{"id":11572,"date":"2016-03-25T13:15:20","date_gmt":"2016-03-25T12:15:20","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.redanalysis.org\/?post_type=product&#038;p=11572"},"modified":"2023-12-13T18:08:50","modified_gmt":"2023-12-13T17:08:50","slug":"%e8%af%be%e7%a8%8b-%e5%85%a8%e7%90%83%e9%a3%8e%e9%99%a9%e5%88%86%e6%9e%90-%e5%88%86%e6%9e%90%e6%a8%a1%e5%9e%8b","status":"publish","type":"product","link":"https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/zh\/product\/course-global-risk-analysis-analytical-model\/","title":{"rendered":"\u5728\u7ebf\u8bfe\u7a0b - \u5730\u7f18\u653f\u6cbb\u98ce\u9669\u548c\u5371\u673a\u9884\u6d4b\u3002\u5206\u6790\u6a21\u578b"},"content":{"rendered":"<h3 style=\"text-align: center;\">From Process to Creating your Analytical Model for Strategic Foresight and Warning, Early Warning, Risk Management and Scenario-building<\/h3>\r\n<p style=\"text-align: left;\">With this course you will enhance your practical skills to anticipate global risks, geostrategic and geopolitical risk and crisis, instability, war, international and national political and security threats, including pandemics, and opportunities, in a rapidly evolving world environment (see <a href=\"#modules\">detailed modules<\/a> below).\u00a0It can and should be used to plan ahead for the COVID-19 pandemic.<\/p>\r\n<p style=\"text-align: left;\">You will learn to estimate impacts, even cascading and complex consequences. Meanwhile, you will be able to create best response strategies. And you will understand these issues even better. Download our brochure <a  data-e-Disable-Page-Transition=\"true\" class=\"dlm-download-link\" title=\"\" href=\"https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/zh\/download\/22324\/?tmstv=1794150518\" rel=\"nofollow\" id=\"download-link-22324\" data-redirect=\"false\" >\n\tTraining and Online Courses RTAS<\/a>\n (pdf).<\/p>\r\n<h3>Study according to your own rhythm and needs<\/h3>\r\n\r\n<figure class=\"wp-block-table is-style-stripes\">\r\n<table>\r\n<tbody>\r\n<tr>\r\n<td>\r\n<h4>Intensive training<\/h4>\r\n<\/td>\r\n<td>\r\n<h4>Peaceful pace<\/h4>\r\n<\/td>\r\n<\/tr>\r\n<tr>\r\n<td>What you need is an intensive crash course to be operational as quickly as possible?<\/td>\r\n<td>Do you prefer to train peacefully, taking the time to read, practice and reflect?<\/td>\r\n<\/tr>\r\n<tr>\r\n<td>Then take the course according to your own intensive schedule.<\/td>\r\n<td>Then take the course according to your own preferred pace.<\/td>\r\n<\/tr>\r\n<tr>\r\n<td><strong>Some trainees could complete the course in three days. <\/strong><\/td>\r\n<td><strong>You can complete the whole course in 10 to 15 weeks, on average.<\/strong><\/td>\r\n<\/tr>\r\n<tr>\r\n<td>In that case we advise you nonetheless to quickly skim through the readings. We explain how to do that if you are not familiar with the process. You will go back to the readings in the bibliography, later, as you have time. You will be able to access the course for the whole length of your enrolment anyway.<\/td>\r\n<td>You can plan to do one to two units per week. This will give you the time to read peacefully as much as you can. You will thus give yourself the time to quietly practice with the exercices. You will deeply assimilate knowledge and understanding.<\/td>\r\n<\/tr>\r\n<\/tbody>\r\n<\/table>\r\n<\/figure>\r\n\r\n<h3>The course in a few words<\/h3>\r\n<p>The course is focused on analysis. You will practically develop, step by step, your anticipatory analytical skills to tackle complex geopolitical , political and global issues. You will then be able to use this practice with most strategic foresight and warning, risk management and anticipatory methodologies (see <a href=\"#delivery\">how is the course delivered?<\/a> and <a href=\"#input\">your input as an active leaner<\/a>\u00a0below). You will notably learn to properly map an issue for strategic foresight, early warning and risk management.<\/p>\r\n<p>Including many practical examples and exercises from the real world,\u00a0the course is designed and taught specifically for analysts and their officers, to help them overcome\u00a0the many challenges they\u00a0face and develop further analytical excellence (see <a href=\"#teaching\">teaching and training<\/a> below).\u00a0<\/p>\r\n<p>The course will be of interest to\u00a0all those who desire to acquire fundamental practical abilities\u00a0to anticipate strategically global, international and domestic political risks, threats and\u00a0also opportunities.<\/p>\r\n<p>This course is the first of our training programme on strategic foresight and warning and risk management. The <a href=\"https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/online-course-geopolitical-risk-and-crisis-anticipation-scenario-building\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">second online course<\/a> focuses on scenario-building.<strong> If you wish to enroll at once for the two courses (see <a href=\"https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/product\/online-courses-analytical-modeling-scenario-building\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">bundle<\/a>) you will get a 21.4% discount (on prices ex VAT) on the two courses and enjoy them over one year, instead of the six months planned for each course<\/strong>. Alternatively, if you prefer to register for the second course later, you will benefit of a 10% discount.<\/p>\r\n<p>Read reviews for the course <a href=\"https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/online-course-geopolitical-risk-and-crisis-anticipation-scenario-building\/#review\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">here<\/a>.<\/p>\r\n<p>To help individuals and students on a budget, we now offer the course also through instalment payment (for enrolment and for the detailed schedule see <a href=\"https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/product\/online-course-pay-per-instalment-geopolitical-risks-and-crisis-anticipation-analytical-model\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">here<\/a>).<\/p>\r\n<h4>With this course, you will notably<\/h4>\r\n<ol>\r\n<li>Review the fundamentals of &#8220;anticipation&#8221;: why foreseeing the future matters; which elements must be included; what is the overall process used;<\/li>\r\n<li>Identify many biases of various types &#8211; one of the major enemies of analysts and anticipation &#8211; and learn how to mitigate them;<\/li>\r\n<li>De-dramatise the idea of &#8220;models&#8221;, on the contrary, become an expert at modeling through a progressive, easy to follow, use of graphs (maps);<\/li>\r\n<li>Enhance your mastery in making dynamic political analysis;<\/li>\r\n<li>Learn to map properly any international and national security issue for anticipation analysis, making sure you are not getting ready &#8220;to fight the last war&#8221;.<\/li>\r\n<li>Use the mapping and the map to enhance your analyses as well as your early warning and be ready for scenario-building.<\/li>\r\n<\/ol>\r\n<h4>Watch a short presentation trailer<\/h4>\r\n<div align=\"center\"><iframe loading=\"lazy\" src=\"https:\/\/player.vimeo.com\/video\/171972590\" width=\"600\" height=\"338\" frameborder=\"0\" allowfullscreen=\"allowfullscreen\"><\/iframe><\/div>\r\n<div class=\"wp-caption-text\">Trailer Music from \u201cThe President\u2019s Own\u201d <a href=\"http:\/\/www.marineband.marines.mil\/Audio-Resources\/Educational-Series\/Music-of-Richard-Wagner\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">United States Marine Band<\/a> presents Siegfried\u2019s Funeral March (trans. Howard Bowlin) and Finale (trans. Col. John Bourgeois) from Richard Wagner\u2019s opera \u201cG\u00f6tterd\u00e4mmerung.\u201d Conducted by Col. John R. Bourgeois. From the album \u201cMusic of Richard Wagner,\u201d recorded in 1981. Public Domain: US Code Title 17, Chapter 1, Section 105 (17-U.S.C.\u00a7105)<\/div>\r\n<h3>Participants<\/h3>\r\n<h4>The course is principally designed for<\/h4>\r\n<ol>\r\n<li>Analysts and future analysts in issues related to crises, politics, international politics, security, defence, war, peacebuilding, etc.<\/li>\r\n<li>Risk, security, strategic foresight and warning officers.<\/li>\r\n<li>For small businesses and companies, CEOs and Directors in charge of the strategy, if they do not have a staff of analysts dealing with these issues.<\/li>\r\n<\/ol>\r\n<h4>For all actors concerned:<\/h4>\r\n<ol>\r\n<li>Private sector staff;<\/li>\r\n<li>Government officials;<\/li>\r\n<li>Staff of international organisations and NGOs;<\/li>\r\n<li>Military professionals;<\/li>\r\n<li>Intelligence professionals;<\/li>\r\n<li>Risk management professionals.<\/li>\r\n<\/ol>\r\n<h4>Corporate and Non-Profit Groups:<\/h4>\r\n<p>If you want to register a large number of participants, you can\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/about-2\/contact\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">contact us<\/a>.<\/p>\r\n<h3><a id=\"teaching\"><\/a>Teaching and Training<\/h3>\r\n<p>This course\u00a0is designed to benefit from the new <strong>online learning environment<\/strong>\u00a0while\u00a0remaining grounded in proper classical<strong> high-level<\/strong>\u00a0<strong>teaching academic credentials<\/strong>,\u00a0executive course training,\u00a0as well as\u00a0<strong>practical experience<\/strong>, including as analyst of international relations issues notably for anticipation\u00a0(check the <a href=\"https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">website<\/a> for many various examples\u00a0of analyses).<\/p>\r\n<h4><strong>Trainer<\/strong><\/h4>\r\n<p>Dr Helene Lavoix holds a PhD in international relations from the University of London, School of Oriental and African Studies <a href=\"https:\/\/www.soas.ac.uk\/politics\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">(SOAS<\/a>) (and a MSc with distinction in international politics of Asia, SOAS). She is an experienced and international lecturer. She currently teaches at Master level at the renown <a href=\"http:\/\/www.sciencespo.fr\/psia\/content\/helene-lavoix\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">SciencesPo &#8211; Paris School of International Affairs<\/a> (PSIA). Previously, she\u00a0taught at the RSIS, Nanyang University in Singapore, Master in Strategic Studies. She also trains executives, officials and analysts \u00a0either with tailor-designed training for public, corporate, and NGOs&#8217; clients or in dedicated programs (Brussels with Vesalius College, Geneva with the Geneva Center for Security Policy &#8211; GCSP &#8211; 2015). She has more than\u00a0twenty years practical experience as an analyst in international relations specialised over the last ten years\u00a0in strategic foresight and early warning. She is also fully acquainted with the various specificities of SF&amp;W and risk management, from analysis to the challenges met by officers through her work as international coordinator for the Global Futures Forum and, even more directly as Director of the Red (Team) Analysis Society. See full bio <a href=\"https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/about-2\/the-team\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">here<\/a>.<\/p>\r\n<h4>What They Say- Students and Participants &#8211; Find more reviews <a href=\"https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/online-course-geopolitical-risk-and-crisis-anticipation-scenario-building\/#review\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">here<\/a><\/h4>\r\n<blockquote>\r\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\"><a href=\"https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2016\/03\/ProfImage-Nicole-2.jpg\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"size-full wp-image-12131 alignright\" style=\"margin-right: 2px;\" src=\"https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2016\/03\/ProfImage-Nicole-2.jpg\" alt=\"ProfImage Nicole 2\" width=\"150\" height=\"150\" srcset=\"https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2016\/03\/ProfImage-Nicole-2.jpg 150w, https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2016\/03\/ProfImage-Nicole-2-100x100.jpg 100w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 150px) 100vw, 150px\" \/><\/a>&#8220;This course [Sciences-Po-PSIA Master] is one of the few that are actually useful, putting theory into\u00a0practice. I learned so much in the way of foresight and warning that I began to consider a viable career in risk analysis and crisis management.&#8221; <em><strong>Nicole Stroner<\/strong> (U.S. &#8211; Master student).<\/em><\/p>\r\n<\/blockquote>\r\n<h3 class=\"green-text\"><a id=\"delivery\"><\/a>How is the Course Delivered?<\/h3>\r\n<p>This course is\u00a0delivered through 14 units in 4 modules. As most trainees are professional and work, the course is planned to take 11 weeks to complete, as average, depending on participants. This means that you take the time to do most of the readings and to complete the exercises peacefully. You may, of course, set the pace for yourself, according to what interests you most and to your constraints, notably in terms of time. If you prefer an intensive and immersive way, skimming through the readings then you may be able to complete the whole course in 2 to 3 (full) days.<\/p>\r\n<h4>A training available 24\/7 for 6 full months<\/h4>\r\n<p><em>Nota: For instalments see the <a href=\"https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/product\/online-course-pay-per-instalment-geopolitical-risks-and-crisis-anticipation-analytical-model\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">specific schedule here.<\/a><\/em> You can benefit from access to the course\u00a0for 6 full months.\u00a0With\u00a0usual training, and even with webinars and online conferences, once you have finished your training, you only have your notes and your memories. Here you can go back to each unit and use it fully how often you want and need.<\/p>\r\n<h4>Adapted to the online environment<\/h4>\r\n<p>Each unit includes a &#8220;lecture&#8221; video or a software tutorial (11 lectures, 3 tutorials), created to consider the specificities of online learning.\u00a0Indeed, videos should not last more\u00a0than twenty minutes as the attention span is reduced on the internet compared with a classical setting. &#8220;Research has shown the most successful courses in terms of content retention and course completion run in the 15-20 minute range&#8221; (Randhir Vieira, <em>eLearn Magazine<\/em>, March 2014). Furthermore, shorter videos will allow for easier further\u00a0consultation in case of need. Finally, shorter videos also allow for watching them more easily considering busy schedules.<\/p>\r\n<h4>Active learning<\/h4>\r\n<p>Active learning, for each unit, has been sought to allow for a better learning and assimilation process.\u00a0<\/p>\r\n<p>We have thus created\u00a0exercises specifically for this online course, to allow for practice.\u00a0We have also designed and\u00a0incorporated tests.<\/p>\r\n<p>For most units, specific readings are provided in two categories.\u00a0You are\u00a0highly encouraged to read the &#8220;<strong>recommended<\/strong>&#8221; ones.\u00a0This reading is\u00a0considered as a full part of each unit&#8217;s learning process. The section &#8220;<strong>further readings<\/strong>&#8221; is provided as an option, should you seek to further develop this or that \u00a0aspect of the unit.<\/p>\r\n<p>Each unit (save those with software products tutorials)\u00a0ends with an\u00a0online interactive computer-marked assignment (a quiz).\u00a0This test not only allows you\u00a0to measure your\u00a0progress, but also makes you benefit from &#8220;the testing effect&#8221;, according to which &#8220;the effort of retrieving knowledge from memory facilitates learning&#8221; (Gauri, Reyes, <em>Mindflash<\/em>, 28 July 2014).<\/p>\r\n<p>Finally, successfully taking a test, means you have completed a unit. To complete all units is necessary to obtain the final certificate.<\/p>\r\n<h3><a id=\"input\"><\/a>Your input as an active learner and your schedule<\/h3>\r\n<h4>Your own pace<\/h4>\r\n<p>The great advantage of online course is that you may progress at your own pace. You may dedicate a variable amount of time to each unit according to previous understanding, interest and needs. Your input as an &#8220;active learner&#8221; per unit\u00a0can thus be\u00a0adapted according to <a href=\"https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2016\/03\/cell-training-3.jpg\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"size-large wp-image-18128 alignright\" src=\"https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2016\/03\/cell-training-3-1038x706.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"474\" height=\"322\" srcset=\"https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2016\/03\/cell-training-3-1038x706.jpg 1038w, https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2016\/03\/cell-training-3-250x170.jpg 250w, https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2016\/03\/cell-training-3-300x204.jpg 300w, https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2016\/03\/cell-training-3-768x522.jpg 768w, https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2016\/03\/cell-training-3-600x408.jpg 600w, https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2016\/03\/cell-training-3-1320x898.jpg 1320w, https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2016\/03\/cell-training-3.jpg 1500w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 474px) 100vw, 474px\" \/><\/a>your busy schedule and the depth of knowledge you wish to acquire. Software tutorials constitute two full units. You will then\u00a0use these software products in the framework of the exercises of\u00a0following units. Thanks to the principle of online courses, you will be able to watch the tutorials as often as you need and when necessary, while practicing. As a\u00a0result, you will develop an easy and stress-free mastery of these software products. Using them, with all the advantages they provide, will\u00a0become as easy and as natural as using a word processor.<\/p>\r\n<h4>Managing time<\/h4>\r\n<p>Some modicum of structure is also very helpful to frame an endeavour or, actually, any project. Furthermore, we are all very busy and\u00a0time flies. Online learning is set in circumstances\u00a0that\u00a0are very different from those to which we are all used with\u00a0classical training, when we physically go to a training session. In that case we have materially freed time to learn.<\/p>\r\n<h4>Sparing time<\/h4>\r\n<p>With online learning, you\u00a0spare transportation time, sometimes hotels time, coffee breaks and lengthy lunches, to say nothing of induced costs. This helps you\u00a0fit in-depth training much more easily in your agendas. Thus, you can go further compared with what you\u00a0could have achieved during a &#8220;physical&#8221; training. But, it also means that you will probably not have freed time for your training.<\/p>\r\n<h4>Creating time<\/h4>\r\n<p>So,\u00a0to help you creating this time for your course and learning process, you should plan for one week per unit maximum, even if you have not done all the reading.\u00a0Ultimately you are the one who will decide how much time you want to attribute to each unit. For example, for a specific unit you may decide spend more time to make more readings and exercises. You will receive an email each time you completed a unit (i.e. once you successfully complete the corresponding test), which you can use as an agenda\u00a0reminder.<\/p>\r\n<h4>Completed course<\/h4>\r\n<p>As a result the whole course should take you 11\u00a0weeks to complete. As explained above, you may also choose, of course,\u00a0to spend more time\u00a0on one unit or another, or actually less. In this way, you fully adapt the course to your needs.<\/p>\r\n<p>You will receive a certificate on successful completion (once you successfully completed all the tests).<\/p>\r\n<p>The course, your progress and the units will be accessible from the item &#8220;my account&#8221; (right below the login, in the menu) or from the next item &#8220;my online courses&#8221;.<\/p>\r\n<p>If you wish to obtain further details and have more questions on our online course, do not hesitate to<a href=\"https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/about-2\/contact\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"> contact us<\/a>.\u00a0<\/p>\r\n<p>Alternatively,\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/about-2\/contact\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\" data-saferedirecturl=\"https:\/\/www.google.com\/url?hl=en-GB&amp;q=https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/about-2\/contact\/&amp;source=gmail&amp;ust=1477557159838000&amp;usg=AFQjCNE0pDm1Pg90UaINvLSbrDvKckRGKg\">contact us<\/a> so that we can\u00a0create a tailor-made training for your specific needs we shall deliver in our premises.<\/p>\r\n<h3><a id=\"modules\"><\/a>The Course Modules<\/h3>\r\n<h4>Module 1 &#8211;\u00a0The mission of the SF&amp;W analyst and officer<\/h4>\r\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2014\/09\/The-War-Room-2014.jpg\" rel=\"attachment wp-att-8061\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"size-full wp-image-8061 aligncenter\" src=\"https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2014\/09\/The-War-Room-2014.jpg\" alt=\"The War Room 2014\" width=\"672\" height=\"372\" \/><\/a> This module is made of two units. It explains first what is\u00a0anticipation of national and international security issues or political and geopolitical problems. It stresses why it matters for public and\u00a0corporate actors. Then, it\u00a0underlines the main aims that analysts and officers seek to attain, and spells out major challenges. It presents the overall process and methodology for strategic foresight and warning or risk analysis.<\/p>\r\n<h4>Module 2 &#8211;\u00a0The fundamentals of an analysis<\/h4>\r\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2016\/03\/Module-2-biases-2014.jpg\" rel=\"attachment wp-att-11729\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"aligncenter wp-image-11729 size-full\" src=\"https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2016\/03\/Module-2-biases-2014-e1460120900937.jpg\" alt=\"Module 2 biases 2014\" width=\"600\" height=\"332\" srcset=\"https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2016\/03\/Module-2-biases-2014-e1460120900937.jpg 600w, https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2016\/03\/Module-2-biases-2014-e1460120900937-250x138.jpg 250w, https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2016\/03\/Module-2-biases-2014-e1460120900937-300x166.jpg 300w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 600px) 100vw, 600px\" \/><\/a> This module is composed of 5 units focusing on the fundamentals of an analysis. It will first deal with biases, which are so challenging\u00a0for\u00a0analysis. Biases are unconscious mental errors, which, most of the time, hinder analysis. It is thus crucial to understand them before to begin tackling the practice of analysis, if we want to mitigate biases-related errors. The module\u00a0will not only deal with the well-known cognitive biases but address all types of biases. Each time a bias will be\u00a0explained, ways to mitigate it\u00a0or cope with it will be\u00a0suggested. The module will then explain and &#8220;de-dramatize&#8221; models and underline their importance for analysis. It will introduce progressively the use of graphs and networks for analytical modeling.<\/p>\r\n<h4>Module 3 &#8211;\u00a0Software for Analysis <a href=\"https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2016\/03\/photo-for-vendor-page.jpg\" rel=\"attachment wp-att-11731\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"aligncenter size-full wp-image-11731\" src=\"https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2016\/03\/photo-for-vendor-page.jpg\" alt=\"photo for vendor page\" width=\"600\" height=\"333\" srcset=\"https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2016\/03\/photo-for-vendor-page.jpg 600w, https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2016\/03\/photo-for-vendor-page-250x139.jpg 250w, https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2016\/03\/photo-for-vendor-page-300x167.jpg 300w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 600px) 100vw, 600px\" \/><\/a><\/h4>\r\n<p>This module will introduce\u00a0you\u00a0to two open source and free software products. Those are the software that you will use throughout the rest of the course. The module will first underline the advantages of using these software for anticipatory analysis. Then two tutorials will allow you becoming familiar with each software product.<\/p>\r\n<h4>Module 4 &#8211;\u00a0Building your graph: From Factors, Actors and Variables to the Construction of the Model<\/h4>\r\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2016\/03\/Leonardo-red-2014.jpg\" rel=\"attachment wp-att-11507\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"aligncenter wp-image-11507 size-full\" src=\"https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2016\/03\/Leonardo-red-2014.jpg\" alt=\"Leonardo red 2014\" width=\"674\" height=\"379\" \/><\/a> This module includes 4\/5 units, the last one being a double unit also incorporating a software tutorial. Here, you will build upon what you saw previously. You will use the knowledge acquired to learn progressively to build a full graph or network for a national or international security issue, or risk, optimised for strategic foresight and warning, risk analysis, or more generally all anticipatory analysis. You will improve your skills at identifying those actors and factors crucial for analysing geopolitical, global and national\/domestic security issues. You will become familiar with transforming them in a way that allows for proper future-oriented analysis. Finally, this module will explain how to put everything together to obtain a model that is usable across needs.\u00a0<\/p>\r\n<h2 id=\"register\">Register Now<\/h2>\r\n<p><span style=\"color: #ff0000;\"><strong>The Red Team Analysis Society moves from the UK to France. Come back in a couple of days, or <a href=\"https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/subscribe-free\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">leave your address<\/a> and we shall send you an email.<\/strong><\/span><\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p style=\"text-align: left;\">\u9010\u6b65\u5b9e\u8df5\u53d1\u5c55\u548c\u63d0\u9ad8\u4f60\u7684\u9884\u89c1\u6027\u5206\u6790\u6280\u80fd\uff0c\u4ee5\u89e3\u51b3\u590d\u6742\u7684\u5730\u7f18\u653f\u6cbb\u98ce\u9669\u3001\u56fd\u5bb6\u548c\u5168\u7403\u5b89\u5168\u548c\u653f\u6cbb\u95ee\u9898\u3002\u638c\u63e1\u8fd9\u4e9b\u6280\u80fd\u7684\u65b9\u5f0f\uff0c\u53ef\u4ee5\u4e0e\u5927\u591a\u6570\u6218\u7565\u9884\u89c1\u548c\u9884\u8b66\u3001\u98ce\u9669\u7ba1\u7406\u548c\u9884\u6d4b\u65b9\u6cd5\u4e00\u8d77\u4f7f\u7528\u3002\u503c\u5f97\u6ce8\u610f\u7684\u662f\uff0c\u8981\u5b66\u4f1a\u6b63\u786e\u7ed8\u5236\u95ee\u9898\u6216\u5371\u673a\u7684\u5730\u56fe\uff0c\u4ee5\u4fbf\u8fdb\u884c\u6218\u7565\u9884\u89c1\u3001\u9884\u8b66\u548c\u98ce\u9669\u7ba1\u7406\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u8fd8\u5305\u62ec\u3002<\/p>\n<ul>\n<li>\u5982\u679c\u4f60\u6210\u529f\u5730\u5b8c\u6210\u4e86\u6240\u6709\u5355\u5143\u7684\u6d4b\u8bd5\uff0c\u5728\u8bfe\u7a0b\u7ed3\u675f\u65f6\u53ef\u83b7\u5f97\u8bc1\u4e66\u3002<\/li>\n<li>\u8bbf\u95ee\u7ea2\u8272\uff08\u56e2\u961f\uff09\u5206\u6790\u534f\u4f1a\u7684\u9ad8\u7ea7\u6587\u7ae0\uff0c\u5305\u62ec\u5728\u8bfe\u7a0b\u7684\u9605\u8bfb\u4e2d\u3002<\/li>\n<li>\u8bbf\u95ee\u6211\u4eec \"\u5982\u4f55\u9884\u89c1\u548c\u8b66\u544a--\u65b9\u6cd5\u8bba \"\u90e8\u5206\u7684\u5927\u591a\u6570\u9ad8\u7ea7\u6587\u7ae0\u3002<\/li>\n<li>10%\u8bfe\u7a0b\u7684\u6298\u6263\u3002 <a href=\"https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/zh\/%e5%9c%a8%e7%ba%bf%e8%af%be%e7%a8%8b-%e5%9c%b0%e7%bc%98%e6%94%bf%e6%b2%bb%e9%a3%8e%e9%99%a9%e5%92%8c%e5%8d%b1%e6%9c%ba%e9%a2%84%e6%b5%8b-%e6%83%85%e6%99%af%e6%9e%84%e5%bb%ba\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">\u60c5\u666f\u6784\u5efa<\/a>.<\/li>\n<li>\u6211\u4eec\u7684\u767d\u91d1\u4f1a\u5458\u8ba1\u5212\u670910\u4e2a%\u7684\u6298\u6263\u3002<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p style=\"text-align: left;\">(\u8981\u6ce8\u518c\u5927\u91cf\u7684\u8bfe\u7a0b\u53c2\u4e0e\u8005\u3002 <a href=\"https:\/\/redanalysis.org\/zh\/about-2\/%e8%81%94%e7%b3%bb\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">\u8054\u7cfb\u6211\u4eec<\/a>).<\/p>","protected":false},"featured_media":19603,"template":"","meta":[],"product_brand":[],"product_cat":[2638,2873],"product_tag":[3929],"class_list":["post-11572","product","type-product","status-publish","has-post-thumbnail","product_cat-online-course-and-extensions","product_cat-strategic-foresight-and-warning","product_tag-model","entry","first","instock","purchasable","product-type-variable-subscription"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v28.8 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>Online Course - Geopolitical Risks and Crisis Anticipation: Analytical Model &#8226; 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