{"id":34200,"date":"2022-05-01T11:56:16","date_gmt":"2022-05-01T09:56:16","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/?p=34200"},"modified":"2022-05-02T18:14:00","modified_gmt":"2022-05-02T16:14:00","slug":"%e6%97%b1%e7%81%be-%e5%85%a8%e7%90%83%e7%b2%ae%e9%a3%9f%e5%8d%b1%e6%9c%ba-%e4%ba%ba%e7%b1%bb%e6%88%98%e4%ba%89-3","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/zh\/2022\/05\/01\/war-in-ukraine-megadrought-global-food-crisis-anthropocene-wars-3\/","title":{"rendered":"\u4e4c\u514b\u5170\u6218\u4e89\u3001\u5927\u5e72\u65f1\u548c\u5373\u5c06\u5230\u6765\u7684\u5168\u7403\u7cae\u98df\u5371\u673a--\u4eba\u7c7b\u4e16\u6218\u4e89\uff083\uff09\u3002"},"content":{"rendered":"<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">\u4e4c\u514b\u5170\u6218\u4e89\u662f\u4e00\u573a\u5b8c\u7f8e\u7684\u98ce\u66b4<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\u4e4c\u514b\u5170\u7684\u6218\u4e89\u5f15\u53d1\u4e86\u4e00\u573a\u6d89\u53ca\u80fd\u6e90\u548c\u7cae\u98df\u5371\u673a\u7684\u5168\u7403\u65cb\u98ce\u3002\u540e\u8005\u662f\u76f8\u5f53\u5355\u4e00\u7684\uff0c\u56e0\u4e3a\u5b83\u7ed3\u5408\u4e86\u6218\u4e89\u5bf9\u5168\u7403\u519c\u4e1a\u7cfb\u7edf\u7684\u540e\u679c\u548c\u5927\u89c4\u6a21\u7684\u6781\u7aef\u5929\u6c14\u4e8b\u4ef6\uff0c\u5982\u7f8e\u56fd\u4e2d\u897f\u90e8\u5927\u65f1\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<div class=\"wp-block-columns alignwide is-layout-flex wp-container-core-columns-is-layout-8f761849 wp-block-columns-is-layout-flex\">\n<div class=\"wp-block-column is-layout-flow wp-block-column-is-layout-flow\" style=\"flex-basis:66.66%\">\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">\u6218\u4e89\u662f\u5168\u7403\u6027\u7684\u7834\u574f<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\u4e8b\u5b9e\u4e0a\uff0c\u81ea\u4ece\u4fc4\u7f57\u65af\u5728\u4e4c\u514b\u5170\u5f00\u59cb\u8fdb\u653b\u4ee5\u6765\uff0c\u6218\u4e89\u589e\u52a0\u4e86\u6b27\u76df\u3001\u7f8e\u56fd\u548c\u4e03\u56fd\u96c6\u56e2\u5bf9\u4fc4\u7f57\u65af\u7684\u7ecf\u6d4e\u5236\u88c1\u3002\u5236\u88c1\u548c\u6218\u4e89\u5bf9\u4e4c\u514b\u5170\u548c\u4fc4\u7f57\u65af\u7684\u8c37\u7269\u51fa\u53e3\u4ea7\u751f\u4e86\u7834\u574f\u6027\u5f71\u54cd\uff0c\u4e3b\u8981\u662f\u5c0f\u9ea6\u3001\u7389\u7c73\u548c\u5927\u9ea6\u3002(\u7cae\u519c\u7ec4\u7ec7 <em>- <a href=\"https:\/\/www.fao.org\/3\/cb9236en\/cb9236en.pdf\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">\u5173\u4e8e\u4e4c\u514b\u5170\u548c\u4fc4\u7f57\u65af\u8054\u90a6\u5bf9\u5168\u7403\u519c\u4e1a\u5e02\u573a\u7684\u91cd\u8981\u6027\u4ee5\u53ca\u4e0e\u5f53\u524d\u51b2\u7a81\u6709\u5173\u7684\u98ce\u9669\u7684\u60c5\u51b5\u8bf4\u660e<\/a><\/em> - 2022\u5e743\u670825\u65e5\u66f4\u65b0\uff09\u3002 <\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">\u4ece\u5236\u88c1\u5230\u89e3\u9664\u5236\u88c1<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\u4ece\u4e09\u6708\u521d\u5230\u4e09\u6708\u5e95\uff0c\u5236\u88c1\u5236\u5ea6\u4e3b\u8981\u9488\u5bf9\u91d1\u878d\u670d\u52a1\u548c\u519c\u4ea7\u54c1\u51fa\u53e3\uff0c\u4f7f\u4fc4\u7f57\u65af\u66f4\u96be\u5728\u56fd\u9645\u5e02\u573a\u4e0a\u51fa\u53e3\u5176\u519c\u4ea7\u54c1\uff08Maxim Suchkov\uff0c\"<a href=\"https:\/\/www.russiamatters.org\/blog\/repercussions-russia-sanctions-agriculture-microchips\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">\u4fc4\u7f57\u65af\u5236\u88c1\u7684\u5f71\u54cd\uff0c\u4ece\u519c\u4e1a\u5230\u5fae\u82af\u7247<\/a>\", <em>\u4fc4\u7f57\u65af\u4e8b\u52a1\u3002<\/em> 2022\u5e743\u670810\u65e5\uff09\u3002\u8fd9\u5bf9\u4ef7\u683c\u4ea7\u751f\u4e86\u76f4\u63a5\u7684\u5f71\u54cd\uff0c\u56e0\u4e3a\u5168\u4e16\u754c\u7684\u9700\u6c42\u5df2\u7ecf\u5f88\u9ad8\uff0c\u800c\u4f9b\u5e94\u5374\u76f8\u5f53\u7d27\u5f20\uff08Patti Domm\uff0c\"<a href=\"https:\/\/www.cnbc.com\/2022\/04\/06\/a-fertilizer-shortage-worsened-by-war-in-ukraine-is-driving-up-global-food-prices-and-scarcity.html\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">\u56e0\u4e4c\u514b\u5170\u6218\u4e89\u800c\u6076\u5316\u7684\u5316\u80a5\u77ed\u7f3a\uff0c\u6b63\u5728\u63a8\u52a8\u5168\u7403\u7cae\u98df\u4ef7\u683c\u4e0a\u6da8\u548c\u532e\u4e4f<\/a>\"\uff0cCNBC\uff0c2022\u5e744\u67086\u65e5\uff09\u3002<\/p>\n<\/div>\n\n\n\n<div class=\"wp-block-column is-layout-flow wp-block-column-is-layout-flow\" style=\"flex-basis:33.33%\"><ul class=\"wp-block-latest-posts__list alignright wp-block-latest-posts is-layout-flow wp-block-latest-posts-is-layout-flow\"><li><a class=\"wp-block-latest-posts__post-title\" href=\"https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/zh\/2026\/10\/16\/rtas-expertise-italian-television-channel-la7\/\">\u610f\u5927\u5229LA7\u7535\u89c6\u53f0\u91cd\u70b9\u62a5\u9053\u4e86RTAS\u7684\u4e13\u4e1a\u5b9e\u529b<\/a><\/li>\n<li><a class=\"wp-block-latest-posts__post-title\" href=\"https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/zh\/2026\/10\/08\/houthis-bab-el-mandeb-maritime-transport\/\">\u80e1\u585e\u6b66\u88c5\u3001\u5df4\u5e03\u5c14\u66fc\u5fb7\u8d1d\u8d6b\u6e2f\u548c\u6d77\u4e0a\u8fd0\u8f93<\/a><\/li>\n<li><a class=\"wp-block-latest-posts__post-title\" href=\"https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/zh\/2026\/07\/15\/mystery-bolivia-lithium-reserves\/\">\u73bb\u5229\u7ef4\u4e9a\u9502\u50a8\u91cf\u7684\u79bb\u5947\u4e4b\u8c1c<\/a><\/li>\n<li><a class=\"wp-block-latest-posts__post-title\" href=\"https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/zh\/2026\/04\/09\/beyond-geopolitics-critical-pressures\/\">\u8d85\u8d8a\u5730\u7f18\u653f\u6cbb\uff1a\u4e86\u89e3\u91cd\u5851\u6211\u4eec\u4e16\u754c\u7684\u5173\u952e\u538b\u529b\u3002.<\/a><\/li>\n<li><a class=\"wp-block-latest-posts__post-title\" href=\"https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/zh\/2026\/03\/30\/watch-out-saudi-arabia-winner-iran-war\/\">\u5c0f\u5fc3--\u4f0a\u6717\u6218\u4e89\u3001\u6c99\u7279\u963f\u62c9\u4f2f\u548c\u80e1\u585e\u6b66\u88c5<\/a><\/li>\n<li><a class=\"wp-block-latest-posts__post-title\" href=\"https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/zh\/2026\/02\/09\/golden-dome-technological-frontier\/\">SIGNAL - \u91d1\u8272\u7a79\u9876\uff0c\u65b0\u7684\u6280\u672f\u524d\u6cbf<\/a><\/li>\n<li><a class=\"wp-block-latest-posts__post-title\" href=\"https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/zh\/2026\/02\/06\/watch-out-yemen-saudi-arabia\/\">\u6ce8\u610f - \u4e5f\u95e8\u548c\u6c99\u7279\u963f\u62c9\u4f2f<\/a><\/li>\n<\/ul><\/div>\n<\/div>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\u7136\u800c\uff0c3\u670824\u65e5\uff0c\u534e\u76db\u987f\u653e\u677e\u4e86\u5bf9\u4fc4\u7f57\u65af\u519c\u4ea7\u54c1\u7684\u4e00\u4e9b\u5236\u88c1\uff0c\u7279\u522b\u662f\u5bf9\u5316\u80a5\u7684\u5236\u88c1\uff08\"<a href=\"https:\/\/investogist.com\/usa-eases-sanctions-on-russian-agricultural-products-including-fertilizers\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">\u7f8e\u56fd\u653e\u677e\u5bf9\u5305\u62ec\u5316\u80a5\u5728\u5185\u7684\u519c\u4e1a\u4ea7\u54c1\u7684\u5236\u88c1<\/a>\", <em>\u6295\u8d44\u5b66\u5bb6\u3002 <\/em>2022\u5e743\u670831\u65e5\uff09\u3002 <\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-embed is-type-video is-provider-youtube wp-block-embed-youtube wp-embed-aspect-16-9 wp-has-aspect-ratio\"><div class=\"wp-block-embed__wrapper\">\n<span class=\"embed-youtube\" style=\"text-align:center; display: block;\"><iframe loading=\"lazy\" class=\"youtube-player\" width=\"640\" height=\"360\" src=\"https:\/\/www.youtube.com\/embed\/zvC_0s8jop4?version=3&#038;rel=1&#038;showsearch=0&#038;showinfo=1&#038;iv_load_policy=1&#038;fs=1&#038;hl=zh-CN&#038;autohide=2&#038;wmode=transparent\" allowfullscreen=\"true\" style=\"border:0;\" sandbox=\"allow-scripts allow-same-origin allow-popups allow-presentation allow-popups-to-escape-sandbox\"><\/iframe><\/span>\n<\/div><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<div class=\"wp-block-columns alignwide is-layout-flex wp-container-core-columns-is-layout-8f761849 wp-block-columns-is-layout-flex\">\n<div class=\"wp-block-column is-layout-flow wp-block-column-is-layout-flow\" style=\"flex-basis:66.66%\">\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\u5728\u4e4c\u514b\u5170\u65b9\u9762\uff0c\u5bf9\u8fd0\u8f93\u7cfb\u7edf\u7684\u7834\u574f\uff0c\u4ee5\u53ca\u5bf9\u9ed1\u6d77\u548c\u4e9a\u901f\u6d77\u6e2f\u53e3\u7684\u5c01\u9501\uff0c\u5176\u4e2d\u5305\u62ec\u9a6c\u91cc\u4e4c\u6ce2\u5c14\u53ca\u5176\u6e2f\u53e3\uff0c\u5927\u5927\u524a\u5f31\u4e86\u4e4c\u514b\u5170\u7684\u51fa\u53e3\u80fd\u529b\u3002\u4e4c\u514b\u5170\u5f53\u5c40\u8bd5\u56fe\u901a\u8fc7\u94c1\u8def\u6765\u5f25\u8865\u8c37\u7269\u51fa\u53e3\u7684\u4e0d\u8db3\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\u7136\u800c\uff0c\u53ef\u4ee5\u901a\u8fc7\u94c1\u8def\u8fd0\u8f93\u7684\u6570\u91cf\u8981\u5c11\u5f97\u591a\u3002\u540c\u65f6\uff0c\u8fd0\u8f93\u65f6\u95f4\u548c\u6210\u672c\u4e5f\u8f83\u9ad8\u3002(Silvia Aloisi \u548c Pavel Polityuk, \"<a href=\"https:\/\/gcaptain.com\/ukraine-grain-exports-costs\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">\u4e4c\u514b\u5170\u53ef\u80fd\u56e0\u6e2f\u53e3\u88ab\u5c01\u9501\u800c\u635f\u5931$6\u4ebf\u7684\u7cae\u98df\u51fa\u53e3\u91cf<\/a>\",<em> \u8def\u900f\u793e<\/em>2022\u5e743\u670821\u65e5\u548c\"<a href=\"https:\/\/www.reuters.com\/world\/europe\/ukraines-grain-exports-held-up-railways-struggle-cope-analyst-2022-04-02\/#:~:text=Analysts%20have%20said%20Ukraine%2C%20which,months%2C%20due%20to%20logistics%20difficulties.\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">\u5206\u6790\u5e08\u8bf4\uff0c\u4e4c\u514b\u5170\u7684\u8c37\u7269\u51fa\u53e3\u4fdd\u6301\u4e0d\u53d8\uff0c\u800c\u94c1\u8def\u5374\u5728\u52aa\u529b\u5e94\u5bf9\u3002<\/a>\", <em>\u8def\u900f\u793e<\/em>\uff0c2022\u5e744\u67082\u65e5) <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\u6b64\u5916\uff0c\u8fd9\u4e9b\u51fa\u53e3\u4e2d\u7684\u5f88\u5927\u4e00\u90e8\u5206\u6ca1\u6709\u8fdb\u5165\u56fd\u9645\u5e02\u573a\uff0c\u8fd9\u53ea\u662f\u5373\u5c06\u5230\u6765\u7684\u5168\u7403\u519c\u4e1a\u51b2\u51fb\u7684\u6700\u8868\u9762\u90e8\u5206\u3002 <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\u4e8b\u5b9e\u4e0a\uff0c\u4e3b\u8981\u7684\u519c\u4e1a\u4e2d\u5fc3\u548c\u4f5c\u7269\u90fd\u9700\u8981\u5316\u80a5\u3002\u6070\u597d\uff0c\u5982\u679c\u7f8e\u56fd\u548c\u52a0\u62ff\u5927\u662f\u94be\u80a5\u548c\u6c2e\u80a5\u7684\u4e3b\u8981\u751f\u4ea7\u56fd\uff0c\u90a3\u4e48\u4fc4\u7f57\u65af\u3001\u767d\u4fc4\u7f57\u65af\u548c\u4e4c\u514b\u5170\u5c31\u662f\u4e3b\u8981\u51fa\u53e3\u56fd\u3002 <\/p>\n<\/div>\n\n\n\n<div class=\"wp-block-column is-layout-flow wp-block-column-is-layout-flow\" style=\"flex-basis:33.33%\">\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-latest-posts__list aligncenter related wp-block-latest-posts is-layout-flow wp-block-latest-posts-is-layout-flow\"><li><a class=\"wp-block-latest-posts__post-title\" href=\"https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/zh\/2024\/04\/08\/ai-at-war-1-ukraine\/\">\u6218\u4e89\u4e2d\u7684\u4eba\u5de5\u667a\u80fd (1) - \u4e4c\u514b\u5170<\/a><\/li>\n<li><a class=\"wp-block-latest-posts__post-title\" href=\"https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/zh\/2022\/10\/31\/can-you-unbias-analysis-russian-nuclear-threat\/\">\u4f60\u80fd\u4e0d\u504f\u4e0d\u501a\u5730\u5206\u6790\u5417\uff1f\u4fc4\u7f57\u65af\u7684\u6838\u5a01\u80c1<\/a><\/li>\n<li><a class=\"wp-block-latest-posts__post-title\" href=\"https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/zh\/2022\/09\/19\/alternative-red-scenario-war-ukraine-russia\/\">\u4e4c\u514b\u5170\u548c\u4fc4\u7f57\u65af\u4e4b\u95f4\u6218\u4e89\u7684\u53e6\u4e00\u79cd\u7ea2\u8272\u65b9\u6848<\/a><\/li>\n<li><a class=\"wp-block-latest-posts__post-title\" href=\"https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/zh\/2022\/05\/24\/information-warfare-and-the-war-in-ukraine\/\">\u4fe1\u606f\u6218\u4e0e\u4e4c\u514b\u5170\u6218\u4e89<\/a><\/li>\n<li><a class=\"wp-block-latest-posts__post-title\" href=\"https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/zh\/2022\/02\/28\/china-with-or-against-russia\/\">\u4e2d\u56fd\uff0c\u4e0e\u4fc4\u7f57\u65af\u4e00\u8d77\u8fd8\u662f\u53cd\u5bf9\u4fc4\u7f57\u65af\uff1f<\/a><\/li>\n<li><a class=\"wp-block-latest-posts__post-title\" href=\"https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/zh\/2022\/02\/24\/resources-to-follow-the-war-in-ukraine\/\">\u5173\u6ce8\u4e4c\u514b\u5170\u6218\u4e89\u7684\u8d44\u6e90<\/a><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n<div style=\"height:10px\" aria-hidden=\"true\" class=\"wp-block-spacer\"><\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\u5982\u679c\u7f8e\u56fd\u653f\u5e9c\u57282022\u5e743\u670824\u65e5\u653e\u5bbd\u51fa\u53e3\u7981\u4ee4\uff0c\u4fc4\u7f57\u65af\u653f\u6cbb\u5f53\u5c40\u9996\u5148\u51b3\u5b9a\u51cf\u5c11\u51fa\u53e3\uff0c\u7136\u540e\u57284\u6708\u521d\u653e\u5bbd\u8fd9\u4e9b\u63aa\u65bd\uff08Shelby Myers, Veronica Nigh, \"<a href=\"https:\/\/www.fb.org\/market-intel\/too-many-to-count-factors-driving-fertilizer-prices-higher-and-higher#:~:text=Fertilizer%20prices%20are%20the%20issue,210%25%3B%20liquid%20nitrogen%20ha\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">\u6570\u4e0d\u6e05\u7684\u56e0\u7d20--\u63a8\u52a8\u5316\u80a5\u4ef7\u683c\u8d8a\u6765\u8d8a\u9ad8\u7684\u56e0\u7d20<\/a>\", <em>\u5e02\u573a\u60c5\u62a5<\/em>\uff0c2021\u5e7412\u670813\u65e5\u548cDipanjan Roy Chaudhury\uff0c\"<a href=\"https:\/\/economictimes.indiatimes.com\/news\/economy\/foreign-trade\/russia-increases-export-quota-of-fertilizers-easing-supply-to-india\/articleshow\/90953487.cms\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">\u4fc4\u7f57\u65af\u589e\u52a0\u5316\u80a5\u51fa\u53e3\u914d\u989d\uff0c\u7f13\u89e3\u5bf9\u5370\u5ea6\u7684\u4f9b\u5e94\u538b\u529b<\/a>\u201c, <em>\u7ecf\u6d4e\u65f6\u62a5<\/em>\uff0c2022\u5e744\u670820\u65e5\uff09\u3002 <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\u8fd9\u4e9b\u51fa\u53e3\u6ce2\u52a8\u51cf\u5c11\u4e863\u6708\u4efd\u4e16\u754c\u4e0a\u53ef\u7528\u7684\u5316\u80a5\u6570\u91cf\uff0c\u5373\u5728\u4f5c\u7269\u79cd\u690d\u7684\u540c\u65f6\uff0c\u4ece\u800c\u589e\u52a0\u4e86\u9700\u6c42\u548c\u4ef7\u683c\uff08Charlotte Hebebrand\u548cDavid Laborde\uff0c\"<a href=\"https:\/\/www.ifpri.org\/blog\/high-fertilizer-prices-contribute-rising-global-food-security-concerns\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">\u5316\u80a5\u4ef7\u683c\u9ad8\u4f01\u5bfc\u81f4\u5168\u7403\u7cae\u98df\u5b89\u5168\u95ee\u9898\u52a0\u5267<\/a>\"\uff0c\u56fd\u9645\u7cae\u98df\u653f\u7b56\u7814\u7a76\u6240\uff0c2022\u5e744\u670825\u65e5\uff09\u3002 <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\u6b64\u5916\uff0c\u7531\u4e8e\u8fd9\u4e9b\u56e0\u7d20\u4e0e\u6c14\u5019\u53d8\u5316\u5bf9\u4e3b\u8981\u519c\u4e1a\u5730\u533a\uff08\u5982\u7f8e\u56fd\u4e2d\u897f\u90e8\uff09\u7684\u5de8\u5927\u5f71\u54cd\u76f8\u7ed3\u5408\uff0c\u60c5\u51b5\u53d8\u5f97\u66f4\u7cdf\u3002\u4e8b\u5b9e\u4e0a\uff0c\u5f71\u54cd\u8be5\u7f8e\u56fd\u5730\u533a\u53ca\u5176\u897f\u5357\u5730\u533a\u7684 \"\u7279\u5927\u5e72\u65f1 \"\u672c\u8eab\u5c31\u662f\u519c\u4e1a\u5371\u673a\u7684\u4e00\u4e2a\u4e3b\u8981\u56e0\u7d20\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-latest-posts__list alignright related wp-block-latest-posts is-layout-flow wp-block-latest-posts-is-layout-flow\"><li><a class=\"wp-block-latest-posts__post-title\" href=\"https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/zh\/2024\/02\/20\/apocalypse-in-the-red-sea-anthropocene-wars-9\/\">\u7ea2\u6d77\u4e2d\u7684\u542f\u793a--\u4eba\u7c7b\u4e16\u6218\u4e89 (9)<\/a><\/li>\n<li><a class=\"wp-block-latest-posts__post-title\" href=\"https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/zh\/2023\/11\/22\/the-war-in-gaza-and-chinas-pivot-to-the-middle-east\/\">\u52a0\u6c99\u6218\u4e89\u4e0e\u4e2d\u56fd\u7684\u4e2d\u4e1c\u652f\u70b9\u6218\u7565<\/a><\/li>\n<li><a class=\"wp-block-latest-posts__post-title\" href=\"https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/zh\/2023\/06\/12\/climate-emergency-ai-and-the-necessary-rise-of-geoengineering\/\">\u6c14\u5019\u7d27\u6025\u60c5\u51b5\u3001\u4eba\u5de5\u667a\u80fd\u548c\u5730\u7403\u5de5\u7a0b\u7684\uff08\u5fc5\u8981\uff09\u5d1b\u8d77<\/a><\/li>\n<li><a class=\"wp-block-latest-posts__post-title\" href=\"https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/zh\/2023\/05\/09\/war-in-ukraine-2023-super-el-nino-global-disruptions-anthropocene-wars-8\/\">\u4e4c\u514b\u5170\u6218\u4e89\u30012023 \u5e74\u8d85\u5f3a\u5384\u5c14\u5c3c\u8bfa\u73b0\u8c61\u548c\u5168\u7403\u7834\u574f--\u4eba\u7c7b\u4e16\u6218\u4e89 (8)<\/a><\/li>\n<li><a class=\"wp-block-latest-posts__post-title\" href=\"https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/zh\/2022\/12\/12\/war-ukraine-europe-weaponization-winter-anthropocene-wars-7\/\">\u4e4c\u514b\u5170\u3001\u6b27\u6d32\u7684\u6218\u4e89\u548c\u51ac\u5b63\u7684\u6b66\u5668\u5316--\u4eba\u7c7b\u4e16\u7684\u6218\u4e89\uff087\uff09\u3002<\/a><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\u6362\u53e5\u8bdd\u8bf4\uff0c\u4e4c\u514b\u5170\u6218\u4e89\u5b9e\u9645\u4e0a\u662f\u5c06\u519c\u4e1a\u5371\u673a\u7684\u4e0d\u540c\u56e0\u7d20 \"\u4e32\u8054 \"\u8d77\u6765\uff0c\u4ece\u8c37\u7269\u751f\u4ea7\u5230\u51fa\u53e3\u518d\u5230\u6c14\u5019\u53d8\u5316\"\u3002\u6070\u597d\uff0c\u4e4c\u514b\u5170\u6218\u4e89\u5c06\u8fd9\u4e00\u8fde\u4e32\u7684\u56e0\u7d20\u548c\u53d8\u91cf\u53d8\u6210\u4e86\u5de8\u5927\u7684\u7cfb\u7edf\u6027\u5168\u7403\u519c\u4e1a\u5371\u673a\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\u6211\u4eec\u5c06\u770b\u5230\u8fd9\u573a\u7cfb\u7edf\u6027\u5371\u673a\u662f\u5982\u4f55\u6210\u4e3a\u5176\u81ea\u8eab\u7684\u9a71\u52a8\u529b\u7684\uff0c\u6bcf\u4e2a\u56e0\u7d20\u90fd\u5728\u9a71\u52a8\u5176\u4ed6\u56e0\u7d20\u3002\u6211\u4eec\u8fd8\u5c06\u770b\u5230\u519c\u4e1a\u5371\u673a\u4e0e\u5168\u7403\u80fd\u6e90\u5371\u673a \"\u76f8\u9047 \"\u7684\u65b9\u5f0f\u3002\u6700\u540e\uff0c\u6211\u4eec\u5c06\u770b\u5230\u8fd9\u4e00\u7cfb\u7edf\u6027\u5371\u673a\u662f\u5982\u4f55\u6210\u4e3a \"\u4ee5\u5176\u4ed6\u65b9\u5f0f\u5ef6\u7eed\u4e4c\u514b\u5170\u7684\u6218\u4e89 \"\u7684\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">\u4e4c\u514b\u5170\u7684\u6218\u4e89\u548c\u519c\u4e1a\u51fa\u53e3\u5371\u673a<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\u4e4c\u514b\u5170\u7684\u6218\u4e89\u6b63\u5728\u5f15\u53d1\u4e00\u573a\u4e16\u754c\u6027\u7684\u3001\u7cfb\u7edf\u6027\u7684\u519c\u4e1a\u5371\u673a\u3002\u81ea2022\u5e742\u670824\u65e5\u4fc4\u7f57\u65af\u5f00\u59cb\u5165\u4fb5\u4ee5\u6765\uff0c\u6218\u4e89\u548c\u56fd\u9645\u5236\u88c1\u963b\u6b62\u4e86\u4e4c\u514b\u5170\u548c\u4fc4\u7f57\u65af\u8c37\u7c7b\u4f5c\u7269\u7684\u6b63\u5e38\u51fa\u53e3\uff08\u7cae\u519c\u7ec4\u7ec7\uff0c\u540c\u4e0a\uff09\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">\u5931\u8e2a\u7684\u4e4c\u514b\u5170\u548c\u4fc4\u7f57\u65af\u51fa\u53e3<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\u6070\u597d\uff0c\u57282019\u5e74\uff0c\u8fd9\u4e9b\u51fa\u53e3\u5360\u5168\u7403\u5c0f\u9ea6\u51fa\u53e3\u768423 %\uff0c\u5927\u9ea6\u768419%\uff0c\u7389\u7c73\u768418%\uff0c\u4ee5\u53ca64%\u7684\u8475\u82b1\u7c7d\u6cb9\uff0c\u8fd9\u662f\u5168\u7403\u5fc5\u4e0d\u53ef\u5c11\u7684\u70f9\u996a\u539f\u6599\uff08Hannah Ritchie\uff0c\"<a href=\"https:\/\/ourworldindata.org\/ukraine-russia-food\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">\u4e4c\u514b\u5170\u7684\u6218\u4e89\u4f1a\u5bf9\u5168\u7403\u7cae\u98df\u4f9b\u5e94\u4ea7\u751f\u4ec0\u4e48\u5f71\u54cd\uff1f<\/a>\", <em>\u6211\u4eec\u7684\u6570\u636e\u4e16\u754c<\/em>\uff0c2022\u5e743\u670824\u65e5\uff09\u3002\u5728\u6218\u4e89\u5f00\u59cb\u4e4b\u524d\uff0c\u519c\u4ea7\u54c1\u4ef7\u683c\u5df2\u7ecf\u5728\u4e0a\u5347\u3002\u73b0\u5728\uff0c\u5bf9\u4e4c\u514b\u5170\u548c\u4fc4\u7f57\u65af\u51fa\u53e3\u7684\u5c01\u9501\u6b63\u5728\u63a8\u52a8\u8fd9\u4e9b\u5546\u54c1\u7684\u5f3a\u5927\u901a\u8d27\u81a8\u80c0\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">\u4ef7\u683c\u6218<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\u4f8b\u5982\uff0c\u57282022\u5e744\u670813\u65e5\uff0c\u5c0f\u9ea6\u84b2\u5f0f\u8033\u7684\u4ef7\u683c\u5904\u4e8e\u5386\u53f2\u9ad8\u4f4d\uff0c\u4e3a$11.13\u3002\u4eba\u4eec\u5fc5\u987b\u8bb0\u4f4f\uff0c\u540c\u6bd4\u4e4b\u4e0b\uff0c2021\u5e744\u670813\u65e5\u7684\u4ef7\u683c\u662f$6.29\u30022022\u5e742\u67081\u65e5\uff0c\u5b83\u662f$7.5\u30022022\u5e742\u670822\u65e5\uff0c\u4ee5\u53ca\u6218\u4e89\u524d\u5915\uff0c\u5b83\u662f$8.4\u3002\u56e0\u6b64\uff0c\u572848\u5929\u5185\uff0c\u5c0f\u9ea6\u7684\u4ef7\u683c\u66b4\u6da8\u5230$11.13\uff08\"<a href=\"https:\/\/www.macrotrends.net\/2534\/wheat-prices-historical-chart-data\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">40\u5e74\u5386\u53f2\u56fe\u8868<\/a>\", <em>Macrotrends<\/em>\uff0c2022\u5e744\u670813\u65e5\uff09\u3002 <\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-embed is-type-video is-provider-youtube wp-block-embed-youtube wp-embed-aspect-16-9 wp-has-aspect-ratio\"><div class=\"wp-block-embed__wrapper\">\n<span class=\"embed-youtube\" style=\"text-align:center; display: block;\"><iframe loading=\"lazy\" class=\"youtube-player\" width=\"640\" height=\"360\" src=\"https:\/\/www.youtube.com\/embed\/OHdaQ4KBnEA?version=3&#038;rel=1&#038;showsearch=0&#038;showinfo=1&#038;iv_load_policy=1&#038;fs=1&#038;hl=zh-CN&#038;autohide=2&#038;wmode=transparent\" allowfullscreen=\"true\" style=\"border:0;\" sandbox=\"allow-scripts allow-same-origin allow-popups allow-presentation allow-popups-to-escape-sandbox\"><\/iframe><\/span>\n<\/div><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\u56e0\u6b64\uff0c\u81ea\u6218\u4e89\u5f00\u59cb\u4ee5\u53ca\u4fc4\u7f57\u65af\u548c\u4e4c\u514b\u5170\u7684\u51fa\u53e3\u4e2d\u65ad\u4ee5\u6765\uff0c\u5c0f\u9ea6\u4ef7\u683c\u7684\u589e\u957f\u7387\u51e0\u4e4e\u662f\u4e00\u4e2a\u6708\u7684\u4e24\u500d\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\u6b64\u5916\uff0c\u6b63\u5982\u6211\u4eec\u73b0\u5728\u770b\u5230\u7684\uff0c\u8fd9\u573a\u519c\u4e1a\u5371\u673a\u4e0d\u4ec5\u662f\u6570\u91cf\u4e0a\u7684\u3002\u5b83\u8fd8\u5177\u6709\u7cfb\u7edf\u6027\u7684\u7279\u70b9<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">\u8fce\u63a5\u7f8e\u56fd\u5927\u5e72\u65f1<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">\u7f8e\u56fd\u5927\u9646\u7684\u5927\u5e72\u65f1<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\u76ee\u524d\u5f71\u54cd\u7f8e\u56fd\u4e2d\u897f\u90e8\u548c\u897f\u5357\u90e8\u7684\u7279\u5927\u5e72\u65f1\u6b63\u5728\u6210\u4e3a\u8fd9\u4e00\u7cfb\u7edf\u6027\u519c\u4e1a\u5371\u673a\u7684\u53e6\u4e00\u4e2a\u9a71\u52a8\u56e0\u7d20\u3002NOAA\u7684\u7f8e\u56fd\u5e72\u65f1\u5c55\u671b\u786e\u5b9a\uff0c\u8d85\u8fc760%\u7684\u7f8e\u56fd\u5927\u9646\u7ecf\u5386\u4e86\u8f7b\u5fae\u5230\u7279\u6b8a\u7684\u5e72\u65f1\u72b6\u51b5\uff08NOAA\uff0c\"<em><a href=\"https:\/\/www.noaa.gov\/news\/spring-outlook-drought-to-expand-amid-warmer-conditions\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">\u6625\u5b63\u5c55\u671b\u3002\u5e72\u65f1\u5c06\u5728\u6e29\u6696\u7684\u6761\u4ef6\u4e0b\u6269\u5927\uff0c\u4e2d\u897f\u90e8\u504f\u4e0a\u5730\u533a\u3001\u4e2d\u897f\u90e8\u3001\u4e1c\u5357\u90e8\u6709\u6d2a\u6c34\u98ce\u9669<\/a><\/em>\"\uff0c202\u5e743\u670817\u65e5\uff09\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-embed is-type-video is-provider-youtube wp-block-embed-youtube wp-embed-aspect-16-9 wp-has-aspect-ratio\"><div class=\"wp-block-embed__wrapper\">\n<span class=\"embed-youtube\" style=\"text-align:center; display: block;\"><iframe loading=\"lazy\" class=\"youtube-player\" width=\"640\" height=\"360\" src=\"https:\/\/www.youtube.com\/embed\/znSN7ZFIaOg?version=3&#038;rel=1&#038;showsearch=0&#038;showinfo=1&#038;iv_load_policy=1&#038;fs=1&#038;hl=zh-CN&#038;autohide=2&#038;wmode=transparent\" allowfullscreen=\"true\" style=\"border:0;\" sandbox=\"allow-scripts allow-same-origin allow-popups allow-presentation allow-popups-to-escape-sandbox\"><\/iframe><\/span>\n<\/div><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\u8fd8\u5fc5\u987b\u6307\u51fa\uff0c\u5728\u672a\u6765\u7684\u6625\u5929\u548c\u590f\u5929\uff0c\u6c14\u6e29\u9ad8\u4e8e\u6b63\u5e38\u6c34\u5e73\u7684\u98ce\u9669\u5f88\u9ad8\uff0c\u8fd9\u5c06\u4e0e2022\u5e74\u7684\u62c9\u5c3c\u5a1c\u73b0\u8c61\u7ed3\u5408\u8d77\u6765\u3002\u8fd9\u610f\u5473\u7740\uff0c\u5728\u7f8e\u56fd\u7684\u4e3b\u8981\u519c\u4e1a\u5730\u533a\uff0c\u571f\u58e4\u5c06\u8fc7\u4e8e\u5e72\u71e5\uff0c\u800c\u6c34\u5bf9\u519c\u6c11\u6765\u8bf4\u662f\u800c\u4e14\u5c06\u662f\u7279\u522b\u6602\u8d35\u7684\u3002 <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\u8fd9\u4e5f\u610f\u5473\u7740\u690d\u88ab\u751f\u957f\u5c06\u653e\u7f13\uff0c\u800c\u4f5c\u7269\u51cf\u5c11\u7684\u98ce\u9669\u5c06\u662f\u91cd\u8981\u7684\uff08Karl Plume\uff0c\"<a href=\"https:\/\/www.reuters.com\/world\/us\/plains-drought-curb-us-wheat-harvest-adding-global-supply-worries-2022-03-14\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">\u5e73\u539f\u5730\u533a\u7684\u5e72\u65f1\u5c06\u6291\u5236\u7f8e\u56fd\u5c0f\u9ea6\u7684\u6536\u6210\uff0c\u589e\u52a0\u5168\u7403\u4f9b\u5e94\u7684\u62c5\u5fe7<\/a>, <em>\u8def\u900f\u793e<\/em>\uff0c2022\u5e743\u670814\u65e5\uff09\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">\u6218\u4e89\u4e0e\u5316\u80a5 <\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\u4e4c\u514b\u5170\u6218\u4e89\u5bf9\u5316\u80a5\u751f\u4ea7\u3001\u51fa\u53e3\u548c\u4ef7\u683c\u9020\u6210\u7684\u538b\u529b\u52a0\u5267\u4e86\u8fd9\u79cd\u98ce\u9669\uff0c\u56e0\u4e3a3\u6708\u4efd\u767d\u4fc4\u7f57\u65af\u548c\u4fc4\u7f57\u65af\u7684\u5316\u80a5\u51fa\u53e3\u53d7\u963b\uff0c\u5f15\u53d1\u4e863\u6708\u548c4\u6708\u7684\u5168\u7403\u4ef7\u683c\u4e0a\u6da8\u3002\u4f8b\u5982\uff0c\u767d\u4fc4\u7f57\u65af\u751f\u4ea716,5%\uff0c\u4fc4\u7f57\u65af\u751f\u4ea716,1%\u7684\u94be\u80a5\u5168\u7403\u4f9b\u5e94\u91cf\uff08Shelby Myers, Veronica Nigh, \" \"\uff09\u3002<a href=\"https:\/\/www.fb.org\/market-intel\/too-many-to-count-factors-driving-fertilizer-prices-higher-and-higher#:~:text=Fertilizer%20prices%20are%20the%20issue,210%25%3B%20liquid%20nitrogen%20ha\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">\u6570\u4e0d\u6e05\u7684\u56e0\u7d20--\u63a8\u52a8\u5316\u80a5\u4ef7\u683c\u8d8a\u6765\u8d8a\u9ad8\u7684\u56e0\u7d20<\/a>\", <em>\u5e02\u573a\u60c5\u62a5<\/em>\u4ee5\u53caCharlotte Hebebrand\u548cDavid Laborde\uff0c\"<a href=\"https:\/\/www.ifpri.org\/blog\/high-fertilizer-prices-contribute-rising-global-food-security-concerns\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">\u5316\u80a5\u4ef7\u683c\u9ad8\u4f01\u5bfc\u81f4\u5168\u7403\u7cae\u98df\u5b89\u5168\u95ee\u9898\u52a0\u5267<\/a>\u201c, <em>\u56fd\u9645\u7cae\u98df\u653f\u7b56\u7814\u7a76\u6240<\/em>\uff0c2022\u5e744\u670825\u65e5\uff09\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\u66f4\u91cd\u8981\u7684\u662f\uff0c\u4fc4\u7f57\u65af\u5360\u5168\u7403\u6c2e\u80a5\u51fa\u53e3\u91cf\u768416.1%\u3002\u767d\u4fc4\u7f57\u65af\u5360\u5168\u7403\u94be\u80a5\u51fa\u53e3\u768418,5%\uff0c\u800c\u4fc4\u7f57\u65af\u7684\u4efd\u989d\u4e3a16,5%\u3002\u57282\u6708\u548c3\u6708\u7684\u5236\u88c1\u4ee5\u53ca\u540c\u671f\u4fc4\u7f57\u65af\u7684\u51fa\u53e3\u9650\u5236\u4e4b\u540e\uff0c\u5176\u5316\u80a5\u751f\u4ea7\u7684\u77ed\u7f3a\u5df2\u7ecf\u5f71\u54cd\u5230\u7f8e\u56fd\u3001\u5370\u5ea6\u3001\u57c3\u53ca\u3001\u4e2d\u56fd\u7b49\u519c\u4e1a\u5de8\u5934\uff0c\u540c\u65f6\u5f15\u53d1\u4e86\u4ef7\u683c\u7684\u731b\u70c8\u4e0a\u6da8\uff08\"<a href=\"https:\/\/www.zerohedge.com\/commodities\/americas-largest-farm-cooperative-warns-sanctions-may-spark-fertilizer-shortages\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">\u7f8e\u56fd\u6700\u5927\u7684\u519c\u4e1a\u5408\u4f5c\u793e\u8b66\u544a\u8bf4\uff0c\u5236\u88c1\u53ef\u80fd\u5f15\u53d1\u5316\u80a5\u77ed\u7f3a<\/a>\", <em>\u96f6\u5bf9\u51b2<\/em>\uff0c2022\u5e744\u67087\u65e5\uff09\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">\u7ec4\u5408\u5f0f<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">2021-2022\u5e74\u7f8e\u56fd\u4e25\u9177\u7684\u51ac\u5b63\u4f7f\u8fd9\u4e00\u603b\u4f53\u60c5\u51b5\u66f4\u52a0\u6076\u5316\u3002\u51b2\u51fb \"\u5c0f\u9ea6\u5e26 \"\u7684\u6781\u5730\u6f29\u6da1\u548c\u6076\u52a3\u7684\u98ce\u7684\u63d2\u66f2\u662f\u5982\u6b64\u731b\u70c8\uff0c\u4ee5\u81f3\u4e8e\u98ce\u5377\u8d70\u4e86\u786e\u4fdd\u4f5c\u7269\u6210\u529f\u7684\u4e00\u4e9b\u4e30\u5bcc\u7684\u8868\u5c42\u571f\u58e4\uff08Karl Plume, ibid\uff09\u3002\u6070\u597d\uff0c\u8fd9\u4e9b\u4e8b\u4ef6\u4e5f\u662f\u571f\u58e4\u5e72\u71e5\u7684\u4fe1\u53f7\u3002 <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\u8fd9\u4e9b\u4e0d\u540c\u7684\u6781\u7aef\u5929\u6c14\u4e8b\u4ef6\uff0c\u5982\u7279\u5927\u5e72\u65f1\u548c\u6781\u5730\u6f29\u6da1\u7684\u5f3a\u5ea6\uff0c\u4e5f\u662f\u6c14\u5019\u53d8\u5316\u6076\u5316\u7684\u4fe1\u53f7\uff0c\u5e76\u4e0e\u4e4c\u514b\u5170\u6218\u4e89\u7684\u7ecf\u6d4e\u540e\u679c\u76f8\u7ed3\u5408\uff08Jean-Michel Valantin\uff0c\"<a href=\"https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/zh\/2021\/11\/02\/%e4%bb%80%e4%b9%88%e6%98%af%e6%b0%94%e5%80%99%e6%88%98%e4%ba%89\/\">\u4ec0\u4e48\u662f\u6c14\u5019\u6218\u4e89\uff1f<\/a>\",&nbsp;<em>\u8fdc\u666f\u6d1e\u5bdf\u7814\u7a76\u6240<\/em>\uff0c2021\u5e7411\u67082\u65e5\uff09\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\u6218\u4e89\u4e0e\u7f8e\u56fd\u7279\u5927\u5e72\u65f1\u7684\u5173\u7cfb\u4e5f\u63a8\u52a8\u4e86\u5168\u7403\u5730\u7f18\u653f\u6cbb\u98ce\u9669\uff0c\u56e0\u4e3a\u5b83\u53ef\u80fd\u5f15\u53d1\u6301\u4e45\u7684\u5168\u7403\u7cae\u98df\u4ef7\u683c\u5371\u673a\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">\u8d70\u5411\u4f1f\u5927\u7684\u4e0d\u7a33\u5b9a\uff1f<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<div class=\"wp-block-columns alignwide is-layout-flex wp-container-core-columns-is-layout-8f761849 wp-block-columns-is-layout-flex\">\n<div class=\"wp-block-column is-layout-flow wp-block-column-is-layout-flow\" style=\"flex-basis:66.66%\">\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">\u5c0f\u9ea6\u4ef7\u683c\u548c\u9769\u547d<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\u4eba\u4eec\u5fc5\u987b\u7262\u8bb0\uff0c\u5c0f\u9ea6\u4ef7\u683c\u5177\u6709\u793e\u4f1a\u548c\u653f\u6cbb\u4e0a\u7684\u91cd\u8981\u610f\u4e49\u3002\u8fd9\u5728\u9762\u5305\u662f\u4eba\u53e3\u57fa\u672c\u4e3b\u98df\u7684\u56fd\u5bb6\u5c24\u5176\u5982\u6b64\u3002\u5b83\u51b3\u5b9a\u4e86\u5bb6\u5ead\u548c\u4e2a\u4eba\u662f\u5426\u6709\u80fd\u529b\u517b\u6d3b\u81ea\u5df1\u3002\u4f8b\u5982\uff0c\u963f\u62c9\u4f2f\u56fd\u5bb6\u7684\u60c5\u51b5\u5c31\u662f\u5982\u6b64\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\u5728\u8fd9\u79cd\u60c5\u51b5\u4e0b\uff0c\u91cd\u8981\u7684\u662f\u8981\u8bb0\u4f4f\uff0c\u57282011\u5e74 \"\u963f\u62c9\u4f2f\u4e4b\u6625 \"\u4e4b\u524d\uff0c\u5c0f\u9ea6\u548c\u9762\u5305\u4ef7\u683c\u4e25\u91cd\u4e0a\u6da8\u3002\u8fd9\u4e9b\u90fd\u662f\u7531\u4e24\u5230\u4e09\u5e74\u7684\u6781\u7aef\u5929\u6c14\u4e8b\u4ef6\u52a0\u4e0a\u91d1\u878d\u6295\u673a\u5f15\u53d1\u7684\uff08Werrell\u548cFemia,&nbsp;<a href=\"https:\/\/americanprogress.org\/article\/the-arab-spring-and-climate-change\/\">\u963f\u62c9\u4f2f\u4e4b\u6625\u4e0e\u6c14\u5019\u53d8\u5316<\/a>, 2013).<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-embed is-type-video is-provider-youtube wp-block-embed-youtube wp-embed-aspect-4-3 wp-has-aspect-ratio\"><div class=\"wp-block-embed__wrapper\">\n<span class=\"embed-youtube\" style=\"text-align:center; display: block;\"><iframe loading=\"lazy\" class=\"youtube-player\" width=\"640\" height=\"360\" src=\"https:\/\/www.youtube.com\/embed\/cFL-I4fYKI4?version=3&#038;rel=1&#038;showsearch=0&#038;showinfo=1&#038;iv_load_policy=1&#038;fs=1&#038;hl=zh-CN&#038;autohide=2&#038;start=18&#038;wmode=transparent\" allowfullscreen=\"true\" style=\"border:0;\" sandbox=\"allow-scripts allow-same-origin allow-popups allow-presentation allow-popups-to-escape-sandbox\"><\/iframe><\/span>\n<\/div><\/figure>\n<\/div>\n\n\n\n<div class=\"wp-block-column is-layout-flow wp-block-column-is-layout-flow\" style=\"flex-basis:33.33%\"><ul class=\"wp-block-latest-posts__list aligncenter related wp-block-latest-posts is-layout-flow wp-block-latest-posts-is-layout-flow\"><li><a class=\"wp-block-latest-posts__post-title\" href=\"https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/zh\/2026\/03\/30\/watch-out-saudi-arabia-winner-iran-war\/\">\u5c0f\u5fc3--\u4f0a\u6717\u6218\u4e89\u3001\u6c99\u7279\u963f\u62c9\u4f2f\u548c\u80e1\u585e\u6b66\u88c5<\/a><\/li>\n<li><a class=\"wp-block-latest-posts__post-title\" href=\"https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/zh\/2025\/10\/07\/petrodollars-ai\/\">\u4eba\u5de5\u667a\u80fd\u7684\u77f3\u6cb9\u7f8e\u5143--\u4eba\u5de5\u667a\u80fd\u662f\u77f3\u6cb9\u5929\u7136\u6c14\u884c\u4e1a\u7684\u672a\u6765\u5417\uff1f\u00a0<\/a><\/li>\n<li><a class=\"wp-block-latest-posts__post-title\" href=\"https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/zh\/2025\/01\/17\/uranium-us-nuclear-renaissance-global-geopolitical-race\/\">\u7f8e\u56fd\u6838\u590d\u5174\u6240\u9700\u7684\u94c0--2\uff1a\u8d70\u5411\u5168\u7403\u5730\u7f18\u653f\u6cbb\u7ade\u8d5b<\/a><\/li>\n<li><a class=\"wp-block-latest-posts__post-title\" href=\"https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/zh\/2024\/11\/27\/uranium-us-nuclear-renaissance-1\/\">\u7f8e\u56fd\u6838\u590d\u5174\u6240\u9700\u7684\u94c0 - 1\uff1a\u6ee1\u8db3\u524d\u6240\u672a\u6709\u7684\u8981\u6c42<\/a><\/li>\n<li><a class=\"wp-block-latest-posts__post-title\" href=\"https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/zh\/2024\/10\/15\/towards-us-nuclear-renaissance\/\">\u8fc8\u5411\u7f8e\u56fd\u6838\u590d\u5174\uff1f<\/a><\/li>\n<li><a class=\"wp-block-latest-posts__post-title\" href=\"https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/zh\/2024\/06\/21\/niger-threat-france-nuclear\/\">\u5c3c\u65e5\u5c14\uff1a\u6cd5\u56fd\u6838\u80fd\u672a\u6765\u7684\u65b0\u5a01\u80c1\uff1f<\/a><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n<div style=\"height:10px\" aria-hidden=\"true\" class=\"wp-block-spacer\"><\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\u4e8b\u5b9e\u4e0a\uff0c2011\u5e741\u670810\u65e5\uff0c\u5f53\u9762\u5305\u9a9a\u4e71\u5728\u7a81\u5c3c\u65af\u5f00\u59cb\u65f6\uff0c\u5c0f\u9ea6\u7684\u4ef7\u683c\u662f$7.73\u3002\u9a9a\u4e71\u8513\u5ef6\u5230\u57c3\u53ca\u3001\u9ece\u5df4\u5ae9\u3001\u53d9\u5229\u4e9a\u3002\u5b83\u4eec\u6210\u4e3a\u5927\u89c4\u6a21\u53cd\u5bf9\u5f53\u6743\u8005\u7684\u653f\u6cbb\u8fd0\u52a8\u7684\u5bfc\u706b\u7d22\u3002\u5982\u4eca\uff0c\u76ee\u524d\u7684\u4ef7\u683c\u4e0a\u6da8\u5e45\u5ea6\u66f4\u5927\uff0c\u6500\u5347\u901f\u5ea6\u66f4\u5feb\uff08\"<a href=\"https:\/\/www.macrotrends.net\/2534\/wheat-prices-historical-chart-data\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">40\u5e74\u5386\u53f2\u56fe\u8868<\/a>\", <em>Macrotrends<\/em>\uff0c2022\u5e744\u670813\u65e5\uff09\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">\u4e4c\u514b\u5170\u6218\u4e89\u4e0e\u77f3\u6cb9\u4ef7\u683c<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\u95ee\u9898\u662f\uff0c\u8fd9\u79cd\u519c\u4ea7\u54c1\u4ef7\u683c\u901a\u80c0\u53d1\u751f\u7684\u540c\u65f6\uff0c\u80fd\u6e90\u4ef7\u683c\u4e5f\u5728\u4e0a\u6da8\u3002\u540e \"\u79d1\u7ef4\u5fb7\u7ecf\u6d4e\u590d\u82cf\u63a8\u52a8\u4e86\u77f3\u6cb9\u548c\u5929\u7136\u6c14\u9700\u6c42\u7684\u5feb\u901f\u589e\u957f\uff0c\u4ece\u800c\u63a8\u52a8\u80fd\u6e90\u4ef7\u683c\u4e0a\u6da8\u3002 <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\u679c\u7136\uff0c\u4e4c\u514b\u5170\u7684\u6218\u4e89\u5f15\u53d1\u4e86\u77f3\u6cb9\u4ef7\u683c\u7684\u8fc7\u70ed\u3002\u81ea\u6218\u4e89\u5f00\u59cb\u4ee5\u6765\uff0c\u4ef7\u683c\u5728$96\u548c$120\u4e4b\u95f4\u5f98\u5f8a\u3002(Scott Patterson\u548cSam Goldfarb, \"<a href=\"https:\/\/www.wsj.com\/articles\/why-gas-prices-expensive-11646767172\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">\u6c7d\u6cb9\u4ef7\u683c\u4e3a\u4f55\u5982\u6b64\u4e4b\u9ad8\uff1f\u4e4c\u514b\u5170-\u4fc4\u7f57\u65af\u6218\u4e89\u5728\u7f8e\u56fd\u5404\u5730\u5f15\u53d1\u7684\u6da8\u4ef7\u6f6e<\/a>\u201c, <em>\u534e\u5c14\u8857\u65e5\u62a5\u300b\u3002 <\/em>2022\u5e744\u67081\u65e5\uff09\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-embed is-type-video is-provider-youtube wp-block-embed-youtube wp-embed-aspect-16-9 wp-has-aspect-ratio\"><div class=\"wp-block-embed__wrapper\">\n<span class=\"embed-youtube\" style=\"text-align:center; display: block;\"><iframe loading=\"lazy\" class=\"youtube-player\" width=\"640\" height=\"360\" src=\"https:\/\/www.youtube.com\/embed\/3vofXrDWoqI?version=3&#038;rel=1&#038;showsearch=0&#038;showinfo=1&#038;iv_load_policy=1&#038;fs=1&#038;hl=zh-CN&#038;autohide=2&#038;wmode=transparent\" allowfullscreen=\"true\" style=\"border:0;\" sandbox=\"allow-scripts allow-same-origin allow-popups allow-presentation allow-popups-to-escape-sandbox\"><\/iframe><\/span>\n<\/div><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\u56e0\u6b64\uff0c\u80fd\u6e90-\u519c\u4e1a\u4ef7\u683c\u6b63\u5c06\u793e\u4f1a\u5e26\u5165\u4e00\u4e2a \"\u94b3\u5f62\u8fd0\u52a8\"\uff0c\u4f7f\u6574\u4e2a\u793e\u4f1a\u53d7\u5230\u538b\u529b\u3002\u8fd9\u79cd \"\u94b3\u5f62\u8fd0\u52a8 \"\u6269\u5927\u4e86\u8bb8\u591a\u4e3b\u8981\u56fd\u5bb6\u7684\u653f\u6cbb\u4e24\u6781\u5316\u7684\u52a8\u6001\u3002 <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\u4e8b\u5b9e\u4e0a\uff0c\u4e00\u4e2a\u56fd\u5bb6\u53ca\u5176\u7edf\u6cbb\u8005\u7684\u57fa\u672c\u804c\u80fd\u662f\u4fdd\u62a4\u4ed6\u4eec\u7684\u56fd\u5bb6\u548c\u4eba\u6c11\u3002\u5982\u679c\u4ed6\u4eec\u5931\u8d25\u4e86\uff0c\u4ed6\u4eec\u7684\u5408\u6cd5\u6027\u3001\u6743\u529b\u548c\u6743\u5a01\u5c31\u4f1a\u4e0b\u964d\uff0c\u5bb6\u5ead\u66b4\u529b\u7684\u7a0b\u5ea6\u5c31\u4f1a\u4e0a\u5347\uff08\u8bfa\u4f2f\u7279-\u57c3\u5229\u4e9a\u65af\u3002 <a href=\"http:\/\/www.norberteliasfoundation.nl\/elias\/bibliography\/english.php\">\u6587\u660e\u5316\u8fdb\u7a0b\uff0c\u7b2c\u4e8c\u5377\uff0c\u56fd\u5bb6\u7684\u5f62\u6210\u4e0e\u6587\u660e<\/a>, 1982).<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">\u98df\u54c1\u9a9a\u4e71<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\u8fd9\u6b63\u662f\u963f\u62c9\u4f2f\u4e4b\u6625\u5f00\u59cb\u65f6\u7684\u60c5\u51b5\uff0c\u800c\u4e14\u4f3c\u4e4e\u53c8\u5f00\u59cb\u4e86\u3002\u4f8b\u5982\uff0c\u81ea2022\u5e743\u6708\u4ee5\u6765\uff0c\u4f0a\u6717\u548c\u4f0a\u62c9\u514b\u53d1\u751f\u4e86\u9a9a\u4e71\u548c\u6297\u8bae\u3002\u5df4\u57fa\u65af\u5766\u3001\u65af\u91cc\u5170\u5361\u548c\u79d8\u9c81\u4e5f\u53d1\u751f\u4e86\u9488\u5bf9\u9762\u5305\u548c\u80fd\u6e90\u4ef7\u683c\u7684\u9a9a\u4e71\u3002(Bamo Nouri, \"<a href=\"https:\/\/theconversation.com\/iraq-food-protests-against-spiralling-prices-echo-early-stages-of-the-arab-spring-179145\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">\u4f0a\u62c9\u514b\u9488\u5bf9\u4ef7\u683c\u98d9\u5347\u7684\u98df\u54c1\u6297\u8bae\u6d3b\u52a8\u4e0e \"\u963f\u62c9\u4f2f\u4e4b\u6625 \"\u7684\u65e9\u671f\u9636\u6bb5\u76f8\u547c\u5e94<\/a>\"\uff0c2022\u5e743\u670816\u65e5\uff0cKayhan-London\uff0c\"<a href=\"https:\/\/worldcrunch.com\/iran-food-shortages-ukraine-war\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">\u4e4c\u514b\u5170\u6218\u4e89\u5f15\u53d1\u5168\u7403\u7cae\u98df\u5371\u673a\uff0c\u4f0a\u6717\u7684\u6297\u8bae\u6d3b\u52a8\u6709\u53ef\u80fd\u8513\u5ef6\u5f00\u6765<\/a>\", <em>\u4e16\u754c\u65b0\u95fb\u7f51<\/em>\uff0c2022\u5e744\u670811\u65e5\uff0cJulia Horowitz\uff0c\"<a href=\"https:\/\/edition.cnn.com\/2022\/04\/09\/business\/food-fuel-prices-political-instability\/index.html\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">\u4ece\u5df4\u57fa\u65af\u5766\u5230\u79d8\u9c81\uff0c\u98df\u54c1\u548c\u71c3\u6599\u4ef7\u683c\u7684\u98d9\u5347\u6b63\u4f7f\u5404\u56fd\u9677\u5165\u56f0\u5883<\/a>\", <em>CNN\u5546\u4e1a\u3002 <\/em>2022\u5e744\u67089\u65e5 )<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\u5728\u57c3\u53ca\uff0c\u7531\u4e8e\u653f\u5e9c\u8bd5\u56fe\u53d6\u4ee3\u4ece\u4e4c\u514b\u5170\u548c\u4fc4\u7f57\u65af\u8fdb\u53e3\u7684\u5c0f\u9ea6\uff0c\u98df\u54c1\u4ef7\u683c\u6b63\u5728\u98d9\u5347\u30023\u6708\u521d\uff0c\u57c3\u53ca\u53ea\u67094\u4e2a\u6708\u7684\u5c0f\u9ea6\u5e93\u5b58\uff08Michael Tanchum\uff0c\"<a href=\"https:\/\/www.mei.edu\/publications\/russia-ukraine-war-has-turned-egypts-food-crisis-existential-threat-economy\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">\u4fc4\u4e4c\u6218\u4e89\u4f7f\u57c3\u53ca\u7684\u7cae\u98df\u5371\u673a\u53d8\u6210\u4e86\u5bf9\u7ecf\u6d4e\u7684\u751f\u5b58\u5a01\u80c1<\/a>\",<em> \u4e2d\u4e1c\u7814\u7a76\u6240-MEI@75<\/em>\uff0c2022\u5e743\u67083\u65e5\uff09\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-embed is-type-video is-provider-youtube wp-block-embed-youtube wp-embed-aspect-16-9 wp-has-aspect-ratio\"><div class=\"wp-block-embed__wrapper\">\n<span class=\"embed-youtube\" style=\"text-align:center; display: block;\"><iframe loading=\"lazy\" class=\"youtube-player\" width=\"640\" height=\"360\" src=\"https:\/\/www.youtube.com\/embed\/q-R5Ry7fQFI?version=3&#038;rel=1&#038;showsearch=0&#038;showinfo=1&#038;iv_load_policy=1&#038;fs=1&#038;hl=zh-CN&#038;autohide=2&#038;wmode=transparent\" allowfullscreen=\"true\" style=\"border:0;\" sandbox=\"allow-scripts allow-same-origin allow-popups allow-presentation allow-popups-to-escape-sandbox\"><\/iframe><\/span>\n<\/div><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\u6b64\u5916\uff0c\u76ee\u524d\u7684\u60c5\u51b5\u4e5f\u4f7f\u5404\u56fd\u4e3a\u4e86\u83b7\u5f97\u519c\u4ea7\u54c1\u3001\u5316\u80a5\u548c\u7cae\u98df\u800c\u76f8\u4e92\u7ade\u4e89\u3002\u4e8b\u5b9e\u4e0a\uff0c\u4e3a\u4e86\u5e94\u5bf9\u5168\u7403\u519c\u4e1a-\u80fd\u6e90-\u7cae\u98df\u5371\u673a\uff0c\u4e2d\u56fd\u6b63\u56e4\u79ef\u774051%\u7684\u4e16\u754c\u5c0f\u9ea6\u50a8\u5907\u3002 <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\u5b83\u8fd8\u5728\u56e4\u79ef\u6240\u6709\u5176\u4ed6\u79cd\u7c7b\u7684\u8c37\u7269\uff0c\u800c\u4e2d\u56fd\u7684\u51ac\u5c0f\u9ea6\u6536\u6210\u5374\u6025\u5267\u4e0b\u964d\u3002\u4e2d\u56fd\u7684\u8fd9\u79cd\u7cae\u98df\u5b89\u5168\u653f\u7b56\u4f7f\u5370\u5ea6--\u53e6\u4e00\u4e2a\u5de8\u5927\u7684\u5c0f\u9ea6\u6d88\u8d39\u56fd--\u9762\u4e34\u538b\u529b\uff0c\u4e5f\u4f7f\u4e16\u754c\u4e0a\u5176\u4ed6\u56fd\u5bb6\u9762\u4e34\u538b\u529b\u3002(Andrew Whitelaw, \"<a href=\"https:\/\/www.thomaseldermarkets.com.au\/grain\/big-wheat-trouble-in-big-china\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">\u5927\u4e2d\u56fd\u7684\u5927\u5c0f\u9ea6\u95ee\u9898<\/a>\", <em>\u6258\u9a6c\u65af-\u57c3\u5c14\u5fb7\u5e02\u573a<\/em>\u62a5\u9053\uff0c2022\u5e743\u670814\u65e5)<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">\u65f6\u95f4\u95ee\u9898<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\u4e00\u4e2a\u4e3b\u8981\u969c\u788d\u662f\u8fd9\u573a\u5371\u673a\u7684\u6301\u7eed\u65f6\u95f4\u3002\u5b83\u6301\u7eed\u7684\u65f6\u95f4\u8d8a\u957f\uff0c\u56fd\u5185\u548c\u56fd\u9645\u7684\u7d27\u5f20\u5c40\u52bf\u5c31\u8d8a\u4e25\u91cd\u3002\u95ee\u9898\u662f\uff0c\u4e4c\u514b\u5170\u7684\u6218\u4e89\u53ef\u80fd\u6301\u7eed\u5230\u4e0b\u4e00\u4e2a\u79cd\u690d\u548c\u6536\u83b7\u5468\u671f\u4e4b\u540e\u3002 <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\u540c\u65f6\uff0c\u6709\u4e00\u4e2a\u975e\u5e38\u5927\u7684\u53ef\u80fd\u6027\u662f\uff0c\u6781\u7aef\u5929\u6c14\u4e8b\u4ef6\u5c06\u7ee7\u7eed\u51b2\u51fb\u4e16\u754c\u5404\u5730\u7684\u519c\u4e1a\u5730\u533a\uff08\"<a href=\"https:\/\/www.feedandgrain.com\/blog\/how-will-la-ni%C3%B1a-impact-2022-agricultural-production#:~:text=The%20main%20positive%20effect%20associated,crop%20yields%20and%20improved%20pasture.%22\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">\u62c9\u5c3c\u5a1c\u73b0\u8c61\u5c06\u5982\u4f55\u5f71\u54cd2022\u5e74\u7684\u519c\u4e1a\u751f\u4ea7\uff1f<\/a>\", <em>\u9972\u6599\u548c\u8c37\u7269<\/em>\uff0c2022\u5e742\u670817\u65e5\uff09\u3002 <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\u4f8b\u5982\uff0c\u81ea2022\u5e743\u6708\u521d\u4ee5\u6765\uff0c\u5370\u5ea6\uff0813\u4ebf\u4eba\u53e3\uff09\u548c\u5df4\u57fa\u65af\u5766\uff082.077\u4ebf\u4eba\u53e3\uff09\u6b63\u7ecf\u5386\u7740\u4e00\u4e2a\u4e16\u7eaa\u4ee5\u6765\u6700\u4e25\u91cd\u548c\u6700\u957f\u7684\u70ed\u6d6a\u30024\u670830\u65e5\uff0c\u5df4\u57fa\u65af\u5766\u96c5\u5404\u5e03\u5df4\u5fb7\u7684\u6e29\u5ea6\u8fbe\u523049\u2103\uff0c\u975e\u5e38\u63a5\u8fd1\u4eba\u7c7b\u751f\u7269\u8010\u53d7\u7684\u6781\u9650\u3002\u8fd9\u573a\u70ed\u6d6a\u5df2\u7ecf\u5bf9\u5c0f\u9ea6\u7684\u6536\u6210\u9020\u6210\u4e86\u5de8\u5927\u7684\u7834\u574f\uff0c\u53ef\u80fd\u6bd42021\u5e74\u7684\u6536\u6210\u4f4e20%\uff08Manavi Kapur\uff0c\"<a href=\"https:\/\/qz.com\/india\/2160187\/indias-heat-wave-will-impact-modis-wheat-export-plans\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">\u5370\u5ea6\u7684\u6781\u7aef\u70ed\u6d6a\u5df2\u7ecf\u632b\u8d25\u4e86\u83ab\u8fea\u7684 \"\u517b\u6d3b\u4e16\u754c \"\u8ba1\u5212<\/a>\u201c, <em>\u77f3\u82f1<\/em>\uff0c2022\u5e744\u670828\u65e5\uff09\u3002 <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\u5bf9\u79f0\u7684\u662f\uff0c\u4e4c\u514b\u5170\u7684\u6218\u4e89\u8086\u8650\u53ef\u80fd\u5bf9\u8be5\u56fd2022\u5e74\u7684\u519c\u4f5c\u7269\u4ea7\u751f\u5de8\u5927\u5f71\u54cd\u3002\u4f8b\u5982\uff0c\u8fd9\u4e9b\u5f71\u54cd\u662f\u7531\u4e8e\u4e00\u4e9b\u519c\u6c11\u88ab\u52a8\u5458\u8d77\u6765\u4e0e\u4fc4\u7f57\u65af\u519b\u961f\u4f5c\u6218\u3002\u8fd9\u4e5f\u662f\u7531\u4e8e\u6218\u6597\u5bfc\u81f4\u8bb8\u591a\u7530\u5730\u9000\u5316\uff0c\u4ee5\u53ca\u519c\u573a\u548c\u8bb8\u591a\u9053\u8def\u548c\u6865\u6881\u88ab\u7834\u574f\u7684\u7ed3\u679c\u3002 <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\u96ea\u4e0a\u52a0\u971c\u7684\u662f\uff0c\u4e4c\u514b\u5170\u519c\u6c11\u8fd8\u53d7\u52303\u6708\u548c4\u6708\u5f15\u53d1\u7684\u71c3\u6599\u548c\u5316\u80a5\u4ef7\u683c\u4e0a\u6da8\u7684\u5f71\u54cd\uff08Tyler Durden, \"<a href=\"https:\/\/www.zerohedge.com\/commodities\/shocking-estimates-show-ukraines-crop-harvest-could-be-halved\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">\u4ee4\u4eba\u9707\u60ca\u7684\u4f30\u8ba1\u663e\u793a\u4e4c\u514b\u5170\u7684\u4f5c\u7269\u6536\u6210\u53ef\u80fd\u51cf\u534a<\/a>\", <em>\u96f6\u5bf9\u51b2<\/em>\uff0c2022\u5e744\u670810\u65e5\uff09\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\u8fd9\u79cd\u5bf9\u4e4c\u514b\u5170\u548c\u4fc4\u7f57\u65af\u519c\u4ea7\u54c1\u51fa\u53e3\u7684\u957f\u671f\u548c\u6025\u5267\u7684\u7f13\u89e3\uff0c\u4e5f\u5c06\u4e0e2022\u5e74\u62c9\u5c3c\u5a1c\u7684\u5f71\u54cd\u76f8\u7ed3\u5408\u3002\u8fd9\u79cd\u5468\u671f\u6027\u7684\u5929\u6c14\u73b0\u8c61\u88ab\u6c14\u5019\u53d8\u5316\u6240\u653e\u5927\uff0c\u53ef\u80fd\u4f1a\u901a\u8fc7\u6d2a\u6c34\u548c\u5e72\u65f1\u4f7f\u5df4\u897f\u548c\u963f\u6839\u5ef7\u7684\u519c\u4f5c\u7269\u9000\u5316\uff08DTN\u6c14\u8c61\u5b66\u5bb6\u7ea6\u7ff0-\u5df4\u62c9\u5c3c\uff0c\"\"\u3002<a href=\"https:\/\/agfax.com\/2022\/02\/11\/south-american-corn-soybeans-la-nina-continues-to-affect-crops\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">\u5357\u7f8e\u7684\u7389\u7c73\u3001\u5927\u8c46\u3002\u62c9\u5c3c\u5a1c\u73b0\u8c61\u7ee7\u7eed\u5f71\u54cd\u519c\u4f5c\u7269<\/a>\",<em> \u547c\u53eb\u4e2d\u5fc3<\/em>\uff0c2022\u5e742\u670811\u65e5\uff09\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">\u9965\u997f\u6218\u4e89\u5373\u5c06\u6765\u4e34\uff1f<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\u56e0\u6b64\uff0c\u8bb8\u591a\u653f\u5e9c\u53ef\u80fd\u9762\u4e34\u7740\u65e0\u6cd5\u517b\u6d3b\u5176\u4eba\u53e3\u7684\u5b9e\u9645\u60c5\u51b5\u3002\u8fd9\u4e9b\u60c5\u51b5\u5f88\u53ef\u80fd\u4f1a\u5f15\u53d1\u4e25\u91cd\u7684\u52a8\u8361\u548c\u91cd\u8981\u7684\u79fb\u6c11\u6d3b\u52a8\u3002\u8fd9\u4e9b\u53cd\u8fc7\u6765\u53c8\u4f1a\u5728\u5438\u5f15\u56fd\u9020\u6210\u653f\u6cbb\u4e0a\u7684\u5206\u5316\u3002\u6211\u4eec\u751a\u81f3\u4f1a\u60f3\uff0c\u6b27\u6d32\u6216\u7f8e\u56fd\u662f\u4e0d\u662f\u5df2\u7ecf\u51fa\u73b0\u4e86\u8fd9\u79cd\u60c5\u51b5\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p 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Megadrought and the Coming Global Food Crisis \u2013 Anthropocene Wars (3) &#8226; The Red Team Analysis Society<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/zh\/2022\/05\/01\/\u65f1\u707e-\u5168\u7403\u7cae\u98df\u5371\u673a-\u4eba\u7c7b\u6218\u4e89-3\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"zh_CN\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"War in Ukraine, Megadrought and the Coming Global Food Crisis \u2013 Anthropocene Wars (3) &#8226; The Red Team Analysis Society\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"The War in Ukraine as a Perfect Storm The war in Ukraine triggers a global whirlwind involving energy and food crisis. The latter is quite singular, because it combines the consequences of the war on the global agricultural system with massive extreme weather events, such as the U.S. midwestern megadrought. War as global disruption Indeed, &hellip; \u7ee7\u7eed\u9605\u8bfb\u201cWar in Ukraine, Megadrought and the Coming Global Food Crisis \u2013 Anthropocene Wars (3)\u201d\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:url\" content=\"https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/zh\/2022\/05\/01\/\u65f1\u707e-\u5168\u7403\u7cae\u98df\u5371\u673a-\u4eba\u7c7b\u6218\u4e89-3\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:site_name\" content=\"The Red Team Analysis Society\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:publisher\" content=\"https:\/\/www.facebook.com\/pages\/Red-Team-Analysis\/341280995886057\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:published_time\" content=\"2022-05-01T09:56:16+00:00\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:modified_time\" content=\"2022-05-02T16:14:00+00:00\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:image\" content=\"https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/05\/Anti-terrorist_operation_in_eastern_Ukraine_War_Ukraine-1568.jpeg\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:width\" content=\"1568\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:height\" content=\"963\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:type\" content=\"image\/jpeg\" \/>\n<meta name=\"author\" content=\"Dr Jean-Michel Valantin (PhD Paris)\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:card\" content=\"summary_large_image\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:creator\" content=\"@HLavoix\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:site\" content=\"@HLavoix\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:label1\" content=\"\u4f5c\u8005\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:data1\" content=\"Dr Jean-Michel Valantin (PhD Paris)\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:label2\" content=\"\u9884\u8ba1\u9605\u8bfb\u65f6\u95f4\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:data2\" content=\"11 \u5206\" \/>\n<script type=\"application\/ld+json\" class=\"yoast-schema-graph\">{\"@context\":\"https:\\\/\\\/schema.org\",\"@graph\":[{\"@type\":\"Article\",\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/redanalysis.org\\\/2022\\\/05\\\/01\\\/war-in-ukraine-megadrought-global-food-crisis-anthropocene-wars-3\\\/#article\",\"isPartOf\":{\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/redanalysis.org\\\/2022\\\/05\\\/01\\\/war-in-ukraine-megadrought-global-food-crisis-anthropocene-wars-3\\\/\"},\"author\":{\"name\":\"Dr Jean-Michel Valantin (PhD Paris)\",\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/redanalysis.org\\\/#\\\/schema\\\/person\\\/b840ac3537c3f891b6e61a6e559775fe\"},\"headline\":\"War in Ukraine, Megadrought and the Coming Global Food Crisis \u2013 Anthropocene Wars (3)\",\"datePublished\":\"2022-05-01T09:56:16+00:00\",\"dateModified\":\"2022-05-02T16:14:00+00:00\",\"mainEntityOfPage\":{\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/redanalysis.org\\\/2022\\\/05\\\/01\\\/war-in-ukraine-megadrought-global-food-crisis-anthropocene-wars-3\\\/\"},\"wordCount\":2444,\"commentCount\":2,\"publisher\":{\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/redanalysis.org\\\/#organization\"},\"image\":{\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/redanalysis.org\\\/2022\\\/05\\\/01\\\/war-in-ukraine-megadrought-global-food-crisis-anthropocene-wars-3\\\/#primaryimage\"},\"thumbnailUrl\":\"https:\\\/\\\/redanalysis.org\\\/wp-content\\\/uploads\\\/2022\\\/05\\\/Anti-terrorist_operation_in_eastern_Ukraine_War_Ukraine-1568.jpeg\",\"keywords\":[\"energy security\",\"featured\",\"food security\",\"Open Access\",\"Russia\",\"Ukraine\",\"war\"],\"articleSection\":[\"Environmental Geostrategy\",\"Featured\"],\"inLanguage\":\"zh-Hans\",\"potentialAction\":[{\"@type\":\"CommentAction\",\"name\":\"Comment\",\"target\":[\"https:\\\/\\\/redanalysis.org\\\/2022\\\/05\\\/01\\\/war-in-ukraine-megadrought-global-food-crisis-anthropocene-wars-3\\\/#respond\"]}]},{\"@type\":\"WebPage\",\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/redanalysis.org\\\/2022\\\/05\\\/01\\\/war-in-ukraine-megadrought-global-food-crisis-anthropocene-wars-3\\\/\",\"url\":\"https:\\\/\\\/redanalysis.org\\\/2022\\\/05\\\/01\\\/war-in-ukraine-megadrought-global-food-crisis-anthropocene-wars-3\\\/\",\"name\":\"War in Ukraine, Megadrought and the Coming Global Food Crisis \u2013 Anthropocene Wars (3) &#8226; 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The latter is quite singular, because it combines the consequences of the war on the global agricultural system with massive extreme weather events, such as the U.S. midwestern megadrought. 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