{"id":13228,"date":"2016-11-14T11:10:31","date_gmt":"2016-11-14T10:10:31","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.redanalysis.org\/?p=13228"},"modified":"2021-10-08T12:36:14","modified_gmt":"2021-10-08T10:36:14","slug":"%e5%9c%ba%e6%99%af-%e6%9c%aa%e6%9d%a5-%e5%88%a9%e6%af%94%e4%ba%9a-sc-3-2-%e6%b0%91%e6%97%8f%e4%b8%bb%e4%b9%89-%e5%88%a9%e6%af%94%e4%ba%9a","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/zh\/2016\/11\/14\/scenarios-future-libya-sc-3-2-nationalist-libya\/","title":{"rendered":"\u5229\u6bd4\u4e9a\u672a\u6765\u7684\u8bbe\u60f3--3.2\u6c11\u65cf\u4e3b\u4e49\u7684\u5229\u6bd4\u4e9a"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>\u672c\u6587\u91cd\u70b9\u8ba8\u8bba\u63cf\u8ff0\u5229\u6bd4\u4e9a\u4e00\u4e2a\u6d3e\u522b\u53d6\u5f97\u5168\u9762\u80dc\u5229\u7684\u7b2c\u4e8c\u79cd\u60c5\u666f\uff0c\u5373\u6c11\u65cf\u4e3b\u4e49\u8054\u76df--\u6548\u5fe0\u4e8e\u975e\u4f0a\u65af\u5170\u6559\u548c\u6c11\u65cf\u4e3b\u4e49\u653f\u5e9c--\u53d6\u5f97\u80dc\u5229\uff0c\u5f15\u5bfc\u5229\u6bd4\u4e9a\u8d70\u5411\u4e16\u4fd7\u548c\u6c11\u65cf\u4e3b\u4e49\u56fd\u5bb6\uff0c\u4f0a\u65af\u5170\u6559\u6cd5\u4e0d\u662f\u6cbb\u7406\u7684\u6765\u6e90\u3002\u5728\u6211\u4eec\u4e4b\u524d\u7684\u8bbe\u60f3\u4e2d\uff0c\u6211\u4eec\u8be6\u7ec6\u4ecb\u7ecd\u4e86\u4f0a\u65af\u5170\u6559\u5f92\u80dc\u5229\u7684\u60c5\u666f\uff0c\u65b0\u653f\u5e9c\u4ee5\u4e0d\u540c\u7684\u901f\u5ea6\u9010\u6b65\u5b9e\u65bd\u4f0a\u65af\u5170\u6559\u6cd5\uff0c\u4f7f\u5229\u6bd4\u4e9a\u8d70\u4e0a\u4f0a\u65af\u5170\u56fd\u5bb6\u7684\u9053\u8def\u3002\u6ce8\uff1a\u8003\u8651\u5230\u56e2\u7ed3\u653f\u5e9c\u4e4b\u95f4\u65b0\u7684\u5206\u88c2\u6240\u4ea7\u751f\u7684\u6f5c\u5728\u6d3e\u522b\u7684\u672a\u6765\u540d\u79f0\uff0c\u6211\u4eec\u5c06\u5bf9\u90a3\u4e9b\u652f\u6301\u6c11\u65cf\u4e3b\u4e49\u4e3b\u5bfc\u7684\u56fd\u6c11\u8bae\u4f1a\uff08COR\uff09\u7684\u6d3e\u522b\u4f7f\u7528\u6c11\u65cf\u4e3b\u4e49\u6807\u7b7e 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href=\"https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/zh\/my-account\/?wcm_redirect_to=post&amp;wcm_redirect_id=13228\">\u767b\u5f55<\/a> \u5e76\u8bbf\u95ee\u8fd9\u7bc7\u6587\u7ae0\u3002<\/p>\t\t    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... <\/p>\n<p class=\"link-more\"><a href=\"https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/zh\/2016\/11\/14\/scenarios-future-libya-sc-3-2-nationalist-libya\/\" class=\"more-link\">\u7ee7\u7eed\u9605\u8bfb<span class=\"screen-reader-text\">\"\u5229\u6bd4\u4e9a\u672a\u6765\u7684\u8bbe\u60f3--\u7b2c3.2\u7ae0\uff1a\u6c11\u65cf\u4e3b\u4e49\u7684\u5229\u6bd4\u4e9a\"<\/span><\/a><\/p>\n<div class=\"woocommerce\">\n<div class=\"woocommerce-info wc-memberships-restriction-message wc-memberships-message wc-memberships-content-restricted-message\">\n<p>\u672c\u6587\u7684\u5269\u4f59\u90e8\u5206\u662f\u4e3a\u6211\u4eec\u7684 <a style=\"color: #fff\" href=\"https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/zh\/%e4%ba%a7%e5%93%81\/%e6%88%90%e5%91%98-2\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">\u6210\u5458<\/a>. .\u786e\u4fdd\u60a8\u6536\u5230\u7684\u662f\u771f\u5b9e\u7684\u5206\u6790\uff0c\u800c\u4e0d\u662f\u89c2\u70b9\uff0c\u6216\u8005\u66f4\u7cdf\u7cd5\u7684\u5047\u65b0\u95fb\u3002. <a style=\"color: #fff\" href=\"https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/zh\/my-account\/?wcm_redirect_to=post&amp;wcm_redirect_id=13228\">\u767b\u5f55<\/a> \u5e76\u8bbf\u95ee\u8fd9\u7bc7\u6587\u7ae0\u3002<\/p>\n<\/p><\/div>\n<\/p><\/div>","protected":false},"author":156,"featured_media":13296,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_jetpack_feature_clip_id":0,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[312,2499,3247],"tags":[1789,170,1949,2317,2329,2163,345,190,2342,522],"class_list":["post-13228","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-libya","category-middle-east-and-north-africa","category-scenarios-real-world-examples","tag-featured","tag-geopolitics","tag-haftar","tag-libya","tag-libyan-scenario","tag-libyan-tribes","tag-oil","tag-scenarios","tag-uncertainties","tag-war","membership-content","access-restricted","entry"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v28.6 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>Scenarios for the Future of Libya \u2013 Sc 3.2 A Nationalist Libya &#8226; The Red Team Analysis Society<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/zh\/2016\/11\/14\/\u573a\u666f-\u672a\u6765-\u5229\u6bd4\u4e9a-sc-3-2-\u6c11\u65cf\u4e3b\u4e49-\u5229\u6bd4\u4e9a\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"zh_CN\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Scenarios for the Future of Libya \u2013 Sc 3.2 A Nationalist Libya &#8226; The Red Team Analysis Society\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"This article focuses on the second of the scenarios depicting a total victory for one Libyan faction, where the nationalist coalition \u2013 loyal to a non-Islamist and nationalist government 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In our previous scenario we detailed &hellip; \u7ee7\u7eed\u9605\u8bfb\u201cScenarios for the Future of Libya \u2013 Sc 3.2 A Nationalist Libya\u201dThis content is restricted to members only. 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