{"id":15339,"date":"2017-05-29T10:03:13","date_gmt":"2017-05-29T08:03:13","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.redanalysis.org\/?p=15339"},"modified":"2021-10-08T12:34:45","modified_gmt":"2021-10-08T10:34:45","slug":"%e8%af%84%e4%bb%b7%e5%88%a9%e6%af%94%e4%ba%9a-%e6%83%85%e6%99%af32-%e6%80%bb%e8%83%9c%e5%88%a9%e7%9a%84%e5%8f%af%e8%83%bd%e6%80%a7-1","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/zh\/2017\/05\/29\/evaluating-likelihoods-for-libya-scenario-32-a-total-victory-1\/","title":{"rendered":"\u8bc4\u4f30\u5229\u6bd4\u4e9a\u672a\u6765\u7684\u53ef\u80fd\u6027--\u80dc\u5229\u7684\u60c5\u666f 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\u5e76\u8bbf\u95ee\u8fd9\u7bc7\u6587\u7ae0\u3002<\/p>\n<\/p><\/div>\n<\/p><\/div>","protected":false},"author":156,"featured_media":15350,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_jetpack_feature_clip_id":0,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[312,2499,3247],"tags":[289,1789,2434,1949,1100,2317,625,2334,190,522,2331],"class_list":["post-15339","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-libya","category-middle-east-and-north-africa","category-scenarios-real-world-examples","tag-egypt","tag-featured","tag-geopolitical-uncertainty","tag-haftar","tag-indicators","tag-libya","tag-likelihood","tag-risk-management","tag-scenarios","tag-war","tag-warning","membership-content","access-restricted","entry"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v28.8 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>Evaluating Likelihoods for the Future of Libya \u2013 Scenarios of Victories (1) &#8226; The Red Team Analysis Society<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/zh\/2017\/05\/29\/\u8bc4\u4ef7\u5229\u6bd4\u4e9a-\u60c5\u666f32-\u603b\u80dc\u5229\u7684\u53ef\u80fd\u6027-1\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"zh_CN\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Evaluating Likelihoods for the Future of Libya \u2013 Scenarios of Victories (1) &#8226; The Red Team Analysis Society\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"In this article, we shall assess the likelihood of a total victory by the GNC, GNA, and COR. 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By total victory, we mean a complete victory by one side over its adversaries, which is not imposed from the top down by external powers. In the previous article, we evaluated the likelihood for various spillover scenarios &hellip; \u7ee7\u7eed\u9605\u8bfb\u201cEvaluating Likelihoods for the Future of Libya \u2013 Scenarios of Victories (1)\u201dThis content is restricted to members only. 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