{"id":29237,"date":"2021-06-07T12:07:33","date_gmt":"2021-06-07T10:07:33","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/?p=29237"},"modified":"2023-01-05T09:06:45","modified_gmt":"2023-01-05T08:06:45","slug":"%e6%9c%aa%e6%9d%a5%e7%9a%84%e5%85%b3%e9%94%ae%e6%8a%80%e6%9c%af-%e7%ac%ac1%e7%ab%a0","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/zh\/2021\/06\/07\/the-key-technologies-of-the-future-chapter-1\/","title":{"rendered":"\u672a\u6765\u7684\u5173\u952e\u6280\u672f (1)"},"content":{"rendered":"<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\u6211\u4eec\u751f\u6d3b\u5728\u4e00\u4e2a\u65b0\u6280\u672f\u65e5\u76ca\u4e30\u5bcc\u7684\u4e16\u754c\uff0c\u88ab\u89c6\u4e3a\u5bf9\u6211\u4eec\u7684\u672a\u6765\u81f3\u5173\u91cd\u8981\u3002\u8fd9\u4e9b\u6280\u672f\u4e0d\u4ec5\u662f\u65b0\u7684\uff0c\u800c\u4e14\u662f\u4e3a\u4e86\u66f4\u597d\u5730\u9769\u65b0\u6211\u4eec\u7684\u751f\u6d3b\u3002\u6ca1\u6709\u6280\u672f\u5c31\u65e0\u6cd5\u60f3\u8c61\u8fdb\u6b65\u3002\u6280\u672f\u662f\u4e3a\u4e86\u62ef\u6551\u6211\u4eec\u6240\u6709\u4eba\u3002\u7531SARS-CoV2\u7684\u65e9\u671f\u53d8\u4f53\u5f15\u53d1\u7684COVID-19\uff0c\u751f\u7269\u6280\u672f\u5728\u5f00\u53d1\u9ad8\u6548\u75ab\u82d7\u65b9\u9762\u7684\u8d21\u732e\u901f\u5ea6\uff0c\u4f53\u73b0\u4e86\u6280\u672f\u7684\u6551\u4e16\u4e3b\u529f\u80fd\u3002 <\/p>\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-latest-posts__list alignright related wp-block-latest-posts is-layout-flow wp-block-latest-posts-is-layout-flow\"><li><a class=\"wp-block-latest-posts__post-title\" 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class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\u540c\u65f6\uff0c\u516c\u5171\u548c\u79c1\u4eba\u884c\u4e3a\u8005\u5fc5\u987b\u4e0d\u65ad\u521b\u65b0\uff0c\u4ee5\u8d44\u52a9\u6b63\u786e\u7684\u79d1\u5b66\u548c\u6280\u672f\u7814\u7a76\u9879\u76ee\u3002\u4ed6\u4eec\u5fc5\u987b\u6295\u8d44\u5e76\u5c3d\u65e9\u91c7\u7528\u4e0b\u4e00\u4e2a\u5173\u952e\u6280\u672f\uff0c\u4ee5\u786e\u4fdd\u4ed6\u4eec\u4e0d\u4f1a\u5728\u6b63\u5728\u8fdb\u884c\u7684\u6280\u672f\u7ade\u8d5b\u4e2d\u843d\u540e\u3002  <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\u56e0\u6b64\uff0c\u6211\u4eec\u9700\u8981\u8ddf\u8e2a\u6280\u672f\u53d1\u5c55\u548c\u521b\u65b0\u3002\u7136\u800c\uff0c\u8fd9\u53ea\u662f\u4e00\u4e2a\u524d\u63d0\u6761\u4ef6\u3002\u6211\u4eec\u8fd8\u9700\u8981\u80fd\u591f\u5bf9\u8fd9\u4e9b\u4f17\u591a\u7684 \"\u65b0\u6280\u672f \"\u8fdb\u884c\u5206\u7c7b\uff0c\u5e76\u5c3d\u65e9\u786e\u5b9a\u54ea\u4e9b\u6280\u672f\u5c06\u662f\u672a\u6765\u7684\u5173\u952e\u3002\u5982\u679c\u6211\u4eec\u6295\u8d44\u4e8e\u9519\u8bef\u7684\u6280\u672f\uff0c\u6216\u4ee5\u9519\u8bef\u7684\u65b9\u5f0f\uff0c\u6216\u4ee5\u9519\u8bef\u7684\u65f6\u673a\uff0c\u90a3\u4e48\u540e\u679c\u5f88\u53ef\u80fd\u662f\u8d1f\u9762\u7684\u3002 <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\u901a\u8fc7\u8fd9\u4e2a\u7cfb\u5217\uff0c\u6211\u4eec\u5c06\u89e3\u51b3\u8fd9\u4e9b\u95ee\u9898\u4e2d\u7684\u7b2c\u4e00\u4e2a\uff1a\u54ea\u4e9b\u65b0\u6280\u672f\u53ef\u80fd\u662f\u672a\u6765\u7684\u5173\u952e\uff1f <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\u7531\u4e8e\u6211\u4eec\u5904\u4e8e\u4e00\u822c\u6c34\u5e73\uff0c\u6211\u4eec\u6682\u65f6\u4e0d\u4f1a\u786e\u5207\u8bf4\u660e \"\u672a\u6765\u4f55\u65f6\"\u3002 <\/p>\n\n\n\n<div class=\"wp-block-cover alignfull\" style=\"min-height:184px;aspect-ratio:unset;\"><span aria-hidden=\"true\" class=\"wp-block-cover__background has-background-dim-0 has-background-dim\"><\/span><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"2119\" height=\"1670\" class=\"wp-block-cover__image-background wp-image-29277\" alt=\"\" src=\"https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/05\/safe-2.jpg\" style=\"object-position:65% 17%\" data-object-fit=\"cover\" data-object-position=\"65% 17%\" srcset=\"https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/05\/safe-2.jpg 2119w, https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/05\/safe-2-381x300.jpg 381w, https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/05\/safe-2-1194x941.jpg 1194w, https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/05\/safe-2-768x605.jpg 768w, https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/05\/safe-2-1536x1211.jpg 1536w, https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/05\/safe-2-2048x1614.jpg 2048w, https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/05\/safe-2-16x12.jpg 16w, 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class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\u901a\u8fc7\u8fd9\u7b2c\u4e00\u7bc7\u6587\u7ae0\uff0c\u6211\u4eec\u5c06\u5efa\u7acb\u4e00\u4e2a\u6a21\u5f0f\u5316\u7684\u6a21\u578b\uff0c\u8ba9\u6211\u4eec\u4e86\u89e3\u4e3a\u4ec0\u4e48\u6211\u4eec\u9700\u8981\u6280\u672f\u3002\u4e8b\u5b9e\u4e0a\uff0c\u53ea\u6709\u5f53\u6211\u4eec\u80fd\u591f\u627e\u5230\u65b0\u6280\u672f\u6210\u529f\u6216\u5931\u8d25\u80cc\u540e\u7684\u903b\u8f91\uff0c\u6211\u4eec\u624d\u6709\u5e0c\u671b\u786e\u5b9a\u672a\u6765\u7684\u5173\u952e\u6280\u672f\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\u6211\u4eec\u9996\u5148\u770b\u4e00\u4e0b\u73b0\u6709\u7684\u5bf9\u5f53\u524d\u65b0\u6280\u672f\u7684\u826f\u597d\u626b\u63cf\uff0c\u628a\u5b83\u4f5c\u4e3a\u4e00\u4e2a\u6848\u4f8b\u7814\u7a76\u3002\u7136\u540e\uff0c\u6211\u4eec\u6d4b\u8bd5\u8fd9\u79cd\u626b\u63cf\u7684\u80fd\u529b\uff0c\u4ee5\u786e\u5b9a\u672a\u6765\u7684\u5173\u952e\u6280\u672f\u5e76\u5f3a\u8c03\u76f8\u5173\u7684\u56f0\u96be\u3002\u56e0\u6b64\uff0c\u6211\u4eec\u5f3a\u8c03\u4e86\u8fd9\u4e2a\u626b\u63cf\u4e2d\u6240\u7f3a\u5c11\u7684\u4e1c\u897f\uff0c\u4ee5\u4f7f\u6211\u4eec\u80fd\u591f\u63a8\u8fdb\u6211\u4eec\u7684\u95ee\u9898\u3002\u6700\u540e\uff0c\u5728\u8fd9\u4e9b\u53d1\u73b0\u7684\u57fa\u7840\u4e0a\uff0c\u6211\u4eec\u5f00\u59cb\u5efa\u7acb\u7b2c\u4e00\u4e2a\u793a\u610f\u56fe\u6a21\u578b\uff0c\u8fd9\u5c06\u4f7f\u6211\u4eec\u80fd\u591f\u8bc6\u522b\u672a\u6765\u7684\u5173\u952e\u6280\u672f\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<div class=\"wp-block-cover alignfull\" 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(\u4ee5\u4e0b\u7b80\u79f0\"<em>\u96f7\u8fbe<\/em>\"\uff09\uff0c\u5176\u76ee\u7684\u662f\u63d0\u9ad8\u5bf9\u65b0\u6280\u672f\u9886\u57df \"\u5173\u952e\u8d8b\u52bf\u7684\u8ba4\u8bc6\"\u3002\u4ed6\u4eec\u4e13\u6ce8\u4e8e\u90a3\u4e9b\u4e0e\u4fdd\u9669\u884c\u4e1a\u7279\u522b\u76f8\u5173\u7684\u6280\u672f\u3002\u5c3d\u7ba1\u5982\u6b64\uff0c\u8003\u8651\u5230\u4fdd\u9669\u516c\u53f8\u5174\u8da3\u7684\u5e7f\u6cdb\u6027\uff0c\u4ed6\u4eec\u7684\u626b\u63cf\u5bf9\u8bb8\u591a\u90e8\u95e8\u90fd\u6709\u610f\u4e49\uff0c\u5bf9\u5f53\u524d\u65b0\u6280\u672f\u7684\u4e00\u822c\u548c\u5168\u9762\u6982\u8ff0\u4e5f\u5f88\u51fa\u8272\u3002 <\/p>\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-latest-posts__list alignright wp-block-latest-posts is-layout-flow wp-block-latest-posts-is-layout-flow\"><li><a class=\"wp-block-latest-posts__post-title\" 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href=\"https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/zh\/2026\/04\/09\/beyond-geopolitics-critical-pressures\/\">\u8d85\u8d8a\u5730\u7f18\u653f\u6cbb\uff1a\u4e86\u89e3\u91cd\u5851\u6211\u4eec\u4e16\u754c\u7684\u5173\u952e\u538b\u529b\u3002.<\/a><\/li>\n<li><a class=\"wp-block-latest-posts__post-title\" href=\"https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/zh\/2026\/03\/30\/watch-out-saudi-arabia-winner-iran-war\/\">\u5c0f\u5fc3--\u4f0a\u6717\u6218\u4e89\u3001\u6c99\u7279\u963f\u62c9\u4f2f\u548c\u80e1\u585e\u6b66\u88c5<\/a><\/li>\n<li><a class=\"wp-block-latest-posts__post-title\" href=\"https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/zh\/2026\/02\/09\/golden-dome-technological-frontier\/\">SIGNAL - \u91d1\u8272\u7a79\u9876\uff0c\u65b0\u7684\u6280\u672f\u524d\u6cbf<\/a><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\u6b64\u5916\uff0c\u8fd9\u5bb6\u8457\u540d\u7684\u518d\u4fdd\u9669\u516c\u53f8\u57282015\u5e74\u5f00\u59cb\u8fdb\u884c\u6280\u672f\u626b\u63cf\uff0c\u56e0\u6b64\u67096\u4e2a\u5e74\u5ea6\u96f7\u8fbe\u7684\u96c6\u5408\uff0c\u56e0\u6b64\uff0c\u5982\u679c\u6211\u4eec\u60f3\u770b\u4e00\u4e0b\u5386\u53f2\u6f14\u53d8\uff0c\u53ef\u4ee5\u7ed9\u6211\u4eec\u63d0\u4f9b\u6df1\u5ea6\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\u529e\u6cd5\u4e3a\"\u3002<em>\u96f7\u8fbe<\/em>\"\u8be5\u4e66\u4ee5\u6c47\u7f16\u8d8b\u52bf\u4e3a\u57fa\u7840\uff0c\u7136\u540e\u6839\u636e\u56db\u9879\u89c4\u5219\u8fdb\u884c\u7b5b\u9009\uff0c\"\u4ee5\u786e\u5b9a\u5206\u4e3a\u56db\u4e2a\u4e3b\u8981\u9886\u57df\u7684\u6700\u76f8\u5173\u7684\u8d8b\u52bf\"\uff08\u300a\u4e16\u754c\u7ecf\u6d4e\u5c55\u671b\u300b\uff09\u3002<a href=\"https:\/\/www.munichre.com\/topics-online\/en\/digitalisation\/tech-trend-radar-future-technologies-2020.html#\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">2020\u5e74\u6280\u672f\u8d8b\u52bf\u96f7\u8fbe<\/a>, p.62).\u8fd9\u4e9b\u89c4\u5219\u4e3b\u8981\u662f\u53d7\u5230\u4e00\u4e2a\u7ba1\u7406\u6846\u67b6\u7684\u542f\u53d1\uff0c\u5373 \"\u8fd0\u884c-\u589e\u957f-\u8f6c\u578b\"\uff08RGT\uff09\u6a21\u578b\uff08\u540c\u4e0a\uff0cRGT\u6a21\u578b\u7531Hunter\u7b49\u4eba\u6539\u7f16\u4e3aIT\uff0cGartner Research\uff0c2008\uff09\u3002 <\/p>\n\n\n\n<div class=\"wp-block-media-text alignwide has-media-on-the-right is-stacked-on-mobile\"><div class=\"wp-block-media-text__content\">\n<p class=\"has-normal-font-size wp-block-paragraph\">\u9996\u5148\uff0cMunich-Re\u548cErgo Tech Trend Radar 2020\u6839\u636e \"\u56db\u4e2a\u8d8b\u52bf\u9886\u57df \"\u5206\u7c7b\u5c55\u793a\u5176\u7ed3\u679c\uff08Tech Trend Radar <a href=\"https:\/\/www.munichre.com\/topics-online\/en\/digitalisation\/tech-trend-radar-future-technologies-2020.html#\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">2020<\/a> \u548c <a href=\"https:\/\/www.munichre.com\/topics-online\/en\/digitalisation\/tech-trend-radar-future-technologies-2019.html#\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">2019<\/a>): <\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>\u4ee5\u7528\u6237\u4e3a\u4e2d\u5fc3\u3002<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>\u8fde\u63a5\u7684\u4e16\u754c\u3002 <\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>\u4eba\u5de5\u667a\u80fd\u3002 <\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>2019\u5e74\u7248\u7684\u8d4b\u80fd\u6280\u672f\u3001\u524d\u98a0\u8986\u6027\u6280\u672f\u3002<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"has-small-font-size wp-block-paragraph\">(\u70b9\u51fb\u56fe\u7247\u8bbf\u95eeMunich-Re\u6587\u4ef6)<\/p>\n<\/div><figure class=\"wp-block-media-text__media\"><a href=\"https:\/\/www.munichre.com\/topics-online\/en\/digitalisation\/tech-trend-radar-future-technologies-2020.html#\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"1568\" height=\"882\" src=\"https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/05\/slide-6.001-1568x882.jpeg\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-29346 size-full\" srcset=\"https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/05\/slide-6.001-1568x882.jpeg 1568w, https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/05\/slide-6.001-500x281.jpeg 500w, https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/05\/slide-6.001-768x432.jpeg 768w, https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/05\/slide-6.001-1536x864.jpeg 1536w, https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/05\/slide-6.001-16x9.jpeg 16w, https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/05\/slide-6.001-1320x743.jpeg 1320w, https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/05\/slide-6.001-250x141.jpeg 250w, https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/05\/slide-6.001-1038x584.jpeg 1038w, https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/05\/slide-6.001.jpeg 1920w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 1568px) 100vw, 1568px\" \/><\/a><\/figure><\/div>\n\n\n\n<div class=\"wp-block-media-text alignwide has-media-on-the-right is-stacked-on-mobile\"><div class=\"wp-block-media-text__content\">\n<p class=\"has-normal-font-size wp-block-paragraph\">Munich-Re\u548cErgo\u6839\u636e\u6bcf\u9879\u6280\u672f\u7684\u6210\u719f\u5ea6\/\u91c7\u7528\u7a0b\u5ea6\u5bf9\u8d8b\u52bf\u9886\u57df\u8fdb\u884c\u4e86\u8fdb\u4e00\u6b65\u7684\u5206\u7c7b\uff0c\u8fd9\u4f7f\u5f97\u4ed6\u4eec\u53ef\u4ee5\u5c31\u5982\u4f55\u4f7f\u7528\u8be5\u6280\u672f\u63d0\u4f9b\u8be6\u7ec6\u7684\u5efa\u8bae\u3002<\/p>\n<\/div><figure class=\"wp-block-media-text__media\"><a href=\"https:\/\/www.munichre.com\/content\/dam\/munichre\/contentlounge\/website-pieces\/documents\/Tech-Trend-Radar-2020_Trends-to-Adopt.pdf\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"1568\" height=\"882\" src=\"https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/05\/slide-7-1568x882.jpeg\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-29249 size-full\" srcset=\"https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/05\/slide-7-1568x882.jpeg 1568w, https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/05\/slide-7-500x281.jpeg 500w, https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/05\/slide-7-768x432.jpeg 768w, https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/05\/slide-7-1536x864.jpeg 1536w, https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/05\/slide-7-16x9.jpeg 16w, https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/05\/slide-7-1320x743.jpeg 1320w, https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/05\/slide-7-250x141.jpeg 250w, https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/05\/slide-7-1038x584.jpeg 1038w, https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/05\/slide-7.jpeg 1920w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 1568px) 100vw, 1568px\" \/><\/a><\/figure><\/div>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\u56e0\u6b64\uff0c\u6211\u4eec\u670952\u9879\u611f\u5174\u8da3\u7684\u6280\u672f\uff0c\u5176\u4e2d10\u9879\u88ab\u8ba4\u4e3a\u662f2020\u5e74\u7684\u65b0\u6280\u672f\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<div class=\"wp-block-cover alignfull\" style=\"min-height:153px;aspect-ratio:unset;\"><span aria-hidden=\"true\" class=\"wp-block-cover__background has-background-dim-0 has-background-dim\"><\/span><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"1194\" height=\"941\" class=\"wp-block-cover__image-background wp-image-29277\" alt=\"\" src=\"https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/05\/safe-2-1194x941.jpg\" data-object-fit=\"cover\" srcset=\"https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/05\/safe-2-1194x941.jpg 1194w, https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/05\/safe-2-381x300.jpg 381w, https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/05\/safe-2-768x605.jpg 768w, https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/05\/safe-2-1536x1211.jpg 1536w, https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/05\/safe-2-2048x1614.jpg 2048w, https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/05\/safe-2-16x12.jpg 16w, https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/05\/safe-2-1568x1236.jpg 1568w, https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/05\/safe-2-1320x1040.jpg 1320w, https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/05\/safe-2-250x197.jpg 250w, https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/05\/safe-2-1038x818.jpg 1038w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 1194px) 100vw, 1194px\" \/><div class=\"wp-block-cover__inner-container is-layout-flow wp-block-cover-is-layout-flow\">\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">\u4f46\u54ea\u4e9b\u5c06\u662f\u672a\u6765\u7684\u5173\u952e\uff1f<\/h3>\n<\/div><\/div>\n\n\n\n<h4 class=\"wp-block-heading\">\u6211\u4eec\u80fd\u4e0d\u80fd\u7528\u8fd9\u79cd\u65b9\u6cd5\u8fdb\u884c\u5c55\u671b\uff1f<\/h4>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\u5728\u8fd952\u9879\u6280\u672f\u4e2d\uff0c\u54ea\u4e9b\u662f\u6216\u8005\u8bf4\u5c06\u662f\u672a\u6765\u7684\u5173\u952e\u6280\u672f\u6216\u6700\u91cd\u8981\u7684\u6280\u672f\uff1f\u6211\u4eec\u5982\u4f55\u624d\u80fd\u627e\u51fa\u7b54\u6848\uff1f <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\u6b64\u5916\uff0c\u6211\u4eec\u600e\u4e48\u80fd\u786e\u5b9a\u6240\u6709\u672a\u6765\u7684\u5173\u952e\u6280\u672f\u90fd\u5728\u8fd9\u91cc\uff1f\u6211\u4eec\u4f1a\u4e0d\u4f1a\u7f3a\u5c11\u4e00\u9879\u5173\u952e\u6280\u672f\uff0c\u6216\u8bb8\u591a\u5173\u952e\u6280\u672f\uff1f <\/p>\n\n\n\n<h5 class=\"wp-block-heading\">\u7cbe\u8015\u7ec6\u4f5c\u7684\u6848\u4f8b<\/h5>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\u4f8b\u5982\uff0c\"\u7cbe\u51c6\u519c\u4e1a\"--\u4e5f\u88ab\u79f0\u4e3a \"\u667a\u80fd\u519c\u4e1a \"\u6216 \"\u667a\u6167\u519c\u4e1a\"--\u5728Munich-re-Ergo\u662f\u4e2a\u65b0\u9c9c\u4e8b\u7269\u3002 <em>\u96f7\u8fbe<\/em> 2020\u5e74\uff0c\u6ca1\u6709\u5305\u62ec\u57282019\u5e74\u7684\u7248\u672c\u4e2d\uff08\u540c\u4e0a\uff09\u3002 <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\u7136\u800c\uff0c\u50cf\u8fea\u5c14\u516c\u53f8\u8fd9\u6837\u7684\u516c\u53f8\u81f3\u5c11\u57282017\u5e74\u5df2\u7ecf\u5f00\u59cb\u4e3a\u667a\u80fd\u519c\u4e1a\u505a\u51c6\u5907\uff08Helene Lavoix, <a href=\"https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/zh\/2019\/04\/01\/%e4%ba%ba%e5%b7%a5%e6%99%ba%e8%83%bd-%e7%89%a9%e8%81%94%e7%bd%91%e5%92%8c%e5%86%9c%e4%b8%9a%e7%9a%84%e6%9c%aa%e6%9d%a5-%e6%99%ba%e8%83%bd%e5%86%9c%e4%b8%9a-%e5%ae%89%e5%85%a8-1\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">\u4eba\u5de5\u667a\u80fd\u3001\u7269\u8054\u7f51\u548c\u519c\u4e1a\u7684\u672a\u6765\u3002\u667a\u80fd\u519c\u4e1a\u5b89\u5168\uff1f \u7b2c\u4e00\u90e8\u5206<\/a> \u548c <a href=\"https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/zh\/2019\/04\/08\/%e4%ba%ba%e5%b7%a5%e6%99%ba%e8%83%bd-%e7%89%a9%e8%81%94%e7%bd%91%e5%92%8c%e5%86%9c%e4%b8%9a%e7%9a%84%e6%9c%aa%e6%9d%a5-%e6%99%ba%e8%83%bd%e5%86%9c%e4%b8%9a-%e5%ae%89%e5%85%a8-2\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">\u7b2c\u4e8c\u90e8\u5206<\/a>, <em>\u8fdc\u666f\u6d1e\u5bdf\u7814\u7a76\u6240<\/em>, 2019).2018\u5e74\u5bf9\u8be5\u9886\u57df\u7684\u5174\u8da3\u548c\u6295\u8d44\u6709\u6240\u589e\u52a0\uff0c\u7136\u540e\u57282019\u5e74\uff08\u540c\u4e0a\uff09\u3002\u56e0\u6b64\uff0c\"\u3002<em>\u96f7\u8fbe<\/em>\"\u5df2\u7ecf\u665a\u4e86\u4e09\u5e74\u3002\u5982\u679c\u6211\u4eec\u4f7f\u75282019\u5e74\u7684 \"\u96f7\u8fbe\"\uff0c\u90a3\u4e48\u6211\u4eec\u5c06\u5b8c\u5168\u9519\u8fc7\u4e00\u9879\u6280\u672f\uff0c\u53ef\u80fd\u662f\u672a\u6765\u7684\u5173\u952e\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h5 class=\"wp-block-heading\">\u6e90\u81ea\u751f\u6210\u5bf9\u6297\u7f51\u7edc\uff08GANs\uff09\u7684 \"\u6df1\u5ea6\u9020\u5047 \"\u6848\u4f8b<\/h5>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\u540c\u6837\uff0c\"\u6df1\u5ea6\u9632\u4f2a \"\u4e5f\u8fdb\u5165\u4e86\"\u3002<em>\u96f7\u8fbe<\/em>\u57282020\u5e74\uff0c\u5728 \"\u4ee5\u7528\u6237\u4e3a\u4e2d\u5fc3 \"\u7684\u8d8b\u52bf\u9886\u57df\u4e2d\uff0c\"\u4ee5\u7528\u6237\u4e3a\u4e2d\u5fc3 \"\u662f\u4e00\u4e2a\u91cd\u8981\u7684\u6982\u5ff5\u3002 <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\u7136\u800c\uff0c2017\u5e74\u51fa\u73b0\u4e86 \"\u6df1\u5ea6\u9020\u5047 \"\u8fd9\u4e00\u540d\u79f0\uff0c\u4ee5\u8868\u8fbe\u5bf9\u6d89\u53ca\u4eba\u5de5\u667a\u80fd\uff08AI\uff09\u7684\u9020\u5047\u7684\u5173\u6ce8\uff08Laurie A. Harris, \"<a href=\"https:\/\/crsreports.congress.gov\/product\/pdf\/IF\/IF11333\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">\u6df1\u5ea6\u9020\u5047\u4e0e\u56fd\u5bb6\u5b89\u5168<\/a>\u201c,  <em>\u56fd\u4f1a\u7814\u7a76\u5904<\/em>\uff0c2021\u5e745\u67087\u65e5\u66f4\u65b0\uff0c\u7b2c\u4e09\u7248\uff09\u3002\u7f8e\u56fd\u56fd\u9632\u90e8\u9ad8\u7ea7\u7814\u7a76\u8ba1\u5212\u5c40\uff08DARPA\uff09\u6709\u4e24\u4e2a\u4e13\u6ce8\u4e8e\u6253\u51fb\u6df1\u5ea6\u9020\u5047\u7684\u8ba1\u5212\u3002\u7b2c\u4e00\u4e2a\u3002 <a href=\"https:\/\/www.darpa.mil\/program\/media-forensics\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">\u5a92\u4f53\u9274\u8bc1\u5b66<\/a>&nbsp;(MediFor)\u4e8e2016\u5e74\u5f00\u59cb\uff0c\u7b2c\u4e8c\u4e2a <a href=\"https:\/\/www.darpa.mil\/program\/semantic-forensics\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">\u8bed\u4e49\u9274\u8bc1\u5b66<\/a> (SemaFor)\u57282019\u5e74\u3002 <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\u56e0\u6b64\uff0c\u5728\u8fd9\u91cc\uff0c\"\"\u518d\u6b21\u6210\u4e3a<em>\u96f7\u8fbe<\/em>\u5c31\u6211\u4eec\u7684\u76ee\u7684\u800c\u8a00\uff0c\u5728\u786e\u5b9a\u4e00\u4e2a\u5173\u952e\u8d8b\u52bf\u65b9\u9762\uff0c\"\u662f\u8fdf\u5230\u7684\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\u540c\u65f6\uff0c\u6df1\u5c42\u9020\u5047\u6700\u5e38\u4ee5\u751f\u6210\u5bf9\u6297\u7f51\u7edc\uff08GANs\uff09\u4e3a\u57fa\u7840\uff0c\u8fd9\u6b21\u786e\u5b9e\u5728\u4eba\u5de5\u667a\u80fd\u7684 \"\u96f7\u8fbe \"\u4e2d\u88ab\u786e\u8ba4\u3002GANs\u8fdb\u5165\u4e86\"<em>\u96f7\u8fbe<\/em>\"\u57282019\u5e74\uff08\u540c\u4e0a\uff09\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<div class=\"wp-block-media-text alignwide has-media-on-the-right is-stacked-on-mobile\"><div class=\"wp-block-media-text__content\">\n<p class=\"has-normal-font-size wp-block-paragraph\">\u751f\u6210\u5f0f\u5bf9\u6297\u7f51\u7edc\uff08GAN\uff09\u662f\u57282014\u5e74\u53d1\u660e\u7684\u3002<br>GANs\u662f\u65e0\u76d1\u7763\u5b66\u4e60\uff08UL\uff09\u7684\u4e00\u90e8\u5206\uff1a\u673a\u5668\u4ece\u65e0\u6807\u7b7e\u7684\u6570\u636e\u4e2d\u627e\u5230\u57fa\u672c\u7ed3\u6784\u7684\u80fd\u529b\u3002<\/p>\n<\/div><figure class=\"wp-block-media-text__media\"><a href=\"https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/05\/slides-GANs.001.jpeg\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"1568\" height=\"882\" src=\"https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/05\/slides-GANs.001-1568x882.jpeg\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-29338 size-full\" srcset=\"https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/05\/slides-GANs.001-1568x882.jpeg 1568w, https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/05\/slides-GANs.001-500x281.jpeg 500w, https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/05\/slides-GANs.001-768x432.jpeg 768w, https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/05\/slides-GANs.001-1536x864.jpeg 1536w, https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/05\/slides-GANs.001-16x9.jpeg 16w, https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/05\/slides-GANs.001-1320x743.jpeg 1320w, https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/05\/slides-GANs.001-250x141.jpeg 250w, https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/05\/slides-GANs.001-1038x584.jpeg 1038w, https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/05\/slides-GANs.001.jpeg 1920w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 1568px) 100vw, 1568px\" \/><\/a><\/figure><\/div>\n\n\n\n<div class=\"wp-block-media-text alignwide has-media-on-the-right is-stacked-on-mobile\"><div class=\"wp-block-media-text__content\">\n<p class=\"has-normal-font-size wp-block-paragraph\">GANs\u5355\u72ec\u5bf9\u7269\u4f53\u8fdb\u884c\u5206\u7ec4\uff0c\u627e\u5230 \"\u6982\u5ff5\"\uff1a\u50cf\u7d20\u6811\u4e0e\u50cf\u7d20\u6811\uff0c\u95e8\u4e0e\u95e8\u7b49\uff08\u5982Gan Paint\uff09\u3002<\/p>\n<\/div><figure class=\"wp-block-media-text__media\"><a href=\"https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/05\/slides-GANs.002.jpeg\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"1568\" height=\"882\" src=\"https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/05\/slides-GANs.002-1568x882.jpeg\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-29339 size-full\" srcset=\"https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/05\/slides-GANs.002-1568x882.jpeg 1568w, https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/05\/slides-GANs.002-500x281.jpeg 500w, https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/05\/slides-GANs.002-768x432.jpeg 768w, https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/05\/slides-GANs.002-1536x864.jpeg 1536w, https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/05\/slides-GANs.002-16x9.jpeg 16w, https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/05\/slides-GANs.002-1320x743.jpeg 1320w, https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/05\/slides-GANs.002-250x141.jpeg 250w, https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/05\/slides-GANs.002-1038x584.jpeg 1038w, https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/05\/slides-GANs.002.jpeg 1920w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 1568px) 100vw, 1568px\" \/><\/a><\/figure><\/div>\n\n\n\n<div class=\"wp-block-media-text alignwide has-media-on-the-right is-stacked-on-mobile\"><div class=\"wp-block-media-text__content\">\n<p class=\"has-normal-font-size wp-block-paragraph\">\u751f\u6210\u7684\u56fe\u50cf\u8d28\u91cf\u60ca\u4eba\uff0c\u5728\u73b0\u5b9e\u4e2d\u5e76\u4e0d\u5b58\u5728\uff0c\u8fd9\u4f7f\u4eba\u4eec\u6709\u4e86\u4ee4\u4eba\u96be\u4ee5\u7f6e\u4fe1\u7684\u53ef\u80fd\u6027\u3002\u5b83\u4eec\u53ef\u80fd\u6709\u8d1f\u9762\u7684\u5e94\u7528\uff0c\u4f8b\u5982\u7528\u4e8e\u4f2a\u9020\u3002\u5b83\u4eec\u4e5f\u53ef\u80fd\u5bfc\u81f4\u8bb8\u591a\u5176\u4ed6\u6d3b\u52a8\u7684\u5efa\u8bbe\u6027\u7528\u9014\uff0c\u5982\u57ce\u5e02\u89c4\u5212\u3001\u5efa\u7b51\u3001\u7535\u5f71\u3001\u65f6\u5c1a\u7b49\uff08\u4e5f\u89c1Helene Lavoix, <a rel=\"noreferrer noopener\" href=\"https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/zh\/2019\/01\/14\/%e5%9c%a8%e7%8e%b0%e5%ae%9e%e4%b8%ad%e6%8f%92%e5%85%a5%e4%ba%ba%e5%b7%a5%e6%99%ba%e8%83%bd-ai%e7%9a%84%e9%a9%b1%e5%8a%a8%e5%9b%a0%e7%b4%a0\/\" target=\"_blank\">\u5728\u73b0\u5b9e\u4e2d\u63d2\u5165\u4eba\u5de5\u667a\u80fd<\/a>, <em>\u8fdc\u666f\u6d1e\u5bdf\u7814\u7a76\u6240<\/em>, 2019\u5e741\u6708\uff09\u3002<\/p>\n<\/div><figure class=\"wp-block-media-text__media\"><a href=\"https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/05\/slides-GANs.003.jpeg\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"1568\" height=\"882\" src=\"https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/05\/slides-GANs.003-1568x882.jpeg\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-29340 size-full\" srcset=\"https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/05\/slides-GANs.003-1568x882.jpeg 1568w, https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/05\/slides-GANs.003-500x281.jpeg 500w, https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/05\/slides-GANs.003-768x432.jpeg 768w, https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/05\/slides-GANs.003-1536x864.jpeg 1536w, https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/05\/slides-GANs.003-16x9.jpeg 16w, https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/05\/slides-GANs.003-1320x743.jpeg 1320w, https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/05\/slides-GANs.003-250x141.jpeg 250w, https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/05\/slides-GANs.003-1038x584.jpeg 1038w, https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/05\/slides-GANs.003.jpeg 1920w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 1568px) 100vw, 1568px\" \/><\/a><\/figure><\/div>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\u56e0\u6b64\uff0c\u8bc6\u522bGAN\u5e94\u8be5\u5bfc\u81f4\u770b\u5b83\u7684\u4f7f\u7528\u548c\u8bef\u7528\uff0c\u65e9\u5728GAN\u65b0\u6280\u672f\u88ab\u53d1\u73b0\u7684\u65f6\u5019\u3002\u6b64\u5916\uff0c\u5c06\u4e24\u79cd\u76f8\u5173\u7684 \"\u6280\u672f \"\u5f52\u5165\u4e0d\u540c\u7684\u7c7b\u522b--\u5373\u4f7f\u8fd9\u4e9b\u7c7b\u522b\u88ab\u79f0\u4e3a \"\u9886\u57df\"--\u53ef\u80fd\u4f1a\u4ea7\u751f\u95ee\u9898\uff0c\u6211\u4eec\u5c06\u5728\u4e0b\u9762\u770b\u5230\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\u5f53\u7136\uff0c\u53ea\u6709\u90a3\u4e9b\u4ec0\u4e48\u90fd\u4e0d\u505a\u7684\u4eba\u624d\u4e0d\u4f1a\u72af\u4efb\u4f55\u9519\u8bef\u3002\u7136\u800c\uff0c\u5982\u679c\u4e00\u4e9b\u6280\u672f\u4ee5\u524d\u5c31\u88ab\u53d1\u73b0\u5f97\u5f88\u665a\uff0c\u90a3\u4e48\uff0c\u662f\u5426\u53ef\u4ee5\u91c7\u7528\u7c7b\u4f3c\u4e8e\"\"\u7684\u65b9\u6cd5\u3002<em>\u96f7\u8fbe<\/em>\" \u5bfc\u81f4\u6211\u4eec\u73b0\u5728\u4e3a\u672a\u6765\u9519\u8fc7\u4e86\u4e00\u4e9b\u5176\u4ed6\u7684\u4e1c\u897f\uff1f<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\u5982\u679c\u662f\u8fd9\u6837\uff0c\u54ea\u4e2a\u53ef\u80fd\u662f\u88ab\u9057\u5fd8\u7684\u91cd\u8981\u65b0\u6280\u672f\uff1f\u6211\u4eec\u53ef\u4ee5\u6539\u53d8\u6211\u4eec\u7684\u6765\u6e90\uff0c\u4f7f\u7528\u66f4\u597d\u7684\u6216\u66f4\u591a\u7684\u6269\u5c55\u3002\u4f46\u662f\uff0c\u8fd9\u5c31\u591f\u4e86\u5417\uff1f\u6211\u4eec\u600e\u4e48\u80fd\u77e5\u9053\u5462\uff1f<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\u5f53\u6211\u4eec\u4f7f\u7528\u8bf8\u5982\"\"\u7684\u65b9\u6cd5\u65f6\uff0c\u6211\u4eec\u80fd\u5426\u786e\u5b9a\u7f3a\u5c11\u4ec0\u4e48\u6216\u53ef\u4ee5\u6539\u8fdb\u4ec0\u4e48\uff1f<em>\u96f7\u8fbe<\/em>\u201c?<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h4 class=\"wp-block-heading\">\u6d17\u8863\u6e05\u5355\u7684\u95ee\u9898 <\/h4>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\u7684\"\u3002<em>\u96f7\u8fbe<\/em>\"\u6211\u4eec\u5728\u8fd9\u91cc\u4f5c\u4e3a\u4e00\u4e2a\u6848\u4f8b\u7814\u7a76\uff0c\u5411\u6211\u4eec\u63d0\u4f9b\u4e86\u4e00\u4e2a\u957f\u957f\u7684\u6280\u672f\u6e05\u5355\uff0c\u901a\u8fc7\u6807\u8bb0\u4e3a \"\u8d8b\u52bf\u9886\u57df \"\u7684\u7c7b\u522b\u8fdb\u884c\u5206\u7c7b\u3002\u4f46\u6211\u4eec\u5e76\u4e0d\u6e05\u695a\u8fd9\u4e9b \"\u8d8b\u52bf\u9886\u57df \"\u662f\u5982\u4f55\u548c\u4e3a\u4ec0\u4e48\u88ab\u9009\u62e9\u7684\u3002 <\/p>\n\n\n\n<h5 class=\"wp-block-heading\">\u7c7b\u522b<\/h5>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\u5206\u7c7b\u7528\u4e8e\u5e76\u4ea7\u751f\u4e8e\u5206\u7c7b\uff0c\u8fd9\u662f\u5927\u8111\u7684\u4e00\u4e2a\u57fa\u672c\u8ba4\u77e5\u529f\u80fd\uff08Fabrice Bak\uff0c2013: 107-113\uff09\u3002\u4e8b\u5b9e\u4e0a\uff0c\"\u5206\u7c7b\u662f\u4e00\u4e2a\u8fc7\u7a0b\uff0c\u4eba\u4eec\u901a\u8fc7\u8ba1\u7b97\u76f8\u4f3c\u6027\u548c\u5dee\u5f02\u6027\u6765\u7406\u89e3\u4e8b\u7269\"\uff08McGarty, Mavor, &amp; Skorich, 2015\uff09\u3002\u5206\u7c7b\u7684\u6700\u9ad8\u5c42\u6b21\u662f\u5206\u5c42\u7684\uff08\u7ec4\u7ec7\u6210\u6811\u72b6\uff09\uff0c\u88ab\u79f0\u4e3a\u5206\u7c7b\u5b66\u6216\u5206\u5c42\u5206\u7c7b\u3002\u5728\u7ecf\u5178\u7684\u672f\u8bed\u4e2d\uff0c\u7c7b\u522b\u5fc5\u987b\u88ab\u660e\u786e\u5b9a\u4e49\uff08\u54ea\u4e9b\u6807\u51c6\u662f\u4f7f\u4e00\u4e2a\u9879\u76ee\u6210\u4e3a\u8be5\u7c7b\u522b\u7684\u4e00\u90e8\u5206\u6216\u4e0d\u5c5e\u4e8e\u8be5\u7c7b\u522b\u7684\u5fc5\u8981\u6761\u4ef6\uff09\u3001\u76f8\u4e92\u6392\u65a5\uff08\u4e00\u4e2a\u9879\u76ee\u53ea\u80fd\u5c5e\u4e8e\u4e00\u4e2a\u7c7b\u522b\uff09\u548c\u5b8c\u5168\u8be6\u5c3d\uff08\u6240\u6709\u7c7b\u522b\u4e00\u8d77\u4ee3\u8868\u5efa\u7acb\u7c7b\u522b\u7684\u6574\u4e2a\u96c6\u5408\uff09\uff08OECD\uff0c\"<a href=\"https:\/\/stats.oecd.org\/glossary\/detail.asp?ID=350\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">\u5206\u7c7b<\/a>\"\uff0c\u4f7f\u7528\u56fd\u9645\u7ecf\u6d4e\u548c\u793e\u4f1a\u5206\u7c7b\u4e13\u5bb6\u7ec4\u7f16\u5236\u7684 \"\u8054\u5408\u56fd\u5206\u7c7b\u672f\u8bed\u8868\"\uff1b\u672a\u53d1\u8868\u5728\u7eb8\u4e0a\uff09\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\u5206\u7c7b\u6cd5\u7684\u5178\u578b\u4f8b\u5b50\u662f\u6797\u5948\u5bf9\u690d\u7269\u3001\u52a8\u7269\u548c\u77ff\u7269\u7684\u5206\u7c7b(<em>\u517d\u6027\u5927\u53d1<\/em>,&nbsp;<em>\u6444\u53d6\u690d\u7269\u4eba<\/em>&nbsp;\u548c&nbsp;<em>Regnum Lapideum<\/em>)\uff0c\u6839\u636e\u4e0d\u540c\u7684\u9636\u7ea7\uff0c\u4ed6\u7684\u8fd9\u9879\u5de5\u4f5c\u662f\u7531\u4ed6\u7684 <a href=\"https:\/\/www.biodiversitylibrary.org\/bibliography\/669\"><em>\u690d\u7269\u4eba\u7269\u79cd<\/em><\/a>\u4ed6\u4e8e1753\u5e74\u53d1\u8868\u4e86\u300a\u6211\u7684\u751f\u6d3b\u300b\u4e00\u4e66\uff0c\u5e76\u5728\u4ed6\u7684\u4e00\u751f\u4e2d\u4e00\u76f4\u575a\u6301\u7740\uff08\u89c1\u4ed6\u7684\u300a\u6211\u7684\u751f\u6d3b\u300b\uff09\u3002 <a href=\"https:\/\/en.wikipedia.org\/wiki\/Carl_Linnaeus_bibliography\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">\u53c2\u8003\u4e66\u76ee<\/a>).\u5728\u6797\u5948\u5de5\u4f5c\u7684\u57fa\u7840\u4e0a\uff0c\u73b0\u5728\u7684\u751f\u7269\u4f53\u88ab\u7ec4\u7ec7\u5728\u4ee5\u4e0b\u5305\u5bb9\u7684\u5206\u7c7b\u6cd5\u4e2d\uff0c\u4ece\u6700\u591a\u5230\u6700\u5c11\u3002\u738b\u56fd\u3001\u95e8\u3001\u7c7b\u3001\u76ee\u3001\u79d1\u3001\u5c5e\u3001\u79cd\u548c\u83cc\u79cd\u3002 <\/p>\n\n\n\n<h5 class=\"wp-block-heading\">\u4e0d\u662f\u771f\u6b63\u7684\u7c7b\u522b<\/h5>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\u73b0\u5728\uff0c\u5982\u679c\u6211\u4eec\u770b\u4e00\u4e0b\u5728\"\"\u4e2d\u4f7f\u7528\u7684 \"\u8d8b\u52bf\u5b57\u6bb5\"\u3002<em>\u62c9\u8fbe<\/em>\u6211\u4eec\u89c2\u5bdf\u5230\u7684\u662f\uff0c\u5b83\u4eec\u6ca1\u6709\u5c0a\u91cd\u4e00\u4e2a\u7c7b\u522b\u5e94\u8be5\u5177\u6709\u7684\u4efb\u4f55\u7279\u6027\u3002 <\/p>\n\n\n\n<div class=\"wp-block-media-text alignwide has-media-on-the-right is-stacked-on-mobile\"><div class=\"wp-block-media-text__content\">\n<p class=\"has-normal-font-size wp-block-paragraph\">1- <strong>\u5b83\u4eec\u6ca1\u6709\u5f97\u5230\u5f88\u597d\u7684\u754c\u5b9a<\/strong>.\u6ca1\u6709\u4e00\u4e2a\u6807\u51c6\u53ef\u4ee5\u8f7b\u6613\u5730\u5c06\u4e00\u4e2a\u9879\u76ee\u5f52\u5165\u67d0\u4e2a \"\u8d8b\u52bf\u9886\u57df \"\u6216\u53e6\u4e00\u4e2a\u9886\u57df\u3002\u4f8b\u5982\uff0c\u5404\u79cd\u7c7b\u578b\u7684\u4eba\u5de5\u667a\u80fd\u5b9e\u9645\u4e0a\u4e0d\u4e5f\u662f\u4f7f\u80fd\u6280\u672f\u5417\uff1f  <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"has-normal-font-size wp-block-paragraph\">2- <strong>\u5b83\u4eec\u5e76\u4e0d\u76f8\u4e92\u6392\u65a5<\/strong>\u4e5f\u5c31\u662f\u8bf4\uff0c\u4e00\u4e9b\u9879\u76ee\u53ef\u80fd\u5c5e\u4e8e\u4e24\u4e2a\u6216\u66f4\u591a\u7684 \"\u8d8b\u52bf\u9886\u57df\"\u30025G\u662f\u6709\u5229\u7684\uff0c\u4e5f\u662f\u8fde\u63a5\u4e16\u754c\u7684\u4e00\u90e8\u5206\u3002 <a href=\"https:\/\/www.sciencedirect.com\/topics\/materials-science\/smart-textiles\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">\u667a\u80fd\u7eba\u7ec7\u54c1<\/a> \u4e5f\u662f\u4ee5\u7528\u6237\u4e3a\u4e2d\u5fc3\u7684\uff0c\u53ef\u4ee5\u88ab\u89c6\u4e3a <a href=\"https:\/\/ideas.ted.com\/a-peek-into-the-brave-new-world-of-programmable-materials\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">\u53ef\u7f16\u7a0b\u6750\u6599<\/a>;IA\u4f7f\u81ea\u4e3b\u4e8b\u7269\u548c\u7cbe\u786e\u8015\u4f5c\u6210\u4e3a\u53ef\u80fd\uff0c\u6b63\u5982\u6240\u89c1\uff0c\u7b49\u7b49\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"has-normal-font-size wp-block-paragraph\">3- <strong>\u5b83\u4eec\u53ef\u80fd\u4e0d\u662f\u8be6\u5c3d\u7684<\/strong>\u8fd9\u5c31\u9020\u6210\u4e86\u6211\u4eec\u7684\u95ee\u9898\uff0c\u5373\u4e0d\u77e5\u9053\u6211\u4eec\u662f\u5426\u6ca1\u6709\u9519\u8fc7\u4ec0\u4e48\u3002 <\/p>\n<\/div><figure class=\"wp-block-media-text__media\"><a href=\"https:\/\/www.munichre.com\/topics-online\/en\/digitalisation\/tech-trend-radar-future-technologies-2020.html#\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"1568\" height=\"882\" src=\"https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/05\/slide-5.001-1568x882.jpeg\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-29248 size-full\" srcset=\"https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/05\/slide-5.001-1568x882.jpeg 1568w, https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/05\/slide-5.001-500x281.jpeg 500w, https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/05\/slide-5.001-768x432.jpeg 768w, https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/05\/slide-5.001-1536x864.jpeg 1536w, https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/05\/slide-5.001-16x9.jpeg 16w, https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/05\/slide-5.001-1320x743.jpeg 1320w, https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/05\/slide-5.001-250x141.jpeg 250w, https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/05\/slide-5.001-1038x584.jpeg 1038w, https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/05\/slide-5.001.jpeg 1920w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 1568px) 100vw, 1568px\" \/><\/a><\/figure><\/div>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\u8fd9\u91cc\u7684\u56db\u4e2a \"\u8d8b\u52bf\u9886\u57df\"\uff0c\u4f3c\u4e4e\u4e3b\u8981\u662f\u601d\u7ef4\u4e60\u60ef\u3001\u73b0\u6709\u7684\u540d\u79f0\u6216\u4e0d\u76f8\u5e72\u7684\u7c7b\u522b\uff0c\u4f7f\u8bfb\u8005\u548c\u7528\u6237\u80fd\u591f\u5feb\u901f\u548c\u5bb9\u6613\u5730\u8bc6\u522b\u8fc7\u7a0b\u4e2d\u9009\u62e9\u7684\u65b0\u6280\u672f\u3002&nbsp;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h5 class=\"wp-block-heading\">\u9759\u6001\u7c7b\u522b<\/h5>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\u5728\u6211\u4eec\u7684\u6848\u4f8b\u7814\u7a76\u4e2d\uff0cMunich-Re\u548cErgo\u6839\u636e\u7b2c\u4e8c\u79cd\u5206\u7c7b\u65b9\u6cd5\u5bf9\u7b2c\u4e00\u79cd \"\u539f\u59cb\u5206\u7c7b \"\u8fdb\u884c\u5206\u7c7b\uff1a\u6280\u672f\u7684\u6210\u719f\u5ea6\/\u91c7\u7528\u7a0b\u5ea6\u3002 <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\u5c31\u6210\u4e3a\u4e00\u4e2a\u7c7b\u522b\u6240\u9700\u7684\u89c4\u5219\u800c\u8a00\uff0c\u7b2c\u4e8c\u79cd\u5206\u7c7b\u4f3c\u4e4e\u662f\u6b63\u786e\u7684\u3002\u7136\u800c\uff0c\u7528\u4e8e\u5efa\u7acb\u7b2c\u4e8c\u4e2a\u7c7b\u522b\u7684\u6807\u51c6\u4e5f\u4ecd\u7136\u662f\u5411\u5185\u7684\u3002\u4e00\u4e2a\u4e0e\u6211\u4eec\u5173\u6ce8\u7684\u95ee\u9898\u76f8\u5173\u7684\u52a8\u6001\u89e3\u91ca\u56e0\u7d20\u88ab\u9057\u6f0f\u4e86\u3002\u6211\u4eec\u65e0\u6cd5\u77e5\u9053\u4ec0\u4e48\u4f1a\u6210\u529f\u6216\u4e0d\u6210\u529f\uff0c\u56e0\u4e3a\u6211\u4eec\u6ca1\u6709\u4e00\u4e2a\u89e3\u91ca\u6280\u672f\u672a\u6765\u6210\u529f\u7684\u903b\u8f91\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<div class=\"wp-block-cover alignfull\" style=\"min-height:208px;aspect-ratio:unset;\"><span aria-hidden=\"true\" class=\"wp-block-cover__background has-background-dim-0 has-background-dim\"><\/span><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"1194\" height=\"941\" class=\"wp-block-cover__image-background wp-image-29277\" alt=\"\" src=\"https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/05\/safe-2-1194x941.jpg\" style=\"object-position:79% 84%\" data-object-fit=\"cover\" data-object-position=\"79% 84%\" srcset=\"https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/05\/safe-2-1194x941.jpg 1194w, https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/05\/safe-2-381x300.jpg 381w, https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/05\/safe-2-768x605.jpg 768w, https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/05\/safe-2-1536x1211.jpg 1536w, https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/05\/safe-2-2048x1614.jpg 2048w, https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/05\/safe-2-16x12.jpg 16w, https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/05\/safe-2-1568x1236.jpg 1568w, https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/05\/safe-2-1320x1040.jpg 1320w, https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/05\/safe-2-250x197.jpg 250w, https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/05\/safe-2-1038x818.jpg 1038w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 1194px) 100vw, 1194px\" \/><div class=\"wp-block-cover__inner-container is-layout-flow wp-block-cover-is-layout-flow\">\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"model\" style=\"line-height:1.5\">\u5efa\u7acb\u4e00\u4e2a\u6a21\u578b\uff0c\u4f7f\u6211\u4eec\u80fd\u591f\u4e86\u89e3\u662f\u4ec0\u4e48\u8ba9\u6280\u672f\u6210\u4e3a\u5173\u952e<\/h3>\n<\/div><\/div>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\u6211\u4eec\u9700\u8981\u7684\u662f\u4e00\u4e2a\u6a21\u578b\uff0c\u5b83\u80fd\u7cfb\u7edf\u5730\u89e3\u91ca\u6280\u672f\u7684\u76ee\u7684\uff0c\u4e3a\u4ec0\u4e48\u6211\u4eec\u4f7f\u7528\u5b83\u4eec\uff0c\u4e3a\u4ec0\u4e48\u5b83\u4eec\u5bf9\u6211\u4eec\u4eba\u7c7b\u5f88\u91cd\u8981\u3002\u5982\u679c\u6211\u4eec\u7406\u89e3\u4e86\uff0c\u751a\u81f3\u662f\u793a\u610f\u6027\u5730\u7406\u89e3\u4e86\u8fd9\u4e00\u903b\u8f91\uff0c\u90a3\u4e48\u6211\u4eec\u5c31\u53ef\u4ee5\u8bbe\u60f3\u90a3\u4e9b\u5c06\u6210\u4e3a\u672a\u6765\u7684\u5173\u952e\u7684\u6280\u672f\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\u8ba9\u6211\u4eec\u8bb2\u8ff0\u4eba\u7c7b\u548c\u6280\u672f\u7684\u6545\u4e8b--\u6216\u4e00\u4e2a\u6545\u4e8b\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<div class=\"wp-block-media-text alignwide has-media-on-the-right is-stacked-on-mobile is-vertically-aligned-center\"><div class=\"wp-block-media-text__content\">\n<p class=\"has-normal-font-size wp-block-paragraph\">\u6211\u4eec\u6709\u4e00\u4e2a\u661f\u7403\uff0c\u91cc\u9762\u4f4f\u7740\u8bb8\u591a\u4eba\u3002<\/p>\n<\/div><figure class=\"wp-block-media-text__media\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"1568\" height=\"882\" src=\"https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/05\/futur-tech-RTAS-article.001-1568x882.jpeg\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-29244 size-full\" srcset=\"https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/05\/futur-tech-RTAS-article.001-1568x882.jpeg 1568w, https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/05\/futur-tech-RTAS-article.001-500x281.jpeg 500w, https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/05\/futur-tech-RTAS-article.001-768x432.jpeg 768w, https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/05\/futur-tech-RTAS-article.001-1536x864.jpeg 1536w, https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/05\/futur-tech-RTAS-article.001-16x9.jpeg 16w, https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/05\/futur-tech-RTAS-article.001-1320x743.jpeg 1320w, https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/05\/futur-tech-RTAS-article.001-250x141.jpeg 250w, https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/05\/futur-tech-RTAS-article.001-1038x584.jpeg 1038w, https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/05\/futur-tech-RTAS-article.001.jpeg 1920w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 1568px) 100vw, 1568px\" \/><\/figure><\/div>\n\n\n\n<div class=\"wp-block-media-text alignwide has-media-on-the-right is-stacked-on-mobile\"><div class=\"wp-block-media-text__content\">\n<p class=\"has-normal-font-size wp-block-paragraph\">\u751f\u6d3b\u5728\u5730\u7403\u4e0a\u7684\u6bcf\u4e2a\u4eba\u90fd\u6709\u9700\u6c42\uff0c\u6b63\u5982\u9a6c\u65af\u6d1b\uff08Abraham Maslow, <em>\u52a8\u673a\u548c\u4e2a\u6027\u3002<\/em> 1954, 1987).<\/p>\n<\/div><figure class=\"wp-block-media-text__media\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"1568\" height=\"882\" src=\"https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/05\/futur-tech-RTAS-article.002-1568x882.jpeg\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-29245 size-full\" srcset=\"https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/05\/futur-tech-RTAS-article.002-1568x882.jpeg 1568w, https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/05\/futur-tech-RTAS-article.002-500x281.jpeg 500w, https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/05\/futur-tech-RTAS-article.002-768x432.jpeg 768w, https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/05\/futur-tech-RTAS-article.002-1536x864.jpeg 1536w, https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/05\/futur-tech-RTAS-article.002-16x9.jpeg 16w, https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/05\/futur-tech-RTAS-article.002-1320x743.jpeg 1320w, https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/05\/futur-tech-RTAS-article.002-250x141.jpeg 250w, https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/05\/futur-tech-RTAS-article.002-1038x584.jpeg 1038w, https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/05\/futur-tech-RTAS-article.002.jpeg 1920w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 1568px) 100vw, 1568px\" \/><\/figure><\/div>\n\n\n\n<div class=\"wp-block-media-text alignwide has-media-on-the-right is-stacked-on-mobile\"><div class=\"wp-block-media-text__content\">\n<p class=\"has-normal-font-size wp-block-paragraph\">\u4e8b\u5b9e\u4e0a\uff0c\u5728\u8fd9\u4e2a\u661f\u7403\u4e0a\uff0c\u6211\u4eec\u6709\u4e00\u7fa4\u4eba\uff0c\u751f\u6d3b\u5728\u4e0d\u540c\u7c7b\u578b\u7684\u4f4f\u5b85\u4e2d\u3002\u6bcf\u4e2a\u4eba\u7fa4\u90fd\u88ab\u7ec4\u7ec7\u6210\u4e00\u4e2a\u793e\u4f1a\u3002 <\/p>\n<\/div><figure class=\"wp-block-media-text__media\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"1568\" height=\"882\" src=\"https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/05\/futur-tech-RTAS-article.003-1568x882.jpeg\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-29246 size-full\" srcset=\"https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/05\/futur-tech-RTAS-article.003-1568x882.jpeg 1568w, https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/05\/futur-tech-RTAS-article.003-500x281.jpeg 500w, https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/05\/futur-tech-RTAS-article.003-768x432.jpeg 768w, https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/05\/futur-tech-RTAS-article.003-1536x864.jpeg 1536w, https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/05\/futur-tech-RTAS-article.003-16x9.jpeg 16w, https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/05\/futur-tech-RTAS-article.003-1320x743.jpeg 1320w, https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/05\/futur-tech-RTAS-article.003-250x141.jpeg 250w, https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/05\/futur-tech-RTAS-article.003-1038x584.jpeg 1038w, https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/05\/futur-tech-RTAS-article.003.jpeg 1920w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 1568px) 100vw, 1568px\" \/><\/figure><\/div>\n\n\n\n<div class=\"wp-block-media-text alignwide has-media-on-the-right is-stacked-on-mobile\"><div class=\"wp-block-media-text__content\">\n<p class=\"has-normal-font-size wp-block-paragraph\">\u4e00\u4e2a\u793e\u4f1a\u610f\u5473\u7740\u793e\u4f1a\u534f\u8c03\u5fc5\u987b\u53d1\u6325\u4f5c\u7528\u3002  \u793e\u4f1a\u534f\u8c03\u662f\u6839\u636e\u4e09\u4e2a\u7ec4\u6210\u90e8\u5206\u6765\u8868\u8fbe\u7684\uff08Barrington Moore, <em>\u4e0d\u516c\u6b63\u3002\u670d\u4ece\u548c\u53cd\u6297\u7684\u793e\u4f1a\u57fa\u7840<\/em>, 1978): <\/p>\n\n\n\n<ol class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>\u6743\u529b\u95ee\u9898\u3002<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>\u5546\u54c1\u548c\u670d\u52a1\u751f\u4ea7\u7684\u52b3\u52a8\u5206\u5de5\u3002<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>\u4ee5\u53ca\u8fd9\u4e9b\u8d27\u7269\u548c\u670d\u52a1\u7684\u5206\u914d\u3002<\/li>\n<\/ol>\n<\/div><figure class=\"wp-block-media-text__media\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"1568\" height=\"882\" src=\"https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/05\/slide-16.001-1568x882.jpeg\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-29251 size-full\" srcset=\"https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/05\/slide-16.001-1568x882.jpeg 1568w, https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/05\/slide-16.001-500x281.jpeg 500w, https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/05\/slide-16.001-768x432.jpeg 768w, https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/05\/slide-16.001-1536x864.jpeg 1536w, https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/05\/slide-16.001-16x9.jpeg 16w, https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/05\/slide-16.001-1320x743.jpeg 1320w, https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/05\/slide-16.001-250x141.jpeg 250w, https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/05\/slide-16.001-1038x584.jpeg 1038w, https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/05\/slide-16.001.jpeg 1920w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 1568px) 100vw, 1568px\" \/><\/figure><\/div>\n\n\n\n<div class=\"wp-block-media-text alignwide has-media-on-the-right is-stacked-on-mobile\"><div class=\"wp-block-media-text__content\">\n<p class=\"has-normal-font-size wp-block-paragraph\">\u4e3a\u4e86\u6ee1\u8db3\u793e\u4f1a\u534f\u8c03\u7684\u9700\u8981\uff0c\u5fc5\u987b\u6267\u884c\u4e00\u4e9b\u4efb\u52a1\u6216\u884c\u52a8\u3002<\/p>\n<\/div><figure class=\"wp-block-media-text__media\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"1568\" height=\"882\" src=\"https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/05\/slides-18-to-24-new.001-1568x882.jpeg\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-29318 size-full\" srcset=\"https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/05\/slides-18-to-24-new.001-1568x882.jpeg 1568w, https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/05\/slides-18-to-24-new.001-500x281.jpeg 500w, https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/05\/slides-18-to-24-new.001-768x432.jpeg 768w, https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/05\/slides-18-to-24-new.001-1536x864.jpeg 1536w, https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/05\/slides-18-to-24-new.001-16x9.jpeg 16w, https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/05\/slides-18-to-24-new.001-1320x743.jpeg 1320w, https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/05\/slides-18-to-24-new.001-250x141.jpeg 250w, https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/05\/slides-18-to-24-new.001-1038x584.jpeg 1038w, https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/05\/slides-18-to-24-new.001.jpeg 1920w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 1568px) 100vw, 1568px\" \/><\/figure><\/div>\n\n\n\n<div class=\"wp-block-media-text alignwide has-media-on-the-right is-stacked-on-mobile\"><div class=\"wp-block-media-text__content\">\n<p class=\"has-normal-font-size wp-block-paragraph\">\u8fd9\u4e9b\u4efb\u52a1\u6216\u884c\u52a8\u5c06\u53d7\u5230\u4e00\u4e9b\u6761\u4ef6\u548c\u73af\u5883\u7684\u5f71\u54cd\uff0c\u4f7f\u4e4b\u6210\u4e3a\u53ef\u80fd\u6216\u4e0d\u53ef\u80fd\uff0c\u4fc3\u8fdb\u6216\u4e0d\u4fc3\u8fdb\u3002<\/p>\n<\/div><figure class=\"wp-block-media-text__media\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"1568\" height=\"882\" src=\"https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/05\/slides-18-to-24-new.002-1568x882.jpeg\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-29319 size-full\" srcset=\"https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/05\/slides-18-to-24-new.002-1568x882.jpeg 1568w, https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/05\/slides-18-to-24-new.002-500x281.jpeg 500w, https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/05\/slides-18-to-24-new.002-768x432.jpeg 768w, https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/05\/slides-18-to-24-new.002-1536x864.jpeg 1536w, https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/05\/slides-18-to-24-new.002-16x9.jpeg 16w, https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/05\/slides-18-to-24-new.002-1320x743.jpeg 1320w, https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/05\/slides-18-to-24-new.002-250x141.jpeg 250w, https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/05\/slides-18-to-24-new.002-1038x584.jpeg 1038w, https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/05\/slides-18-to-24-new.002.jpeg 1920w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 1568px) 100vw, 1568px\" \/><\/figure><\/div>\n\n\n\n<div class=\"wp-block-media-text alignwide has-media-on-the-right is-stacked-on-mobile\" style=\"grid-template-columns:auto 49%\"><div class=\"wp-block-media-text__content\">\n<p class=\"has-normal-font-size wp-block-paragraph\">\u8fd9\u5c31\u662f\u6280\u672f\u8bde\u751f\u7684\u5730\u65b9\uff0c\u4ee5\u4fc3\u8fdb\u548c\u6539\u5584\u6240\u6709\u8fd9\u4e9b\u884c\u52a8\u3002<\/p>\n<\/div><figure class=\"wp-block-media-text__media\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"1568\" height=\"882\" src=\"https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/05\/slides-18-to-24-new.003-1568x882.jpeg\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-29320 size-full\" srcset=\"https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/05\/slides-18-to-24-new.003-1568x882.jpeg 1568w, https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/05\/slides-18-to-24-new.003-500x281.jpeg 500w, https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/05\/slides-18-to-24-new.003-768x432.jpeg 768w, https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/05\/slides-18-to-24-new.003-1536x864.jpeg 1536w, https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/05\/slides-18-to-24-new.003-16x9.jpeg 16w, https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/05\/slides-18-to-24-new.003-1320x743.jpeg 1320w, https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/05\/slides-18-to-24-new.003-250x141.jpeg 250w, https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/05\/slides-18-to-24-new.003-1038x584.jpeg 1038w, https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/05\/slides-18-to-24-new.003.jpeg 1920w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 1568px) 100vw, 1568px\" \/><\/figure><\/div>\n\n\n\n<div class=\"wp-block-media-text alignwide has-media-on-the-right is-stacked-on-mobile\"><div class=\"wp-block-media-text__content\">\n<p class=\"has-normal-font-size wp-block-paragraph\">\u56e0\u6b64\uff0c\u6211\u4eec\u53ef\u4ee5\u5047\u8bbe\uff0c\u672a\u6765\u7684\u5173\u952e\u6280\u672f\u5c06\u662f\u6240\u6709\u90a3\u4e9b\u80fd\u6709\u6548\u5e2e\u52a9\u6211\u4eec\u6ee1\u8db3\u9700\u6c42\u7684\u6280\u672f\u3002\u540c\u65f6\uff0c\u6ee1\u8db3\u8fd9\u4e9b\u9700\u6c42\u6240\u9700\u7684\u884c\u52a8\u4e5f\u8d8a\u6765\u8d8a\u590d\u6742\u3002\u5b83\u4eec\u53d8\u5f97\u8d8a\u6765\u8d8a\u590d\u6742\u662f\u56e0\u4e3a\u4ee5\u524d\u7684\u884c\u52a8--\u5305\u62ec\u4ee5\u524d\u6280\u672f\u7684\u521b\u9020\u548c\u4f7f\u7528--\u4ee5\u53ca\u5b83\u4eec\u5bf9\u73af\u5883\u7684\u5f71\u54cd\uff0c\u4ece\u800c\u5bf9\u884c\u52a8\u7684\u6761\u4ef6\u7684\u5f71\u54cd\u3002\u8fd9\u4e2a\u8fc7\u7a0b\u4e2d\u4ea7\u751f\u7684\u9700\u6c42\u7684\u6f14\u53d8\uff0c\u540c\u65f6\u4e5f\u4fc3\u4f7f\u884c\u52a8\u548c\u4efb\u52a1\u53d8\u5f97\u66f4\u52a0\u590d\u6742\u3002<\/p>\n<\/div><figure class=\"wp-block-media-text__media\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"1568\" height=\"882\" src=\"https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/05\/slides-18-to-24-new.004-1568x882.jpeg\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-29321 size-full\" srcset=\"https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/05\/slides-18-to-24-new.004-1568x882.jpeg 1568w, https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/05\/slides-18-to-24-new.004-500x281.jpeg 500w, https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/05\/slides-18-to-24-new.004-768x432.jpeg 768w, https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/05\/slides-18-to-24-new.004-1536x864.jpeg 1536w, https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/05\/slides-18-to-24-new.004-16x9.jpeg 16w, https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/05\/slides-18-to-24-new.004-1320x743.jpeg 1320w, https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/05\/slides-18-to-24-new.004-250x141.jpeg 250w, https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/05\/slides-18-to-24-new.004-1038x584.jpeg 1038w, https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/05\/slides-18-to-24-new.004.jpeg 1920w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 1568px) 100vw, 1568px\" \/><\/figure><\/div>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\u6211\u4eec\u73b0\u5728\u6709\u4e00\u4e2a\u6a21\u578b\uff0c\u53ef\u4ee5\u8ba9\u6211\u4eec\u627e\u51fa\u54ea\u4e9b\u6280\u672f\u6700\u6709\u53ef\u80fd\u5728\u672a\u6765\u6210\u4e3a\u5173\u952e\u6280\u672f\uff0c\u6b63\u5982\u6211\u4eec\u5c06\u770b\u5230\u7684\u90a3\u6837\u3002 <a href=\"https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/zh\/2021\/06\/14\/%e6%9c%aa%e6%9d%a5%e7%9a%84%e5%85%b3%e9%94%ae%e6%8a%80%e6%9c%af-2-%e6%bc%94%e5%8f%98\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">\u4e0b\u7bc7<\/a>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<hr class=\"wp-block-separator has-css-opacity\"\/>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">\u4e66\u76ee<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\u7279\u8272\u56fe\u7247\u3002\u5b87\u5b99\u98de\u8239\u548c\u884c\u661f\uff0c\u4ee5\u53ca\u5b89\u5168\uff0c\u7531&nbsp;<a href=\"https:\/\/pixabay.com\/fr\/users\/8385-8385\/?utm_source=link-attribution&amp;utm_medium=referral&amp;utm_campaign=image&amp;utm_content=1328858\">\u83b1\u8499\u5fb7-\u8d1d\u7279\u6717\u65af<\/a>&nbsp;\u5fb7&nbsp;<a href=\"https:\/\/pixabay.com\/fr\/?utm_source=link-attribution&amp;utm_medium=referral&amp;utm_campaign=image&amp;utm_content=1328858\">Pixabay<\/a>&nbsp; \/ \u516c\u5171\u9886\u57df\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<hr class=\"wp-block-separator has-css-opacity\"\/>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Chappellet-Lanier, Tajha, \"<a href=\"https:\/\/www.fedscoop.com\/darpa-semantic-forensics-proposers-day\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">DARPA\u5e0c\u671b\u901a\u8fc7\u8bed\u4e49\u53d6\u8bc1\u89e3\u51b3 \"\u6df1\u5ea6\u9020\u5047 \"\u95ee\u9898<\/a>\u201c, <em>\u8054\u90a6\u50a8\u84c4\u94f6\u884c(Fedscoop)<\/em>\uff0c2019\u5e748\u67087\u65e5\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Diamond, Jared  <em>\u67aa\u70ae\u3001\u75c5\u83cc\u548c\u94a2\u94c1\u3002\u4eba\u7c7b\u793e\u4f1a\u7684\u547d\u8fd0\u300b\uff08The Fates of Human Societies<\/em>\uff0c\uff08W. W. Norton: 1997\uff09\u3002 <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Goodfellow, Ian; Pouget-Abadie, Jean; Mirza, Mehdi; Xu, Bing; Warde-Farley, David; Ozair, Sherjil; Courville, Aaron; Bengio, Yoshua, \"<a href=\"https:\/\/papers.nips.cc\/paper\/5423-generative-adversarial-nets.pdf\">\u751f\u6210\u5f0f\u5bf9\u6297\u7f51<\/a>\u201c, <em>\u795e\u7ecf\u4fe1\u606f\u5904\u7406\u7cfb\u7edf\u56fd\u9645\u4f1a\u8bae\u8bba\u6587\u96c6<\/em> (NIPS), 2014.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\u54c8\u91cc\u65af\uff0c\u52b3\u91cc-A.\uff0c\"<a href=\"https:\/\/crsreports.congress.gov\/product\/pdf\/IF\/IF11333\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">\u6df1\u5ea6\u9020\u5047\u4e0e\u56fd\u5bb6\u5b89\u5168<\/a>\u201c, <em>\u56fd\u4f1a\u7814\u7a76\u5904<\/em>\uff0c2021\u5e745\u67087\u65e5\u66f4\u65b0\uff0c\u7b2c3\u7248<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Hunter R.\u7b49\u4eba\uff0c\"\u5c06IT\u6548\u76ca\u8f6c\u5316\u4e3a\u4e1a\u52a1\u7684\u7b80\u5355\u6846\u67b6<br>\u4ef7\u503c\u5f71\u54cd\"\uff0cGartner Research\uff0c2008\u5e745\u670816\u65e5\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Lavoix, Helene, <a rel=\"noreferrer noopener\" href=\"https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/zh\/2019\/01\/14\/%e5%9c%a8%e7%8e%b0%e5%ae%9e%e4%b8%ad%e6%8f%92%e5%85%a5%e4%ba%ba%e5%b7%a5%e6%99%ba%e8%83%bd-ai%e7%9a%84%e9%a9%b1%e5%8a%a8%e5%9b%a0%e7%b4%a0\/\" target=\"_blank\">\u5728\u73b0\u5b9e\u4e2d\u63d2\u5165\u4eba\u5de5\u667a\u80fd<\/a>, <em>\u8fdc\u666f\u6d1e\u5bdf\u7814\u7a76\u6240<\/em>\uff0c2019\u5e741\u6708\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">McGarty, Craig, et al, \"Social Categorization\", in <em>\u56fd\u9645\u793e\u4f1a\u548c\u884c\u4e3a\u79d1\u5b66\u767e\u79d1\u5168\u4e66\u300b\uff08International Encyclopedia of Social &amp; Behavioral Sciences\uff09\u3002<\/em>, 2015\u5e7412\u6708, DOI: , <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"http:\/\/dx.doi.org\/10.1016\/B978-0-08-097086-8.24091-9\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">10.1016\/B978-0-08-097086-8.24091-9<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Maslow, Abraham, <em>\u52a8\u673a\u548c\u4e2a\u6027\u3002<\/em> (London, Harper &amp; Row, 1954, 1987)\u3002 <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Moore, B.,&nbsp;<em>\u4e0d\u516c\u6b63\u3002\u670d\u4ece\u548c\u53cd\u6297\u7684\u793e\u4f1a\u57fa\u7840<\/em>\uff0c\uff08\u4f26\u6566\uff1a\u9ea6\u514b\u7c73\u4f26\u51fa\u7248\u793e\uff0c1978\u5e74\uff09\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\u6155\u5c3c\u9ed1-Re\u548cERGO\u7684IT\u6218\u7565\u3002  <a href=\"https:\/\/www.munichre.com\/topics-online\/en\/digitalisation\/tech-trend-radar-future-technologies-2020.html#\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">\u6280\u672f\u8d8b\u52bf\u96f7\u8fbe<\/a> 2020\u5e74\u548c2019\u5e74\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<hr class=\"wp-block-separator has-css-opacity is-style-wide\"\/>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>\u6211\u4eec\u751f\u6d3b\u5728\u4e00\u4e2a\u65b0\u6280\u672f\u65e5\u76ca\u4e30\u5bcc\u7684\u4e16\u754c\uff0c\u88ab\u89c6\u4e3a\u5bf9\u6211\u4eec\u7684\u672a\u6765\u81f3\u5173\u91cd\u8981\u3002\u8fd9\u4e9b\u6280\u672f\u4e0d\u4ec5\u662f\u65b0\u7684\uff0c\u800c\u4e14\u662f\u4e3a\u4e86\u66f4\u597d\u5730\u9769\u65b0\u6211\u4eec\u7684\u751f\u6d3b\u3002\u6ca1\u6709\u6280\u672f\u5c31\u65e0\u6cd5\u60f3\u8c61\u8fdb\u6b65\u3002\u6280\u672f\u662f\u4e3a\u4e86\u62ef\u6551\u6211\u4eec\u6240\u6709\u4eba\u3002\u751f\u7269\u6280\u672f\u6709\u52a9\u4e8e\u5f00\u53d1\u51fa\u6709\u6548\u7684\u75ab\u82d7\uff0c\u4ee5\u9884\u9632......\u3002 <\/p>\n<p class=\"link-more\"><a href=\"https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/zh\/2021\/06\/07\/the-key-technologies-of-the-future-chapter-1\/\" class=\"more-link\">\u7ee7\u7eed\u9605\u8bfb<span class=\"screen-reader-text\">\"\u672a\u6765\u7684\u5173\u952e\u6280\u672f\uff081\uff09\"<\/span><\/a><\/p>","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":29241,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_jetpack_feature_clip_id":0,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[2568,3236,1529,2860,2524,2707,2457],"tags":[60,1585,1277,1789,1509,2065,129],"class_list":["post-29237","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-artificial-intelligence","category-building-a-model","category-extreme-environments-security","category-featured","category-cybersecurity","category-quantum","category-geopolitics-uncertainty-and-business","tag-categories","tag-disruptive-technologies","tag-environmental-change","tag-featured","tag-methodology","tag-new-paradigm","tag-technology","entry"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v28.8 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>The Key Technologies of the Future (1) &#8226; 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