{"id":33697,"date":"2024-03-04T11:01:34","date_gmt":"2024-03-04T10:01:34","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/?p=33697"},"modified":"2026-06-29T16:25:41","modified_gmt":"2026-06-29T14:25:41","slug":"%e6%b0%94%e5%80%99%e5%8f%98%e5%8c%96-%e8%a1%8c%e6%98%9f-%e8%be%b9%e7%95%8c-%e5%9c%b0%e7%bc%98%e6%94%bf%e6%b2%bb-%e5%88%a9%e5%ae%b3%e5%85%b3%e7%b3%bb","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/zh\/2024\/03\/04\/climate-change-planetary-boundaries-geopolitical-stakes\/","title":{"rendered":"\u6c14\u5019\u53d8\u5316\u3001\u884c\u661f\u8fb9\u754c\u548c\u5730\u7f18\u653f\u6cbb\u5229\u5bb3\u5173\u7cfb"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<div class=\"wp-block-group alignfull\"><div class=\"wp-block-group__inner-container is-layout-flow wp-block-group-is-layout-flow\">\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading has-text-align-center alignwide has-large-font-size\" id=\"sustainable-again\">Adapting and Making the World Sustainable Again<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading has-text-align-center alignwide\" style=\"font-size:0.9em\">Strategic Foresight, Early Warning and Geopolitics Serve the Future<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<div class=\"wp-block-group alignfull textfutura\"><div class=\"wp-block-group__inner-container is-layout-flow wp-block-group-is-layout-flow\">\n<div class=\"wp-block-columns alignfull is-layout-flex wp-container-core-columns-is-layout-8f761849 wp-block-columns-is-layout-flex\">\n<div class=\"wp-block-column is-vertically-aligned-top is-layout-flow wp-block-column-is-layout-flow\" style=\"flex-basis:20%\"><\/div>\n\n\n\n<div class=\"wp-block-column is-layout-flow wp-block-column-is-layout-flow\" style=\"flex-basis:60%\">\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\" style=\"font-size:0.9em\">Planetary boundaries* are being overstepped. These changes are fundamentally upsetting our world. These mutations are here to last, spread and increase. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\" style=\"font-size:0.9em\">We must act now. We must prepare to adapt to the myriad of alterations taking place in all areas. We must be creative to design new solutions to make the world sustainable again. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\" style=\"font-size:0.9em\">We put all our <a href=\"https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/#our-expertise\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">expertise<\/a> at the service of these objectives.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\" style=\"font-size:0.9em\">In this section of the think tank, we develop an experimental approach to address all the issues related to the environment, climate change and geopolitics, or more broadly national and international security.** <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"textfutura wp-block-paragraph\" style=\"font-size:0.9em\">We want this new initiative to be geared towards action and towards changing mindsets. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"textfutura wp-block-paragraph\" style=\"font-size:0.9em\">If you want to participate in making the world sustainable again, while enhancing your preparedness, join us by becoming a partner of this project: <a href=\"https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/about-2\/contact\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">Contact us<\/a>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<div style=\"height:15px\" aria-hidden=\"true\" class=\"wp-block-spacer\"><\/div>\n<\/div>\n\n\n\n<div class=\"wp-block-column is-vertically-aligned-bottom is-layout-flow wp-block-column-is-layout-flow\" style=\"flex-basis:20%\">\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\" style=\"font-size:0.8em\">Categories are being reorganised. In the meantime&#8230;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul style=\"font-size:0.8em\" class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/category\/strategic-foresight-early-warning-issues\/climate-change-planetary-boundaries-geopolitics\/water-security\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">Water security<\/a><\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/energy-security\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">Energy security<\/a><\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/category\/strategic-foresight-early-warning-issues\/climate-change-planetary-boundaries-geopolitics\/climate-change-and-security\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">Climate Change and Security<\/a><\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/2013\/02\/15\/portal-to-extreme-environment-security\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">Extreme environments<\/a><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"textfutura wp-block-paragraph\" style=\"font-size:0.7em\">French translations: Only recent articles are human translations. We gradually review the automatic translation (DeepL) of the remaining 600 plus articles\u2026<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"has-text-align-right textfutura wp-block-paragraph\" style=\"font-size:0.7em\">&gt;&gt; To <a href=\"https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/articles-research-and-publications\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">Think-Tank Page<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"has-text-align-right textfutura wp-block-paragraph\" style=\"font-size:0.7em\">&gt;&gt; To <a href=\"https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/articles-research-and-publications\/issues-and-stakes-in-geopolitics\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">Issues and Stakes in Geopolitics<\/a><\/p>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div><\/div>\n\n\n\n<hr class=\"wp-block-separator has-css-opacity alignwide is-style-wide\"\/>\n<\/div><\/div>\n\n\n\n<div class=\"wp-block-group alignfull textfutura\"><div class=\"wp-block-group__inner-container is-layout-flow wp-block-group-is-layout-flow\">\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading has-text-align-center alignwide\" id=\"project\">The Present and The Future<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<div class=\"wp-block-columns alignwide is-layout-flex wp-container-core-columns-is-layout-8f761849 wp-block-columns-is-layout-flex\">\n<div class=\"wp-block-column is-layout-flow wp-block-column-is-layout-flow\" style=\"flex-basis:20%\"><\/div>\n\n\n\n<div class=\"wp-block-column is-layout-flow wp-block-column-is-layout-flow\" style=\"flex-basis:60%\">\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\" style=\"font-size:0.9em;font-style:normal;font-weight:100\">Following the seminal works by Johan Rockstr\u00f6m of the Stockholm Resilience Center et al. on planetary boundaries*, by Thomas Homer Dixon*** and many others, as well as our own findings over the last fifteen years, we have organised this new project through two approaches. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<div style=\"height:10px\" aria-hidden=\"true\" class=\"wp-block-spacer\"><\/div>\n<\/div>\n\n\n\n<div class=\"wp-block-column is-layout-flow wp-block-column-is-layout-flow\" style=\"flex-basis:20%\"><\/div>\n<\/div>\n\n\n\n<figure data-wp-context=\"{&quot;galleryId&quot;:&quot;6acce36523614&quot;}\" data-wp-interactive=\"core\/gallery\" class=\"wp-block-gallery alignwide has-nested-images columns-2 is-cropped wp-block-gallery-1 is-layout-flex wp-block-gallery-is-layout-flex\">\n<figure data-wp-context=\"{&quot;imageId&quot;:&quot;6acce36524395&quot;}\" data-wp-interactive=\"core\/image\" data-wp-key=\"6acce36524395\" class=\"wp-block-image size-large is-style-default wp-lightbox-container\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"996\" height=\"941\" data-wp-class--hide=\"state.isContentHidden\" data-wp-class--show=\"state.isContentVisible\" data-wp-init=\"callbacks.setButtonStyles\" data-wp-on--click=\"actions.showLightbox\" data-wp-on--load=\"callbacks.setButtonStyles\" data-wp-on--pointerdown=\"actions.preloadImage\" data-wp-on--pointerenter=\"actions.preloadImageWithDelay\" data-wp-on--pointerleave=\"actions.cancelPreload\" data-wp-on-window--resize=\"callbacks.setButtonStyles\" data-id=\"38616\" src=\"https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/03\/PB-2023-996x941.jpg\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-38616\" srcset=\"https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/03\/PB-2023-996x941.jpg 996w, https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/03\/PB-2023-318x300.jpg 318w, https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/03\/PB-2023-768x725.jpg 768w, https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/03\/PB-2023-1536x1451.jpg 1536w, https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/03\/PB-2023-13x12.jpg 13w, https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/03\/PB-2023-1568x1481.jpg 1568w, https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/03\/PB-2023-1320x1247.jpg 1320w, https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/03\/PB-2023-250x236.jpg 250w, https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/03\/PB-2023-1038x980.jpg 1038w, https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/03\/PB-2023.jpg 2048w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 996px) 100vw, 996px\" \/><button\n\t\t\tclass=\"lightbox-trigger\"\n\t\t\ttype=\"button\"\n\t\t\taria-haspopup=\"dialog\"\n\t\t\tdata-wp-bind--aria-label=\"state.thisImage.triggerButtonAriaLabel\"\n\t\t\tdata-wp-init=\"callbacks.initTriggerButton\"\n\t\t\tdata-wp-on--click=\"actions.showLightbox\"\n\t\t\tdata-wp-style--right=\"state.thisImage.buttonRight\"\n\t\t\tdata-wp-style--top=\"state.thisImage.buttonTop\"\n\t\t>\n\t\t\t<svg xmlns=\"http:\/\/www.w3.org\/2000\/svg\" width=\"12\" height=\"12\" fill=\"none\" viewBox=\"0 0 12 12\">\n\t\t\t\t<path fill=\"#fff\" d=\"M2 0a2 2 0 0 0-2 2v2h1.5V2a.5.5 0 0 1 .5-.5h2V0H2Zm2 10.5H2a.5.5 0 0 1-.5-.5V8H0v2a2 2 0 0 0 2 2h2v-1.5ZM8 12v-1.5h2a.5.5 0 0 0 .5-.5V8H12v2a2 2 0 0 1-2 2H8Zm2-12a2 2 0 0 1 2 2v2h-1.5V2a.5.5 0 0 0-.5-.5H8V0h2Z\" \/>\n\t\t\t<\/svg>\n\t\t<\/button><figcaption class=\"wp-element-caption\">2023<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-large is-style-default\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"997\" height=\"941\" data-id=\"33856\" src=\"https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/03\/2022-edited-997x941.jpg\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-33856\" srcset=\"https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/03\/2022-edited-997x941.jpg 997w, https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/03\/2022-edited-318x300.jpg 318w, https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/03\/2022-edited-768x725.jpg 768w, https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/03\/2022-edited-1536x1450.jpg 1536w, https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/03\/2022-edited-13x12.jpg 13w, https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/03\/2022-edited-1568x1480.jpg 1568w, https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/03\/2022-edited-1320x1246.jpg 1320w, https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/03\/2022-edited-250x236.jpg 250w, https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/03\/2022-edited-1038x980.jpg 1038w, https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/03\/2022-edited.jpg 2048w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 997px) 100vw, 997px\" \/><figcaption class=\"wp-element-caption\">2022<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-large is-style-default\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"1568\" height=\"686\" data-id=\"38617\" src=\"https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/03\/PB-compared-1568x686.jpg\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-38617\" srcset=\"https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/03\/PB-compared-1568x686.jpg 1568w, https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/03\/PB-compared-500x219.jpg 500w, https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/03\/PB-compared-768x336.jpg 768w, https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/03\/PB-compared-1536x672.jpg 1536w, https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/03\/PB-compared-18x8.jpg 18w, https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/03\/PB-compared-1320x578.jpg 1320w, https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/03\/PB-compared-250x109.jpg 250w, https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/03\/PB-compared-1038x454.jpg 1038w, https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/03\/PB-compared.jpg 2048w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 1568px) 100vw, 1568px\" \/><\/figure>\n<\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"has-text-align-center has-light-gray-color has-text-color has-link-color wp-elements-1 wp-block-paragraph\" style=\"font-size:0.6em\"><strong>The 2023 update to the Planetary boundaries. <\/strong>Licensed under <a href=\"https:\/\/creativecommons.org\/licenses\/by-nc-nd\/3.0\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">CC BY-NC-ND 3.0<\/a>. Credit: &#8220;Azote for Stockholm Resilience Centre, based on analysis in Richardson et al 2023&#8221;; State of Planetary Boundaries &#8211; January 2022 &#8211; Designed by Azote for Stockholm Resilience Centre, based on analysis in Persson et al 2022 and Steffen et al 2015; The evolution of the planetary boundaries framework. Licenced under CC BY-NC-ND 3.0 (Azote for Stockholm Resilience Centre, Stockholm University. Based on Richardson et al. 2023, Steffen et al. 2015, and Rockstr\u00f6m et al. 2009)<\/p>\n\n\n\n<div class=\"wp-block-columns alignwide is-layout-flex wp-container-core-columns-is-layout-8f761849 wp-block-columns-is-layout-flex\">\n<div class=\"wp-block-column is-layout-flow wp-block-column-is-layout-flow\" style=\"flex-basis:20%\"><\/div>\n\n\n\n<div class=\"wp-block-column is-layout-flow wp-block-column-is-layout-flow\" style=\"flex-basis:60%\">\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\" style=\"font-size:0.9em;font-style:normal;font-weight:100\">Each perspective corresponds to a way to understand a world that considers climate change and planetary boundaries.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<div style=\"height:10px\" aria-hidden=\"true\" class=\"wp-block-spacer\"><\/div>\n<\/div>\n\n\n\n<div class=\"wp-block-column is-layout-flow wp-block-column-is-layout-flow\" style=\"flex-basis:20%\"><\/div>\n<\/div>\n\n\n\n<div class=\"wp-block-columns alignwide is-layout-flex wp-container-core-columns-is-layout-8f761849 wp-block-columns-is-layout-flex\">\n<div class=\"wp-block-column is-layout-flow wp-block-column-is-layout-flow\" style=\"flex-basis:50%\"><div class=\"wp-block-image is-style-rounded\">\n<figure class=\"aligncenter size-large is-resized\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"960\" height=\"960\" src=\"https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/03\/earth-present-edited.jpeg\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-33905\" style=\"width:200px;height:200px\" srcset=\"https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/03\/earth-present-edited.jpeg 960w, https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/03\/earth-present-edited-300x300.jpeg 300w, https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/03\/earth-present-edited-941x941.jpeg 941w, https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/03\/earth-present-edited-768x768.jpeg 768w, https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/03\/earth-present-edited-12x12.jpeg 12w, https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/03\/earth-present-edited-250x250.jpeg 250w, https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/03\/earth-present-edited-100x100.jpeg 100w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 960px) 100vw, 960px\" \/><\/figure>\n<\/div>\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading has-text-align-center\" style=\"font-size:0.9em\"><a href=\"#present\">The Present and Near Future<\/a><br>Planetary boundaries and impacts<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\" style=\"font-size:0.9em\">The first approach is &#8211; relatively &#8211; classical. It starts from planetary boundaries. That system is powerful and extremely valuable, not least because each boundary is measurable and can be monitored. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\" style=\"font-size:0.9em\">This frame of reference is a way to categorise and order our comprehension of and knowledge about the world that corresponds to the past and the present. It is how we think the world currently. It allows orientation and action without upsetting too much the categories to which we are used. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\" style=\"font-size:0.9em\">The translation of the overstepping of planetary boundaries into impacts relevant to human societies needs to be further developed. This is what we shall endeavour here, within our field of expertise.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<div style=\"height:10px\" aria-hidden=\"true\" class=\"wp-block-spacer\"><\/div>\n<\/div>\n\n\n\n<div class=\"wp-block-column is-layout-flow wp-block-column-is-layout-flow\" style=\"flex-basis:50%\"><div class=\"wp-block-image is-style-rounded\">\n<figure class=\"aligncenter size-large is-resized\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"1031\" height=\"1032\" src=\"https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/03\/earth-future-rotated-1-edited.jpeg\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-33904\" style=\"width:200px;height:200px\" srcset=\"https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/03\/earth-future-rotated-1-edited.jpeg 1031w, https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/03\/earth-future-rotated-1-edited-300x300.jpeg 300w, https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/03\/earth-future-rotated-1-edited-940x941.jpeg 940w, https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/03\/earth-future-rotated-1-edited-768x769.jpeg 768w, https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/03\/earth-future-rotated-1-edited-12x12.jpeg 12w, https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/03\/earth-future-rotated-1-edited-250x250.jpeg 250w, https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/03\/earth-future-rotated-1-edited-100x100.jpeg 100w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 1031px) 100vw, 1031px\" \/><\/figure>\n<\/div>\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading has-text-align-center\" style=\"font-size:0.9em\"><a href=\"#future\">Further into the Future<\/a><br>Blueprint for a different world<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\" style=\"font-size:0.9em\">The second perspective is located further into future, notably in terms of mindset. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\" style=\"font-size:0.9em\">It seeks to find a different way to look at our world, as we integrate a blueprint for our planet (and beyond) where planetary boundaries are being overstepped. Its focus is on national and international security and geopolitics, as these will be determining features of this new world.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\" style=\"font-size:0.9em\">The objective is to find a better way to understand this new world for adaptation and action.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\" style=\"font-size:0.9em\">This approach is innovative and in the making.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<div style=\"height:10px\" aria-hidden=\"true\" class=\"wp-block-spacer\"><\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div><\/div>\n\n\n\n<div class=\"wp-block-group alignwide textfutura\"><div class=\"wp-block-group__inner-container is-layout-flow wp-block-group-is-layout-flow\">\n<hr class=\"wp-block-separator has-css-opacity alignfull is-style-wide\"\/>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading has-text-align-center alignwide\" id=\"present\">The Present and Near Future <\/h2>\n\n\n\n<div class=\"wp-block-columns alignwide is-layout-flex wp-container-core-columns-is-layout-8f761849 wp-block-columns-is-layout-flex\">\n<div class=\"wp-block-column is-layout-flow wp-block-column-is-layout-flow\" style=\"flex-basis:20%\"><\/div>\n\n\n\n<div class=\"wp-block-column is-layout-flow wp-block-column-is-layout-flow\" style=\"flex-basis:60%\">\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading has-text-align-center alignwide\">Approach through Planetary Boundaries, Impacts and Geopolitics<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"has-text-align-center textfutura wp-block-paragraph\" style=\"font-size:0.9em\">As the project progresses, access the articles in this section by &#8220;planetary boundary&#8221;<\/p>\n<\/div>\n\n\n\n<div class=\"wp-block-column is-layout-flow wp-block-column-is-layout-flow\" style=\"flex-basis:20%\"><\/div>\n<\/div>\n\n\n\n<div class=\"wp-block-columns alignwide is-layout-flex wp-container-core-columns-is-layout-8f761849 wp-block-columns-is-layout-flex\">\n<div class=\"wp-block-column is-layout-flow wp-block-column-is-layout-flow\" style=\"flex-basis:16.67%\"><div class=\"wp-block-image is-style-rounded\">\n<figure class=\"aligncenter size-large is-resized\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"1331\" height=\"1328\" src=\"https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/03\/water-copy-edited.jpeg\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-33883\" style=\"object-fit:cover;width:100px;height:100px\" srcset=\"https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/03\/water-copy-edited.jpeg 1331w, https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/03\/water-copy-edited-301x300.jpeg 301w, https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/03\/water-copy-edited-943x941.jpeg 943w, https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/03\/water-copy-edited-768x766.jpeg 768w, https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/03\/water-copy-edited-12x12.jpeg 12w, https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/03\/water-copy-edited-1320x1317.jpeg 1320w, https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/03\/water-copy-edited-250x249.jpeg 250w, https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/03\/water-copy-edited-1038x1036.jpeg 1038w, https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/03\/water-copy-edited-100x100.jpeg 100w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 1331px) 100vw, 1331px\" \/><\/figure>\n<\/div>\n\n\n<p class=\"has-text-align-center subtitlehome wp-block-paragraph\"><a href=\"https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/category\/strategic-foresight-early-warning-issues\/climate-change-planetary-boundaries-geopolitics\/water-security\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">Water security<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n<div style=\"height:10px\" aria-hidden=\"true\" class=\"wp-block-spacer\"><\/div>\n<\/div>\n\n\n\n<div class=\"wp-block-column is-layout-flow wp-block-column-is-layout-flow\" style=\"flex-basis:16.67%\"><div class=\"wp-block-image is-style-rounded\">\n<figure class=\"aligncenter size-large is-resized\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"1432\" height=\"1437\" src=\"https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/03\/pexels-pixabay-266429-energy-edited.jpeg\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-33917\" style=\"object-fit:cover;width:100px;height:100px\" srcset=\"https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/03\/pexels-pixabay-266429-energy-edited.jpeg 1432w, https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/03\/pexels-pixabay-266429-energy-edited-299x300.jpeg 299w, https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/03\/pexels-pixabay-266429-energy-edited-938x941.jpeg 938w, https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/03\/pexels-pixabay-266429-energy-edited-768x771.jpeg 768w, https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/03\/pexels-pixabay-266429-energy-edited-12x12.jpeg 12w, https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/03\/pexels-pixabay-266429-energy-edited-1320x1325.jpeg 1320w, https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/03\/pexels-pixabay-266429-energy-edited-250x251.jpeg 250w, https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/03\/pexels-pixabay-266429-energy-edited-1038x1042.jpeg 1038w, https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/03\/pexels-pixabay-266429-energy-edited-100x100.jpeg 100w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 1432px) 100vw, 1432px\" \/><\/figure>\n<\/div>\n\n\n<p class=\"has-text-align-center subtitlehome wp-block-paragraph\"><a href=\"https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/energy-security\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">Energy security<\/a> (links to land-system change and biogeochemical cycles)<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"has-text-align-center subtitlehome wp-block-paragraph\" style=\"font-size:0.8em\">(Not initially part of planetary boundaries, but key)<\/p>\n\n\n\n<div style=\"height:10px\" aria-hidden=\"true\" class=\"wp-block-spacer\"><\/div>\n<\/div>\n\n\n\n<div class=\"wp-block-column is-layout-flow wp-block-column-is-layout-flow\" style=\"flex-basis:16.67%\"><div class=\"wp-block-image is-style-rounded\">\n<figure class=\"aligncenter size-large is-resized\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"941\" height=\"941\" src=\"https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/03\/climate-change-copy-edited.jpeg\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-33871\" style=\"object-fit:cover;width:100px;height:100px\" srcset=\"https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/03\/climate-change-copy-edited.jpeg 941w, https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/03\/climate-change-copy-edited-300x300.jpeg 300w, https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/03\/climate-change-copy-edited-768x768.jpeg 768w, https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/03\/climate-change-copy-edited-12x12.jpeg 12w, https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/03\/climate-change-copy-edited-250x250.jpeg 250w, https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/03\/climate-change-copy-edited-100x100.jpeg 100w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 941px) 100vw, 941px\" \/><\/figure>\n<\/div>\n\n\n<p class=\"has-text-align-center subtitlehome wp-block-paragraph\"><a href=\"https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/category\/strategic-foresight-early-warning-issues\/climate-change-planetary-boundaries-geopolitics\/climate-change-and-security\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">Climate Change and security<\/a>, stratospheric and atmospheric changes (incl. <a href=\"https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/category\/strategic-foresight-early-warning-issues\/environmental-geostrategy\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">Environmental geostrategy<\/a>)<\/p>\n\n\n\n<div style=\"height:10px\" aria-hidden=\"true\" class=\"wp-block-spacer\"><\/div>\n<\/div>\n\n\n\n<div class=\"wp-block-column is-layout-flow wp-block-column-is-layout-flow\" style=\"flex-basis:16.67%\"><div class=\"wp-block-image is-style-rounded\">\n<figure class=\"aligncenter size-large is-resized\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"961\" height=\"960\" src=\"https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/03\/ocean-change-copy-edited.jpeg\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-33886\" style=\"object-fit:cover;width:100px;height:100px\" srcset=\"https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/03\/ocean-change-copy-edited.jpeg 961w, https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/03\/ocean-change-copy-edited-300x300.jpeg 300w, https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/03\/ocean-change-copy-edited-942x941.jpeg 942w, https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/03\/ocean-change-copy-edited-768x767.jpeg 768w, https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/03\/ocean-change-copy-edited-12x12.jpeg 12w, https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/03\/ocean-change-copy-edited-250x250.jpeg 250w, https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/03\/ocean-change-copy-edited-100x100.jpeg 100w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 961px) 100vw, 961px\" \/><\/figure>\n<\/div>\n\n\n<p class=\"has-text-align-center subtitlehome wp-block-paragraph\"><a href=\"https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/category\/strategic-foresight-early-warning-issues\/climate-change-planetary-boundaries-geopolitics\/oceans-and-seas\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">Oceans<\/a> (acidification and use, links to biogeochemical cycles)<\/p>\n\n\n\n<div style=\"height:10px\" aria-hidden=\"true\" class=\"wp-block-spacer\"><\/div>\n<\/div>\n\n\n\n<div class=\"wp-block-column is-layout-flow wp-block-column-is-layout-flow\" style=\"flex-basis:16.67%\"><div class=\"wp-block-image is-style-rounded\">\n<figure class=\"aligncenter size-large is-resized\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"941\" height=\"941\" src=\"https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/03\/pexels-roger-brown-5125391-1568-edited.jpeg\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-33848\" style=\"object-fit:cover;width:100px;height:100px\" srcset=\"https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/03\/pexels-roger-brown-5125391-1568-edited.jpeg 941w, https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/03\/pexels-roger-brown-5125391-1568-edited-300x300.jpeg 300w, https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/03\/pexels-roger-brown-5125391-1568-edited-768x768.jpeg 768w, https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/03\/pexels-roger-brown-5125391-1568-edited-12x12.jpeg 12w, https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/03\/pexels-roger-brown-5125391-1568-edited-250x250.jpeg 250w, https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/03\/pexels-roger-brown-5125391-1568-edited-100x100.jpeg 100w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 941px) 100vw, 941px\" \/><\/figure>\n<\/div>\n\n\n<p class=\"has-text-align-center subtitlehome wp-block-paragraph\">Biosphere integrity (links to land-system change and biogeochemical cycles)<\/p>\n\n\n\n<div style=\"height:10px\" aria-hidden=\"true\" class=\"wp-block-spacer\"><\/div>\n<\/div>\n\n\n\n<div class=\"wp-block-column is-layout-flow wp-block-column-is-layout-flow\" style=\"flex-basis:16.67%\"><div class=\"wp-block-image is-style-rounded\">\n<figure class=\"aligncenter size-large is-resized\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"2560\" height=\"2556\" src=\"https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/03\/novel-entities-edited-scaled.jpeg\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-33873\" style=\"object-fit:cover;width:100px;height:100px\" srcset=\"https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/03\/novel-entities-edited-scaled.jpeg 2560w, https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/03\/novel-entities-edited-300x300.jpeg 300w, https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/03\/novel-entities-edited-942x941.jpeg 942w, https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/03\/novel-entities-edited-768x767.jpeg 768w, https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/03\/novel-entities-edited-1536x1534.jpeg 1536w, https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/03\/novel-entities-edited-2048x2045.jpeg 2048w, https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/03\/novel-entities-edited-12x12.jpeg 12w, https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/03\/novel-entities-edited-1568x1566.jpeg 1568w, https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/03\/novel-entities-edited-1320x1318.jpeg 1320w, https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/03\/novel-entities-edited-250x250.jpeg 250w, https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/03\/novel-entities-edited-1038x1036.jpeg 1038w, https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/03\/novel-entities-edited-100x100.jpeg 100w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 2560px) 100vw, 2560px\" \/><\/figure>\n<\/div>\n\n\n<p class=\"has-text-align-center subtitlehome wp-block-paragraph\">Novel entities and pollutions<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"has-text-align-center subtitlehome wp-block-paragraph\">Should <a href=\"https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/portal-to-understanding-ai-and-future-ai-powered-world\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">AI<\/a> belong to &#8220;Novel entities&#8221;?<\/p>\n\n\n\n<div style=\"height:10px\" aria-hidden=\"true\" class=\"wp-block-spacer\"><\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n\n\n\n<div class=\"wp-block-columns alignwide is-layout-flex wp-container-core-columns-is-layout-8f761849 wp-block-columns-is-layout-flex\">\n<div class=\"wp-block-column is-layout-flow wp-block-column-is-layout-flow\" style=\"flex-basis:20%\"><\/div>\n\n\n\n<div class=\"wp-block-column is-layout-flow wp-block-column-is-layout-flow\" style=\"flex-basis:60%\">\n<p class=\"has-text-align-center textfutura wp-block-paragraph\" style=\"font-size:0.8em\">If you want to participate in making the world sustainable again, while enhancing your preparedness, join us by becoming a partner of this project: <a href=\"https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/about-2\/contact\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">Contact us<\/a>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"has-text-align-center textfutura has-light-gray-color has-text-color wp-block-paragraph\" style=\"font-size:0.7em\">(from left to right) Photos by Pixabay, Pixabay, Ralph W. Lambrecht (Pexels), Lukas Rodriguez (Pexels), Roger Brown (Pexels), Pixabay.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n\n\n\n<div class=\"wp-block-column is-layout-flow wp-block-column-is-layout-flow\" style=\"flex-basis:20%\"><\/div>\n<\/div>\n\n\n\n<hr class=\"wp-block-separator has-css-opacity alignfull is-style-wide\"\/>\n<\/div><\/div>\n\n\n\n<div class=\"wp-block-group alignwide textfutura\"><div class=\"wp-block-group__inner-container is-layout-flow wp-block-group-is-layout-flow\">\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading has-text-align-center alignwide\" id=\"future\">Further into the Future<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<div class=\"wp-block-columns alignwide is-layout-flex wp-container-core-columns-is-layout-8f761849 wp-block-columns-is-layout-flex\">\n<div class=\"wp-block-column is-layout-flow wp-block-column-is-layout-flow\" style=\"flex-basis:20%\"><\/div>\n\n\n\n<div class=\"wp-block-column is-layout-flow wp-block-column-is-layout-flow\" style=\"flex-basis:60%\">\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading has-text-align-center alignwide\">An experimental blueprint to understand how to live on our planet, where planetary boundaries are being overstepped, and beyond.  <\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"has-text-align-center textfutura wp-block-paragraph\" style=\"font-size:0.9em\">As the project progresses, access the articles in this section by types of political and geopolitical stakes.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n\n\n\n<div class=\"wp-block-column is-layout-flow wp-block-column-is-layout-flow\" style=\"flex-basis:20%\"><\/div>\n<\/div>\n\n\n\n<div class=\"wp-block-columns alignwide textfutura is-layout-flex wp-container-core-columns-is-layout-8f761849 wp-block-columns-is-layout-flex\">\n<div class=\"wp-block-column is-layout-flow wp-block-column-is-layout-flow\" style=\"flex-basis:33.33%\"><div class=\"wp-block-image is-style-rounded\">\n<figure class=\"aligncenter size-large is-resized\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"1375\" height=\"1370\" src=\"https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/03\/pexels-hernan-pauccara-1210273-governance-1568-edited.jpeg\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-33910\" style=\"width:150px;height:150px\" srcset=\"https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/03\/pexels-hernan-pauccara-1210273-governance-1568-edited.jpeg 1375w, https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/03\/pexels-hernan-pauccara-1210273-governance-1568-edited-301x300.jpeg 301w, https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/03\/pexels-hernan-pauccara-1210273-governance-1568-edited-944x941.jpeg 944w, https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/03\/pexels-hernan-pauccara-1210273-governance-1568-edited-768x765.jpeg 768w, https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/03\/pexels-hernan-pauccara-1210273-governance-1568-edited-12x12.jpeg 12w, https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/03\/pexels-hernan-pauccara-1210273-governance-1568-edited-1320x1315.jpeg 1320w, https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/03\/pexels-hernan-pauccara-1210273-governance-1568-edited-250x249.jpeg 250w, https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/03\/pexels-hernan-pauccara-1210273-governance-1568-edited-1038x1034.jpeg 1038w, https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/03\/pexels-hernan-pauccara-1210273-governance-1568-edited-100x100.jpeg 100w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 1375px) 100vw, 1375px\" \/><\/figure>\n<\/div>\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading has-text-align-center\" style=\"font-size:0.9em\">Rising physical impacts on (national) governance capabilities<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\" style=\"font-size:0.8em\">This section will consider the impacts of the overstepping of planetary boundaries domestically and on the capabilities to govern of each political authority. For example, we shall look at crises, emergencies, fires, floods, etc.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<div style=\"height:10px\" aria-hidden=\"true\" class=\"wp-block-spacer\"><\/div>\n<\/div>\n\n\n\n<div class=\"wp-block-column is-layout-flow wp-block-column-is-layout-flow\" style=\"flex-basis:33.33%\"><div class=\"wp-block-image is-style-rounded\">\n<figure class=\"aligncenter size-large is-resized\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"944\" height=\"941\" src=\"https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/03\/pexels-pixabay-327509-1568-edited-944x941.jpeg\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-33860\" style=\"width:150px\" srcset=\"https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/03\/pexels-pixabay-327509-1568-edited-944x941.jpeg 944w, https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/03\/pexels-pixabay-327509-1568-edited-301x300.jpeg 301w, https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/03\/pexels-pixabay-327509-1568-edited-768x766.jpeg 768w, https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/03\/pexels-pixabay-327509-1568-edited-12x12.jpeg 12w, https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/03\/pexels-pixabay-327509-1568-edited-250x249.jpeg 250w, https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/03\/pexels-pixabay-327509-1568-edited-100x100.jpeg 100w, https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/03\/pexels-pixabay-327509-1568-edited.jpeg 948w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 944px) 100vw, 944px\" \/><\/figure>\n<\/div>\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading has-text-align-center\" style=\"font-size:0.9em\">Rising physical impacts with geopolitical stakes<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\" style=\"font-size:0.8em\">This section will focus on the physical impacts of the overstepping of planetary boundaries on geopolitics and the international world. It will interact with the previous section in as much as capabilities of each state are affected. For example, we shall classically look at transnational conflicts related to fresh water issues. We shall also address the appearance of new spaces of competition such as the Arctic, among others.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<div style=\"height:10px\" aria-hidden=\"true\" class=\"wp-block-spacer\"><\/div>\n<\/div>\n\n\n\n<div class=\"wp-block-column is-layout-flow wp-block-column-is-layout-flow\" style=\"flex-basis:33.33%\"><div class=\"wp-block-image is-style-rounded\">\n<figure class=\"aligncenter size-large is-resized\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"941\" height=\"944\" src=\"https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/03\/response-edited-1.jpg\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-33880\" style=\"width:150px;height:150px\" srcset=\"https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/03\/response-edited-1.jpg 941w, https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/03\/response-edited-1-299x300.jpg 299w, https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/03\/response-edited-1-938x941.jpg 938w, https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/03\/response-edited-1-768x770.jpg 768w, https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/03\/response-edited-1-12x12.jpg 12w, https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/03\/response-edited-1-250x251.jpg 250w, https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/03\/response-edited-1-100x100.jpg 100w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 941px) 100vw, 941px\" \/><\/figure>\n<\/div>\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading has-text-align-center\" style=\"font-size:0.9em\">Responses, possible consequences and political and geopolitical stakes<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\" style=\"font-size:0.8em\">This section will focus on the responses that need to be created an implemented to face the overstepping of planetary boundaries and their impacts. It will address novel approaches being put forward, the making of new norms, the efforts at adaptation, creation and implementation. It will also look at the consequences of these efforts and at the novel interactions that they will generate, from cooperation to tension. As in the previous section, we shall also address the appearance of new zones and types of environments (for humanity), where human activity will need to expand, what we also called <a href=\"https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/2013\/02\/15\/portal-to-extreme-environment-security\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">extreme environments<\/a>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<div style=\"height:10px\" aria-hidden=\"true\" class=\"wp-block-spacer\"><\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n\n\n\n<div class=\"wp-block-columns alignwide is-layout-flex wp-container-core-columns-is-layout-8f761849 wp-block-columns-is-layout-flex\">\n<div class=\"wp-block-column is-layout-flow wp-block-column-is-layout-flow\" style=\"flex-basis:20%\"><\/div>\n\n\n\n<div class=\"wp-block-column is-layout-flow wp-block-column-is-layout-flow\" style=\"flex-basis:60%\">\n<p class=\"has-text-align-center textfutura wp-block-paragraph\" style=\"font-size:0.8em\">If you want to participate in making the world sustainable again, while enhancing your preparedness, join us by becoming a partner of this project: <a href=\"https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/about-2\/contact\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">Contact us<\/a>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"has-text-align-center textfutura has-light-gray-color has-text-color wp-block-paragraph\" style=\"font-size:0.7em\">(from left to right) Photos and Art Design by Hernan Pauccara (Pexels),&nbsp;Pixabay, Yaroslav Shuraev (Pexels).<\/p>\n<\/div>\n\n\n\n<div class=\"wp-block-column is-layout-flow wp-block-column-is-layout-flow\" style=\"flex-basis:20%\"><\/div>\n<\/div>\n\n\n\n<hr class=\"wp-block-separator has-css-opacity alignwide is-style-wide\"\/>\n<\/div><\/div>\n\n\n\n<div class=\"wp-block-group alignfull\"><div class=\"wp-block-group__inner-container is-layout-flow wp-block-group-is-layout-flow\">\n<div class=\"wp-block-columns alignfull is-layout-flex wp-container-core-columns-is-layout-8f761849 wp-block-columns-is-layout-flex\">\n<div class=\"wp-block-column is-layout-flow wp-block-column-is-layout-flow\" style=\"flex-basis:20%\"><\/div>\n\n\n\n<div class=\"wp-block-column is-layout-flow wp-block-column-is-layout-flow\" style=\"flex-basis:60%\">  \n  \n  <div class=\"\n    mailpoet_form_popup_overlay\n      \"><\/div>\n  <div\n    id=\"mailpoet_form_9\"\n    class=\"\n      mailpoet_form\n      mailpoet_form_html\n      mailpoet_form_position_\n      mailpoet_form_animation_\n    \"\n      >\n\n    <style type=\"text\/css\">\n     #mailpoet_form_9 .mailpoet_form {  }\n#mailpoet_form_9 form { margin-bottom: 0; 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Read our <a href=\"https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/privacy-policy\/\"><a href=\"https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/privacy-policy\/\">Privacy Policy<\/a><\/a> for more info.<\/span><\/p>\n<\/div>\n<\/div><\/div>\n<div class='mailpoet_spacer mailpoet_has_divider' style='height: 1px;'><div class='mailpoet_divider' data-automation-id='form_divider' style='border-top-style: solid;border-top-width: 1px;border-top-color: #ffffff;height: 1px;width: 100%'><\/div><\/div>\n<div class='mailpoet_spacer mailpoet_has_divider' style='height: 1px;'><div class='mailpoet_divider' data-automation-id='form_divider' style='border-top-style: solid;border-top-width: 1px;border-top-color: #fcb900;height: 1px;width: 100%'><\/div><\/div>\n\n      <div class=\"mailpoet_message\">\n        <p class=\"mailpoet_validate_success\"\n                style=\"display:none;\"\n                >Check your inbox or spam folder to confirm your subscription.\n        <\/p>\n        <p class=\"mailpoet_validate_error\"\n                style=\"display:none;\"\n                >        <\/p>\n      <\/div>\n    <\/form>\n\n      <\/div>\n\n  \n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\" style=\"font-size:0.7em\">*Planetary boundaries: the idea and concept were developed in 2009 as &#8220;Johan Rockstr\u00f6m led a group of 28 internationally renowned scientists to identify the nine processes that regulate the stability and resilience of the Earth system&#8221; &#8211; see Stockholm Resilience Center, &#8220;<a href=\"https:\/\/www.stockholmresilience.org\/research\/planetary-boundaries.html\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">Planetary boundaries<\/a>&#8220;. On that page you will find a list of updated publications. See also, for an updated paper, Steffen et al., &#8220;<a href=\"https:\/\/www.stockholmresilience.org\/research\/planetary-boundaries\/the-nine-planetary-boundaries.html\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">The nine planetary boundaries<\/a>&#8220;, Stockholm Resilience Center, 2015.<br>In France, Aur\u00e9lien Boutaud and Natacha&nbsp;Gondran recently contextualised and presented the idea to decision-makers and the larger public with <em>Les limites plan\u00e9taires <\/em>(La D\u00e9couverte, 2020).<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\" style=\"font-size:0.7em\">**It builds on and follows from our contribution to <a href=\"https:\/\/alterrebourgognefranchecomte.org\/?arko_default_61b9fa635fb65--ficheFocus=&amp;arko_default_61ba0946c8fd7--ficheFocus=\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">Alterre-Bourgogne Franche Comt\u00e9<\/a> <a href=\"https:\/\/alterrebourgognefranchecomte.org\/actions-en-cours\/la-journee-alterre\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">day<\/a>, <a href=\"https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/2022\/01\/18\/planetary-limits-and-geopolitical-issues-keynote-speech-at-alterre-day-unsustainable\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">first panel<\/a>: H\u00e9l\u00e8ne Lavoix, &#8220;Unsustainability, Planetary Boundaries and Geopolitical Stakes&#8221;, 21 January 2022. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\" style=\"font-size:0.7em\">***Thomas Homer Dixon, <em>The Upside of Down: Catastrophe, Creativity, and the Renewal of Civilization<\/em> (Random House Canada, 2006).<\/p>\n<\/div>\n\n\n\n<div class=\"wp-block-column is-layout-flow wp-block-column-is-layout-flow\" style=\"flex-basis:20%\"><\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div><\/div>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>\u9002\u5e94\u5e76\u4f7f\u4e16\u754c\u518d\u6b21\u53ef\u6301\u7eed\u53d1\u5c55\u3002\n\u6218\u7565\u9884\u89c1\u3001\u65e9\u671f\u9884\u8b66\u548c\u56fd\u9645\u5173\u7cfb\u670d\u52a1\u4e8e\u672a\u6765\u3002\n\u5730\u7403\u7684\u754c\u9650*\u6b63\u5728\u88ab\u8d85\u8d8a\u3002\u8fd9\u4e9b\u53d8\u5316\u6b63\u5728\u4ece\u6839\u672c\u4e0a\u6270\u4e71\u6211\u4eec\u7684\u4e16\u754c\u3002\u8fd9\u4e9b\u7a81\u53d8\u5c06\u5728\u8fd9\u91cc\u6301\u7eed\u3001\u6269\u6563\u548c\u589e\u52a0\u3002\u6211\u4eec\u73b0\u5728\u5fc5\u987b\u91c7\u53d6\u884c\u52a8\u3002\u6211\u4eec\u5fc5\u987b\u505a\u597d\u51c6\u5907\uff0c\u4ee5\u9002\u5e94\u53d1\u751f\u5728\u6240\u6709\u9886\u57df\u7684\u65e0\u6570\u53d8\u5316\u3002 <\/p>\n<p class=\"link-more\"><a href=\"https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/zh\/2024\/03\/04\/climate-change-planetary-boundaries-geopolitical-stakes\/\" class=\"more-link\">\u7ee7\u7eed\u9605\u8bfb<span class=\"screen-reader-text\">\"\u6c14\u5019\u53d8\u5316\u3001\u884c\u661f\u8fb9\u754c\u548c\u5730\u7f18\u653f\u6cbb\u5229\u5bb3\u5173\u7cfb\"<\/span><\/a><\/p>","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":32870,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_jetpack_feature_clip_id":0,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[3333,2860],"tags":[1789,2560],"class_list":["post-33697","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-climate-change-planetary-boundaries-geopolitics","category-featured","tag-featured","tag-open-access","entry"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v28.6 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>Climate Change, Planetary Boundaries and Geopolitical Stakes &#8226; The Red Team Analysis Society<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/zh\/2024\/03\/04\/\u6c14\u5019\u53d8\u5316-\u884c\u661f-\u8fb9\u754c-\u5730\u7f18\u653f\u6cbb-\u5229\u5bb3\u5173\u7cfb\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"zh_CN\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Climate Change, Planetary Boundaries and Geopolitical Stakes &#8226; The Red Team Analysis Society\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"Adapting and Making the World Sustainable Again Strategic Foresight, Early Warning and Geopolitics Serve the Future Planetary boundaries* are being overstepped. 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