{"id":6065,"date":"2014-01-09T13:56:27","date_gmt":"2014-01-09T12:56:27","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.redanalysis.org\/?p=6065"},"modified":"2023-04-14T10:11:42","modified_gmt":"2023-04-14T08:11:42","slug":"the-red-team-analysis-weekly-no134-9-january-2014","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/zh\/2014\/01\/09\/the-red-team-analysis-weekly-no134-9-january-2014\/","title":{"rendered":"\u7ea2\u8272\uff08\u56e2\u961f\uff09\u5206\u6790\u5468\u62a5--2014\u5e741\u67089\u65e5--\u5bf9\u6bd4\u5ea6"},"content":{"rendered":"<p style=\"text-align: justify;\">Editorial &#8211; <strong>Contrasts<\/strong> &#8211; The year starts with interesting contrasts.\u00a0On the one hand we have more than worrying trends. The Syrian conflict continues spreading as, notably, Iraq seems to be falling back into war &#8211; as could be expected from the continuously rising numbers of attacks and death over 2013 (if you have not seen it yet RT has followed it through a grimly beautiful <a href=\"http:\/\/iraq2013.rt.com\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">2013 Iraq Year of Carnage<\/a>\u00a0and there are of course the UN data), as Lebanon knows (again) increasingly violent attacks, on the backdrop of a (related) transmutation at work in the Middle East. The tension between China and Japan does not ease, far from it, and could very well engulf South Korea. The situation in the Far East is dangerous, and increasingly so as weeks go by. Finally, there is also the return on the media agenda of Europe as elections approach when the economic and financial situation has not improved, at least from the point of view of citizens.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\">On the other hand we have a rising focus on capabilities, notably technological ones, with an emphasis on cyber-security, the internet of things, drones, etc. and (hopefully only apparently) a shift towards these issues (e.g.\u00a0<a href=\"http:\/\/defensetech.org\/2014\/01\/07\/pentagon-intel-shift-focuses-on-cyber-st\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Pentagon Intel Shift Focuses on Cyber, S&amp;T<\/a>). Considering the unstable state of the world, we would also hope to see a renewed interest in hiring analysts, in setting up global strategic centers etc. The risk here could be (if further specific research confirmed it) \u00a0that we are facing an either \/ or situation, with the emphasis put on capabilities implying a neglect of the actors&#8217; intentions, of strategy and of attempting to understand and consider complex situations in all their dimensions. Ideally dealing with one type of issues should not mean that the others are forgotten.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\">Also to note, the different ways <a href=\"http:\/\/www.lloyds.com\/news-and-insight\/news-and-features\/environment\/environment-2014\/natural-disasters-in-2013-behind-the-figures\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Lloyd&#8217;s<\/a> and <a href=\"http:\/\/www.munichreamerica.com\/mram\/en_US\/events\/Webinar\/2014-01-natcatreview\/index.html\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Munich-Re<\/a>\u00a0deal with the now known figures resulting from the 2013 natural catastrophes. The latter especially underlines the good news (a good year , especially for the U.S., compared with previous years as the overall cost is much lower). The former, although noting similar data, looks &#8220;behind the figures&#8221;, at specific events and anomalies and finds that &#8220;the catalogue of events contained some important lessons for them [the insurers].&#8221;<\/p>\n<p>Click on the image below to read on Paper.Li<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: center;\"><a href=\"http:\/\/paper.li\/HLavoix\/1323337992?edition_id=4ebbf350-7903-11e3-92a3-00259071bfec\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"aligncenter  wp-image-6067\" title=\"The Red Team Analysis Weekly 134\" alt=\"horizon scanning, strategic warning, risk, national security, international security\" src=\"https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2014\/01\/The-Red-Team-Analysis-Weekly-134.jpg\" width=\"550\" height=\"581\" srcset=\"https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2014\/01\/The-Red-Team-Analysis-Weekly-134.jpg 550w, https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2014\/01\/The-Red-Team-Analysis-Weekly-134-250x264.jpg 250w, https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2014\/01\/The-Red-Team-Analysis-Weekly-134-300x317.jpg 300w, https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2014\/01\/The-Red-Team-Analysis-Weekly-134-283x300.jpg 283w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 550px) 100vw, 550px\" \/><\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>\u793e\u8bba - \u5bf9\u6bd4 - \u8fd9\u4e00\u5e74\u7684\u5f00\u59cb\u662f\u6709\u8da3\u7684\u5bf9\u6bd4\u3002\u4e00\u65b9\u9762\uff0c\u6211\u4eec\u6709\u66f4\u591a\u4ee4\u4eba\u62c5\u5fe7\u7684\u8d8b\u52bf\u3002\u53d9\u5229\u4e9a\u51b2\u7a81\u7ee7\u7eed\u8513\u5ef6\uff0c\u7279\u522b\u662f\u4f0a\u62c9\u514b\u4f3c\u4e4e\u91cd\u65b0\u9677\u5165\u6218\u4e89--\u4ece2013\u5e74\u6301\u7eed\u4e0a\u5347\u7684\u88ad\u51fb\u548c\u6b7b\u4ea1\u4eba\u6570\u53ef\u4ee5\u9884\u671f\u5230\u8fd9\u4e00\u70b9\uff08\u5982\u679c\u4f60\u6ca1\u6709\u770b\u5230... <\/p>\n<p class=\"link-more\"><a href=\"https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/zh\/2014\/01\/09\/the-red-team-analysis-weekly-no134-9-january-2014\/\" class=\"more-link\">\u7ee7\u7eed\u9605\u8bfb<span class=\"screen-reader-text\">\"\u7ea2\u8272\uff08\u56e2\u961f\uff09\u5206\u6790\u5468\u520a--2014\u5e741\u67089\u65e5--\u5bf9\u6bd4\"<\/span><\/a><\/p>","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_jetpack_feature_clip_id":0,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[3249],"tags":[61,414,1795,81,403,1796,2057,1379,792,668,1613,2058,446,2175],"class_list":["post-6065","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-the-weekly-scan","tag-china","tag-cyber-security","tag-digital","tag-europe","tag-germany","tag-gulf-states","tag-india","tag-internet-of-things","tag-japan","tag-natural-catastrophes","tag-south-korea","tag-syria-issues","tag-turkey","tag-u-s","entry"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v28.8 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>The Red (Team) Analysis Weekly - 9 January 2014 - Contrasts &#8226; The Red Team Analysis Society<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/zh\/2014\/01\/09\/the-red-team-analysis-weekly-no134-9-january-2014\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"zh_CN\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"The Red (Team) Analysis Weekly - 9 January 2014 - Contrasts &#8226; The Red Team Analysis Society\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"Editorial &#8211; Contrasts &#8211; The year starts with interesting contrasts.\u00a0On the one hand we have more than worrying trends. The Syrian conflict continues spreading as, notably, Iraq seems to be falling back into war &#8211; as could be expected from the continuously rising numbers of attacks and death over 2013 (if you have not seen &hellip; \u7ee7\u7eed\u9605\u8bfb\u201cThe Red (Team) Analysis Weekly &#8211; 9 January 2014 &#8211; Contrasts\u201d\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:url\" content=\"https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/zh\/2014\/01\/09\/the-red-team-analysis-weekly-no134-9-january-2014\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:site_name\" content=\"The Red Team Analysis Society\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:publisher\" content=\"https:\/\/www.facebook.com\/pages\/Red-Team-Analysis\/341280995886057\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:published_time\" content=\"2014-01-09T12:56:27+00:00\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:modified_time\" content=\"2023-04-14T08:11:42+00:00\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:image\" content=\"https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2014\/01\/The-Red-Team-Analysis-Weekly-134.jpg\" \/>\n<meta name=\"author\" content=\"Dr Helene Lavoix (MSc PhD Lond)\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:card\" content=\"summary_large_image\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:creator\" content=\"@HLavoix\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:site\" content=\"@HLavoix\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:label1\" content=\"\u4f5c\u8005\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:data1\" content=\"Dr Helene Lavoix (MSc PhD Lond)\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:label2\" content=\"\u9884\u8ba1\u9605\u8bfb\u65f6\u95f4\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:data2\" content=\"2 \u5206\" \/>\n<script type=\"application\/ld+json\" class=\"yoast-schema-graph\">{\"@context\":\"https:\\\/\\\/schema.org\",\"@graph\":[{\"@type\":\"Article\",\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/redanalysis.org\\\/2014\\\/01\\\/09\\\/the-red-team-analysis-weekly-no134-9-january-2014\\\/#article\",\"isPartOf\":{\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/redanalysis.org\\\/2014\\\/01\\\/09\\\/the-red-team-analysis-weekly-no134-9-january-2014\\\/\"},\"author\":{\"name\":\"Dr Helene Lavoix (MSc PhD Lond)\",\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/redanalysis.org\\\/#\\\/schema\\\/person\\\/6886ef37ab2b2804bc70995f4ba653d4\"},\"headline\":\"The Red (Team) Analysis Weekly &#8211; 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She has been a lecturer (Master level) and taught the methodology and practice of strategic foresight and early warning in prestigious institutions such as the RSIS in Singapore, SciencesPo-PSIA in France, the Ecole Sup\u00e9rieure des Forces de S\u00e9curit\u00e9 Int\u00e9rieure in Tunisia and the ENA Tunis, Institute of Leadership. She regularly publishes on geopolitical issues, supply and uranium security, artificial intelligence, the international order, China\u2019s rise and other international security topics. Committed to the continuous improvement of foresight and warning methodologies, Dr. Lavoix combines academic expertise and field experience to anticipate the global challenges of tomorrow.\",\"sameAs\":[\"https:\\\/\\\/redanalysis.org\",\"https:\\\/\\\/x.com\\\/HLavoix\"],\"url\":\"https:\\\/\\\/redanalysis.org\\\/zh\\\/author\\\/helenelavoix-2-2-2-2-2-2-2-2-2-2-2-2-2-2-2-2-2-2-3\\\/\"}]}<\/script>\n<!-- \/ Yoast SEO plugin. -->","yoast_head_json":{"title":"\u300a\u7ea2\u961f\u5206\u6790\u5468\u62a5\u300b\u2014\u20142014\u5e741\u67089\u65e5\u2014\u2014\u5bf9\u6bd4 \u2022 Red Team Analysis Society","robots":{"index":"index","follow":"follow","max-snippet":"max-snippet:-1","max-image-preview":"max-image-preview:large","max-video-preview":"max-video-preview:-1"},"canonical":"https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/zh\/2014\/01\/09\/the-red-team-analysis-weekly-no134-9-january-2014\/","og_locale":"zh_CN","og_type":"article","og_title":"The Red (Team) Analysis Weekly - 9 January 2014 - Contrasts &#8226; The Red Team Analysis Society","og_description":"Editorial &#8211; Contrasts &#8211; The year starts with interesting contrasts.\u00a0On the one hand we have more than worrying trends. 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