{"id":13774,"date":"2017-01-23T10:23:10","date_gmt":"2017-01-23T09:23:10","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.redanalysis.org\/?p=13774"},"modified":"2021-10-08T12:35:49","modified_gmt":"2021-10-08T10:35:49","slug":"%e5%9c%ba%e6%99%af-%e6%9c%aa%e6%9d%a5-%e5%88%a9%e6%af%94%e4%ba%9a-sc-4-2-%e4%bc%8a%e6%96%af%e5%85%b0%e5%9b%bd%e5%ae%b6-%e8%83%9c%e5%88%a9","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/zh\/2017\/01\/23\/scenarios-future-libya-sc-4-2-islamic-state-victory\/","title":{"rendered":"\u5229\u6bd4\u4e9a\u672a\u6765\u7684\u8bbe\u60f3--Sc 4.2 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... <\/p>\n<p class=\"link-more\"><a href=\"https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/zh\/2017\/01\/23\/scenarios-future-libya-sc-4-2-islamic-state-victory\/\" class=\"more-link\">\u7ee7\u7eed\u9605\u8bfb<span class=\"screen-reader-text\">\"\u5229\u6bd4\u4e9a\u672a\u6765\u7684\u60c5\u666f--Sc 4.2 \u4f0a\u65af\u5170\u56fd\u7684\u80dc\u5229\"<\/span><\/a><\/p>\n \t\t<div class=\"woocommerce\">\n\t\t\t<div class=\"woocommerce-info wc-memberships-restriction-message wc-memberships-message wc-memberships-content-restricted-message\">\n\t\t\t\t<p>\u672c\u6587\u7684\u5269\u4f59\u90e8\u5206\u662f\u4e3a\u6211\u4eec\u7684 <a style=\"color: #fff\" href=\"https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/zh\/%e4%ba%a7%e5%93%81\/%e6%88%90%e5%91%98-2\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">\u6210\u5458<\/a>. .\u786e\u4fdd\u60a8\u6536\u5230\u7684\u662f\u771f\u5b9e\u7684\u5206\u6790\uff0c\u800c\u4e0d\u662f\u89c2\u70b9\uff0c\u6216\u8005\u66f4\u7cdf\u7cd5\u7684\u5047\u65b0\u95fb\u3002. <a style=\"color: #fff\" href=\"https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/zh\/my-account\/?wcm_redirect_to=post&amp;wcm_redirect_id=13774\">\u767b\u5f55<\/a> \u5e76\u8bbf\u95ee\u8fd9\u7bc7\u6587\u7ae0\u3002<\/p>\t\t    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... <\/p>\n<p class=\"link-more\"><a href=\"https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/zh\/2017\/01\/23\/scenarios-future-libya-sc-4-2-islamic-state-victory\/\" class=\"more-link\">\u7ee7\u7eed\u9605\u8bfb<span class=\"screen-reader-text\">\"\u5229\u6bd4\u4e9a\u672a\u6765\u7684\u60c5\u666f--Sc 4.2 \u4f0a\u65af\u5170\u56fd\u7684\u80dc\u5229\"<\/span><\/a><\/p>\n<div class=\"woocommerce\">\n<div class=\"woocommerce-info wc-memberships-restriction-message wc-memberships-message wc-memberships-content-restricted-message\">\n<p>\u672c\u6587\u7684\u5269\u4f59\u90e8\u5206\u662f\u4e3a\u6211\u4eec\u7684 <a style=\"color: #fff\" href=\"https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/zh\/%e4%ba%a7%e5%93%81\/%e6%88%90%e5%91%98-2\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">\u6210\u5458<\/a>. .\u786e\u4fdd\u60a8\u6536\u5230\u7684\u662f\u771f\u5b9e\u7684\u5206\u6790\uff0c\u800c\u4e0d\u662f\u89c2\u70b9\uff0c\u6216\u8005\u66f4\u7cdf\u7cd5\u7684\u5047\u65b0\u95fb\u3002. <a style=\"color: #fff\" href=\"https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/zh\/my-account\/?wcm_redirect_to=post&amp;wcm_redirect_id=13774\">\u767b\u5f55<\/a> \u5e76\u8bbf\u95ee\u8fd9\u7bc7\u6587\u7ae0\u3002<\/p>\n<\/p><\/div>\n<\/p><\/div>","protected":false},"author":156,"featured_media":13779,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_jetpack_feature_clip_id":0,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[312,2499,3247,1947],"tags":[1789],"class_list":["post-13774","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-libya","category-middle-east-and-north-africa","category-scenarios-real-world-examples","category-the-islamic-state","tag-featured","membership-content","access-restricted","entry"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v28.8 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>Scenarios for the Future of Libya \u2013 Sc 4.2 An Islamic State Victory &#8226; The Red Team Analysis Society<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/zh\/2017\/01\/23\/\u573a\u666f-\u672a\u6765-\u5229\u6bd4\u4e9a-sc-4-2-\u4f0a\u65af\u5170\u56fd\u5bb6-\u80dc\u5229\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"zh_CN\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Scenarios for the Future of Libya \u2013 Sc 4.2 An Islamic State Victory &#8226; The Red Team Analysis Society\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"This article focuses on the second of the scenarios depicting a Salafist victory, where the Islamic State (IS) becomes the dominant force on the battlefield, defeats the other actors, and establishes the caliphate. In our previous scenario we detailed the scenario of an Al-Qaida victory where Al-Qaida groups in Libya dominate the battlefield and gradually &hellip; \u7ee7\u7eed\u9605\u8bfb\u201cScenarios for the Future of Libya \u2013 Sc 4.2 An Islamic State Victory\u201dThis content is restricted to members only. 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