{"id":35037,"date":"2022-07-11T10:36:42","date_gmt":"2022-07-11T08:36:42","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/?p=35037"},"modified":"2022-10-27T10:59:03","modified_gmt":"2022-10-27T08:59:03","slug":"%e6%88%98%e4%ba%89-%e4%b9%8c%e5%85%8b%e5%85%b0-%e6%9a%96%e5%8c%96-%e5%8c%97%e6%9e%81-%e4%ba%ba%e7%b1%bb%e5%ad%a6-%e6%88%98%e4%ba%89-5","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/zh\/2022\/07\/11\/war-ukraine-warming-arctic-anthropocene-wars-5\/","title":{"rendered":"\u5317\u6781\u53d8\u6696\u4e2d\u7684\u4e4c\u514b\u5170\u6218\u4e89--\u4eba\u7c7b\u4e16\u7684\u6218\u4e89\uff085\uff09\u3002"},"content":{"rendered":"<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\u4e4c\u514b\u5170\u6218\u4e89\u6b63\u5728\u4ece\u4fc4\u7f57\u65af\u548c\u4e4c\u514b\u5170\u4e4b\u95f4\u7684\u6218\u4e89\u6f14\u53d8\u6210\u4e00\u573a\u6d89\u53ca\u5317\u7ea6\u6210\u5458\u652f\u6301\u4e4c\u514b\u5170\u6218\u4e89\u7684\u6218\u4e89\uff08Darlene Superville\u548cZeke Miller\uff0c\"<a href=\"https:\/\/apnews.com\/article\/russia-ukraine-nato-biden-madrid-jens-stoltenberg-de44b391b62aa3b9ccbd37ca12518f26\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">\u5728\u4fc4\u7f57\u65af\u7684\u5a01\u80c1\u4e0b\uff0c\u7f8e\u56fd\u52a0\u5f3a\u5728\u6b27\u6d32\u7684\u519b\u4e8b\u5b58\u5728<\/a>\", <em>\u7f8e\u8054\u793e\u65b0\u95fb<\/em>\uff0c2022\u5e746\u670829\u65e5\uff09\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-latest-posts__list alignright wp-block-latest-posts is-layout-flow wp-block-latest-posts-is-layout-flow\"><li><a class=\"wp-block-latest-posts__post-title\" href=\"https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/zh\/2026\/10\/16\/rtas-expertise-italian-television-channel-la7\/\">\u610f\u5927\u5229LA7\u7535\u89c6\u53f0\u91cd\u70b9\u62a5\u9053\u4e86RTAS\u7684\u4e13\u4e1a\u5b9e\u529b<\/a><\/li>\n<li><a class=\"wp-block-latest-posts__post-title\" href=\"https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/zh\/2026\/10\/08\/houthis-bab-el-mandeb-maritime-transport\/\">\u80e1\u585e\u6b66\u88c5\u3001\u5df4\u5e03\u5c14\u66fc\u5fb7\u8d1d\u8d6b\u6e2f\u548c\u6d77\u4e0a\u8fd0\u8f93<\/a><\/li>\n<li><a class=\"wp-block-latest-posts__post-title\" href=\"https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/zh\/2026\/07\/15\/mystery-bolivia-lithium-reserves\/\">\u73bb\u5229\u7ef4\u4e9a\u9502\u50a8\u91cf\u7684\u79bb\u5947\u4e4b\u8c1c<\/a><\/li>\n<li><a class=\"wp-block-latest-posts__post-title\" href=\"https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/zh\/2026\/04\/09\/beyond-geopolitics-critical-pressures\/\">\u8d85\u8d8a\u5730\u7f18\u653f\u6cbb\uff1a\u4e86\u89e3\u91cd\u5851\u6211\u4eec\u4e16\u754c\u7684\u5173\u952e\u538b\u529b\u3002.<\/a><\/li>\n<li><a class=\"wp-block-latest-posts__post-title\" href=\"https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/zh\/2026\/03\/30\/watch-out-saudi-arabia-winner-iran-war\/\">\u5c0f\u5fc3--\u4f0a\u6717\u6218\u4e89\u3001\u6c99\u7279\u963f\u62c9\u4f2f\u548c\u80e1\u585e\u6b66\u88c5<\/a><\/li>\n<li><a class=\"wp-block-latest-posts__post-title\" href=\"https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/zh\/2026\/02\/09\/golden-dome-technological-frontier\/\">SIGNAL - \u91d1\u8272\u7a79\u9876\uff0c\u65b0\u7684\u6280\u672f\u524d\u6cbf<\/a><\/li>\n<li><a class=\"wp-block-latest-posts__post-title\" href=\"https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/zh\/2026\/02\/06\/watch-out-yemen-saudi-arabia\/\">\u6ce8\u610f - \u4e5f\u95e8\u548c\u6c99\u7279\u963f\u62c9\u4f2f<\/a><\/li>\n<li><a class=\"wp-block-latest-posts__post-title\" href=\"https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/zh\/2026\/02\/02\/threat-greenland-us-eu-trade-deal\/\">\u7f8e\u56fd\u5bf9\u683c\u9675\u5170\u5a01\u80c1\u7684\u5f71\u54cd\uff1a\u7f8e\u56fd-\u6b27\u76df\u8d38\u6613\u534f\u8bae\u3001\u6b27\u76df\u8bae\u4f1a\u548c\u6b27\u6d32\u7684\u672a\u6765<\/a><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\u8fd9\u79cd\u60c5\u51b5\u4ea7\u751f\u4e86\u5317\u7ea6\u548c\u4fc4\u7f57\u65af\u4e4b\u95f4\u7684\u6218\u7565\u7d27\u5f20\u5173\u7cfb\uff0c\u5e76\u8513\u5ef6\u5230\u5317\u6781\u5730\u533a\u3002\u4e4c\u514b\u5170\u6218\u4e89\u7684\u4e3b\u8981\u6218\u7565\u5f71\u54cd\u4e4b\u4e00\u662f\u745e\u5178\u548c\u82ac\u5170\u7ade\u76f8\u52a0\u5165\u5317\u7ea6\u3002\u6070\u597d\uff0c\u745e\u5178\u548c\u82ac\u5170\u52a0\u5165\u5317\u7ea6\u7684\u51b3\u5b9a\u5f15\u53d1\u4e86\u571f\u8033\u5176\u5f3a\u70c8\u7684\u8d1f\u9762\u53cd\u5e94\uff08Abdullah Bozkurt, \"<a href=\"https:\/\/nordicmonitor.com\/2022\/06\/turkeys-plot-to-divide-and-rule-sweden-and-finland-in-their-nato-bid-failed\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">\u571f\u8033\u5176\u5bf9\u745e\u5178\u548c\u82ac\u5170\u4e89\u53d6\u52a0\u5165\u5317\u7ea6\u7684 \"\u5206\u800c\u6cbb\u4e4b \"\u7684\u9634\u8c0b\u5931\u8d25\u4e86<\/a>\", <em>\u5317\u6b27\u76d1\u6d4b\u5668<\/em>\uff0c2020\u5e746\u67088\u65e5\uff09\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\u8fd9\u4e9b\u7d27\u5f20\u5c40\u52bf\u662f\u5728\u8be5\u5730\u533a\u8fc5\u901f\u53d8\u6696\u7684\u6846\u67b6\u5185\u53d1\u751f\u7684\uff0c\u8fd9\u4e2a\u5f3a\u5927\u7684\u53d8\u91cf\u7834\u574f\u4e86\u5317\u6781\u5730\u533a\u548c\u56fd\u9645\u5730\u7f18\u653f\u6cbb\u5e73\u8861\uff08Jean-Michel Valantin\uff0c\" \"\uff09\u3002<a href=\"https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/zh\/2020\/12\/07\/%e8%a5%bf%e9%83%a8%e5%9c%b0%e5%8c%ba%e6%ad%a3%e5%9c%a8%e5%a4%b1%e5%8e%bb%e6%b8%a9%e6%9a%96%e7%9a%84%e5%8c%97%e6%9e%81%e5%9c%b0%e5%8c%ba\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">\u897f\u65b9\u56fd\u5bb6\u6b63\u5728\u5931\u53bb\u53d8\u6696\u7684\u5317\u6781\uff1f<\/a>\", <em>\u8fdc\u666f\u6d1e\u5bdf\u7814\u7a76\u6240<\/em>\uff0c2020\u5e7412\u67087\u65e5\uff09\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\u6b64\u5916\uff0c\u81ea2018\u5e74\u4ee5\u6765\uff0c\u5317\u6781\u5730\u533a\u5df2\u7ecf\u5145\u6ee1\u4e86\u4fc4\u7f57\u65af\u548c\u5317\u7ea6\u4e4b\u95f4\u4e0d\u65ad\u6fc0\u5316\u7684\u7d27\u5f20\u5c40\u52bf\u3002\u5b83\u4eec\u53d1\u751f\u5728\u4fc4\u7f57\u65af\u548c\u5317\u7ea6\u6210\u5458\u7684\u6d77\u4e0a\u548c\u7a7a\u4e2d\u519b\u4e8b\u6f14\u4e60\u3001\u6b66\u5668\u7cfb\u7edf\u6d4b\u8bd5\u548c\u6f14\u4e60\u7684\u500d\u589e\u4e2d\uff08Thomas Nilsen\uff0c\"<a href=\"https:\/\/thebarentsobserver.com\/en\/security\/2022\/06\/three-nations-one-mission-new-nato-north\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">\u4e09\u4e2a\u56fd\u5bb6\uff0c\u4e00\u4e2a\u4f7f\u547d--\u5317\u65b9\u7684\u65b0\u5317\u7ea6<\/a>\", <em>\u72ec\u7acb\u7684\u5df4\u4f26\u652f\u6d77\u89c2\u5bdf\u5bb6<\/em>\uff0c2022\u5e746\u67083\u65e5\u548c\"<a href=\"https:\/\/thebarentsobserver.com\/en\/security\/2022\/05\/russian-navy-launched-hypersonic-missile-barents-sea\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">\u4fc4\u7f57\u65af\u6d77\u519b\u4ece\u5df4\u4f26\u652f\u6d77\u53d1\u5c04\u9ad8\u8d85\u97f3\u901f\u5bfc\u5f39<\/a>\", <em>\u72ec\u7acb\u7684\u5df4\u4f26\u652f\u6d77\u89c2\u5bdf\u5bb6<\/em>\u62a5\u9053\uff0c2022\u5e745\u670828\u65e5\uff09\u3002\u540c\u65f6\uff0c\u5317\u7ea6\u5728\u5317\u6781\u7684\u6f14\u4e60\u4e0e\u4fc4\u7f57\u65af\u5728\u8be5\u5730\u533a\u7684\u519b\u4e8b\u5316\u4e92\u52a8\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-embed is-type-video is-provider-youtube wp-block-embed-youtube wp-embed-aspect-16-9 wp-has-aspect-ratio\"><div class=\"wp-block-embed__wrapper\">\n<span class=\"embed-youtube\" style=\"text-align:center; display: block;\"><iframe loading=\"lazy\" class=\"youtube-player\" width=\"640\" height=\"360\" src=\"https:\/\/www.youtube.com\/embed\/dwsxcmTBvWY?version=3&#038;rel=1&#038;showsearch=0&#038;showinfo=1&#038;iv_load_policy=1&#038;fs=1&#038;hl=zh-CN&#038;autohide=2&#038;wmode=transparent\" allowfullscreen=\"true\" style=\"border:0;\" sandbox=\"allow-scripts allow-same-origin allow-popups allow-presentation allow-popups-to-escape-sandbox\"><\/iframe><\/span>\n<\/div><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\u7136\u800c\uff0c\u7531\u4e4c\u514b\u5170\u6218\u4e89\u5f15\u53d1\u7684\u5317\u6781\u5730\u533a\u7d27\u5f20\u5c40\u52bf\u7684\u5ef6\u4f38\u5177\u6709\u66f4\u6df1\u66f4\u5927\u7684\u5f71\u54cd\u3002\u5728\u8fc7\u53bb\u5341\u5e74\u5de6\u53f3\u7684\u65f6\u95f4\u91cc\uff0c\u4fc4\u7f57\u65af\u4e00\u76f4\u5728\u5f00\u53d1 \"\u5317\u6d77\u822a\u7ebf\"\u3002\u8fd9\u6761\u65b0\u7684\u6d77\u4e0a\u8d70\u5eca\u5c06\u767d\u4ee4\u6d77\u5ce1\u4e0e\u632a\u5a01\u548c\u5317\u5927\u897f\u6d0b\u76f8\u8fde\u3002 <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\u8fd9\u6761\u65b0\u8def\u7684\u53d1\u5c55\u662f\u5317\u6781\u5730\u533a\u8fc5\u901f\u53d8\u6696\u7684\u7ed3\u679c\u3002\u56e0\u6b64\uff0c\u5b83\u662f\u4fc4\u7f57\u65af\u6218\u7565\u6027\u5730\u9002\u5e94\u6c14\u5019\u53d8\u5316\u7684\u65b9\u5f0f\u4e4b\u4e00\uff08Jean-Michel Valantin\uff0c\"<a href=\"https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/zh\/2019\/05\/20\/%e4%b8%ad%e7%be%8e%e6%88%98%e4%ba%89-%e6%96%b0%e5%86%b7%e6%88%98-%e4%b8%ad%e7%be%8e%e5%b8%a6%e8%b7%af%e5%80%a1%e8%ae%ae-%e8%b5%b0%e5%90%91%e6%b8%a9%e6%9a%96%e7%9a%84%e5%8c%97%e6%9e%81%e5%9c%b0\/\">\u8d70\u5411\u7f8e\u4e2d\u6218\u4e89\uff1f(1)\u548c(2)\u3002\u5317\u6781\u5730\u533a\u7684\u519b\u4e8b\u7d27\u5f20\u5c40\u52bf<\/a>\",&nbsp;<em>\u8fdc\u666f\u6d1e\u5bdf\u7814\u7a76\u6240<\/em>\uff0c2019\u5e749\u670816\u65e5\uff09\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-embed is-type-video is-provider-youtube wp-block-embed-youtube wp-embed-aspect-16-9 wp-has-aspect-ratio\"><div class=\"wp-block-embed__wrapper\">\n<span class=\"embed-youtube\" style=\"text-align:center; display: block;\"><iframe loading=\"lazy\" class=\"youtube-player\" width=\"640\" height=\"360\" src=\"https:\/\/www.youtube.com\/embed\/0WqMgSKk9Mw?version=3&#038;rel=1&#038;showsearch=0&#038;showinfo=1&#038;iv_load_policy=1&#038;fs=1&#038;hl=zh-CN&#038;autohide=2&#038;start=52&#038;wmode=transparent\" allowfullscreen=\"true\" style=\"border:0;\" sandbox=\"allow-scripts allow-same-origin allow-popups allow-presentation allow-popups-to-escape-sandbox\"><\/iframe><\/span>\n<\/div><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\u679c\u4e0d\u5176\u7136\uff0c\u5317\u6d77\u822a\u7ebf\u5438\u5f15\u4e86\u8d8a\u6765\u8d8a\u591a\u7684\u4e2d\u56fd\u8239\u961f\u3002\u901a\u8fc7\u8fd9\u6761\u9053\u8def\uff0c\u4e2d\u56fd\u8239\u53ea\u548c\u6cb9\u8f6e\u5230\u8fbe\u5317\u5927\u897f\u6d0b\uff0c\u4f7f\u4e2d\u56fd\u6210\u4e3a\u5317\u5927\u897f\u6d0b\u7684\u7ecf\u6d4e\u5f3a\u56fd\u3002\u540c\u65f6\uff0c\u4fc4\u7f57\u65af\u5317\u6781\u5730\u533a\u7684\u80fd\u6e90\u5f00\u53d1\u662f\u4e2d\u4fc4\u5728\u6d77\u4e0a\u77f3\u6cb9\u548c\u5929\u7136\u6c14\u9886\u57df\u4f17\u591a\u5408\u8d44\u4f01\u4e1a\u7684\u6a21\u677f\uff08Jean-Michel Valantin\uff0c\"<a href=\"https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/zh\/2020\/09\/14\/%e5%8c%97%e6%9e%81-%e4%b8%ad%e5%9b%bd-%e8%b5%b0%e5%90%91%e6%96%b0%e7%9a%84%e7%9f%b3%e6%b2%b9%e6%88%98%e4%ba%89-%e5%8f%98%e6%9a%96-%e5%8c%97%e6%9e%81\/\">\u5317\u6781\u4e2d\u56fd\u3002\u5728\u53d8\u6696\u7684\u5317\u6781\u5730\u533a\u8d70\u5411\u65b0\u7684\u77f3\u6cb9\u6218\u4e89\uff1f<\/a>\",&nbsp;<em>\u8fdc\u666f\u6d1e\u5bdf\u7814\u7a76\u6240<\/em>\uff0c2020\u5e749\u670814\u65e5\uff09\u3002\u540c\u65f6\uff0c\u4fc4\u7f57\u65af\u5411\u4e2d\u56fd\u548c\u5370\u5ea6\u51fa\u53e3\u7684\u5317\u6781\u77f3\u6cb9\u548c\u5929\u7136\u6c14\u6570\u91cf\u4e0d\u65ad\u589e\u52a0\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\u8fd9\u4e9b\u591a\u91cd\u4ea4\u53c9\u52a8\u529b\u610f\u5473\u7740\uff0c\u4e4c\u514b\u5170\u6218\u4e89\u5728\u5317\u6781\u4ea7\u751f\u7684\u7d27\u5f20\u5c40\u52bf\u662f\u5728\u4e00\u4e2a\u5df2\u7ecf\u6709\u5730\u7f18\u653f\u6cbb\u548c\u5730\u7f18\u7269\u7406\u6da1\u8f6e\u589e\u538b\u7684\u73af\u5883\u4e2d\u53d1\u751f\u7684\u3002\u7136\u800c\uff0c\u53d1\u751f\u5728\u5317\u6781\u7684\u4e8b\u60c5\u5e76\u4e0d\u505c\u7559\u5728\u5317\u6781\u3002\u56e0\u6b64\uff0c\u6211\u4eec\u5c06\u7814\u7a76\u8fd9\u4e9b\u65b0\u7684\u7d27\u5f20\u5c40\u52bf\u7684\u4e0d\u540c\u5c42\u9762\uff0c\u4ee5\u53ca\u5b83\u4eec\u4e0e\u5317\u6781\u53d8\u5316\u53d8\u6696\u7684\u4e92\u52a8\u65b9\u5f0f\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">\u4ece\u4e4c\u514b\u5170\u5230\u53d8\u6696\u7684\u5317\u6781\u5730\u533a<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\u4e4c\u514b\u5170\u6218\u4e89\u7684\u653f\u6cbb\u540e\u679c\u6b63\u5728\u4ece\u6218\u573a\u4e0a\u8513\u5ef6\u5230\u5317\u6781\u5730\u533a\u7684\u5e73\u8861\u4e2d\u3002\u4e8b\u5b9e\u4e0a\uff0c2022\u5e745\u670818\u65e5\uff0c\u4e2d\u7acb\u7684\u745e\u5178\u548c\u82ac\u5170\u5bf9\u4fc4\u7f57\u65af\u5728\u4e4c\u514b\u5170\u7684\u653b\u52bf\u4f5c\u51fa\u4e86\u53cd\u5e94\uff0c\u6b63\u5f0f\u7533\u8bf7\u52a0\u5165\u5317\u7ea6\uff08Steven Lamy, \"<a href=\"https:\/\/theconversation.com\/finlands-and-swedens-pursuit-of-nato-membership-is-the-exact-opposite-of-what-putin-wanted-for-russian-neighbors-183574\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">\u82ac\u5170\u548c\u745e\u5178\u5bf9\u5317\u7ea6\u6210\u5458\u8d44\u683c\u7684\u8ffd\u6c42\u4e0e\u666e\u4eac\u5bf9\u4fc4\u7f57\u65af\u90bb\u56fd\u7684\u8981\u6c42\u5b8c\u5168\u76f8\u53cd<\/a>\", <em>The Conversation<\/em>\uff0c2022\u5e746\u670821\u65e5\uff09\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\u6b64\u4e3e\u6781\u5927\u5730\u98a0\u8986\u4e86\u5317\u6781\u5730\u533a\u7684\u6218\u7565\u5e73\u8861\u3002\u4e8b\u5b9e\u4e0a\uff0c\u81ea\u51b7\u6218\u7ed3\u675f\u540e\uff0c\u4fc4\u7f57\u65af\u8054\u90a6\u53cd\u5bf9\u5317\u7ea6\u5728\u4e1c\u6b27\u548c\u5317\u6b27\u7684\u6269\u5f20\u3002\u6b64\u5916\uff0c\u745e\u5178\u548c\u632a\u5a01\u662f\u4e2d\u7acb\u56fd\u5bb6\u3002\u56e0\u6b64\uff0c\u5b83\u4eec\u907f\u514d\u4e86\u88ab\u5939\u5728\u5317\u7ea6\u5229\u76ca\u548c\u4fc4\u7f57\u65af\u5b89\u5168\u5229\u76ca\u4e4b\u95f4\u7684 \"\u9524\u5b50\u548c\u94c1\u7827 \"\u7684\u5730\u4f4d\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">\u82ac\u5170\u7684 \"\u56fd\u5bb6\u4e0d\u5b89\u5168 \"\u548c\u745e\u5178\u7684\u6050\u60e7<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\u82ac\u5170\u7684\u51b3\u5b9a\u5f97\u5230\u4e86\u8bae\u4f1a\u6b63\u5f53\u7a0b\u5e8f\u7684\u652f\u6301\u3002\u5b83\u8fd8\u9075\u5faa\u4e86\u516c\u4f17\u8206\u8bba\u7684\u5de8\u5927\u8f6c\u53d8\u3002\u4e8b\u5b9e\u4e0a\uff0c\u57282022\u5e741\u6708\uff0c\u53ea\u670924%\u7684\u82ac\u5170\u516c\u6c11\u8d5e\u6210\u52a0\u5165\u5317\u7ea6\u30022\u670828\u65e5\uff0c\u5728\u4fc4\u7f57\u65af\u5f00\u59cb\u8fdb\u653b\u4e4c\u514b\u5170\u76844\u5929\u540e\uff0c68%\u7684\u82ac\u5170\u4eba\u8d5e\u6210\u52a0\u5165\u3002\u8fd9\u79cd\u8f6c\u53d8\u53ef\u4ee5\u7528\u82ac\u5170\u7684\u5386\u53f2\u80cc\u666f\u6765\u89e3\u91ca\uff08Steven Lamy\uff0c\u540c\u4e0a\uff09\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\u4eba\u4eec\u5fc5\u987b\u8bb0\u4f4f\uff0c\u5bf9\u82ac\u5170\u6765\u8bf4\uff0c\u4e8c\u5341\u4e16\u7eaa\u7684\u96c6\u4f53\u7ecf\u5386\u662f\u7531\u5b83\u4e0e\u4fc4\u7f57\u65af\u7684\u4e24\u6b21\u8840\u8165\u6218\u4e89\u6240\u51b3\u5b9a\u7684\u3002\u7b2c\u4e00\u573a\u6218\u4e89\u53d1\u751f\u57281918\u5e74\u3002\u5f53\u65f6\uff0c\u4fc4\u56fd\u9769\u547d\u548c\u5e03\u5c14\u4ec0\u7ef4\u514b\u653f\u6743\u7684\u5d1b\u8d77\u5f15\u53d1\u4e86\u82ac\u5170\u5185\u6218\u3002\u8fd9\u573a\u5185\u6218\u5c06 \"\u767d\u8272\u82ac\u5170 \"\u4e0e \"\u82ac\u5170\u793e\u4f1a\u4e3b\u4e49\u5de5\u4eba\u5171\u548c\u56fd \"\u5bf9\u7acb\u8d77\u6765\u3002\u540e\u8005\u5f97\u5230\u4e86\u65b0\u751f\u7684\u82cf\u8054\u548c\u5e03\u5c14\u4ec0\u7ef4\u514b\u653f\u6743\u7684\u652f\u6301\uff08Stephen Kotkin, <em><a href=\"https:\/\/www.penguinrandomhouse.com\/books\/299269\/stalin-by-stephen-kotkin\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">\u65af\u5927\u6797\uff0c\u6743\u529b\u7684\u6096\u8bba<\/a><\/em>, 2014).<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\u7136\u540e\uff0c\u57281939\u5e748\u6708\uff0c\u7eb3\u7cb9\u5fb7\u56fd\u548c\u82cf\u8054\u7b7e\u7f72\u4e86\u300a\u83ab\u6d1b\u6258\u592b-\u91cc\u5bbe\u7279\u6d1b\u752b\u4e92\u4e0d\u4fb5\u72af\u6761\u7ea6\u300b\uff0c\u5c06\u82ac\u5170\u4ee5\u53ca\u6ce2\u7f57\u7684\u6d77\u56fd\u5bb6\u7eb3\u5165\u82cf\u8054\u7684\u52bf\u529b\u8303\u56f4\u30021939-1940\u5e74\uff0c\u6fc0\u70c8\u7684\u82ac\u5170-\u82cf\u8054\u6218\u4e89\u7ed3\u675f\uff0c\u82ac\u5170\u5931\u53bb\u4e8610%\u7684\u9886\u571f\uff08\u65af\u8482\u82ac-\u79d1\u7279\u91d1\u3002 <em><a href=\"https:\/\/www.penguin.co.uk\/books\/55893\/stalin-vol-ii-by-kotkin-stephen\/9780141027951\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">\u65af\u5927\u6797\u7b2c\u4e8c\u5377--\u7b49\u5f85\u5e0c\u7279\u52d2\u7684\u5230\u6765<\/a><\/em>, 2017).<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\u56e0\u6b64\uff0c\u82ac\u5170\u57281941\u5e74\u4e0e\u7eb3\u7cb9\u5fb7\u56fd\u7ed3\u76df\u3002\u5b83\u53c2\u52a0\u4e86\u5bf9\u82cf\u8054\u7684\u8fdb\u653b\uff0c\u4ee5\u593a\u56de\u5176\u5931\u53bb\u7684\u90e8\u5206\u9886\u571f\u30021945\u5e74\u76df\u519b\u80dc\u5229\u540e\uff0c\u82cf\u8054\u5c06\u4e2d\u7acb\u56fd\u7684\u5730\u4f4d\u5f3a\u52a0\u7ed9\u4e86\u82ac\u5170\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\u8fd9\u4e00\u5386\u53f2\u80cc\u666f\u65e0\u7591\u5851\u9020\u4e86\u82ac\u5170\u4eba\u5bf9\u4fc4\u7f57\u65af\u7684\u96c6\u4f53\u770b\u6cd5\uff08\u89c1\u4e0b\u6587\uff09\u3002<a href=\"https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/zh\/credits\/dr-helene-lavoix\/#publications\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">Helene Lavoix<\/a>\u4ed6\u8bf4\uff1a\"'\u6c11\u65cf\u4e3b\u4e49'\u548c'\u79cd\u65cf\u706d\u7edd'\uff1a\u6c11\u65cf\u6027\u3001\u6743\u5a01\u548c\u53cd\u5bf9\u7684\u6784\u5efa--\u67ec\u57d4\u5be8\u7684\u6848\u4f8b\uff081861-1979\uff09--\u535a\u58eb\u8bba\u6587--\u4e1c\u65b9\u548c\u975e\u6d32\u7814\u7a76\u5b66\u9662\uff08\u4f26\u6566\u5927\u5b66\uff09\uff0c2005\uff09\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\u52a0\u5165\u5317\u7ea6\u8054\u76df\u7684\u610f\u613f\u53d1\u751f\u5728\u4fc4\u7f57\u65af\u81ea1968\u5e74\u5165\u4fb5\u6377\u514b\u65af\u6d1b\u4f10\u514b\u4ee5\u6765\u7b2c\u4e09\u6b21\u5728\u5176\u897f\u90e8\u8fb9\u5883\u4f7f\u7528\u519b\u4e8b\u529b\u91cf\u7684\u65f6\u5019\u3002\u8fd9\u79cd\u60c5\u51b5\u5f15\u53d1\u4e86\u5bf9\u4fc4\u7f57\u65af\u5f3a\u70c8\u7684 \"\u56fd\u5bb6\u4e0d\u5b89\u5168\u611f \"\u7684\u96c6\u4f53\u60c5\u7eea\uff08\u62c9\u7c73\uff0c\u540c\u4e0a\uff09\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\u4ece\u745e\u5178\u7684\u89d2\u5ea6\u6765\u770b\uff0c\u5bf9\u4e4c\u514b\u5170\u7684\u519b\u4e8b\u652f\u6301\u4ece\u6218\u4e89\u4e00\u5f00\u59cb\u5c31\u5f00\u59cb\u4e86\u3002\u745e\u5178\u8fd0\u9001\u4e86\u8d85\u8fc75,000\u4ef6\u53cd\u5766\u514b\u6b66\u5668\u30015,000\u4ef6\u9632\u5f39\u8863\u30015,000\u9876\u5934\u76d4\u548c135,000\u4efd\u91ce\u6218\u53e3\u7cae\uff08Lamy, \u540c\u4e0a\uff09\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-embed is-type-video is-provider-youtube wp-block-embed-youtube wp-embed-aspect-16-9 wp-has-aspect-ratio\"><div class=\"wp-block-embed__wrapper\">\n<span class=\"embed-youtube\" style=\"text-align:center; display: block;\"><iframe loading=\"lazy\" class=\"youtube-player\" width=\"640\" height=\"360\" src=\"https:\/\/www.youtube.com\/embed\/2h4tsI0lTsg?version=3&#038;rel=1&#038;showsearch=0&#038;showinfo=1&#038;iv_load_policy=1&#038;fs=1&#038;hl=zh-CN&#038;autohide=2&#038;wmode=transparent\" allowfullscreen=\"true\" style=\"border:0;\" sandbox=\"allow-scripts allow-same-origin allow-popups allow-presentation allow-popups-to-escape-sandbox\"><\/iframe><\/span>\n<\/div><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\u81ea1814\u5e74\u4ee5\u6765\uff0c\u745e\u5178\u548c\u4fc4\u7f57\u65af\u4e4b\u95f4\u6ca1\u6709\u53d1\u751f\u8fc7\u4efb\u4f55\u6218\u4e89\u3002\u7136\u800c\uff0c\u4eba\u4eec\u5fc5\u987b\u8bb0\u4f4f\uff0c\u745e\u5178\u9762\u5bf9\u7684\u662f\u4fc4\u7f57\u65af\u7684\u3001\u9ad8\u5ea6\u519b\u4e8b\u5316\u7684\u52a0\u91cc\u5b81\u683c\u52d2\u98de\u5730\u3002\u4fc4\u7f57\u65af\u6d77\u519b\u4ece\u52a0\u91cc\u5b81\u683c\u52d2\u5411\u6574\u4e2a\u6ce2\u7f57\u7684\u6d77\u8f90\u5c04\u5176\u5f71\u54cd\u529b\uff08Guy Faulconbridge, \"<a href=\"https:\/\/www.reuters.com\/world\/europe\/russia-warns-baltic-nuclear-deployment-if-nato-admits-sweden-finland-2022-04-14\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">\u4fc4\u7f57\u65af\u8b66\u544a\u8bf4\uff0c\u5982\u679c\u745e\u5178\u548c\u82ac\u5170\u52a0\u5165\u5317\u7ea6\uff0c\u5c06\u90e8\u7f72\u6838\u5f39\u548c\u9ad8\u8d85\u97f3\u901f\u5bfc\u5f39<\/a>\", <em>\u8def\u900f\u793e<\/em>\uff0c2022\u5e744\u670814\u65e5\uff09\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">\u5317\u6781\u571f\u8033\u5176<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\u7136\u800c\uff0c\u571f\u8033\u5176\uff0c\u4e00\u4e2a\u5386\u53f2\u60a0\u4e45\u7684\u5317\u7ea6\u6210\u5458\uff0c\u5bf9\u8fd9\u4e9b\u745e\u5178-\u82ac\u5170\u7684\u5317\u7ea6\u5019\u9009\u56fd\u63d0\u51fa\u5f02\u8bae\u30022022\u5e745\u6708\u81f36\u670829\u65e5\u671f\u95f4\uff0c\u57c3\u5c14\u591a\u5b89\u603b\u7edf\u7684\u653f\u5e9c\u53cd\u5bf9\u8fd9\u4e24\u4e2a\u65af\u582a\u7684\u7eb3\u7ef4\u4e9a\u56fd\u5bb6\u52a0\u5165\u3002\u5b83\u8fd9\u6837\u505a\u7684\u7406\u7531\u662f\uff0c\u5b83\u4eec\u591a\u6b21\u53d1\u8868\u58f0\u660e\u548c\u653f\u7b56\uff0c\u8c34\u8d23\u571f\u8033\u5176\u5bf9\u5e93\u5c14\u5fb7\u4eba\u7684\u653f\u7b56\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\u5b89\u5361\u62c9\u8c34\u8d23\u745e\u5178\u548c\u82ac\u5170\u4e00\u76f4\u6307\u8d23\u571f\u8033\u5176\u4fb5\u72af\u4eba\u6743\u7684\u65b9\u5f0f\u3002\u52a0\u5165\u5317\u7ea6\u9700\u898130\u4e2a\u6210\u5458\u56fd\u7684\u4e00\u81f4\u6295\u7968\uff0c\u571f\u8033\u5176 <em>\u4e8b\u5b9e\u4e0a<\/em> \u963b\u6b62\u4e86\u8fd9\u4e24\u4e2a\u5019\u9009\u4eba\uff08Abdullah Bozkurt\uff0c\"<a href=\"https:\/\/nordicmonitor.com\/2022\/06\/turkeys-plot-to-divide-and-rule-sweden-and-finland-in-their-nato-bid-failed\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">\u571f\u8033\u5176\u5bf9\u745e\u5178\u548c\u82ac\u5170\u4e89\u53d6\u52a0\u5165\u5317\u7ea6\u7684 \"\u5206\u800c\u6cbb\u4e4b \"\u7684\u9634\u8c0b\u5931\u8d25\u4e86<\/a>\", <em>\u5317\u6781\u76d1\u6d4b\u7f51<\/em>\uff0c2020 \u5e74 6 \u6708 8 \u65e5\uff09\u3002\u6700\u540e\uff0c6\u670829\u65e5\uff0c\u57c3\u5c14\u591a\u5b89\u603b\u7edf\u540c\u610f\u5728\u9a6c\u5fb7\u91cc\u7684\u5317\u7ea6\u5cf0\u4f1a\u4e0a\u5141\u8bb8\u8fd9\u4e9b\u7533\u8bf7\uff08Humeyra Pamuk\u548cAnne Kauranen\uff0c\"<a href=\"https:\/\/www.reuters.com\/world\/europe\/us-press-turkey-finland-sweden-hope-nato-breakthrough-2022-06-28\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">\u571f\u8033\u5176\u53d6\u6d88\u5bf9\u82ac\u5170\u745e\u5178\u52a0\u5165\u5317\u7ea6\u7684\u5426\u51b3\u6743\uff0c\u4e3a\u6269\u5f20\u626b\u6e05\u9053\u8def<\/a>\", <em>\u8def\u900f\u793e<\/em>\uff0c2022\u5e746\u670829\u65e5\uff09\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-embed is-type-video is-provider-youtube wp-block-embed-youtube wp-embed-aspect-16-9 wp-has-aspect-ratio\"><div class=\"wp-block-embed__wrapper\">\n<span class=\"embed-youtube\" style=\"text-align:center; display: block;\"><iframe loading=\"lazy\" class=\"youtube-player\" width=\"640\" height=\"360\" src=\"https:\/\/www.youtube.com\/embed\/jLkqmXmkVkE?version=3&#038;rel=1&#038;showsearch=0&#038;showinfo=1&#038;iv_load_policy=1&#038;fs=1&#038;hl=zh-CN&#038;autohide=2&#038;wmode=transparent\" allowfullscreen=\"true\" style=\"border:0;\" sandbox=\"allow-scripts allow-same-origin allow-popups allow-presentation allow-popups-to-escape-sandbox\"><\/iframe><\/span>\n<\/div><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\u6b64\u5916\uff0c\u503c\u5f97\u6ce8\u610f\u7684\u662f\uff0c\u5317\u6781\u7684\u53d8\u6696\u5bf9\u571f\u8033\u5176\u6709\u975e\u5e38\u5177\u4f53\u7684\u5f71\u54cd\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\u4e8b\u5b9e\u4e0a\uff0c\u83ab\u65af\u79d1\u5f00\u653e\u5317\u6d77\u822a\u7ebf\uff0c\u5c31\u5fc5\u987b\u5efa\u9020\u4e00\u652f\u65b0\u7684\u6838\u52a8\u529b\u7834\u51b0\u8239\u961f\u3002\u8fd9\u4e9b\u7834\u51b0\u8239\u9700\u8981\u505c\u9760\u5728\u6469\u5c14\u66fc\u65af\u514b\uff0c\u90a3\u91cc\u7684\u5386\u53f2\u6027\u7801\u5934\u4e8e2018\u5e74\u6c89\u6ca1\u3002\u56e0\u6b64\uff0c\u4fc4\u7f57\u65afRosatom\u516c\u53f8\u53d1\u8d77\u4e86\u4e00\u9879\u56fd\u9645\u7ade\u6807\uff0c\u571f\u8033\u5176KuzeyStar\u516c\u53f8\u57282021\u5e746\u6708\u8d62\u5f97\u4e86\u7ade\u6807\u3002\u571f\u8033\u5176\u516c\u53f8\u5e94\u8be5\u57282024\u5e74\u5e95\u4ea4\u4ed8\u65b0\u7684\u5de8\u578b\u6d6e\u52a8\u6e2f\u53e3\u3002\u8fd9\u662fRosatom\u516c\u53f849\u4ebf\u5362\u5e03\uff085500\u4e07\u6b27\u5143\uff09\u7684\u6295\u8d44\uff08Polina Leganger Bronder, \" \"\uff09\u3002<a href=\"https:\/\/thebarentsobserver.com\/en\/industry-and-energy\/2021\/06\/turkish-yard-wins-bid-build-nuclear-icebreaker-dock\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">\u571f\u8033\u5176\u8239\u5382\u4e2d\u6807\u5efa\u9020\u6838\u52a8\u529b\u7834\u51b0\u8239\u8239\u575e<\/a>\", <em>\u72ec\u7acb\u7684\u5df4\u4f26\u652f\u6d77\u89c2\u5bdf\u5bb6<\/em>\uff0c2021\u5e746\u670813\u65e5\uff09\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\u6b64\u5916\uff0c\u571f\u8033\u5176\u4e5f\u53d7\u76ca\u4e8e\u4fc4\u7f57\u65af\u5728\u5317\u6781\u5730\u533a\u7684\u77f3\u6cb9\u548c\u5929\u7136\u6c14\u5f00\u53d1\u3002\u4f8b\u5982\uff0c\u57282021\u5e74\uff0c\u571f\u8033\u5176\u4ece\u4fc4\u7f57\u65af\u5929\u7136\u6c14\u5de5\u4e1a\u80a1\u4efd\u516c\u53f8\u7684\u5929\u7136\u6c14\u8fdb\u53e3\u589e\u52a0\u4e86631TP7\u5428\u3002\u8fd9\u4e00\u589e\u957f\u4e0e\u6765\u81ea\u5fb7\u56fd\u768410%\u589e\u957f\u548c\u6765\u81ea\u610f\u5927\u5229\u768420%\u589e\u957f\uff0c\u4ee5\u53ca\u6765\u81ea \"\u56fd\u5916\u56fd\u5bb6\"\uff08\u56e0\u6b64\u88abGazprom\u6807\u8bb0\u4e3a\uff09\u7684\u589e\u957f\u7ed3\u5408\u8d77\u6765\u3002\u8fd9\u79cd\u5168\u7403\u6027\u7684\u589e\u957f\u53ea\u6709\u901a\u8fc7\u4fc4\u7f57\u65af\u5929\u7136\u6c14\u5de5\u4e1a\u80a1\u4efd\u516c\u53f8\u5728\u5317\u6781\u5730\u533a\u7684\u5927\u89c4\u6a21\u8fd0\u4f5c\u624d\u80fd\u5b9e\u73b0\uff08Ate Staalesen\uff0c\"<a href=\"https:\/\/thebarentsobserver.com\/en\/industry-and-energy\/2022\/05\/moscow-prepared-war-state-company-gazprom-sold-arctic-gas-worth-almost\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">\u5728\u83ab\u65af\u79d1\u4e3a\u6218\u4e89\u505a\u51c6\u5907\u65f6\uff0c\u56fd\u5bb6\u516c\u53f8Gazprom\u51fa\u552e\u4e86\u4ef7\u503c\u8fd1140 1TP8\u4ebf\u7f8e\u5143\u7684\u5317\u6781\u5929\u7136\u6c14\u3002<\/a><em>\"\uff0c\u300a\u72ec\u7acb\u7684\u5df4\u4f26\u652f\u6d77\u89c2\u5bdf\u5458\u300b\u6742\u5fd7<\/em>\u57282022\u5e745\u67083\u65e5\uff09\u3002\u5728\u5580\u62c9\u6d77\u7684\u6b63\u9762\uff0c\u5e9e\u5927\u7684\u4e9a\u9a6c\u5c14\u6cb9\u7530\u5c24\u5176\u5982\u6b64\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\u56e0\u6b64\uff0c\u53d8\u6696\u7684\u5317\u6781\u6210\u4e3a\u4fc4\u7f57\u65af\u3001\u571f\u8033\u5176\u3001\u745e\u5178\u548c\u82ac\u5170\u56fd\u5bb6\u5229\u76ca\u610f\u5916\u7ea0\u7f20\u7684\u5730\u65b9\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">\u5317\u6781\u80fd\u6e90\u548c\u8d38\u6613\u53d1\u5c55<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\u745e\u5178-\u82ac\u5170\u7533\u8bf7\u52a0\u5165\u5317\u7ea6\u4e0e\u4ee5\u4e0b\u4e8b\u5b9e\u5bc6\u4e0d\u53ef\u5206\uff1a\u81ea2018\u5e74\u4ee5\u6765\uff0c\u5317\u6781\u53d8\u6696\u5df2\u6210\u4e3a\u5317\u7ea6\u7684\u4e00\u4e2a\u4e3b\u8981\u5438\u5f15\u70b9\u3002\u8fd9\u6e90\u4e8e\u590f\u5b63\u6d77\u51b0\u7684\u8fc5\u901f\u6d88\u9000\uff0c\u4ee5\u53ca\u5317\u6781\u6d77\u51b0\u7684\u65e5\u76ca\u4e0d\u7a33\u5b9a\u548c\u5bf9\u4fc4\u7f57\u65af\u7684\u5f71\u54cd\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\u4e8b\u5b9e\u4e0a\uff0c\u81ea2000\u5e74\u4ee3\u672b\u4ee5\u6765\uff0c\u4fc4\u7f57\u65af\u653f\u5e9c\u4e00\u76f4\u5728\u9002\u5e94\u8fd9\u79cd\u5730\u7403\u7269\u7406\u53d8\u5316\uff0c\u6cbf\u7740\u897f\u4f2f\u5229\u4e9a\u6d77\u5cb8\u7ebf\u5f00\u8f9f\u4e00\u6761\u65b0\u7684\u6d77\u4e0a\u5824\u9053\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\u8fd9\u6761 \"\u5317\u6d77\u822a\u7ebf \"\u5c06\u767d\u4ee4\u6d77\u5ce1\uff0c\u5373\u592a\u5e73\u6d0b\u548c\u4e9a\u6d32\uff0c\u4e0e\u5df4\u4f26\u652f\u6d77\u548c\u632a\u5a01\u6d77\uff0c\u5373\u5317\u6b27\u548c\u5317\u5927\u897f\u6d0b\u8fde\u63a5\u8d77\u6765\u3002\u5728\u540c\u4e00\u52a8\u6001\u4e2d\uff0c\u4fc4\u7f57\u65af\u5f00\u53d1\u4e86\u51e0\u4e2a\u9646\u4e0a\u548c\u6d77\u4e0a\u7684\u77f3\u6cb9\u548c\u5929\u7136\u6c14\u77ff\u85cf\uff0c\u5982\u4e9a\u9a6c\u5c14\u4e00\u671f\u548c\u4e8c\u671f\u6db2\u5316\u5929\u7136\u6c14\u9879\u76ee\u3002 <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\u5317\u90e8\u6d77\u8def\u548c\u80fd\u6e90\u673a\u4f1a\u5438\u5f15\u4e86\u5927\u91cf\u7684\u4e2d\u56fd\u6295\u8d44\uff0c\u4ee5\u53ca\u4e2d\u56fd\u7684\u8d27\u8fd0\u8239\u961f\uff08Jean-Michel Valantin\uff0c\" \"\uff09\u3002<a href=\"https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/zh\/2016\/11\/21\/%e6%9a%96%e5%8c%96-%e4%bf%84%e7%bd%97%e6%96%af-%e5%8c%97%e6%9e%81-%e4%bf%84%e7%bd%97%e6%96%af-%e4%ba%9a%e6%b4%b2-%e5%95%86%e4%b8%9a%e6%88%98%e7%95%a5-%e5%90%88%e5%b9%b6\/\">\u4fc4\u7f57\u65af\u5317\u6781\u5730\u533a\u53d8\u6696\uff1a\u4fc4\u7f57\u65af\u548c\u4e9a\u6d32\u6218\u7565\u5229\u76ca\u7684\u4ea4\u6c47\u5904\uff1f<\/a>\",&nbsp;<em>\u8fdc\u666f\u6d1e\u5bdf\u7814\u7a76\u6240<\/em>\uff0c2016\u5e7411\u670823\u65e5\uff09\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">\u4e2d\u56fd\u548c\u5317\u7ea6\uff0c\u65b0\u7684\u5317\u6781\u884c\u52a8\u8005<\/h3>\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-latest-posts__list alignright related wp-block-latest-posts is-layout-flow wp-block-latest-posts-is-layout-flow\"><li><a class=\"wp-block-latest-posts__post-title\" href=\"https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/zh\/2022\/07\/11\/war-ukraine-warming-arctic-anthropocene-wars-5\/\">\u5317\u6781\u53d8\u6696\u4e2d\u7684\u4e4c\u514b\u5170\u6218\u4e89--\u4eba\u7c7b\u4e16\u7684\u6218\u4e89\uff085\uff09\u3002<\/a><\/li>\n<li><a class=\"wp-block-latest-posts__post-title\" href=\"https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/zh\/2021\/10\/11\/military-and-climate-blowback-summer-2021-1\/\">\u519b\u961f\u4e0e \"\u6c14\u5019\u6253\u51fb\"--2021\u5e74\u590f\u5b63\uff081\uff09\u3002<\/a><\/li>\n<li><a class=\"wp-block-latest-posts__post-title\" href=\"https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/zh\/2020\/12\/07\/is-the-west-losing-the-warming-arctic\/\">\u897f\u65b9\u56fd\u5bb6\u6b63\u5728\u5931\u53bb\u53d8\u6696\u7684\u5317\u6781\uff1f<\/a><\/li>\n<li><a class=\"wp-block-latest-posts__post-title\" href=\"https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/zh\/2020\/09\/14\/arctic-china-towards-new-oil-wars-in-a-warming-arctic\/\">\u5317\u6781\u4e2d\u56fd\u3002\u5728\u53d8\u6696\u7684\u5317\u6781\u5730\u533a\u8d70\u5411\u65b0\u7684\u77f3\u6cb9\u6218\u4e89\uff1f<\/a><\/li>\n<li><a class=\"wp-block-latest-posts__post-title\" href=\"https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/zh\/2019\/09\/16\/towards-a-u-s-china-war2-military-tensions-in-the-warming-arctic\/\">\u8d70\u5411\u7f8e\u4e2d\u6218\u4e89\uff1f\uff082\uff09\u3002\u5317\u6781\u53d8\u6696\u4e2d\u7684\u519b\u4e8b\u7d27\u5f20\u5c40\u52bf<\/a><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\u5229\u7528\u5317\u6d77\u822a\u7ebf\uff0c\u4e2d\u56fd\u7684\u8239\u961f\u53ef\u4ee5\u8282\u7701\u51e0\u5929\u7684\u65c5\u884c\u65f6\u95f4\uff0c\u5230\u8fbe\u5317\u6b27\u7684\u4e3b\u8981\u6e2f\u53e3\u3002\u540c\u65f6\uff0c\u5317\u4eac\u6709\u8ba1\u5212\u5730\u4e0e\u5317\u6b27\u653f\u5e9c\u7b7e\u7f72\u53cc\u8fb9\u8d38\u6613\u548c\u6280\u672f\u534f\u8bae\uff08Jean-Michel Valantin\uff0c\"<a href=\"https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/zh\/2014\/06\/09\/arctic-china-2-the-chines-shaping-the-north\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">\u5317\u6781\u4e2d\u56fd--\u4e2d\u56fd\u5bf9\u5317\u65b9\u7684\u5851\u9020<\/a>\", <em>\u8fdc\u666f\u6d1e\u5bdf\u7814\u7a76\u6240<\/em>\uff0c2014\u5e746\u67089\u65e5\uff09\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\u6362\u53e5\u8bdd\u8bf4\uff0c\u7531\u4e8e\u4fc4\u7f57\u65af\u5bf9\u5317\u6781\u5730\u533a\u6c14\u5019\u53d8\u5316\u540e\u679c\u7684\u53d1\u5c55\uff0c\u4e2d\u56fd\u6210\u4e3a\u5317\u6b27\u548c\u5317\u5927\u897f\u6d0b\u5730\u533a\u7684\u4e3b\u8981\u7ecf\u6d4e\u529b\u91cf\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-embed is-type-video is-provider-youtube wp-block-embed-youtube wp-embed-aspect-16-9 wp-has-aspect-ratio\"><div class=\"wp-block-embed__wrapper\">\n<span class=\"embed-youtube\" style=\"text-align:center; display: block;\"><iframe loading=\"lazy\" class=\"youtube-player\" width=\"640\" height=\"360\" src=\"https:\/\/www.youtube.com\/embed\/0vm1LriJw74?version=3&#038;rel=1&#038;showsearch=0&#038;showinfo=1&#038;iv_load_policy=1&#038;fs=1&#038;hl=zh-CN&#038;autohide=2&#038;wmode=transparent\" allowfullscreen=\"true\" style=\"border:0;\" sandbox=\"allow-scripts allow-same-origin allow-popups allow-presentation allow-popups-to-escape-sandbox\"><\/iframe><\/span>\n<\/div><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\u6b63\u662f\u5728\u8fd9\u79cd\u60c5\u51b5\u4e0b\uff0c2018\u5e749\u6708\uff0c\u4fc4\u7f57\u65af\u519b\u961f\u5728\u897f\u4f2f\u5229\u4e9a\u548c\u4fc4\u7f57\u65af\u8fdc\u4e1c\u5730\u533a\u7ec4\u7ec7\u4e86\u6c83\u65af\u6258\u514b18\u53f7\u5de8\u578b\u6f14\u4e60\uff08Jean-Michel Valantin, \"<a href=\"https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/zh\/2018\/11\/12\/%e6%9a%96%e5%8c%96%e5%8c%97%e6%9e%81%e7%9a%84%e5%86%9b%e4%ba%8b%e5%8c%96-%e5%90%91%e6%96%b0%e5%86%b7%e6%bc%a0%e4%b8%bb%e4%b9%89%e7%9a%84%e6%8c%91%e6%88%98\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">\u5317\u6781\u53d8\u6696\u7684\u519b\u4e8b\u5316--\u65b0\u5546\u4e1a\u4e3b\u4e49\u7684\u7ade\u8d5b(s)<\/a>\", <em>\u8fdc\u666f\u6d1e\u5bdf\u7814\u7a76\u6240<\/em>\uff0c2018\u5e7411\u670812\u65e5\uff09\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\u4e2d\u56fd\u519b\u961f\u4e0e\u8fd9\u6b21 \"\u4e1c\u65b918\u53f7 \"\u6f14\u4e60\u6709\u5173\u3002\u7136\u540e\uff0c\u4ece2018\u5e7410\u670823\u65e5\u81f32018\u5e7411\u67087\u65e5\uff0c\u5317\u7ea6\u5728\u5317\u6781\u5730\u533a\u7684\u632a\u5a01\u548c\u51b0\u5c9b\u4e4b\u95f4\u7ec4\u7ec7\u4e86 \"\u4e09\u53c9\u621f\u63a5\u70b92018 \"\u6f14\u4e60\uff0c\u4ece\u800c\u4e3b\u5bfc\u4e86\u81ea1991\u5e74\u51b7\u6218\u7ed3\u675f\u4ee5\u6765\u6700\u5927\u7684\u519b\u4e8b\u6f14\u4e60\uff08Christopher Woody, \"<a href=\"https:\/\/www.businessinsider.com.au\/us-nato-navies-in-arctic-circle-in-harsh-weather-for-trident-juncture-2018-11\">\u7f8e\u56fd\u6d77\u519b\u6b63\u5728\u5411\u5317\u63a8\u8fdb\uff0c\u5728\u51b0\u51b7\u7684\u6761\u4ef6\u4e0b\u5411\u4fc4\u7f57\u65af\u9760\u8fd1--\u5b83\u6253\u7b97\u5728\u90a3\u91cc\u505c\u7559\u3002<\/a>\",\u00a0<em>\u5546\u4e1a\u5185\u5e55<\/em>, 2018\u5e7411\u67087\u65e5\uff09\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\u8fd9\u4e9b\u6f14\u4e60\u52a8\u5458\u4e8650,000\u540d\u58eb\u5175\uff0c150\u67b6\u98de\u673a\uff0c10,000\u8f86\u9646\u5730\u8f66\u8f86\u548c60\u8258\u519b\u8230\u3002\u5b83\u4eec\u4ee5\u632a\u5a01\u4e3a\u4e2d\u5fc3\uff0c\u5728\u90a3\u91cc\u8fdb\u884c\u4e86\u767b\u9646\u3001\u90e8\u7f72\u548c\u4f5c\u6218\u6f14\u4e60\u3002\u8fd9\u4e9b\u6f14\u4e60\u7684\u76ee\u7684\u662f\u5c55\u793a\u5bf9\u4e00\u4e2a\u5047\u8bbe\u7684\u548c\u672a\u547d\u540d\u7684\u5bf9\u624b\u7684\u53cd\u5e94\u80fd\u529b\uff0c\u8be5\u5bf9\u624b\u5c06\u5728\u5317\u6781\u5730\u533a\u5371\u53ca\u5317\u7ea6\u7684\u4e00\u4e2a\u6210\u5458\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-embed is-type-video is-provider-youtube wp-block-embed-youtube wp-embed-aspect-16-9 wp-has-aspect-ratio\"><div class=\"wp-block-embed__wrapper\">\n<span class=\"embed-youtube\" style=\"text-align:center; display: block;\"><iframe loading=\"lazy\" class=\"youtube-player\" width=\"640\" height=\"360\" src=\"https:\/\/www.youtube.com\/embed\/000sZ1oxxqo?version=3&#038;rel=1&#038;showsearch=0&#038;showinfo=1&#038;iv_load_policy=1&#038;fs=1&#038;hl=zh-CN&#038;autohide=2&#038;wmode=transparent\" allowfullscreen=\"true\" style=\"border:0;\" sandbox=\"allow-scripts allow-same-origin allow-popups allow-presentation allow-popups-to-escape-sandbox\"><\/iframe><\/span>\n<\/div><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\u8fd9\u79cd\u5b98\u65b9\u7684 \"\u533f\u540d\u6027 \"\u5e76\u6ca1\u6709\u963b\u6b62\u4fc4\u7f57\u65af\u5bf9\u8fd9\u6b21\u975e\u5e38\u63a5\u8fd1\u5176\u9646\u5730\u548c\u6d77\u6d0b\u8fb9\u754c\u7684\u519b\u4e8b\u6f14\u4e60\u63d0\u51fa\u6b63\u5f0f\u6297\u8bae\uff08Christopher Woody\uff0c\"<a href=\"http:\/\/www.businessinsider.fr\/us\/russian-missile-drill-next-to-nato-trident-juncture-exercise-in-norway-2018-10\">\u4fc4\u7f57\u65af\u5c06\u5176\u5bfc\u5f39\u6f14\u4e60\u4e0e\u5317\u7ea6\u591a\u5e74\u6765\u6700\u5927\u7684\u6218\u4e89\u6e38\u620f\u5e76\u80a9\u4f5c\u6218<\/a>\",&nbsp;<em>\u5546\u4e1a\u5185\u5e55<\/em>\uff0c2018\u5e7410\u670831\u65e5\uff09\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\u4ece\u90a3\u65f6\u8d77\uff0c\u4fc4\u7f57\u65af\u5c31\u52a0\u5feb\u4e86\u6d77\u5cb8\u7ebf\u548c\u6d77\u6d0b\u7ecf\u6d4e\u533a\u7684\u519b\u4e8b\u5316\u8fdb\u7a0b\u3002\u540c\u65f6\uff0c\u57282020\u5e74\uff0c\u5317\u7ea6\u5728\u7f8e\u56fd\u6d77\u519b\u8bfa\u798f\u514b\u57fa\u5730\u8bbe\u7acb\u4e86\u5317\u6781\u6307\u6325\u90e8\uff08Levon Sevuts\uff0c\"<a href=\"https:\/\/thebarentsobserver.com\/en\/security\/2020\/09\/natos-new-atlantic-command-keep-watch-over-european-arctic\">\u5317\u7ea6\u65b0\u7684\u5927\u897f\u6d0b\u53f8\u4ee4\u90e8\u5c06\u5bf9\u6b27\u6d32\u5317\u6781\u5730\u533a\u8fdb\u884c\u76d1\u63a7<\/a>\",&nbsp;<em>\u72ec\u7acb\u7684\u5df4\u4f26\u652f\u6d77\u89c2\u5bdf\u5bb6<\/em>\uff0c2020\u5e749\u670818\u65e5\uff09\u3002\u5728\u540c\u4e00\u65f6\u671f\uff0c\u65af\u582a\u7684\u7eb3\u7ef4\u4e9a\u56fd\u5bb6\u548c\u4fc4\u7f57\u65af\u6210\u500d\u589e\u52a0\u4e86\u7a7a\u4e2d\u3001\u6d77\u4e0a\u548c\u9646\u5730\u519b\u4e8b\u6f14\u4e60\uff08\u6258\u9a6c\u65af-\u5c3c\u5c14\u68ee\uff0c\"<a href=\"https:\/\/thebarentsobserver.com\/en\/security\/2020\/09\/increase-nato-scrambled-jets-norway\">\u5317\u7ea6\u4ece\u632a\u5a01\u8c03\u7528\u7684\u55b7\u6c14\u5f0f\u98de\u673a\u589e\u52a0<\/a>\",&nbsp;<em>\u72ec\u7acb\u7684\u5df4\u4f26\u652f\u6d77\u89c2\u5bdf\u5bb6<\/em>\uff0c\u4ee5\u53ca \"\u7f8e\u56fd\u519b\u8230\u8fd4\u56de\u5df4\u4f26\u652f\u6d77\"\uff0c9\u670814\u65e5\uff0c\u548c2020\u5e7410\u6708\uff09\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\u7136\u540e\uff0c\u57282022\u5e746\u67085\u65e5\uff0c\u5f53\u4e4c\u514b\u5170\u6218\u4e89\u8086\u8650\uff0c\u5317\u7ea6\u6210\u5458\u4ee5\u519b\u4e8b\u3001\u8d22\u653f\u3001\u533b\u7597\u548c\u4eba\u9053\u4e3b\u4e49\u65b9\u5f0f\u652f\u6301\u4e4c\u514b\u5170\u65f6\uff0c\u5317\u7ea6\u5b9e\u65bd\u4e86\u5176\u5e74\u5ea6\u6ce2\u7f57\u7684\u6d77\u6f14\u4e60--BALTOPS 22\uff08Anadolu Agency, \"<a href=\"https:\/\/www.dailysabah.com\/world\/europe\/largest-ever-nato-military-drill-in-baltic-sea-ends\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">\u5317\u7ea6\u5728\u6ce2\u7f57\u7684\u6d77\u6709\u53f2\u4ee5\u6765\u6700\u5927\u7684\u4e00\u6b21\u6f14\u4e60\u7ed3\u675f<\/a>\", <em>\u65e5\u95f4\u7684\u6c99\u5df4\u3002<\/em> 2022\u5e746\u670812\u65e5\uff09\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\u8fd9\u6b21\u6f14\u4e60\u805a\u96c6\u4e8645\u8258\u519b\u8230\u300175\u67b6\u98de\u673a\u548c7500\u540d\u73b0\u5f79\u519b\u4eba\u3002\u5176\u4e2d\u6709\u745e\u5178\u548c\u82ac\u5170\u7684\u90e8\u961f\uff0c\u5728\u4ed6\u4eec\u7533\u8bf7\u52a0\u5165\u5317\u7ea6\u540e\u88ab\u9080\u8bf7\u53c2\u52a0\u3002\u4fc4\u7f57\u65af\u56fd\u9632\u90e8\u7684\u53cd\u5e94\u662f\u90e8\u7f72\u4e86\u4e00\u652f60\u4eba\u7684\u6d77\u4e0a\u90e8\u961f\u3002\u8fd9\u6b21\u90e8\u7f72\u662f\u52a0\u91cc\u5b81\u683c\u52d2\u98de\u5730\u7684\u4fc4\u7f57\u65af\u90e8\u961f\u53c2\u4e0e\u6d77\u4e0a\u548c\u9646\u5730\u6f14\u4e60\u7684\u5951\u673a\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">\u5317\u6781\u9a6c\u5fb7\u91cc<\/h3>\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-latest-posts__list alignright related wp-block-latest-posts is-layout-flow wp-block-latest-posts-is-layout-flow\"><li><a class=\"wp-block-latest-posts__post-title\" href=\"https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/zh\/2026\/10\/08\/houthis-bab-el-mandeb-maritime-transport\/\">\u80e1\u585e\u6b66\u88c5\u3001\u5df4\u5e03\u5c14\u66fc\u5fb7\u8d1d\u8d6b\u6e2f\u548c\u6d77\u4e0a\u8fd0\u8f93<\/a><\/li>\n<li><a class=\"wp-block-latest-posts__post-title\" href=\"https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/zh\/2026\/04\/09\/beyond-geopolitics-critical-pressures\/\">\u8d85\u8d8a\u5730\u7f18\u653f\u6cbb\uff1a\u4e86\u89e3\u91cd\u5851\u6211\u4eec\u4e16\u754c\u7684\u5173\u952e\u538b\u529b\u3002.<\/a><\/li>\n<li><a class=\"wp-block-latest-posts__post-title\" href=\"https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/zh\/2026\/03\/30\/watch-out-saudi-arabia-winner-iran-war\/\">\u5c0f\u5fc3--\u4f0a\u6717\u6218\u4e89\u3001\u6c99\u7279\u963f\u62c9\u4f2f\u548c\u80e1\u585e\u6b66\u88c5<\/a><\/li>\n<li><a class=\"wp-block-latest-posts__post-title\" href=\"https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/zh\/2026\/02\/02\/threat-greenland-us-eu-trade-deal\/\">\u7f8e\u56fd\u5bf9\u683c\u9675\u5170\u5a01\u80c1\u7684\u5f71\u54cd\uff1a\u7f8e\u56fd-\u6b27\u76df\u8d38\u6613\u534f\u8bae\u3001\u6b27\u76df\u8bae\u4f1a\u548c\u6b27\u6d32\u7684\u672a\u6765<\/a><\/li>\n<li><a class=\"wp-block-latest-posts__post-title\" href=\"https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/zh\/2026\/01\/21\/us-threat-greenland-when-watch\/\">\u7f8e\u56fd\u5bf9\u683c\u9675\u5170\u7684\u5a01\u80c1\uff1a\u4f55\u65f6\u5e94\u89e6\u53d1\u76d1\u89c6\uff1f<\/a><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\u968f\u7740\u8fd9\u4e9b\u6f14\u4e60\u7684\u8fdb\u884c\uff0c2022\u5e746\u670827\u65e5\u81f330\u65e5\u4e3e\u884c\u7684\u9a6c\u5fb7\u91cc\u5317\u7ea6\u5cf0\u4f1a\u4e5f\u5728\u8fdb\u884c\u3002\u7136\u540e\uff0c\u8be5\u7ec4\u7ec7\u516c\u5e03\u4e86\u5176\u65b0\u7684\u6218\u7565\u6982\u5ff5\uff0c\u5176\u4e2d\u5305\u62ec\u4fc4\u7f57\u65af\u548c\u4e2d\u56fd\u4f5c\u4e3a\u7cfb\u7edf\u6027\u5a01\u80c1\uff08H\u00e9l\u00e8ne Lavoix, \"<a href=\"https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/zh\/2022\/07\/04\/%e4%b8%ad%e5%9b%bd%e4%b8%8e%e7%be%8e%e5%9b%bd%e4%b9%8b%e9%97%b4%e7%9a%84%e6%88%98%e4%ba%89-%e8%a7%84%e8%8c%83%e7%9a%84%e5%b1%82%e9%9d%a2\/\">\u4e2d\u56fd\u548c\u7f8e\u56fd\u4e4b\u95f4\u7684\u6218\u4e89--\u89c4\u8303\u6027\u95ee\u9898<\/a>\u201c, <em>\u8fdc\u666f\u6d1e\u5bdf\u7814\u7a76\u6240<\/em>\u5ba3\u8a00\u300b\u89c4\u5b9a\uff1a\"\u5728\u5317\u6781\u5730\u533a\uff0c\u6211\u4eec\u7684\u76ee\u6807\u662f\uff1a\u4f7f\u5317\u6781\u5730\u533a\u6210\u4e3a\u4e16\u754c\u4e0a\u6700\u5b89\u5168\u7684\u5730\u533a\u4e4b\u4e00\u3002\uff09  \u5c31\u5317\u6781\u5730\u533a\u800c\u8a00\uff0c\u5b83\u89c4\u5b9a\uff1a\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<blockquote class=\"wp-block-quote is-style-default is-layout-flow wp-block-quote-is-layout-flow\"><p>\"\u5728\u9ad8\u5317\u5730\u533a\uff0c\u5b83\uff08\"\u4fc4\u7f57\u65af\"\uff09\u7834\u574f\u76df\u519b\u589e\u63f4\u548c\u7a7f\u8d8a\u5317\u5927\u897f\u6d0b\u7684\u822a\u884c\u81ea\u7531\u7684\u80fd\u529b\uff0c\u662f\u5bf9\u8054\u76df\u7684\u6218\u7565\u6311\u6218\u3002\u83ab\u65af\u79d1\u7684\u519b\u4e8b\u96c6\u7ed3\uff0c\u5305\u62ec\u5728\u6ce2\u7f57\u7684\u6d77\u3001\u9ed1\u6d77\u548c\u5730\u4e2d\u6d77\u5730\u533a\u7684\u519b\u4e8b\u96c6\u7ed3\uff0c\u4ee5\u53ca\u5b83\u4e0e\u767d\u4fc4\u7f57\u65af\u7684\u519b\u4e8b\u4e00\u4f53\u5316\uff0c\u5bf9\u6211\u4eec\u7684\u5b89\u5168\u548c\u5229\u76ca\u6784\u6210\u6311\u6218\"\u3002<\/p><cite> <a href=\"https:\/\/www.nato.int\/nato_static_fl2014\/assets\/pdf\/2022\/6\/pdf\/290622-strategic-concept.pdf\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">\u5317\u7ea62022\u5e74\u6218\u7565\u6982\u5ff5<\/a><\/cite><\/blockquote>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\u6362\u53e5\u8bdd\u8bf4\uff0c\u5317\u7ea6\u6b63\u5f0f\u5c06\u5317\u6781\u53d8\u6696\u7eb3\u5165\u5176\u6218\u7565\u7406\u8bba\uff0c\u540c\u65f6\u8ba4\u5b9a\u4e2d\u56fd\u548c\u4fc4\u7f57\u65af\u662f\u5176\u5728\u8bb8\u591a\u9886\u57df\uff0c\u5305\u62ec\u5317\u6781\u5730\u533a\u7684\u7ade\u4e89\u5bf9\u624b\u3002\u8fd9\u4e5f\u610f\u5473\u7740\uff0c\u4fc4\u7f57\u65af\u548c\u4e2d\u56fd\u5bf9\u5317\u6781\u53d8\u6696\u7684\u5f00\u53d1\u4ee5\u53ca\u4ed6\u4eec\u53ef\u4ee5\u4ece\u8fd9\u79cd\u65b9\u6cd5\u4e2d\u83b7\u5f97\u7684\u80fd\u529b\uff0c\u534e\u76db\u987f\u7279\u533a\u90fd\u6e05\u695a\u5730\u4e86\u89e3\uff08Sean Monaghan, Pierre Morcos, Colin Wall, \"<a href=\"https:\/\/www.csis.org\/analysis\/what-happened-natos-madrid-summit\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">\u5728\u9a6c\u5fb7\u91cc\u7684\u5317\u7ea6\u5cf0\u4f1a\u4e0a\u53d1\u751f\u4e86\u4ec0\u4e48\uff1f<\/a>\"\uff0cCSIS\uff0c2022\u5e747\u67081\u65e5\uff09\u3002 <\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">\u6c38\u8fdc\u7684\u52a0\u91cc\u5b81\u683c\u52d2<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\u540c\u65f6\uff0c\u81ea6\u670822\u65e5\u5f00\u59cb\uff0c\u7ee7\u6b27\u76df\u548c\u7f8e\u56fd\u4e4b\u540e\uff0c\u7acb\u9676\u5b9b\u5bf9\u52a0\u91cc\u5b81\u683c\u52d2\u5b9e\u65bd\u5236\u88c1\uff0c\u5c01\u9501\u4e86\u4ece\u4fc4\u7f57\u65af\u5230\u98de\u5730\u7684\u4e00\u534a\u94c1\u8def\u4ea4\u901a\uff08Tim Libster\u548cRob Picheta\uff0c\"<a href=\"https:\/\/edition.cnn.com\/2022\/06\/21\/europe\/kaliningrad-explainer-russia-lithuania-sanctions-intl\/index.html\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">\u4e3a\u4ec0\u4e48\u4fc4\u7f57\u65af\u5728\u6b27\u6d32\u7684\u8981\u585e\u52a0\u91cc\u5b81\u683c\u52d2\u53ef\u80fd\u6210\u4e3a\u5176\u5bf9\u4e4c\u514b\u5170\u6218\u4e89\u7684\u4e0b\u4e00\u4e2a\u7206\u53d1\u70b9\uff1f<\/a>\",<em> \u6709\u7ebf\u7535\u89c6\u65b0\u95fb\u7f51<\/em>\uff0c2022\u5e746\u670822\u65e5\uff09\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\u52a0\u91cc\u5b81\u683c\u52d2\u4f4d\u4e8e\u6ce2\u5170\u548c\u7acb\u9676\u5b9b\u4e4b\u95f4\uff0c\u4e0e\u745e\u5178\u9694\u7740\u6ce2\u7f57\u7684\u6d77\u76f8\u671b\u3002\u4f5c\u4e3a\u4fc4\u7f57\u65af\u6ce2\u7f57\u7684\u6d77\u8230\u961f\u7684\u6e2f\u53e3\uff0c\u52a0\u91cc\u5b81\u683c\u52d2\u7684\u519b\u4e8b\u5316\u7a0b\u5ea6\u975e\u5e38\u9ad8\uff0c\u5e76\u62e5\u6709\u4f0a\u65af\u574e\u5fb7\u5c14\u5bfc\u5f39\u8bbe\u65bd\u3002\u4f0a\u65af\u574e\u5fb7\u5c14\uff08Iskander\uff09\u6b66\u5668\u7cfb\u7edf\u5728\u88c5\u5907\u540e\u6709\u80fd\u529b\u643a\u5e26\u6838\u6b66\u5668\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-embed is-type-video is-provider-youtube wp-block-embed-youtube wp-embed-aspect-16-9 wp-has-aspect-ratio\"><div class=\"wp-block-embed__wrapper\">\n<span class=\"embed-youtube\" style=\"text-align:center; display: block;\"><iframe loading=\"lazy\" class=\"youtube-player\" width=\"640\" height=\"360\" src=\"https:\/\/www.youtube.com\/embed\/RWI8RFw7xhU?version=3&#038;rel=1&#038;showsearch=0&#038;showinfo=1&#038;iv_load_policy=1&#038;fs=1&#038;hl=zh-CN&#038;autohide=2&#038;wmode=transparent\" allowfullscreen=\"true\" style=\"border:0;\" sandbox=\"allow-scripts allow-same-origin allow-popups allow-presentation allow-popups-to-escape-sandbox\"><\/iframe><\/span>\n<\/div><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\u7acb\u9676\u5b9b\u53c2\u4e0e\u4e86\u4e03\u56fd\u96c6\u56e2\u3001\u6b27\u76df\u548c\u7f8e\u56fd\u5b9e\u65bd\u7684\u5236\u88c1\u4f53\u7cfb\u3002\u4e0e\u82ac\u5170\u4e00\u6837\uff0c\u8fd9\u4e00\u653f\u7b56\u6e90\u4e8e\u5176\u4e0e\u82cf\u8054\u7684\u75db\u82e6\u5386\u53f2\u3002\u81ea2004\u5e74\u4ee5\u6765\uff0c\u5b83\u662f\u5317\u7ea6\u548c\u6b27\u76df\u7684\u4e00\u90e8\u5206\u3002 <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\u7136\u800c\uff0c\u6700\u8fd1\uff0c\u5b83\u4e5f\u53d7\u5230\u4e86\u767d\u4fc4\u7f57\u65af\u7684\u76f4\u63a5\u538b\u529b\uff0c\u81ea2021\u5e74\u4ee5\u6765\uff0c\u5b83\u5b9e\u9645\u4e0a\u662f\u5c06\u6765\u81ea\u4e2d\u4e1c\u3001\u975e\u6d32\u548c\u4e2d\u4e9a\u7684\u79fb\u6c11 \"\u6295\u5c04 \"\u5230\u6ce2\u5170\u548c\u7acb\u9676\u5b9b\u7684\u8fb9\u5883\uff0c\u4ee5\u7834\u574f\u5b83\u4eec\u7684\u7a33\u5b9a\u3002\u767d\u4fc4\u7f57\u65af\u8fd9\u6837\u505a\u662f\u4e3a\u4e86\u62a5\u590d\u6b27\u76df\u5728\u5362\u5361\u7533\u79d1\u603b\u7edf\u7ade\u9009\u8fde\u4efb\u540e\u5b9e\u65bd\u7684\u5236\u88c1\u3002(Jean-Michel Valantin, \"<a href=\"https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/zh\/2022\/02\/07\/belarus-and-the-weaponization-of-migration-anthropocene-wars-1\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">\u767d\u4fc4\u7f57\u65af\u548c\u79fb\u6c11\u7684\u6b66\u5668\u5316<\/a>\u201c, <em>\u8fdc\u666f\u6d1e\u5bdf\u7814\u7a76\u6240<\/em>\uff0c2022\u5e742\u67087\u65e5\uff09\u3002 <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\u7136\u800c\uff0c\u4e0e\u6b64\u540c\u65f6\uff0c6\u670817\u65e5\uff0c\u4fc4\u7f57\u65af\u65b0\u578b\u6838\u52a8\u529b\u7834\u51b0\u8239 \"\u897f\u6bd4\u5c14 \"\u53f7\u9a76\u5411\u68d8\u624b\u7684\u7ef4\u5c14\u8482\u8328\u57fa\u6d77\u5ce1\u3002\u540c\u65f6\uff0c\u6db2\u5316\u5929\u7136\u6c14\u8239Nicola\u00ef Yevgorov\u79bb\u5f00\u4e86\u8428\u8d1d\u5854\u6e2f\uff0c\u5728\u90a3\u91cc\uff0c\u7279\u6b8a\u7684\u5317\u6781\u8239\u88c5\u8f7d\u4e86\u4e9a\u9a6c\u5c14\u5de8\u5934\u8fd0\u8425\u6240\u751f\u4ea7\u7684\u6db2\u5316\u5929\u7136\u6c14\uff08Atle Staalesen\uff0c\" \"\uff09\u3002<a href=\"https:\/\/thebarentsobserver.com\/en\/industry-and-energy\/2022\/06\/russia-turns-towards-asia-years-first-vessel-heads-east-northern-sea\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">\u968f\u7740\u4fc4\u7f57\u65af\u8f6c\u5411\u4e9a\u6d32\uff0c\u4eca\u5e74\u7684\u7b2c\u4e00\u8258\u8239\u5728\u5317\u65b9\u6d77\u8def\u5411\u4e1c\u884c\u9a76<\/a>\", 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\"\u5230\u4e86\u5317\u6781\uff0c\u52a0\u901f\u4e86\u5176\u6218\u7565\u53d8\u5316\u3002\u6211\u4eec\u73b0\u5728\u5fc5\u987b\u770b\u5230\uff0c\u8be5\u5730\u533a\u5feb\u901f\u53d8\u5316\u7684\u5730\u7403\u7269\u7406\u5b66\u662f\u5426\u4f1a \"\u8fc7\u70ed \"\u8fd9\u4e00\u65b0\u7684\u4e8b\u6001\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\u7279\u8272\u56fe\u7247\u3002AK\uff0c\u7f8e\u56fd\uff0c2022\u5e743\u670818\u65e5\uff0c\u56fe\u7247\u6765\u81ea\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/www.dvidshub.net\/portfolio\/1234803\/seth-lacount\">\u585e\u65af-\u62c9\u5eb7\u7279\u519b\u58eb\u957f<\/a>, <a href=\"https:\/\/www.dvidshub.net\/unit\/USARAK\">\u7f8e\u56fd\u9646\u519b\u963f\u62c9\u65af\u52a0<\/a>\u7f8e\u56fd\u9646\u519b\u56fd\u6c11\u8b66\u536b\u961f\u7167\u7247\uff1a\u585e\u601d-\u62c9\u5eb7\u7279\u519b\u58eb\u957f\uff09--\u516c\u5171\u9886\u57df\u3002<a href=\"https:\/\/www.dvidshub.net\/rss\/unit\/839\"><\/a><\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>\u4e4c\u514b\u5170\u6218\u4e89\u6b63\u5728\u4ece\u4fc4\u7f57\u65af\u548c\u4e4c\u514b\u5170\u4e4b\u95f4\u7684\u6218\u4e89\u6f14\u53d8\u6210\u4e00\u573a\u6d89\u53ca\u5317\u7ea6\u6210\u5458\u652f\u6301\u4e4c\u514b\u5170\u6218\u4e89\u52aa\u529b\u7684\u6218\u4e89\uff08Darlene Superville\u548cZeke Miller\uff0c\"US Boosting Military Presence in Europe amid Russia Threat\"\uff0cAPNews\uff0c2022\u5e746\u670829\u65e5\uff09\u3002\u8fd9\u79cd\u60c5\u51b5\u5728\u5317\u7ea6\u548c\u4fc4\u7f57\u65af\u4e4b\u95f4\u4ea7\u751f\u4e86\u6218\u7565\u7d27\u5f20\u5173\u7cfb\uff0c\u5e76\u8513\u5ef6\u5230......\u3002 <\/p>\n<p class=\"link-more\"><a href=\"https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/zh\/2022\/07\/11\/war-ukraine-warming-arctic-anthropocene-wars-5\/\" class=\"more-link\">\u7ee7\u7eed\u9605\u8bfb<span class=\"screen-reader-text\">\"\u5317\u6781\u53d8\u6696\u4e2d\u7684\u4e4c\u514b\u5170\u6218\u4e89--\u4eba\u7c7b\u4e16\u6218\u4e89\uff085\uff09\"<\/span><\/a><\/p>","protected":false},"author":20,"featured_media":35167,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_jetpack_feature_clip_id":0,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[1083,1722,2860],"tags":[61,1347,2560,220,446],"class_list":["post-35037","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-arctic","category-environmental-geostrategy","category-featured","tag-china","tag-nato","tag-open-access","tag-russia","tag-turkey","entry"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v28.8 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>War in Ukraine in the Warming Arctic - Anthropocene Wars (5) &#8226; The Red Team Analysis Society<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/zh\/2022\/07\/11\/\u6218\u4e89-\u4e4c\u514b\u5170-\u6696\u5316-\u5317\u6781-\u4eba\u7c7b\u5b66-\u6218\u4e89-5\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"zh_CN\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"War in Ukraine in the Warming Arctic - Anthropocene Wars (5) &#8226; The Red Team Analysis Society\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"The war in Ukraine is morphing from a war between Russia and Ukraine into a war that involves NATO members supporting the war effort in Ukraine (Darlene Superville and Zeke Miller, \u201cUS Boosting Military Presence in Europe amid Russia Threat\u201d, APNews, 29 June 2022). This situation generates strategic tensions between NATO and Russia that spill &hellip; \u7ee7\u7eed\u9605\u8bfb\u201cWar in Ukraine in the Warming Arctic &#8211; Anthropocene Wars (5)\u201d\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:url\" content=\"https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/zh\/2022\/07\/11\/\u6218\u4e89-\u4e4c\u514b\u5170-\u6696\u5316-\u5317\u6781-\u4eba\u7c7b\u5b66-\u6218\u4e89-5\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:site_name\" content=\"The Red Team Analysis Society\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:publisher\" content=\"https:\/\/www.facebook.com\/pages\/Red-Team-Analysis\/341280995886057\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:published_time\" content=\"2022-07-11T08:36:42+00:00\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:modified_time\" content=\"2022-10-27T08:59:03+00:00\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:image\" content=\"https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/07\/war-in-Ukraine-spills-Arctic-2.jpeg\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:width\" content=\"1568\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:height\" content=\"941\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:type\" content=\"image\/jpeg\" \/>\n<meta name=\"author\" content=\"Dr Jean-Michel Valantin (PhD Paris)\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:card\" content=\"summary_large_image\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:creator\" content=\"@HLavoix\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:site\" content=\"@HLavoix\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:label1\" content=\"\u4f5c\u8005\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:data1\" content=\"Dr Jean-Michel Valantin (PhD Paris)\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:label2\" content=\"\u9884\u8ba1\u9605\u8bfb\u65f6\u95f4\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:data2\" content=\"13 \u5206\" \/>\n<script type=\"application\/ld+json\" class=\"yoast-schema-graph\">{\"@context\":\"https:\\\/\\\/schema.org\",\"@graph\":[{\"@type\":\"Article\",\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/redanalysis.org\\\/fr\\\/2022\\\/07\\\/11\\\/guerre-ukraine-arctic-rechauffement-guerres-anthropocene-5\\\/#article\",\"isPartOf\":{\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/redanalysis.org\\\/fr\\\/2022\\\/07\\\/11\\\/guerre-ukraine-arctic-rechauffement-guerres-anthropocene-5\\\/\"},\"author\":{\"name\":\"Dr Jean-Michel Valantin (PhD Paris)\",\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/redanalysis.org\\\/#\\\/schema\\\/person\\\/b840ac3537c3f891b6e61a6e559775fe\"},\"headline\":\"War in Ukraine in the Warming Arctic &#8211; 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Brody Foreman, a Paratrooper from Delaware Company, 1st Battalion, 501st Parachute Infantry Regiment, 4th Infantry Brigade Combat Team (Airborne), 25th Infantry Division, \u201cSpartan Brigade,\u201d surveys the arctic landscape with an Improved Target Acquisition System (ITAS) before firing the Tube-Launched, Optically Tracked, Wire Guided (TOW) anti-tank missile during Joint Pacific Multinational Readiness Center 22-02, March 18, 2022. JPMRC 22-02, executed in Alaska with its world-class training facilities and its harsh Arctic environment, builds Soldiers and leaders into a team of skilled, tough, alert, and adaptive warriors capable of fighting and winning anywhere. (U.S. Army National Guard photo by Sgt. 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