe\u4e3a\u4e00\u4e2a\u975e\u8425\u5229\u6027\u56fd\u9645\u7ec4\u7ec7\u64b0\u5199\u653f\u6cbb\u7ecf\u6d4e\u5206\u6790\u62a5\u544a\uff0c\u4e3a\u7f8e\u56fd\u56fd\u4f1a\u59d4\u5458\u4f1a\u7f16\u64b0\u5173\u4e8e\u535a\u79d1\u5723\u5730\u7684\u975e\u5b98\u65b9\u5206\u6790\u62a5\u544a\uff0c\u5e76\u4e3a\u300a\u5916\u4ea4\u653f\u7b56\u6742\u5fd7\u300b\u64b0\u5199\u6587\u7ae0\u3002\u5728\u54c8\u5fb7\u900a\u7814\u7a76\u6240\u5b9e\u4e60\u671f\u95f4\uff0c\u4ed6\u7814\u7a76\u4e86\u5173\u952e\u7684\u533a\u57df\u5b89\u5168\u95ee\u9898\uff0c\u5e76\u5728\u5176\u653f\u6cbb-\u519b\u4e8b\u5206\u6790\u4e2d\u5fc3\u5206\u6790\u4e86\u590d\u6742\u7684\u56fd\u9645\u6311\u6218\u3002","sameAs":["https:\/\/www.linkedin.com\/in\/jonbmitchell","https:\/\/x.com\/jbmitchell1212"],"url":"https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/zh\/author\/jonmitchell\/"}]}},"jetpack_sharing_enabled":true,"jetpack_featured_media_url":"https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2016\/09\/Featured-Photo.jpg","_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/zh\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/12633","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/zh\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/zh\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/zh\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/156"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/zh\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=12633"}],"version-history":[{"count":4,"href":"https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/zh\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/12633\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":39616,"href":"https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/zh\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/12633\/revisions\/39616"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/zh\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/12634"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/zh\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=12633"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/zh\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=12633"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/zh\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=12633"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}