{"id":16057,"date":"2017-10-09T12:44:59","date_gmt":"2017-10-09T10:44:59","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.redanalysis.org\/?p=16057"},"modified":"2021-10-08T12:26:42","modified_gmt":"2021-10-08T10:26:42","slug":"%e6%b6%88%e6%81%af%e6%9d%a5%e6%ba%90-%e7%be%8e%e5%9b%bd%e8%a1%b0%e8%90%bd%e7%9a%84%e5%8a%9b%e9%87%8f-%e8%a7%82%e7%82%b9-%e7%be%8e%e5%9b%bd%e5%9b%bd%e5%ae%b6%e6%83%85%e6%8a%a5%e5%a7%94%e5%91%98","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/zh\/2017\/10\/09\/sources-american-decline-power-view-u-s-national-intelligence-council\/","title":{"rendered":"\u7f8e\u56fd\u8870\u843d\u7684\u6839\u6e90......\u548c\u529b\u91cf--\u6765\u81ea\u7f8e\u56fd\u56fd\u5bb6\u60c5\u62a5\u59d4\u5458\u4f1a\u7684\u89c2\u70b9"},"content":{"rendered":"<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\u7f8e\u56fd\u8870\u843d\u7684\u95ee\u9898\u8d8a\u6765\u8d8a\u591a\u5730\u88ab\u63d0\u4e0a\u65e5\u7a0b\uff0c\u56e0\u4e3a\u5404\u79cd\u4fe1\u53f7\u4f3c\u4e4e\u5806\u79ef\u5728\u4e00\u8d77\uff0c\u8868\u660e\u7f8e\u56fd\u7684\u6743\u529b\u5730\u4f4d\u76f8\u5bf9\u4e27\u5931\u3002\u8fd9\u79cd\u52a8\u529b\u53d1\u6325\u4f5c\u7528\u7684\u6700\u540e\u4e00\u4e2a\u4f8b\u5b50\u662f2017\u5e7410\u67084\u65e5\u81f38\u65e5\u6c99\u7279\u56fd\u738b\u8428\u52d2\u66fc\u5bf9\u4fc4\u7f57\u65af\u7684\u56fd\u4e8b\u8bbf\u95ee\uff0c\u4ed6\u662f\u7f8e\u56fd\u81ea1945\u5e74\u4ee5\u6765\u7684\u957f\u671f\u4eb2\u5bc6\u76df\u53cb\u3002\u56fd\u738b\u7684\u56de\u5f52\u88ab\u6c99\u7279\u5f3a\u8c03<em><a href=\"http:\/\/www.arabnews.com\/node\/1174486\/saudi-arabia\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"> \u963f\u62c9\u4f2f\u65b0\u95fb\u7f51<\/a><\/em> \u4f5c\u4e3a \"\u5bf9\u4fc4\u7f57\u65af\u4e3a\u671f\u56db\u5929\u7684\u5386\u53f2\u6027\u56fd\u4e8b\u8bbf\u95ee\uff0c\u6c99\u7279\u548c\u4fc4\u7f57\u65af\u7684\u5173\u7cfb\u8fbe\u5230\u4e86\u65b0\u7684\u9ad8\u5ea6\"\u3002\u56e0\u6b64\uff0c\u8fd9\u6b21\u8bbf\u95ee\u4f3c\u4e4e\u9884\u793a\u7740\u4e00\u4e2a\u65b0\u65f6\u671f\u7684\u5f00\u59cb\uff0c\u7f8e\u56fd\u7684\u8870\u9000\u53ef\u80fd\u6210\u4e3a\u73b0\u5b9e\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\u6211\u4eec\u901a\u8fc7\u4e09\u7bc7\u7cfb\u5217\u6587\u7ae0\u6765\u7814\u7a76\u7f8e\u56fd\u529b\u91cf\u7684\u4e27\u5931\uff0c\u8fd9\u4e09\u7bc7\u6587\u7ae0\u63a2\u8ba8\u4e86\u7f8e\u56fd\u56fd\u5bb6\u60c5\u62a5\u59d4\u5458\u4f1a\uff08NIC\uff09--\u7f8e\u56fd\u56fd\u5bb6\u60c5\u62a5\u603b\u76d1\u529e\u516c\u5ba4\uff08ODNI\uff09\u7684\u4e00\u90e8\u5206--\u516c\u5f00\u8ba4\u4e3a\u7684\u7f8e\u56fd\u8870\u9000\u7684\u4e09\u4e2a\u65b9\u9762\u3002 <a href=\"https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/zh\/2017\/09\/25\/u-s-decline-view-u-s-national-intelligence-council\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">\u4ee5\u524d\u7684<\/a>\u5728\u8fd9\u7bc7\u6587\u7ae0\u4e2d\uff0c\u6211\u4eec\u8bd5\u56fe\u4e86\u89e3\u56fd\u5bb6\u4fe1\u606f\u4e2d\u5fc3\u6240\u8bf4\u7684\u7f8e\u56fd\u8870\u843d\u53ca\u5176\u5f00\u59cb\u7684\u786e\u5207\u542b\u4e49\u3002\u5728\u8fd9\u7bc7\u6587\u7ae0\u4e2d\uff0c\u6211\u4eec\u5c06\u91cd\u70b9\u8ba8\u8bba\u56fd\u5bb6\u4fe1\u606f\u4e2d\u5fc3\u786e\u5b9a\u7684\u7f8e\u56fd\u8870\u843d\u548c\u6743\u529b\u7684\u6765\u6e90\uff0c\u8fd9\u4e5f\u5c06\u4e3a\u6211\u4eec\u63d0\u4f9b\u76d1\u6d4b\u8870\u843d\u7684\u6307\u6807\u3002\u6700\u540e\uff0c\u5728\u7b2c\u4e09\u7bc7\u6587\u7ae0\u4e2d\uff0c\u6211\u4eec\u5c06\u6307\u51fa\u7f8e\u56fd\u8870\u843d\u7684\u81ea\u76f8\u77db\u76fe\u7684\u7279\u70b9\uff0c\u5e76\u8ba8\u8bba\u7f8e\u56fd\u65e0\u6cd5\u63a5\u53d7\u5176\u4f5c\u4e3a\u8d85\u7ea7\u5927\u56fd\u7684\u6d88\u4ea1\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n<\/p>\n\n\n\n<hr class=\"wp-block-separator is-style-wide\"\/>\n\n\n\n<p style=\"background-color:#dcdcdc\" class=\"has-background wp-block-paragraph\"><em>\u975e\u4f1a\u5458\u6216\u60a8\u7684\u5957\u9910\u7684\u8bbf\u95ee\u662f\u6709\u9650\u7684\u3002\u8981\u7ee7\u7eed\u9605\u8bfb\u3002 <a href=\"https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/zh\/%e4%ba%a7%e5%93%81\/%e6%88%90%e5%91%98-2\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\" aria-label=\"\u6210\u4e3a\u4f1a\u5458 (\u5728\u65b0\u6807\u7b7e\u4e2d\u6253\u5f00)\">\u6210\u4e3a\u4f1a\u5458<\/a> \u7ea2\u8272\uff08\u56e2\u961f\uff09\u5206\u6790\u534f\u4f1a\u7684\u6210\u5458\u3002\u5982\u679c\u60a8\u5df2\u7ecf\u662f\u4f1a\u5458\uff0c\u8bf7 <a rel=\"noreferrer noopener\" href=\"https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/wp-login.php\" target=\"_blank\">\u767b\u5f55<\/a>\u00a0(\u4e0d\u8981\u5fd8\u8bb0\u5237\u65b0\u9875\u9762\uff09\u3002\u5982\u679c\u4f60\u60f3\u9605\u8bfb\u514d\u8d39\u6587\u7ae0\uff0c\u8bf7\u5bfb\u627e\u6211\u4eec\u7684 <a rel=\"noreferrer noopener\" href=\"https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/zh\/%e6%a0%87%e7%ad%be\/%e5%bc%80%e6%94%be%e8%8e%b7%e5%8f%96\/\" target=\"_blank\">\u5f00\u653e\u5b58\u53d6\u7684\u51fa\u7248\u7269<\/a>.<\/em> <br>\u5168\u6587 2110\u5b57 - \u7ea65\u9875<\/p>\n\n\n<p>\n\n\n\n\n\n\n<hr class=\"wp-block-separator\"\/>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><strong>\u7279\u8272\u56fe\u7247<\/strong> \u7531 Bruce Emmerling \u521b\u4f5c\uff0c\u516c\u5171\u9886\u57df\u3001 <a href=\"https:\/\/pixabay.com\/en\/flag-us-flag-american-flags-flags-217619\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Pixabay<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n<hr class=\"wp-block-separator\"\/>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">\u8be6\u7ec6\u53c2\u8003\u4e66\u76ee<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\u7f8e\u56fd\u7684\u571f\u6728\u5de5\u7a0b\u5e08\uff0c\"<a href=\"https:\/\/www.infrastructurereportcard.org\/making-the-grade\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">\u57fa\u7840\u8bbe\u65bd\u62a5\u544a\u5361<\/a>\u201c, 2017.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><span style=\"text-align: justify;\">\u56fd\u5bb6\u60c5\u62a5\u59d4\u5458\u4f1a\u3001&nbsp;<\/span><em style=\"text-align: justify;\"><a href=\"https:\/\/www.dni.gov\/index.php\/global-trends-home\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">\u5168\u7403\u8d8b\u52bf\uff1a\u8fdb\u6b65\u7684\u6096\u8bba\u300b\uff08GT\uff09<\/a><\/em><span style=\"text-align: justify;\">,&nbsp;<\/span><em style=\"text-align: justify;\">\u56fd\u5bb6\u60c5\u62a5\u603b\u76d1\u529e\u516c\u5ba4\u3001<\/em><span style=\"text-align: justify;\">&nbsp;(\u516c\u5f00\u7248\u672c\uff0c2017 \u5e74 1 \u6708\uff09\u3002<\/span><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\u7ea2\u8272\uff08\u56e2\u961f\uff09\u5206\u6790\u534f\u4f1a\uff0c\"<a href=\"https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/zh\/2013\/02\/25\/%e5%a3%b3%e7%89%8c%e7%9f%b3%e6%b2%b9%e5%92%8c%e5%a4%a9%e7%84%b6%e6%b0%94%e7%9a%84%e5%ae%89%e5%85%a8%e9%97%ae%e9%a2%98\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">\u9875\u5ca9\u6cb9\u6c14\u5b89\u5168\u7684\u6807\u5fd7<\/a>\"\uff0c\u6bcf\u65e5\u626b\u63cf\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Valantin, Jean-Michel, \"<a href=\"https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/zh\/2017\/09\/18\/%e6%b0%94%e5%80%99%e5%8f%98%e5%8c%96-%e9%95%bf%e6%9c%9f%e7%9a%84%e8%a1%8c%e6%98%9f%e8%bd%b0%e7%82%b8\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">\u6c14\u5019\u53d8\u5316\uff1a\u6f2b\u957f\u7684\u884c\u661f\u8f70\u70b8<\/a>\u201c, <em>\u7ea2\u8272\uff08\u56e2\u961f\uff09\u5206\u6790\u534f\u4f1a<\/em>, 2017\u5e749\u670818\u65e5\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\u534e\u5c14\u5179\uff0c\u80af\u5c3c\u65af&nbsp;<em>\u56fd\u9645\u653f\u6cbb\u7406\u8bba<\/em>Addison-Wesley \u51fa\u7248\u516c\u53f8\uff0c1979 \u5e74\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\u8bf7\u9605\u8bfb Korab-Karpowicz, W. Julian \u7684 \"\u534e\u5c14\u5179\u7406\u8bba \"\u6458\u8981\u3002<a href=\"https:\/\/plato.stanford.edu\/entries\/realism-intl-relations\/#KennWaltInteSyst\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">\u56fd\u9645\u5173\u7cfb\u4e2d\u7684\u653f\u6cbb\u73b0\u5b9e\u4e3b\u4e49<\/a>\u201c,&nbsp;<em>\u65af\u5766\u798f\u54f2\u5b66\u767e\u79d1\u5168\u4e66&nbsp;<\/em>(2017 \u5e74\u590f\u5b63\u7248\uff09\uff0cEdward N. Zalta\uff08\u7f16\u8f91\uff09\u3002<\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>\u7f8e\u56fd\u8870\u843d\u7684\u95ee\u9898\u8d8a\u6765\u8d8a\u591a\u5730\u88ab\u63d0\u4e0a\u65e5\u7a0b\uff0c\u56e0\u4e3a\u5404\u79cd\u4fe1\u53f7\u4f3c\u4e4e\u5806\u79ef\u5728\u4e00\u8d77\uff0c\u8868\u660e\u7f8e\u56fd\u7684\u6743\u529b\u5730\u4f4d\u76f8\u5bf9\u4e27\u5931\u3002\u8fd9\u79cd\u52a8\u529b\u53d1\u6325\u4f5c\u7528\u7684\u6700\u540e\u4e00\u4e2a\u4f8b\u5b50\u662f2017\u5e7410\u67084\u65e5\u81f38\u65e5\u6c99\u7279\u56fd\u738b\u8428\u52d2\u66fc\u5bf9\u4fc4\u7f57\u65af\u7684\u56fd\u4e8b\u8bbf\u95ee\u3002 \u6c99\u7279\u56fd\u738b\u8428\u52d2\u66fc\u662f\u7f8e\u56fd\u7684\u957f\u671f\u4eb2\u5bc6\u76df\u53cb\u3002 <\/p>\n<p class=\"link-more\"><a href=\"https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/zh\/2017\/10\/09\/sources-american-decline-power-view-u-s-national-intelligence-council\/\" class=\"more-link\">\u7ee7\u7eed\u9605\u8bfb<span class=\"screen-reader-text\">\"\u7f8e\u56fd\u8870\u843d\u7684\u6839\u6e90......\u548c\u529b\u91cf--\u6765\u81ea\u7f8e\u56fd\u56fd\u5bb6\u60c5\u62a5\u59d4\u5458\u4f1a\u7684\u89c2\u70b9\"<\/span><\/a><\/p>","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":16312,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_jetpack_feature_clip_id":0,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[2503,1078],"tags":[1789,2543],"class_list":["post-16057","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-americas","category-new-paradigm","tag-featured","tag-u-s-decline","entry"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v28.8 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>Sources of American Decline... and Power - The View from the U.S. National Intelligence Council &#8226; The Red Team Analysis Society<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/zh\/2017\/10\/09\/\u6d88\u606f\u6765\u6e90-\u7f8e\u56fd\u8870\u843d\u7684\u529b\u91cf-\u89c2\u70b9-\u7f8e\u56fd\u56fd\u5bb6\u60c5\u62a5\u59d4\u5458\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"zh_CN\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Sources of American Decline... and Power - The View from the U.S. National Intelligence Council &#8226; The Red Team Analysis Society\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"The question of a U.S. decline is increasingly on the agenda as signals seem to pile up to indicate a relative loss of power status. The last instance of such dynamics at play is the 4 to 8 October 2017 state visit to Russia of King Salman Saudi Arabia King Salman, a long-standing close ally&nbsp;of &hellip; \u7ee7\u7eed\u9605\u8bfb\u201cSources of American Decline&#8230; and Power &#8211; The View from the U.S. National Intelligence Council\u201d\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:url\" content=\"https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/zh\/2017\/10\/09\/\u6d88\u606f\u6765\u6e90-\u7f8e\u56fd\u8870\u843d\u7684\u529b\u91cf-\u89c2\u70b9-\u7f8e\u56fd\u56fd\u5bb6\u60c5\u62a5\u59d4\u5458\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:site_name\" content=\"The Red Team Analysis Society\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:publisher\" content=\"https:\/\/www.facebook.com\/pages\/Red-Team-Analysis\/341280995886057\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:published_time\" content=\"2017-10-09T10:44:59+00:00\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:modified_time\" content=\"2021-10-08T10:26:42+00:00\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:image\" content=\"https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2017\/10\/american-flag-823601_1038.jpg\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:width\" content=\"1038\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:height\" content=\"576\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:type\" content=\"image\/jpeg\" \/>\n<meta name=\"author\" content=\"Dr Helene Lavoix (MSc PhD Lond)\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:card\" content=\"summary_large_image\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:creator\" content=\"@HLavoix\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:site\" content=\"@HLavoix\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:label1\" content=\"\u4f5c\u8005\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:data1\" content=\"Dr Helene Lavoix (MSc PhD Lond)\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:label2\" content=\"\u9884\u8ba1\u9605\u8bfb\u65f6\u95f4\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:data2\" content=\"11 \u5206\" \/>\n<script type=\"application\/ld+json\" class=\"yoast-schema-graph\">{\"@context\":\"https:\\\/\\\/schema.org\",\"@graph\":[{\"@type\":\"Article\",\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/redanalysis.org\\\/2017\\\/10\\\/09\\\/sources-american-decline-power-view-u-s-national-intelligence-council\\\/#article\",\"isPartOf\":{\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/redanalysis.org\\\/2017\\\/10\\\/09\\\/sources-american-decline-power-view-u-s-national-intelligence-council\\\/\"},\"author\":{\"name\":\"Dr Helene Lavoix (MSc PhD Lond)\",\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/redanalysis.org\\\/#\\\/schema\\\/person\\\/6886ef37ab2b2804bc70995f4ba653d4\"},\"headline\":\"Sources of American Decline&#8230; and Power &#8211; The View from the U.S. National Intelligence Council\",\"datePublished\":\"2017-10-09T10:44:59+00:00\",\"dateModified\":\"2021-10-08T10:26:42+00:00\",\"mainEntityOfPage\":{\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/redanalysis.org\\\/2017\\\/10\\\/09\\\/sources-american-decline-power-view-u-s-national-intelligence-council\\\/\"},\"wordCount\":2251,\"commentCount\":0,\"publisher\":{\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/redanalysis.org\\\/#organization\"},\"image\":{\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/redanalysis.org\\\/2017\\\/10\\\/09\\\/sources-american-decline-power-view-u-s-national-intelligence-council\\\/#primaryimage\"},\"thumbnailUrl\":\"https:\\\/\\\/redanalysis.org\\\/wp-content\\\/uploads\\\/2017\\\/10\\\/american-flag-823601_1038.jpg\",\"keywords\":[\"featured\",\"U.S. decline\"],\"articleSection\":[\"Americas\",\"International Order and New Paradigm\"],\"inLanguage\":\"zh-Hans\",\"potentialAction\":[{\"@type\":\"CommentAction\",\"name\":\"Comment\",\"target\":[\"https:\\\/\\\/redanalysis.org\\\/2017\\\/10\\\/09\\\/sources-american-decline-power-view-u-s-national-intelligence-council\\\/#respond\"]}]},{\"@type\":\"WebPage\",\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/redanalysis.org\\\/2017\\\/10\\\/09\\\/sources-american-decline-power-view-u-s-national-intelligence-council\\\/\",\"url\":\"https:\\\/\\\/redanalysis.org\\\/2017\\\/10\\\/09\\\/sources-american-decline-power-view-u-s-national-intelligence-council\\\/\",\"name\":\"Sources of American Decline... and Power - The View from the U.S. National Intelligence Council &#8226; The Red Team Analysis Society\",\"isPartOf\":{\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/redanalysis.org\\\/#website\"},\"primaryImageOfPage\":{\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/redanalysis.org\\\/2017\\\/10\\\/09\\\/sources-american-decline-power-view-u-s-national-intelligence-council\\\/#primaryimage\"},\"image\":{\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/redanalysis.org\\\/2017\\\/10\\\/09\\\/sources-american-decline-power-view-u-s-national-intelligence-council\\\/#primaryimage\"},\"thumbnailUrl\":\"https:\\\/\\\/redanalysis.org\\\/wp-content\\\/uploads\\\/2017\\\/10\\\/american-flag-823601_1038.jpg\",\"datePublished\":\"2017-10-09T10:44:59+00:00\",\"dateModified\":\"2021-10-08T10:26:42+00:00\",\"inLanguage\":\"zh-Hans\",\"potentialAction\":[{\"@type\":\"ReadAction\",\"target\":[\"https:\\\/\\\/redanalysis.org\\\/2017\\\/10\\\/09\\\/sources-american-decline-power-view-u-s-national-intelligence-council\\\/\"]}]},{\"@type\":\"ImageObject\",\"inLanguage\":\"zh-Hans\",\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/redanalysis.org\\\/2017\\\/10\\\/09\\\/sources-american-decline-power-view-u-s-national-intelligence-council\\\/#primaryimage\",\"url\":\"https:\\\/\\\/redanalysis.org\\\/wp-content\\\/uploads\\\/2017\\\/10\\\/american-flag-823601_1038.jpg\",\"contentUrl\":\"https:\\\/\\\/redanalysis.org\\\/wp-content\\\/uploads\\\/2017\\\/10\\\/american-flag-823601_1038.jpg\",\"width\":1038,\"height\":576,\"caption\":\"American decline, U.S. decline, waning, superpower, power status, U.S. dominance, American dominance, power, Red (Team) Analysis Society, Indicators, warning\"},{\"@type\":\"WebSite\",\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/redanalysis.org\\\/#website\",\"url\":\"https:\\\/\\\/redanalysis.org\\\/\",\"name\":\"The Red Team Analysis Society\",\"description\":\"Strategic Foresight &amp; Early Warning \uff65 Political &amp; Geopolitical Risk \u00b7 Scenarios\",\"publisher\":{\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/redanalysis.org\\\/#organization\"},\"potentialAction\":[{\"@type\":\"SearchAction\",\"target\":{\"@type\":\"EntryPoint\",\"urlTemplate\":\"https:\\\/\\\/redanalysis.org\\\/?s={search_term_string}\"},\"query-input\":{\"@type\":\"PropertyValueSpecification\",\"valueRequired\":true,\"valueName\":\"search_term_string\"}}],\"inLanguage\":\"zh-Hans\"},{\"@type\":\"Organization\",\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/redanalysis.org\\\/#organization\",\"name\":\"The Red Team Analysis Society\",\"url\":\"https:\\\/\\\/redanalysis.org\\\/\",\"logo\":{\"@type\":\"ImageObject\",\"inLanguage\":\"zh-Hans\",\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/redanalysis.org\\\/#\\\/schema\\\/logo\\\/image\\\/\",\"url\":\"https:\\\/\\\/redanalysis.org\\\/wp-content\\\/uploads\\\/2017\\\/03\\\/logo-Sans-fond-interior-white-thick-circle-3-1-250.png\",\"contentUrl\":\"https:\\\/\\\/redanalysis.org\\\/wp-content\\\/uploads\\\/2017\\\/03\\\/logo-Sans-fond-interior-white-thick-circle-3-1-250.png\",\"width\":250,\"height\":250,\"caption\":\"The Red Team Analysis Society\"},\"image\":{\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/redanalysis.org\\\/#\\\/schema\\\/logo\\\/image\\\/\"},\"sameAs\":[\"https:\\\/\\\/www.facebook.com\\\/pages\\\/Red-Team-Analysis\\\/341280995886057\",\"https:\\\/\\\/x.com\\\/HLavoix\",\"https:\\\/\\\/www.instagram.com\\\/helenelavoix\\\/\",\"https:\\\/\\\/www.linkedin.com\\\/company\\\/5403964\\\/admin\\\/dashboard\\\/\"]},{\"@type\":\"Person\",\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/redanalysis.org\\\/#\\\/schema\\\/person\\\/6886ef37ab2b2804bc70995f4ba653d4\",\"name\":\"Dr Helene Lavoix (MSc PhD Lond)\",\"description\":\"Dr Helene Lavoix is President and Founder of The Red Team Analysis Society. She holds a PhD in political studies and a MSc in international politics of Asia (distinction) from the School of Oriental and African Studies (SOAS), University of London, as well as a Master in finance (valedictorian, Grande \u00c9cole, France). An expert in strategic foresight and early warning, especially for national and international security issues, she combines 30 years of experience in international relations and almost 20 years in strategic foresight and warning. Dr. Lavoix has lived and worked in five countries, conducted missions in 16 others, and trained high-level officers around the world, for example in Singapore and as part of European programs in Tunisia and Jordan. She has been a lecturer (Master level) and taught the methodology and practice of strategic foresight and early warning in prestigious institutions such as the RSIS in Singapore, SciencesPo-PSIA in France, the Ecole Sup\u00e9rieure des Forces de S\u00e9curit\u00e9 Int\u00e9rieure in Tunisia and the ENA Tunis, Institute of Leadership. She regularly publishes on geopolitical issues, supply and uranium security, artificial intelligence, the international order, China\u2019s rise and other international security topics. Committed to the continuous improvement of foresight and warning methodologies, Dr. Lavoix combines academic expertise and field experience to anticipate the global challenges of tomorrow.\",\"sameAs\":[\"https:\\\/\\\/redanalysis.org\",\"https:\\\/\\\/x.com\\\/HLavoix\"],\"url\":\"https:\\\/\\\/redanalysis.org\\\/zh\\\/author\\\/helenelavoix-2-2-2-2-2-2-2-2-2-2-2-2-2-2-2-2-2-2-3\\\/\"}]}<\/script>\n<!-- \/ Yoast SEO plugin. -->","yoast_head_json":{"title":"\u7f8e\u56fd\u8870\u843d\u7684\u6839\u6e90\u2026\u2026\u53ca\u5176\u529b\u91cf\u2014\u2014\u7f8e\u56fd\u56fd\u5bb6\u60c5\u62a5\u59d4\u5458\u4f1a\u7684\u89c6\u89d2 \u2022 The Red Team Analysis Society","robots":{"index":"index","follow":"follow","max-snippet":"max-snippet:-1","max-image-preview":"max-image-preview:large","max-video-preview":"max-video-preview:-1"},"canonical":"https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/zh\/2017\/10\/09\/\u6d88\u606f\u6765\u6e90-\u7f8e\u56fd\u8870\u843d\u7684\u529b\u91cf-\u89c2\u70b9-\u7f8e\u56fd\u56fd\u5bb6\u60c5\u62a5\u59d4\u5458\/","og_locale":"zh_CN","og_type":"article","og_title":"Sources of American Decline... and Power - The View from the U.S. National Intelligence Council &#8226; The Red Team Analysis Society","og_description":"The question of a U.S. decline is increasingly on the agenda as signals seem to pile up to indicate a relative loss of power status. The last instance of such dynamics at play is the 4 to 8 October 2017 state visit to Russia of King Salman Saudi Arabia King Salman, a long-standing close ally&nbsp;of &hellip; \u7ee7\u7eed\u9605\u8bfb\u201cSources of American Decline&#8230; and Power &#8211; The View from the U.S. National Intelligence Council\u201d","og_url":"https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/zh\/2017\/10\/09\/\u6d88\u606f\u6765\u6e90-\u7f8e\u56fd\u8870\u843d\u7684\u529b\u91cf-\u89c2\u70b9-\u7f8e\u56fd\u56fd\u5bb6\u60c5\u62a5\u59d4\u5458\/","og_site_name":"The Red Team Analysis Society","article_publisher":"https:\/\/www.facebook.com\/pages\/Red-Team-Analysis\/341280995886057","article_published_time":"2017-10-09T10:44:59+00:00","article_modified_time":"2021-10-08T10:26:42+00:00","og_image":[{"width":1038,"height":576,"url":"https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2017\/10\/american-flag-823601_1038.jpg","type":"image\/jpeg"}],"author":"Dr Helene Lavoix (MSc PhD Lond)","twitter_card":"summary_large_image","twitter_creator":"@HLavoix","twitter_site":"@HLavoix","twitter_misc":{"\u4f5c\u8005":"Dr Helene Lavoix (MSc PhD Lond)","\u9884\u8ba1\u9605\u8bfb\u65f6\u95f4":"11 \u5206"},"schema":{"@context":"https:\/\/schema.org","@graph":[{"@type":"Article","@id":"https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/2017\/10\/09\/sources-american-decline-power-view-u-s-national-intelligence-council\/#article","isPartOf":{"@id":"https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/2017\/10\/09\/sources-american-decline-power-view-u-s-national-intelligence-council\/"},"author":{"name":"Dr Helene Lavoix (MSc PhD Lond)","@id":"https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/#\/schema\/person\/6886ef37ab2b2804bc70995f4ba653d4"},"headline":"Sources of American Decline&#8230; and Power &#8211; The View from the U.S. National Intelligence Council","datePublished":"2017-10-09T10:44:59+00:00","dateModified":"2021-10-08T10:26:42+00:00","mainEntityOfPage":{"@id":"https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/2017\/10\/09\/sources-american-decline-power-view-u-s-national-intelligence-council\/"},"wordCount":2251,"commentCount":0,"publisher":{"@id":"https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/#organization"},"image":{"@id":"https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/2017\/10\/09\/sources-american-decline-power-view-u-s-national-intelligence-council\/#primaryimage"},"thumbnailUrl":"https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2017\/10\/american-flag-823601_1038.jpg","keywords":["featured","U.S. decline"],"articleSection":["Americas","International Order and New Paradigm"],"inLanguage":"zh-Hans","potentialAction":[{"@type":"CommentAction","name":"Comment","target":["https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/2017\/10\/09\/sources-american-decline-power-view-u-s-national-intelligence-council\/#respond"]}]},{"@type":"WebPage","@id":"https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/2017\/10\/09\/sources-american-decline-power-view-u-s-national-intelligence-council\/","url":"https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/2017\/10\/09\/sources-american-decline-power-view-u-s-national-intelligence-council\/","name":"\u7f8e\u56fd\u8870\u843d\u7684\u6839\u6e90\u2026\u2026\u53ca\u5176\u529b\u91cf\u2014\u2014\u7f8e\u56fd\u56fd\u5bb6\u60c5\u62a5\u59d4\u5458\u4f1a\u7684\u89c6\u89d2 \u2022 The Red Team Analysis Society","isPartOf":{"@id":"https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/#website"},"primaryImageOfPage":{"@id":"https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/2017\/10\/09\/sources-american-decline-power-view-u-s-national-intelligence-council\/#primaryimage"},"image":{"@id":"https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/2017\/10\/09\/sources-american-decline-power-view-u-s-national-intelligence-council\/#primaryimage"},"thumbnailUrl":"https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2017\/10\/american-flag-823601_1038.jpg","datePublished":"2017-10-09T10:44:59+00:00","dateModified":"2021-10-08T10:26:42+00:00","inLanguage":"zh-Hans","potentialAction":[{"@type":"ReadAction","target":["https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/2017\/10\/09\/sources-american-decline-power-view-u-s-national-intelligence-council\/"]}]},{"@type":"ImageObject","inLanguage":"zh-Hans","@id":"https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/2017\/10\/09\/sources-american-decline-power-view-u-s-national-intelligence-council\/#primaryimage","url":"https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2017\/10\/american-flag-823601_1038.jpg","contentUrl":"https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2017\/10\/american-flag-823601_1038.jpg","width":1038,"height":576,"caption":"American decline, U.S. decline, waning, superpower, power status, U.S. dominance, American dominance, power, Red (Team) Analysis Society, Indicators, warning"},{"@type":"WebSite","@id":"https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/#website","url":"https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/","name":"\u8fdc\u666f\u6d1e\u5bdf\u7814\u7a76\u6240","description":"\u6218\u7565\u524d\u77bb\u4e0e\u65e9\u671f\u9884\u8b66 \uff65 \u653f\u6cbb\u4e0e\u5730\u7f18\u653f\u6cbb\u98ce\u9669 \u00b7 \u60c5\u666f\u5206\u6790","publisher":{"@id":"https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/#organization"},"potentialAction":[{"@type":"SearchAction","target":{"@type":"EntryPoint","urlTemplate":"https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/?s={search_term_string}"},"query-input":{"@type":"PropertyValueSpecification","valueRequired":true,"valueName":"search_term_string"}}],"inLanguage":"zh-Hans"},{"@type":"Organization","@id":"https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/#organization","name":"\u8fdc\u666f\u6d1e\u5bdf\u7814\u7a76\u6240","url":"https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/","logo":{"@type":"ImageObject","inLanguage":"zh-Hans","@id":"https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/#\/schema\/logo\/image\/","url":"https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2017\/03\/logo-Sans-fond-interior-white-thick-circle-3-1-250.png","contentUrl":"https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2017\/03\/logo-Sans-fond-interior-white-thick-circle-3-1-250.png","width":250,"height":250,"caption":"The Red Team Analysis Society"},"image":{"@id":"https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/#\/schema\/logo\/image\/"},"sameAs":["https:\/\/www.facebook.com\/pages\/Red-Team-Analysis\/341280995886057","https:\/\/x.com\/HLavoix","https:\/\/www.instagram.com\/helenelavoix\/","https:\/\/www.linkedin.com\/company\/5403964\/admin\/dashboard\/"]},{"@type":"Person","@id":"https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/#\/schema\/person\/6886ef37ab2b2804bc70995f4ba653d4","name":"Helene Lavoix \u535a\u58eb\uff08\u4f26\u6566\u5927\u5b66\u7406\u5b66\u7855\u58eb\u3001\u535a\u58eb\uff09","description":"\u662f Red Team Analysis Society \u7684\u603b\u88c1\u517c\u521b\u59cb\u4eba\u3002\u5979\u62e5\u6709\u4f26\u6566\u5927\u5b66\u4e9a\u975e\u5b66\u9662\uff08SOAS\uff09\u653f\u6cbb\u5b66\u535a\u58eb\u5b66\u4f4d\u548c\u4e9a\u6d32\u56fd\u9645\u653f\u6cbb\u7855\u58eb\u5b66\u4f4d\uff08\u4f18\u5f02\u6210\u7ee9\uff09\uff0c\u4ee5\u53ca\u91d1\u878d\u5b66\u7855\u58eb\u5b66\u4f4d\uff08\u6cd5\u56fd\u5927\u5b66\u6821\u6bd5\u4e1a\uff09\u3002\r\n\r\n\u5979\u62e5\u6709 30 \u5e74\u7684\u56fd\u9645\u5173\u7cfb\u7ecf\u9a8c\u548c\u8fd1 20 \u5e74\u7684\u6218\u7565\u9884\u6d4b\u548c\u9884\u8b66\u7ecf\u9a8c\uff0c\u662f\u6218\u7565\u9884\u6d4b\u548c\u9884\u8b66\u4e13\u5bb6\uff0c\u7279\u522b\u662f\u5728\u56fd\u5bb6\u548c\u56fd\u9645\u5b89\u5168\u95ee\u9898\u65b9\u9762\u3002\u62c9\u6c83\u74e6\u535a\u58eb\u66fe\u5728\u4e94\u4e2a\u56fd\u5bb6\u751f\u6d3b\u548c\u5de5\u4f5c\u8fc7\uff0c\u5728\u53e6\u5916 16 \u4e2a\u56fd\u5bb6\u6267\u884c\u8fc7\u4efb\u52a1\uff0c\u5e76\u5728\u4e16\u754c\u5404\u5730\u57f9\u8bad\u8fc7\u9ad8\u7ea7\u5b98\u5458\uff0c\u4f8b\u5982\u5728\u65b0\u52a0\u5761\uff0c\u4ee5\u53ca\u4f5c\u4e3a\u6b27\u6d32\u9879\u76ee\u7684\u4e00\u90e8\u5206\u5728\u7a81\u5c3c\u65af\u548c\u7ea6\u65e6\u3002\r\n\r\n\u5979\u66fe\u5728\u65b0\u52a0\u5761 RSIS\u3001SciencesPo-PSIA \u6216\u7a81\u5c3c\u65af\u56fd\u5185\u6cbb\u5b89\u90e8\u961f\u9ad8\u7b49\u5b66\u6821\u548c\u7a81\u5c3c\u65af\u56fd\u5bb6\u822a\u7a7a\u548c\u822a\u5929\u5c40\u9886\u5bfc\u529b\u5b66\u9662\u7b49\u8457\u540d\u673a\u6784\u62c5\u4efb\u8bb2\u5e08\uff08\u7855\u58eb\uff09\uff0c\u8bb2\u6388\u6218\u7565\u524d\u77bb\u548c\u9884\u8b66\u7684\u65b9\u6cd5\u4e0e\u5b9e\u8df5\u3002\r\n\u5979\u5b9a\u671f\u53d1\u8868\u5173\u4e8e\u5730\u7f18\u653f\u6cbb\u95ee\u9898\u3001\u4f9b\u5e94\u548c\u94c0\u5b89\u5168\u3001\u4eba\u5de5\u667a\u80fd\u3001\u56fd\u9645\u79e9\u5e8f\u3001\u4e2d\u56fd\u5d1b\u8d77\u548c\u5176\u4ed6\u56fd\u9645\u5b89\u5168\u4e3b\u9898\u7684\u6587\u7ae0\u3002\r\n\r\n\u62c9\u6c83\u74e6\u535a\u58eb\u81f4\u529b\u4e8e\u4e0d\u65ad\u6539\u8fdb\u9884\u6d4b\u548c\u9884\u8b66\u65b9\u6cd5\uff0c\u5c06\u5b66\u672f\u4e13\u957f\u4e0e\u5b9e\u5730\u7ecf\u9a8c\u76f8\u7ed3\u5408\uff0c\u9884\u6d4b\u672a\u6765\u7684\u5168\u7403\u6311\u6218\u3002.","sameAs":["https:\/\/redanalysis.org","https:\/\/x.com\/HLavoix"],"url":"https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/zh\/author\/helenelavoix-2-2-2-2-2-2-2-2-2-2-2-2-2-2-2-2-2-2-3\/"}]}},"jetpack_sharing_enabled":true,"jetpack_featured_media_url":"https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2017\/10\/american-flag-823601_1038.jpg","_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/zh\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/16057","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/zh\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/zh\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/zh\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/zh\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=16057"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/zh\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/16057\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/zh\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/16312"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/zh\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=16057"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/zh\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=16057"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/zh\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=16057"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}