{"id":310,"date":"2011-12-04T10:42:29","date_gmt":"2011-12-04T09:42:29","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/www.redanalysis.org\/?p=310"},"modified":"2021-10-01T20:03:15","modified_gmt":"2021-10-01T18:03:15","slug":"%e9%87%8d%e6%96%b0%e5%ae%a1%e8%a7%86%e5%bd%b1%e5%93%8d%e5%88%86%e6%9e%90-2","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/zh\/2011\/12\/04\/revisiting-influence-analysis-2\/","title":{"rendered":"\u91cd\u65b0\u5ba1\u89c6\u5f71\u54cd\u529b\u5206\u6790"},"content":{"rendered":"<p style=\"text-align: justify;\">\u4e00\u65e6\u53d8\u91cf\uff08\u6839\u636e\u4f5c\u8005\uff0c\u4e5f\u79f0\u4e3a\u56e0\u7d20\u548c\u9a71\u52a8\u56e0\u7d20\uff09\u88ab\u786e\u5b9a\uff0c\u5728\u6211\u4eec\u7684\u6848\u4f8b\u4e2d <a href=\"https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/zh\/2011\/11\/13\/%e5%88%9b%e5%bb%ba%e6%a8%a1%e5%9e%8b-%e4%bb%8e%e5%9c%b0%e5%9b%be%e5%88%b0%e5%8a%a8%e6%80%81%e7%bd%91%e7%bb%9c-%e7%ac%ac%e4%ba%8c%e9%83%a8%e5%88%86\/\" target=\"_blank\" 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href=\"https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/zh\/my-account\/?wcm_redirect_to=post&amp;wcm_redirect_id=310\">\u767b\u5f55<\/a> \u5e76\u8bbf\u95ee\u8fd9\u7bc7\u6587\u7ae0\u3002<\/p>\n<\/p><\/div>\n<\/p><\/div>","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_jetpack_feature_clip_id":0,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[3237],"tags":[188,208,1031,1032,216,98,354,165,215,190,123,212,139,1033,196],"class_list":["post-310","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-scenario-building","tag-analysis","tag-criteria","tag-driver","tag-factor","tag-futurism","tag-mapping","tag-modern-nation-state","tag-political-science","tag-politics","tag-scenarios","tag-strategic-foresight","tag-strategic-foresight-and-warning","tag-the-chronicles-of-everstate","tag-uncertainty","tag-variable","membership-content","access-restricted","entry"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v28.6 - 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Indeed, considering cognitive limitations, as well as finite resources, one tries obtaining a number of variables that can be easily and relatively quickly combined by the human brain. The problem we here face methodologically is how to reduce this number of variables at best, making sure we do not reintroduce biases or\/and simplify our model so much it becomes useless or suboptimal. Furthermore, considering also the potential adverse reactions of practitioners to complex models, being able to present a properly simplified or reduced model (however remaining faithful to the initial one) is most often necessary.This content is restricted to members only. 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