{"id":36173,"date":"2023-04-13T18:26:06","date_gmt":"2023-04-13T16:26:06","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/?p=36173"},"modified":"2023-05-22T12:36:10","modified_gmt":"2023-05-22T10:36:10","slug":"%e6%89%ab%e6%8f%8f%e5%bc%b1%e5%b0%8f%e4%bf%a1%e5%8f%b7","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/zh\/2023\/04\/13\/scans-for-weak-signals\/","title":{"rendered":"\u626b\u63cf\u8584\u5f31\u7684\u4fe1\u53f7"},"content":{"rendered":"<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><em>\u4e00\u79cd\u544a\u522b\u7684\u65b9\u5f0f <a href=\"#weekly\">\u6bcf\u5468<\/a>!\u8bf7\u4e0d\u8981\u52a8\uff0c\u6211\u4eec\u6b63\u5728\u8fdb\u884c\u4e00\u4e9b\u65b0\u7684\u548c\u4ee4\u4eba\u5174\u594b\u7684\u5de5\u4f5c......\u3002<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">\u626b\u63cf\u548c\u4fe1\u53f7<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\u5b9a\u671f\u4f7f\u7528\u5730\u5e73\u7ebf\u626b\u63cf\uff0c\u6211\u4eec\u53ef\u4ee5\u6536\u96c6\u5fae\u5f31\u7684--\u548c\u4e0d\u592a\u5fae\u5f31\u7684--\u4fe1\u53f7\u3002\u8fd9\u4e9b\u4fe1\u53f7\u6307\u51fa\u4e86\u65b0\u7684\u3001\u6b63\u5728\u51fa\u73b0\u7684\u3001\u5347\u7ea7\u7684\u6216\u7a33\u5b9a\u7684\u95ee\u9898\u3002\u56e0\u6b64\uff0c\u5b83\u4eec\u8868\u660e\u8d8b\u52bf\u6216\u52a8\u6001\u662f\u5982\u4f55\u6f14\u53d8\u7684\u3002\u8fd9\u79cd\u4fe1\u53f7\u7684\u6536\u96c6\uff0c\u65e0\u8bba\u6709\u65e0\u8bc4\u8bba\uff0c\u90fd\u88ab\u79f0\u4e3a\u626b\u63cf\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-latest-posts__list alignright wp-block-latest-posts is-layout-flow wp-block-latest-posts-is-layout-flow\"><li><a class=\"wp-block-latest-posts__post-title\" href=\"https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/zh\/2026\/10\/08\/houthis-bab-el-mandeb-maritime-transport\/\">\u80e1\u585e\u6b66\u88c5\u3001\u5df4\u5e03\u5c14\u66fc\u5fb7\u8d1d\u8d6b\u6e2f\u548c\u6d77\u4e0a\u8fd0\u8f93<\/a><\/li>\n<li><a class=\"wp-block-latest-posts__post-title\" href=\"https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/zh\/2026\/07\/15\/mystery-bolivia-lithium-reserves\/\">\u73bb\u5229\u7ef4\u4e9a\u9502\u50a8\u91cf\u7684\u79bb\u5947\u4e4b\u8c1c<\/a><\/li>\n<li><a class=\"wp-block-latest-posts__post-title\" href=\"https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/zh\/2026\/03\/30\/watch-out-saudi-arabia-winner-iran-war\/\">\u5c0f\u5fc3--\u4f0a\u6717\u6218\u4e89\u3001\u6c99\u7279\u963f\u62c9\u4f2f\u548c\u80e1\u585e\u6b66\u88c5<\/a><\/li>\n<li><a class=\"wp-block-latest-posts__post-title\" href=\"https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/zh\/2026\/02\/09\/golden-dome-technological-frontier\/\">SIGNAL - \u91d1\u8272\u7a79\u9876\uff0c\u65b0\u7684\u6280\u672f\u524d\u6cbf<\/a><\/li>\n<li><a class=\"wp-block-latest-posts__post-title\" href=\"https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/zh\/2026\/02\/02\/threat-greenland-us-eu-trade-deal\/\">\u7f8e\u56fd\u5bf9\u683c\u9675\u5170\u5a01\u80c1\u7684\u5f71\u54cd\uff1a\u7f8e\u56fd-\u6b27\u76df\u8d38\u6613\u534f\u8bae\u3001\u6b27\u76df\u8bae\u4f1a\u548c\u6b27\u6d32\u7684\u672a\u6765<\/a><\/li>\n<li><a class=\"wp-block-latest-posts__post-title\" href=\"https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/zh\/2026\/01\/28\/signal-chronicles-iran-trump-china\/\">Signal - \u5c0f\u4f20\uff0811\uff09\uff1a\u4f0a\u6717\u3001\u7279\u6717\u666e\u548c\u4e2d\u56fd<\/a><\/li>\n<li><a class=\"wp-block-latest-posts__post-title\" href=\"https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/zh\/2026\/01\/21\/us-threat-greenland-when-watch\/\">\u7f8e\u56fd\u5bf9\u683c\u9675\u5170\u7684\u5a01\u80c1\uff1a\u4f55\u65f6\u5e94\u89e6\u53d1\u76d1\u89c6\uff1f<\/a><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\u626b\u63cf\u5fc5\u987b\u96c6\u4e2d\u5728\u4e00\u4e2a\u7279\u5b9a\u7684\u4e3b\u9898\u6216\u95ee\u9898\u4e0a\u3002\u91cd\u70b9\u7684\u5e7f\u5ea6\u53ef\u4ee5\u6839\u636e\u9700\u8981\u800c\u53d8\u5316\u3002\u6536\u96c6\u548c\u51fa\u7248\u7684\u5468\u671f\u4e5f\u5c06\u6839\u636e\u9700\u8981\u548c\u91cd\u70b9\u800c\u53d8\u5316\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\u5728\u6218\u7565\u9884\u89c1\u548c\u8b66\u544a\u3001\u98ce\u9669\u7ba1\u7406\u548c\u672a\u6765\u7814\u7a76\u9886\u57df\uff0c\u4f18\u79c0\u7684\u5206\u6790\u5e08\u7684\u5de5\u4f5c\u662f\u626b\u63cf\u5730\u5e73\u7ebf\u3002\u56e0\u6b64\uff0c\u4ed6\u4eec\u53ef\u4ee5\u5bdf\u89c9\u5230\u4fe1\u53f7\u3002\u7136\u540e\uff0c\u5206\u6790\u5e08\u6839\u636e\u5177\u4f53\u7684\u98ce\u9669\u548c\u52a8\u6001\u6765\u8bc4\u4f30\u8fd9\u4e9b\u4fe1\u53f7\u7684\u5f3a\u5ea6\u3002\u6700\u540e\uff0c\u4ed6\u4eec\u5c06\u81ea\u5df1\u7684\u53d1\u73b0\u4ea4\u4ed8\u7ed9\u7528\u6237\uff1a\u626b\u63cf\u3002\u8fd9\u4e9b\u7528\u6237\u53ef\u4ee5\u662f\u5176\u4ed6\u5206\u6790\u5458\u3001\u5b98\u5458\u6216\u51b3\u7b56\u8005\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><strong><em>\u8054\u7cfb\u6211\u4eec<\/em><em style=\"font-weight: bold;\"> <\/em><\/strong><em style=\"font-weight: bold;\">\u6211\u4eec\u4e3a&nbsp;<a href=\"https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/zh\/%e6%88%98%e7%95%a5%e5%89%8d%e7%9e%bb-%e6%97%a9%e6%9c%9f%e9%a2%84%e8%ad%a6-%e5%9c%b0%e7%bc%98%e6%94%bf%e6%b2%bb%e7%9a%84%e8%a7%a3%e5%86%b3%e6%96%b9%e6%a1%88\/%e5%92%a8%e8%af%a2\/%e4%b8%93%e5%ae%b6-%e7%9b%91%e6%b5%8b-%e8%ad%a6%e5%91%8a\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">\u4e13\u95e8\u4e3a\u4f60\u7684\u7ec4\u7ec7\u521b\u5efa\u7684\u626b\u63cf\u4ef6<\/a>.<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n<div class=\"wp-block-group\"><div class=\"wp-block-group__inner-container is-layout-constrained wp-block-group-is-layout-constrained\">\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"horizon-scanning-weak-signals-and-biases\">\"\u5f31 \"\u4fe1\u53f7\uff0c\u4fe1\u53f7\u7684\u5f3a\u5ea6\u548c\u5b83\u4eec\u7684\u76f8\u5173\u6027<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\u6211\u4eec\u79f0\u4fe1\u53f7\u4e3a\u5f31\uff0c\u56e0\u4e3a\u5728\u5927\u91cf\u53d1\u751f\u7684\u4e8b\u4ef6\u4e2d\u4ecd\u7136\u5f88\u96be\u8bc6\u522b\u5b83\u4eec\u3002\u7136\u800c\uff0c\u6211\u4eec\u7684\u8ba4\u77e5\u504f\u5dee\u5f80\u5f80\u4f1a\u6539\u53d8\u6211\u4eec\u6d4b\u91cf\u4fe1\u53f7\u5f3a\u5ea6\u7684\u80fd\u529b\u3002\u56e0\u6b64\uff0c\u5bf9\u5f3a\u5ea6\u7684\u611f\u77e5\u53ef\u4ee5\u6839\u636e\u884c\u4e3a\u8005\u7684\u610f\u8bc6\u800c\u53d8\u5316\u3002\u5728\u6700\u574f\u7684\u60c5\u51b5\u4e0b\uff0c\u504f\u89c1\u53ef\u80fd\u662f\u5982\u6b64\u5f3a\u70c8\uff0c\u4ee5\u81f3\u4e8e\u5b8c\u5168\u963b\u6b62\u4e86\u5bf9\u4fe1\u53f7\u7684\u8bc6\u522b\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\u8d8a\u6765\u8d8a\u591a\u7684\u4eba\u53ef\u80fd\u4f1a\u6000\u7591 \"\u5fae\u5f31\u4fe1\u53f7 \"\u7684\u60f3\u6cd5\u5728\u6211\u4eec\u7684\u4e16\u754c\u4e2d\u662f\u5426\u6709\u610f\u4e49\uff1a\u5982\u679c\u4f60\u628a <a href=\"https:\/\/bigthink.com\/surprising-science\/in-1973-an-mit-computer-predicted-the-end-of-civilization-so-far-its-on-target\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">\u9ebb\u7701\u7406\u5de5\u5b66\u9662\/\u7f57\u9a6c\u4ff1\u4e50\u90e81973\u5e74\u7684\u73b0\u5b9e\u9884\u89c1\u6027<\/a> \u90a3\u4e48\uff0c\u5728\u6211\u4eec\u7684\u4e16\u754c\u7684\u53ef\u6301\u7eed\u6027\u65b9\u9762\uff0c\u6211\u4eec\u771f\u7684\u8fd8\u6562\u8bf4\u5b83\u662f\u4e00\u4e2a\u5173\u4e8e\u5373\u5c06\u5230\u6765\u7684--\u5df2\u7ecf\u5b58\u5728\u7684--\u5168\u7403\u53ef\u6301\u7eed\u6027\u707e\u96be\u7684\u5f31\u4fe1\u53f7\u5417\uff1f\u57281973\u5e74\uff0c\u5b83\u662f\u4e00\u4e2a\u5fae\u5f31\u7684\u4fe1\u53f7\uff0c\u4f46\u73b0\u5728\u5462\uff1f\u7531\u4e8e\u8bb8\u591a\u4eba\u5e76\u6ca1\u6709\u771f\u6b63\u6ce8\u610f\u5230\u7eff\u8272\u5ba3\u4f20\u3001\u65e0\u4f11\u6b62\u7684\u4f1a\u8bae\u548c\u4e0e\u6240\u9700\u76f8\u6bd4\u7684\u4f4e\u6548\u63aa\u65bd\uff0c\u56e0\u4e3a\u771f\u6b63\u7684\u610f\u8bc6\u4ea7\u751f\u7684\u884c\u52a8\u663e\u7136\u4e0d\u5b58\u5728\uff0c\u56e0\u6b64\uff0c\u53ef\u6015\u7684\u8b66\u544a\u662f\u5426\u4ecd\u7136\u662f\u5f31\u4fe1\u53f7\uff1f\u4e00\u4e2a\u4fe1\u53f7\u9700\u8981\u53d8\u5f97\u591a\u5f3a\u624d\u80fd\u88ab\u89c6\u4e3a\u4fe1\u53f7\u6216\u751a\u81f3\u66f4\u597d\u7684\u8b66\u544a\uff1f\u90e8\u5206\u7b54\u6848\u53ef\u80fd\u662f\u5728\u4ee5\u4e0b\u7684\u60f3\u6cd5\u4e2d <a href=\"https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/zh\/2011\/09\/14\/%e9%87%8d%e6%96%b0%e5%ae%a1%e8%a7%86%e6%88%98%e7%95%a5%e8%bf%9c%e8%a7%81%e5%92%8c%e8%ad%a6%e5%91%8a%e7%9a%84%e5%8f%8a%e6%97%b6%e6%80%a7\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">\u65f6\u6548\u6027<\/a>\uff0c\u4f46\u5982\u679c\u6ca1\u6709\u4eba\u613f\u610f\u91c7\u53d6\u884c\u52a8\uff0c\u53ca\u65f6\u6027\u662f\u5426\u4e5f\u4f1a\u53d8\u5f97\u8fc7\u65f6\uff1f<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\u4f60\u53ef\u4ee5\u5728\u6211\u4eec\u7684\u4e00\u7bc7\u57fa\u77f3\u6587\u7ae0\u4e2d\u770b\u5230\u66f4\u8be6\u7ec6\u7684\u65b9\u6cd5\u5b66\u89e3\u91ca\uff1a&nbsp;<a href=\"https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/zh\/2019\/03\/04\/horizon-scanning-monitoring-definition-practice\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">\u5730\u5e73\u7ebf\u626b\u63cf\u548c\u65e9\u671f\u9884\u8b66\u7684\u76d1\u6d4b\u3002\u5b9a\u4e49\u548c\u5b9e\u8df5.<\/a>.<\/p>\n<\/div><\/div>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"weekly\">Red Team Analysis Weekly\u7684\u60c5\u51b5\u5982\u4f55\uff1f<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\u81ea2011\u5e74\u4ee5\u6765\uff0c\u6211\u4eec\u4e00\u76f4\u5728\u8fd0\u884c\u6bcf\u5468\u4e00\u6b21\u7684\u626b\u63cf\uff0c\u5e76\u5728\u7ea2\u961f\u5206\u6790\u7f51\u7ad9\u4e0a\u53d1\u5e03\uff0c\u4ee5\u793a\u8d5e\u626c\u3002\u5176\u91cd\u70b9\u662f\u653f\u6cbb\u548c\u5730\u7f18\u653f\u6cbb\u98ce\u9669\uff0c\u6216\u66f4\u5927\u7a0b\u5ea6\u4e0a\uff0c\u5e38\u89c4\u548c\u975e\u5e38\u89c4\u7684\u56fd\u5bb6\u548c\u56fd\u9645\u5b89\u5168\u3002 <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\u5b83\u662f\u4f5c\u4e3a\u4e00\u9879\u5229\u7528\u793e\u4f1a\u7f51\u7edc\u8fdb\u884c\u4f17\u5305\u7684\u5b9e\u9a8c\u800c\u53d1\u8d77\u7684\uff0c\u4e3b\u8981\u662f <a href=\"http:\/\/twitter.com\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">\u63a8\u7279<\/a> \u800c\u4e14\u6709\u65f6 <a href=\"https:\/\/www.facebook.com\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">\u8138\u4e66<\/a>.\u4e3a\u4e86\u907f\u514d\u4fe1\u606f\u8fc7\u8f7d\uff0c\u6211\u4eec\u9009\u62e9\u4e86\u6bcf\u5468\u800c\u4e0d\u662f\u6bcf\u5929\u7684\u626b\u63cf\u3002\u5b9e\u9a8c\u5f97\u51fa\u7ed3\u8bba\u540e\uff0c\u6211\u4eec\u7ee7\u7eed\u53d1\u5e03\u626b\u63cf\u62a5\u544a\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\u7136\u800c\uff0cPaper.li\uff0c\u6211\u4eec\u7528\u6765\u521b\u5efa\u6bcf\u5468\u626b\u63cf\u7684\u5e73\u53f0\uff0c\u57282023\u5e744\u67086\u65e5\u505c\u6b62\u4f7f\u7528\u6240\u6709\u6765\u6e90\uff0c\u5e76\u80af\u5b9a\u57282023\u5e744\u670820\u65e5\u5173\u95ed\u3002\u66ff\u4ee3\u54c1\u4e0d\u9002\u5408\u5f00\u653e\u8bbf\u95ee\u548c\u514d\u8d39\u626b\u63cf\u3002<strong><em> <\/em><\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\u7531\u4e8epaper.li\u4e5f\u4e0d\u4fdd\u5b58\u6863\u6848\uff0c\u6211\u4eec\u9009\u62e9\u5220\u9664\u6240\u6709\u4e0d\u5305\u62ec\u626b\u63cf\u672c\u8eab\u4ee5\u5916\u7684\u5185\u5bb9\u7684\u76f8\u5173\u5e16\u5b50\uff0c\u5e76\u5c06\u8bfb\u8005\u91cd\u65b0\u5f15\u5bfc\u5230\u8fd9\u91cc\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><em>\u7279\u8272\u56fe\u7247\u3002\u6b27\u7a7a\u5c40\u7684\u745e\u5178-\u6b27\u7a7a\u5c4015\u7c73\u4e9a\u6beb\u7c73\u671b\u8fdc\u955c\uff08SEST\uff09\u7684\u56fe\u50cf\u3002\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/www.eso.org\/public\/images\/lasilla-seip_a\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">\u62c9\u897f\u62c9\u5929\u6587\u53f0<\/a>\u4f4d\u4e8e\u667a\u5229\u963f\u5854\u5361\u9a6c\u6c99\u6f20\u7684\u90ca\u533a\uff0c\u5728\u667a\u5229\u5723\u5730\u4e9a\u54e5\u4ee5\u5317600\u516c\u91cc\u5904\uff0c\u6d77\u62d42400\u7c73\u3002\u8fd9\u5f20\u7167\u7247\u662f\u7531Stefan Seip\u62cd\u6444\u7684\u3002\u00a0<a href=\"http:\/\/www.eso.org\/public\/outreach\/partnerships\/photo-ambassadors.html\">ESO\u7167\u7247\u5927\u4f7f<\/a>.<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>\u5411\u300a\u5468\u520a\u300b\u8bf4\u518d\u89c1\u7684\u65b9\u6cd5\uff01\uff01\u7559\u5728\u539f\u5730\uff0c\u6211\u4eec\u6b63\u5728\u505a\u4e00\u4e9b\u65b0\u7684\u548c\u4ee4\u4eba\u5174\u594b\u7684\u4e8b\u60c5......\u626b\u63cf\u548c\u4fe1\u53f7 \u4f7f\u7528\u5730\u5e73\u7ebf\u626b\u63cf\uff0c\u5b9a\u671f\uff0c\u6211\u4eec\u53ef\u4ee5\u6536\u96c6\u5fae\u5f31--\u548c\u4e0d\u592a\u5fae\u5f31--\u7684\u4fe1\u53f7\u3002\u8fd9\u4e9b\u4fe1\u53f7\u6307\u5411\u65b0\u7684\u3001\u6b63\u5728\u51fa\u73b0\u7684\u3001\u5347\u7ea7\u7684\u6216\u7a33\u5b9a\u7684\u95ee\u9898\u3002\u56e0\u6b64\uff0c\u5b83\u4eec\u8868\u660e\u8d8b\u52bf\u6216\u52a8\u6001\u5982\u4f55......\u3002 <\/p>\n<p class=\"link-more\"><a href=\"https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/zh\/2023\/04\/13\/scans-for-weak-signals\/\" class=\"more-link\">\u7ee7\u7eed\u9605\u8bfb<span class=\"screen-reader-text\">\"\u626b\u63cf\u5f31\u5c0f\u4fe1\u53f7\"<\/span><\/a><\/p>","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":29105,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_jetpack_feature_clip_id":0,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[2860,2479],"tags":[1789,1224,886,1214,2549,44,133],"class_list":["post-36173","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-featured","category-monitoring-and-warning","tag-featured","tag-horizon-scanning","tag-scan","tag-scanning-tool","tag-signal","tag-the-red-team-analysis-weekly","tag-weak-signal","entry"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v28.6 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>Scans for Weak Signals &#8226; The Red Team Analysis Society<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" 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Stay put, we are working on something new and exciting\u2026 Scans and signals Using horizon scanning, periodically, we can collect weak \u2013 and less weak \u2013 signals. The signals point to new, emerging, escalating or stabilising problems. 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