{"id":16554,"date":"2017-10-17T10:11:00","date_gmt":"2017-10-17T08:11:00","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.redanalysis.org\/?p=16554"},"modified":"2018-10-16T19:31:05","modified_gmt":"2018-10-16T17:31:05","slug":"%e4%bf%a1%e5%8f%b7-%e5%88%a9%e6%af%94%e4%ba%9a%e6%96%af-%e7%90%86%e4%ba%8b%e4%bc%9a%e4%bb%a3%e8%a1%a8-%e5%af%b9%e8%af%9d-%e5%a7%94%e5%91%98%e4%bc%9a-%e6%94%be%e5%bc%83%e5%92%8c%e5%b9%b3%e8%b0%88","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/zh\/2017\/10\/17\/signal-libyas-council-representatives-dialogue-committee-abandons-peace-negotiations\/","title":{"rendered":"\u4fe1\u53f7\u3002\u5229\u6bd4\u4e9a\u56fd\u6c11\u8bae\u4f1a\u5bf9\u8bdd\u59d4\u5458\u4f1a\u653e\u5f03\u548c\u5e73\u8c08\u5224"},"content":{"rendered":"
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Impact on Issues<\/span><\/h3>\n

\u279a <\/span>\u2780 <\/span> \/ \u2784\u00a0<\/span>Failed peace talks \/ Continued war in Libya<\/p>\n<\/div>\n

On Monday 16 October 2017 evening, the Council of Representatives (COR) dialogue committee suspended its participation in the Tunisia-hosted peace negotiations with the Government of National Accord (GNA).<\/p>\n

For previous and other signals check the<\/p>\n

Horizon Scanning Board<\/a><\/p><\/blockquote>\n

According to the official statement and members of the COR’s committee, the dispute is focused on a lack of guarantees by the GNA on forming a new united government. Other sources present at the meetings confirmed that the GNA’s objection to annulling Article 8 of the Libyan Political Agreement led to the COR’s walkout.<\/p>\n

“Article 8<\/a><\/em><\/span><\/p>\n

All powers of the senior military, civil and security posts stipulated in the Libyan <\/span><\/em>legislations and laws in force shall be transferred to the Presidency Council of the Council of Ministers immediately upon signing this Agreement. The Presidency Council must take a decision on the occupants of such posts within a period that does not exceed twenty (20) days. In case a decision is not reached during this period, the Presidency Council shall take decisions on new appointments within a period that does not exceed thirty (30) days, while taking into account the Libyan legislations in force.”<\/em><\/span><\/p>\n

In essence, Article 8 would “[reset] the military leadership of the country\u2014and more importantly, the position currently held by General Haftar as head of the armed forces,” explained analyst\u00a0Mattia Toaldo<\/a>.<\/p>\n

Related<\/p>\n

Final Scenario for the Future of Libya and their Likelihoods<\/a><\/p><\/blockquote>\n

The inclusion (or exclusion) of General Haftar in a new Libyan government has long been a source of contention between the actors. As we noted in our concluding post<\/a> on scenarios for Libya’s future, views on General Haftar minimally affect the likelihood of the GNA participating in peace negotiations, but his inclusion in a new government significantly affects the likelihood of seeing a signed peace treaty.<\/p>\n

This noteworthy action of the COR’s dialogue committee serves as a\u00a0reminder of Haftar’s effect\u00a0on any comprehensive peace process.\u00a0<\/span>Although this event has a minimal level of intensity, it escalates the likelihood of a failed peace talks\u2014and ultimately, continued war in Libya.<\/p>\n

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Libya east parliament’s dialogue committee abandons Tunisia meetings<\/a><\/h4>\n

The Head of the dialogue committee of the Tobruk-based House of Representatives (HoR) Abdelsalam Nesiya, announced Monday evening that they had suspended their participation in the negotiations in Tunisia at the UNSMIL’s headquarters. In a televised statement, Nasiya explained that after days of deliberations, the HoR delegation remark<\/p><\/blockquote>\n