{"id":20602,"date":"2019-02-11T12:43:57","date_gmt":"2019-02-11T11:43:57","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.redanalysis.org\/?p=20602"},"modified":"2022-03-07T16:13:03","modified_gmt":"2022-03-07T15:13:03","slug":"%e6%b0%94%e5%80%99%e5%8f%98%e5%8c%96-%e6%88%91%e4%bb%ac%e5%9c%a8%e4%b8%8d%e6%96%ad%e5%8f%98%e5%8c%96%e7%9a%84%e5%9c%b0%e7%90%83%e4%b8%8a%e6%98%af%e7%94%9f%e5%ad%98%e8%bf%98%e6%98%af%e6%ad%bb%e4%ba%a1","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/zh\/2019\/02\/11\/climate-change-shall-we-live-or-die-on-our-changing-planet\/","title":{"rendered":"\u6c14\u5019\u53d8\u5316\u3002\u6211\u4eec\u5728\u4e0d\u65ad\u53d8\u5316\u7684\u5730\u7403\u4e0a\u662f\u751f\u662f\u6b7b\uff1f"},"content":{"rendered":"<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\u5728\u5357\u6781Thwaites\u51b0\u5ddd\u5185\u53d1\u73b0\u4e86\u4e00\u4e2a1000\u82f1\u5c3a\u9ad8\uff081600\u7c73\uff09\u7684\u7a7a\u6d1e\uff0c\u5176\u5927\u5c0f\u76f8\u5f53\u4e8e\u66fc\u54c8\u987f\u7684\u4e09\u5206\u4e4b\u4e8c\uff08Sarah Sloat, \" \"\uff09\u3002<a href=\"https:\/\/www.inverse.com\/article\/52956-thwaites-glacier-cavity-sea-level-rise\">\u5357\u6781\u51b0\u5ddd\u5185\u7684\u4e00\u4e2a\u5de8\u5927\u7a7a\u6d1e\u8574\u85cf\u7740\u5371\u9669\u7684\u5a01\u80c1<\/a>&nbsp;\", <em>\u53cd\u4e49\u8bcd\u65e5\u62a5<\/em>\uff0c2019\u5e742\u67081\u65e5\uff09\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\u5b83\u662f\u5728\u4e09\u5e74\u5185\u901a\u8fc7\u5185\u90e8\u53d8\u6696\u548c\u878d\u5316\u5f62\u6210\u7684\u3002\u8fd9\u663e\u793a\u4e86\u8fd9\u4e2a\u8fc7\u7a0b\u7684\u52a0\u901f\uff0c\u4ee5\u53ca\u6574\u4e2a\u51b0\u5ddd\u548c\u5176\u90bb\u56fd\u7684\u4e0d\u7a33\u5b9a\uff08Sloat\uff0c\u540c\u4e0a\uff09\u3002 <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\u4ec5\u4ec5\u662fThwaites\u51b0\u5ddd\u7684\u878d\u5316\u5c31\u80fd\u4f7f\u5168\u7403\u6d77\u6d0b\u7684\u4e0a\u5347\u5e45\u5ea6\u589e\u52a0\u4e24\u82f1\u5c3a\u3002 <\/p>\n\n\n\n<!--more-->\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><strong>\u51b0\u96ea\u7834\u574f<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\u4e0e\u6b64\u540c\u65f6\uff0c\u6211\u4eec\u53d1\u73b0\u4ee5\u524d\u7684\u79d1\u5b66\u6a21\u578b\u4f4e\u4f30\u4e86\u5357\u6781\u51b0\u96ea\u878d\u5316\u7684\u901f\u5ea6\uff08Alexandra Witze\uff0c\" \"\uff09\u3002<a href=\"https:\/\/www.nature.com\/articles\/d41586-018-07714-1\">\u5357\u6781\u6d32\u4e1c\u90e8\u7684\u5931\u51b0\u901f\u5ea6\u6bd4\u4eba\u4eec\u60f3\u8c61\u7684\u8981\u5feb<\/a>\", <em>\u81ea\u7136\u754c<\/em>\uff0c2018\u5e7412\u670810\u65e5\uff09\u3002\u540c\u6837\uff0c\u4e00\u9879\u65b0\u7684\u7814\u7a76\u786e\u5b9a\uff0c\u5728\u5341\u5e74\u5185\uff0c\u683c\u9675\u5170\u5c9b\u51b0\u5ddd\u878d\u5316\u7684\u8282\u594f\u589e\u52a0\u4e86\u4e24\u500d\uff08\u7ea6\u7ff0-\u65bd\u74e6\u8328\uff0c\"<a href=\"https:\/\/www.nytimes.com\/2019\/01\/21\/climate\/greenland-ice.html\">\u79d1\u5b66\u5bb6\u79f0\u683c\u9675\u5170\u5c9b\u7684\u51b0\u96ea\u878d\u5316\u63a5\u8fd1 \"\u8f6c\u6298\u70b9\"<\/a>\", <em>\u7ebd\u7ea6\u65f6\u62a5<\/em>\uff0c2019\u5e741\u670821\u65e5\uff09\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-embed is-type-video is-provider-youtube wp-block-embed-youtube\"><div class=\"wp-block-embed__wrapper\">\n<span class=\"embed-youtube\" style=\"text-align:center; display: block;\"><iframe loading=\"lazy\" class=\"youtube-player\" width=\"640\" height=\"360\" src=\"https:\/\/www.youtube.com\/embed\/N7BeUxCGp2k?version=3&#038;rel=1&#038;showsearch=0&#038;showinfo=1&#038;iv_load_policy=1&#038;fs=1&#038;hl=zh-CN&#038;autohide=2&#038;wmode=transparent\" allowfullscreen=\"true\" style=\"border:0;\" sandbox=\"allow-scripts allow-same-origin allow-popups allow-presentation allow-popups-to-escape-sandbox\"><\/iframe><\/span>\n<\/div><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><strong>\u884c\u661f\u4fe1\u53f7<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\u540c\u65f6\uff0c\u7f8e\u56fd\u56fd\u5bb6\u822a\u7a7a\u822a\u5929\u5c40\u8ba4\u5b9a2018\u5e74\u662f138\u5e74\u524d\u5f00\u59cb\u6d4b\u91cf\u4ee5\u6765\u8fde\u7eed\u7b2c\u56db\u4e2a\u6700\u70ed\u7684\u5e74\u4efd\uff08\"<a href=\"https:\/\/www.nasa.gov\/press-release\/2018-fourth-warmest-year-in-continued-warming-trend-according-to-nasa-noaa\">\u6839\u636eNASA\u3001NOAA\u7684\u6570\u636e\uff0c2018\u5e74\u662f\u6301\u7eed\u53d8\u6696\u8d8b\u52bf\u4e2d\u7b2c\u56db\u4e2a\u6700\u6e29\u6696\u7684\u5e74\u4efd<\/a>\", <em>\u7f8e\u56fd\u56fd\u5bb6\u822a\u7a7a\u822a\u5929\u5c40<\/em>\uff0c2019\u5e742\u67086\u65e5\uff09\u3002\u53e6\u5916\uff0c\u6d77\u6d0b\u53d8\u6696\u548c\u9178\u5316\u7684\u901f\u5ea6\u4f3c\u4e4e\u6bd4\u79d1\u5b66\u5bb6\u9884\u671f\u7684\u8981\u5feb\u5f97\u591a\uff08Chelsea Harvey, \"<a href=\"https:\/\/www.scientificamerican.com\/article\/oceans-are-warming-faster-than-predicted\/\">\u6d77\u6d0b\u53d8\u6696\u7684\u901f\u5ea6\u6bd4\u9884\u6d4b\u7684\u5feb<\/a>\", <em>\u79d1\u5b66\u7f8e\u56fd\u4eba<\/em>\uff0c2019\u5e741\u670811\u65e5\uff09\u3002\u5f53\u8fd9\u4e9b\u7ed3\u679c\u516c\u5e03\u65f6\uff0c\u6fb3\u5927\u5229\u4e9a\u6b63\u572850\u5ea6\u7684\u70ed\u6d6a\u4e0b\u70d8\u70e4\uff0c\u5373\u70ed\u6b7b\u4eba\u7684\u6781\u9650\uff08Charlotte Wills\u548cAAP\uff0c\"<a href=\"https:\/\/www.news.com.au\/technology\/environment\/roads-melt-as-heatwave-escalates-across-parts-of-australia\/news-story\/ea23d38d583ccafa24c6a42b9574b06f\">\u6fb3\u5927\u5229\u4e9a\u70ed\u6d6a\u5347\u7ea7\uff0c\u9053\u8def\u878d\u5316\"<\/a>, <em>\u65b0\u95fb\u7f51<\/em>\uff0c2019\u5e741\u670818\u65e5\uff09\u3002 <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\u8fd9\u4e9b\u90fd\u662f\u5f53\u524d\u5730\u7403\u7269\u7406\u884c\u661f\u8fdb\u7a0b\u7684\u58ee\u89c2\u4f8b\u5b50\uff0c\u5b83\u6539\u53d8\u4e86\u5730\u7403\u7cfb\u7edf\u7684\u53c2\u6570\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-embed is-type-video is-provider-youtube wp-block-embed-youtube\"><div class=\"wp-block-embed__wrapper\">\n<span class=\"embed-youtube\" style=\"text-align:center; display: block;\"><iframe loading=\"lazy\" class=\"youtube-player\" width=\"640\" height=\"360\" src=\"https:\/\/www.youtube.com\/embed\/S8YPg0Vw_Uk?version=3&#038;rel=1&#038;showsearch=0&#038;showinfo=1&#038;iv_load_policy=1&#038;fs=1&#038;hl=zh-CN&#038;autohide=2&#038;wmode=transparent\" allowfullscreen=\"true\" style=\"border:0;\" sandbox=\"allow-scripts allow-same-origin allow-popups allow-presentation allow-popups-to-escape-sandbox\"><\/iframe><\/span>\n<\/div><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><strong>\u6539\u9020\u5730\u7403\uff0c\u5371\u53ca\uff08\u4eba\u7c7b\uff09\u751f\u547d<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\u8fd9\u4e9b\u5e72\u6270\u53ca\u5176\u4fe1\u53f7\u4e5f\u610f\u5473\u7740\u6c14\u5019\u53d8\u5316\u7684\u8282\u594f\u548c\u89c4\u6a21\u9700\u8981\u88ab\u7406\u89e3\uff0c\u800c\u4e0d\u662f\u4f5c\u4e3a\u4e00\u4e2a\u5371\u673a\uff0c\u800c\u662f\u4f5c\u4e3a\u4e00\u4e2a\u884c\u661f\u7684\u8f6c\u53d8\u3002\u56e0\u6b64\uff0c\u6211\u4eec\u5fc5\u987b\u5b9a\u4e49 \"\u5730\u7403\u53d8\u5316 \"\u5bf9\u4e8e\u6211\u4eec\u661f\u7403\u4e0a\u5f53\u524d\u7684\u653f\u6cbb\u72b6\u51b5\u610f\u5473\u7740\u4ec0\u4e48\uff08Jean-Michel Valantin, \"<a href=\"https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/zh\/2018\/12\/10\/%e4%ba%86%e8%a7%a3%e6%88%96%e4%b8%8d%e4%ba%86%e8%a7%a3%e8%87%aa%e7%84%b6%e7%95%8c%e7%9a%84%e6%b0%94%e5%80%99%e5%8f%98%e5%8c%96%e5%af%b9%e5%9c%b0%e7%90%83%e7%9a%84%e5%a8%81%e8%83%81\/\">\u4e86\u89e3\uff08\u6216\u4e0d\u4e86\u89e3\uff09\u4f5c\u4e3a\u5730\u7403\u5a01\u80c1\u7684\u6c14\u5019\u53d8\u5316\u7684\u6027\u8d28<\/a>\", <em>\u7ea2\u8272\uff08\u56e2\u961f\uff09\u5206\u6790\u534f\u4f1a<\/em>\uff0c2018\u5e7412\u670810\u65e5\u3002 <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\u6362\u53e5\u8bdd\u8bf4\uff0c\u6211\u4eec\u7684\u661f\u7403\u6b63\u5728\u7ecf\u5386\u4e00\u573a\u6df1\u523b\u7684\u53d8\u9769\uff0c\u8fd9\u8fdd\u80cc\u4e86\u73b0\u4ee3\u793e\u4f1a\u7684\u53ef\u6301\u7eed\u6027\uff0c\u81f3\u5c11\u5728\u5176\u76ee\u524d\u7684\u5f62\u5f0f\u4e0b\u3002\u56e0\u6b64\uff0c\u5730\u7403\u7684\u8f6c\u53d8\u5371\u53ca\u5230\u4f7f\u4eba\u7c7b\u751f\u547d\u5f97\u4ee5\u5ef6\u7eed\u7684\u975e\u5e38\u590d\u6742\u7684\u8fc7\u7a0b\u3002\u56e0\u6b64\uff0c\u8fd9\u610f\u5473\u7740\u76ee\u524d\u7684\u6cbb\u7406\u5f62\u5f0f\u5fc5\u987b\u6574\u5408\u8fd9\u4e2a\u8fc5\u901f\u51fa\u73b0\u7684\u65b0\u5730\u7403\u7269\u7406\u73b0\u5b9e\uff08Jean-Michel Valantin\uff0c\"<a href=\"https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/zh\/2016\/01\/25\/%e8%a1%8c%e6%98%9f%e5%8d%b1%e6%9c%ba%e5%92%8c%e5%ae%83%e7%9a%84%e8%a7%84%e5%88%99-%e7%ac%ac1%e9%83%a8%e5%88%86\/\">\u884c\u661f\u5371\u673a\u89c4\u5219<\/a> \u7b2c\u4e00\u90e8\u5206\u548c\u7b2c\u4e8c\u90e8\u5206\"\u3002 <em>\u7ea2\u8272\uff08\u56e2\u961f\uff09\u5206\u6790\u534f\u4f1a<\/em>\uff0c2016\u5e741\u670825\u65e5\uff09\u3002\u8fd9\u79cd\u5fc5\u8981\u6027\u6e90\u4e8e\u8fd9\u6837\u4e00\u4e2a\u4e8b\u5b9e\uff0c\u5373\u9002\u5e94\u6216\u4e0d\u9002\u5e94\u6211\u4eec\u661f\u7403\u7684\u65b0\u6761\u4ef6\uff0c\u5c06\u51b3\u5b9a\u8c01\u5c06\u751f\u5b58\uff0c\u8c01\u5c06\u6b7b\u4ea1\u3002\u800c\u8fd9\u662f\u53ef\u4ee5\u63d0\u51fa\u7684\u6700\u57fa\u672c\u7684\u653f\u6cbb\u95ee\u9898\u3002 <\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">\u5730\u7403\u662f\u6211\u4eec\u7684\u751f\u547d\u652f\u6301\u7cfb\u7edf<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\u4ece\u5730\u7403\u7269\u7406\u5b66\u7684\u89d2\u5ea6\u6765\u770b\uff0c\u5730\u7403\u7cfb\u7edf\u662f\u4e00\u5957\u52a8\u6001\u53c2\u6570\uff0c\u4e0d\u540c\u79cd\u7c7b\u7684\u751f\u7269\u7684\u73b0\u6709\u4eba\u53e3\u90fd\u662f\u4ece\u8fd9\u5957\u53c2\u6570\u4e2d\u6f14\u53d8\u800c\u6765\u7684\u3002\u800c\u4eba\u7c7b\u6b63\u5728\u5c06\u5730\u7403\u7684\u4e0d\u540c\u5c42\u9762\u8f6c\u5316\u4e3a\u5b83\u6240\u9700\u8981\u7684\u8d44\u6e90\uff0c\u4ee5\u8fbe\u5230\u5176\u76ee\u524d\u7684\u53d1\u5c55\u6c34\u5e73\u548c\u5f62\u5f0f\u3002\u56e0\u6b64\uff0c\u4ece\u4eba\u7c7b\u548c\u793e\u4f1a\u7684\u89d2\u5ea6\u6765\u770b\uff0c\u5730\u7403\u662f\u6211\u4eec\u7684\u751f\u547d\u652f\u6301\u7cfb\u7edf\u3002\u7136\u800c\uff0c\u76ee\u524d\u7684\u8d44\u6e90\u548c\u80fd\u6e90\u5bc6\u96c6\u578b\u7ecf\u6d4e\u4f53\u7cfb\u7684\u52a0\u901f\u6b63\u5728\u6539\u53d8\u5730\u7403\u7684\u53c2\u6570\uff08J.R McNeil, Peter Engelke, <em><a href=\"http:\/\/www.hup.harvard.edu\/catalog.php?isbn=9780674545038\">\u5927\u52a0\u901f\uff0c1945\u5e74\u4ee5\u6765\u4eba\u7c7b\u4e16\u754c\u7684\u73af\u5883\u53f2<\/a><\/em>, Belknap Press, 2016\uff09\u3002\u7136\u800c\uff0c\u8fd9\u4e9b\u53c2\u6570\u51b3\u5b9a\u4e86\u6211\u4eec\u6700\u57fa\u672c\u7684\u751f\u6d3b\u6761\u4ef6\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-embed is-type-video is-provider-youtube wp-block-embed-youtube\"><div class=\"wp-block-embed__wrapper\">\n<span class=\"embed-youtube\" style=\"text-align:center; display: block;\"><iframe loading=\"lazy\" class=\"youtube-player\" width=\"640\" height=\"360\" src=\"https:\/\/www.youtube.com\/embed\/66LH9k80wj0?version=3&#038;rel=1&#038;showsearch=0&#038;showinfo=1&#038;iv_load_policy=1&#038;fs=1&#038;hl=zh-CN&#038;autohide=2&#038;wmode=transparent\" allowfullscreen=\"true\" style=\"border:0;\" sandbox=\"allow-scripts allow-same-origin allow-popups allow-presentation allow-popups-to-escape-sandbox\"><\/iframe><\/span>\n<\/div><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">\u884c\u661f\u7684\u8fb9\u754c<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\u5728\u8fd9\u65b9\u9762\uff0c\u8be5\u62a5\u544a\u3002\"<a href=\"https:\/\/www.ecologyandsociety.org\/vol14\/iss2\/art32\/\">\u884c\u661f\u7684\u8fb9\u754c\u3002\u63a2\u7d22\u4eba\u7c7b\u7684\u5b89\u5168\u64cd\u4f5c\u7a7a\u95f4<\/a>\"\uff0c\u7531\u65af\u5fb7\u54e5\u5c14\u6469\u590d\u539f\u529b\u4e2d\u5fc3\u4e3b\u4efbJohann Rockstrom\u9886\u5bfc(<em>\u751f\u6001\u5b66\u4e0e\u793e\u4f1a<\/em>2009\u5e74\uff09\u662f\u4e00\u4e2a\u6982\u5ff5\u4e0a\u7684\u7a81\u7834\u3002 <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\u9996\u5148\uff0c\u7814\u7a76\u5c0f\u7ec4\u5b9a\u4e49\u4e86\u4e5d\u4e2a \"\u884c\u661f\u8fb9\u754c\"\u3002\u8fd9\u4e9b\u754c\u9650\u662f\u4e0d\u80fd\u8de8\u8d8a\u7684\uff0c\u56e0\u4e3a\u8de8\u8d8a\u5b83\u4eec\u5c06\u4ece\u6839\u672c\u4e0a\u6539\u53d8\u4eba\u7c7b\u7684\u96c6\u4f53\u751f\u6d3b\u6761\u4ef6\u3002\u5176\u6b21\uff0c\u7814\u7a76\u4eba\u5458\u8bc1\u660e\uff0c\u5982\u679c\u8d8a\u8fc7\u8fd9\u4e9b\u754c\u9650\uff0c\u8fd9\u4e9b\u754c\u9650\u53ea\u4e0d\u8fc7\u662f\u5730\u7403\u4e0a\u751f\u547d\u6761\u4ef6\u53d1\u751f\u6df1\u523b\u53d8\u5316\u7684 \"\u4e34\u754c\u70b9\"\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\u8fd9\u4e5d\u6761\u754c\u7ebf\u662f\u3002\"\u6c14\u5019\u53d8\u5316\uff1b\u751f\u7269\u591a\u6837\u6027\u4e27\u5931\u7684\u901f\u5ea6\n\u6c14\u5019\u53d8\u5316\uff1b\u751f\u7269\u591a\u6837\u6027\u4e27\u5931\u7684\u901f\u5ea6\uff08\u9646\u5730\u548c\u6d77\u6d0b\uff09\uff1b\u5bf9\u6c2e\u548c\u78f7\u5faa\u73af\u7684\u5e72\u6270\uff1b\u5e73\u6d41\u5c42\u81ed\u6c27\u6d88\u8017\uff1b\u6d77\u6d0b\u9178\u5316\uff1b\u5168\u7403\u8303\u56f4\u5185\u5bf9\u751f\u7269\u591a\u6837\u6027\u7684\u5e72\u6270\u3002\n\u78f7\u5faa\u73af\u7684\u5e72\u6270\uff1b\u5e73\u6d41\u5c42\u81ed\u6c27\u6d88\u8017\uff1b\u6d77\u6d0b\u9178\u5316\uff1b\u5168\u7403\u6de1\u6c34\u4f7f\u7528\uff1b\u571f\u5730\u4f7f\u7528\u7684\u53d8\u5316\uff1b\u5316\u5b66\u6c61\u67d3\uff1b\u4ee5\u53ca\u5927\u6c14\u60ac\u6d6e\u7269\u3002\n\u6de1\u6c34\u4f7f\u7528\uff1b\u571f\u5730\u4f7f\u7528\u7684\u53d8\u5316\uff1b\u5316\u5b66\u6c61\u67d3\uff1b\u4ee5\u53ca\u5927\u6c14\u4e2d\u7684\u6c14\u6eb6\u80f6\n\u8d1f\u8377\"\uff08\u540c\u4e0a\uff09\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">\u8d8a\u8f68\u884c\u4e3a<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\u62a5\u544a\u8b66\u544a\u8bf4\uff0c\u8fd9\u4e9b\u9608\u503c\u4e2d\u6709\u4e09\u4e2a\u5df2\u7ecf\u88ab\u8de8\u8d8a\uff1a\u5373\u6c14\u5019\u53d8\u5316\u3001\u751f\u7269\u591a\u6837\u6027\u5371\u673a\u548c\u5bf9\u6c2e\u78f7\u5faa\u73af\u7684\u5e72\u6270\u3002 <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\u81ea\u4ece\u8fd9\u9879\u7814\u7a76\u53d1\u8868\u4ee5\u6765\uff0c\u4e16\u754c\u9762\u4e34\u7740\u6781\u7aef\u73af\u5883\u4e8b\u4ef6\u7684\u500d\u589e\u3002\u8fd9\u4e9b\u4e8b\u4ef6\u6b63\u5728\u5f71\u54cd\u5de8\u5927\u7684\u533a\u57df\uff0c\u4ece\u5317\u6781\u5230\u5730\u7403\u4e0a\u6700\u5f31\u7684\u7ecf\u6d4e\u4f53\u7684\u7ecf\u6d4e\u53d1\u5c55\uff0c\u540c\u65f6\u5371\u53ca\u6570\u4ee5\u4ebf\u8ba1\u7684\u4eba\uff08Harry Pettit\uff0c\"\u6d77\u6d0b\u6b63\u5728\u7a92\u606f\"\u3002\u5728\u963f\u62c9\u4f2f\u6d77\u53d1\u73b0\u4e86\u6740\u9c7c\u7684\u6b7b\u533a--\u5b83\u5df2\u7ecf\u6bd4\u82cf\u683c\u5170\u8fd8\u5927\"\u3002&nbsp;<em>\u5728\u7ebf\u90ae\u4ef6<\/em>\uff0c2017\u5e744\u670827\u65e5\u548cEric Holtaus\uff0c\"<a href=\"http:\/\/www.slate.com\/blogs\/the_slatest\/2016\/03\/22\/james_hansen_sea_level_rise_climate_warning_passes_peer_review.html\">James Hansen Bombshell\u7684\u6c14\u5019\u8b66\u544a\u73b0\u5728\u662f\u79d1\u5b66\u5927\u5178\u7684\u4e00\u90e8\u5206<\/a>\",&nbsp;<em>Slate.com<\/em>\uff0c2016\u5e743\u670822\u65e5\uff09\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">\u4ece\u4e0d\u65ad\u53d8\u5316\u7684\u5730\u7403\u7cfb\u7edf\u5230\u4e0d\u65ad\u51cf\u5f31\u7684\u4eba\u7c7b\u751f\u547d\u652f\u6301\u7cfb\u7edf<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\u6b63\u5982\u6211\u4eec\u521a\u521a\u770b\u5230\u7684\uff0c\u884c\u661f\u7684\u8fb9\u754c\u662f\u5730\u7403\u4e0a\u751f\u547d\u7684\u53c2\u6570\uff0c\u7279\u522b\u662f\u4eba\u7c7b\u751f\u547d\u7684\u53c2\u6570\u3002\u5f53\u7136\uff0c\u8fd9\u4e5f\u610f\u5473\u7740\uff0c\u5b83\u4eec\u7684\u6539\u53d8\u4f1a\u4f7f\u5b83\u4eec\u53d8\u6210\u6b7b\u4ea1\u7684\u53c2\u6570\u3002\u800c\u8fd9\u5df2\u7ecf\u5728\u7cfb\u7edf\u5c42\u9762\u4e0a\u53d1\u751f\u4e86\u3002\u672f\u8bed \"\u7cfb\u7edf\u6027 \"\u5728\u8fd9\u91cc\u5177\u6709\u6218\u7565\u610f\u4e49\u3002\u56e0\u4e3a\uff0c\u5982\u4eca\u6211\u4eec\u7684\u793e\u4f1a\u4e4b\u6240\u4ee5\u80fd\u591f\u751f\u5b58\uff0c\u4ec5\u4ec5\u662f\u7531\u4e8e\u4ed6\u4eec\u5c06\u8fd9\u4e9b\u53c2\u6570\u4f5c\u4e3a\u8d44\u6e90\u4f7f\u7528\u7684\u65b9\u5f0f\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">\u571f\u58e4\u6848\u4f8b<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\u4f8b\u5982\uff0c\u519c\u4e1a\u548c\u519c\u5de5\u7efc\u5408\u4f53\u3001\u57ce\u5e02\u548c\u9646\u5730\u4ea4\u901a\u57fa\u7840\u8bbe\u65bd\u548c\u5de5\u4e1a\uff0c\u90fd\u5728\u5229\u7528\u571f\u58e4\u7684\u8868\u9762\u4ee5\u53ca\u77ff\u7269\u548c\u751f\u7269\u72b6\u6001\u3002\u7136\u800c\uff0c\u8fd9\u4e9b\u73af\u5883\u7684\u4eba\u5de5\u5316\u505a\u6cd5\u76ee\u524d\u6b63\u5728\u628a\u53ef\u8015\u5730\u53d8\u6210\u5316\u5b66\u6c89\u79ef\u7269\u3002\u4f5c\u4e3a\u4e00\u4e2a\u610f\u60f3\u4e0d\u5230\u7684\u7ed3\u679c\uff0c\u5b83\u4eec\u7834\u574f\u4e86\u5b83\u4eec\u7684\u751f\u7269\u5c42\u9762\u3002\u5b83\u4eec\u4e5f\u964d\u4f4e\u4e86\u5b83\u4eec\u7684\u77ff\u7269\u8d28\u91cf\u3002\u56e0\u6b64\uff0c\u5b83\u4eec\u524a\u5f31\u4e86\u571f\u58e4\u652f\u6301\u690d\u7269\u548c\u52a8\u7269\u751f\u547d\u7684\u65b9\u5f0f\uff0c\u4ee5\u53ca\u5b83\u4eec\u7684\u6c34\u529b\u5904\u7406\u529f\u80fd\uff0c\u7b49\u7b49\u3002 <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\u6b64\u5916\uff0c\u571f\u58e4\u4e5f\u662f\u754c\u9762\u3002\u56e0\u6b64\uff0c\u5b83\u4eec\u4e0e\u6c14\u5019\u53d8\u5316\u7684\u533a\u57df\u5f71\u54cd\u76f8\u4e92\u4f5c\u7528\uff0c\u53d6\u51b3\u4e8e\u5730\u7406\u73af\u5883\uff08Paul McMahon, <em><a href=\"https:\/\/profilebooks.com\/feeding-frenzy.html\">\u5582\u98df\u7684\u72c2\u70ed\uff0c\u98df\u7269\u7684\u65b0\u653f\u6cbb<\/a><\/em>, Profile Books, 2013\uff09\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\u56e0\u6b64\uff0c\u571f\u58e4\u53ef\u80fd\u53d7\u5230\u5e72\u65f1\u6216\u6d2a\u6c34\u7684\u5f71\u54cd\u3002\u56e0\u6b64\uff0c\u8fd9\u610f\u5473\u7740\u519c\u4e1a\u7cfb\u7edf\u4e0d\u80fd\u53ea\u9762\u5bf9\u4e00\u79cd\u95ee\u9898\uff0c\u5982\u6c14\u5019\uff0c\"\u6216 \"\u8868\u571f\u6d41\u5931\uff0c\"\u6216 \"\u78f7\u7684\u77ed\u7f3a\u7b49\u7b49\u3002\u5b9e\u9645\u4e0a\uff0c\u519c\u4e1a\u7cfb\u7edf\u5904\u4e8e\u5176\u53d1\u5c55\u6240\u4f9d\u8d56\u7684\u4e0d\u540c\u5730\u7403\u7269\u7406\u548c\u751f\u7269\u6761\u4ef6\u7684\u4ea4\u53c9\u70b9\uff0c\u540c\u65f6\u5b83\u4eec\u4e0e\u8fd9\u4e9b\u81ea\u7136\u5faa\u73af\u7684\u6539\u53d8\u76f8\u4e92\u4f5c\u7528\uff08McMahon\uff0c\u540c\u4e0a\uff09\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">\u4ece\u7cae\u98df\u751f\u4ea7\u5230\u7cae\u98df\u9707\u8361\u7684\u751f\u4ea7<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\u4e8b\u5b9e\u4e0a\uff0c\u4e00\u9879\u65b0\u7684\u7814\u7a76\u8868\u660e\uff0c\u73b0\u4ee3\u7cae\u98df\u751f\u4ea7\u7cfb\u7edf\u8d8a\u6765\u8d8a\u5bb9\u6613\u53d7\u5230\u65b0\u7684\u5730\u7403\u6c14\u5019\u6761\u4ef6\u7684\u5f71\u54cd\u3002\u8fd9\u9879\u7814\u7a76\u662f\u4ee553\u5e74\u7684\u8c03\u67e5\u4e3a\u57fa\u7840\u7684\u3002  \u57281961\u5e74\u548c2013\u5e74\u4e4b\u95f4\uff0c\u7814\u7a76\u4eba\u5458\u5df2\u7ecf\u786e\u5b9a\u4e86\u8d85\u8fc7226\u4e2a \"\u7cae\u98df\u51b2\u51fb\"\uff08Richard S. Cottrell\uff0c\"<a href=\"https:\/\/www.nature.com\/articles\/s41893-018-0210-1?utm_source=Climate+News+Network&amp;utm_campaign=0036b2ceea-EMAIL_CAMPAIGN_2019_02_01_09_11&amp;utm_medium=email&amp;utm_term=0_1198ea8936-0036b2ceea-38801289\">\u8de8\u8d8a\u9646\u5730\u548c\u6d77\u6d0b\u7684\u7cae\u98df\u751f\u4ea7\u51b2\u51fb\"<\/a>, <em>\u81ea\u7136\u754c\u7684\u53ef\u6301\u7eed\u6027<\/em>\uff0c2019\u5e741\u670828\u65e5\uff09\u3002\u8fd9\u4e9b\u51b2\u51fb\u7ed3\u5408\u4e86\u5730\u7f18\u653f\u6cbb\uff0c\u7279\u522b\u662f\u6218\u4e89\u548c\u6c14\u5019\u76f8\u5173\u4e8b\u4ef6\u3002\u5b83\u4eec\u5f71\u54cd\u5230\u519c\u4f5c\u7269\uff08\u4f8b\u5982\uff0c2006\u5e74\u548c2007\u5e74\u7684\u5e72\u65f1\u4f7f\u4e2d\u56fd2006\u5e74\u548c2007\u5e74\u7684\u6c34\u7a3b\u4f5c\u7269\u51cf\u5c11\uff09\u3001\u7272\u755c\uff08\u59822006\u5e74\u548c2011\u5e74\u4e4b\u95f4\u7684\u53d9\u5229\u4e9a\uff09\u3001\u6e14\u4e1a\u548c\u6c34\u4ea7\u517b\u6b96\uff08\"2006\u5e74\u548c2007\u5e74\u4e2d\u56fd\u7684\u5e72\u65f1\"\u3002 <em>\u4e8b\u5b9e\u548c\u7ec6\u8282<\/em>\u548cValantin\uff0c\"<a href=\"https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/zh\/2015\/04\/07\/%e5%b4%a9%e6%ba%83-%e6%88%98%e4%ba%89-%e4%b8%ad%e4%b8%9c-2\/\">\u4e2d\u4e1c\u5730\u533a\u7684\u5d29\u6e83\u6218\u4e89\uff1f<\/a>\",&nbsp;<em>\u8fdc\u666f\u6d1e\u5bdf\u7814\u7a76\u6240<\/em>\uff0c2015\u5e744\u67087\u65e5\uff09\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">\u5373\u5c06\u5230\u6765\u7684\u98df\u54c1\u9707\u8361<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\u7136\u800c\uff0c\u5fc5\u987b\u6e05\u695a\u5730\u8ba4\u8bc6\u5230\uff0c\u8fd9\u4e9b \"\u98df\u7269\u51b2\u51fb \"\u7684\u5730\u7403\u53c2\u6570\u5df2\u7ecf\u5728\u53d8\u5316\u3002\u5b9e\u9645\u4e0a\uff0c\u4f8b\u5982\uff0c\u81ea2013\u5e74\u4ee5\u6765\uff0c\u6e29\u5ba4\u6c14\u4f53\u7684\u6570\u91cf\u4e0d\u65ad\u589e\u957f\uff08\"<a href=\"https:\/\/www.esrl.noaa.gov\/gmd\/ccgg\/trends\/\">\u5927\u6c14\u5c42\u4e8c\u6c27\u5316\u78b3\u7684\u8d8b\u52bf<\/a>\"\uff0cNOAA\uff09\u3002\u7531\u6b64\u53ef\u89c1\uff0c\u6d77\u6d0b\u8d8a\u6765\u8d8a\u9178\u5316\uff0c\u56e0\u4e3a\u4e8c\u6c27\u5316\u78b3\u5728\u6c34\u4e2d\u4f1a\u81ea\u6211\u7a00\u91ca\uff0c\u4ece\u800c\u4f7f\u5176\u9178\u5316\u3002 <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\u53e6\u5916\uff0c\u6d77\u6d0b\u6b63\u5728\u8d8a\u6765\u8d8a\u5feb\u5730\u4e0a\u5347\uff0c\u800c\u751f\u7269\u591a\u6837\u6027\u7684\u5d29\u6e83\u6b63\u5728\u52a0\u901f\u3002 <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\u4ece\u8fd9\u4e00\u73b0\u5b9e\u6765\u770b\uff0c\u6211\u4eec\u53ef\u4ee5\u9884\u89c1\uff0c\u5373\u5c06\u5230\u6765\u7684\u7cae\u98df\u51b2\u51fb\u7684\u6570\u91cf\u3001\u89c4\u6a21\u548c\u901f\u5ea6\u90fd\u6709\u5f88\u5927\u7684\u98ce\u9669\u3002\u6b64\u5916\uff0c\u5730\u7403\u7684\u8f6c\u53d8\u6b63\u5728\u52a9\u957f\u5f15\u53d1\u8fd9\u4e9b\u7cae\u98df\u51b2\u51fb\u7684\u56e0\u7d20\u3002\u56e0\u6b64\uff0c\u98ce\u9669\u7684\u7a0b\u5ea6\u4e5f\u5f88\u53ef\u80fd\u8fc5\u901f\u589e\u52a0\uff08James Hansen,&nbsp;<a href=\"https:\/\/www.bloomsbury.com\/us\/storms-of-my-grandchildren-9781608195022\/\">\u6211\u7684\u5927\u5b69\u5b50\u7684\u98ce\u66b4\uff0c\u5373\u5c06\u5230\u6765\u7684\u6c14\u5019\u707e\u96be\u7684\u771f\u76f8\u548c\u6211\u4eec\u62ef\u6551\u4eba\u7c7b\u7684\u6700\u540e\u673a\u4f1a<\/a>, 2009).<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">\u51b3\u5b9a\u8bba\u56de\u5230\u4e86\u73b0\u4ee3\u6027<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\u5728\u8fd9\u4e2a\u6846\u67b6\u5185\uff0c\u5fc5\u987b\u6ce8\u610f\u5230\u73b0\u4ee3\u793e\u4f1a\u7684\u53d1\u5c55\u4ecd\u7136\u662f\u4ee5 \"\u5927\u52a0\u901f \"\u7684\u539f\u5219\u4e3a\u57fa\u7840\u548c\u5bfc\u5411\u7684\uff0c\u5373\u4e16\u754c\u57ce\u5e02\u5316\u548c\u5de5\u4e1a\u5316\u7684\u52a0\u901f\u3002\u8fd9\u4e5f\u662f\u7ecf\u6d4e\u589e\u957f\u7684\u60c5\u51b5\u3002\u8fd9\u6574\u4e2a\u589e\u957f\u7684\u52a0\u901f\u662f\u57fa\u4e8e\u5bf9\u78b3\u548c\u6838\u80fd\u7684\u5927\u91cf\u4f7f\u7528\uff08Michael Klare,&nbsp;<a href=\"http:\/\/michaelklare.com\/books\/rising-powers-shrinking-planet\/\">\u5d1b\u8d77\u7684\u5927\u56fd\uff0c\u840e\u7f29\u7684\u5730\u7403\u3002<\/a>&nbsp;2008).<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h4 class=\"wp-block-heading\">\u53ef\u6301\u7eed\u53d1\u5c55\u7684\u7ade\u8d5b\uff1f <\/h4>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\u8fd9\u6574\u4e2a\u8fc7\u7a0b\u901a\u8fc7\u5176\u5de8\u5927\u7684\u5f71\u54cd\uff0c\u6b63\u5728\u8fc5\u901f\u4f7f \"\u5730\u7403\u751f\u547d\u652f\u6301\u7cfb\u7edf \"\u9000\u5316\u3002\u7136\u800c\uff0c\u53ef\u4ee5\u8bf4\uff0c\u5728\u53ef\u6301\u7eed\u53d1\u5c55\u3001\u80fd\u6e90\u8f6c\u578b\u548c\u751f\u6001\u653f\u7b56\u9886\u57df\u6709\u8bb8\u591a\u5021\u8bae\u3002\u7136\u800c\uff0c\u4ed6\u4eec\u7684\u5f71\u54cd\u76ee\u524d\u8fd8\u4e0d\u591f\u5f3a\u5927\uff0c\u5728\u56fd\u9645\u5c42\u9762\u4e0a\u4e5f\u6ca1\u6709\u53d1\u751f\u663e\u8457\u7684\u89c4\u6a21\u3002\u8fd9\u5c31\u662f\u4e3a\u4ec0\u4e48\u8054\u5408\u56fd\u53d1\u8d77\u4e86<a href=\"https:\/\/sustainabledevelopment.un.org\/post2015\/transformingourworld\"> 2030\u5e74\u53ef\u6301\u7eed\u53d1\u5c55\u8bae\u7a0b<\/a>\u4e3a\u4e86\u4fc3\u8fdb\u53ef\u6301\u7eed\u53d1\u5c55\u7684\u56fd\u9645 \"\u7ade\u8d5b\"\u30022030\u5e74\u8bae\u7a0b\u7684\u76ee\u7684\u662f\u6062\u590d\u73af\u5883\u3001\u793e\u4f1a\u53d1\u5c55\u548c\u7ecf\u6d4e\u4e4b\u95f4\u7684\u52a8\u6001\u5e73\u8861\u3002  <\/p>\n\n\n\n<h4 class=\"wp-block-heading\">\u6e29\u5ba4\u6c14\u4f53\u7684\u6848\u4f8b<\/h4>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\u4f8b\u5982\uff0c\u81ea2015\u5e74\u548c\u7b7e\u7f72\u6c14\u5019\u5df4\u9ece\u534f\u8bae\u4ee5\u6765\uff0c\u6e29\u5ba4\u6c14\u4f53\u6392\u653e\u7684\u901f\u5ea6\u4e0d\u65ad\u589e\u957f\u3002\u540c\u65f6\uff0c\u6c14\u5019\u6781\u7aef\u4e8b\u4ef6\u7684\u6570\u91cf\u4e5f\u5728\u589e\u52a0\u3002\u7531\u6b64\u53ef\u89c1\uff0c\u4eba\u7c7b\u3001\u7ecf\u6d4e\u3001\u793e\u4f1a\u548c\u57fa\u7840\u8bbe\u65bd\u7684\u8fde\u5e26\u5f71\u54cd\u4e5f\u5728\u589e\u52a0\u3002\u8fd9\u610f\u5473\u7740\uff0c\u6e17\u900f\u5728 \"\u65e0\u9650\u589e\u957f \"\u7684\u653f\u6cbb\u548c\u7ecf\u6d4e\u53ca\u5176 \"\u540e\u73b0\u4ee3\u6027 \"\u7684\u610f\u8bc6\u5f62\u6001\u73af\u5883\u4e2d\u7684\u4ece\u5730\u7403\u7269\u7406\u73b0\u5b9e\u4e2d\u89e3\u653e\u51fa\u6765\u7684\u5947\u602a\u7684\u96c6\u4f53\u68a6\u60f3\uff0c\u73b0\u5728\u6b63\u649e\u4e0a\u5730\u7403\u7269\u7406\u73b0\u5b9e\u7684\u51b3\u5b9a\u6027\u7684\u5899\uff08Mathieu Auzanneau, <em><a href=\"http:\/\/(Mathieu Auzanneau, Oil, Power and War, a Dark History, Chelsea Green Publishing\">\u77f3\u6cb9\u3001\u6743\u529b\u548c\u6218\u4e89\uff0c\u4e00\u6bb5\u9ed1\u6697\u7684\u5386\u53f2<\/a><\/em>, Chelsea Green Publishing, 2018\uff09\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">\u751f\u5b58\u6216\u6b7b\u4ea1\u7684\u653f\u6cbb\u5b66<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\u5728\u8fc7\u53bb\u76846000\u5e74\u91cc\uff0c\u4eba\u7c7b\u793e\u4f1a\u4e00\u76f4\u5728\u53d1\u5c55\uff0c\u5c06\u77ff\u7269\u548c\u751f\u7269\u9886\u57df\u7684\u67d0\u4e9b\u65b9\u9762\u8f6c\u5316\u4e3a\u8d44\u6e90\u3002\u540c\u65f6\uff0c\u4ed6\u4eec\u8fd8 \"\u4f18\u5316 \"\u4e86\u6c34\u548c\u78f7\u7684\u5faa\u73af\uff08Jared Diamond, <em><a href=\"http:\/\/www.jareddiamond.org\/Jared_Diamond\/Guns,_Germs,_and_Steel.html\">\u67aa\u70ae\u3001\u75c5\u83cc\u548c\u94a2\u94c1--\u4eba\u7c7b\u793e\u4f1a\u7684\u547d\u8fd0<\/a><\/em>\u5728\u8fd9\u4e2a\u8fc7\u7a0b\u4e2d\uff0c\u6211\u4eec\u770b\u5230\u4e86\u4e00\u4e2a\u975e\u5e38\u6709\u5229\u7684\u6c14\u5019\u52a8\u6001\u6846\u67b6\u3002\uff09\u8fd9\u4e9b\u8fc7\u7a0b\u662f\u5728\u4e00\u4e2a\u975e\u5e38\u6709\u5229\u7684\u6c14\u5019\u52a8\u6001\u6846\u67b6\u5185\u53d1\u751f\u7684\u3002\u7136\u800c\uff0c\u8fd9\u79cd\u793e\u4f1a-\u751f\u6001\u7ec4\u5408\u4ea7\u751f\u4e86\u591a\u79cd\u7ed3\u679c\u3002\u5176\u4e2d\u6700\u4e3b\u8981\u7684\u662f\uff0c\u4eba\u53e3\u7684\u6025\u5267\u589e\u957f\u3002\u867d\u7136\u4eba\u7c7b\u4eba\u53e3\u5728\u516c\u51431\u5e74\u53ef\u80fd\u8fbe\u52302\u4ebf\uff0c\u4f46\u57281800\u5e74\uff0c\u5373\u5de5\u4e1a\u9769\u547d\u7684\u521d\u671f\uff0c\u5c31\u8fbe\u5230\u4e8610\u4ebf\u3002\u7136\u540e\uff0c\u5b83\u57281950\u5e74\u589e\u957f\u523025\u4ebf\uff0c1975\u5e74\u589e\u957f\u523040\u4ebf\uff0c2015\u5e74\u589e\u957f\u523073\u4ebf\uff08\"<a href=\"https:\/\/en.wikipedia.org\/wiki\/World_population\">\u4e16\u754c\u4eba\u53e3<\/a>\", <em>\u7ef4\u57fa\u767e\u79d1<\/em>).<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">\u5371\u9669\u5373\u5c06\u6765\u4e34<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\u6362\u53e5\u8bdd\u8bf4\uff0c\u5728\u4e0a\u4e2a\u4e16\u7eaa\uff0c\"\u5927\u52a0\u901f \"\u7684\u653f\u6cbb\u662f\u6d3b\u4eba\u53d1\u5c55\u7684\u653f\u6cbb\u3002\u5404\u4e2a\u793e\u4f1a\u5229\u7528\u5730\u7403\u751f\u547d\u652f\u6301\u7cfb\u7edf\u6765\u5b9e\u73b0\u8fd9\u4e00\u76ee\u6807\u3002\u7136\u800c\uff0c\u8fd9\u79cd\u52a8\u529b\u73b0\u5728\u6b63\u5f15\u53d1\u51b2\u51fb\u7684\u751f\u4ea7\u7cfb\u7edf\u6570\u91cf\u7684\u589e\u957f\u3002\u56e0\u6b64\uff0c\u53ef\u4ee5\u8bf4 \"\u65e0\u9650\u589e\u957f \"\u7684\u7ecf\u6d4e\u8303\u5f0f\u6b63\u5728\u4ece\u7ecf\u6d4e\u7cfb\u7edf\u8f6c\u79fb\u5230\u5730\u7403\u7cfb\u7edf\u3002\u56e0\u6b64\uff0c\u8fd9\u6709\u53ef\u80fd\u5c06 \"\u5927\u52a0\u901f \"\u7684\u653f\u6cbb\u53d8\u6210\u96c6\u4f53\u6b7b\u4ea1\u98ce\u9669\u7684\u653f\u6cbb\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-embed is-type-video is-provider-youtube wp-block-embed-youtube\"><div class=\"wp-block-embed__wrapper\">\n<span class=\"embed-youtube\" style=\"text-align:center; display: block;\"><iframe loading=\"lazy\" class=\"youtube-player\" width=\"640\" height=\"360\" src=\"https:\/\/www.youtube.com\/embed\/b7lmh5XVRW0?version=3&#038;rel=1&#038;showsearch=0&#038;showinfo=1&#038;iv_load_policy=1&#038;fs=1&#038;hl=zh-CN&#038;autohide=2&#038;start=21&#038;wmode=transparent\" allowfullscreen=\"true\" style=\"border:0;\" sandbox=\"allow-scripts allow-same-origin allow-popups allow-presentation allow-popups-to-escape-sandbox\"><\/iframe><\/span>\n<\/div><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">\u751f\u6216\u6b7b\u7684\u652f\u6301\u7cfb\u7edf\uff1f<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\u6b64\u5916\uff0c\u8fd9\u79cd\u60b2\u60e8\u7684\u6f14\u53d8\u53ef\u80fd\u4ee5\u8d8a\u6765\u8d8a\u5feb\u7684\u901f\u5ea6\u51fa\u73b0\u3002\u4f8b\u5982\uff0c\u4ece1582\u5e74\u52302017\u5e74\uff0c\u5b5f\u52a0\u62c9\u56fd \"\u53ea\u6709 \"60\u6b21\u53f0\u98ce\u3002\u7136\u800c\uff0c\u8fd960\u4e2a\u4e2d\u670930\u4e2a\u53d1\u751f\u57281947\u5e74\u548c2015\u5e74\u4e4b\u95f4\u3002\u800c\u8fd9\u4e9b\u6781\u7aef\u5929\u6c14\u4e8b\u4ef6\u4e2d\u6700\u731b\u70c8\u3001\u6700\u81f4\u547d\u7684\u662f\u4e00\u4e9b\u6700\u8fd1\u53d1\u751f\u7684\u4e8b\u4ef6\uff08\"<a href=\"https:\/\/en.wikipedia.org\/wiki\/List_of_Bangladesh_tropical_cyclones\">\u5b5f\u52a0\u62c9\u56fd\u70ed\u5e26\u6c14\u65cb\u5217\u8868<\/a>\", <em>\u7ef4\u57fa\u767e\u79d1\uff09\u3002<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n<h4 class=\"wp-block-heading\">\u5371\u9669\u533a<\/h4>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\u6362\u53e5\u8bdd\u8bf4\uff0c\u5b5f\u52a0\u62c9\u56fd\u7ecf\u5386\u4e86\u5730\u7403\u751f\u547d\u652f\u6301\u7cfb\u7edf\u8f6c\u53d8\u4e3a\u5371\u9669\u652f\u6301\u7cfb\u7edf\u7684\u8fc7\u7a0b\u3002\u56e0\u6b64\uff0c\u6781\u7aef\u4e8b\u4ef6\u7684\u589e\u52a0\u548c\u52a0\u5267\u8868\u660e\uff0c\u5728\u533a\u57df\u8303\u56f4\u5185\u51fa\u73b0\u4e86\u4e00\u4e2a \"\u6b7b\u4ea1\u652f\u6301\u7cfb\u7edf\"\u3002\u540c\u6837\u7684\u8d8b\u52bf\u51fa\u73b0\u5728\u4e16\u754c\u5404\u5730\u3002\u56e0\u6b64\uff0c\u5b83\u9884\u793a\u7740\u793e\u4f1a\u548c\u7ecf\u6d4e\u53d1\u5c55\u4e0e\u5730\u7403\u53d8\u5316\u4e4b\u95f4\u7684\u5dee\u8ddd\u8fc5\u901f\u6269\u5927\u3002 <\/p>\n\n\n\n<h4 class=\"wp-block-heading\">\u4e0e\u6b7b\u795e\u640f\u6597!<\/h4>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\u5bf9\u8fd9\u4e00\u8d8b\u52bf\u7684\u91cd\u65b0\u5b9a\u4f4d\u5fc5\u987b\u6210\u4e3a\u4e00\u9879\u91cd\u8981\u7684\u653f\u6cbb\u4efb\u52a1\uff0c\u4ee5\u4fdd\u6301\u653f\u6cbb\u4f5c\u4e3a\u751f\u6d3b\u7684\u653f\u6cbb\u3002\u56e0\u4e3a\uff0c\u6b63\u5982\u300a\u827e\u8389\u4e9a-\u53f2\u5854\u514b\u300b\u4e2d\u827e\u8389\u4e9a-\u53f2\u5854\u514b\u7684\u6b66\u5668\u8001\u5e08Syrio Forel\u6240\u8a00 <em><a href=\"https:\/\/www.hbo.com\/game-of-thrones\/season-01\">\u6743\u529b\u7684\u6e38\u620f<\/a><\/em><a href=\"https:\/\/www.hbo.com\/game-of-thrones\/season-01\"> <\/a>\u89e3\u91ca\u7ed9\u5979\u542c\u3002\"\u4f60\u544a\u8bc9\u6b7b\u795e\u7684\u552f\u4e00\u4e8b\u60c5\u662f\u4ec0\u4e48\uff1f\u4f60\u544a\u8bc9\u5b83\u3002\"\u4eca\u5929\u4e0d\u884c\"\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\u7279\u8272\u56fe\u7247\u3002 <a rel=\"noreferrer noopener\" aria-label=\"\u7ad9\u5728\u683c\u9675\u5170\u5c9b\u7684\u878d\u6c34\u6cb3\u8fb9 (\u5728\u65b0\u6807\u7b7e\u4e2d\u6253\u5f00)\" href=\"https:\/\/www.flickr.com\/photos\/nasa_ice\/7638364448\/in\/album-72157630729614026\/\" target=\"_blank\">\u7ad9\u5728\u683c\u9675\u5170\u5c9b\u7684\u878d\u6c34\u6cb3\u8fb9\u3002<\/a> 2008\u5e74\u7684\u6301\u7eed\u878d\u5316\u89e3\u9664\u4e86\u683c\u9675\u5170\u51b0\u539f\u4f4e\u6d3c\u5730\u533a\u7684\u79ef\u96ea\u8986\u76d6\uff0c\u9732\u51fa\u4e86\u88ab\u878d\u6c34\u6eaa\u6d41\u7a7f\u8fc7\u7684\u7c97\u7cd9\u5730\u5f62\u3002<\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>\u5728\u5357\u6781Thwaites\u51b0\u5ddd\u5185\u53d1\u73b0\u4e86\u4e00\u4e2a\u9ad81000\u82f1\u5c3a\uff081600\u7c73\uff09\u3001\u5927\u5982\u66fc\u54c8\u987f\u4e09\u5206\u4e4b\u4e8c\u7684\u7a7a\u6d1e\uff08Sarah Sloat, \"An Enormous Cavity Inside an Antarctic Glacier Harbors a Dangerous Threat\", Inverse Daily, February 1, 2019\uff09\u3002\u5b83\u662f\u5728\u4e09\u5e74\u5185\u7531\u5185\u90e8\u53d8\u6696\u548c\u878d\u5316\u4ea7\u751f\u7684\u3002\u8fd9\u8868\u660e... <\/p>\n<p class=\"link-more\"><a href=\"https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/zh\/2019\/02\/11\/climate-change-shall-we-live-or-die-on-our-changing-planet\/\" class=\"more-link\">\u7ee7\u7eed\u9605\u8bfb<span class=\"screen-reader-text\">\"\u6c14\u5019\u53d8\u5316\u3002\u6211\u4eec\u5728\u4e0d\u65ad\u53d8\u5316\u7684\u5730\u7403\u4e0a\u662f\u751f\u662f\u6b7b\uff1f\"<\/span><\/a><\/p>","protected":false},"author":20,"featured_media":20636,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_jetpack_feature_clip_id":0,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[1722,1078,2558],"tags":[2560],"class_list":["post-20602","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-environmental-geostrategy","category-new-paradigm","category-climate-and-resources-crisis","tag-open-access","entry"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v28.8 - 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It has been created in three year by inside warming and melting. 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