{"id":7651,"date":"2014-06-26T17:54:34","date_gmt":"2014-06-26T15:54:34","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.redanalysis.org\/?p=7651"},"modified":"2021-10-01T19:12:22","modified_gmt":"2021-10-01T17:12:22","slug":"%e7%ba%a2%e9%98%9f-%e5%88%86%e6%9e%90-%e5%91%a8%e6%8a%a5-158","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/zh\/2014\/06\/26\/red-team-analysis-weekly-158\/","title":{"rendered":"\u7ea2\u8272\uff08\u5c0f\u7ec4\uff09\u5206\u6790\u5468\u520a158--\u5409\u5c14\u66fc\u7684\u8d22\u9600\u72af\u7f6a\u53db\u4e71\u548c\u6218\u4e89"},"content":{"rendered":"<p style=\"text-align: justify;\">\u793e\u8bba-- <strong>\u5409\u5c14\u66fc\u7684\u8d22\u9600\u72af\u7f6a\u53db\u4e71\u548c\u5f53\u524d\u6218\u4e89<\/strong> - \u6211\u4eec\u4e00\u76f4\u5728\u76d1\u6d4b\u548c\u5206\u6790\u5982\u4f55 <a href=\"https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/zh\/-3\/sfw-%e7%ac%ac-2-%e6%9c%9f\/%e6%96%b0%e8%8c%83%e5%bc%8f\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">\u76ee\u524d\u7684\u6a21\u5f0f\u6b63\u5728\u53d1\u751f\u53d8\u5316<\/a>\uff0c\u540c\u65f6\u60f3\u77e5\u9053\u4ec0\u4e48\u53ef\u80fd\u662f <a href=\"https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/zh\/portal-to-the-chronicles-of-everstate\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">\u653f\u6cbb\u5f53\u5c40\u7684\u672a\u6765<\/a>\u5982\u679c\u6211\u4eec\u8981\u63d0\u4f9b\u76f8\u5173\u7684\u6218\u7565\u8fdc\u89c1\u548c\u8b66\u544a\u5206\u6790\uff0c\u8fd9\u4e24\u4e2a\u56e0\u7d20\u90fd\u662f\u7edd\u5bf9\u5173\u952e\u7684\u3002\u5728\u8fd9\u4e00\u6846\u67b6\u4e0b\uff0c\u52a0\u5dde\u5927\u5b66\u4f2f\u514b\u5229\u5206\u6821\u526f\u6821\u957f\u5c3c\u5c14\u65af-\u5409\u5c14\u66fc\u7684\u6587\u7ae0\"\"\u3002<a href=\"http:\/\/www.the-american-interest.com\/articles\/2014\/06\/15\/the-twin-insurgency\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">\u53cc\u80de\u80ce\u53db\u4e71<\/a>\u201d (<em>\u7f8e\u56fd\u7684\u5229\u76ca<\/em>)\u662f\u4e00\u672c\u7edd\u5bf9\u5fc5\u8bfb\u7684\u4e66\u3002\u4e8b\u5b9e\u4e0a\uff0c\u5409\u5c14\u66fc\u4ee5\u4ee4\u4eba\u4fe1\u670d\u7684\u9ad8\u8d85\u8bba\u8bc1\uff0c\u5c06\u8bb8\u591a\u4e0d\u540c\u7684\u5143\u7d20--\u6216\u4fe1\u53f7--\u6c47\u96c6\u5728\u4e00\u8d77\uff0c\u52a8\u6001\u5730\u3001\u5386\u53f2\u5730\u89e3\u91ca\u4e86 \"\u793e\u4f1a\u4e3b\u4e49\u73b0\u4ee3\u56fd\u5bb6\"\uff0c\u5373\u6211\u4eec\u57281945\u5e74\u81f31970\u5e74\u4ee3\u671f\u95f4\u6240\u77e5\u9053\u7684\u73b0\u4ee3\u6c11\u65cf\u56fd\u5bb6\u7684\u8fd9\u79cd\u7279\u5b9a\u5f62\u5f0f\uff0c\u662f\u5982\u4f55\u5728 \"\u53cc\u5b50\u53db\u4e71 \"\u7684\u653b\u51fb\u4e0b\u6d88\u5931\u7684\uff1a\u4e00\u4e2a\u72af\u7f6a\u53db\u4e71\uff0c\u6216\u8005\u8bf4\u76f8\u5173\u72af\u7f6a\u53db\u4e71\uff0c\u4ece\u4e0b\u9762\u653b\u51fb\u56fd\u5bb6\uff0c\u800c\u4e00\u4e2a\u8d22\u9600\u53db\u4e71\u5219\u4ece\u4e0a\u9762\u5bc4\u751f\u548c\u7834\u574f\u56fd\u5bb6\u3002<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\">\u7136\u800c\uff0c\u5c3d\u7ba1\u4ed6\u7684\u7406\u8bba\u5f88\u6709\u542f\u53d1\u6027\uff0c\u4f46\u5c31\u4e16\u754c\u4e0a\u7684\u5927\u90e8\u5206\u5730\u533a\u800c\u8a00\uff0c\u6211\u4eec\u8fd8\u662f\u53ef\u4ee5\u5bf9\u4ee5\u4e0b\u60c5\u51b5\u63d0\u51fa\u8d28\u7591\u3002<\/p>\n<blockquote>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\">\"......\u7531\u4e8e\u793e\u4f1a\u73b0\u4ee3\u4e3b\u4e49\u56fd\u5bb6\u672a\u80fd\u5b9e\u73b0\u5176\u627f\u8bfa\uff0c\u6e34\u671b\u8fdb\u884c\u5168\u56fd\u6027\u7684\u96c6\u4f53\u793e\u4f1a\u6539\u9769\u9879\u76ee\u7684\u9769\u547d\u6982\u5ff5\u672c\u8eab\u5df2\u7ecf\u663e\u5f97\u8fc7\u65f6\u4e86\u3002(\u5f53\u7136\uff0c\u90a3\u4e9b\u8bd5\u56fe\u63a5\u7ba1\u6216\u5f15\u5bfc\u56fd\u5bb6\u8fdb\u884c\u793e\u4f1a\u6539\u9769\u9879\u76ee\u7684\u53cd\u53db\u8005\u4ecd\u7136\u5b58\u5728\u3002\u9a6c\u514b\u601d\u4e3b\u4e49\u8fd0\u52a8\uff0c\u5982\u58a8\u897f\u54e5\u7684Zapatistas\u6216\u5370\u5ea6\u7684Naxalites\uff0c\u4f0a\u65af\u5170\u8fd0\u52a8\uff0c\u5982\u7d22\u9a6c\u91cc\u7684\u9752\u5e74\u515a\u548c\u83f2\u5f8b\u5bbe\u7684\u6469\u6d1b\u4eba\u53db\u4e71\u3002\u4f46\u8fd9\u4e9b\u90fd\u53ef\u4ee5\u8bf4\u662f\u4e0d\u5408\u65f6\u5b9c\u7684\u73b0\u8c61\uff09\"\u3002<\/p>\n<\/blockquote>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\">\u4f8b\u5982\uff0c\u9274\u4e8e\u53d9\u5229\u4e9a\u7684\u6301\u4e45\u548c\u533a\u57df\u5316\u6218\u4e89\u3001\u4f0a\u62c9\u514b\u7684\u91cd\u65b0\u5f00\u6218\uff0c\u7279\u522b\u662fISIS\u7684\u8fdb\u5c55\u548c\u76ee\u6807\uff0c\u66f4\u4e3b\u8981\u7684\u662f\u5927\u4e2d\u4e1c\u5730\u533a\u7684\u53d8\u5316\uff0c\u6211\u4eec\u80fd\u771f\u6b63\u4f30\u8ba1\u5230\u8fd9\u4e9b\u8fd0\u52a8\u5df2\u7ecf\u8fc7\u65f6\u4e86\u5417\uff1f<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\">\u8ba4\u8bc6\u5230\u5b83\u4eec\u7684\u91cd\u8981\u6027\u548c\u540c\u65f6\u4ee3\u6027\u5e76\u4e0d\u610f\u5473\u7740\u5409\u5c14\u66fc\u7684\u7406\u8bba\u88ab\u63a8\u7ffb\uff0c\u5fc5\u987b\u88ab\u629b\u5f03\u3002\u76f8\u53cd\uff0c\u6211\u4eec\u53ef\u4ee5\u5728\u540e\u8005\u7684\u57fa\u7840\u4e0a\uff0c\u5c1d\u8bd5\u7406\u89e3\u5f53\u524d\u7684\u5404\u79cd\u51b2\u7a81\u548c\u6218\u4e89--\u5b9e\u9645\u7684\u548c\u6f5c\u5728\u7684--\u5e76\u5728\u56e0 \"\u53cc\u5b50\u53db\u4e71 \"\u800c\u53d1\u751f\u7684\u7cfb\u7edf\u6027\u51b2\u7a81\u7684\u6846\u67b6\u5185\u770b\u5f85\u5b83\u4eec\u3002\u6362\u53e5\u8bdd\u8bf4\uff0c\u5728 \"\u53cc\u5b50\u53db\u4e71 \"\u8fdb\u5c55\u7684\u540c\u65f6\uff0c\u5b83\u4fc3\u8fdb\u4e86\u4e00\u4e2a\u65b0\u7684\u6f5c\u5728\u4e16\u754c\u79e9\u5e8f\u7684\u51fa\u73b0\uff0c\u800c\u8fd9\u4e00\u79e9\u5e8f\u53d7\u5230\u4e86\u62b5\u5236\u3002\u5b83\u4e4b\u6240\u4ee5\u88ab\u62b5\u5236\uff0c\u662f\u56e0\u4e3a\u65b0\u7684\u8d22\u9600\u548c\u72af\u7f6a\u79e9\u5e8f\u7684\u8f7d\u4f53\u662f\u88ab\u5bc4\u751f\u7684\u73b0\u4ee3\u4e3b\u4e49\u56fd\u5bb6\u3002\u4e8b\u5b9e\u4e0a\uff0c\u8fd9\u4e9b\u56fd\u5bb6\u7684\u884c\u52a8\u662f\u6b21\u4f18\u7684\uff0c\u56e0\u4e3a\u5b83\u4eec\u88ab \"\u53cc\u5b50\u53db\u4e71 \"\u6240\u7834\u574f\u548c\u5bc4\u751f\uff0c\u5b83\u4eec\u5f15\u8d77\u4e86\u4e0d\u5229\u7684\u53cd\u5e94\uff0c\u4ece\u800c\u62d2\u7edd\u4e86\u65b0\u7684\u8d22\u9600-\u72af\u7f6a\u79e9\u5e8f\u3002\u6839\u636e\u5404\u79cd\u56e0\u7d20\uff0c\u521b\u9020\u4e86\u4e0d\u5c5e\u4e8e\u8d22\u9600-\u72af\u7f6a\u79e9\u5e8f\u7684\u65b0\u7684\u524d\u8fdb\u65b9\u5f0f\u3002\u7136\u540e\uff0c\u8fd9\u4e9b\u4e0d\u540c\u7684\u79e9\u5e8f\u5728\u7cfb\u7edf\u5c42\u9762\u4e0a\u53d1\u751f\u51b2\u7a81\uff0c\u5e76\u4f34\u968f\u7740\u5728\u4e0d\u540c\u5c42\u9762\u548c\u4e0d\u540c\u884c\u4e3a\u8005\u4e4b\u95f4\u7684\u4e00\u7cfb\u5217\u51b2\u7a81\u3002  \u5047\u8bbe\u8fd9\u4e9b\u60f3\u6cd5\u662f\u6b63\u786e\u7684\uff0c\u6211\u4eec\u53ef\u80fd\u5904\u4e8e\u4e00\u4e2a\u8fc7\u6e21\u9636\u6bb5\uff0c\u76f4\u5230\u627e\u5230\u4e00\u4e2a\u65b0\u7684\u5e73\u8861\u3002\u4e4d\u4e00\u770b\uff0c\u4f8b\u5982\u65b0\u51b7\u6218\u3001\u4e4c\u514b\u5170\u51b2\u7a81\u3001\u963f\u62c9\u4f2f\u4e4b\u6625\u3001ISIS\u7684\u5d1b\u8d77\u3001\u5927\u4e2d\u4e1c\u5730\u533a\u4e0d\u65ad\u6f14\u53d8\u7684\u56fd\u9645\u5173\u7cfb\u7b49\u7b49\uff0c\u4f3c\u4e4e\u90fd\u5f88\u7b26\u5408\u5409\u5c14\u66fc\u7684\u8fd9\u4e2a \"\u653e\u5927 \"\u7406\u8bba\u3002<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\">\u4e25\u5cfb\u7684\u662f\uff0c\u5409\u5c14\u66fc\u7684\u7ed3\u8bba\u662f\uff0c\u65b0\u79e9\u5e8f\u4e2d\u7684 \"\u6700\u7ec8\u5931\u8d25\u8005\"\u3002<\/p>\n<blockquote>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\">\"\u4e2d\u4ea7\u9636\u7ea7\u4e2d\u7684\u4e2a\u4eba\u53ef\u80fd\u8d8a\u6765\u8d8a\u591a\u5730\u9762\u4e34\u4e00\u4e2a\u9009\u62e9\uff1a\u63a5\u53d7\u9010\u6e10\u4e27\u5931\u7684\u793e\u4f1a\u4fdd\u969c\u548c\u4e8b\u5b9e\u4e0a\u7684\u793e\u4f1a\u9000\u5316\uff0c\u6216\u8005\u52a0\u5165\u4e24\u4e2a\u53db\u4e71\u4e2d\u7684\u4e00\u4e2a\u3002\"<\/p>\n<\/blockquote>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\">\u5047\u8bbe\u6211\u4eec\u7a0d\u5fae\u4fee\u6b63\u4e86\u4ed6\u7684\u7406\u8bba\u7684\u65b9\u5f0f\u662f\u6b63\u786e\u7684\uff0c\u90a3\u4e48\u8fd9\u5c06\u610f\u5473\u7740\u8fd9\u4e9b\u4e2a\u4eba\u4e5f\u53ef\u4ee5\u6709\u4e00\u4e2a\u8865\u5145\u9009\u62e9\uff1a\u4ed6\u4eec\u53ef\u4ee5\u52a0\u5165\u3001\u4fc3\u8fdb\u6216\u8d21\u732e\u4e8e\u521b\u5efa\u4e00\u4e2a\u65b0\u5174\u7684\u66ff\u4ee3\u8d22\u9600\u548c\u72af\u7f6a\u79e9\u5e8f\u7684\u65b9\u6848\uff0c\u7136\u800c\u6ca1\u6709\u4efb\u4f55\u6210\u529f\u7684\u4fdd\u8bc1\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u70b9\u51fb\u4e0b\u9762\u7684\u56fe\u7247\uff0c\u9605\u8bfb\u672c\u5468\u520a<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/paper.li\/HLavoix\/1323337992?edition_id=ef1c0970-fd06-11e3-aff4-00259071bfed\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"aligncenter wp-image-7658 size-full\" title=\"\u7ea2\u961f\u5206\u6790\u5468\u520a158--\u5409\u5c14\u66fc\u7684\u8d22\u9600\u72af\u7f6a\u53db\u4e71\u548c\u5f53\u524d\u7684\u6218\u4e89\" src=\"https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2014\/06\/RTAS-158.jpg\" alt=\"\u8d22\u9600\u5f0f\u72af\u7f6a\u53db\u4e71\" width=\"550\" height=\"441\" srcset=\"https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2014\/06\/RTAS-158.jpg 550w, https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2014\/06\/RTAS-158-250x200.jpg 250w, https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2014\/06\/RTAS-158-300x240.jpg 300w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 550px) 100vw, 550px\" \/><\/a><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\">\u7279\u8272\u56fe\u7247\u3002 <span style=\"color: #252525;\">\u4e24\u540d\u6765\u81ea\u4f0a\u62c9\u514b\u5317\u90e8\u7684\u4f0a\u62c9\u514b\u6b66\u88c5\u53db\u4e71\u5206\u5b50\uff0c\u5c5e\u4e8e\u4e00\u4e2a\u6d3e\u522b\u3002\u00a0<\/span><a class=\"extiw\" style=\"color: #663366;\" title=\"w:\u4f0a\u62c9\u514b\u53db\u4e71\" href=\"http:\/\/en.wikipedia.org\/wiki\/Iraqi_insurgency\">\u4f0a\u62c9\u514b\u53db\u4e71<\/a><span style=\"color: #252525;\">\u5bf9\u7f8e\u56fd\u548c\u8054\u519b\u8fdb\u884c\u653b\u51fb\u3002\u4f5c\u8005\uff1aMenendj (http:\/\/ar.wikipedia.org\/) <a href=\"http:\/\/creativecommons.org\/licenses\/by-sa\/2.5\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">CC-BY-SA-2.5<\/a>\uff0c\u901a\u8fc7\u7ef4\u57fa\u5171\u4eab\u8d44\u6e90\u3002<\/span><\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>\u793e\u8bba--\u5409\u5c14\u66fc\u7684\u300a\u8d22\u9600\u72af\u7f6a\u53db\u4e71\u4e0e\u5f53\u524d\u6218\u4e89\u300b--\u6211\u4eec\u4e00\u76f4\u5728\u76d1\u6d4b\u548c\u5206\u6790\u5f53\u524d\u7684\u8303\u5f0f\u662f\u5982\u4f55\u8f6c\u53d8\u7684\uff0c\u540c\u65f6\u60f3\u77e5\u9053\u653f\u6cbb\u5f53\u5c40\u7684\u672a\u6765\u53ef\u80fd\u662f\u4ec0\u4e48\uff0c\u5982\u679c\u6211\u4eec\u8981\u63d0\u4f9b\u4e2d\u80af\u7684\u6218\u7565\u9884\u89c1\u548c\u8b66\u544a\u5206\u6790\uff0c\u8fd9\u4e24\u4e2a\u8981\u7d20\u7edd\u5bf9\u662f\u5173\u952e\u3002\u5728\u8fd9\u4e00\u6846\u67b6\u4e0b\uff0c\u7f8e\u56fd\u5927\u5b66\u526f\u6821\u957f\u5c3c\u5c14\u65af-\u5409\u5c14\u66fc(Nils Gilman)\u7684\u6587\u7ae0...\u3002 <\/p>\n<p class=\"link-more\"><a href=\"https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/zh\/2014\/06\/26\/red-team-analysis-weekly-158\/\" class=\"more-link\">\u7ee7\u7eed\u9605\u8bfb<span class=\"screen-reader-text\">\"\u7ea2\u8272\uff08\u56e2\u961f\uff09\u5206\u6790\u5468\u62a5\u7b2c 158 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This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v28.7 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>The Red (Team) Analysis Weekly 158 - Gilman&#039;s Plutocratic Criminal Insurgency and War &#8226; The Red Team Analysis Society<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Revisiting Gilman&#039;s theory of a plutocratic criminal insurgency parasitizing the state may contribute to explain current wars, from Iraq to Ukraine.\" \/>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/zh\/2014\/06\/26\/\u7ea2\u961f-\u5206\u6790-\u5468\u62a5-158\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"zh_CN\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"The Red (Team) Analysis Weekly 158 - Gilman&#039;s Plutocratic Criminal Insurgency and War &#8226; The Red Team Analysis Society\" \/>\n<meta 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