{"id":7001,"date":"2014-04-14T11:32:23","date_gmt":"2014-04-14T09:32:23","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.redanalysis.org\/?p=7001"},"modified":"2021-10-07T20:35:08","modified_gmt":"2021-10-07T18:35:08","slug":"%e5%9f%83%e5%8f%8a-%e6%b0%94%e5%80%99%e5%8f%98%e5%8c%96%e5%92%8c%e9%95%bf%e6%9c%9f%e7%9a%84%e8%b5%84%e6%ba%90-%e5%86%85%e6%88%98","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/zh\/2014\/04\/14\/egypt-climate-change-and-the-long-resource-civil-warfare\/","title":{"rendered":"\u57c3\u53ca\u3001\u6c14\u5019\u53d8\u5316\u548c\u957f\u671f\u7684\u8d44\u6e90\u5185\u6218"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>\u81ea2011\u5e741\u6708 \"\u963f\u62c9\u4f2f\u4e4b\u6625 \"\u5230\u8fbe\u57c3\u53ca\u4ee5\u6765\uff0c\u653f\u6cbb\u5c40\u52bf\u6f14\u53d8\u5f97\u76f8\u5f53\u5feb\uff08Georges Corm\uff0cLe Proche-Orient \u00e9clat\u00e9\uff0c2012\uff09\u3002\u8bb8\u591a\u89c2\u5bdf\u5bb6\u5206\u6790\u8bf4\uff0c\u57c3\u53ca\u7684\u653f\u6cbb\u683c\u5c40\u662f\u519b\u961f\u3001\u7a46\u65af\u6797\u5144\u5f1f\u4f1a\u548c\u8d8a\u6765\u8d8a\u591a\u60f3\u8981\u4f53\u9a8c\u6c11\u4e3b\u7684\u4eba\u4e4b\u95f4\u7684\u6218\u573a\uff0c\u800c\u6574\u4e2a\u5c40\u52bf\u6b63\u88ab\u975e\u5e38\u9000\u5316\u7684\u7ecf\u6d4e\u5f62\u52bf\u6240\u538b\u5236\uff08Seumas Milne, The Revenge of History, 2013\uff09\u3002\u6b64\u5916\uff0c\u8fd9\u4e9b\u4e0d\u540c\u7684\u884c\u4e3a\u8005\u6b63\u5728\u53c2\u4e0e\u963f\u62c9\u4f2f\u56fd\u5bb6\u4e4b\u95f4\u7684\u653f\u6cbb\u7d27\u5f20\u5c40\u52bf\uff0c\u7279\u522b\u662f\u5361\u5854\u5c14\u548c\u6c99\u7279\u963f\u62c9\u4f2f\uff0c\u4ee5\u53ca\u8fd9\u4e9b\u56fd\u5bb6\u4e0e\u7f8e\u56fd\u4e4b\u95f4\u7684\u7d27\u5f20\u5c40\u52bf\uff08Corm\uff0c\u540c\u4e0a\uff09\u3002\u57c3\u53ca\u5728\u4e2d\u4e1c\u3001\u975e\u6d32\u4ee5\u53ca\u56fd\u9645\u548c\u5168\u7403\u5c42\u9762\u90fd\u6709\u5de8\u5927\u7684\u653f\u6cbb\u91cd\u8981\u6027\u3002\u81ea\u53e4\u4ee5\u6765\uff0c\u8fd9\u4e2a\u975e\u5e38\u72ec\u7279\u7684 ... <\/p>\n<p class=\"link-more\"><a href=\"https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/zh\/2014\/04\/14\/egypt-climate-change-and-the-long-resource-civil-warfare\/\" class=\"more-link\">\u7ee7\u7eed\u9605\u8bfb<span class=\"screen-reader-text\">\"\u57c3\u53ca\u3001\u6c14\u5019\u53d8\u5316\u548c\u957f\u671f\u8d44\u6e90\u5185\u6218\"<\/span><\/a><\/p>\n \t\t<div class=\"woocommerce\">\n\t\t\t<div class=\"woocommerce-info wc-memberships-restriction-message wc-memberships-message wc-memberships-content-restricted-message\">\n\t\t\t\t<p>\u672c\u6587\u7684\u5269\u4f59\u90e8\u5206\u662f\u4e3a\u6211\u4eec\u7684 <a style=\"color: #fff\" href=\"https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/zh\/%e4%ba%a7%e5%93%81\/%e6%88%90%e5%91%98-2\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">\u6210\u5458<\/a>. .\u786e\u4fdd\u60a8\u6536\u5230\u7684\u662f\u771f\u5b9e\u7684\u5206\u6790\uff0c\u800c\u4e0d\u662f\u89c2\u70b9\uff0c\u6216\u8005\u66f4\u7cdf\u7cd5\u7684\u5047\u65b0\u95fb\u3002. <a style=\"color: #fff\" href=\"https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/zh\/my-account\/?wcm_redirect_to=post&amp;wcm_redirect_id=7001\">\u767b\u5f55<\/a> \u5e76\u8bbf\u95ee\u8fd9\u7bc7\u6587\u7ae0\u3002<\/p>\t\t    <\/div>\n\t\t<\/div>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>\u81ea2011\u5e741\u6708 \"\u963f\u62c9\u4f2f\u4e4b\u6625 \"\u5230\u8fbe\u57c3\u53ca\u4ee5\u6765\uff0c\u653f\u6cbb\u5c40\u52bf\u6f14\u53d8\u5f97\u76f8\u5f53\u5feb\uff08Georges Corm\uff0cLe Proche-Orient \u00e9clat\u00e9\uff0c2012\uff09\u3002\u8bb8\u591a\u89c2\u5bdf\u5bb6\u5206\u6790\u8bf4\uff0c\u57c3\u53ca\u7684\u653f\u6cbb\u683c\u5c40\u662f\u519b\u961f\u3001\u7a46\u65af\u6797\u5144\u5f1f\u4f1a\u548c\u8d8a\u6765\u8d8a\u591a\u60f3\u8981\u4f53\u9a8c\u6c11\u4e3b\u7684\u4eba\u4e4b\u95f4\u7684\u6218\u573a\uff0c\u800c\u6574\u4e2a\u5c40\u52bf\u6b63\u88ab\u975e\u5e38\u9000\u5316\u7684\u7ecf\u6d4e\u5f62\u52bf\u6240\u538b\u5236\uff08Seumas Milne, The Revenge of History, 2013\uff09\u3002\u6b64\u5916\uff0c\u8fd9\u4e9b\u4e0d\u540c\u7684\u884c\u4e3a\u8005\u6b63\u5728\u53c2\u4e0e\u963f\u62c9\u4f2f\u56fd\u5bb6\u4e4b\u95f4\u7684\u653f\u6cbb\u7d27\u5f20\u5c40\u52bf\uff0c\u7279\u522b\u662f\u5361\u5854\u5c14\u548c\u6c99\u7279\u963f\u62c9\u4f2f\uff0c\u4ee5\u53ca\u8fd9\u4e9b\u56fd\u5bb6\u4e0e\u7f8e\u56fd\u4e4b\u95f4\u7684\u7d27\u5f20\u5c40\u52bf\uff08Corm\uff0c\u540c\u4e0a\uff09\u3002\u57c3\u53ca\u5728\u4e2d\u4e1c\u3001\u975e\u6d32\u4ee5\u53ca\u56fd\u9645\u548c\u5168\u7403\u5c42\u9762\u90fd\u6709\u5de8\u5927\u7684\u653f\u6cbb\u91cd\u8981\u6027\u3002\u81ea\u53e4\u4ee5\u6765\uff0c\u8fd9\u4e2a\u975e\u5e38\u72ec\u7279\u7684 ... <\/p>\n<p class=\"link-more\"><a href=\"https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/zh\/2014\/04\/14\/egypt-climate-change-and-the-long-resource-civil-warfare\/\" class=\"more-link\">\u7ee7\u7eed\u9605\u8bfb<span class=\"screen-reader-text\">\"\u57c3\u53ca\u3001\u6c14\u5019\u53d8\u5316\u548c\u957f\u671f\u8d44\u6e90\u5185\u6218\"<\/span><\/a><\/p>\n<div class=\"woocommerce\">\n<div class=\"woocommerce-info wc-memberships-restriction-message wc-memberships-message wc-memberships-content-restricted-message\">\n<p>\u672c\u6587\u7684\u5269\u4f59\u90e8\u5206\u662f\u4e3a\u6211\u4eec\u7684 <a style=\"color: #fff\" href=\"https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/zh\/%e4%ba%a7%e5%93%81\/%e6%88%90%e5%91%98-2\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">\u6210\u5458<\/a>. .\u786e\u4fdd\u60a8\u6536\u5230\u7684\u662f\u771f\u5b9e\u7684\u5206\u6790\uff0c\u800c\u4e0d\u662f\u89c2\u70b9\uff0c\u6216\u8005\u66f4\u7cdf\u7cd5\u7684\u5047\u65b0\u95fb\u3002. <a style=\"color: #fff\" href=\"https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/zh\/my-account\/?wcm_redirect_to=post&amp;wcm_redirect_id=7001\">\u767b\u5f55<\/a> \u5e76\u8bbf\u95ee\u8fd9\u7bc7\u6587\u7ae0\u3002<\/p>\n<\/p><\/div>\n<\/p><\/div>","protected":false},"author":20,"featured_media":7020,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_jetpack_feature_clip_id":0,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[1335,1722,2499],"tags":[1085,1875,289,1872,721,1789,1874,1367,1873,1418,358,1870],"class_list":["post-7001","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-energy-security","category-environmental-geostrategy","category-middle-east-and-north-africa","tag-air","tag-attacks","tag-egypt","tag-electricity-supply","tag-energy-security","tag-featured","tag-heat","tag-modernity","tag-norm","tag-pipeline","tag-terrorism","tag-way-of-life","membership-content","access-restricted","entry"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v28.8 - 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