{"id":16822,"date":"2017-10-31T09:58:21","date_gmt":"2017-10-31T08:58:21","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.redanalysis.org\/?p=16822"},"modified":"2022-05-31T18:01:09","modified_gmt":"2022-05-31T16:01:09","slug":"%e4%bf%a1%e5%8f%b7-%e4%bf%84%e7%bd%97%e6%96%af-%e6%94%af%e6%8c%81-%e6%b7%b1%e5%85%a5%e5%8f%82%e4%b8%8e-%e5%ba%93%e5%b0%94%e5%be%b7-%e6%88%98%e5%90%8e-%e5%8f%99%e5%88%a9%e4%ba%9a","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/zh\/2017\/10\/31\/signal-russia-support-deeper-involvement-kurds-post-war-syria\/","title":{"rendered":"\u4fe1\u53f7\u3002\u4fc4\u7f57\u65af\u652f\u6301\u5e93\u5c14\u5fb7\u4eba\u66f4\u6df1\u5165\u5730\u53c2\u4e0e\u6218\u540e\u53d9\u5229\u4e9a\u4e8b\u52a1"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>\u5bf9\u95ee\u9898\u548c\u4e0d\u786e\u5b9a\u6027\u7684\u5f71\u54cd 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Lavrentyev\u8868\u793a\u3002\"\u51fa\u73b0\u7684\u95ee\u9898\u662f\u5982\u4f55\u8ba9\u5e93\u5c14\u5fb7\u4eba\u66f4\u79ef\u6781\u5730\u53c2\u4e0e\u51b2\u7a81\u540e\u7684\u6062\u590d\u548c\u653f\u6cbb\u89e3\u51b3\"\u3002\u8fd9\u4e00\u58f0\u660e\uff0c\u4ee5\u53ca\u4fc4\u7f57\u65af\u8d5e\u6210\u7684\u53d9\u5229\u4e9a\u8054\u90a6\u8bbe\u8ba1\uff0c\u4f1a\u8ba9\u6211\u4eec\u9884\u671f\u4fc4\u7f57\u65af\u5c06\u652f\u6301\u5e93\u5c14\u5fb7\u4eba\u4e3b\u5bfc\u7684\u9879\u76ee\uff0c\u5373\u770b\u5230\u4ed6\u4eec\u5728\u7edf\u4e00\u7684\u53d9\u5229\u4e9a\u5185\u7684\u5317\u53d9\u5229\u4e9a\u8054\u90a6\u751f\u5b58\u548c\u52aa\u529b\u3002\u7ed3\u679c\u662f\uff0c\u5728\u53d9\u5229\u4e9a\u7684\u751f\u5b58...... <\/p>\n<p class=\"link-more\"><a href=\"https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/zh\/2017\/10\/31\/signal-russia-support-deeper-involvement-kurds-post-war-syria\/\" class=\"more-link\">\u7ee7\u7eed\u9605\u8bfb<span class=\"screen-reader-text\">\"\u4fe1\u53f7\u3002\u4fc4\u7f57\u65af\u652f\u6301\u5e93\u5c14\u5fb7\u4eba\u66f4\u6df1\u5165\u5730\u53c2\u4e0e\u6218\u540e\u53d9\u5229\u4e9a\u4e8b\u52a1\"<\/span><\/a><\/p>\n \t\t<div class=\"woocommerce\">\n\t\t\t<div class=\"woocommerce-info wc-memberships-restriction-message wc-memberships-message wc-memberships-content-restricted-message\">\n\t\t\t\t<p>\u672c\u6587\u7684\u5269\u4f59\u90e8\u5206\u662f\u4e3a\u6211\u4eec\u7684 <a style=\"color: #fff\" href=\"https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/zh\/%e4%ba%a7%e5%93%81\/%e6%88%90%e5%91%98-2\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">\u6210\u5458<\/a>. .\u786e\u4fdd\u60a8\u6536\u5230\u7684\u662f\u771f\u5b9e\u7684\u5206\u6790\uff0c\u800c\u4e0d\u662f\u89c2\u70b9\uff0c\u6216\u8005\u66f4\u7cdf\u7cd5\u7684\u5047\u65b0\u95fb\u3002. <a style=\"color: #fff\" href=\"https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/zh\/my-account\/?wcm_redirect_to=post&amp;wcm_redirect_id=16822\">\u767b\u5f55<\/a> \u5e76\u8bbf\u95ee\u8fd9\u7bc7\u6587\u7ae0\u3002<\/p>\t\t 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Lavrentyev\u8868\u793a\u3002\"\u51fa\u73b0\u7684\u95ee\u9898\u662f\u5982\u4f55\u8ba9\u5e93\u5c14\u5fb7\u4eba\u66f4\u79ef\u6781\u5730\u53c2\u4e0e\u51b2\u7a81\u540e\u7684\u6062\u590d\u548c\u653f\u6cbb\u89e3\u51b3\"\u3002\u8fd9\u4e00\u58f0\u660e\uff0c\u4ee5\u53ca\u4fc4\u7f57\u65af\u8d5e\u6210\u7684\u53d9\u5229\u4e9a\u8054\u90a6\u8bbe\u8ba1\uff0c\u4f1a\u8ba9\u6211\u4eec\u9884\u671f\u4fc4\u7f57\u65af\u5c06\u652f\u6301\u5e93\u5c14\u5fb7\u4eba\u4e3b\u5bfc\u7684\u9879\u76ee\uff0c\u5373\u770b\u5230\u4ed6\u4eec\u5728\u7edf\u4e00\u7684\u53d9\u5229\u4e9a\u5185\u7684\u5317\u53d9\u5229\u4e9a\u8054\u90a6\u751f\u5b58\u548c\u52aa\u529b\u3002\u7ed3\u679c\u662f\uff0c\u5728\u53d9\u5229\u4e9a\u7684\u751f\u5b58...... <\/p>\n<p class=\"link-more\"><a href=\"https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/zh\/2017\/10\/31\/signal-russia-support-deeper-involvement-kurds-post-war-syria\/\" class=\"more-link\">\u7ee7\u7eed\u9605\u8bfb<span class=\"screen-reader-text\">\"\u4fe1\u53f7\u3002\u4fc4\u7f57\u65af\u652f\u6301\u5e93\u5c14\u5fb7\u4eba\u66f4\u6df1\u5165\u5730\u53c2\u4e0e\u6218\u540e\u53d9\u5229\u4e9a\u4e8b\u52a1\"<\/span><\/a><\/p>\n<div class=\"woocommerce\">\n<div class=\"woocommerce-info wc-memberships-restriction-message wc-memberships-message wc-memberships-content-restricted-message\">\n<p>\u672c\u6587\u7684\u5269\u4f59\u90e8\u5206\u662f\u4e3a\u6211\u4eec\u7684 <a style=\"color: #fff\" href=\"https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/zh\/%e4%ba%a7%e5%93%81\/%e6%88%90%e5%91%98-2\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">\u6210\u5458<\/a>. .\u786e\u4fdd\u60a8\u6536\u5230\u7684\u662f\u771f\u5b9e\u7684\u5206\u6790\uff0c\u800c\u4e0d\u662f\u89c2\u70b9\uff0c\u6216\u8005\u66f4\u7cdf\u7cd5\u7684\u5047\u65b0\u95fb\u3002. <a style=\"color: #fff\" href=\"https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/zh\/my-account\/?wcm_redirect_to=post&amp;wcm_redirect_id=16822\">\u767b\u5f55<\/a> \u5e76\u8bbf\u95ee\u8fd9\u7bc7\u6587\u7ae0\u3002<\/p>\n<\/p><\/div>\n<\/p><\/div>","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":14999,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_jetpack_feature_clip_id":0,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[2503,1335,2544,1078,3315,2499,2498,252],"tags":[2560,2549],"class_list":["post-16822","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-americas","category-energy-security","category-horizon-scanning-board","category-new-paradigm","category-kurds-and-kurdistan","category-middle-east-and-north-africa","category-russia","category-syria","tag-open-access","tag-signal","membership-content","access-restricted","entry"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v28.8 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>Signal: Russia to Support Deeper Involvement of Kurds in Post-War Syria &#8226; The Red Team Analysis Society<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/zh\/2017\/10\/31\/\u4fe1\u53f7-\u4fc4\u7f57\u65af-\u652f\u6301-\u6df1\u5165\u53c2\u4e0e-\u5e93\u5c14\u5fb7-\u6218\u540e-\u53d9\u5229\u4e9a\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"zh_CN\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Signal: Russia to Support Deeper Involvement of Kurds in Post-War Syria &#8226; The Red Team Analysis Society\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"Impact on Issues and Uncertainties ?\u00a0Degree of influence of Russia on Turkey compared with Turkey\u2019s perception of threat related to a Kurdish polity on its southern flank (critical uncertainty) \u279a\u279a\u00a0\u2783 to\u00a0\u2782\u00a0Survival of the Kurdish-led\u00a0Federation of Northern Syria\u279a\u00a0\u2783\u00a0Russia influence trial As the seventh round of Astana talks proceeds (30 Oct-31 Oct 2017), Russia\u2019s envoy Alexander Lavrentyev &hellip; \u7ee7\u7eed\u9605\u8bfb\u201cSignal: Russia to Support Deeper Involvement of Kurds in Post-War Syria\u201dThis content is restricted to members only. Please log in or become a member to gain access.\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:url\" content=\"https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/zh\/2017\/10\/31\/\u4fe1\u53f7-\u4fc4\u7f57\u65af-\u652f\u6301-\u6df1\u5165\u53c2\u4e0e-\u5e93\u5c14\u5fb7-\u6218\u540e-\u53d9\u5229\u4e9a\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:site_name\" content=\"The Red Team Analysis Society\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:publisher\" content=\"https:\/\/www.facebook.com\/pages\/Red-Team-Analysis\/341280995886057\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:published_time\" content=\"2017-10-31T08:58:21+00:00\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:modified_time\" content=\"2022-05-31T16:01:09+00:00\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:image\" content=\"https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2017\/04\/Wrath-of-Euphrates-4th-phase-launch-1626.jpg\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:width\" content=\"1626\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:height\" content=\"902\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:type\" content=\"image\/jpeg\" \/>\n<meta name=\"author\" content=\"Dr Helene Lavoix (MSc PhD Lond)\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:card\" content=\"summary_large_image\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:creator\" content=\"@HLavoix\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:site\" content=\"@HLavoix\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:label1\" content=\"\u4f5c\u8005\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:data1\" content=\"Dr Helene Lavoix (MSc PhD Lond)\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:label2\" content=\"\u9884\u8ba1\u9605\u8bfb\u65f6\u95f4\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:data2\" content=\"1 \u5206\" \/>\n<script type=\"application\/ld+json\" class=\"yoast-schema-graph\">{\"@context\":\"https:\\\/\\\/schema.org\",\"@graph\":[{\"@type\":\"Article\",\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/redanalysis.org\\\/fr\\\/2017\\\/10\\\/31\\\/signal-russie-soutien-plus-profond-engagement-kurds-apr%c3%a8s-guerre-syrie\\\/#article\",\"isPartOf\":{\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/redanalysis.org\\\/fr\\\/2017\\\/10\\\/31\\\/signal-russie-soutien-plus-profond-engagement-kurds-apr%c3%a8s-guerre-syrie\\\/\"},\"author\":{\"name\":\"Dr Helene Lavoix (MSc PhD Lond)\",\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/redanalysis.org\\\/#\\\/schema\\\/person\\\/6886ef37ab2b2804bc70995f4ba653d4\"},\"headline\":\"Signal: Russia to Support Deeper Involvement of Kurds in Post-War Syria\",\"datePublished\":\"2017-10-31T08:58:21+00:00\",\"dateModified\":\"2022-05-31T16:01:09+00:00\",\"mainEntityOfPage\":{\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/redanalysis.org\\\/fr\\\/2017\\\/10\\\/31\\\/signal-russie-soutien-plus-profond-engagement-kurds-apr%c3%a8s-guerre-syrie\\\/\"},\"wordCount\":201,\"commentCount\":0,\"publisher\":{\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/redanalysis.org\\\/#organization\"},\"image\":{\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/redanalysis.org\\\/fr\\\/2017\\\/10\\\/31\\\/signal-russie-soutien-plus-profond-engagement-kurds-apr%c3%a8s-guerre-syrie\\\/#primaryimage\"},\"thumbnailUrl\":\"https:\\\/\\\/redanalysis.org\\\/wp-content\\\/uploads\\\/2017\\\/04\\\/Wrath-of-Euphrates-4th-phase-launch-1626.jpg\",\"keywords\":[\"Open Access\",\"Signal\"],\"articleSection\":[\"Americas\",\"Energy Security\",\"Horizon Scanning Board\",\"International Order and New Paradigm\",\"Kurds and Kurdistan\",\"Middle-East and North Africa\",\"Russia\",\"Syria\"],\"inLanguage\":\"zh-Hans\",\"potentialAction\":[{\"@type\":\"CommentAction\",\"name\":\"Comment\",\"target\":[\"https:\\\/\\\/redanalysis.org\\\/fr\\\/2017\\\/10\\\/31\\\/signal-russie-soutien-plus-profond-engagement-kurds-apr%c3%a8s-guerre-syrie\\\/#respond\"]}]},{\"@type\":\"WebPage\",\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/redanalysis.org\\\/fr\\\/2017\\\/10\\\/31\\\/signal-russie-soutien-plus-profond-engagement-kurds-apr%c3%a8s-guerre-syrie\\\/\",\"url\":\"https:\\\/\\\/redanalysis.org\\\/fr\\\/2017\\\/10\\\/31\\\/signal-russie-soutien-plus-profond-engagement-kurds-apr%c3%a8s-guerre-syrie\\\/\",\"name\":\"Signal: Russia to Support Deeper Involvement of Kurds in Post-War Syria &#8226; 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She holds a PhD in political studies and a MSc in international politics of Asia (distinction) from the School of Oriental and African Studies (SOAS), University of London, as well as a Master in finance (valedictorian, Grande \u00c9cole, France). An expert in strategic foresight and early warning, especially for national and international security issues, she combines 30 years of experience in international relations and almost 20 years in strategic foresight and warning. Dr. Lavoix has lived and worked in five countries, conducted missions in 16 others, and trained high-level officers around the world, for example in Singapore and as part of European programs in Tunisia and Jordan. She has been a lecturer (Master level) and taught the methodology and practice of strategic foresight and early warning in prestigious institutions such as the RSIS in Singapore, SciencesPo-PSIA in France, the Ecole Sup\u00e9rieure des Forces de S\u00e9curit\u00e9 Int\u00e9rieure in Tunisia and the ENA Tunis, Institute of Leadership. She regularly publishes on geopolitical issues, supply and uranium security, artificial intelligence, the international order, China\u2019s rise and other international security topics. 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