{"id":6731,"date":"2014-03-10T11:49:17","date_gmt":"2014-03-10T10:49:17","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.redanalysis.org\/?p=6731"},"modified":"2022-05-30T18:41:58","modified_gmt":"2022-05-30T16:41:58","slug":"%e8%af%84%e4%bc%b0%e5%8f%99%e5%88%a9%e4%ba%9a%e6%88%98%e4%ba%89%e7%9a%84%e6%83%85%e6%99%af%e5%92%8c%e6%8c%87%e6%a0%87","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/zh\/2014\/03\/10\/evaluating-scenarios-and-indicators-for-the-syrian-war\/","title":{"rendered":"\u8bc4\u4f30\u53d9\u5229\u4e9a\u6218\u4e89\u7684\u60c5\u666f\u548c\u6307\u6807"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>\u6bcf\u5e74\uff0c\u300a\u7ecf\u6d4e\u5b66\u4eba\u300b\u90fd\u4f1a\u5728\u5176\"......\u7684\u4e16\u754c 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\"\u7cfb\u5217\u4e2d\u8bc4\u4f30\u5176\u8fc7\u53bb\u5e74\u5ea6\u9884\u6d4b\uff08\u59822012\u5e74\uff09\u7684\u6210\u529f\u548c\u5931\u8d25\u3002\u8fd9\u662f\u4e00\u4e2a\u503c\u5f97\u6240\u6709\u4ece\u4e1a\u8005\u501f\u9274\u7684\u884c\u4e3a\uff1a\u5982\u679c\u6211\u4eec\u8981\u63d0\u4f9b\u826f\u597d\u7684\u3001\u53ef\u64cd\u4f5c\u7684\u6218\u7565\u9884\u89c1\u548c\u8b66\u544a\uff0c\u5e76\u6539\u8fdb\u6211\u4eec\u7684\u6d41\u7a0b\u3001\u65b9\u6cd5\uff0c\u4ece\u800c\u6539\u8fdb\u6211\u4eec\u7684\u6700\u7ec8\u4ea7\u54c1\uff0c\u90a3\u4e48\u6211\u4eec\u5c31\u5e94\u8be5\u7ecf\u5e38\u8bc4\u4f30\u6211\u4eec\u7684\u5de5\u4f5c\u3002\u73b0\u5728\u6211\u4eec\u5df2\u7ecf\u5b8c\u6210\u4e86\u5173\u4e8e\u53d9\u5229\u4e9a\u6218\u4e89\u72b6\u51b5\u7684\u6700\u540e\u4e00\u7cfb\u5217\u66f4\u65b0\uff0c\u6211\u4eec\u73b0\u5728\u53ef\u4ee5\u5f00\u59cb\u8bc4\u4f30\u6211\u4eec\u81ea\u5df1\u7684\u60c5\u666f\u548c\u6307\u6807\u5230\u76ee\u524d\u4e3a\u6b62\u7684\u8868\u73b0\uff0c\u5982\u679c\u5b83\u4eec\u9700\u8981\u66f4\u65b0\uff0c\u4ee5\u53ca\u6211\u4eec\u5e94\u8be5\u52aa\u529b\u7684\u6f5c\u5728\u65b9\u6cd5\u6539\u8fdb\u3002\u8bc4\u4f30\u60c5\u666f \u968f\u7740\u65e5\u5185\u74e6\u4f1a\u8bae\u7684\u53ec\u5f00\uff08\u89c1\u524d\u6587... <\/p>\n<p class=\"link-more\"><a href=\"https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/zh\/2014\/03\/10\/evaluating-scenarios-and-indicators-for-the-syrian-war\/\" class=\"more-link\">\u7ee7\u7eed\u9605\u8bfb<span class=\"screen-reader-text\">\"\u8bc4\u4f30\u53d9\u5229\u4e9a\u6218\u4e89\u7684\u60c5\u666f\u548c\u6307\u6807\"<\/span><\/a><\/p>\n<div class=\"woocommerce\">\n<div class=\"woocommerce-info wc-memberships-restriction-message wc-memberships-message wc-memberships-content-restricted-message\">\n<p>\u672c\u6587\u7684\u5269\u4f59\u90e8\u5206\u662f\u4e3a\u6211\u4eec\u7684 <a style=\"color: #fff\" href=\"https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/zh\/%e4%ba%a7%e5%93%81\/%e6%88%90%e5%91%98-2\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">\u6210\u5458<\/a>. .\u786e\u4fdd\u60a8\u6536\u5230\u7684\u662f\u771f\u5b9e\u7684\u5206\u6790\uff0c\u800c\u4e0d\u662f\u89c2\u70b9\uff0c\u6216\u8005\u66f4\u7cdf\u7cd5\u7684\u5047\u65b0\u95fb\u3002. <a style=\"color: #fff\" href=\"https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/zh\/my-account\/?wcm_redirect_to=post&amp;wcm_redirect_id=6731\">\u767b\u5f55<\/a> \u5e76\u8bbf\u95ee\u8fd9\u7bc7\u6587\u7ae0\u3002<\/p>\n<\/p><\/div>\n<\/p><\/div>","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":6763,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_jetpack_feature_clip_id":0,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[1510,33,3237,2499,252],"tags":[1507,1789,1720,1077,1100,91,1251,1687,1818,220,1042,190,2058,2175,522],"class_list":["post-6731","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-evaluation-analyse","category-scan-and-monitor","category-scenario-building","category-middle-east-and-north-africa","category-syria","tag-evaluation","tag-featured","tag-geneva-2","tag-indications","tag-indicators","tag-iran","tag-kurds","tag-peace","tag-rojava","tag-russia","tag-saudi-arabia","tag-scenarios","tag-syria-issues","tag-u-s","tag-war","membership-content","access-restricted","entry"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site 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This is an exemplary behaviour that should be adopted by all practitioners: if we are to deliver good and actionable strategic foresight and warning, and to improve our process, methodology and thus our &hellip; \u7ee7\u7eed\u9605\u8bfb\u201cEvaluating Scenarios and Indicators for the Syrian War\u201dThis content is restricted to members only. 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