{"id":13999,"date":"2017-02-27T10:08:41","date_gmt":"2017-02-27T09:08:41","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.redanalysis.org\/?p=13999"},"modified":"2021-10-08T16:01:09","modified_gmt":"2021-10-08T14:01:09","slug":"%e8%b6%85%e8%b6%8a%e5%85%a8%e7%90%83%e5%8c%96-%e8%8b%b1%e5%9b%bd%e8%84%b1%e6%ac%a7-u-s-%e6%80%bb%e7%bb%9f-%e7%89%b9%e6%9c%97%e6%99%ae","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/zh\/2017\/02\/27\/beyond-end-globalisation-brexit-u-s-president-trump\/","title":{"rendered":"\u8d85\u8d8a\u5168\u7403\u5316\u7684\u7ec8\u70b9--\u4ece\u82f1\u56fd\u8131\u6b27\u5230\u7f8e\u56fd\u603b\u7edf\u7279\u6717\u666e"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><!-- wp:paragraph --><\/p>\n<p>\u4e16\u754c\u5df2\u7ecf\u8fdb\u5165\u4e86\u4e00\u4e2a\u4e0d\u786e\u5b9a\u56e0\u7d20\u5360\u4e3b\u5bfc\u5730\u4f4d\u3001\u60ca\u559c\u4e0d\u65ad\u7684\u65f6\u671f\u3002<\/p>\n<p><!-- \/wp:paragraph --><\/p>\n<p><!-- wp:paragraph 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https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>Beyond the End of Globalisation - From the Brexit to U.S. President Trump &#8226; The Red Team Analysis Society<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/zh\/2017\/02\/27\/\u8d85\u8d8a\u5168\u7403\u5316-\u82f1\u56fd\u8131\u6b27-u-s-\u603b\u7edf-\u7279\u6717\u666e\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"zh_CN\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Beyond the End of Globalisation - From the Brexit to U.S. President Trump &#8226; The Red Team Analysis Society\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"The world has&nbsp;entered a period where uncertainty rules and where surprises abound.  Focusing on 2016, the two major surprises usually singled out are the Brexit or the vote leading to the exit of the U.K. from the European Union, then the election of U.S. President Trump against favourite Democratic&nbsp;candidate Hillary Clinton. Even though a short-term focus could let us believe that the turmoil only or mainly hits &quot;the West&quot;, political and geopolitical surprises and uncertainties have multiplied&nbsp;worldwide, starting at least with&nbsp;the shock of the financial crisis in 2007 and 2008 and responses to it (see end note for some major instances*).  What is thus happening? How are we to tackle the uncertainty? Are these surprises&nbsp;related or discrete independent events that it would be wrong to link or try to understand together?  We shall start here with the 2016 surprises and related ongoing uncertainty, i.e. the Brexit and the U.S. Trump Presidency, and focus more particularly on the contradictions and questions that arise when we compare the two phenomena. We shall&nbsp;seek a framework for and elements of understanding, which can then be used in the development of scenarios for the future. This content is restricted to members only. Please log in or become a member to gain access.\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:url\" content=\"https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/zh\/2017\/02\/27\/\u8d85\u8d8a\u5168\u7403\u5316-\u82f1\u56fd\u8131\u6b27-u-s-\u603b\u7edf-\u7279\u6717\u666e\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:site_name\" content=\"The Red Team Analysis Society\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:publisher\" content=\"https:\/\/www.facebook.com\/pages\/Red-Team-Analysis\/341280995886057\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:published_time\" content=\"2017-02-27T09:08:41+00:00\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:modified_time\" content=\"2021-10-08T14:01:09+00:00\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:image\" content=\"https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2017\/02\/globes-1568.jpg\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:width\" content=\"1568\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:height\" content=\"940\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:type\" content=\"image\/jpeg\" \/>\n<meta name=\"author\" content=\"Dr Helene Lavoix (MSc PhD Lond)\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:card\" content=\"summary_large_image\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:creator\" content=\"@HLavoix\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:site\" content=\"@HLavoix\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:label1\" content=\"\u4f5c\u8005\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:data1\" content=\"Dr Helene Lavoix (MSc PhD Lond)\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:label2\" content=\"\u9884\u8ba1\u9605\u8bfb\u65f6\u95f4\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:data2\" content=\"21 \u5206\" \/>\n<script type=\"application\/ld+json\" class=\"yoast-schema-graph\">{\"@context\":\"https:\\\/\\\/schema.org\",\"@graph\":[{\"@type\":\"Article\",\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/redanalysis.org\\\/fr\\\/2017\\\/02\\\/27\\\/au-del%c3%a0-fin-globalisation-brexit-us-president-trump\\\/#article\",\"isPartOf\":{\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/redanalysis.org\\\/fr\\\/2017\\\/02\\\/27\\\/au-del%c3%a0-fin-globalisation-brexit-us-president-trump\\\/\"},\"author\":{\"name\":\"Dr Helene Lavoix (MSc PhD Lond)\",\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/redanalysis.org\\\/#\\\/schema\\\/person\\\/6886ef37ab2b2804bc70995f4ba653d4\"},\"headline\":\"Beyond the End of Globalisation &#8211; 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She holds a PhD in political studies and a MSc in international politics of Asia (distinction) from the School of Oriental and African Studies (SOAS), University of London, as well as a Master in finance (valedictorian, Grande \u00c9cole, France). An expert in strategic foresight and early warning, especially for national and international security issues, she combines 30 years of experience in international relations and almost 20 years in strategic foresight and warning. Dr. Lavoix has lived and worked in five countries, conducted missions in 16 others, and trained high-level officers around the world, for example in Singapore and as part of European programs in Tunisia and Jordan. She has been a lecturer (Master level) and taught the methodology and practice of strategic foresight and early warning in prestigious institutions such as the RSIS in Singapore, SciencesPo-PSIA in France, the Ecole Sup\u00e9rieure des Forces de S\u00e9curit\u00e9 Int\u00e9rieure in Tunisia and the ENA Tunis, Institute of Leadership. She regularly publishes on geopolitical issues, supply and uranium security, artificial intelligence, the international order, China\u2019s rise and other international security topics. Committed to the continuous improvement of foresight and warning methodologies, Dr. Lavoix combines academic expertise and field experience to anticipate the global challenges of tomorrow.\",\"sameAs\":[\"https:\\\/\\\/redanalysis.org\",\"https:\\\/\\\/x.com\\\/HLavoix\"],\"url\":\"https:\\\/\\\/redanalysis.org\\\/zh\\\/author\\\/helenelavoix-2-2-2-2-2-2-2-2-2-2-2-2-2-2-2-2-2-2-3\\\/\"}]}<\/script>\n<!-- \/ Yoast SEO plugin. -->","yoast_head_json":{"title":"\u5168\u7403\u5316\u7ec8\u7ed3\u4e4b\u540e\u2014\u2014\u4ece\u82f1\u56fd\u8131\u6b27\u5230\u7f8e\u56fd\u603b\u7edf\u7279\u6717\u666e \u2022 Red Team Analysis Society","robots":{"index":"index","follow":"follow","max-snippet":"max-snippet:-1","max-image-preview":"max-image-preview:large","max-video-preview":"max-video-preview:-1"},"canonical":"https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/zh\/2017\/02\/27\/\u8d85\u8d8a\u5168\u7403\u5316-\u82f1\u56fd\u8131\u6b27-u-s-\u603b\u7edf-\u7279\u6717\u666e\/","og_locale":"zh_CN","og_type":"article","og_title":"Beyond the End of Globalisation - From the Brexit to U.S. President Trump &#8226; The Red Team Analysis Society","og_description":"The world has&nbsp;entered a period where uncertainty rules and where surprises abound.  Focusing on 2016, the two major surprises usually singled out are the Brexit or the vote leading to the exit of the U.K. from the European Union, then the election of U.S. President Trump against favourite Democratic&nbsp;candidate Hillary Clinton. Even though a short-term focus could let us believe that the turmoil only or mainly hits \"the West\", political and geopolitical surprises and uncertainties have multiplied&nbsp;worldwide, starting at least with&nbsp;the shock of the financial crisis in 2007 and 2008 and responses to it (see end note for some major instances*).  What is thus happening? How are we to tackle the uncertainty? Are these surprises&nbsp;related or discrete independent events that it would be wrong to link or try to understand together?  We shall start here with the 2016 surprises and related ongoing uncertainty, i.e. the Brexit and the U.S. Trump Presidency, and focus more particularly on the contradictions and questions that arise when we compare the two phenomena. We shall&nbsp;seek a framework for and elements of understanding, which can then be used in the development of scenarios for the future. This content is restricted to members only. Please log in or become a member to gain access.","og_url":"https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/zh\/2017\/02\/27\/\u8d85\u8d8a\u5168\u7403\u5316-\u82f1\u56fd\u8131\u6b27-u-s-\u603b\u7edf-\u7279\u6717\u666e\/","og_site_name":"The Red Team Analysis Society","article_publisher":"https:\/\/www.facebook.com\/pages\/Red-Team-Analysis\/341280995886057","article_published_time":"2017-02-27T09:08:41+00:00","article_modified_time":"2021-10-08T14:01:09+00:00","og_image":[{"width":1568,"height":940,"url":"https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2017\/02\/globes-1568.jpg","type":"image\/jpeg"}],"author":"Dr Helene Lavoix (MSc PhD Lond)","twitter_card":"summary_large_image","twitter_creator":"@HLavoix","twitter_site":"@HLavoix","twitter_misc":{"\u4f5c\u8005":"Dr Helene Lavoix (MSc PhD Lond)","\u9884\u8ba1\u9605\u8bfb\u65f6\u95f4":"21 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