{"id":27569,"date":"2020-09-14T14:50:27","date_gmt":"2020-09-14T12:50:27","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.redanalysis.org\/?p=27569"},"modified":"2021-10-04T17:32:34","modified_gmt":"2021-10-04T15:32:34","slug":"%e5%8c%97%e6%9e%81-%e4%b8%ad%e5%9b%bd-%e8%b5%b0%e5%90%91%e6%96%b0%e7%9a%84%e7%9f%b3%e6%b2%b9%e6%88%98%e4%ba%89-%e5%8f%98%e6%9a%96-%e5%8c%97%e6%9e%81","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/zh\/2020\/09\/14\/arctic-china-towards-new-oil-wars-in-a-warming-arctic\/","title":{"rendered":"\u5317\u6781\u4e2d\u56fd\u3002\u5728\u53d8\u6696\u7684\u5317\u6781\u5730\u533a\u8d70\u5411\u65b0\u7684\u77f3\u6cb9\u6218\u4e89\uff1f"},"content":{"rendered":"<p class=\"has-text-align-right alignright wp-block-paragraph\" style=\"font-size:16.5px\">\u8bbe\u8ba1\u3002 <a rel=\"noreferrer noopener\" href=\"https:\/\/www.linkedin.com\/in\/%E2%9C%B8-jean-dominique-lavoix-carli-359958181\/\" target=\"_blank\"> Jean-Dominique Lavoix-Carli<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">\u5317\u6781\u7684\u65b0\u5730\u7f18\u653f\u6cbb\u5b66<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\u5728\u5317\u6781\uff0c\u6c14\u5019\u548c \"\u7f8e\u56fd\/\u4fc4\u7f57\u65af\/\u4e2d\u56fd\u7684\u65b0\u51b7\u6218 \"\u90fd\u5728\u4ee5\u975e\u5e38\u5feb\u7684\u901f\u5ea6\u53d8\u6696\uff08Jean-Michel Valantin\uff0c\"<a rel=\"noreferrer noopener\" href=\"https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/zh\/2019\/05\/20\/%e4%b8%ad%e7%be%8e%e6%88%98%e4%ba%89-%e6%96%b0%e5%86%b7%e6%88%98-%e4%b8%ad%e7%be%8e%e5%b8%a6%e8%b7%af%e5%80%a1%e8%ae%ae-%e8%b5%b0%e5%90%91%e6%b8%a9%e6%9a%96%e7%9a%84%e5%8c%97%e6%9e%81%e5%9c%b0\/\" target=\"_blank\">\u8d70\u5411\u7f8e\u4e2d\u6218\u4e89\uff1f(1)\u548c(2)\u3002\u5317\u6781\u5730\u533a\u7684\u519b\u4e8b\u7d27\u5f20\u5c40\u52bf<\/a>\", <em>\u7ea2\u8272\uff08\u56e2\u961f\uff09\u5206\u6790\u534f\u4f1a<\/em>\uff0c2019\u5e749\u670816\u65e5\uff09\u3002\u4e8b\u5b9e\u4e0a\uff0c\u81ea2016\u5e74\u4ee5\u6765\uff0c\u4fc4\u7f57\u65af\u6b63\u5728\u6210\u500d\u589e\u52a0\u5927\u89c4\u6a21\u519b\u4e8b\u6f14\u4e60\u3002\u8fd9\u5305\u62ec\u519b\u4e8b\u5316\u3001\u6838\u6218\u4e89\u4ee5\u53ca\u5728\u5317\u897f\u4f2f\u5229\u4e9a\u4ee5\u53ca\u4fc4\u7f57\u65af\u5317\u6781\u7fa4\u5c9b\u7684\u9ad8\u8d85\u97f3\u901f\u6b66\u5668\u6f14\u4e60\u3002 <\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-embed-youtube wp-block-embed is-type-video is-provider-youtube wp-embed-aspect-16-9 wp-has-aspect-ratio\"><div class=\"wp-block-embed__wrapper\">\n<span class=\"embed-youtube\" style=\"text-align:center; display: block;\"><iframe loading=\"lazy\" class=\"youtube-player\" width=\"640\" height=\"360\" src=\"https:\/\/www.youtube.com\/embed\/299pbdH9XhY?version=3&#038;rel=1&#038;showsearch=0&#038;showinfo=1&#038;iv_load_policy=1&#038;fs=1&#038;hl=zh-CN&#038;autohide=2&#038;wmode=transparent\" allowfullscreen=\"true\" style=\"border:0;\" sandbox=\"allow-scripts allow-same-origin allow-popups allow-presentation allow-popups-to-escape-sandbox\"><\/iframe><\/span>\n<\/div><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\u540c\u65f6\uff0c\u4e2d\u56fd\u6b63\u5728\u52a0\u5f3a\u5176\u5728\u5df4\u4f26\u652f\u6d77\u7684\u77f3\u6cb9\u548c\u5929\u7136\u6c14\u4e1a\u52a1\uff0c\u800c\u4f7f\u7528\u5317\u65b9\u6d77\u8def\u7684\u8239\u961f\u6570\u91cf\u4e0d\u65ad\u589e\u52a0\uff08Atle Staalesen\uff0c\" \"\uff09\u3002<a href=\"https:\/\/thebarentsobserver.com\/en\/industry-and-energy\/2020\/04\/arctic-gas-finds-new-way-yamal-towards-china\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">\u5317\u6781\u5929\u7136\u6c14\u627e\u5230\u4ece\u4e9a\u9a6c\u5c14\u5230\u4e2d\u56fd\u7684\u65b0\u9014\u5f84<\/a>\", <em>\u72ec\u7acb\u7684\u5df4\u4f26\u652f\u6d77\u89c2\u5bdf\u5bb6<\/em>\uff0c2020\u5e744\u67081\u65e5\uff09\u3002\u540c\u65f6\uff0c\u7f8e\u56fd\u548c\u5317\u7ea6\u4e5f\u5b9a\u671f\u90e8\u7f72\u5927\u578b\u519b\u4e8b\u6f14\u4e60\uff0c\u5305\u62ec\u7a7a\u4e2d\u529b\u91cf\u7684\u5c55\u793a\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">\u4ece\u5317\u6781\u53d8\u6696\u5230\u5730\u7f18\u653f\u6cbb\u7684\u53d8\u6696<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\u6362\u53e5\u8bdd\u8bf4\uff0c\u4fc4\u7f57\u65af\u548c\u4e2d\u56fd\u5728\u5317\u6781\u5730\u533a\u975e\u5e38\u590d\u6742\u7684\u5408\u4f5c\u6b63\u5728\u6210\u4e3a\u4e0e\u7f8e\u56fd\u7d27\u5f20\u5173\u7cfb\u7684\u9a71\u52a8\u529b\uff0c\u7f8e\u56fd\u4e5f\u611f\u53d7\u5230\u4e86\u5317\u65b9\u53d8\u6696\u7684\u5438\u5f15\u529b\uff08Valantin\uff0c\u540c\u4e0a\uff09\u3002\u7531\u4e8e\u8fd9\u4e00\u5730\u533a\u7684\u8fc5\u901f\u53d8\u6696\uff0c\u8fd9\u4e9b\u7d27\u5f20\u5173\u7cfb\u7684\u6218\u7565\u9a71\u52a8\u529b\u662f\u5317\u6781\u5730\u533a\u5411\u56fd\u9645\u80fd\u6e90\u3001\u77ff\u4ea7\u548c\u751f\u7269\u8d44\u6e90\u7684\u7ade\u4e89\u5f00\u653e\uff08Michael Klare, <em><a href=\"https:\/\/us.macmillan.com\/books\/9781627792486#:~:text=All%20Hell%20Breaking%20Loose%20is,perspective%20of%20the%20U.S.%20military.&amp;text=And%20rising%20seas%20threaten%20American,intensely%20focused%20on%20its%20effects.\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">\u4e94\u89d2\u5927\u697c\u5bf9\u6c14\u5019\u53d8\u5316\u7684\u770b\u6cd5--\"\u4e00\u5207\u7686\u6709\u53ef\u80fd\"\uff08All Hell Breaking Loose, The Pentagon's Perspective on Climate Change<\/a><\/em>, 2019).\u7136\u800c\uff0c\u8fd9\u79cd\u6218\u7565\u6f14\u53d8\u51b3\u4e0d\u80fd\u63a9\u76d6\u4e00\u4e2a\u6839\u672c\u6027\u7684\u65b0\u5730\u7f18\u653f\u6cbb\u5c40\u52bf\u7684\u51fa\u73b0\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\u8fd9\u79cd\u65b0\u60c5\u51b5\u53ea\u4e0d\u8fc7\u662f\u628a\u897f\u4f2f\u5229\u4e9a\u6cbf\u5cb8\u7684\u5317\u6781\u5730\u533a\u53d8\u6210\u4e86\u4e3b\u5bfc\u4e1c\u4e9a\u3001\u5357\u4e9a\u3001\u4e2d\u4e9a\u548c\u4fc4\u7f57\u65af\u5de8\u5927\u9646\u5730\u7684\u4fc4\u4e9a\u5927\u56fd\u901a\u5f80\u5317\u6781\u5730\u533a\u7684\u5927\u9646\u53d1\u5c04\u53f0\uff08Jean-Michel Valantin\uff0c\"<a href=\"https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/zh\/2016\/11\/21\/%e6%9a%96%e5%8c%96-%e4%bf%84%e7%bd%97%e6%96%af-%e5%8c%97%e6%9e%81-%e4%bf%84%e7%bd%97%e6%96%af-%e4%ba%9a%e6%b4%b2-%e5%95%86%e4%b8%9a%e6%88%98%e7%95%a5-%e5%90%88%e5%b9%b6\/\">\u4fc4\u7f57\u65af\u5317\u6781\u5730\u533a\u53d8\u6696\uff1a\u4fc4\u7f57\u65af\u548c\u4e9a\u6d32\u6218\u7565\u5229\u76ca\u7684\u4ea4\u6c47\u5904\uff1f<\/a>\",&nbsp;<em>\u7ea2\u8272\uff08\u56e2\u961f\uff09\u5206\u6790\u534f\u4f1a<\/em>\uff0c2016\u5e7411\u670823\u65e5\uff09\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-embed-youtube wp-block-embed is-type-video is-provider-youtube wp-embed-aspect-16-9 wp-has-aspect-ratio\"><div class=\"wp-block-embed__wrapper\">\n<span class=\"embed-youtube\" style=\"text-align:center; display: block;\"><iframe loading=\"lazy\" class=\"youtube-player\" width=\"640\" height=\"360\" src=\"https:\/\/www.youtube.com\/embed\/FzVvhoP7AaA?version=3&#038;rel=1&#038;showsearch=0&#038;showinfo=1&#038;iv_load_policy=1&#038;fs=1&#038;hl=zh-CN&#038;autohide=2&#038;wmode=transparent\" allowfullscreen=\"true\" style=\"border:0;\" sandbox=\"allow-scripts allow-same-origin allow-popups allow-presentation allow-popups-to-escape-sandbox\"><\/iframe><\/span>\n<\/div><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">\u5317\u6781\u79d1\u7ef4\u5fb7-19<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\u7531\u4e8e\u5317\u6781\u51b0\u76d6\u7684\u52a0\u901f\u4e0d\u7a33\u5b9a\uff0c\u8fd9\u4e00\u5927\u9646\u52a8\u6001\u5177\u6709\u6df1\u523b\u7684\u5730\u7f18\u653f\u6cbb\u610f\u4e49\u3002\u7136\u800c\uff0c\u53e6\u4e00\u4e2a\u52a8\u6001\u56f0\u6270\u7740\u5317\u6781\uff0c\u5e76\u6270\u4e71\u4e86\u5176\u65b0\u5174\u7684\u5730\u7f18\u653f\u6cbb\uff0c\u5373Covid-19\u5927\u6d41\u884c\u75c5\uff08H\u00e9l\u00e8ne Lavoix\uff0c\" \"\u3002<a href=\"https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/zh\/2020\/06\/15\/%e5%87%ba%e7%8e%b0%e4%ba%86%e4%b8%80%e4%b8%aacovid-19%e7%9a%84%e5%9b%bd%e9%99%85%e7%a7%a9%e5%ba%8f\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">\u56fd\u9645\u79d1\u7ef4\u5fb7\u79e9\u5e8f\u7684\u51fa\u73b0<\/a>\", <em>\u8fdc\u666f\u6d1e\u5bdf\u7814\u7a76\u6240<\/em>\uff0c2020\u5e746\u670815\u65e5\uff09\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\u5728\u8fd9\u4e2a\u65b0\u7cfb\u5217\u4e2d\uff0c\u6211\u4eec\u5c06\u770b\u5230\u8fd9\u4e9b\u65b0\u7684\u7d27\u5f20\u5c40\u52bf\u662f\u5982\u4f55\u5347\u7ea7\u7684\uff0c\u4ee5\u53ca\u5317\u6781\u7684\u65b0\u5730\u7403\u7269\u7406\u5b66\u662f\u5982\u4f55\u7834\u574f\u6211\u4eec\u4e16\u754c\u6700\u6df1\u5c42\u7684\u5730\u7f18\u653f\u6cbb\u5e73\u8861\u7684\u3002\u8fd9\u79cd\u7834\u574f\u51fa\u73b0\u5728\u8fd9\u4e2a\u65b0\u7684\u6d77\u6743\u524d\u6cbf\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\u8fd9\u4e00\u5927\u89c4\u6a21\u5730\u7f18\u653f\u6cbb\u8f6c\u53d8\u7684\u7b2c\u4e00\u9636\u6bb5\u662f\u901a\u8fc7\u7ec4\u7ec7\u4e2d\u4e1c\u6216\u5357\u6d77\u7684\u540c\u7c7b\u7ade\u4e89\u548c\u7d27\u5f20\u5c40\u52bf\u6765\u6784\u5efa\u5317\u6781\u5730\u533a\u3002\u8fd9\u4e9b\u7ade\u4e89\u6765\u81ea\u4e8e\u56fd\u5bb6\u548c\u79c1\u4eba\u5229\u76ca\u7684\u51b2\u7a81\uff0c\u4e3a\u83b7\u53d6\u81ea\u7136\u8d44\u6e90\u800c\u6218\u3002\u5728\u540c\u4e00\u52a8\u6001\u4e2d\uff0c\u8fd9\u4e9b\u7d27\u5f20\u5c40\u52bf\u9650\u5236\u4e86\u884c\u4e3a\u8005\u83b7\u5f97\u8fd9\u4e9b\u8d44\u6e90\u7684\u80fd\u529b\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">\u5317\u6781\u4f5c\u4e3a\u4e00\u4e2a\u65b0\u7684\u4e2d\u56fd\u5357\u6d77...<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">\u7f8e\u56fd\u548c\u4e2d\u56fd\u7684\u65b0\u8fb9\u7586<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">2019\u5e745\u67086\u65e5\uff0c\u7f8e\u56fd\u56fd\u52a1\u537f\u8fc8\u514b-\u84ec\u4f69\u5965\u5728\u82ac\u5170\u5411\u5317\u6781\u5730\u533a\u6240\u6709\u56fd\u5bb6\u7684\u56fd\u9645\u673a\u6784--\u5317\u6781\u7406\u4e8b\u4f1a\u7684\u4e0e\u4f1a\u8005\u53d1\u8868\u8bb2\u8bdd\u3002\u5728\u8bb2\u8bdd\u4e2d\uff0c\u4ed6\u5ba3\u79f0\uff1a\"\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<blockquote class=\"wp-block-quote is-style-default is-layout-flow wp-block-quote-is-layout-flow\"><p>\"\u5317\u6781\u5904\u4e8e\u673a\u4f1a\u548c\u8d22\u5bcc\u7684\u6700\u524d\u6cbf\uff0c......\u5b83\u62e5\u6709\u4e16\u754c\u4e0a13%\u7684\u672a\u53d1\u73b0\u7684\u77f3\u6cb9\uff0c30%\u7684\u672a\u53d1\u73b0\u7684\u5929\u7136\u6c14\uff0c\u4e30\u5bcc\u7684\u94c0\u3001\u7a00\u571f\u77ff\u7269\u3001\u9ec4\u91d1\u3001\u94bb\u77f3\uff0c\u4ee5\u53ca\u6570\u767e\u4e07\u5e73\u65b9\u82f1\u91cc\u7684\u672a\u5f00\u53d1\u8d44\u6e90\u548c\u5927\u91cf\u7684\u6e14\u4e1a......\u3002\u6d77\u51b0\u7684\u7a33\u6b65\u51cf\u5c11\u6b63\u5728\u4e3a\u8d38\u6613\u5f00\u8f9f\u65b0\u7684\u901a\u9053\u548c\u65b0\u7684\u673a\u4f1a\uff0c......\u8fd9\u6709\u53ef\u80fd\u5c06\u4e9a\u6d32\u548c\u897f\u65b9\u4e4b\u95f4\u7684\u65c5\u884c\u65f6\u95f4\u7f29\u77ed20\u5929......\u5317\u6781\u7684\u6d77\u4e0a\u901a\u9053\u53ef\u80fd\u6210\u4e3a21\u4e16\u7eaa\u7684\u82cf\u4f0a\u58eb\u8fd0\u6cb3\u548c\u5df4\u62ff\u9a6c\u8fd0\u6cb3\u3002<\/p><\/blockquote>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\u7136\u800c\uff0c\u8fc8\u514b-\u84ec\u4f69\u5965\u4e5f\u8865\u5145\u8bf4\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<blockquote class=\"wp-block-quote is-style-default is-layout-flow wp-block-quote-is-layout-flow\"><p>\"\u6211\u4eec\u662f\u5426\u5e0c\u671b\u5317\u51b0\u6d0b\u53d8\u6210\u4e00\u4e2a\u65b0\u7684\u5357\u6d77\uff0c\u5145\u6ee1\u519b\u4e8b\u5316\u548c\u7ade\u4e89\u6027\u7684\u9886\u571f\u8981\u6c42\uff1f\"\uff08\u8fc8\u514b-\u84ec\u4f69\u5965\u6765\u81ea\u8a79\u59ae\u5f17-\u5b89\u65af\u4f26\uff0c\"<a href=\"https:\/\/www.msn.com\/en-us\/news\/politics\/mike-pompeo-melting-sea-ice-presents-new-opportunities-for-trade\/ar-AAAZi8c?li=BBnb7Kz&amp;%2525252525252525253Bocid=mailsignoutShould\">\u84ec\u4f69\u5965\u3002\u6d77\u51b0\u878d\u5316 \"\u5e26\u6765\u65b0\u7684\u8d38\u6613\u673a\u4f1a<\/a>\",&nbsp;<em>\u6709\u7ebf\u7535\u89c6\u65b0\u95fb\u7f51<\/em>\uff0c2019\u5e745\u67087\u65e5\u3002<\/p><\/blockquote>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-embed-youtube wp-block-embed is-type-video is-provider-youtube wp-embed-aspect-16-9 wp-has-aspect-ratio\"><div class=\"wp-block-embed__wrapper\">\n<span class=\"embed-youtube\" style=\"text-align:center; display: block;\"><iframe loading=\"lazy\" class=\"youtube-player\" width=\"640\" height=\"360\" src=\"https:\/\/www.youtube.com\/embed\/6Bk8PeRBYcg?version=3&#038;rel=1&#038;showsearch=0&#038;showinfo=1&#038;iv_load_policy=1&#038;fs=1&#038;hl=zh-CN&#038;autohide=2&#038;wmode=transparent\" allowfullscreen=\"true\" style=\"border:0;\" sandbox=\"allow-scripts allow-same-origin allow-popups allow-presentation allow-popups-to-escape-sandbox\"><\/iframe><\/span>\n<\/div><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\u8fd9\u4e00\u5730\u7f18\u653f\u6cbb\u548c\u6218\u7565\u58f0\u660e\u63ed\u793a\u4e86\u7f8e\u56fd\u8054\u90a6\u6700\u9ad8\u5f53\u5c40\u5bf9\u65b0\u7684\u5730\u7f18\u653f\u6cbb\u73b0\u5b9e\u7684\u7279\u522b\u8ba4\u8bc6\uff1a\u5728\u4fc4\u7f57\u65af\u7684\u652f\u6301\u4e0b\uff0c\u4e2d\u56fd\u6b63\u5728\u6210\u4e3a\u4e00\u4e2a\u5317\u6781\u5927\u56fd\u3002\u679c\u4e0d\u5176\u7136\uff0c\u8d8a\u6765\u8d8a\u591a\u7684\u4e2d\u56fd\u8d27\u8fd0\u8239\u961f\u4f7f\u7528\u65b0\u7684\u4fc4\u7f57\u65af\u5317\u65b9\u6d77\u8def\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\u8fd9\u6761\u6d77\u8def\u8fde\u63a5\u7740\u767d\u4ee4\u6d77\u5ce1\u548c\u632a\u5a01\u6d77\uff0c\u4ee5\u53ca\u592a\u5e73\u6d0b\u3001\u5317\u51b0\u6d0b\u548c\u5927\u897f\u6d0b\u3002\u56e0\u6b64\uff0c\u5229\u7528\u5317\u65b9\u6d77\u8def\uff0c\u4e2d\u56fd\u5546\u8239\u961f\u53ef\u4ee5\u5230\u8fbe\u65af\u582a\u7684\u7eb3\u7ef4\u4e9a\u534a\u5c9b\u3001\u5317\u6b27\u548c\u5317\u5927\u897f\u6d0b\u7684\u5546\u4e1a\u6e2f\u53e3\uff0c\u5305\u62ec\u51b0\u5c9b\uff08Jean-Michel Valantin, <a href=\"https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/zh\/2014\/05\/26\/arctic-china-1-the-dragon-and-the-vikings\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">\"\u5317\u6781\u4e2d\u56fd\"\uff081\uff09--\u9f99\u4e0e\u7ef4\u4eac\u4eba<\/a>\", <em>\u8fdc\u666f\u6d1e\u5bdf\u7814\u7a76\u6240<\/em>\uff0c2014\u5e745\u670826\u65e5\uff09\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\u4e2d\u56fd\u5728\u5317\u6781\u7684\u5b58\u5728\u4e5f\u662f\u79d1\u5b66\u7684\u3002\u8d8a\u6765\u8d8a\u591a\u7684\u4e2d\u56fd\u63a2\u9669\u961f\u6b63\u5728\u7ed8\u5236\u6d77\u5e95\u5730\u56fe\uff0c\u4ee5\u786e\u5b9a\u77f3\u6cb9\u548c\u5929\u7136\u6c14\u8d44\u6e90\u3002\u540c\u65f6\uff0c\u8fd8\u6709\u4eba\u7814\u7a76\u6c14\u5019\u53d8\u5316\u5bf9\u5317\u6781\u73af\u5883\u7684\u5f71\u54cd\u3002 <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\u8fd9\u4e9b\u79d1\u5b66\u4efb\u52a1\u7684\u76ee\u7684\u662f\u786e\u5b9a\u6f5c\u5728\u7684\u65b0\u822a\u9053\u548c\u751f\u7269\u8d44\u6e90\uff08Thomas Nilsen\uff0c\"<a href=\"https:\/\/thebarentsobserver.com\/en\/arctic\/2019\/05\/china-seeks-more-active-role-arctic\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">\u4e2d\u56fd\u5bfb\u6c42\u5728\u5317\u6781\u5730\u533a\u53d1\u6325\u66f4\u79ef\u6781\u7684\u4f5c\u7528<\/a>\", <em>\u72ec\u7acb\u7684\u5df4\u4f26\u652f\u6d77\u89c2\u5bdf\u5bb6<\/em>\uff0c2019\u5e745\u670811\u65e5\uff09\u3002\u5728\u540c\u6837\u7684\u52a8\u6001\u4e2d\uff0c\u4e2d\u56fd\u7684\u4e3b\u8981\u80fd\u6e90\u516c\u53f8\u6b63\u5728\u6295\u8d44\u4fc4\u7f57\u65af\u7684\u77f3\u6cb9\u548c\u5929\u7136\u6c14\u4e1a\u52a1\u3002\u4ed6\u4eec\u8fd8\u5728\u4fc4\u7f57\u65af\u4e13\u5c5e\u7ecf\u6d4e\u533a\u5f00\u53d1\u81ea\u5df1\u7684\u79bb\u5cb8\u4e1a\u52a1\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">\u8d70\u5411\u4e2d\u56fd\u548c\u7f8e\u56fd\u7684\u5317\u6781 \"\u5357\u6d77\"\uff1f<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\u6362\u53e5\u8bdd\u8bf4\uff0c\u4fc4\u7f57\u65af\u5317\u6781\u5730\u533a\u770b\u5230\u7684\u662f\u4e0e\u53d1\u751f\u5728\u4e2d\u56fd\u5357\u6d77\u7684\u5546\u4e1a\u3001\u6e14\u4e1a\u548c\u80fd\u6e90\u53d1\u5c55\u76f8\u540c\u7684\u90e8\u7f72\u3002\u7136\u800c\uff0c\u8fc8\u514b-\u84ec\u4f69\u5965\u6240\u505a\u7684\u6bd4\u8f83\u4e5f\u5177\u6709\u5730\u7f18\u653f\u6cbb\u7684\u6027\u8d28\u3002\u4e8b\u5b9e\u4e0a\uff0c\u5357\u6d77\u662f\u4e2d\u56fd\u548c\u5176\u4ed6\u6cbf\u5cb8\u56fd\u5bb6\u4ee5\u53ca\u4e2d\u56fd\u548c\u7f8e\u56fd\u4e4b\u95f4\u7684\u5386\u53f2\u7ade\u4e89\u821e\u53f0\uff08Jean-Michel Valantin, \"The South China Sea\"\uff09\u3002<a href=\"https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/zh\/2017\/03\/13\/%e4%b8%ad%e5%9b%bd%e6%96%b0%e4%b8%9d%e7%bb%b8%e4%b9%8b%e8%b7%af%e7%9a%84%e5%86%9b%e4%ba%8b%e5%8c%96-%e7%ac%ac%e4%b8%80%e9%83%a8%e5%88%86\/\">\u4e2d\u56fd\u65b0\u4e1d\u7ef8\u4e4b\u8def\u7684\u519b\u4e8b\u5316\u7b2c\u4e00\u90e8\u5206--\u5357\u4e2d\u56fd\u6d77<\/a>\",&nbsp;<em>\u8fdc\u666f\u6d1e\u5bdf\u7814\u7a76\u6240<\/em>\uff0c2017\u5e743\u670813\u65e5\uff09\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\u56e0\u6b64\uff0c\u5f53\u8fc8\u514b-\u84ec\u4f69\u5965\u53d1\u51fa\u8fd9\u6837\u7684\u8b66\u544a\u65f6\uff0c\u4ed6\u4e5f\u6697\u793a\u7f8e\u56fd\u5728\u5317\u6781\u5730\u533a\u7684\u5b58\u5728\u4e5f\u5c06\u4f1a\u52a0\u5f3a\u3002\u800c\u4e14\uff0c\u5b83\u5c06\u6210\u4e3a\u4e2d\u56fd\u5728\u5317\u6781\u5730\u533a\u7684\u4e00\u4e2a\u79ef\u6781\u7ade\u4e89\u8005\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\u7f8e\u56fd\u3001\u4fc4\u7f57\u65af\u548c\u4e2d\u56fd\u4e4b\u95f4\u5728\u4e00\u4e2a\u53d8\u6696\u7684\u5317\u6781\u5730\u533a\u65e5\u76ca\u7d27\u5f20\u7684\u5173\u7cfb\u4e5f\u63ed\u793a\u4e86\u4e00\u4e2a\u66f4\u6df1\u5c42\u6b21\u7684\u8d8b\u52bf\uff1a\u53d8\u6696\u7684\u5317\u6781\u5730\u533a\u8f6c\u53d8\u4e3a\u4e00\u4e2a\u591a\u5c3a\u5ea6\u7684\u7ade\u4e89\u548c\u51b2\u7a81\u7684\u821e\u53f0\u3002\u8fd9\u4e9b\u90fd\u662f\u7531\u5927\u56fd\u4e4b\u95f4\u5bf9\u91cd\u8981\u8d44\u6e90\u7684\u83b7\u53d6\u548c\u63a7\u5236\u7684\u7ade\u4e89\u6240\u9a71\u52a8\u7684\u3002\u7136\u540e\uff0c\u6240\u4ea7\u751f\u7684\u7ade\u4e89\u4f7f\u533a\u57df\u884c\u4e3a\u8005\u4e4b\u95f4\u7684\u7d27\u5f20\u5173\u7cfb\u6025\u5267\u5347\u6e29\u3002\u7136\u800c\uff0c\u5357\u4e2d\u56fd\u6d77\u5e76\u4e0d\u662f\u8fd9\u79cd\u56fd\u9645\u653f\u6cbb\u7684\u552f\u4e00\u7c7b\u6bd4\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">...\u6216\u8005\u4f5c\u4e3a\u4e00\u4e2a\u65b0\u7684\u4e2d\u4e1c\uff1f<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\u4e8b\u5b9e\u4e0a\uff0c\u6211\u4eec\u5728\u8fd9\u91cc\u4e5f\u53d1\u73b0\u4e86\u5730\u7f18\u653f\u6cbb\u548c\u52a8\u6001\u7684\u9a71\u52a8\u529b\uff0c\u53ef\u4ee5\u5728\u4e2d\u4e1c\u5730\u533a\u89c2\u5bdf\u5230\uff08Andrew J. Bacevich, <em>\u7f8e\u56fd\u4e89\u593a\u5927\u4e2d\u4e1c\u7684\u6218\u4e89<\/em>, 2017).<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">\u5317\u6781\u7684 \"\u4e2d\u4e1c\u5316\"\uff1f <\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\u4e2d\u4e1c\u5730\u7f18\u653f\u6cbb\u7684\u4e00\u4e2a\u663e\u8457\u7279\u70b9\u662f\u5b83\u7ee7\u627f\u4e86\u5730\u533a\u7d27\u5f20\u5c40\u52bf\u3002\u90a3\u91cc\u7684\u56fd\u9645\u653f\u6cbb\u4e5f\u690d\u6839\u4e8e\u591a\u5343\u5e74\u7684\u5386\u53f2\u548c\u5177\u6709\u6311\u6218\u6027\u7684\u5730\u7406\u3001\u6c34\u6587\u548c\u6c14\u5019\u6761\u4ef6\u3002\u8fd9\u79cd\u5730\u7f18\u5386\u53f2\u80cc\u666f\u4e0e\u6700\u8fd1\u4ee5\u77f3\u6cb9\u548c\u5929\u7136\u6c14\u4e3a\u4e2d\u5fc3\u7684\u56fd\u9645\u7d27\u5f20\u5c40\u52bf\u76f8\u543b\u5408\u3002\u8fd9\u79cd\u6587\u660e\u548c\u80fd\u6e90\u7d27\u5f20\u5173\u7cfb\u7684\u4ea4\u53c9\uff0c\u6b63\u5728\u8feb\u4f7f\u653f\u6cbb\u548c\u519b\u4e8b\u53d1\u751f\u8fde\u5e26\u53d8\u5316\u3002\u6b64\u5916\uff0c\u8fd9\u53d1\u751f\u5728\u4e00\u4e2a\u793e\u4f1a\u548c\u751f\u6001\u53d8\u5316\u975e\u5e38\u8fc5\u901f\u7684\u5730\u533a\uff08Fred Pearce\uff0c\"<a href=\"http:\/\/e360.yale.edu\/feature\/mideast_water_wars_in_iraq_a_battle_for_control_of_water\/2796\/\">\u4e2d\u4e1c\u6c34\u6218\uff1a\u5728\u4f0a\u62c9\u514b\uff0c\u4e3a\u63a7\u5236\u6c34\u800c\u6218<\/a>\",<em>\u8036\u9c81360\u00b0\u3002<\/em>&nbsp;2014\u5e748\u670825\u65e5\uff09\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-embed-youtube wp-block-embed is-type-video is-provider-youtube wp-embed-aspect-4-3 wp-has-aspect-ratio\"><div class=\"wp-block-embed__wrapper\">\n<span class=\"embed-youtube\" style=\"text-align:center; display: block;\"><iframe loading=\"lazy\" class=\"youtube-player\" width=\"640\" height=\"360\" src=\"https:\/\/www.youtube.com\/embed\/0yr-LaMhvro?version=3&#038;rel=1&#038;showsearch=0&#038;showinfo=1&#038;iv_load_policy=1&#038;fs=1&#038;hl=zh-CN&#038;autohide=2&#038;wmode=transparent\" allowfullscreen=\"true\" style=\"border:0;\" sandbox=\"allow-scripts allow-same-origin allow-popups allow-presentation allow-popups-to-escape-sandbox\"><\/iframe><\/span>\n<\/div><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\u503c\u5f97\u6ce8\u610f\u7684\u662f\uff0c\u76ee\u524d\uff0c\u53d8\u6696\u7684\u5317\u6781\u6210\u4e3a\u4e0d\u540c\u5730\u7f18\u653f\u6cbb\u5c42\u9762\u7684\u6df7\u5408\u4f53\u3002\u4ece\u8fd9\u4e2a\u89d2\u5ea6\u6765\u770b\uff0c\u6211\u4eec\u53ef\u4ee5\u8bf4\u632a\u5a01\u6b63\u5728\u7ecf\u5386\u4e00\u4e2a \"\u4e2d\u4e1c\u5316 \"\u7684\u8fc7\u7a0b\u3002\u5b83\u662f\u4e00\u4e2a\u72ec\u7acb\u7684\u5c0f\u56fd\uff0c\u540c\u65f6\u53c8\u662f\u4e00\u4e2a\u91cd\u8981\u7684\u77f3\u6cb9\u751f\u4ea7\u56fd\u3002\u5b83\u4e5f\u662f\u4fc4\u7f57\u65af\u7684\u9646\u5730\u548c\u6d77\u6d0b\u8fd1\u90bb\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\u632a\u5a01\u4e5f\u662f\u5317\u7ea6\u6210\u5458\uff0c\u632a\u5a01\u7684\u6e2f\u53e3\u662f\u4f17\u591a\u4e2d\u56fd\u79d1\u5b66\u548c\u5546\u4e1a\u8239\u53ea\u7684\u6e2f\u53e3\u3002\u632a\u5a01\u4e5f\u662f\u4e2d\u56fd\u8ba1\u5212\u4e2d\u7684\u6d32\u9645\u5149\u7f06\u5317\u6b27\u7aef\u6240\u5728\u5730\u7684\u79ef\u6781\u5019\u9009\u56fd\u3002\u8fd9\u6761\u7535\u7f06\u53ef\u4ee5\u4ece\u4e2d\u56fd\u5ef6\u4f38\u51fa\u6765\uff0c\u6cbf\u7740\u897f\u4f2f\u5229\u4e9a\u6d77\u5cb8\u94fa\u8bbe\u5230\u632a\u5a01\u3002\u5728\u90a3\u91cc\uff0c\u632a\u5a01\u5c06\u628a\u8fd9\u6761\u7535\u7f06\u8fde\u63a5\u5230\u6b27\u6d32\u7684\u5149\u7ea4\u7f51\u7edc\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\u8fd9\u4e2a\u9879\u76ee\u662f\u53ef\u884c\u7684\uff0c\u56e0\u4e3a\u5317\u6781\u6b63\u5728\u53d8\u6696\uff0c\u590f\u5b63\u548c\u51ac\u5b63\u7684\u51b0\u5c42\u6b63\u5728\u52a0\u901f\u51cf\u5c11\uff08Maija Mylella\uff0c\u5317\u6781\u82ac\u5170\"<a href=\"https:\/\/thebarentsobserver.com\/en\/industry-and-energy\/2017\/06\/data-cables-are-new-trading-routes\">\u6570\u636e\u7535\u7f06\u662f\u65b0\u7684\u8d38\u6613\u8def\u7ebf\uff0c\u82ac\u5170\u5e0c\u671b\u901a\u8fc7\u5317\u6781\u6c34\u57df\u5efa\u7acb\u901a\u5f80\u4e9a\u6d32\u7684\u6570\u636e\u9ad8\u901f\u516c\u8def<\/a>\", <em>\u72ec\u7acb\u7684\u5df4\u4f26\u652f\u6d77\u89c2\u5bdf\u5bb6<\/em>\uff0c2017\u5e746\u670815\u65e5\u548cThomas Nilsen\uff0c\"\u671d\u5411\u6b27\u4e9a\u5317\u6781\u5149\u7f06\u8fde\u63a5\u7684\u4e3b\u8981\u6b65\u9aa4\"\u3002 <em>\u72ec\u7acb\u7684\u5df4\u4f26\u652f\u6d77\u89c2\u5bdf\u5bb6<\/em>\uff0c2019\u5e746\u67086\u65e5\uff09\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">\u6696\u5316\u7684\u51b7\u6218\uff1f<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\u7136\u800c\uff0c\u57282018\u5e7410\u6708\uff0c\u632a\u5a01\u4e3b\u529e\u4e86\u81ea1990\u5e74\u51b7\u6218\u7ed3\u675f\u4ee5\u6765\u6700\u91cd\u8981\u7684\u5317\u7ea6\u6d77\u519b\u6f14\u4e60\u3002\u8fd9\u6b21\u6f14\u4e60\u662f\u4e3a\u4e86\u5a01\u6151 \"\u4e0d\u77e5\u540d\u7684\u5bf9\u624b\"\uff0c\u5373\u4fc4\u7f57\u65af\u3002\u5b83\u8fd8\u5141\u8bb8\u5728\u5317\u5927\u897f\u6d0b\u5317\u90e8\u6d77\u8def\u95e8\u6237\u90e8\u7f72\u5de8\u5927\u7684\u7a7a\u4e2d\u548c\u6d77\u4e0a\u80fd\u529b\u3002\u8fd9\u4e9b\u519b\u4e8b\u90e8\u7f72\u662f\u5411\u4fc4\u7f57\u65af\u548c\u4e2d\u56fd\u53d1\u51fa\u7684\u8b66\u544a\uff08Jean-Michel Valantin, \"<a href=\"https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/zh\/2018\/11\/12\/%e6%9a%96%e5%8c%96%e5%8c%97%e6%9e%81%e7%9a%84%e5%86%9b%e4%ba%8b%e5%8c%96-%e5%90%91%e6%96%b0%e5%86%b7%e6%bc%a0%e4%b8%bb%e4%b9%89%e7%9a%84%e6%8c%91%e6%88%98\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">\u5317\u6781\u53d8\u6696\u7684\u519b\u4e8b\u5316--\u901a\u5411\u65b0\u519b\u4e8b\u4e3b\u4e49\u4e4b\u8def(s)<\/a>\u201c, <em>\u8fdc\u666f\u6d1e\u5bdf\u7814\u7a76\u6240<\/em>\uff0c2018\u5e7411\u670812\u65e5\uff09\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\u6b63\u5982\u6211\u4eec\u6240\u770b\u5230\u7684\uff0c\u632a\u5a01\u662f\u4e00\u4e2a \"\u5730\u7f18\u653f\u6cbb\u89c4\u6a21\u4ea4\u878d\u7684\u4e2d\u5fc3\"\u3002\u5b83\u548c\u4efb\u4f55\u4e2d\u4e1c\u56fd\u5bb6\u4e00\u6837\u590d\u6742\u3002\u540c\u65f6\uff0c\u6c14\u5019\u53d8\u5316\u652f\u6301\u4eba\u4eec\u83b7\u53d6\u8be5\u5730\u533a\u7684\u5927\u91cf\u80fd\u6e90\u548c\u751f\u7269\u8d44\u6e90\u3002\u540c\u65f6\uff0c\u5317\u65b9\u6d77\u8def\u6210\u4e3a\u82cf\u4f0a\u58eb\u8fd0\u6cb3\u7684\u66ff\u4ee3\u89e3\u51b3\u65b9\u6848\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">\u5317\u6781\u8fdb\u5165Covid19\u4e16\u754c<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\u5357\u4e2d\u56fd\u6d77 \"\u548c \"\u4e2d\u4e1c \"\u7684\u6bd4\u8f83\u90fd\u6709\u52a9\u4e8e\u6211\u4eec\u7406\u89e3\u53d8\u6696\u7684\u5317\u6781\u662f\u5982\u4f55\u5feb\u901f\u53d8\u5316\u7684\u3002\u540e\u8005\u6210\u4e3a\u5730\u65b9\u3001\u533a\u57df\u3001\u56fd\u9645\u548c\u5168\u7403\u5730\u7f18\u653f\u6cbb\u548c\u8d44\u6e90\u7ade\u4e89\u76f8\u4e92\u4ea4\u7ec7\u7684\u5438\u5f15\u8005\u3002\u81ea2020\u5e743\u6708\u4ee5\u6765\uff0c\u8fd9\u4e00\u65b0\u7684\u73b0\u5b9e\u6b63\u53d8\u5f97\u66f4\u52a0\u660e\u663e\u548c\u6000\u5b55\u3002\u4e8b\u5b9e\u4e0a\uff0c\u65b0\u7684\u5317\u6781\u5730\u7f18\u653f\u6cbb\u4e5f\u6b63\u5728\u6210\u4e3aCovid-19\u5927\u6d41\u884c\u75c5\u7684\u4e00\u4e2a\u5f3a\u5927\u8f7d\u4f53\uff08H\u00e9l\u00e8ne Lavoix\uff0c\"<a href=\"https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/zh\/2020\/06\/15\/%e5%87%ba%e7%8e%b0%e4%ba%86%e4%b8%80%e4%b8%aacovid-19%e7%9a%84%e5%9b%bd%e9%99%85%e7%a7%a9%e5%ba%8f\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">\u56fd\u9645\u79d1\u7ef4\u5fb7\u79e9\u5e8f\u7684\u51fa\u73b0<\/a>\", <em>\u8fdc\u666f\u6d1e\u5bdf\u7814\u7a76\u6240<\/em>\uff0c2020\u5e746\u670815\u65e5\uff09\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\"><strong>\u01de\u01de\u01de<\/strong> \"<strong>\u79d1\u7ef4\u5fb7\u4e16\u754c \"\u89c4\u5219<\/strong><\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\u7136\u800c\uff0c\u8fd9\u4e9b\u5730\u7f18\u653f\u6cbb\u5411Helene Lavoix\u5b9a\u6027\u4e3a \"Covid\u4e16\u754c \"\u7684\u652f\u914d\u6027\u5730\u7f18\u653f\u6cbb\u5c40\u52bf\u4f4e\u5934\u3002\u6362\u53e5\u8bdd\u8bf4\uff0c\u5982\u4eca\uff0cCovid-19\u5927\u6d41\u884c\u75c5\u6b63\u5728\u6210\u4e3a\u4e16\u754c\u4e0a\u6700\u4e3b\u8981\u548c\u6700\u5f3a\u5927\u7684\u5730\u7f18\u653f\u6cbb\u529b\u91cf\u3002\u8fd9\u53ef\u4ee5\u901a\u8fc7\u5b83\u6240\u5e26\u6765\u7684\u5de8\u5927\u7684\u548c\u4e16\u754c\u8303\u56f4\u7684\u5730\u7f18\u7ecf\u6d4e\u7834\u574f\u6765\u9a8c\u8bc1\u3002\u7531\u4e8e\u5176\u8fde\u5e26\u6548\u5e94\uff0cCovid-19\u5bfc\u81f4\u4e16\u754c\u7ecf\u6d4e\u8d70\u5411\u6240\u6709\u8427\u6761\u4e4b\u6bcd\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\u4e8b\u5b9e\u4e0a\uff0c\u8fd9\u79cd\u5927\u6d41\u884c\u75c5\u5f71\u54cd\u4e86\u6240\u6709\u7684\u5317\u6781\u56fd\u5bb6\uff0c\u4e5f\u5f71\u54cd\u4e86\u6218\u7565\u80fd\u6e90\u548c\u519b\u4e8b\u90e8\u95e8\u3002\u6b64\u5916\uff0c\"Covid\u4e16\u754c \"\u4e5f\u901a\u8fc7\u4e0d\u540c\u519b\u4e8b\u5355\u4f4d\u7684\u53ef\u80fd\u611f\u67d3\u800c\u5438\u6536\u4e86\u5317\u6781\u5730\u533a\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\u4f8b\u5982\uff0c\u6469\u5c14\u66fc\u65af\u514b\u5730\u533a\u53d7\u5230\u4e86\u8be5\u75c5\u6bd2\u7684\u4e25\u91cd\u5f71\u54cd\u3002\u8fd9\u4e00\u70b9\u7279\u522b\u91cd\u8981\uff0c\u56e0\u4e3a\u6469\u5c14\u66fc\u65af\u514b\u662f\u4fc4\u7f57\u65af\u5728\u5317\u6781\u6d77\u5cb8\u6700\u91cd\u8981\u7684\u6c11\u7528\u6e2f\u53e3\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\u6469\u5c14\u66fc\u65af\u514b\u5dde\u4e5f\u662f\u4fc4\u7f57\u65af\u5317\u65b9\u8230\u961f\u7684\u603b\u90e8\u3002\u540e\u8005\u5728\u786e\u4fdd\u5de8\u5927\u7684\u7ecf\u6d4e\u4e13\u5c5e\u533a\u7684\u5b89\u5168\u65b9\u9762\u53d1\u6325\u7740\u8d8a\u6765\u8d8a\u5927\u7684\u4f5c\u7528\u3002\u5b83\u4e5f\u662f\u4fc4\u7f57\u65af\u7b2c\u4e8c\u5bb6\u77f3\u6cb9\u548c\u5929\u7136\u6c14\u516c\u53f8--\u8bfa\u74e6\u6cf0\u514b\u516c\u53f8\u7684\u5de8\u5927\u5efa\u7b51\u5de5\u5730\u6240\u5728\u5730\u3002\u8fd9\u4e9b\u5efa\u7b51\u652f\u6301\u4e9a\u9a6c\u5c14\u534a\u5c9b\u5927\u91cf\u6db2\u4f53\u5929\u7136\u6c14\u7684\u5f00\u53d1\uff0c\u4ee5\u53ca\u5176\u4ed6\u9879\u76ee\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-embed-youtube wp-block-embed is-type-video is-provider-youtube wp-embed-aspect-16-9 wp-has-aspect-ratio\"><div class=\"wp-block-embed__wrapper\">\n<span class=\"embed-youtube\" style=\"text-align:center; display: block;\"><iframe loading=\"lazy\" class=\"youtube-player\" width=\"640\" height=\"360\" src=\"https:\/\/www.youtube.com\/embed\/V9n6tu35chg?version=3&#038;rel=1&#038;showsearch=0&#038;showinfo=1&#038;iv_load_policy=1&#038;fs=1&#038;hl=zh-CN&#038;autohide=2&#038;wmode=transparent\" allowfullscreen=\"true\" style=\"border:0;\" sandbox=\"allow-scripts allow-same-origin allow-popups allow-presentation allow-popups-to-escape-sandbox\"><\/iframe><\/span>\n<\/div><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\u540c\u65f6\uff0c\u4f8b\u5982\u57286\u6708\u4efd\uff0c\u6469\u5c14\u66fc\u65af\u514b\u5dde\u906d\u53d7\u7684\u6c61\u67d3\u6570\u91cf\u9ad8\u4e8e\u90bb\u56fd\u632a\u5a01\u3002\u8fd9\u4f7f\u5f97\u6c11\u7528\u5de5\u4e1a\u7684\u5de5\u4f5c\u653e\u7f13\u5e76\u4e2d\u65ad\uff0c\u8bfa\u74e6\u6cf0\u514b\uff08Novatek\uff09\u7684\u8d1d\u6d1b\u5361\uff08Belokamenka\uff09\u5de5\u5730\u4ee5\u53ca\u5317\u65b9\u8230\u961f\u76842000\u591a\u540d\u5de5\u4eba\u53d7\u5230\u611f\u67d3\uff08Atle Staalesen\uff0c\" \"\uff09\u3002<a href=\"https:\/\/thebarentsobserver.com\/en\/life-and-public\/2020\/06\/after-infection-more-2000-workers-situation-comes-under-control-belokamenka\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">2000\u591a\u540d\u5de5\u4eba\u88ab\u611f\u67d3\u540e\uff0c\u8d1d\u6d1b\u5361\u95e8\u5361\u5efa\u7b51\u5de5\u5730\u7684\u60c5\u51b5\u5f97\u5230\u4e86\u63a7\u5236<\/a>\", <em>\u72ec\u7acb\u7684\u300a\u5df4\u4f26\u652f\u6d77\u89c2\u5bdf\u5458\u300b\u6742\u5fd7<\/em>\uff0c2020\u5e746\u670816\u65e5\u548c\"<a href=\"https:\/\/thebarentsobserver.com\/en\/security\/2020\/06\/city-builds-russias-nuclear-submarines-now-has-more-2000-covid-19-cases\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">\u5efa\u9020\u4fc4\u7f57\u65af\u6838\u6f5c\u8247\u7684\u57ce\u5e02\u6709\u8d85\u8fc72000\u4e2aCovid-19\u6848\u4f8b<\/a>\", <em>\u72ec\u7acb\u7684\u5df4\u4f26\u652f\u6d77\u89c2\u5bdf\u5bb6<\/em>\uff0c2020\u5e746\u670823\u65e5\uff09\u3002&nbsp;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\u56e0\u6b64\uff0c\u8fd9\u79cd\u5927\u6d41\u884c\u75c5\u6253\u4e71\u4e86\u5317\u6781\u5730\u533a\u53d8\u6696\u7684\u6c11\u4e8b\u548c\u519b\u4e8b\u53d1\u5c55\u8ba1\u5212\u7684\u8282\u594f\u3002&nbsp;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">\u79d1\u7ef4\u5fb7\u7684\u7834\u574f<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\u8fd9\u79cd\u60c5\u51b5\u5e76\u975e\u5c0f\u4e8b\u3002\u8bfa\u74e6\u6cf0\u514b\u516c\u53f8\u662f\u4e9a\u9a6c\u5c14\u4e00\u671f\u548c\u4e8c\u671f\u5de5\u7a0b\u7684\u4e3b\u8981\u5f00\u53d1\u5546\u3002\u8fd9\u4e9b\u9879\u76ee\u5438\u5f15\u4e86\u5927\u91cf\u7684\u5916\u56fd\u6295\u8d44\uff0c\u6765\u81ea\u4e2d\u56fd\u3001\u5370\u5ea6\u548c\u65e5\u672c\u7b49\u56fd\u3002\u8fd9\u4e9b\u53d1\u5c55\u6df1\u6df1\u5730\u4f9d\u8d56\u4e8e\u8be5\u5730\u533a\u7684\u53d8\u6696\uff0c\u4f7f\u5176\u80fd\u591f\u83b7\u5f97\u65b0\u8d44\u6e90\u3002\u8fd9\u4e9b\u5f00\u91c7\u6d3b\u52a8\u5bf9\u4e9a\u6d32\u56fd\u5bb6\u5177\u6709\u91cd\u5927\u610f\u4e49\u3002\u4ed6\u4eec\u52aa\u529b\u4f7f\u5176\u80fd\u6e90\u90e8\u95e8\u591a\u6837\u5316\uff0c\u4ee5\u51cf\u5c11\u4f7f\u7528\u7164\u70ad\uff0c\u540c\u65f6\u652f\u6301\u5176\u7ecf\u6d4e\u53d1\u5c55\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\u56e0\u6b64\uff0c\u75c5\u6bd2\u5bf9\u8fd9\u4e9b\u884c\u52a8\u9020\u6210\u7684\u5ef6\u8bef\u662f\u5bf9\u4e9a\u6d32\u7ecf\u6d4e\u53d1\u5c55\u7684\u4e00\u4e2a\u6f5c\u5728\u9650\u5236\u3002\u53cd\u8fc7\u6765\u8bf4\uff0c\u8fd9\u5c31\u63ed\u5f00\u4e86\u4e9a\u6d32\u5982\u4f55\u4e0e\u4fc4\u7f57\u65af\u53d8\u6696\u7684\u5317\u6781\u5730\u533a\u7684\u53d1\u5c55\u76f8\u8054\u7cfb\u3002\u5b83\u4e5f\u63ed\u5f00\u4e86\u90a3\u4e9b\u5728\u4e00\u4e2a\u53d8\u6696\u7684\u661f\u7403\u4e0a\u7684\u5927\u89c4\u6a21\u5730\u7f18\u7ecf\u6d4e\u6218\u7565\u76ee\u524d\u88ab \"\u79d1\u7ef4\u5fb7\u4e16\u754c \"\u5438\u6536\u7684\u65b9\u5f0f<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\u56e0\u6b64\uff0c\u6211\u4eec\u73b0\u5728\u5fc5\u987b\u7814\u7a76\u8fd9\u4e9b\u516c\u5171\u548c\u79c1\u4eba\u884c\u4e3a\u8005\u5982\u4f55\u9002\u5e94\u6c14\u5019\u53d8\u5316\u548c \"Covid\u4e16\u754c\"\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<hr class=\"wp-block-separator is-style-default\"\/>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\u7279\u8272\u56fe\u7247\u3002\u8bbe\u8ba1\u8005 <a href=\"https:\/\/www.linkedin.com\/in\/%E2%9C%B8-jean-dominique-lavoix-carli-359958181\/\">Jean-Dominique Lavoix-Carli<\/a> \u4e3aRed Team Analysis Society<\/p>\n\n\n\n<hr class=\"wp-block-separator is-style-default\"\/>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>\u8bbe\u8ba1\u3002Jean-Dominique Lavoix-Carli \u5317\u6781\u7684\u65b0\u5730\u7f18\u653f\u6cbb \u5728\u5317\u6781\uff0c\u6c14\u5019\u548c \"\u7f8e\u56fd\/\u4fc4\u7f57\u65af\/\u4e2d\u56fd\u7684\u65b0\u51b7\u6218 \"\u90fd\u5728\u4ee5\u6781\u5feb\u7684\u901f\u5ea6\u5347\u6e29\uff08Jean-Michel Valantin\uff0c\"\u8d70\u5411\u7f8e\u4e2d\u6218\u4e89\uff1f(1)\u548c(2)\u3002\u5317\u6781\u5730\u533a\u7684\u519b\u4e8b\u7d27\u5f20\u5c40\u52bf\u300b\uff0c\u300a\u7ea2\u8272\uff08\u56e2\u961f\uff09\u5206\u6790\u534f\u4f1a\u300b\uff0c2019\u5e749\u670816\u65e5\uff09\u3002\u4e8b\u5b9e\u4e0a\uff0c\u81ea2016\u5e74\u4ee5\u6765\uff0c\u4fc4\u7f57\u65af\u6b63\u5728... <\/p>\n<p class=\"link-more\"><a href=\"https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/zh\/2020\/09\/14\/arctic-china-towards-new-oil-wars-in-a-warming-arctic\/\" class=\"more-link\">\u7ee7\u7eed\u9605\u8bfb<span class=\"screen-reader-text\">\"Arctic China:\u5728\u53d8\u6696\u7684\u5317\u6781\u5730\u533a\u8d70\u5411\u65b0\u7684\u77f3\u6cb9\u6218\u4e89\uff1f\"<\/span><\/a><\/p>","protected":false},"author":20,"featured_media":27666,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_jetpack_feature_clip_id":0,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[2503,1083,2497,2860],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-27569","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-americas","category-arctic","category-china","category-featured","entry"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v28.8 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>Arctic China: Towards New Oil Wars in a Warming Arctic? &#8226; The Red Team Analysis Society<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"This article highlights the new structuration of Arctic geopolitics through competitions similar to those organising the Middle East or the South China Sea.\" \/>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/zh\/2020\/09\/14\/\u5317\u6781-\u4e2d\u56fd-\u8d70\u5411\u65b0\u7684\u77f3\u6cb9\u6218\u4e89-\u53d8\u6696-\u5317\u6781\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"zh_CN\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Arctic China: Towards New Oil Wars in a Warming Arctic? &#8226; The Red Team Analysis Society\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"This article highlights the new structuration of Arctic geopolitics through competitions similar to those 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