{"id":28022,"date":"2020-11-11T18:49:01","date_gmt":"2020-11-11T17:49:01","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.redanalysis.org\/?p=28022"},"modified":"2021-10-04T17:32:10","modified_gmt":"2021-10-04T15:32:10","slug":"%e6%b3%95%e5%9b%bd-3-scenarios-for-covid-19-second-wave","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/zh\/2020\/11\/11\/france-3-scenarios-for-covid-19-second-wave\/","title":{"rendered":"\u6cd5\u56fd\u548cCOVID-19\u7b2c\u4e8c\u6ce2\u76843\u79cd\u60c5\u51b5"},"content":{"rendered":"<p class=\"has-text-align-right alignright wp-block-paragraph\" style=\"font-size:16.5px\">\u8bbe\u8ba1\u3002 <a rel=\"noreferrer noopener\" href=\"https:\/\/www.linkedin.com\/in\/%E2%9C%B8-jean-dominique-lavoix-carli-359958181\/\" target=\"_blank\"> Jean-Dominique Lavoix-Carli<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">COVID-19\u5927\u6d41\u884c\u768411\u4e2a\u6708\u540e\uff0c\u7b2c\u4e8c\u6ce2\u8513\u5ef6\u3002\u52302020\u5e7411\u67089\u65e5\uff0c\u5168\u7403\u6709\u8d85\u8fc75000\u4e07\u4eba\u53d7\u5230\u6c61\u67d3(<a href=\"https:\/\/gisanddata.maps.arcgis.com\/apps\/opsdashboard\/index.html#\/bda7594740fd40299423467b48e9ecf6\">COVID-19\u4eea\u8868\u677f<\/a> \u7531\u7ea6\u7ff0\u970d\u666e\u91d1\u65af\u5927\u5b66\u7684\u7cfb\u7edf\u79d1\u5b66\u548c\u5de5\u7a0b\u4e2d\u5fc3\uff08CSSE\uff09\u63d0\u4f9b\uff09\u3002\u5f53\u65f6\u5df2\u7ecf\u6709\u8d85\u8fc7125\u4e07\u4eba\u6b7b\u4ea1\uff08\u540c\u4e0a\uff09\u3002 <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">11\u670810\u65e5\uff0c\u6b27\u6d32\u8de8\u8d8a\u4e86\u6bcf\u65e530\u4e07\u6b7b\u4ea1\u7684\u95e8\u69db\uff0c\u5373\u51e0\u4e4e\u5360\u5168\u7403\u6bcf\u65e5\u6b7b\u4ea1\u4eba\u6570\u7684\u56db\u5206\u4e4b\u4e00\uff0c\u800c\u5b83\u53ea\u5360\u4e16\u754c\u4eba\u53e3\u768410%\uff08\u8def\u900f\u793e\u3002 <a href=\"https:\/\/graphics.reuters.com\/world-coronavirus-tracker-and-maps\/regions\/europe\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">COVID-19\u5168\u7403\u8ffd\u8e2a\u5668<\/a>).\u63097\u5929\u5e73\u5747\u8ba1\u7b97\uff0c\u6b27\u6d32\u5360\u5168\u7403\u611f\u67d3\u4eba\u6570\u768450%\u7565\u591a\uff0c\u5360\u5168\u7403\u6b7b\u4ea1\u4eba\u6570\u768450%\u7565\u5c11\uff08\u8def\u900f\u793e\u3002 <a href=\"https:\/\/graphics.reuters.com\/world-coronavirus-tracker-and-maps\/\">COVID-19\u5168\u7403\u8ffd\u8e2a\u5668<\/a>). <\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-gallery aligncenter columns-2 is-cropped wp-block-gallery-1 is-layout-flex wp-block-gallery-is-layout-flex\"><ul class=\"blocks-gallery-grid\"><li class=\"blocks-gallery-item\"><figure><a href=\"https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/11\/Global-infections-10-nov-.jpg\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"1185\" height=\"941\" src=\"https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/11\/Global-infections-10-nov--1185x941.jpg\" alt=\"\" data-id=\"28086\" data-full-url=\"https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/11\/Global-infections-10-nov-.jpg\" data-link=\"https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/?attachment_id=28086\" class=\"wp-image-28086\" srcset=\"https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/11\/Global-infections-10-nov--1185x941.jpg 1185w, https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/11\/Global-infections-10-nov--300x238.jpg 300w, https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/11\/Global-infections-10-nov--768x610.jpg 768w, https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/11\/Global-infections-10-nov--16x12.jpg 16w, https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/11\/Global-infections-10-nov--1320x1048.jpg 1320w, https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/11\/Global-infections-10-nov--250x198.jpg 250w, https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/11\/Global-infections-10-nov--1038x824.jpg 1038w, https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/11\/Global-infections-10-nov-.jpg 1416w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 1185px) 100vw, 1185px\" \/><\/a><figcaption class=\"blocks-gallery-item__caption\">\u5168\u7403\u5404\u5730\u533aCOVID19\u611f\u67d3\u60c5\u51b5<\/figcaption><\/figure><\/li><li class=\"blocks-gallery-item\"><figure><a href=\"https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/11\/global-deaths-10-Nov.jpg\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"1151\" height=\"941\" src=\"https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/11\/global-deaths-10-Nov-1151x941.jpg\" alt=\"\" data-id=\"28085\" data-full-url=\"https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/11\/global-deaths-10-Nov.jpg\" data-link=\"https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/?attachment_id=28085\" class=\"wp-image-28085\" srcset=\"https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/11\/global-deaths-10-Nov-1151x941.jpg 1151w, https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/11\/global-deaths-10-Nov-300x245.jpg 300w, https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/11\/global-deaths-10-Nov-768x628.jpg 768w, https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/11\/global-deaths-10-Nov-16x12.jpg 16w, https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/11\/global-deaths-10-Nov-1320x1079.jpg 1320w, https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/11\/global-deaths-10-Nov-250x204.jpg 250w, https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/11\/global-deaths-10-Nov-1038x848.jpg 1038w, https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/11\/global-deaths-10-Nov.jpg 1346w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 1151px) 100vw, 1151px\" \/><\/a><figcaption class=\"blocks-gallery-item__caption\">\u5168\u7403COVID19\u5404\u5730\u533a\u6b7b\u4ea1\u4eba\u6570<\/figcaption><\/figure><\/li><\/ul><figcaption class=\"blocks-gallery-caption\">\u6bcf\u4e2a\u5730\u533a\u7684COVID 19\u79d2\u6ce2<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">2020\u5e7411\u670810\u65e5\u7684 \"\u5168\u7403\u6bcf10\u4e07\u4eba\u53e3\u4e2dCOVID-19\u62a5\u544a\u75c5\u4f8b\u768414\u5929\u7d2f\u8ba1\u6570\u91cf\u7684\u5730\u7406\u5206\u5e03\"\uff0c\u7531\u4ee5\u4e0b\u6570\u636e\u63d0\u4f9b <a href=\"https:\/\/www.ecdc.europa.eu\/en\/geographical-distribution-2019-ncov-cases\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">\u6b27\u6d32\u75be\u75c5\u9884\u9632\u548c\u63a7\u5236\u4e2d\u5fc3<\/a> \u8fd8\u663e\u793a\uff0c\u6b27\u6d32\u548c\u7f8e\u56fd\u662f\u4e16\u754c\u4e0a\u53d7\u5f71\u54cd\u6700\u4e25\u91cd\u7684\u5730\u533a\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<div class=\"wp-block-image is-style-default\"><figure class=\"aligncenter size-large\"><a href=\"https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/11\/COVID-19-geographical-distribution-world-cumulative-number-14-day-2020-11-10-1000-px.jpeg\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"1000\" height=\"707\" src=\"https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/11\/COVID-19-geographical-distribution-world-cumulative-number-14-day-2020-11-10-1000-px.jpeg\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-28089\" srcset=\"https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/11\/COVID-19-geographical-distribution-world-cumulative-number-14-day-2020-11-10-1000-px.jpeg 1000w, https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/11\/COVID-19-geographical-distribution-world-cumulative-number-14-day-2020-11-10-1000-px-300x212.jpeg 300w, https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/11\/COVID-19-geographical-distribution-world-cumulative-number-14-day-2020-11-10-1000-px-768x543.jpeg 768w, https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/11\/COVID-19-geographical-distribution-world-cumulative-number-14-day-2020-11-10-1000-px-16x12.jpeg 16w, https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/11\/COVID-19-geographical-distribution-world-cumulative-number-14-day-2020-11-10-1000-px-250x177.jpeg 250w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 1000px) 100vw, 1000px\" \/><\/a><\/figure><\/div>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\u5728\u5927\u6d41\u884c\u4e4b\u524d\uff0c\u6cd5\u56fd\u4f5c\u4e3a\u4e03\u56fd\u96c6\u56e2\u6210\u5458\uff0c\u62e5\u6709\u8054\u5408\u56fd\u5b89\u7406\u4f1a\u5e38\u4efb\u7406\u4e8b\u56fd\u7684\u5e2d\u4f4d\uff0c\u5176\u56fd\u5185\u751f\u4ea7\u603b\u503c\u5728\u5168\u7403\u6392\u540d\u7b2c\u4e03\uff08\"<a rel=\"noreferrer noopener\" href=\"https:\/\/www.imf.org\/en\/Publications\/WEO\/weo-database\/2020\/October\/weo-report?c=512,914,612,614,311,213,911,314,193,122,912,313,419,513,316,913,124,339,638,514,218,963,616,223,516,918,748,618,624,522,622,156,626,628,228,924,233,632,636,634,238,662,960,423,935,128,611,321,243,248,469,253,642,643,939,734,644,819,172,132,646,648,915,134,652,174,328,258,656,654,336,263,268,532,944,176,534,536,429,433,178,436,136,343,158,439,916,664,826,542,967,443,917,544,941,446,666,668,672,946,137,546,674,676,548,556,678,181,867,682,684,273,868,921,948,943,686,688,518,728,836,558,138,196,278,692,694,962,142,449,564,565,283,853,288,293,566,964,182,359,453,968,922,714,862,135,716,456,722,942,718,724,576,936,961,813,726,199,733,184,524,361,362,364,732,366,144,146,463,528,923,738,578,537,742,866,369,744,186,925,869,746,926,466,112,111,298,927,846,299,582,487,474,754,698,&amp;s=NGDPD,&amp;sy=2018&amp;ey=2025&amp;ssm=0&amp;scsm=1&amp;scc=0&amp;ssd=1&amp;ssc=0&amp;sic=0&amp;sort=country&amp;ds=.&amp;br=1\" target=\"_blank\">\u4e16\u754c\u7ecf\u6d4e\u5c55\u671b\u6570\u636e\u5e93\uff0c2020\u5e7410\u6708<\/a>\"\uff0c\u56fd\u9645\u8d27\u5e01\u57fa\u91d1\u7ec4\u7ec7\uff09\u3002 <\/p>\n\n\n\n<div class=\"wp-block-image is-style-default\"><figure class=\"alignright is-resized\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/11\/FRANCE-IN-THE-WORLD-COVID-9-NOV-1007x941.jpg\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-28091\" width=\"504\" height=\"471\" srcset=\"https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/11\/FRANCE-IN-THE-WORLD-COVID-9-NOV-1007x941.jpg 1007w, https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/11\/FRANCE-IN-THE-WORLD-COVID-9-NOV-300x280.jpg 300w, https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/11\/FRANCE-IN-THE-WORLD-COVID-9-NOV-768x718.jpg 768w, https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/11\/FRANCE-IN-THE-WORLD-COVID-9-NOV-13x12.jpg 13w, https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/11\/FRANCE-IN-THE-WORLD-COVID-9-NOV-1320x1234.jpg 1320w, https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/11\/FRANCE-IN-THE-WORLD-COVID-9-NOV-250x234.jpg 250w, https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/11\/FRANCE-IN-THE-WORLD-COVID-9-NOV-1038x970.jpg 1038w, https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/11\/FRANCE-IN-THE-WORLD-COVID-9-NOV.jpg 1376w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 504px) 100vw, 504px\" \/><figcaption>\u5168\u7403 - <a href=\"https:\/\/graphics.reuters.com\/world-coronavirus-tracker-and-maps\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">\u8def\u900f\u793eCOVID-19\u8ffd\u8e2a\u5668<\/a><\/figcaption><\/figure><\/div>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\u6cd5\u56fd\u5728\u8be5\u5927\u6d41\u884c\u75c5\u5bf9\u8be5\u56fd\u9020\u6210\u7684\u635f\u5931\u65b9\u9762\u4e5f\u540d\u5217\u524d\u8305\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">2020\u5e7411\u6708\uff0c\u6cd5\u56fd\u9762\u4e34\u521b\u7eaa\u5f55\u7684\u6570\u5b57\u300211\u670810\u65e5\uff0c\u5b83\u5df2 <strong>\u7b2c\u4e8c\u9ad8 <\/strong>\u4e16\u754c\u8303\u56f4\u5185\u7684\u65e5\u611f\u67d3\u7387\uff0c\u4ec5\u6b21\u4e8e\u7f8e\u56fd\uff087\u5929\u7684\u5e73\u5747\u62a5\u544a--\uff09\u3002 <a rel=\"noreferrer noopener\" href=\"https:\/\/graphics.reuters.com\/world-coronavirus-tracker-and-maps\/\" target=\"_blank\">\u8def\u900f\u793e<\/a>).\u5b83\u8fd8\u5177\u6709 <strong>\u7b2c\u4e09\u9ad8 <\/strong>\u5168\u4e16\u754c\u6bcf\u5929\u7684\u6b7b\u4ea1\u4eba\u6570\u4ec5\u6b21\u4e8e\u7f8e\u56fd\u548c\u5370\u5ea6\uff0c\u5c3d\u7ba1\u5176\u4eba\u53e3\u8981\u5c11\u5f97\u591a\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<div class=\"wp-block-image is-style-default\"><figure class=\"alignright is-resized\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/11\/FRANCE-IN-THE-WORLD-PER-POP-COVID--1048x941.jpg\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-28092\" width=\"504\" height=\"471\"\/><figcaption>\u6cd5\u56fd - <a href=\"https:\/\/graphics.reuters.com\/world-coronavirus-tracker-and-maps\/countries-and-territories\/france\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">\u8def\u900f\u793eCOVID-19\u8ffd\u8e2a\u5668<\/a><\/figcaption><\/figure><\/div>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\u7136\u800c\uff0c\u4e0e\u4eba\u53e3\u76f8\u6bd4\uff0c\u6cd5\u56fd\u5728\u6c61\u67d3\u548c\u6b7b\u4ea1\u65b9\u9762\u90fd\u5904\u4e8e\u56fd\u5bb6\u7684\u4e2d\u7b49\u6c34\u5e73\uff0c\u5982\u4ee5\u4e0b\u5bf9\u6bd4\u56fe\u6240\u793a <a href=\"https:\/\/graphics.reuters.com\/world-coronavirus-tracker-and-maps\/countries-and-territories\/france\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">\u8def\u900f\u793e<\/a>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\u8003\u8651\u5230\u6cd5\u56fd\u5728\u4e16\u754c\u8303\u56f4\u5185\u7684\u653f\u6cbb\u3001\u5730\u7f18\u653f\u6cbb\u548c\u7ecf\u6d4e\u5b9e\u529b\u548c\u5f71\u54cd\u529b\uff0c\u6b63\u5728\u53d1\u751f\u4ec0\u4e48\uff0c\u6211\u4eec\u5728\u672a\u6765\u51e0\u4e2a\u6708\u91cc\u5e94\u8be5\u671f\u5f85\u4ec0\u4e48\uff1f<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\u8bc4\u4f30\u5927\u6d41\u884c\u75c5\u5728\u672a\u6765\u7684\u591a\u91cd\u5f71\u54cd\uff0c\u4ece\u800c\u51cf\u5c11\u4e0d\u786e\u5b9a\u6027\u7684\u4e00\u4e9b\u5173\u952e\u56e0\u7d20\u662f\u6b7b\u4ea1\u65b9\u9762\u7684\u4f24\u4ea1\uff0c\u62a4\u7406\u7cfb\u7edf\u62b5\u5fa1\u653b\u51fb\u7684\u80fd\u529b\uff0c\u4ee5\u53ca\u90a3\u4e9b\u611f\u67d3\u4e86\u75be\u75c5\u7684\u4eba\u7684\u75db\u82e6\u548c\u957f\u671f\u5f71\u54cd\u3002\u56e0\u6b64\uff0c\u5bf9\u6cd5\u56fd\u8fd1\u671f\u7684\u8bc4\u4f30\u96c6\u4e2d\u5728\u4f24\u4ea1\u548c\u533b\u9662\u7cfb\u7edf\u7684\u538b\u529b\u4e0a\u3002\u5b83\u5efa\u7acb\u5728\u5b98\u65b9\u7edf\u8ba1\u6570\u636e\u7684\u57fa\u7840\u4e0a\u3002 <\/p>\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-latest-posts__list alignright related wp-block-latest-posts is-layout-flow wp-block-latest-posts-is-layout-flow\"><li><a class=\"wp-block-latest-posts__post-title\" href=\"https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/zh\/2021\/12\/24\/omicron-variant-the-good-the-bad-and-the-intriguing-update-warning\/\">\u6b27\u7c73\u8304\u53d8\u4f53--\"\u597d\u7684\u3001\u574f\u7684\u548c'\u8010\u4eba\u5bfb\u5473'\u7684\" --\u8b66\u544a<\/a><\/li>\n<li><a class=\"wp-block-latest-posts__post-title\" href=\"https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/zh\/2021\/12\/18\/omicron-variant-major-imminent-threat-warning\/\">\u6b27\u7c73\u8304\u53d8\u4f53--\"\u4e3b\u8981\u7684\u3001\u8feb\u5728\u7709\u776b\u7684\u5a01\u80c1 \"\u8b66\u544a<\/a><\/li>\n<li><a class=\"wp-block-latest-posts__post-title\" href=\"https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/zh\/2021\/12\/07\/long-covid-and-the-fifth-wave-three-scenarios\/\">\u957f\u7ebfCOVID\u548c\u7b2c\u4e94\u6ce2--\u4e09\u79cd\u60c5\u51b5<\/a><\/li>\n<li><a class=\"wp-block-latest-posts__post-title\" href=\"https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/zh\/2021\/11\/22\/long-covid-and-the-fifth-wave-the-hidden-pandemic\/\">Long COVID\u548c\u7b2c\u4e94\u6ce2--\u9690\u85cf\u7684\u5927\u6d41\u884c\u75c5<\/a><\/li>\n<li><a class=\"wp-block-latest-posts__post-title\" href=\"https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/zh\/2021\/11\/09\/the-fifth-wave-of-the-covid-19-pandemic-and-lethality\/\">\u7b2c\u4e94\u6ce2COVID-19\u5927\u6d41\u884c\u548c\u81f4\u6b7b\u7387<\/a><\/li>\n<li><a class=\"wp-block-latest-posts__post-title\" href=\"https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/zh\/2021\/10\/27\/towards-a-covid-19-fifth-wave\/\">\u8fc8\u5411Covid-19\u7b2c\u4e94\u6ce2<\/a><\/li>\n<li><a class=\"wp-block-latest-posts__post-title\" href=\"https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/zh\/2021\/03\/16\/losing-texas-to-climate-change-and-covid-19\/\">\u56e0\u6c14\u5019\u53d8\u5316\u548cCOVID-19\u800c\u5931\u53bb\u5fb7\u5dde\uff1f<\/a><\/li>\n<li><a class=\"wp-block-latest-posts__post-title\" href=\"https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/zh\/2021\/02\/15\/china-health-silk-road-vaccines-and-security\/\">\u4e2d\u56fd\uff0c\u75ab\u82d7\u7684 \"\u5065\u5eb7\u4e1d\u7ef8\u4e4b\u8def \"\u4e0e\u5b89\u5168<\/a><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\u9996\u5148\uff0c\u6211\u4eec\u5c06\u7b80\u8981\u6982\u8ff0\u6cd5\u56fd\u7684\u5927\u6d41\u884c\u60c5\u51b5\uff0c\u5e76\u89e3\u91ca\u6211\u4eec\u5982\u4f55\u5efa\u7acb\u7edf\u8ba1\u9884\u6d4b\u3002 <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\u7136\u540e\uff0c\u6211\u4eec\u5c06\u96c6\u4e2d\u8ba8\u8bba\u4e09\u79cd\u60c5\u51b5\u3002\u5728\u7b2c\u4e00\u79cd\u60c5\u51b5\u4e0b\uff0c\u5927\u6d41\u884c\u75c5\u5f97\u5230\u63a7\u5236\uff0c\u4f20\u67d3\u529b\u9010\u6b65\u964d\u4f4e\u3002\u7b2c\u4e8c\u79cd\u60c5\u51b5\u8ba4\u4e3a\uff0c\u8fd9\u4e9b\u63aa\u65bd\u7684\u6548\u7387\u6bd4\u60f3\u8c61\u7684\u8981\u4f4e\uff0c\u4f20\u67d3\u529b\u505c\u6ede\u5728\u4e00\u4e2a\u76f8\u5bf9\u9ad8\u7684\u6c34\u5e73\u3002\u6700\u540e\u4e00\u4e2a\u60c5\u666f\u662f\uff0c\u4f20\u67d3\u529b\u6bcf\u5929\u53ea\u589e\u52a02%\u7684\u60c5\u51b5\u3002\u6211\u4eec\u589e\u52a0\u4e86\u8fd9\u4e00\u60c5\u666f\uff0c\u4ee5\u5f3a\u8c03\u5982\u679c\u4e8b\u60c5\u53ea\u51fa\u73b0\u8f7b\u5fae\u7684\u9519\u8bef\uff0c\u53ef\u80fd\u4f1a\u53d1\u751f\u4ec0\u4e48\u3002 <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\u5728\u6700\u540e\u4e00\u90e8\u5206\uff0c\u6211\u4eec\u5c06\u4ecb\u7ecd\u8fd9\u9879\u5de5\u4f5c\u4e2d\u51fa\u73b0\u7684\u3001\u503c\u5f97\u5f3a\u8c03\u7684\u53e6\u5916\u4e09\u4e2a\u8981\u70b9\u548c\u601d\u8003\u3002\u6211\u4eec\u5c06\u6307\u51fa\u7edf\u8ba1\u7cfb\u5217\u4e2d\u7684\u5dee\u5f02\u548c\u53ef\u80fd\u7684\u5f71\u54cd\u3002\u7136\u540e\uff0c\u6211\u4eec\u5c06\u5f3a\u8c03\u503c\u5f97\u8fdb\u4e00\u6b65\u7814\u7a76\u7684\u4e24\u70b9\uff0c\u5e76\u53ef\u80fd\u5bfc\u81f4\u4f26\u7406\u8fa9\u8bba\u548c\u672a\u6765\u7684\u7d27\u5f20\u5173\u7cfb\u3002\u9996\u5148\uff0c\u4f4f\u9662\u7684\u75c5\u4eba\u53ef\u80fd\u4f1a\u8d8a\u6765\u8d8a\u591a\u5730\u88ab\u5206\u62e3\u51fa\u6765\u63a5\u53d7\u590d\u6d3b\u672f\uff0c\u800c\u4eba\u4eec\u5e76\u6ca1\u6709\u5b8c\u5168\u610f\u8bc6\u5230\u8fd9\u79cd\u73b0\u8c61\u3002\u6700\u540e\uff0c\u5728\u6700\u540e\u7684\u65e5\u5b50\u91cc\uff0c\u9762\u5bf9COVID-19\u75db\u82e6\u7684\u8001\u5e74\u9000\u4f11\u4eba\u5458\u7684\u547d\u8fd0\u53ef\u80fd\u9700\u8981\u8fa9\u8bba\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">\u6cd5\u56fd\u9762\u4e34COVID-19\u7b2c\u4e8c\u6ce2\u653b\u51fb<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">\u4ece\u5426\u8ba4\u5230\u52a8\u5458\u6216\u7206\u70b8\uff1f<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\u6b63\u5982\u6211\u4eec\u5728\u4e0a\u9762\u7684\u5bf9\u6bd4\u6570\u5b57\u4e2d\u770b\u5230\u7684\u90a3\u6837\uff0c\u6cd5\u56fd\u8fdc\u8fdc\u6ca1\u6709\u63a7\u5236\u4f4f\u8fd9\u4e00\u6d41\u884c\u75c5\uff0c\u751a\u81f3\u79bb\u5904\u7406COVID-19\u7684\u6a21\u8303\u4f5c\u7528\u66f4\u8fdc\u3002\u548c\u5176\u4ed6\u8bb8\u591a\u56fd\u5bb6\u4e00\u6837\uff0c\u5b83\u4e5f\u662f\u5f97\u8fc7\u4e14\u8fc7\u3002 <\/p>\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-latest-posts__list alignright wp-block-latest-posts is-layout-flow wp-block-latest-posts-is-layout-flow\"><li><a class=\"wp-block-latest-posts__post-title\" href=\"https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/zh\/2026\/10\/16\/rtas-expertise-italian-television-channel-la7\/\">\u610f\u5927\u5229LA7\u7535\u89c6\u53f0\u91cd\u70b9\u62a5\u9053\u4e86RTAS\u7684\u4e13\u4e1a\u5b9e\u529b<\/a><\/li>\n<li><a class=\"wp-block-latest-posts__post-title\" href=\"https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/zh\/2026\/10\/08\/houthis-bab-el-mandeb-maritime-transport\/\">\u80e1\u585e\u6b66\u88c5\u3001\u5df4\u5e03\u5c14\u66fc\u5fb7\u8d1d\u8d6b\u6e2f\u548c\u6d77\u4e0a\u8fd0\u8f93<\/a><\/li>\n<li><a class=\"wp-block-latest-posts__post-title\" href=\"https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/zh\/2026\/07\/15\/mystery-bolivia-lithium-reserves\/\">\u73bb\u5229\u7ef4\u4e9a\u9502\u50a8\u91cf\u7684\u79bb\u5947\u4e4b\u8c1c<\/a><\/li>\n<li><a class=\"wp-block-latest-posts__post-title\" href=\"https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/zh\/2026\/04\/09\/beyond-geopolitics-critical-pressures\/\">\u8d85\u8d8a\u5730\u7f18\u653f\u6cbb\uff1a\u4e86\u89e3\u91cd\u5851\u6211\u4eec\u4e16\u754c\u7684\u5173\u952e\u538b\u529b\u3002.<\/a><\/li>\n<li><a class=\"wp-block-latest-posts__post-title\" href=\"https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/zh\/2026\/03\/30\/watch-out-saudi-arabia-winner-iran-war\/\">\u5c0f\u5fc3--\u4f0a\u6717\u6218\u4e89\u3001\u6c99\u7279\u963f\u62c9\u4f2f\u548c\u80e1\u585e\u6b66\u88c5<\/a><\/li>\n<li><a class=\"wp-block-latest-posts__post-title\" href=\"https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/zh\/2026\/02\/12\/chronicles-hyperwar-ai-new-energy-frontier-1\/\">\u8d85\u6218\u4e89\u7f16\u5e74\u53f2--\u4eba\u5de5\u667a\u80fd\uff1a\u4eba\u5de5\u667a\u80fd\uff0c\u65b0\u80fd\u6e90\u524d\u6cbf (1)<\/a><\/li>\n<li><a class=\"wp-block-latest-posts__post-title\" href=\"https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/zh\/2026\/02\/09\/golden-dome-technological-frontier\/\">SIGNAL - \u91d1\u8272\u7a79\u9876\uff0c\u65b0\u7684\u6280\u672f\u524d\u6cbf<\/a><\/li>\n<li><a class=\"wp-block-latest-posts__post-title\" href=\"https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/zh\/2026\/02\/06\/watch-out-yemen-saudi-arabia\/\">\u6ce8\u610f - \u4e5f\u95e8\u548c\u6c99\u7279\u963f\u62c9\u4f2f<\/a><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\u7136\u800c\uff0c\u5728\u6cd5\u56fd\uff0c\u4eba\u4eec\u7aed\u529b\u5c06\u8fd9\u4e00\u6d41\u884c\u75c5\u7684\u4e25\u91cd\u6027\u964d\u5230\u6700\u4f4e\uff0c\u5426\u8ba4\u8fd9\u4e00\u75be\u75c5\u7684\u4efb\u4f55\u4e25\u91cd\u6027\uff0c\u5e76\u62d2\u7edd\u91c7\u53d6\u8bd5\u56fe\u63a7\u5236COVID-19\u7684\u63aa\u65bd\uff0c\u6709\u65f6\u8fd8\u91c7\u53d6\u66b4\u529b\u624b\u6bb5\uff08\u5982 <em>\u6cd5\u56fd 3 \u5965\u5f17\u6d85\u7701 \u7f57\u7eb3-\u963f\u5c14\u5351\u65af\u7701<\/em>, \u201c<a href=\"https:\/\/france3-regions.francetvinfo.fr\/auvergne-rhone-alpes\/isere\/c-est-ca-realite-si-vous-ne-voulez-pas-entendre-sortez-coup-gueule-olivier-veran-assemblee-1891044.html\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">C'est \u00e7a la r\u00e9alit\u00e9, si vous neoulez pas l'entendre, sortez d'ici\" : Olivier V\u00e9ran\u5728\u5927\u4f1a\u4e0a\u7684\u4e00\u8bb0\u91cd\u62f3<\/a>\"\uff0c2020\u5e7411\u67084\u65e5\uff1b\"<a href=\"https:\/\/www.femmeactuelle.fr\/actu\/news-actu\/nicolas-bedos-remonte-contre-olivier-veran-jai-envie-de-le-buter-2103387\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">\u5c3c\u53e4\u62c9-\u8d1d\u591a\u65af\u5bf9\u5965\u5229\u7ef4\u8036-\u7ef4\u5170\u7684\u53cd\u51fb\u3002\"\u6211\u6709\u529e\u6cd5\u89e3\u51b3\"\u3002<\/a>\u201c, <em>\u5973\u6027\u884c\u52a8\u8005<\/em>\uff0c2020\u5e7411\u67088\u65e5\uff09\u3002 <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\u7ecf\u6d4e\u7ee7\u7eed\u4e0e\u536b\u751f\u5b89\u5168\u76f8\u5bf9\u7acb\uff0c\u800c\u8fd9\u4e24\u8005\u5fc5\u987b\u540c\u65f6\u8fdb\u884c\uff08\u5982 <em>\u6cd5\u56fd\u4fe1\u606f<\/em>, \u201c<a href=\"https:\/\/www.francetvinfo.fr\/replay-magazine\/franceinfo\/l-eco\/l-eco-du-mardi-10-novembre-2020_4175653.html\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">Andr\u00e9 Comte-Sponville\uff1a\"\u51fa\u4e8e\u516c\u6b63\u7684\u8003\u8651\uff0c\u6211\u4eec\u4e0d\u80fd\u4e3a\u4e86\u536b\u751f\u7684\u539f\u56e0\u800c\u727a\u7272\u6574\u4e2a\u7ecf\u6d4e\u3002<\/a>'\"\uff0c2020\u5e7411\u670810\u65e5\uff1bValentin Deleforterie<em> <\/em>et AFP, \"<a href=\"https:\/\/www.rtl.fr\/actu\/debats-societe\/reconfinement-qui-plaide-pour-la-mesure-et-qui-s-y-oppose-7800912279\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">\u91cd\u65b0\u5b9a\u4e49\uff1a\u8c01\u4e3b\u5f20\uff0c\u8c01\u53cd\u5bf9\uff1f<\/a>\u201c, <em>RTL<\/em>\uff0c2020\u5e7410\u670828\u65e5\uff09\u3002 <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\u8003\u8651\u5230\u7b2c\u4e8c\u6ce2\u6d6a\u6f6e\u7684\u52a0\u901f\uff0c\u6cd5\u56fd\u603b\u7edf\u57c3\u9a6c\u7ebd\u57c3\u5c14-\u9a6c\u514b\u9f99\u53ca\u5176\u653f\u5e9c\u53d1\u6325\u4e86\u4ed6\u4eec\u4f5c\u4e3a\u653f\u6cbb\u5f53\u5c40\u7684\u4f5c\u7528\uff0c\u5c06\u88ab\u7edf\u6cbb\u8005\u7684\u5b89\u5168\u4f5c\u4e3a\u9996\u8981\u4efb\u52a1\u3002\u4ed6\u4eec\u57282020\u5e7410\u670830\u65e5\u5b9e\u65bd\u4e86\u7b2c\u4e8c\u6b21\u5c01\u9501\uff0c\u7136\u800c\uff0c\u6bd4\u524d\u4e00\u6b21\u66f4\u6e29\u548c\uff08\u6cd5\u56fd\u603b\u7edf\u57c3\u9a6c\u7ebd\u57c3\u5c14-\u9a6c\u514b\u9f99\u3002 <a rel=\"noreferrer noopener\" href=\"https:\/\/www.elysee.fr\/emmanuel-macron\/coronavirus-covid-19#beginning\" target=\"_blank\">\u8054\u7cfb\u6cd5\u56fd\u4eba<\/a>\uff0c2020\u5e7410\u670828\u65e5\uff09\u3002 <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\u5c01\u9501\u8fd1\u4e24\u5468\u540e\uff0c\u6cd5\u56fd\u7684\u653f\u7b56\u5236\u5b9a\u8005\u4ee5\u53ca\u5a92\u4f53\u4f3c\u4e4e\u7ec8\u4e8e\u5f00\u59cb\u5c1d\u8bd5\u5728\u592a\u8fc7\u8ba9\u4eba\u653e\u5fc3\u548c\u592a\u8fc7\u8ba9\u4eba\u5bb3\u6015\u4e4b\u95f4\u627e\u5230\u4e00\u4e2a\u4e2d\u95f4\u70b9\uff08\u5982 <em>\u6cd5\u56fd\u4fe1\u606f\u62a5<\/em>, \u201c<a rel=\"noreferrer noopener\" href=\"https:\/\/www.francetvinfo.fr\/sante\/maladie\/coronavirus\/direct-covid-19-jerome-salomon-tiendra-un-point-presse-a-18h30_4174851.html\" target=\"_blank\">Covid-19 : J\u00e9r\u00f4me Salomon\u8868\u793a\uff0c\"\u6d41\u884c\u75c5\u5b66\u5c31\u5728\u6211\u4eec\u8eab\u8fb9\"\u3002<\/a>\"\uff0c2020\u5e7411\u67089\u65e5\u3002 <em>\u8d39\u52a0\u7f57\u62a5\u300b <\/em>\u548c<em> AFP<\/em>, \u201c<a rel=\"noreferrer noopener\" href=\"https:\/\/www.lefigaro.fr\/sciences\/covid-19-en-france-il-y-a-un-fremissement-dans-les-chiffres-20201108\" target=\"_blank\">\u6cd5\u56fd\u7684 \"Covid-19\"\uff1a\u6709\u4e00\u4e2a \"\u5931\u8bef \"\u7684\u6570\u5b57<\/a>\"\uff0c2020\u5e7411\u67088\u65e5\u3002 <em>\u6cd5\u56fdInter<\/em>, \u201c<a rel=\"noreferrer noopener\" href=\"https:\/\/www.franceinter.fr\/emissions\/questions-politiques\/questions-politiques-08-novembre-2020\" target=\"_blank\">Olivier V\u00e9ran\u8ba4\u4e3a\uff0c\"\u6d41\u884c\u75c5\u5b66\u7684\u53d1\u5c55\u662f\u4e00\u4e2a\u91cd\u8981\u7684\u7ec4\u6210\u90e8\u5206\u3002<\/a>\"\uff0c\u300a\u5468\u672b\u7b80\u62a5\u300b\uff0c2020\u5e7411\u67088\u65e5\uff09\u3002\u8fc7\u5206\u5730\u8ba9\u4eba\u4eec\u653e\u5fc3\u4f1a\u6709\u5229\u4e8e\u5371\u9669\u7684\u7c97\u5fc3\u884c\u4e3a\u3002\u8fc7\u5206\u60ca\u5413\u4eba\u4eec\u4f1a\u9020\u6210\u65e0\u671b\uff0c\u4ece\u800c\u4ea7\u751f\u96c6\u4f53\u5931\u8d25\u4e3b\u4e49\u548c\u6291\u90c1\u75c7\u3002 <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\u4e8b\u5b9e\u4e0a\uff0c\u6b63\u5982\u6211\u4eec\u57283\u6708\u5e95\u89e3\u91ca\u7684\u90a3\u6837\uff0c\u653f\u6cbb\u5f53\u5c40\u5fc5\u987b\u5145\u5206\u786e\u4fdd\u5b89\u5168\uff0c\u65e0\u8bba\u662f\u536b\u751f\u3001\u7ecf\u6d4e\uff0c\u8fd8\u662f\u4e0e\u5185\u4e71\u3001\u6050\u6016\u88ad\u51fb\u548c\u5916\u4ea4\u653f\u7b56\u98ce\u9669\u6709\u5173\u7684\u5b89\u5168\uff08Helene Lavoix, <a href=\"https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/zh\/2020\/03\/30\/covid-19-scenarios-making-sense-of-antiviral-treatment-2\/\">COVID-19\u6297\u75c5\u6bd2\u6cbb\u7597\u65b9\u6cd5\u548c\u65b9\u6848<\/a>, <em>\u8fdc\u666f\u6d1e\u5bdf\u7814\u7a76\u6240<\/em>\uff0c2020\u5e743\u670830\u65e5\uff09\u3002\u8fd9\u4e0d\u662f\u4e00\u4e2a\u9009\u62e9\u3002\u975e\u6b64\u5373\u5f7c\u7684\u60c5\u51b5\u4e0d\u662f\u4e00\u79cd\u9009\u62e9\u3002\u4e0d\u80fd\u8981\u6c42\u4eba\u4eec\u5728\u4e00\u79cd\u6216\u53e6\u4e00\u79cd\u5b89\u5168\u4e4b\u95f4\u505a\u51fa\u9009\u62e9\u3002\u6ca1\u6709\u80fd\u529b\u5728\u6240\u6709\u65b9\u9762\u63d0\u4f9b\u670d\u52a1\uff0c\u53ea\u4f1a\u964d\u4f4e\u653f\u6cbb\u5f53\u5c40\u7684\u5408\u6cd5\u6027\uff0c\u7136\u540e\u5bfc\u81f4\u5728\u786e\u4fdd\u5b89\u5168\u65b9\u9762\u9047\u5230\u66f4\u591a\u56f0\u96be\u3002\u56e0\u6b64\uff0c\u5728\u8fd9\u4e9b\u56f0\u96be\u65f6\u671f\uff0c\u627e\u5230\u9002\u5f53\u7684\u65b9\u5f0f\u6765\u52a8\u5458\u4eba\u6c11\u662f\u81f3\u5173\u91cd\u8981\u7684\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\u4e3a\u4e86\u80fd\u591f\u63d0\u4f9b\u548c\u52a8\u5458\uff0c\u4e86\u89e3\u672a\u6765\u7684\u60c5\u51b5\u81f3\u5173\u91cd\u8981\u3002\u5b9e\u9645\u4e0a\uff0c\u8fd9\u5bf9\u6240\u6709\u7684\u884c\u4e3a\u8005\u6765\u8bf4\u90fd\u662f\u5982\u6b64\uff0c\u56e0\u4e3a\u6bcf\u4e2a\u4eba\u90fd\u9700\u8981\u5bf9\u8fd9\u4e00\u6d41\u884c\u75c5\u4f5c\u51fa\u81ea\u5df1\u7684\u53cd\u5e94\uff0c\u540c\u65f6\u8bc4\u4f30\u653f\u6cbb\u5f53\u5c40\u7684\u51b3\u5b9a\u548c\u884c\u52a8\u3002\u6b63\u662f\u5728\u8fd9\u4e2a\u7a7a\u95f4\u91cc\uff0c\u52a8\u5458\u5de5\u4f5c\u624d\u5f97\u4ee5\u53d1\u5c55\u3002 <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\u56e0\u6b64\uff0c\u6211\u4eec\u662f\u5426\u771f\u6b63\u770b\u5230\u4e86\u6cd5\u56fd\u6539\u5584\u7684\u521d\u6b65\u8ff9\u8c61\uff1f\u5c01\u9501\u4f1a\u5728\u5723\u8bde\u8282\u524d\u771f\u6b63\u7ed3\u675f\u5417\uff1f\u6cd5\u56fd\u653f\u5e9c\u5e94\u8be5\u5728\u5047\u65e5\u671f\u95f4\u505a\u51fa\u54ea\u4e9b\u51b3\u5b9a\uff1f\u5b83\u4eec\u4f1a\u5bfc\u81f4\u5c40\u52bf\u7684\u6539\u5584\uff0c\u4ece\u800c\u52a0\u5f3a\u5408\u6cd5\u6027\uff0c\u8fd8\u662f\u76f8\u53cd\uff0c\u6709\u52a9\u4e8e\u964d\u4f4e\u6574\u4f53\u5b89\u5168\u524d\u666f\u548c\u5408\u6cd5\u6027\uff1f <\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">\u7edf\u8ba1\u8d8b\u52bf\u548c\u9884\u6d4b<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\u4f7f\u7528\u6cd5\u56fd\u536b\u751f\u5f53\u5c40\u7ed9\u51fa\u7684\u6bcf\u65e5\u5b98\u65b9\u7edf\u8ba1\u6570\u636e(<a href=\"https:\/\/www.gouvernement.fr\/info-coronavirus\/carte-et-donnees\">\u586b\u6599 <\/a><a rel=\"noreferrer noopener\" href=\"https:\/\/www.gouvernement.fr\/info-coronavirus\/carte-et-donnees\" target=\"_blank\">\u654f\u5b9e<\/a><a href=\"https:\/\/www.gouvernement.fr\/info-coronavirus\/carte-et-donnees\"> \u529e\u516c\u5ba4<\/a> \u4ee5\u53ca\u968f\u7740\u65f6\u95f4\u63a8\u79fb\u4fee\u8ba2\u7684\u6570\u636e <a rel=\"noreferrer noopener\" href=\"https:\/\/www.santepubliquefrance.fr\/dossiers\/coronavirus-covid-19\/coronavirus-chiffres-cles-et-evolution-de-la-covid-19-en-france-et-dans-le-monde#block-266157\" target=\"_blank\">\u6cd5\u56fd\u516c\u5171\u536b\u751f\u5c40<\/a> \u548c\u5b83\u7684\u89c2\u6d4b\u7ad9&nbsp;<a rel=\"noreferrer noopener\" href=\"https:\/\/geodes.santepubliquefrance.fr\/#view=map2&amp;c=indicator\" target=\"_blank\">\u01de\u01de\u01de<\/a>)\uff0c\u6211\u4eec\u5efa\u7acb\u4e86\u4e00\u4e2a\u7b80\u5355\u7684\u6a21\u578b\uff0c\u4f7f\u6211\u4eec\u80fd\u591f\u8ddf\u8e2a\u4e00\u6bb5\u65f6\u95f4\u7684\u6570\u636e\u5e76\u9884\u6d4b\u672a\u6765\u7684\u8d8b\u52bf\u3002 <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\u8fd9\u4e0d\u662f\u4e00\u4e2a\u8003\u8651\u6240\u6709\u56e0\u7d20\u7684\u6d41\u884c\u75c5\u5b66\u6a21\u578b\u3002\u6211\u4eec\u53ea\u8bd5\u56fe\u5173\u6ce8\u6700\u4e25\u91cd\u7684\u75be\u75c5\u75c5\u4f8b\u548c\u6b7b\u4ea1\u75c5\u4f8b\uff0c\u4ee5\u53ca\u5bf9\u6cd5\u56fd\u62a4\u7406\u7cfb\u7edf\u7684\u5f71\u54cd\uff0c\u540c\u65f6\u4e3a\u7814\u7a76\u73b0\u5728\u88ab\u79f0\u4e3aLong Covid\u7684\u53ef\u80fd\u5f71\u54cd\u505a\u51c6\u5907\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\u6211\u4eec\u4eceCOVID19\u7684\u9633\u6027\u75c5\u4f8b\u5f00\u59cb\u5efa\u7acb\u6211\u4eec\u7684\u6a21\u578b\uff0c\u9996\u5148\u5bf9\u5176\u5e94\u7528\u4e00\u4e2a\u6bd4\u7387\u6765\u533a\u5206\u65e0\u75c7\u72b6\u548c\u6709\u75c7\u72b6\u7684\u75c5\u4f8b\u3002\u7136\u540e\uff0c\u6211\u4eec\u5e94\u7528\u6211\u4eec\u5728\u4ee5\u524d\u7684\u6587\u7ae0\u4e2d\u786e\u5b9a\u7684\u79d1\u5b66\u6587\u732e\u4e2d\u7684\u6f5c\u4f0f\u65f6\u95f4\u6846\u67b6\uff08\u89c1 <a href=\"https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/zh\/2020\/06\/03\/%e6%84%9f%e6%9f%93%e7%9a%84%e5%8a%a8%e5%8a%9b%e5%92%8ccovid-19%e7%9a%84%e7%ac%ac%e4%ba%8c%e6%b3%a2%e6%94%bb%e5%87%bb\/\">\u4f20\u67d3\u7684\u52a8\u529b\u548cCOVID-19\u7684\u7b2c\u4e8c\u6ce2\u884c\u60c5<\/a>).\u8fd9\u6837\u6211\u4eec\u5c31\u5f97\u5230\u4e86\u6bcf\u5929\u7684\u6709\u75c7\u72b6\u7684\u75c5\u4f8b\u6570\u3002\u7136\u540e\uff0c\u6211\u4eec\u5e94\u7528\u6211\u4eec\u4ece\u5386\u53f2\u7cfb\u5217\u4e2d\u8ba1\u7b97\u51fa\u7684\u6bd4\u7387\uff0c\u5982\u4ee5\u4e0b\u6240\u901a\u62a5\u7684&nbsp;<a rel=\"noreferrer noopener\" href=\"https:\/\/geodes.santepubliquefrance.fr\/#view=map2&amp;c=indicator\" target=\"_blank\">\u01de\u01de\u01de<\/a>.\u6211\u4eec\u9996\u5148\u83b7\u5f97COVID-19\u7684\u4e25\u91cd\u75c5\u4f8b\uff0c\u5373\u90a3\u4e9b\u9700\u8981\u4f4f\u9662\u7684\u75c5\u4f8b\uff0c\u8fd9\u7ed9\u6211\u4eec\u63d0\u4f9b\u4e86\u6bcf\u65e5\u4f4f\u9662\u4eba\u6570\u3002\u4f7f\u7528\u540c\u6837\u7684\u7cfb\u7edf\uff0c\u6211\u4eec\u8ba1\u7b97\u51fa\u6bcf\u5929\u7684\u91cd\u75c7\u76d1\u62a4\u5ba4\uff08ICU\uff09\u7684\u6570\u91cf\uff0c\u4ee5\u53ca\u6bcf\u5929\u7684\u6b7b\u4ea1\u4eba\u6570\u3002\u81f3\u4e8e\u533b\u9662\u7cfb\u7edf\u5916\u7684\u6b7b\u4ea1\uff0c\u5373\u5728\u517b\u8001\u9662\uff08EHPAD\u548cEMS\uff09\u7684\u6b7b\u4ea1\uff0c\u6211\u4eec\u5b8c\u5168\u4f9d\u9760\u603b\u7406\u529e\u516c\u5ba4\u7684\u7edf\u8ba1\u6570\u636e\uff0c\u53ea\u9884\u6d4b\u672a\u6765\u7684\u5b9e\u9645\u6b7b\u4ea1\u7387\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\u8fd9\u79cd\u9884\u6d4b\u6a21\u578b\u4f7f\u6211\u4eec\u80fd\u591f\u6355\u6349\u5230\u5e7f\u6cdb\u7684\u8d8b\u52bf\u3002\u6211\u4eec\u7528\u5b83\u6765\u521b\u9020\u4e09\u79cd\u60c5\u51b5\u3002 <\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">\u6cd5\u56fd\u3001COVID19\u7b2c\u4e8c\u6ce2\u548c2020\u5e74\u5723\u8bde\u8282\u7684\u4e09\u79cd\u60c5\u51b5<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">\u5723\u8bde\u8282\u7684\u771f\u6b63\u610f\u4e49--\u60c5\u666f\u4e00<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\u7b2c\u4e00\u4e2a\u4e5f\u662f\u6700\u6709\u5229\u7684\u60c5\u51b5\u662f\uff0c\u4e00\u4e2a\u65b0\u7684\u7cbe\u795e\u8fdb\u5165\u6c11\u4f17\u7684\u4e16\u754c\uff0c\u6210\u529f\u5730\u4e0eCOVID-19\u4f5c\u6218\u6210\u4e3a\u4e00\u4e2a\u5171\u540c\u7684\u76ee\u6807\u3002\u540c\u65f6\uff0c\u79ef\u6781\u5bfb\u6c42\u8003\u8651\u5b89\u5168\u7684\u6240\u6709\u65b9\u9762\u7684\u521b\u65b0\u3002\u5728\u8fd9\u79cd\u60c5\u51b5\u4e0b\uff0c\u5728\u4e00\u4e2a\u6708\u7684\u65f6\u95f4\u91cc\uff0c\u6211\u4eec\u5c06\u67095%\u6bcf\u5929\u7684\u4f20\u67d3\u529b\u4e0b\u964d\u3002\u770b\u5230\u4ed6\u4eec\u7684\u52aa\u529b\u53d6\u5f97\u4e86\u79ef\u6781\u7684\u6210\u679c\uff0c\u4eba\u4eec\u4f1a\u89c9\u5f97\u81ea\u5df1\u662f\u5728\u4e3a\u8fdb\u4e00\u6b65\u51cf\u5c11\u4f20\u67d3\u75c5\u800c\u505a\u51fa\u66f4\u591a\u7684\u52aa\u529b\u3002\u56e0\u6b64\uff0c\u5728\u4e0b\u4e2a\u6708\uff0c\u9633\u6027\u75c5\u4f8b\u7684\u6570\u91cf\u5c06\u6bcf\u5929\u51cf\u5c1110%\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\u8fd9\u79cd\u60c5\u51b5\u4e0b\u7684\u7ed3\u679c\u663e\u793a\u5728\u4ee5\u4e0b\u4e09\u4e2a\u56fe\u8868\u4e2d\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image alignwide size-large is-style-default\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"1568\" height=\"934\" src=\"https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/11\/Scenario-1-1-1568x934.jpg\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-28099\" srcset=\"https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/11\/Scenario-1-1-1568x934.jpg 1568w, https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/11\/Scenario-1-1-300x179.jpg 300w, https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/11\/Scenario-1-1-768x457.jpg 768w, https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/11\/Scenario-1-1-1536x915.jpg 1536w, https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/11\/Scenario-1-1-16x10.jpg 16w, https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/11\/Scenario-1-1-1320x786.jpg 1320w, https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/11\/Scenario-1-1-250x149.jpg 250w, https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/11\/Scenario-1-1-1038x618.jpg 1038w, https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/11\/Scenario-1-1.jpg 1830w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 1568px) 100vw, 1568px\" \/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\u88ab\u611f\u67d3\u7136\u540e\u51fa\u73b0\u75c7\u72b6\u7684\u4eba\u7684\u6570\u91cf\u4ecd\u7136\u4f1a\u975e\u5e38\u5927\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image alignwide size-large is-style-default\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"1568\" height=\"896\" src=\"https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/11\/Scenario-1-2-1568x896.jpg\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-28098\" srcset=\"https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/11\/Scenario-1-2-1568x896.jpg 1568w, https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/11\/Scenario-1-2-300x171.jpg 300w, https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/11\/Scenario-1-2-768x439.jpg 768w, https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/11\/Scenario-1-2-1536x878.jpg 1536w, https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/11\/Scenario-1-2-16x9.jpg 16w, https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/11\/Scenario-1-2-1320x754.jpg 1320w, https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/11\/Scenario-1-2-250x143.jpg 250w, https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/11\/Scenario-1-2-1038x593.jpg 1038w, https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/11\/Scenario-1-2.jpg 1792w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 1568px) 100vw, 1568px\" \/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\u7b2c\u4e8c\u6ce2\u7684\u9ad8\u5cf0\uff0c\u6309\u65e5\u8ba1\u7b97\uff0c\u5c06\u572811\u670813\u65e5\u81f319\u65e5\u4e4b\u95f4\u8fbe\u5230\u3002\u8bf7\u6ce8\u610f\uff0c11\u670813\u65e5\u7684\u5cf0\u503c\u6765\u81ea\u4e8e11\u67087\u65e5\u975e\u5e38\u9ad8\u7684\u4f20\u67d3\u7387\uff08\u8d85\u8fc786.000\u4f8b\uff09\uff0c\u4f46\u4e0d\u786e\u5b9a\u3002\u4e8b\u5b9e\u4e0a\uff0c\u6211\u4eec\u4e0d\u77e5\u9053\u8fd9\u4e2a\u6bd4\u7387\u662f\u7531\u4e8e\u6570\u636e\u6d41\u7684\u95ee\u9898\u8fd8\u662f\u53cd\u6620\u4e86\u73b0\u5b9e\u3002 <\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image alignwide size-large is-style-default\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"1386\" height=\"941\" src=\"https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/11\/Scenario-1-3-1386x941.jpg\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-28097\" srcset=\"https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/11\/Scenario-1-3-1386x941.jpg 1386w, https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/11\/Scenario-1-3-300x204.jpg 300w, https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/11\/Scenario-1-3-768x521.jpg 768w, https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/11\/Scenario-1-3-1536x1043.jpg 1536w, https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/11\/Scenario-1-3-16x12.jpg 16w, https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/11\/Scenario-1-3-1568x1064.jpg 1568w, https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/11\/Scenario-1-3-1320x896.jpg 1320w, https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/11\/Scenario-1-3-250x170.jpg 250w, https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/11\/Scenario-1-3-1038x705.jpg 1038w, https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/11\/Scenario-1-3.jpg 1812w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 1386px) 100vw, 1386px\" \/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p 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loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"1506\" height=\"941\" src=\"https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/11\/Scenario-2-1-1506x941.jpg\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-28102\" srcset=\"https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/11\/Scenario-2-1-1506x941.jpg 1506w, https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/11\/Scenario-2-1-300x187.jpg 300w, https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/11\/Scenario-2-1-768x480.jpg 768w, https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/11\/Scenario-2-1-1536x960.jpg 1536w, https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/11\/Scenario-2-1-16x10.jpg 16w, https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/11\/Scenario-2-1-1568x980.jpg 1568w, https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/11\/Scenario-2-1-1320x825.jpg 1320w, https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/11\/Scenario-2-1-250x156.jpg 250w, https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/11\/Scenario-2-1-1038x649.jpg 1038w, https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/11\/Scenario-2-1.jpg 1706w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 1506px) 100vw, 1506px\" \/><\/a><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\u88ab\u611f\u67d3\u540e\u51fa\u73b0\u75c7\u72b6\u7684\u4eba\u7684\u6570\u91cf\u5c06\u975e\u5e38\u5927\uff0c\u5e76\u7a33\u5b9a\u5728\u4e00\u4e2a\u8f83\u9ad8\u7684\u6c34\u5e73\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image alignwide size-large is-style-default\"><a href=\"https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/11\/Scenario-2-2.jpg\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"1568\" height=\"935\" src=\"https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/11\/Scenario-2-2-1568x935.jpg\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-28103\" srcset=\"https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/11\/Scenario-2-2-1568x935.jpg 1568w, https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/11\/Scenario-2-2-300x179.jpg 300w, https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/11\/Scenario-2-2-768x458.jpg 768w, https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/11\/Scenario-2-2-1536x916.jpg 1536w, https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/11\/Scenario-2-2-16x10.jpg 16w, https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/11\/Scenario-2-2-1320x787.jpg 1320w, https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/11\/Scenario-2-2-250x149.jpg 250w, https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/11\/Scenario-2-2-1038x619.jpg 1038w, https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/11\/Scenario-2-2.jpg 1704w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 1568px) 100vw, 1568px\" \/><\/a><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p 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class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\u5728\u8fd9\u79cd\u60c5\u51b5\u4e0b\uff0c\u5723\u8bde\u8282\u524d\u4e0d\u80fd\u653e\u677e\u5c01\u9501\u3002\u5723\u8bde\u8282\u540e\u4e5f\u4e0d\u53ef\u80fd\u653e\u677e\u3002\u4e8b\u5b9e\u4e0a\uff0c\u533b\u9662\u5728\u91cd\u75c7\u76d1\u62a4\u5ba4\u65b9\u9762\u7684\u6301\u7eed\u9ad8\u538b\u529b\uff0c\u5c06\u4f7f\u4efb\u4f55\u63aa\u65bd\u7684\u8fdb\u4e00\u6b65\u653e\u677e\u90fd\u975e\u5e38\u5371\u9669\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\u8fd9\u79cd\u60c5\u51b5\u53ef\u80fd\u5e76\u4e0d\u662f\u4e0d\u53ef\u80fd\u7684\u3002\u8fd9\u4e5f\u662f\u4e00\u79cd\u975e\u5e38\u5371\u9669\u7684\u60c5\u51b5\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\u4e8b\u5b9e\u4e0a\uff0c\u5927\u90e8\u5206\u4eba\u53e3\u548c\u533b\u52a1\u4eba\u5458\u90fd\u5fc5\u987b\u540c\u610f\u8fdb\u884c\u957f\u671f\u548c\u6301\u7eed\u7684\u52aa\u529b\uff0c\u800c\u4e14\u770b\u4e0d\u5230\u5c3d\u5934\u3002\u540c\u65f6\uff0c\u552f\u4e00\u7684\u56de\u62a5\u662f\u6b7b\u4ea1\u548c\u66f4\u591a\u7684\u6b7b\u4ea1\u3002\u968f\u7740\u65f6\u95f4\u7684\u63a8\u79fb\uff0c\u66f4\u591a\u7684\u5bb6\u5ead\u5c06\u5931\u53bb\u4eb2\u4eba\uff0c\u800c\u8d8a\u6765\u8d8a\u591a\u7684\u4eba\u5c06\u77e5\u9053\u5e76\u88ab\u60b2\u4f24\u7684\u4eba\u6240\u5305\u56f4\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\u6700\u6709\u53ef\u80fd\u7684\u662f\uff0c\u7531\u6b64\u4ea7\u751f\u7684\u7d27\u5f20\u3001\u60b2\u75db\u548c\u5931\u671b\u4e5f\u4f1a\u4f7f\u7ef4\u6301\u6240\u8981\u6c42\u7684\u90a3\u79cd\u52aa\u529b\u53d8\u5f97\u8d8a\u6765\u8d8a\u4e0d\u53ef\u884c\u3002\u4e00\u6bb5\u65f6\u95f4\u540e\uff0c\u4eba\u4eec\u5f88\u53ef\u80fd\u4f1a\u653e\u5f03\u52aa\u529b\uff0c\u6216\u8005\u5bf9\u90a3\u4e9b\u4e0d\u52aa\u529b\u7684\u4eba\u91c7\u53d6\u66b4\u529b\u3002\u533b\u52a1\u4eba\u5458\u5c06\u8d8a\u6765\u8d8a\u65e0\u6cd5\u5e94\u4ed8\u3002\u56e0\u6b64\uff0c\u4f20\u67d3\u75c5\u5c06\u518d\u6b21\u8513\u5ef6\uff0c\u800c\u62a4\u7406\u7cfb\u7edf\u5c06\u5f00\u59cb\u51fa\u73b0\u5d29\u6e83\u7684\u8ff9\u8c61\u3002\u6211\u4eec\u5c06\u6ed1\u5411\u4e00\u4e2a\u770b\u8d77\u6765\u8d8a\u6765\u8d8a\u50cf\u7b2c\u4e09\u79cd\u60c5\u51b5\u7684\u5c40\u9762\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\"><em>\u7eff\u8272\u7684Soylent<\/em>* - \u60c5\u666f3 <\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\u8fd9\u79cd\u60c5\u51b5\u4e0b\uff0c\u4f20\u67d3\u529b\u6bcf\u5929\u53ea\u589e\u52a02%\u3002\u5728\u90a3\u91cc\uff0c\u90a3\u4e9b\u53cd\u5bf9\u9488\u5bf9COVID-19\u7684\u63aa\u65bd\u7684\u4eba--\u4e0d\u7ba1\u4ed6\u4eec\u7684\u7406\u7531\u662f\u4ec0\u4e48--\u5df2\u7ecf\u5f00\u59cb\u5360\u4e86\u4e0a\u98ce\u3002\u653f\u6cbb\u5f53\u5c40\u8981\u4e48\u662f\u592a\u8f6f\u5f31\uff0c\u65e0\u6cd5\u53cd\u5bf9\u6e10\u884c\u6e10\u8fdc\u7684\u4e0d\u670d\u4ece\uff0c\u8981\u4e48\u6700\u7ec8\u51b3\u5b9a\u4ee5\u81ea\u7531\u653e\u4efb\u7684\u653f\u7b56\u6765\u8ffd\u968f\u81ea\u5229\u7684\u77ed\u671f\u6e38\u8bf4\u8005\u3002\u4fdd\u62a4\u6027\u63aa\u65bd\u4ecd\u5728\u5b9e\u65bd\uff0c\u4f46\u8d8a\u6765\u8d8a\u4e0d\u4e25\u683c\u3002\u7ed3\u679c\uff0c\u4f20\u67d3\u75c5\u6162\u6162\u4e0a\u5347\uff0c\u6700\u521d\u88ab\u8ba4\u4e3a\u662f\u6beb\u65e0\u610f\u4e49\u7684\u4e1c\u897f\uff0c\u4e00\u59292%\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\u7136\u800c\uff0c\u968f\u7740\u65f6\u95f4\u7684\u63a8\u79fb\uff0c\u6bcf\u59292%\u4f1a\u5bfc\u81f4\u6bcf\u5929\u65b0\u7684\u9633\u6027\u75c5\u4f8b\u7684\u9ad8\u6c34\u5e73\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image alignwide size-large is-style-default\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"1501\" height=\"941\" src=\"https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/11\/Scenario-3-1-1501x941.jpg\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-28107\" srcset=\"https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/11\/Scenario-3-1-1501x941.jpg 1501w, https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/11\/Scenario-3-1-300x188.jpg 300w, https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/11\/Scenario-3-1-768x481.jpg 768w, https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/11\/Scenario-3-1-1536x963.jpg 1536w, https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/11\/Scenario-3-1-16x10.jpg 16w, https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/11\/Scenario-3-1-1568x983.jpg 1568w, https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/11\/Scenario-3-1-1320x827.jpg 1320w, https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/11\/Scenario-3-1-250x157.jpg 250w, https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/11\/Scenario-3-1-1038x651.jpg 1038w, https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/11\/Scenario-3-1.jpg 1726w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 1501px) 100vw, 1501px\" \/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\u88ab\u611f\u67d3\u7136\u540e\u51fa\u73b0\u75c7\u72b6\u7684\u4eba\u7684\u6570\u91cf\u5c06\u975e\u5e38\u5927\uff0c\u5e76\u7ee7\u7eed\u4e0a\u5347\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image alignwide size-large is-style-default\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"1568\" height=\"922\" src=\"https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/11\/Scenario-3-2-1568x922.jpg\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-28106\" srcset=\"https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/11\/Scenario-3-2-1568x922.jpg 1568w, https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/11\/Scenario-3-2-300x176.jpg 300w, https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/11\/Scenario-3-2-768x452.jpg 768w, https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/11\/Scenario-3-2-1536x904.jpg 1536w, https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/11\/Scenario-3-2-16x9.jpg 16w, https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/11\/Scenario-3-2-1320x776.jpg 1320w, https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/11\/Scenario-3-2-250x147.jpg 250w, https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/11\/Scenario-3-2-1038x611.jpg 1038w, https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/11\/Scenario-3-2.jpg 1734w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 1568px) 100vw, 1568px\" \/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\u5728\u8fd9\u91cc\uff0c\u5f88\u660e\u663e\uff0c\u6211\u4eec\u6ca1\u6709\u4e00\u4e2a\u7b2c\u4e8c\u6ce2\u7684\u5cf0\u503c\u3002\u8fd9\u4e2a\u6d6a\u6f6e\u4e0d\u65ad\u81a8\u80c0\u548c\u5ef6\u957f\uff0c\u6210\u4e3a\u4e00\u4e2a\u6c38\u4e0d\u505c\u606f\u7684\u6d6a\u6f6e\u3002\u53ea\u8981\u4eba\u4eec\u62d2\u7edd\u8003\u8651\u8fd9\u79cd\u5927\u6d41\u884c\u75c5\u548c\u91c7\u53d6\u6301\u7eed\u4fdd\u62a4\u63aa\u65bd\u7684\u9700\u8981\uff0c\u6bcf\u5929\u7684\u4f4f\u9662\u4eba\u6570\u5c31\u4f1a\u76f8\u5e94\u589e\u52a0\uff0c\u91cd\u75c7\u76d1\u62a4\u5ba4\u548c\u6b7b\u4ea1\u4eba\u6570\u4e5f\u4f1a\u589e\u52a0\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image alignwide size-large is-style-default\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"1375\" height=\"941\" src=\"https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/11\/Scenario-3-3-1375x941.jpg\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-28105\" srcset=\"https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/11\/Scenario-3-3-1375x941.jpg 1375w, https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/11\/Scenario-3-3-300x205.jpg 300w, https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/11\/Scenario-3-3-768x526.jpg 768w, https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/11\/Scenario-3-3-1536x1051.jpg 1536w, https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/11\/Scenario-3-3-16x12.jpg 16w, https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/11\/Scenario-3-3-1568x1073.jpg 1568w, https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/11\/Scenario-3-3-1320x904.jpg 1320w, https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/11\/Scenario-3-3-250x171.jpg 250w, https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/11\/Scenario-3-3-1038x711.jpg 1038w, https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/11\/Scenario-3-3.jpg 1794w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 1375px) 100vw, 1375px\" \/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\u4ece\u7d2f\u79ef\u7684\u89d2\u5ea6\u6765\u770b\uff0c\u4f4f\u9662\u4eba\u6570\u4ece\u672a\u7a33\u5b9a\uff0c\u800c\u662f\u8d8a\u6765\u8d8a\u9ad8\u3002\u572812\u6708\u5e95\uff0c\u5927\u7ea6\u670970.000\u5f20\u5e8a\u4f4d\u7528\u4e8eCOVID-19\u60a3\u8005\uff0c\u5360\u6cd5\u56fd\u6574\u4e2a\u533b\u9662\u5e8a\u4f4d\u768418%\uff08OECD\uff082020\uff09\u3002 <a href=\"https:\/\/data.oecd.org\/healtheqt\/hospital-beds.htm\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">\u533b\u9662\u5e8a\u4f4d\uff08\u6307\u6807\uff09<\/a>Doi: 10.1787\/0191328e-en - 2020\u5e7411\u670811\u65e5\u8bbf\u95ee\uff09\u3002\u800c\u4e14\u8fd9\u4e2a\u6570\u5b57\u8fd8\u5728\u4e0d\u65ad\u4e0a\u5347\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\u8d85\u8fc78400\u4e2aICU\u88abCOVID-19\u60a3\u8005\u5360\u636e\u3002\u533b\u9662\u6323\u624e\u7740\uff0c\u62fc\u547d\u5bfb\u627e\u65b0\u7684\u5e8a\u4f4d\uff0c\u800c\u5176\u4ed6\u75c5\u75c7\u5374\u65e0\u6cd5\u5904\u7406\u3002\u6bcf\u4e2a\u4eba\u90fd\u77e5\u9053\uff0c\u73b0\u5728\u662f\u6574\u4e2a\u7cfb\u7edf\u5d29\u6e83\u524d\u7684\u51e0\u5468\u95ee\u9898\u3002\u9700\u8981\u91c7\u53d6\u4e25\u5389\u548c\u4e25\u683c\u7684\u63aa\u65bd\uff0c\u4f46\u662f\uff0c\u5373\u4f7f\u5728\u8fd9\u79cd\u60c5\u51b5\u4e0b\uff0c\u635f\u5bb3\u4e5f\u662f\u53ef\u6015\u7684\uff0c\u62a4\u7406\u7cfb\u7edf\u53ef\u80fd\u65e0\u6cd5\u751f\u5b58\u3002 <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">2020\u5e7412\u670829\u65e5\uff0cCOVID-19\u7684\u7d2f\u8ba1\u6b7b\u4ea1\u603b\u6570\u9884\u8ba1\u5c06\u8fbe\u523078.724\u4eba\u3002\u7136\u800c\uff0c\u8fd9\u53ea\u8bf4\u660e\u4e86\u90e8\u5206\u60c5\u51b5\uff0c\u56e0\u4e3a\u73b0\u5728\u5fc5\u987b\u628a\u6240\u6709\u5176\u4ed6\u75c5\u75c7\u5f15\u8d77\u7684\u6b7b\u4ea1\u52a0\u5230\u7edf\u8ba1\u4e2d\u3002\u4e0e\u524d\u4e24\u79cd\u60c5\u51b5\u76f8\u6bd4\uff0c\u8fd9\u91cc\u9700\u8981\u7406\u89e3\u7684\u662f\uff0c\u9996\u5148\uff0c\u4e0eCOVID-19\u6709\u5173\u7684\u6b7b\u4ea1\u4e0d\u4f1a\u505c\u6b62\uff0c\u800c\u662f\u4f1a\u968f\u7740\u65f6\u95f4\u7684\u63a8\u79fb\u7ee7\u7eed\u4e0a\u5347\uff1b\u5176\u6b21\uff0c\u8fc4\u4eca\u4e3a\u6b62\u5df2\u7ecf\u6cbb\u6108\u7684\u75c5\u75c7\u4f1a\u518d\u6b21\u6210\u4e3a\u81f4\u547d\u7684\u75be\u75c5\uff0c\u589e\u52a0\u603b\u7684\u6b7b\u4ea1\u4eba\u6570\u3002 <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\u5728\u8fd9\u79cd\u60c5\u51b5\u4e0b\uff0c\u7531\u4e8e\u4eba\u4eec\u548c\u7cbe\u82f1\u56e2\u4f53\u7684\u9009\u62e9\uff0c\u5723\u8bde\u8282\u53ef\u80fd\u4e0d\u4f1a\u5728\u5c01\u9501\u4e2d\u5ea6\u8fc7\u3002\u7136\u800c\uff0c\u5b83\u5c06\u662f\u4e00\u5207\u4fdd\u5b58\u4e0b\u6765\u7684\u5e0c\u671b\u3001\u6b22\u4e50\u548c\u7231\u7684\u5e86\u5178\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\u5e0c\u671b\u8fd9\u79cd\u60c5\u51b5\u4e0d\u592a\u53ef\u80fd\u53d1\u751f\u3002\u7136\u800c\uff0c\u4f5c\u4e3a\u4e00\u79cd\u60c5\u666f\uff0c\u5b83\u6709\u52a9\u4e8e\u63d0\u9192\u4eba\u4eec\u4e3a\u4ec0\u4e48\u5c01\u9501\u548c\u5176\u4ed6\u9488\u5bf9COVID-19\u7684\u63aa\u65bd\u662f\u5fc5\u8981\u7684\u5e76\u4e14\u5fc5\u987b\u63a5\u53d7\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">\u8fdb\u4e00\u6b65\u7684\u601d\u8003\u548c\u95ee\u9898<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">\u5173\u4e8eCOVID19\u9633\u6027\u75c5\u4f8b\u6570\u91cf\u7684\u7edf\u8ba1\u66f4\u65b0\u548c\u5dee\u5f02\u60c5\u51b5<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\u5728\u7edf\u8ba1\u5de5\u4f5c\u4e2d\uff0c\u6211\u4eec\u6ce8\u610f\u5230\u6cd5\u56fd\u5b98\u5458\u6bcf\u5929\u63d0\u4f9b\u7684\u6570\u5b57\u4e4b\u95f4\u5b58\u5728\u5dee\u5f02\uff0c\u5176\u4e2d\u5305\u62ec <a href=\"https:\/\/www.gouvernement.fr\/info-coronavirus\/carte-et-donnees\">\u586b\u6599 <\/a><a href=\"https:\/\/www.gouvernement.fr\/info-coronavirus\/carte-et-donnees\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">\u654f\u5b9e<\/a><a href=\"https:\/\/www.gouvernement.fr\/info-coronavirus\/carte-et-donnees\"> \u529e\u516c\u5ba4<\/a> \u4ee5\u53ca\u6cd5\u56fd\u516c\u5171\u536b\u751f\u5c40\u548cG\u00e9odes\u516c\u53f8\u968f\u7740\u65f6\u95f4\u7684\u63a8\u79fb\u6240\u4fee\u8ba2\u7684\u6570\u636e\u3002 <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\u8fd9\u4e00\u70b9\u5728\u5468\u65e5\u5c24\u5176\u660e\u663e\uff0cGeodes\u63d0\u4f9b\u7684\u6570\u5b57\u5f80\u5f80\u6bd4PM\u529e\u516c\u5ba4\u63d0\u4f9b\u7684\u6570\u5b57\u5c0f\u5f97\u591a\u3002\u51fa\u4e8e\u903b\u8f91\u8003\u8651\uff0c\u6211\u4eec\u4fdd\u7559\u4e86Geodes\u7684\u6570\u636e\uff0c\u56e0\u4e3a\u6211\u4eec\u4e0d\u77e5\u9053\u6570\u636e\u662f\u5982\u4f55\u6216\u4e3a\u4ec0\u4e48\u4ece\u4e00\u4e2a\u529e\u516c\u5ba4\u6539\u53d8\u5230\u53e6\u4e00\u4e2a\u529e\u516c\u5ba4\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\u66f4\u6709\u8da3\u7684\u662f\u5728\u5f15\u5bfc\u653f\u7b56\u65b9\u9762\uff0c\u6211\u4eec\u6ce8\u610f\u5230Geodes\u968f\u7740\u65f6\u95f4\u7684\u63a8\u79fb\u4fee\u6539\u4e86COVID19\u9633\u6027\u75c5\u4f8b\u7684\u6570\u636e\uff0c\u53ef\u80fd\u662f\u5728\u5f97\u5230\u6d4b\u8bd5\u7ed3\u679c\u7684\u65f6\u5019\u3002\u6570\u636e\u7684\u66f4\u65b0\u6709\u65f6\u8d85\u8fc7\u4e00\u4e2a\u6708\u3002 <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\u5982\u679c\u53d8\u5316\u4e0d\u5927\uff0c\u4f8b\u5982\u5728\u67d0\u4e00\u5929\u589e\u52a010\u4e2a\u6b63\u9762\u6848\u4f8b\uff0c\u8fd9\u5728\u653f\u7b56\u4e0a\u5e76\u4e0d\u771f\u6b63\u91cd\u8981\u3002 <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\u7136\u800c\uff0c\u5982\u679c\u53d8\u5316\u5f88\u5927\uff0c\u90a3\u4e48\u8fd9\u79cd\u5dee\u5f02\u4e5f\u4f1a\u9020\u6210\u7c7b\u4f3c\u7684\u5927\u95ee\u9898\u3002 <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\u6211\u4eec\u53d1\u73b0\u4e86\u4e00\u4e2a\u8fd9\u6837\u7684\u4f8b\u5b50\u30022020\u5e7410\u670826\u65e5\uff0cGeodes\u62a5\u544a\u4e8666.866\u4e2aCOVID\u9633\u6027\u75c5\u4f8b\uff0c\u4e0e\u524d\u4e00\u5468\u76f8\u6bd4\u6709\u4e86\u5f88\u5927\u7684\u589e\u957f\uff08+23,28%\uff09\uff0c\u5f53\u65f6\u6700\u9ad8\u7684\u75c5\u4f8b\u6570\u662f54.238\uff0810\u670823\u65e5\uff09\u3002\u7ecf\u8fc7\u5b9a\u671f\u66f4\u65b0\uff0c\u8fd966.866\u4e2a\u75c5\u4f8b\u57282020\u5e7411\u67089\u65e5\u53d8\u6210\u4e8668.453\u4e2a\u75c5\u4f8b\u3002 <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\u7136\u800c\uff0c\u5728\u603b\u7406\u7684\u7f51\u7ad9\u4e0a\uff0c\u7ed9\u51fa\u76842020\u5e7410\u670826\u65e5\u7684\u9633\u6027\u6848\u4f8b\u6570\u91cf\u662f26.771\u3002 <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">66.866\u548c26.771\u4e2a\u6848\u4f8b\u4e4b\u95f4\u7684\u5dee\u5f02\u662f\u5de8\u5927\u7684\u3002\u5982\u6b64\u5de8\u5927\u7684\u6570\u5b57\u5dee\u5f02\u4f7f\u5f97\u5916\u90e8\u884c\u4e3a\u8005\u5f88\u96be\u5f15\u5bfc\u81ea\u5df1\u7684\u653f\u7b56\u3002 <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\u5982\u679c\u8fd9\u79cd\u5dee\u5f02\u4e5f\u88ab\u7eb3\u5165\u6cd5\u56fd\u653f\u5e9c\u6700\u9ad8\u5c42\u63d0\u4f9b\u7684\u6570\u636e\u4e2d\uff0c\u90a3\u4e48\u653f\u7b56\u5c31\u53ef\u80fd\u53d8\u5f97\u4e0d\u5145\u5206\u3002 <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\u5e0c\u671b\u8fd9\u53ea\u662f\u4e00\u4e2a\u6570\u636e\u6c9f\u901a\u7684\u95ee\u9898\uff0c\u4f46\u5b83\u786e\u5b9e\u9020\u6210\u4e86\u7591\u8651\uff0c\u5728\u8fd9\u4e2a\u56f0\u96be\u65f6\u671f\uff0c\u8fd9\u662f\u4e0d\u5fc5\u8981\u7684\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">COVID19\u60a3\u8005\u4e0d\u5728\u91cd\u75c7\u76d1\u62a4\u5ba4\u65f6\u6b7b\u4ea1<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\u5728\u6211\u4eec\u8fdb\u884c\u9884\u6d4b\u65f6\uff0c\u8003\u8651\u5230\u79d1\u5b66\u8bba\u6587\u3001\u4e16\u536b\u7ec4\u7ec7\u548c\u533b\u751f\u5bf9\u75be\u75c5\u8fc7\u7a0b\u7684\u63cf\u8ff0\uff0c\u6211\u4eec\u9884\u8ba1\u6bcf\u5929\u5728\u533b\u9662\u6b7b\u4ea1\u7684\u4eba\u6570\u6216\u591a\u6216\u5c11\u5730\u4e0e\u5fc5\u987b\u590d\u6d3b\u7684\u75c5\u4eba\u6570\u91cf\u76f8\u5173\u3002\u6211\u4eec\u8fd8\u9884\u8ba1\uff0c\u6b7b\u4ea1\u4eba\u6570\u5c06\u4f4e\u4e8e\u91cd\u75c7\u76d1\u62a4\u5ba4\u7684\u75c5\u4eba\u6570\u91cf\u3002\u6211\u4eec\u77e5\u9053\uff0c\u8003\u8651\u5230\u91cd\u75c7\u76d1\u62a4\u65f6\u95f4\u7684\u5dee\u5f02\uff0c\u8fd9\u79cd\u76f8\u5173\u6027\u5f88\u53ef\u80fd\u662f\u4e0d\u5b8c\u7f8e\u7684\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\u7136\u800c\uff0c\u8003\u8651\u5230\u6bcf\u5929\u7684ICU\u6570\u5b57\u548c\u6bcf\u5929\u7684\u6b7b\u4ea1\u4eba\u6570\u4e4b\u95f4\u67098\u5929\u7684\u6ede\u540e\u671f\uff0c\u6211\u4eec\u53d1\u73b0\u4e0e\u8fc7\u53bb\u6bcf\u5929\u7684ICU\u6570\u5b57\u76f8\u6bd4\uff0c\u6b7b\u4ea1\u7387\u8981\u6bd4\u9884\u671f\u7684\u9ad8\u5f97\u591a\uff0c\u800c\u4e14\u4e5f\u76f8\u5bf9\u4e0d\u7a33\u5b9a\u3002 <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\u56e0\u6b64\uff0c\u4e3a\u4e86\u8fdb\u884c\u7b2c\u4e00\u6b21\u7c97\u7565\u7684\u7edf\u8ba1\u89c2\u5bdf\uff0c\u6211\u4eec\u8bd5\u56fe\u6d88\u9664\u6211\u4eec\u6709\u7edf\u8ba1\u6570\u636e\u7684\u4e0d\u540c\u4e34\u5e8a\u4e8b\u4ef6\u4e4b\u95f4\u7684\u6ede\u540e\u6027\u3002\u8fd9\u5c06\u4f7f\u6211\u4eec\u80fd\u591f\u5728\u4e00\u4e2a\u5047\u8bbe\u7684\u65f6\u95f4\u5185\u770b\u5230\u611f\u67d3\u7684\u6570\u91cf\u3001\u76f8\u5e94\u7684\u4f4f\u9662\u3001\u62a2\u6551\u548c\u6b7b\u4ea1\u3002\u6211\u4eec\u5f97\u5230\u4ee5\u4e0b\u56fe\u8868\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image alignwide size-large is-style-default\"><a href=\"https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/11\/No-time-lag-real-COVID-19-France.jpg\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"1568\" height=\"891\" src=\"https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/11\/No-time-lag-real-COVID-19-France-1568x891.jpg\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-28080\" srcset=\"https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/11\/No-time-lag-real-COVID-19-France-1568x891.jpg 1568w, https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/11\/No-time-lag-real-COVID-19-France-300x170.jpg 300w, https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/11\/No-time-lag-real-COVID-19-France-768x436.jpg 768w, https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/11\/No-time-lag-real-COVID-19-France-1536x872.jpg 1536w, https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/11\/No-time-lag-real-COVID-19-France-16x9.jpg 16w, https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/11\/No-time-lag-real-COVID-19-France-1320x750.jpg 1320w, https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/11\/No-time-lag-real-COVID-19-France-250x142.jpg 250w, https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/11\/No-time-lag-real-COVID-19-France-1038x590.jpg 1038w, https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/11\/No-time-lag-real-COVID-19-France.jpg 1750w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 1568px) 100vw, 1568px\" \/><\/a><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\u6211\u4eec\u770b\u5230\u7684\u662f\uff0c\u968f\u7740\u65f6\u95f4\u7684\u63a8\u79fb\uff0c\u968f\u7740\u8d8a\u6765\u8d8a\u591a\u7684\u75c5\u4eba\u8fdb\u5165\u91cd\u75c7\u76d1\u62a4\u5ba4\uff0c\u5927\u7ea6\u572810\u6708\u521d\uff0c\u6b7b\u4ea1\u7684\u66f2\u7ebf\u5f00\u59cb\u8d8a\u6765\u8d8a\u591a\u5730\u4e0e\u91cd\u75c7\u76d1\u62a4\u5ba4\u7684\u66f2\u7ebf\u7d27\u5bc6\u5339\u914d\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\u8fd9\u5c06\u610f\u5473\u7740\u6240\u6709\u8fdb\u5165\u590d\u751f\u72b6\u6001\u7684\u75c5\u4eba\u90fd\u4f1a\u6b7b\u4ea1\u3002\u7531\u4e8e\u8fd9\u5e76\u4e0d\u610f\u5473\u7740\u8fd9\u79cd\u60c5\u51b5\uff0c\u6211\u4eec\u770b\u5230\u5bf9\u8fd9\u4e00\u73b0\u8c61\u7684\u4e00\u4e2a\u89e3\u91ca\u662f\uff0c\u75c5\u4eba\u6b7b\u4ea1\u662f\u56e0\u4e3a\u4ed6\u4eec\u6ca1\u6709\u8fdb\u5165\u91cd\u75c7\u76d1\u62a4\u5ba4\u3002 <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\u8fd9\u610f\u5473\u7740\uff0c\u75c5\u4eba\u8981\u4e48\u6ca1\u6709\u53ca\u65f6\u8f6c\u5165\u91cd\u75c7\u76d1\u62a4\u5ba4\uff0c\u8981\u4e48\u5c31\u662f\u88ab\u5206\u51fa\u6765\u63a5\u53d7\u62a2\u6551\u3002\u56e0\u4e3a\u6cd5\u56fd\u7684\u533b\u9662\u7cfb\u7edf\u5728\u5f88\u5927\u7a0b\u5ea6\u4e0a\u5e76\u4e0d\u610f\u5473\u7740\u5d29\u6e83\uff0c\u90a3\u4e48\u53ef\u80fd\u7684\u89e3\u91ca\u5c31\u662f\u75c5\u4eba\u88ab\u5206\u6d41\u4e86\u3002 <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\u7136\u800c\uff0c\u5c3d\u7ba1\u6d89\u53ca\u4f26\u7406\u65b9\u9762\u7684\u8003\u8651\uff0c\u6cd5\u56fd\u793e\u4f1a\u5e76\u6ca1\u6709\u76f8\u5173\u7684\u8fa9\u8bba\u3002  \u7136\u800c\uff0c\u5bf9\u4e8e\u7b2c\u4e00\u6ce2\u6d6a\u6f6e\u6765\u8bf4\uff0c\u8fd9\u79cd\u73b0\u8c61\u66f4\u52a0\u660e\u663e\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">\u9ad8\u9f84\u9000\u4f11\u4eba\u5458\u5728\u517b\u8001\u9662\u6b7b\u4ea1<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\u81f3\u4e8e\u524d\u4e00\u70b9\uff0c\u8fd9\u662f\u4e00\u4e2a\u6211\u4eec\u89c9\u5f97\u5fc5\u987b\u5f3a\u8c03\u7684\u9053\u5fb7\u95ee\u9898\u3002 <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\u5728\u6574\u4e2a\u56fd\u5bb6\uff0c\u517b\u8001\u9662\u91cc\u7684\u8001\u5e74\u4eba\u56e0\u4e3aCOVID-19\u800c\u6b7b\u4ea1\u662f\u4e00\u4e2a\u95ee\u9898\u3002 <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\u7136\u800c\uff0c\u5728\u8fd9\u91cc\uff0c\u4ed4\u7ec6\u7814\u7a76\u7edf\u8ba1\u6570\u636e\u3001\u65f6\u95f4\u6ede\u540e\u3001\u75be\u75c5\u6f14\u53d8\u53ca\u5176\u5e26\u6765\u7684\u75db\u82e6\uff0c\u6211\u4eec\u53ef\u80fd\u53ea\u662f\u60f3\u77e5\u9053\u517b\u8001\u9662\u662f\u5982\u4f55\u51cf\u8f7b\u8001\u5e74\u4eba\u7684\u8eab\u4f53\u75db\u82e6\u7684\uff0c\u56e0\u4e3a\u8fd9\u4e9b\u8bbe\u65bd\u5e76\u4e0d\u662f\u4e3a\u5904\u7406\u533b\u9662\u91cc\u9700\u8981\u5927\u91cf\u6cbb\u7597\u7684\u75c5\u4f8b\u800c\u8bbe\u8ba1\u3002 <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\u6cd5\u56fd\u548c\u5927\u591a\u6570\u897f\u65b9\u56fd\u5bb6\u4e00\u6837\uff0c\u5c06\u4eba\u6743\u4f5c\u4e3a\u6784\u6210\u6027\u4ef7\u503c\u52a0\u4ee5\u7ef4\u62a4\u3002\u5f53\u7136\uff0c\u5bf9\u9762\u4e34\u4e25\u91cd\u75be\u75c5\u7684\u957f\u8005\u7684\u75db\u82e6\u8fdb\u884c\u601d\u8003\u5e76\u91c7\u53d6\u516c\u6b63\u7684\u884c\u52a8\u662f\u4eba\u6743\u7684\u4e00\u90e8\u5206\u3002 <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\u5728\u6211\u4eec\u6700\u65e9\u5199\u7684\u4e00\u7bc7\u5173\u4e8eCOVID-19\u7684\u6587\u7ae0\u4e2d\uff0c\u6211\u4eec\u6307\u51fa\uff0c\u5927\u6d41\u884c\u75c5\u4e0d\u4ec5\u662f\u5173\u4e8e\u75c5\u6bd2\uff0c\u4e5f\u662f\u5173\u4e8e\u4eba\u4ee5\u53ca\u4ed6\u4eec\u5982\u4f55\u5bf9\u5927\u6d41\u884c\u75c5\u91c7\u53d6\u884c\u52a8\u548c\u505a\u51fa\u53cd\u5e94\uff08H\u00e9l\u00e8ne Lavoix, \"<a href=\"https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/zh\/2020\/02\/12\/%e5%86%a0%e7%8a%b6%e7%97%85%e6%af%92-%e7%a7%91%e7%bb%b4%e5%be%b7-19-%e7%96%ab%e6%83%85%e7%88%86%e5%8f%91-%e4%b8%8d%e4%bb%85%e4%bb%85%e6%98%af%e6%96%b0%e7%97%85%e6%af%92%e7%9a%84%e9%97%ae%e9%a2%98\/\">\u51a0\u72b6\u75c5\u6bd2COVID-19\u75ab\u60c5\u7684\u7206\u53d1\u4e0d\u4ec5\u4ec5\u662f\u5173\u4e8e\u4e00\u79cd\u65b0\u7684\u75c5\u6bd2<\/a>\u201c, <em>\u8fdc\u666f\u6d1e\u5bdf\u7814\u7a76\u6240<\/em>\uff0c2020\u5e742\u670812\u65e5\uff09\u3002\u8d8a\u6765\u8d8a\u591a\u7684\u60c5\u51b5\u662f\uff0c\u4e00\u573a\u5927\u6d41\u884c\u75c5\u4e5f\u8feb\u4f7f\u6211\u4eec\u9762\u5bf9\u6211\u4eec\u662f\u8c01\uff0c\u6211\u4eec\u60f3\u6210\u4e3a\u8c01\uff0c\u4f5c\u4e3a\u4e2a\u4eba\uff0c\u4f5c\u4e3a\u4e00\u4e2a\u793e\u4f1a\u7684\u96c6\u4f53\u3002\u53ea\u6709\u5f53\u6211\u4eec\u4e3a\u81ea\u5df1\u4ee5\u53ca\u6211\u4eec\u7684\u884c\u52a8\u548c\u9009\u62e9\u7684\u516c\u6b63\u6027\u611f\u5230\u81ea\u8c6a\u65f6\uff0c\u6211\u4eec\u624d\u80fd\u627e\u5230\u529b\u91cf\uff0c\u4e0eCOVID-19\u5171\u5b58\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<hr class=\"wp-block-separator is-style-dots\"\/>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">*<em><strong>\u7eff\u8272\u7684Soylent<\/strong><\/em>&nbsp;\u662f\u4e00\u90e81973\u5e74\u7684\u7f8e\u56fd\u53cd\u4e4c\u6258\u90a6\u7535\u5f71\uff0c\u7531\u7406\u67e5\u5fb7-\u5f17\u83b1\u585e\u6267\u5bfc\uff0c\u6c83\u5c14\u7279-\u585e\u5c14\u6cfd\u548c\u62c9\u585e\u5c14\u5236\u4f5c\u3002<a href=\"https:\/\/en.wikipedia.org\/wiki\/Russell_Thacher\"> <\/a>Thacher\uff0c\u7531Charlton Heston\u548cLeigh Taylor-Young\u4e3b\u6f14\uff0c\u7531Metro-Goldwyn-Mayer\u53d1\u884c\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<hr class=\"wp-block-separator is-style-dots\"\/>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>\u8bbe\u8ba1\u3002Jean-Dominique Lavoix-Carli \u5728COVID-19\u5927\u6d41\u884c\u768411\u4e2a\u6708\u540e\uff0c\u7b2c\u4e8c\u6ce2\u75c5\u6bd2\u8513\u5ef6\u5f00\u6765\u3002\u52302020\u5e7411\u67089\u65e5\uff0c\u5168\u7403\u6709\u8d85\u8fc75000\u4e07\u4eba\u53d7\u5230\u6c61\u67d3\uff08\u7ea6\u7ff0\u970d\u666e\u91d1\u65af\u5927\u5b66\u7cfb\u7edf\u79d1\u5b66\u548c\u5de5\u7a0b\u4e2d\u5fc3\uff08CSSE\uff09\u7684COVID-19\u4eea\u8868\u76d8\uff09\u3002\u5230\u90a3\u65f6\u5df2\u7ecf\u6709\u8d85\u8fc7125\u4e07\u4eba\u6b7b\u4ea1\uff08\u540c\u4e0a\uff09\u300211\u670810\u65e5\uff0c\u6b27\u6d32\u8de8... <\/p>\n<p class=\"link-more\"><a href=\"https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/zh\/2020\/11\/11\/france-3-scenarios-for-covid-19-second-wave\/\" class=\"more-link\">\u7ee7\u7eed\u9605\u8bfb<span class=\"screen-reader-text\">\"\u6cd5\u56fd\u548cCOVID-19\u7b2c\u4e8c\u6ce2\u76843\u79cd\u60c5\u51b5\"<\/span><\/a><\/p>","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":28109,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_jetpack_feature_clip_id":0,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[2903,2502],"tags":[2883,795,190],"class_list":["post-28022","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-covid19-scenarios","category-europe","tag-covid-19","tag-france","tag-scenarios","entry"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v28.8 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>France and 3 Scenarios for the COVID-19 Second Wave &#8226; The Red Team Analysis Society<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"This article evaluates through three scenarios for the near future how France faces the 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