{"id":6951,"date":"2014-04-03T17:26:35","date_gmt":"2014-04-03T15:26:35","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.redanalysis.org\/?p=6951"},"modified":"2023-04-14T10:11:14","modified_gmt":"2023-04-14T08:11:14","slug":"%e7%ba%a2%e9%98%9f-%e5%88%86%e6%9e%90-%e5%91%a8%e6%8a%a5-146-%e6%a1%88%e4%be%8b%e7%a0%94%e7%a9%b6-%e5%8d%87%e7%ba%a7%e7%89%88-%e7%be%8e%e5%9b%bd-%e4%bf%84%e7%bd%97%e6%96%af","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/zh\/2014\/04\/03\/the-red-team-analysis-weekly-146-a-case-study-in-escalation-nato-the-u-s-and-russia\/","title":{"rendered":"\u7ea2\u961f\u5206\u6790\u5468\u520a146--\u5347\u7ea7\u7684\u6848\u4f8b\u7814\u7a76\u3002\u5317\u7ea6\u3001\u7f8e\u56fd\u548c\u4fc4\u7f57\u65af"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>\u793e\u8bba--\u5347\u7ea7\u7684\u6848\u4f8b\u7814\u7a76\u3002\u5317\u7ea6\u3001\u7f8e\u56fd\u548c\u4fc4\u7f57\u65af\u3002\u5982\u679c\u6211\u4eec\u975e\u5e38\u51b7\u9177\u5730\u770b\u4e00\u4e0b\u5317\u7ea6\u3001\u7f8e\u56fd\u548c\u4fc4\u7f57\u65af\u4e4b\u95f4\u7684\u5c40\u52bf\u662f\u5982\u4f55\u6f14\u53d8\u7684\uff0c\u90a3\u4e48\u4f3c\u4e4e\u4e0d\u53ef\u5426\u8ba4\u7684\u662f\uff0c\u6211\u4eec\u6b63\u5904\u4e8e\u4e25\u91cd\u5347\u7ea7\u7684\u60c5\u51b5\u4e0b\uff0c\u800c\u4e14\u8fd9\u79cd\u5347\u7ea7\u8fd8\u5728\u4e0d\u65ad\u6269\u5927\u548c\u52a0\u6df1\u3002\u6b63\u5982BBC\u6240\u6307\u51fa\u7684\u90a3\u6837\uff0c\u514b\u91cc-\u62c9\u592b\u7f57\u592b\u4f1a\u8bae\u521b\u9020\u4e86\u7f13\u548c\u7684\u5e0c\u671b\uff0c\u968f\u540e\u4fc4\u7f57\u65af\u519b\u961f\u5f00\u59cb\u4ece\u9760\u8fd1\u4e4c\u514b\u5170\u8fb9\u5883\u7684\u4fc4\u7f57\u65af\u9886\u571f\u4e0a\u64a4\u79bb\uff08\u89c1\u4e54\u7eb3\u68ee-\u9a6c\u5e93\u65af\uff0c\u7b2c\u4e00\u4e2a\u95ee\u9898\uff0c\u5317\u7ea6\u79d8\u4e66\u957f\u5b89\u8bfa\u65af-\u798f\u683c-\u62c9\u65af\u7a46\u68ee\u7684\u95e8\u53e3\u58f0\u660e\uff0c4\u67081\u65e5-\u89c6\u9891\uff09\uff0c\u4f46\u5317\u7ea6\u7684\u4e00\u7cfb\u5217\u58f0\u660e\u505c\u6b62\u4e86\uff0c\u9996\u5148\u662f 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\u5e76\u8bbf\u95ee\u8fd9\u7bc7\u6587\u7ae0\u3002<\/p>\n<\/p><\/div>\n<\/p><\/div>","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":6954,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_jetpack_feature_clip_id":0,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[2503,2502,1078,2498,3249,1784],"tags":[1855,61,1856,1859,81,1789,1690,91,1857,1347,1858,220,2175,1854,522,1568],"class_list":["post-6951","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-americas","category-europe","category-new-paradigm","category-russia","category-the-weekly-scan","category-ukraine","tag-barter","tag-china","tag-dollar-supremacy","tag-ebola","tag-europe","tag-featured","tag-international-system","tag-iran","tag-military-industrial-complex","tag-nato","tag-pandemics","tag-russia","tag-u-s","tag-usd","tag-war","tag-water-security","membership-content","access-restricted","entry"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v28.8 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>The Red Team Analysis Weekly 146 - A case study in escalation: NATO, the U.S. and Russia &#8226; The Red Team Analysis Society<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/zh\/2014\/04\/03\/\u7ea2\u961f-\u5206\u6790-\u5468\u62a5-146-\u6848\u4f8b\u7814\u7a76-\u5347\u7ea7\u7248-\u7f8e\u56fd-\u4fc4\u7f57\u65af\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"zh_CN\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"The Red Team Analysis Weekly 146 - A case study in escalation: NATO, the U.S. and Russia &#8226; The Red Team Analysis Society\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"Editorial \u2013 A case study in escalation: NATO, the U.S. and Russia. If we very coldly look at how the situation is evolving between NATO, the U.S. and Russia, then it seems undeniable that we are in the case of a serious escalation, which is also getting larger and deeper. The hope for de-escalation the &hellip; \u7ee7\u7eed\u9605\u8bfb\u201cThe Red Team Analysis Weekly 146 &#8211; A case study in escalation: NATO, the U.S. and Russia\u201dThis content is restricted to members only. Please log in or become a member to gain access.\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:url\" content=\"https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/zh\/2014\/04\/03\/\u7ea2\u961f-\u5206\u6790-\u5468\u62a5-146-\u6848\u4f8b\u7814\u7a76-\u5347\u7ea7\u7248-\u7f8e\u56fd-\u4fc4\u7f57\u65af\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:site_name\" content=\"The Red Team Analysis Society\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:publisher\" content=\"https:\/\/www.facebook.com\/pages\/Red-Team-Analysis\/341280995886057\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:published_time\" content=\"2014-04-03T15:26:35+00:00\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:modified_time\" content=\"2023-04-14T08:11:14+00:00\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:image\" content=\"https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2014\/04\/41d4b9a746610cfef4f8-2014.jpeg\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:width\" content=\"672\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:height\" content=\"372\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:type\" content=\"image\/jpeg\" \/>\n<meta name=\"author\" content=\"Dr Helene Lavoix (MSc PhD Lond)\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:card\" content=\"summary_large_image\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:creator\" content=\"@HLavoix\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:site\" content=\"@HLavoix\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:label1\" content=\"\u4f5c\u8005\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:data1\" content=\"Dr Helene Lavoix (MSc PhD Lond)\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:label2\" content=\"\u9884\u8ba1\u9605\u8bfb\u65f6\u95f4\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:data2\" content=\"3 \u5206\" \/>\n<script type=\"application\/ld+json\" class=\"yoast-schema-graph\">{\"@context\":\"https:\\\/\\\/schema.org\",\"@graph\":[{\"@type\":\"Article\",\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/redanalysis.org\\\/2014\\\/04\\\/03\\\/the-red-team-analysis-weekly-146-a-case-study-in-escalation-nato-the-u-s-and-russia\\\/#article\",\"isPartOf\":{\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/redanalysis.org\\\/2014\\\/04\\\/03\\\/the-red-team-analysis-weekly-146-a-case-study-in-escalation-nato-the-u-s-and-russia\\\/\"},\"author\":{\"name\":\"Dr Helene Lavoix (MSc PhD Lond)\",\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/redanalysis.org\\\/#\\\/schema\\\/person\\\/6886ef37ab2b2804bc70995f4ba653d4\"},\"headline\":\"The Red Team Analysis Weekly 146 &#8211; 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She holds a PhD in political studies and a MSc in international politics of Asia (distinction) from the School of Oriental and African Studies (SOAS), University of London, as well as a Master in finance (valedictorian, Grande \u00c9cole, France). An expert in strategic foresight and early warning, especially for national and international security issues, she combines 30 years of experience in international relations and almost 20 years in strategic foresight and warning. Dr. Lavoix has lived and worked in five countries, conducted missions in 16 others, and trained high-level officers around the world, for example in Singapore and as part of European programs in Tunisia and Jordan. She has been a lecturer (Master level) and taught the methodology and practice of strategic foresight and early warning in prestigious institutions such as the RSIS in Singapore, SciencesPo-PSIA in France, the Ecole Sup\u00e9rieure des Forces de S\u00e9curit\u00e9 Int\u00e9rieure in Tunisia and the ENA Tunis, Institute of Leadership. She regularly publishes on geopolitical issues, supply and uranium security, artificial intelligence, the international order, China\u2019s rise and other international security topics. Committed to the continuous improvement of foresight and warning methodologies, Dr. Lavoix combines academic expertise and field experience to anticipate the global challenges of tomorrow.\",\"sameAs\":[\"https:\\\/\\\/redanalysis.org\",\"https:\\\/\\\/x.com\\\/HLavoix\"],\"url\":\"https:\\\/\\\/redanalysis.org\\\/zh\\\/author\\\/helenelavoix-2-2-2-2-2-2-2-2-2-2-2-2-2-2-2-2-2-2-3\\\/\"}]}<\/script>\n<!-- \/ Yoast SEO plugin. -->","yoast_head_json":{"title":"\u300aRed Team Analysis Weekly 146\u2014\u2014\u5347\u7ea7\u7684\u6848\u4f8b\u7814\u7a76\uff1a\u5317\u7ea6\u3001\u7f8e\u56fd\u4e0e\u4fc4\u7f57\u65af\u300b\u2022 \u300aRed Team Analysis Society\u300b","robots":{"index":"index","follow":"follow","max-snippet":"max-snippet:-1","max-image-preview":"max-image-preview:large","max-video-preview":"max-video-preview:-1"},"canonical":"https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/zh\/2014\/04\/03\/\u7ea2\u961f-\u5206\u6790-\u5468\u62a5-146-\u6848\u4f8b\u7814\u7a76-\u5347\u7ea7\u7248-\u7f8e\u56fd-\u4fc4\u7f57\u65af\/","og_locale":"zh_CN","og_type":"article","og_title":"The Red Team Analysis Weekly 146 - A case study in escalation: NATO, the U.S. and Russia &#8226; The Red Team Analysis Society","og_description":"Editorial \u2013 A case study in escalation: NATO, the U.S. and Russia. If we very coldly look at how the situation is evolving between NATO, the U.S. and Russia, then it seems undeniable that we are in the case of a serious escalation, which is also getting larger and deeper. The hope for de-escalation the &hellip; \u7ee7\u7eed\u9605\u8bfb\u201cThe Red Team Analysis Weekly 146 &#8211; A case study in escalation: NATO, the U.S. and Russia\u201dThis content is restricted to members only. Please log in or become a member to gain access.","og_url":"https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/zh\/2014\/04\/03\/\u7ea2\u961f-\u5206\u6790-\u5468\u62a5-146-\u6848\u4f8b\u7814\u7a76-\u5347\u7ea7\u7248-\u7f8e\u56fd-\u4fc4\u7f57\u65af\/","og_site_name":"The Red Team Analysis Society","article_publisher":"https:\/\/www.facebook.com\/pages\/Red-Team-Analysis\/341280995886057","article_published_time":"2014-04-03T15:26:35+00:00","article_modified_time":"2023-04-14T08:11:14+00:00","og_image":[{"width":672,"height":372,"url":"https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2014\/04\/41d4b9a746610cfef4f8-2014.jpeg","type":"image\/jpeg"}],"author":"Dr Helene Lavoix (MSc PhD Lond)","twitter_card":"summary_large_image","twitter_creator":"@HLavoix","twitter_site":"@HLavoix","twitter_misc":{"\u4f5c\u8005":"Dr Helene Lavoix (MSc PhD Lond)","\u9884\u8ba1\u9605\u8bfb\u65f6\u95f4":"3 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