{"id":19862,"date":"2018-12-10T10:33:29","date_gmt":"2018-12-10T09:33:29","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.redanalysis.org\/?p=19862"},"modified":"2022-03-07T16:13:23","modified_gmt":"2022-03-07T15:13:23","slug":"%e4%ba%86%e8%a7%a3%e6%88%96%e4%b8%8d%e4%ba%86%e8%a7%a3%e8%87%aa%e7%84%b6%e7%95%8c%e7%9a%84%e6%b0%94%e5%80%99%e5%8f%98%e5%8c%96%e5%af%b9%e5%9c%b0%e7%90%83%e7%9a%84%e5%a8%81%e8%83%81","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/zh\/2018\/12\/10\/understanding-or-not-nature-climate-change-as-planetary-threat\/","title":{"rendered":"\u7406\u89e3\uff08\u6216\u4e0d\u7406\u89e3\uff09\u4f5c\u4e3a\u5730\u7403\u5a01\u80c1\u7684\u6c14\u5019\u53d8\u5316\u7684\u6027\u8d28"},"content":{"rendered":"<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">2018\u5e7412\u67083\u65e5\uff0c\u53732018\u5e74\u8054\u5408\u56fd\u6c14\u5019\u53d8\u5316\u5927\u4f1a--\u5176\u7b2c24\u6b21\u4f1a\u8bae\uff08COP24\uff09\u5f00\u5e55\u524d\u4e24\u5929\uff0c\u5728\u6ce2\u5170\u7164\u70ad\u56fd\u5bb6\u7684\u5fc3\u810f\u5730\u5e26\u5361\u6258\u7ef4\u5179\uff0c\u5df4\u897f\u65b0\u603b\u7edf\u8d3e\u4f0a\u5c14-\u535a\u5c14\u7d22\u7eb3\u7f57\u5ba3\u5e03\uff0c\u4ed6\u7684\u56fd\u5bb6\u4e0d\u4f1a\u7ec4\u7ec7\u4e0b\u4e00\u8f6e\u8c08\u5224\uff0c\u5373COP25\uff0c\u5e76\u4e14\u4ed6\u6b63\u5728\u8003\u8651\u5df4\u897f\u9000\u51fa\u300a\u6c14\u5019\u5df4\u9ece\u534f\u5b9a\u300b\uff08\"<a href=\"http:\/\/www.xinhuanet.com\/english\/2018-11\/29\/c_137639490.htm\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">\u5df4\u897f\u64a4\u56de\u4e3b\u529e2019\u5e74\u8054\u5408\u56fd\u6c14\u5019\u53d8\u5316\u4f1a\u8bae\u7684\u5019\u9009\u8d44\u683c<\/a>\", <em>\u65b0\u534e\u7f51\u3002<\/em> 2018, 11, 29).<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\u51e0\u5929\u524d\uff0c\u52a0\u5dde\u6d88\u9632\u5458\u7ec8\u4e8e\u6210\u529f\u5730\u963b\u6b62\u4e86\u5728\u8fd1\u4e00\u4e2a\u6708\u5185\u8086\u8650 \"\u91d1\u5dde \"\u7684\u4e24\u573a\u5927\u706b\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\u4e0e\u6b64\u540c\u65f6\uff0c12\u67081\u65e5\uff0c\u51fa\u5e2d\u963f\u6839\u5ef7\u5e03\u5b9c\u8bfa\u65af\u827e\u5229\u65afG20\u4f1a\u8bae\u7684\u9886\u5bfc\u4eba\u53d1\u8868\u4e86\u4e00\u4efd\u8054\u5408\u58f0\u660e\uff0c\u91cd\u7533\u4ed6\u4eec\u81f4\u529b\u4e8e\u901a\u8fc7\u7ef4\u62a4\u300a\u5df4\u9ece\u534f\u5b9a\u300b\u6765\u5e94\u5bf9\u6c14\u5019\u53d8\u5316\uff0c\u5373\u4f7f\u7f8e\u56fd\u603b\u7edf\u5510\u7eb3\u5fb7-\u7279\u6717\u666e\u62d2\u7edd\u8ba4\u53ef\u8be5\u58f0\u660e\uff08Catherine Lucey\u548cAlmudena Calatrava\uff0c\"<a href=\"https:\/\/www.businessinsider.fr\/us\/trump-us-only-nation-not-to-sign-climate-change-agreement-g20-2018-12\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">\u7279\u6717\u666e\u5728\u6c14\u5019\u53d8\u5316\u95ee\u9898\u4e0a\u72ec\u5584\u5176\u8eab\uff0cG20\u5728\u6c14\u5019\u3001\u79fb\u6c11\u95ee\u9898\u4e0a\u627e\u5230\u5171\u540c\u70b9<\/a>\", <em>\u5546\u4e1a\u5185\u5e55<\/em>, 2018\u5e7412\u67083\u65e5\uff09\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-embed is-type-video is-provider-youtube wp-block-embed-youtube\"><div class=\"wp-block-embed__wrapper\">\n<span class=\"embed-youtube\" style=\"text-align:center; display: block;\"><iframe loading=\"lazy\" class=\"youtube-player\" width=\"640\" height=\"360\" src=\"https:\/\/www.youtube.com\/embed\/A7qFuwLnwF4?version=3&#038;rel=1&#038;showsearch=0&#038;showinfo=1&#038;iv_load_policy=1&#038;fs=1&#038;hl=zh-CN&#038;autohide=2&#038;wmode=transparent\" allowfullscreen=\"true\" style=\"border:0;\" sandbox=\"allow-scripts allow-same-origin allow-popups allow-presentation allow-popups-to-escape-sandbox\"><\/iframe><\/span>\n<\/div><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\u8fd9\u4e9b\u4e0d\u540c\u7684\u653f\u6cbb\u7acb\u573a\u5b9e\u9645\u4e0a\u662f\u5728\u4e3a\u6c14\u5019\u53d8\u5316\u6210\u4e3a\u4e00\u4e2a\u653f\u6cbb\u95ee\u9898\u7684\u65b9\u5f0f\u7ed8\u5236\u653f\u6cbb\u5730\u56fe\u3002\u7136\u800c\uff0c\u8fd9\u5fc5\u987b\u4ece\u4ee5\u4e0b\u4e24\u4e2a\u65b9\u9762\u6765\u770b\uff1a\u7b2c\u4e00\uff0c\u5927\u6c14\u4e2d\u7684\u6e29\u5ba4\u6c14\u4f53\u6301\u7eed\u589e\u957f\uff0c\u81ea2015\u5e74\u4ee5\u6765\u6ca1\u6709\u53d7\u5230\u963b\u788d\u6216\u51cf\u7f13\uff1b\u7b2c\u4e8c\uff0c\u5728\u7b2c21\u5c4a\u7f14\u7ea6\u65b9\u4f1a\u8bae\u671f\u95f4\u8fdb\u884c\u7684\u300a\u5df4\u9ece\u534f\u5b9a\u300b\u56fd\u9645\u8c08\u5224\u3002  \u56e0\u6b64\uff0c\u8003\u8651\u5230\u8fd9\u4e00\u80cc\u666f\uff0c\u6211\u4eec\u53ef\u80fd\u4f1a\u6000\u7591\u4e0d\u540c\u7684\u884c\u52a8\u8005\u662f\u5426\u771f\u7684\u7406\u89e3\u6c14\u5019\u53d8\u5316\u4f5c\u4e3a\u4e00\u4e2a\u6df1\u523b\u7684\u5355\u4e00\u5a01\u80c1\u7684\u6027\u8d28\uff1a\u6c14\u5019\u53d8\u5316\u662f\u4e00\u4e2a\u5730\u7403\u7684\u5a01\u80c1\uff0c\u56e0\u6b64\u662f\u96c6\u4f53\u5386\u53f2\u4e2d\u5b8c\u5168\u672a\u77e5\u7684 \"\u4e1c\u897f\"\uff1b\u5b83\u4e0d\u5b58\u5728\u4e8e\u4eba\u7c7b\u7684\u8bb0\u5fc6\u4e2d\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\u56e0\u6b64\uff0c\u4e00\u79cd\u65b0\u7684\u653f\u6cbb\u601d\u7ef4\u6846\u67b6\u7684\u51fa\u73b0\u4e5f\u5fc5\u987b\u4f34\u968f\u7740\u5bf9\u8fd9\u4e00\u65b0\u73b0\u5b9e\u7684\u7406\u89e3\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\u5728\u8fd9\u7bc7\u6587\u7ae0\u4e2d\uff0c\u6211\u4eec\u63a2\u8ba8\u4e86\u6c14\u5019\u53d8\u5316\u7684\u72ec\u7279\u6027\uff0c\u4ee5\u53ca\u5b83\u5982\u4f55\u5c06\u73b0\u4ee3\u793e\u4f1a\u548c\u5feb\u901f\u53d8\u5316\u7684\u5730\u7403\u4e4b\u95f4\u7684\u5173\u7cfb\u5f3a\u52a0\u7ed9\u6211\u4eec\u4e00\u79cd\u65b0\u7684\u601d\u7ef4\u65b9\u5f0f\u3002\u6211\u4eec\u89e3\u91ca\u4e86\u65b0\u7684\u5730\u7403\u72b6\u51b5\u662f\u5982\u4f55\u7b49\u540c\u4e8e \"\u8d85\u7ea7\u56f4\u56f0 \"\u7684\u3002\u6700\u540e\uff0c\u6211\u4eec\u96c6\u4e2d\u8ba8\u8bba\u5bf9\u6c14\u5019\u53d8\u5316\u4f5c\u4e3a\u5730\u7403\u5a01\u80c1\u7684\u6027\u8d28\u7684\u7406\u89e3\u548c\u8bef\u89e3\u5bf9\u653f\u6cbb\u601d\u7ef4\u6846\u67b6\u7684\u5730\u7f18\u653f\u6cbb\u540e\u679c\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">\u4e00\u4e2a\u65b0\u7684\u884c\u661f\u72b6\u51b5<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\u6c14\u5019\u53d8\u5316\u4e0d\u662f\u4e00\u4e2a\u5371\u673a\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-pullquote alignright has-text-align-center is-style-solid-color has-text-color has-background\" style=\"background-color:#ce0022;color:#ffffff;font-size:0.9em\"><blockquote><p>\"\u6c14\u5019\u53d8\u5316\u4e0d\u662f\u4e00\u4e2a\u5371\u673a\u3002<\/p><p>\u6c14\u5019\u53d8\u5316\u662f\u4e00\u79cd\u65b0\u7684\u5730\u7403\u72b6\u51b5\"<\/p><\/blockquote><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\u5371\u673a\u610f\u5473\u7740\u4ece\u4e00\u4e2a\u7279\u5b9a\u7684\u60c5\u51b5\u5230\u53e6\u4e00\u4e2a\u60c5\u51b5\u7684\u8f6c\u53d8\u3002\u5728\u6c14\u5019\u53d8\u5316\u7684\u60c5\u51b5\u4e0b\uff0c\u8fd9\u4e0d\u662f\u6b63\u5728\u53d1\u751f\u7684\u4e8b\u60c5\u3002\u6070\u6070\u76f8\u53cd\uff0c\"\u6c14\u5019\u53d8\u5316 \"\u8fd9\u4e00\u8bf4\u6cd5\u672c\u8eab\u5c31\u6982\u62ec\u4e86\u8fd9\u6837\u4e00\u4e2a\u4e8b\u5b9e\uff1a\u5730\u7403\u6c14\u5019\u5df2\u7ecf\u79bb\u5f00\u4e86\u88ab\u79f0\u4e3a\u59cb\u65b0\u4e16\u7684\u7a33\u5b9a\u533a\u57df\uff0c\u5728\u8fd9\u4e2a\u65f6\u671f\uff0c\"\u667a\u4eba \"\u53d1\u5c55\u8d77\u6765\u3002\u4ece\u90a3\u65f6\u8d77\uff0c\u968f\u7740\u5de5\u4e1a\u9769\u547d\u548c\u78b3\u71c3\u6599\u4f7f\u7528\u7684\u5927\u89c4\u6a21\u53d1\u5c55\uff0c\u5730\u7403\u6c14\u5019\u5df2\u7ecf\u8fdb\u5165\u4e86\u4e00\u4e2a\u5728\u6211\u4eec\u661f\u7403\u7684\u5730\u7403\u7269\u7406\u5386\u53f2\u4e0a\u672a\u77e5\u7684\u901f\u5ea6\u548c\u89c4\u6a21\u7684\u53d8\u5316\u8f68\u8ff9\uff08James Hansen,&nbsp;<a rel=\"noreferrer noopener\" href=\"https:\/\/www.bloomsbury.com\/us\/storms-of-my-grandchildren-9781608195022\/\" target=\"_blank\"><em>\u6211\u7684\u5927\u5b69\u5b50\u7684\u98ce\u66b4\uff0c\u5373\u5c06\u5230\u6765\u7684\u6c14\u5019\u707e\u96be\u7684\u771f\u76f8\u548c\u6211\u4eec\u62ef\u6551\u4eba\u7c7b\u7684\u6700\u540e\u673a\u4f1a<\/em><\/a>, 2009).<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">1972\u5e74\uff0c\u5f53\u7f57\u9a6c\u4ff1\u4e50\u90e8\uff0c\u4e00\u4e2a\u7531\u94f6\u884c\u5bb6\u3001\u5de5\u4e1a\u5bb6\u548c\u7ecf\u6d4e\u5b66\u5bb6\u7ec4\u6210\u7684\u672a\u6765\u5b66\u5bb6\u56e2\u4f53\uff0c\u53d1\u8868\u4e86\u8457\u540d\u7684\u62a5\u544a\"\"\u65f6\uff0c\u4eba\u7c7b\u548c\u6211\u4eec\u7684\u5730\u7403\u4e4b\u95f4\u7684\u5173\u7cfb\u5f00\u59cb\u88ab\u7406\u89e3\u4e3a\u4e0d\u5b89\u5168\u3002<em>\u589e\u957f\u7684\u6781\u9650<\/em>\"\u8be5\u62a5\u544a\u59d4\u6258\u9ebb\u7701\u7406\u5de5\u5b66\u9662\u7684\u4e00\u4e2a\u79d1\u5b66\u5bb6\u5c0f\u7ec4\uff08Dennis\u548cDonnella Meadows, J\u00f8rgen Randers, William W. Behrens III\uff09\u7f16\u5199\u3002\u8be5\u62a5\u544a\u6307\u51fa\uff0c\u5de5\u4e1a\u751f\u4ea7\u7684\u589e\u957f\u5bf9\u5730\u7403\u8d44\u6e90\u9020\u6210\u7684\u538b\u529b\u4ee5\u53ca\u6c61\u67d3\u548c\u73af\u5883\u9000\u5316\u7684\u589e\u957f\u5c06\u589e\u52a0\u7ecf\u6d4e\u4f53\u7cfb\u7684\u6210\u672c\uff0c\u540c\u65f6\u964d\u4f4e\u5176\u6548\u7387\uff0c\u76f4\u5230\u589e\u957f\u4e0d\u518d\u53ef\u80fd\u3002\u8fd9\u4e9b\u53cc\u91cd\u52a8\u529b\u5c06\u6301\u7eed\u4e0b\u53bb\uff0c\u76f4\u5230\u6574\u4e2a\u7cfb\u7edf\u5c06\u4e0d\u518d\u80fd\u591f\u652f\u6301\u548c\u7ef4\u6301\u81ea\u5df1\uff0c\u4e00\u65e6\u5730\u7403\u7684\u627f\u8f7d\u80fd\u529b\u88ab\u8017\u5c3d\uff0c\u73af\u5883\u6761\u4ef6\u548c\u751f\u6d3b\u6761\u4ef6\u5c06\u81f4\u547d\u5730\u9000\u5316\u3002\u8fd9\u4e9b \"\u589e\u957f\u7684\u6781\u9650 \"\u662f\u6307\u57282020\u5e74\u5de6\u53f3\u8fbe\u5230\u3002\u8fd9\u4efd\u5f00\u521b\u6027\u7684\u62a5\u544a\u5f00\u8f9f\u4e86\u591a\u4e2a\u7814\u7a76\u9886\u57df\uff0c\u5728\u8fd9\u4e9b\u9886\u57df\u4e2d\u51fa\u73b0\u4e86\u5173\u4e8e\u53ef\u6301\u7eed\u6027\u53ca\u5176\u6781\u9650\u7684\u66f4\u5e7f\u6cdb\u7684\u7814\u7a76\u9886\u57df\u3002\u5b83\u57282004\u5e74\u88ab\u66f4\u65b0\uff08Dennis\u548cDonnella Meadow,&nbsp;<a rel=\"noreferrer noopener\" href=\"https:\/\/www.chelseagreen.com\/product\/limits-to-growth\/\" target=\"_blank\"><em>\u589e\u957f\u7684\u6781\u9650--30\u5e74\u7684\u66f4\u65b0<\/em>,<\/a> 2004).<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-embed is-type-video is-provider-youtube wp-block-embed-youtube\"><div class=\"wp-block-embed__wrapper\">\n<span class=\"embed-youtube\" style=\"text-align:center; display: block;\"><iframe loading=\"lazy\" class=\"youtube-player\" width=\"640\" height=\"360\" src=\"https:\/\/www.youtube.com\/embed\/b7lmh5XVRW0?version=3&#038;rel=1&#038;showsearch=0&#038;showinfo=1&#038;iv_load_policy=1&#038;fs=1&#038;hl=zh-CN&#038;autohide=2&#038;wmode=transparent\" allowfullscreen=\"true\" style=\"border:0;\" sandbox=\"allow-scripts allow-same-origin allow-popups allow-presentation allow-popups-to-escape-sandbox\"><\/iframe><\/span>\n<\/div><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">2005\u5e74\uff0c\u8d3e\u91cc\u5fb7-\u6234\u8499\u5fb7\u5728\u6a2a\u5411\u7814\u7a76\u7684\u57fa\u7840\u4e0a\uff0c\u9075\u5faa\u7f57\u9a6c\u4ff1\u4e50\u90e8\u5f00\u521b\u7684\u65b9\u6cd5\uff0c\u4ee5\u5176\u5de8\u5927\u7684\"\"\u8bc1\u660e\u4e86\u8fd9\u4e00\u70b9\u3002<a rel=\"noreferrer noopener\" href=\"https:\/\/en.wikipedia.org\/wiki\/Collapse:_How_Societies_Choose_to_Fail_or_Succeed\" target=\"_blank\"><em>\u5d29\u6e83\u3002\u793e\u4f1a\u5982\u4f55\u9009\u62e9\u5931\u8d25\u6216\u751f\u5b58<\/em>\"<\/a>\u8fd9\u610f\u5473\u7740\uff0c\u8003\u8651\u5230\u533a\u57df\u73af\u5883\u7684\u627f\u8f7d\u80fd\u529b\uff0c\u67d0\u4e9b\u53d1\u5c55\u5f62\u5f0f\u7684\u9009\u62e9\u53ef\u80fd\u662f\u4e0d\u5145\u5206\u7684\uff0c\u4ece\u800c\u5bfc\u81f4\u6574\u4e2a\u793e\u4f1a\u7684\u5d29\u6e83\u3002 <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\u8fd9\u662f\u6211\u4eec\u53ef\u4ee5\u79f0\u4e4b\u4e3a \"\u53ef\u6301\u7eed\u6027\u4e0e\u5d29\u6e83 \"\u7814\u7a76\u7684 \"\u6b63\u5f0f \"\u5f00\u59cb\u3002\u5728\u8fd9\u4e2a\u65b0\u7684\u9886\u57df\uff0c\u62a5\u544a\u3002\"\u884c\u661f\u7684\u8fb9\u754c\u3002\u63a2\u7d22\u4eba\u7c7b\u7684\u5b89\u5168\u64cd\u4f5c\u7a7a\u95f4\"\uff0c\u7531\u65af\u5fb7\u54e5\u5c14\u6469\u590d\u539f\u529b\u4e2d\u5fc3\u4e3b\u4efbJohann Rockstrom\u9886\u5bfc(<a rel=\"noreferrer noopener\" href=\"https:\/\/www.ecologyandsociety.org\/vol14\/iss2\/art32\/\" target=\"_blank\"><em>\u751f\u6001\u5b66\u4e0e\u793e\u4f1a<\/em><\/a>\uff0c2009\u5e74\uff09\u5728\u6982\u5ff5\u4e0a\u6709\u4e86\u7a81\u7834\u6027\u8fdb\u5c55\u3002\u8be5\u7814\u7a76\u5c0f\u7ec4\u5b9a\u4e49\u4e86\u4e5d\u4e2a \"\u884c\u661f\u754c\u9650\"\uff0c\u8fd9\u4e9b\u754c\u9650\u662f\u4e0d\u80fd\u8de8\u8d8a\u7684\uff0c\u56e0\u4e3a\u8de8\u8d8a\u8fd9\u4e9b\u754c\u9650\u5c06\u4ece\u6839\u672c\u4e0a\u6539\u53d8\u4eba\u7c7b\u7684\u96c6\u4f53\u751f\u6d3b\u6761\u4ef6\u3002\u5982\u679c\u8d8a\u8fc7\uff0c\u8fd9\u4e9b\u9608\u503c\u53ea\u4e0d\u8fc7\u662f\u5730\u7403\u4e0a\u751f\u547d\u6761\u4ef6\u53d1\u751f\u6df1\u523b\u53d8\u5316\u7684 \"\u4e34\u754c\u70b9\"\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\u8fd9\u4e5d\u4e2a\u754c\u9650\u662f\"\u6c14\u5019\u53d8\u5316\uff1b\u751f\u7269\u591a\u6837\u6027\u4e27\u5931\u7684\u901f\u5ea6\uff08\u9646\u5730\u548c\u6d77\u6d0b\uff09\uff1b\u5bf9\u6c2e\u548c\u78f7\u5faa\u73af\u7684\u5e72\u6270\uff1b\u5e73\u6d41\u5c42\u81ed\u6c27\u6d88\u8017\uff1b\u6d77\u6d0b\u9178\u5316\uff1b\u5168\u7403\u6de1\u6c34\u4f7f\u7528\uff1b\u571f\u5730\u4f7f\u7528\u7684\u53d8\u5316\uff1b\u5316\u5b66\u6c61\u67d3\uff1b\u4ee5\u53ca\u5927\u6c14\u4e2d\u7684\u6c14\u6eb6\u80f6\u8d1f\u8377\"\uff08\u540c\u4e0a\uff09\u3002\u62a5\u544a\u8b66\u544a\u8bf4\uff0c\u5176\u4e2d\u4e09\u4e2a\u95e8\u69db\uff0c\u5373\u6c14\u5019\u53d8\u5316\u3001\u751f\u7269\u591a\u6837\u6027\u5371\u673a\u548c\u5bf9\u6c2e\u78f7\u5faa\u73af\u7684\u5e72\u6270\uff0c\u5df2\u7ecf\u88ab\u8de8\u8d8a\u4e86\u3002\u81ea\u4ece\u8fd9\u9879\u7814\u7a76\u53d1\u8868\u4ee5\u6765\uff0c\u4e16\u754c\u9762\u4e34\u7740\u6781\u7aef\u73af\u5883\u4e8b\u4ef6\u7684\u500d\u589e\uff0c\u8fd9\u4e9b\u4e8b\u4ef6\u6b63\u5728\u5f71\u54cd\u5de8\u5927\u7684\u5730\u533a\uff0c\u5982\u5317\u6781\uff0c\u4ee5\u53ca\u5730\u7403\u4e0a\u6700\u5f31\u548c\u6700\u5f3a\u7684\u7ecf\u6d4e\u4f53\u7684\u7ecf\u6d4e\u53d1\u5c55\uff0c\u540c\u65f6\u5371\u53ca\u6570\u4ee5\u4ebf\u8ba1\u7684\u4eba\uff08Harry Pettit, ' '\uff09\u3002<a href=\"https:\/\/www.dailymail.co.uk\/sciencetech\/article-5664999\/Dead-zone-bigger-Scotland-suffocating-Arabian-Sea.html\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">\u6d77\u6d0b\u6b63\u5728\u7a92\u606f\"\u3002\u963f\u62c9\u4f2f\u6d77\u53d1\u73b0\u6740\u9c7c\u6b7b\u533a--\u5b83\u5df2\u7ecf\u6bd4\u82cf\u683c\u5170\u8fd8\u5927\u4e86<\/a>\",&nbsp;<em>\u5728\u7ebf\u90ae\u4ef6<\/em>\uff0c2017\u5e744\u670827\u65e5\u548cEric Holtaus\uff0c\"<a href=\"http:\/\/www.slate.com\/blogs\/the_slatest\/2016\/03\/22\/james_hansen_sea_level_rise_climate_warning_passes_peer_review.html\">James Hansen Bombshell\u7684\u6c14\u5019\u8b66\u544a\u73b0\u5728\u662f\u79d1\u5b66\u5927\u5178\u7684\u4e00\u90e8\u5206<\/a>\",&nbsp;<em>Slate.com<\/em>\uff0c2016\u5e743\u670822\u65e5\uff09\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-embed is-type-video is-provider-youtube wp-block-embed-youtube\"><div class=\"wp-block-embed__wrapper\">\n<span class=\"embed-youtube\" style=\"text-align:center; display: block;\"><iframe loading=\"lazy\" class=\"youtube-player\" width=\"640\" height=\"360\" src=\"https:\/\/www.youtube.com\/embed\/HuDd3AakXrw?version=3&#038;rel=1&#038;showsearch=0&#038;showinfo=1&#038;iv_load_policy=1&#038;fs=1&#038;hl=zh-CN&#038;autohide=2&#038;wmode=transparent\" allowfullscreen=\"true\" style=\"border:0;\" sandbox=\"allow-scripts allow-same-origin allow-popups allow-presentation allow-popups-to-escape-sandbox\"><\/iframe><\/span>\n<\/div><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">\u6b22\u8fce\u6765\u5230\u5730\u7403\u4e0a\u7684\u8d85\u7ea7\u5305\u56f4\u5708<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\u9664\u4e86\u79d1\u5b66\u7814\u7a76\u7684\u6839\u672c\u91cd\u8981\u6027\u4e4b\u5916\uff0c\u6211\u4eec\u5fc5\u987b\u660e\u767d\uff0c\u6c14\u5019\u53d8\u5316\u662f\u901a\u8fc7\u5728\u5168\u4e16\u754c\u8303\u56f4\u5185\u611f\u53d7\u5230\u7684\u500d\u589e\u7684\u5f71\u54cd\u5bf9\u5730\u7403\u6784\u6210\u7684\u5a01\u80c1\u3002\u8fd9\u610f\u5473\u7740\u5730\u7403\u7cfb\u7edf\u5730\u7403\u7269\u7406\u5b66\u7684\u6539\u53d8\u6b63\u5728\u4f7f\u5730\u7403\u7269\u7406\u6761\u4ef6\u4e0e\u4eba\u7c7b\u4f5c\u5bf9\uff0c\u5e76\u5371\u53ca\u96c6\u4f53\u751f\u6d3b\u6240\u9700\u6761\u4ef6\u7684\u7ed3\u6784\u3002 <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\u8fd9\u5c31\u662f\u4e3a\u4ec0\u4e48\u6c14\u5019\u53d8\u5316\uff0c\u7528\u52a0\u5dde\u5dde\u957f\u6770\u91cc-\u5e03\u6717\u7684\u8bdd\u6765\u8bf4\uff0c\"\u4e0d\u662f\u65b0\u7684\u6b63\u5e38\uff0c\u800c\u662f\u65b0\u7684\u4e0d\u6b63\u5e38\"\u3002\u4ed6\u662f\u5728\u52a0\u5dde\u6d88\u9632\u5458\u5bf9\u8086\u8650\u52a0\u5dde\u7684\u4e24\u573a\u7279\u5927\u706b\u707e\u8fdb\u884c\u7edd\u671b\u7684\u6597\u4e89\u65f6\u4f5c\u51fa\u8fd9\u4e00\u58f0\u660e\u7684\uff08\"<a rel=\"noreferrer noopener\" href=\"https:\/\/theweek.com\/speedreads\/807164\/gov-jerry-brown-says-massive-fires-are-new-abnormal-california\" target=\"_blank\">\u6770\u91cc-\u5e03\u6717\u5dde\u957f\u8bf4\uff0c\u5927\u89c4\u6a21\u706b\u707e\u662f\u52a0\u5dde\u7684 \"\u65b0\u5f02\u5e38\"\u3002<\/a>\", <em>\u672c\u5468<\/em>\uff0c2018\u5e7411\u670811\u65e5\uff09\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\u5728\u4e0a\u4e00\u7bc7\u6587\u7ae0\u4e2d\uff0c\u6211\u4eec\u89e3\u91ca\u8bf4\uff0c\u6c14\u5019\u53d8\u5316\u76f8\u5f53\u4e8e\u4e00\u573a \"\u6f2b\u957f\u7684\u884c\u661f\u8f70\u70b8\"\uff08Jean Michel Valantin\uff0c\"<a rel=\"noreferrer noopener\" href=\"https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/zh\/2017\/09\/18\/%e6%b0%94%e5%80%99%e5%8f%98%e5%8c%96-%e9%95%bf%e6%9c%9f%e7%9a%84%e8%a1%8c%e6%98%9f%e8%bd%b0%e7%82%b8\/\" target=\"_blank\">\u6c14\u5019\u53d8\u5316\uff1a\u6f2b\u957f\u7684\u884c\u661f\u8f70\u70b8<\/a>\",&nbsp;<em>\u7ea2\u8272\uff08\u56e2\u961f\uff09\u5206\u6790\u534f\u4f1a<\/em>\uff0c2017\u5e749\u670818\u65e5\uff09\u3002\u8fd9\u4e00\u9650\u5b9a\u6bd4\u4ee5\u5f80\u4efb\u4f55\u65f6\u5019\u90fd\u66f4\u771f\u5b9e\uff0c\u4f46\u9700\u8981\u901a\u8fc7 \"\u8d85\u7ea7\u56f4\u56f0 \"\u7684\u60f3\u6cd5\u6765\u52a0\u5f3a\u3002\u8fd9\u610f\u5473\u7740\uff0c\u5f53\u4ee3\u793e\u4f1a\u6b63\u5728\u5b9e\u5b9e\u5728\u5728\u5730 \"\u6c89\u6d78 \"\u5728\u56f4\u56f0\u5b83\u4eec\u7684\u65b0\u7684\u548c\u4e0d\u5229\u7684\u5730\u7403\u7269\u7406\u6761\u4ef6\u4e2d\uff08Jean-Michel Valantin \"<a href=\"https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/zh\/2014\/03\/31\/%e6%b0%94%e5%80%99%e5%8f%98%e5%8c%96%e5%af%b9%e5%9b%bd%e5%ae%b6%e5%ae%89%e5%85%a8%e7%9a%84%e5%a8%81%e8%83%81\/\">\u8d85\u7ea7\u56f4\u56f0\u3002\u6c14\u5019\u53d8\u5316\u4e0e\u7f8e\u56fd\u56fd\u5bb6\u5b89\u5168<\/a>\",&nbsp;<em>\u8fdc\u666f\u6d1e\u5bdf\u7814\u7a76\u6240<\/em>\uff0c2014\u5e743\u670831\u65e5\uff0c\u548c\uff08\u514b\u83b1\u592b-\u6c49\u5bc6\u5c14\u987f\u3002&nbsp;<a rel=\"noreferrer noopener\" href=\"https:\/\/www.allenandunwin.com\/browse\/books\/general-books\/popular-science\/Defiant-Earth-Clive-Hamilton-9781760295967\" target=\"_blank\"><em>\u8511\u89c6\u5730\u7403\uff0c\u4eba\u7c7b\u4e16\u4e2d\u4eba\u7c7b\u7684\u547d\u8fd0<\/em><\/a>, 2017).<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\u4f8b\u5982\uff0c\u5f53\u6d77\u6d0b\u8d8a\u6765\u8d8a\u5feb\u5730\u6df9\u6ca1\u5b5f\u52a0\u62c9\u56fd\uff0c\u8feb\u4f7f\u6570\u5343\u4e07\u4eba\u9003\u79bb\u519c\u6751\u571f\u5730\u65f6\uff0c\u5f3a\u70c8\u548c\u53cd\u590d\u7684\u5e72\u65f1\u4ee5\u53ca\u7f8e\u4e2d\u8d38\u6613\u6218\u7684\u8026\u5408\u4f7f\u7f8e\u56fd\u519c\u4e1a\u9762\u4e34\u8d8a\u6765\u8d8a\u5927\u7684\u538b\u529b\uff08\u89c1Jean-Michel Valantin \"C<a href=\"https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/zh\/2013\/10\/14\/%e6%b0%94%e5%80%99%e5%8f%98%e5%8c%96-%e5%85%a8%e7%90%83%e6%88%98%e7%95%a5%e9%97%ae%e9%a2%98-%e6%98%af%e7%9a%84\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">\u6c14\u5019\u53d8\u5316\uff0c\u4e00\u4e2a\u5730\u7f18\u6218\u7565\u95ee\u9898\uff1f\u662f\u7684\uff01\"<\/a> \u548c\"<a href=\"https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/zh\/2018\/10\/08\/%e6%b0%94%e5%80%99%e9%94%a4%e5%92%8c%e8%b4%b8%e6%98%93%e6%88%98%e4%b9%8b%e9%97%b4%e7%9a%84%e7%bb%8f%e6%b5%8e-%e7%a0%b4%e5%9d%8f%e5%a4%a7%e8%b1%86%e7%9a%84%e6%a1%88%e4%be%8b\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">\u7f8e\u56fd\u7ecf\u6d4e\uff0c\u5728\u6c14\u5019\u4e4b\u9524\u548c\u8d38\u6613\u6218\u4e4b\u7827\u4e4b\u95f4 - \u7f8e\u56fd\u5927\u8c46\u4f5c\u7269\u6848\u4f8b<\/a>\", <em>\u7ea2\u8272\uff08\u56e2\u961f\uff09\u5206\u6790\u534f\u4f1a<\/em>\uff0c2018\u5e7410\u67088\u65e5\uff09\u3002\u5728\u8fd9\u4e24\u79cd\u60c5\u51b5\u4e0b\uff0c\u793e\u4f1a\u53ca\u5176\u7ecf\u6d4e\u7684\u8106\u5f31\u6027\u90fd\u88ab\u7f6e\u4e8e\u6c38\u4e45\u589e\u957f\u7684\u6c14\u5019\u538b\u529b\u4e4b\u4e0b\uff0c\u8fd9\u79cd\u538b\u529b\u65e2\u4e0d\u4f1a\u505c\u6b62\u4e5f\u4e0d\u4f1a\u51cf\u5f31\u3002\u6362\u53e5\u8bdd\u8bf4\uff0c\u5bf9\u4e8e\u73b0\u4ee3\u793e\u4f1a\u6240\u4f9d\u8d56\u7684\u6761\u4ef6\u6765\u8bf4\uff0c\u5730\u7403\u6761\u4ef6\u6b63\u5728\u6210\u4e3a\u4e00\u79cd\u5a01\u80c1\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">\u4e86\u89e3\u6216\u8bef\u89e3\u5730\u7403\u5a01\u80c1\u7684\u6027\u8d28\u7684\u5730\u7f18\u653f\u6cbb\u540e\u679c<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\u4e86\u89e3\u65b0\u7684\u5730\u7403\u72b6\u51b5\u610f\u5473\u7740\u4e00\u79cd\u65b0\u7684\u653f\u6cbb\u601d\u7ef4\u6846\u67b6\u3002\u8fd9\u79cd\u601d\u7ef4\u6846\u67b6\u5fc5\u987b\u80fd\u591f\u5c06\u73b0\u4ee3\u793e\u4f1a\u7684\u6f14\u53d8\u4e0e \"\u4e0d\u5c48\u7684\u5730\u7403 \"\u8054\u7cfb\u8d77\u6765\uff0c\u4f7f\u5176\u5904\u4e8e\u4e0d\u65ad\u53d8\u5316\u548c\u5371\u9669\u7684\u72b6\u6001\u3002\u6362\u53e5\u8bdd\u8bf4\uff0c\u8fd9\u610f\u5473\u7740\u653f\u6cbb\u548c\u7ecf\u6d4e\u51b3\u7b56\u8005\u548c\u884c\u52a8\u8005\u5fc5\u987b\u53d1\u5c55\u4e00\u79cd\u4ee5\u53d8\u5316\u548c\u9002\u5e94\u4e3a\u4e2d\u5fc3\u7684\u4e16\u754c\u89c2\uff0c\u8fd9\u4e0e\u6218\u7565\u5bb6\u7684\u601d\u7ef4\u65b9\u5f0f\u5e76\u4e0d\u9065\u8fdc\uff08Jean-Michel Valantin \"<a rel=\"noreferrer noopener\" href=\"https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/zh\/2017\/01\/09\/%e6%88%98%e7%95%a5-%e8%af%8a%e6%96%ad-%e4%bf%84%e7%bd%97%e6%96%af-%e5%8c%97%e6%9e%81%e5%8f%91%e5%b1%95-%e6%95%99%e8%ae%ad-%e5%95%86%e4%b8%9a-%e6%94%bf%e5%ba%9c-%e7%ac%ac2%e9%83%a8%e5%88%86\/\" target=\"_blank\">\u4fc4\u7f57\u65af\u5317\u6781\u5730\u533a\u7684\u6218\u7565\u601d\u8003\uff1a\u5316\u5a01\u80c1\u4e3a\u673a\u9047\uff08\u7b2c\u4e00\u548c\u7b2c\u4e8c\u90e8\u5206\uff09<\/a>\",&nbsp;<em>\u7ea2\u8272\uff08\u56e2\u961f\uff09\u5206\u6790\u534f\u4f1a<\/em>\uff0c2016\u5e7412\u670819\u65e5\uff09\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\u4f8b\u5982\uff0c\u5317\u6781\u7684\u8fc5\u901f\u53d8\u6696\u548c\u5730\u7403\u7269\u7406\u53d8\u5316\u6b63\u5728\u4fc3\u4f7f\u4fc4\u7f57\u65af\u3001\u4e2d\u56fd\u3001\u7f8e\u56fd\u548c\u52a0\u62ff\u5927\u7684\u653f\u6cbb\u3001\u7ecf\u6d4e\u548c\u519b\u4e8b\u5f53\u5c40\u5236\u5b9a\u7ecf\u6d4e\u3001\u5de5\u4e1a\u3001\u80fd\u6e90\u548c\u519b\u4e8b\u6218\u7565\uff0c\u65e8\u5728\u4f7f\u4e0d\u540c\u7684\u56fd\u5bb6\u5229\u76ca\u9002\u5e94\u6c14\u5019\u53d8\u5316\uff08Jean-Michel Valantin\uff0c\"<a rel=\"noreferrer noopener\" href=\"https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/zh\/2018\/11\/12\/%e6%9a%96%e5%8c%96%e5%8c%97%e6%9e%81%e7%9a%84%e5%86%9b%e4%ba%8b%e5%8c%96-%e5%90%91%e6%96%b0%e5%86%b7%e6%bc%a0%e4%b8%bb%e4%b9%89%e7%9a%84%e6%8c%91%e6%88%98\/\" target=\"_blank\">\u5317\u6781\u53d8\u6696\u7684\u519b\u4e8b\u5316--\u65b0\u5a01\u80c1\u4e3b\u4e49\u7684\u7ade\u8d5b(s)<\/a>\u201c, <em>\u7ea2\u8272\uff08\u56e2\u961f\uff09\u5206\u6790\u534f\u4f1a<\/em>, 2018\u5e7411\u670812\u65e5\uff09\u3002\u5317\u6781\u56fd\u5bb6\u5f53\u5c40\u7684\u653f\u7b56\u5bf9\u5317\u6781\u5730\u7403\u7269\u7406\u53d8\u5316\u7684\u8fd9\u79cd\u9002\u5e94\uff0c\u9884\u793a\u7740\u653f\u6cbb\u5f53\u5c40\u7684\u4e16\u754c\u89c2\u5bf9\u5730\u7403\u7cfb\u7edf\u5feb\u901f\u53d8\u5316\u72b6\u6001\u7684\u6574\u5408\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\u8fd9\u79cd\u65b0\u7684\u653f\u6cbb\u5fc3\u6001\u662f\u5728\u9762\u5bf9\u5730\u7403\u5a01\u80c1\u65f6\u52aa\u529b\u5e76\u6210\u529f\u627e\u5230\u9002\u5e94\u6027\u548c\u51cf\u5f31\u6027\u53cd\u5e94\u7684\u5173\u952e\u3002\u672a\u80fd\u83b7\u5f97\u5b83\u4e0d\u662f\u4e00\u79cd\u9009\u62e9\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\u7279\u8272\u56fe\u7247\u3002&nbsp;<strong>\u4e00\u573a\u91ce\u706b\u63a5\u8fd1\u6587\u56fe\u62c9\u90e1\u6d77\u519b\u57fa\u5730<\/strong>:\u52a0\u5dde\u6587\u56fe\u62c9\u6d77\u519b\u57fa\u5730\uff082013\u5e745\u67083\u65e5\uff09\u6587\u56fe\u62c9\u6d77\u519b\u57fa\u5730\u51fa\u4e8e\u5bf9\u70df\u96fe\u7684\u62c5\u5fe7\uff0c\u5df2\u7ecf\u758f\u6563\u4e86\u4e00\u4e9b\u5c45\u6c11\uff0c\u56e0\u4e3a\u6d1b\u6749\u77f6\u897f\u5317\u90e8\u592a\u5e73\u6d0b\u6d77\u5cb8\u516c\u8def\u6cbf\u7ebf\u5feb\u901f\u589e\u957f\u7684\u91ce\u706b\u5df2\u7ecf\u8feb\u4f7f\u5c45\u6c11\u79bb\u5f00\u8be5\u5730\u533a\u3002(<a rel=\"noreferrer noopener\" href=\"https:\/\/www.flickr.com\/photos\/usnavy\/8718537328\/\" target=\"_blank\">\u7f8e\u56fd\u6d77\u519b\u7167\u7247\/\u53d1\u5e03<\/a>) 130503-N-ZZ999-003 - \u516c\u5171\u9886\u57df\u3002<\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>2018\u5e7412\u67083\u65e5\uff0c\u53732018\u5e74\u8054\u5408\u56fd\u6c14\u5019\u53d8\u5316\u5927\u4f1a--\u5176\u7b2c24\u6b21\u4f1a\u8bae\uff08COP24\uff09\u5f00\u5e55\u524d\u4e24\u5929\uff0c\u5728\u6ce2\u5170\u7164\u70ad\u56fd\u5bb6\u7684\u5fc3\u810f\u5730\u5e26\u5361\u6258\u7ef4\u5179\uff0c\u5df4\u897f\u65b0\u603b\u7edf\u8d3e\u4f0a\u5c14-\u535a\u5c14\u7d22\u7eb3\u7f57\u5ba3\u5e03\uff0c\u5df4\u897f\u5c06\u4e0d\u7ec4\u7ec7\u4e0b\u4e00\u8f6e\u8c08\u5224\uff0c\u5373COP ... <\/p>\n<p class=\"link-more\"><a href=\"https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/zh\/2018\/12\/10\/understanding-or-not-nature-climate-change-as-planetary-threat\/\" class=\"more-link\">\u7ee7\u7eed\u9605\u8bfb<span class=\"screen-reader-text\">\"\u7406\u89e3\uff08\u6216\u4e0d\u7406\u89e3\uff09\u4f5c\u4e3a\u5730\u7403\u5a01\u80c1\u7684\u6c14\u5019\u53d8\u5316\u7684\u6027\u8d28\"<\/span><\/a><\/p>","protected":false},"author":20,"featured_media":19888,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_jetpack_feature_clip_id":0,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[1722,2558],"tags":[1789,2560],"class_list":["post-19862","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-environmental-geostrategy","category-climate-and-resources-crisis","tag-featured","tag-open-access","entry"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v28.8 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>Understanding (or not) the Nature of Climate Change as a Planetary Threat &#8226; The Red Team Analysis Society<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" 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