{"id":27109,"date":"2020-07-03T17:15:51","date_gmt":"2020-07-03T15:15:51","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.redanalysis.org\/?p=27109"},"modified":"2021-10-08T11:59:25","modified_gmt":"2021-10-08T09:59:25","slug":"%e4%b8%bacovid-19%e5%92%8cpost-covid-19%e4%b8%96%e7%95%8c%e8%ae%be%e6%83%b3%e7%9a%84%e4%b9%a6%e7%9b%ae","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/zh\/2020\/07\/03\/scenarios-for-covid-19-and-post-covid-19-worlds-a-bibliography\/","title":{"rendered":"Covid-19\u548c\u540eCovid-19\u4e16\u754c\u7684\u60c5\u666f--\u6587\u732e\u76ee\u5f55"},"content":{"rendered":"<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">COVID-19\u548cCOVID-19\u4e4b\u540e\u7684\u4e16\u754c\u5145\u6ee1\u4e86\u4e0d\u786e\u5b9a\u6027\u3002\u6211\u4eec\u4ecd\u7136\u8981\u9762\u5bf9\u8bb8\u591a\u5173\u4e8e\u75be\u75c5\u7684\u672a\u77e5\u6570\uff0c\u56e0\u6b64\u5927\u6d41\u884c\u75c5\uff08\u4f8b\u5982Julie Steenhuysen, \"<a href=\"https:\/\/www.reuters.com\/article\/us-health-coronavirus-effects\/scientists-just-beginning-to-understand-the-many-health-problems-caused-by-covid-19-idUSKBN23X1BZ\">\u79d1\u5b66\u5bb6\u4eec\u521a\u521a\u5f00\u59cb\u4e86\u89e3COVID-19\u5f15\u8d77\u7684\u8bb8\u591a\u5065\u5eb7\u95ee\u9898<\/a>\u201c, <em>\u8def\u900f\u793e<\/em>\uff0c2020\u5e746\u670826\u65e5\uff09\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-latest-posts__list alignright related wp-block-latest-posts is-layout-flow wp-block-latest-posts-is-layout-flow\"><\/ul>\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\u7136\u800c\uff0c\u5f53\u96fe\u6c14\u7b3c\u7f69\u7740\u6211\u4eec\u7684\u5730\u5e73\u7ebf\u65f6\uff0c\u6211\u4eec\u5fc5\u987b\u505a\u51fa\u51b3\u5b9a\u5e76\u91c7\u53d6\u884c\u52a8\u3002 <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\u60c5\u666f\u662f\u5e2e\u52a9\u884c\u52a8\u8005\u5904\u7406\u4e0d\u786e\u5b9a\u6027\u7684\u6700\u4f73\u5de5\u5177\u3002\u5b83\u4eec\u5141\u8bb8\u66f4\u6709\u529b\u7684\u51b3\u7b56\u3002\u5b83\u4eec\u6709\u52a9\u4e8e\u4e0e\u65e0\u51c6\u5907\u7684\u60c5\u51b5\u4f5c\u6597\u4e89\u3002 <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\u5f53\u7136\uff0c\u5728\u7406\u60f3\u60c5\u51b5\u4e0b\uff0c\u8fd9\u4e9b\u65b9\u6848\u4e5f\u9700\u8981\u9075\u5faa\u9002\u5f53\u7684\u65b9\u6cd5\uff0c\u624d\u80fd\u771f\u6b63\u5177\u6709\u53ef\u64cd\u4f5c\u6027\uff08\u5982 <a href=\"https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/zh\/2019\/11\/26\/%e4%bd%a0%e7%9a%84%e5%9c%ba%e6%99%af%e6%98%af%e5%90%a6%e6%9c%89%e6%95%88-%e6%b5%8b%e8%af%95%e5%92%8c%e6%a3%80%e6%9f%a5%e6%b8%85%e5%8d%95-6%e7%82%b9%e5%bc%8f\/\">\u4f60\u7684\u6218\u7565\u8fdc\u89c1\u65b9\u6848\u662f\u5426\u6709\u6548\uff1f\u6d4b\u8bd5\u548c\u68c0\u67e5\u6e05\u5355\u52066\u70b9<\/a>).\u7136\u800c\uff0c\u5728\u8fd9\u91cc\uff0c\u6211\u4eec\u7684\u76ee\u7684\u4e0d\u662f\u8981\u8bc4\u4f30\u6240\u4f7f\u7528\u7684\u65b9\u6cd5\uff0c\u4e5f\u4e0d\u662f\u8981\u9a8c\u8bc1\u6216\u8ba4\u53ef\u4e0b\u9762\u7684\u4efb\u4f55\u4ea7\u54c1\u3002\u65e0\u8bba\u91c7\u7528\u54ea\u79cd\u65b9\u6cd5\uff0c\u60c5\u666f\u6a21\u62df\u4e5f\u6709\u52a9\u4e8e\u6253\u5f00\u5fc3\u7075\u7684\u67b7\u9501\uff0c\u501f\u7528\u5a01\u5ec9-\u5e03\u83b1\u514b\u7684\u8bdd\u8bf4\uff0c\u5c31\u662f\u8df3\u51fa\u76d2\u5b50\u601d\u8003\uff0c\u514b\u670d\u5b64\u5c9b\u3002\u5b83\u4eec\u4e5f\u53ef\u80fd\u662f\u63d0\u9ad8\u6211\u4eec\u573a\u666f\u8d28\u91cf\u7684\u7b2c\u4e00\u6b65\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\u56e0\u6b64\uff0c\u8fd9\u4efd\u53ef\u80fd\u4e0d\u5b8c\u6574\u7684\u4e66\u76ee\u65e8\u5728\u5411\u4e13\u4e1a\u4eba\u58eb\u7684\u96c6\u4f53\u5de5\u4f5c\u81f4\u656c\u3002\u4ed6\u4eec\u7684\u52aa\u529b\u5e94\u8be5\u6709\u52a9\u4e8e\u5728\u6700\u597d\u7684\u60c5\u51b5\u4e0b\u5904\u7406\u5927\u6d41\u884c\u75c5\uff0c\u5e76\u4e3a\u5927\u6d41\u884c\u75c5\u540e\u7684\u4e16\u754c\u5bfc\u822a\uff08\u4e00\u65e6\u6211\u4eec\u8fbe\u5230\u8fd9\u4e2a\u9636\u6bb5\uff0c\u73b0\u5728\u8fd8\u4e0d\u662f\u65f6\u5019\uff09\u3002\u8be5\u4e66\u76ee\u8fd8\u65e8\u5728\u4e3a\u51b3\u7b56\u8005\u63d0\u4f9b\u4ed6\u4eec\u53ef\u80fd\u6ca1\u6709\u60f3\u5230\u7684\u8fdb\u4e00\u6b65\u7684\u60f3\u6cd5\u548c\u65b9\u6848\u3002\u6700\u540e\uff0c\u5b83\u65e8\u5728\u4f5c\u4e3a\u5b66\u751f\u548c\u4ece\u4e1a\u4eba\u5458\u7684\u5de5\u5177\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\u4f5c\u4e3a\u672a\u6765\u5b66\u5bb6\u6216\u6218\u7565\u8fdc\u89c1\u7684\u5b9e\u8df5\u8005\uff08\u5305\u62ec\u6240\u6709\u4f7f\u7528\u573a\u666f\u7684\u79d1\u5b66\u5bb6\uff09\uff0c\u5982\u679c\u4f60\u521b\u9020\u4e86\u5173\u4e8eCOVID-19\u5927\u6d41\u884c\u75c5\u548c\/\u6216COVID-19\u4e4b\u540e\u7684\u4e16\u754c\u7684\u573a\u666f\uff0c\u8bf7\u4e0d\u8981\u72b9\u8c6b\uff0c\u4f7f\u7528\u8bc4\u8bba\u8ba9\u6211\u4eec\u77e5\u9053\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<div class=\"wp-block-buttons is-content-justification-center is-layout-flex wp-block-buttons-is-layout-flex\">\n<div class=\"wp-block-button translation-block\"><a class=\"wp-block-button__link\" href=\"https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/zh\/%e4%ba%a7%e5%93%81\/%e6%88%90%e5%91%98-2\/\" target=\"_self\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\"><em>\u5e2e\u52a9\u6211\u4eec\u7ee7\u7eed\u4e3aCOVID-19\u63d0\u4f9b\u514d\u8d39<br>\u5206\u6790<\/em><br>\u6210\u4e3a\u4e00\u540d\u4f1a\u5458<\/a>\u3002<\/div>\n<\/div>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">\u6218\u7565\u5c55\u671b\u548c\u672a\u6765\u7814\u7a76\u7684\u60c5\u666f<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\u7a7a\u519b\u4f5c\u6218\u96c6\u6210\u80fd\u529b\uff08AFWIC\uff09\u3002 <a aria-label=\"\u672a\u5b9a\u4e49\uff08\u5728\u65b0\u6807\u7b7e\u4e2d\u6253\u5f00\uff09\" href=\"https:\/\/www.afwic.af.mil\/Portals\/72\/Documents\/AFWIC%20Global%20Futures%20Report_FINAL.pdf?ver=2020-06-18-124149-070\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">\u5168\u7403\u672a\u6765\u62a5\u544a\uff0c\u540e\u79d1\u7ef4\u5fb7\u65f6\u4ee3\u4e16\u754c\u5730\u7f18\u653f\u6cbb\u7ade\u4e89\u7684\u53e6\u7c7b\u672a\u6765<\/a>\uff0c2020\u5e746\u6708\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\u963f\u6258\u65af\u3002 <a href=\"https:\/\/atos.net\/content\/2020\/atos-report-what-the-world-will-look-like-after-the-covid-19-crisis.pdf\">COVID-19\u5371\u673a\u540e\u7684\u4e16\u754c\u5c06\u662f\u4ec0\u4e48\u6837\u5b50<\/a>, 2020\u5e745\u6708<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Alfonso Bruno, Valerio &amp; Vittorio Emanuele Parsi, <a aria-label=\"\u672a\u5b9a\u4e49\uff08\u5728\u65b0\u6807\u7b7e\u4e2d\u6253\u5f00\uff09\" href=\"https:\/\/www.fairobserver.com\/coronavirus\/valerio-alfonso-bruno-vittorio-emanuele-parsi-post-covid-scenarios-international-system-inequality-geroge-floyd-protests-us-election-2020-news-14221\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">\u540e\u79d1\u7f57\u7eb3\u75c5\u6bd2\u4e16\u754c\u7684\u4e09\u79cd\u60c5\u51b5<\/a>, \u516c\u5e73\u89c2\u5bdf\u5bb6\uff0c2020\u5e746\u67084\u65e5\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Borchert, Heiko, <a aria-label=\"\u672a\u5b9a\u4e49\uff08\u5728\u65b0\u6807\u7b7e\u4e2d\u6253\u5f00\uff09\" href=\"https:\/\/borchert.ch\/content\/ger\/cmsfiles\/publications\/2004_Borchert_Covid-19_Scenarios.pdf\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">\u5c55\u671b\u6df1\u6e0a\uff1a\u5173\u4e8e\u540e\u79d1\u7ef4\u5fb7-19\u65f6\u4ee3\u5546\u4e1a\u683c\u5c40\u7684\u516b\u79cd\u60c5\u666f<\/a>\uff0c2020\u5e744\u6708\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Burrows Mathew J.<strong>,&nbsp;<\/strong>\u5f7c\u5f97-\u6069\u683c\u5c14\u514b\u3002 <a href=\"https:\/\/www.atlanticcouncil.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/04\/What-World-Post-COVID-19.pdf\" target=\"_blank\" aria-label=\"\u672a\u5b9a\u4e49\uff08\u5728\u65b0\u6807\u7b7e\u4e2d\u6253\u5f00\uff09\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">\u4ec0\u4e48\u662fCOVID-19\u4e4b\u540e\u7684\u4e16\u754c\uff1f\u4e09\u79cd\u60c5\u51b5<\/a>, <em>\u5927\u897f\u6d0b\u7406\u4e8b\u4f1a<\/em>, 2020\u5e744\u670823\u65e5\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\u79d1\u5229\u5c14\uff0c\u8482\u83ab\u897f\u3002 <a href=\"https:\/\/www.brinknews.com\/four-scenarios-for-the-post-coronavirus-economy-through-the-lens-of-post-war-recovery-economic-recovery\/\" target=\"_blank\" aria-label=\"\u672a\u5b9a\u4e49\uff08\u5728\u65b0\u6807\u7b7e\u4e2d\u6253\u5f00\uff09\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">\u4ece\u6218\u540e\u6062\u590d\u7684\u89d2\u5ea6\u770b\u540e\u79d1\u7f57\u7eb3\u75c5\u6bd2\u7ecf\u6d4e\u76844\u79cd\u60c5\u666f<\/a>\uff0c\u5e03\u6797\u514b\uff0c\u98ce\u9669\u7684\u8fb9\u7f18\uff0c2020\u5e745\u670824\u65e5\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Dumaine, Carol &amp; Stanley Feder, \"<a aria-label=\"\u672a\u5b9a\u4e49\uff08\u5728\u65b0\u6807\u7b7e\u4e2d\u6253\u5f00\uff09\" href=\"https:\/\/20-20foresight.org\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">Covid19\u7684\u5371\u673a\u3002\u6709\u4ec0\u4e48\u5229\u5bb3\u5173\u7cfb\uff1f<br>2020-2023\u5e74\u5907\u9009\u65b9\u6848\u53ca\u5bf9\u7f8e\u56fd\u7684\u5f71\u54cd<\/a>\"\uff0c20-20\u5c55\u671b\u9879\u76ee\uff0c\u57fa\u4e8e\u622a\u81f32020\u5e745\u670824\u65e5\u7684\u4fe1\u606f\u3002- \u4ee5\u53ca\u76f8\u5173\u6587\u7ae0\u3002\u4e54\u7eb3\u68ee-\u963f\u4f2f\u66fc\uff0c\"<a aria-label=\"\u672a\u5b9a\u4e49\uff08\u5728\u65b0\u6807\u7b7e\u4e2d\u6253\u5f00\uff09\" href=\"https:\/\/www.bizjournals.com\/washington\/news\/2020\/06\/18\/jonathan-aberman-whats-our-potential-post-covid.html\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">\u6211\u4eec\u6f5c\u5728\u7684Covid\u4e4b\u540e\u7684\u8d22\u52a1\u72b6\u51b5\u662f\u600e\u6837\u7684\uff1f<\/a>\u201c, <em>\u534e\u76db\u987f\u5546\u4e1a\u6742\u5fd7<\/em>, 2020\u5e746\u670818\u65e5\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\u6cd5\u56fd\u653f\u5e9c, Avis n\u00b07 du Conseil scientifique COVID-19, <a aria-label=\"\u672a\u5b9a\u4e49\uff08\u5728\u65b0\u6807\u7b7e\u4e2d\u6253\u5f00\uff09\" href=\"https:\/\/solidarites-sante.gouv.fr\/IMG\/pdf\/avis_conseil_scientifique_2_juin_2020.pdf\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">\u878d\u8d44\u540e\u76844\u4e2a\u65b9\u6848<\/a>, 2020\u5e746\u67082\u65e5\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\u66f4\u591a\u6d41\u884c\u75c5\u5b66\u5bb6\u7684\u65b9\u6848\uff0c\u89c1 <a href=\"https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/zh\/2020\/05\/11\/%e7%ac%ac%e4%ba%8c%e6%b3%a2-for-covid-19\/\">COVID-19\u7b2c\u4e8c\u6ce2\u7684\u6a21\u578b<\/a>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\u672a\u6765\uff0c19\u4e16\u7eaa\u7684\u5371\u673a\uff1a\u672a\u676518\u4e2a\u6708\u4f1a\u6709\u54ea\u4e9b\u60c5\u666f\uff1f&nbsp;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\"><li><a href=\"https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/zh\/%e4%b8%8b%e8%bd%bd\/27297\/\" target=\"_blank\" aria-label=\"\u672a\u5b9a\u4e49\uff08\u5728\u65b0\u6807\u7b7e\u4e2d\u6253\u5f00\uff09\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">2020\u5e744\u670820\u65e5\u7248\u672c<\/a> - \u5de5\u4f5c\u6587\u4ef6 <\/li><li>6\u670815\u65e5\u7248\u672c <a href=\"https:\/\/www.futuribles.com\/en\/document\/crise-du-covid-19-quels-scenarios-pour-les-18-proc\/\" target=\"_blank\" aria-label=\"\u672a\u5b9a\u4e49\uff08\u5728\u65b0\u6807\u7b7e\u4e2d\u6253\u5f00\uff09\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">\u5168\u6587<\/a>  (<a href=\"https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/zh\/%e4%b8%8b%e8%bd%bd\/27294\/\" target=\"_blank\" aria-label=\"\u672a\u5b9a\u4e49\uff08\u5728\u65b0\u6807\u7b7e\u4e2d\u6253\u5f00\uff09\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">pdf<\/a>) - <a href=\"https:\/\/www.futuribles.com\/en\/document\/crise-du-covid-19-quels-scenarios-pour-les-18-proc\/\" target=\"_blank\" aria-label=\"\u672a\u5b9a\u4e49\uff08\u5728\u65b0\u6807\u7b7e\u4e2d\u6253\u5f00\uff09\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">\u6267\u884c\u6458\u8981<\/a> (17\/06\/2020) <\/li><\/ul>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Henning, Job C., Saunders, Jeffrey, and Koran, Michal, <a aria-label=\"\u672a\u5b9a\u4e49\uff08\u5728\u65b0\u6807\u7b7e\u4e2d\u6253\u5f00\uff09\" href=\"https:\/\/medium.com\/@jeffrey_2749\/theres-no-returning-to-business-as-usual-strategic-futures-for-a-post-covid-19-world-cb2fa7af81a2\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">\u4e0d\u80fd\u518d\u50cf\u5f80\u5e38\u4e00\u6837\u4e86--\u5730\u7f18\u653f\u6cbb\u60c5\u666f\u5851\u9020\u4e86\u4e00\u4e2a\u540eCOVID-19\u7684\u4e16\u754c<\/a>\uff0c2020\u5e745\u67088\u65e5\u3002\u7528\u7b80\u77ed\u7684\u89c6\u9891\u6765\u8bf4\u660e\u6bcf\u4e2a\u573a\u666f\uff0c\u8fd9\u662f\u4e00\u4e2a\u4f1f\u5927\u7684\u60f3\u6cd5\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-embed aligncenter is-type-video is-provider-youtube wp-block-embed-youtube wp-embed-aspect-16-9 wp-has-aspect-ratio\"><div class=\"wp-block-embed__wrapper\">\n<span class=\"embed-youtube\" style=\"text-align:center; display: block;\"><iframe loading=\"lazy\" class=\"youtube-player\" width=\"640\" height=\"360\" src=\"https:\/\/www.youtube.com\/embed\/q5-a5gtz_3w?version=3&#038;rel=1&#038;showsearch=0&#038;showinfo=1&#038;iv_load_policy=1&#038;fs=1&#038;hl=zh-CN&#038;autohide=2&#038;wmode=transparent\" allowfullscreen=\"true\" style=\"border:0;\" sandbox=\"allow-scripts allow-same-origin allow-popups allow-presentation allow-popups-to-escape-sandbox\"><\/iframe><\/span>\n<\/div><figcaption>\u4ea8\u5b81\u3001\u6851\u5fb7\u65af\u548c\u79d1\u5170\uff0c2020\u5e745\u6708--\u5851\u9020\u540eCOVID-19\u4e16\u754c\u76846\u79cd\u60c5\u666f\u4e2d\u7684\u7b2c1\u79cd\u60c5\u666f--\u89c2\u770b\u5176\u4ed6\u60c5\u666f <a aria-label=\"\u672a\u5b9a\u4e49\uff08\u5728\u65b0\u6807\u7b7e\u4e2d\u6253\u5f00\uff09\" href=\"https:\/\/auxanostrategies.com\/covid19-strategic-futures\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">\u8fd9\u91cc<\/a> (\u5411\u4e0b\u6eda\u52a8\u8be5\u9875\uff09\u3002<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">IIEA\u4e13\u5bb6\u4e4b\u58f0\u51fa\u7248\u7269\u3002 <a aria-label=\"\u672a\u5b9a\u4e49\uff08\u5728\u65b0\u6807\u7b7e\u4e2d\u6253\u5f00\uff09\" href=\"https:\/\/www.iiea.com\/publication\/the-multilateral-order-post-covid-expert-voices\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">\u540e\u79d1\u7ef4\u5fb7\u65f6\u4ee3\u7684\u591a\u8fb9\u79e9\u5e8f\uff1a\u4e13\u5bb6\u7684\u58f0\u97f3<\/a>, 2020\u5e746\u6708 - pdf\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">ING\u3002 <a aria-label=\"\u672a\u5b9a\u4e49\uff08\u5728\u65b0\u6807\u7b7e\u4e2d\u6253\u5f00\uff09\" href=\"https:\/\/think.ing.com\/articles\/four-scenarios-for-the-global-economy-after-covid-19\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">Covid-19\u4e4b\u540e\u5168\u7403\u7ecf\u6d4e\u7684\u56db\u79cd\u60c5\u51b5<\/a>\uff0c2020\u5e744\u6708<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Lavoix, Helene, <a aria-label=\"\u672a\u5b9a\u4e49\uff08\u5728\u65b0\u6807\u7b7e\u4e2d\u6253\u5f00\uff09\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\" href=\"https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/zh\/2020\/07\/24\/%e4%b8%ba19%e5%8f%b7%e5%a4%a7%e6%b5%81%e8%a1%8c%e7%97%85%e5%af%bc%e8%88%aa%e7%9a%84%e6%96%b9%e6%a1%88%e5%8f%8a%e5%85%b6%e5%8f%af%e8%83%bd%e7%9a%84%e5%89%8d%e6%99%af-1\/\" target=\"_blank\">\u9a7e\u9a6dCOVID-19\u5927\u6d41\u884c\u75c5\u53ca\u5176\u53ef\u80fd\u7684\u672a\u6765\u7684\u60c5\u666f (1)<\/a>, <em>\u8fdc\u666f\u6d1e\u5bdf\u7814\u7a76\u6240<\/em>\uff0c2020\u5e747\u6708\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\u5343\u5e74\u9879\u76ee\u3002 <a href=\"http:\/\/www.millennium-project.org\/covid-19\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">2022\u5e741\u67081\u65e5\u7f8e\u56fdCOVID-19\u5927\u6d41\u884c\u7684\u4e09\u4e2a\u672a\u6765\uff1a\u5bf9\u6211\u4eec\u6240\u6709\u4eba\u7684\u5f71\u54cd<\/a>\uff0c2020\u5e7410\u6708&nbsp;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Talwar, Rohit, <a href=\"https:\/\/www.maddyness.com\/uk\/2020\/07\/02\/scenarios-for-a-post-pandemic-world\/\">\u540e\u5927\u6d41\u884c\u4e16\u754c\u7684\u60c5\u666f<\/a>, Maddystudio, 2020\u5e747\u67082\u65e5<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\u01de\u01de\u01de<a aria-label=\"\u672a\u5b9a\u4e49\uff08\u5728\u65b0\u6807\u7b7e\u4e2d\u6253\u5f00\uff09\" href=\"https:\/\/www.longcrisis.org\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\"> \u957f\u671f\u5371\u673a\u7f51\u7edc<\/a> \u4e3a\u5730\u65b9\u4fe1\u6258\u3002 <a aria-label=\"\u672a\u5b9a\u4e49\uff08\u5728\u65b0\u6807\u7b7e\u4e2d\u6253\u5f00\uff09\" href=\"https:\/\/www.longcrisis.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/05\/Long-Crisis-COVID-Scenarios-highlights-21May20-2.pdf\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">\u6211\u4eec\u7684COVID\u672a\u6765--\u957f\u671f\u7684\u5371\u673a\u60c5\u666f<\/a>\uff0c2020\u5e745\u6708\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">van Til, Frederik, <a href=\"https:\/\/spectator.clingendael.org\/en\/publication\/three-scenarios-globalisation-post-covid-19-world\" target=\"_blank\" aria-label=\"\u672a\u5b9a\u4e49\uff08\u5728\u65b0\u6807\u7b7e\u4e2d\u6253\u5f00\uff09\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">\u540ecovid-19\u4e16\u754c\u4e2d\u5168\u7403\u5316\u7684\u4e09\u79cd\u60c5\u51b5<\/a>,<em> \u514b\u6797\u6839\u8fbe\u5c14\u89c2\u5bdf\u5bb6<\/em>\uff0c2020\u5e744\u67081\u65e5\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Wade, Michael, <a aria-label=\"\u672a\u5b9a\u4e49\uff08\u5728\u65b0\u6807\u7b7e\u4e2d\u6253\u5f00\uff09\" href=\"https:\/\/www.imd.org\/contentassets\/b9e9a6572dbc4d11af99038674577ec7\/imd-covid-19-scenario-planning-report.pdf\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">\u540eCOVID-19\u4e16\u754c\u7684\u60c5\u666f\u89c4\u5212<\/a>, IMD, 2020\u5e745\u6708\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">\u91cf\u5316\u5de5\u5177\u548c\u60c5\u666f\u6a21\u62df<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">COVID-19\u65b9\u6848-- <a href=\"https:\/\/covid19-scenarios.org\/\" target=\"_blank\" aria-label=\"\u672a\u5b9a\u4e49\uff08\u5728\u65b0\u6807\u7b7e\u4e2d\u6253\u5f00\uff09\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">\u91cf\u5316\u5de5\u5177<\/a>\uff0c\uff08\u89c1 <a href=\"https:\/\/covid19-scenarios.org\/team\" target=\"_blank\" aria-label=\"\u672a\u5b9a\u4e49\uff08\u5728\u65b0\u6807\u7b7e\u4e2d\u6253\u5f00\uff09\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">\u53d1\u5c55<\/a> \u7531\u4e0d\u540c\u7684\u5927\u5b66\u548c\u79d1\u5b66\u5bb6\u63d0\u4f9b\u3002<a target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\" href=\"https:\/\/www.biozentrum.unibas.ch\/home\/\">\u5df4\u585e\u5c14\u5927\u5b66Biozentrum<\/a>, <a target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\" href=\"https:\/\/ki.se\/en\">\u5361\u7f57\u6797\u65af\u5361\u5b66\u9662<\/a>&nbsp;(\u65af\u5fb7\u54e5\u5c14\u6469\uff0c\u745e\u5178\uff09\uff0c\u7b49\u7b49\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">\u56db\u5927\u548c\u5927\u578b\u6218\u7565\u516c\u53f8\u7684 \"\u60c5\u666f\"\u3002<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\u5fb7\u52e4\u3002 <a aria-label=\"\u672a\u5b9a\u4e49\uff08\u5728\u65b0\u6807\u7b7e\u4e2d\u6253\u5f00\uff09\" href=\"https:\/\/www2.deloitte.com\/fr\/fr\/pages\/covid-insights\/articles\/covid-19-planning-scenarios-for-business-leaders-resilient-world-remade.html#\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">Covid-19 \u7ecf\u6d4e\u6848\u4f8b\u3002\u4f01\u4e1a\u9886\u5bfc\u4eba\u7684\u8bbe\u60f3<\/a>\/Recovering from COVID-19, Economic cases for resilient leaders 18-24 months, 6 April 2020.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\u9ea6\u80af\u9521\uff0cCOVID-19\u7cfb\u5217<\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\"><li>\u901a\u62a5\u6750\u6599\u3002 <a href=\"https:\/\/www.mckinsey.com\/~\/media\/mckinsey\/business%20functions\/risk\/our%20insights\/covid%2019%20implications%20for%20business\/covid%2019%20may%2027\/covid-19-facts-and-insights-june-1-vf.pdf\">6\u67081\u65e5\u7248\u672c<\/a>,<\/li><li><a href=\"https:\/\/www.mckinsey.com\/business-functions\/risk\/our-insights\/covid-19-implications-for-business\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">\u5bf9\u4f01\u4e1a\u7684\u5f71\u54cd<\/a> - \u9605\u8bfb\u6574\u4e2a\u9875\u9762\uff0c\u4ee5\u627e\u5230\u81ea2020\u5e743\u67082\u65e5\u4ee5\u6765\u7684\u60c5\u666f\u548c\u7b80\u62a5\u53ca\u5176\u6f14\u53d8\u3002<\/li><\/ul>\n\n\n\n<hr class=\"wp-block-separator is-style-default\"\/>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\u7279\u8272\u56fe\u7247\u3002&nbsp;<a href=\"https:\/\/pixabay.com\/fr\/users\/Alexandra_Koch-621802\/?utm_source=link-attribution&amp;utm_medium=referral&amp;utm_campaign=image&amp;utm_content=5209058\">\u4e9a\u5386\u5c71\u5fb7\u62c9-\u79d1\u8d6b<\/a>&nbsp;\u5fb7&nbsp;<a href=\"https:\/\/pixabay.com\/fr\/?utm_source=link-attribution&amp;utm_medium=referral&amp;utm_campaign=image&amp;utm_content=5209058\">Pixabay<\/a>&nbsp;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<hr class=\"wp-block-separator is-style-wide\"\/>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>COVID-19\u548cCOVID-19\u4e4b\u540e\u7684\u4e16\u754c\u5145\u6ee1\u4e86\u4e0d\u786e\u5b9a\u6027\u3002\u6211\u4eec\u4ecd\u7136\u8981\u9762\u5bf9\u8bb8\u591a\u5173\u4e8e\u75be\u75c5\u7684\u672a\u77e5\u6570\uff0c\u56e0\u6b64\u5927\u6d41\u884c\u75c5\uff08\u4f8b\u5982Julie Steenhuysen\uff0c\"\u79d1\u5b66\u5bb6\u4eec\u521a\u521a\u5f00\u59cb\u4e86\u89e3COVID-19\u9020\u6210\u7684\u8bb8\u591a\u5065\u5eb7\u95ee\u9898\"\uff0c\u8def\u900f\u793e\uff0c2020\u5e746\u670826\u65e5\uff09\u3002\u7136\u800c\uff0c\u5f53\u5927\u96fe\u7b3c\u7f69\u7740\u6211\u4eec\u7684\u5730\u5e73\u7ebf\u65f6\uff0c\u6211\u4eec\u5fc5\u987b\u505a\u51fa\u51b3\u5b9a\u5e76\u91c7\u53d6\u884c\u52a8\u3002... <\/p>\n<p class=\"link-more\"><a href=\"https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/zh\/2020\/07\/03\/scenarios-for-covid-19-and-post-covid-19-worlds-a-bibliography\/\" class=\"more-link\">\u7ee7\u7eed\u9605\u8bfb<span class=\"screen-reader-text\">\"Covid-19\u548c\u540eCovid-19\u4e16\u754c\u7684\u60c5\u666f--\u4e66\u76ee\"<\/span><\/a><\/p>","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":27303,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_jetpack_feature_clip_id":0,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[2903,3247],"tags":[2883,2560],"class_list":["post-27109","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-covid19-scenarios","category-scenarios-real-world-examples","tag-covid-19","tag-open-access","entry"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v28.8 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>Scenarios for the Covid-19 and Post-Covid-19 Worlds - a Bibliography &#8226; The Red Team Analysis Society<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"A bibliography of futurist and strategic foresight scenarios created to foresee the evolution of the COVID-19 pandemic and of the post-COVID-19 world.\" \/>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/zh\/2020\/07\/03\/\u4e3acovid-19\u548cpost-covid-19\u4e16\u754c\u8bbe\u60f3\u7684\u4e66\u76ee\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"zh_CN\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Scenarios for the Covid-19 and Post-Covid-19 Worlds - a Bibliography &#8226; The Red Team Analysis Society\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"A bibliography of futurist and strategic foresight scenarios created to foresee the evolution of the COVID-19 pandemic and of the post-COVID-19 world.\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:url\" content=\"https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/zh\/2020\/07\/03\/\u4e3acovid-19\u548cpost-covid-19\u4e16\u754c\u8bbe\u60f3\u7684\u4e66\u76ee\/\" 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