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	<title>COVID19 Scenarios Archives &#8226; The Red Team Analysis Society</title>
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	<description>Strategic Foresight &#38; Early Warning ･ Political &#38; Geopolitical Risk · Scenarios</description>
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	<title>COVID19 Scenarios Archives &#8226; The Red Team Analysis Society</title>
	<link>https://redanalysis.org/category/strategic-foresight-early-warning-issues/epidemic/covid19-scenarios/</link>
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		<title>Long COVID and the Fifth Wave &#8211; Three Scenarios</title>
		<link>https://redanalysis.org/2021/12/07/long-covid-and-the-fifth-wave-three-scenarios/</link>
					<comments>https://redanalysis.org/2021/12/07/long-covid-and-the-fifth-wave-three-scenarios/#respond</comments>
		
		<dc:creator><![CDATA[Dr Helene Lavoix (MSc PhD Lond)]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Tue, 07 Dec 2021 14:56:15 +0000</pubDate>
				<category><![CDATA[COVID19 Scenarios]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Featured]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[China]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[featured]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[scenarios]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[U.S.]]></category>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">https://redanalysis.org/?p=31400</guid>

					<description><![CDATA[(Art design: Jean-Dominique Lavoix-Carli) Long COVID could be the next battle we have to fight and win in our struggle against the COVID-19 pandemic. Thus, in this article, we seek to assess Long COVID in the framework of the fifth wave of the COVID-19 pandemic. This will also give us possible indications regarding how Long &#8230; <p class="link-more"><a href="https://redanalysis.org/2021/12/07/long-covid-and-the-fifth-wave-three-scenarios/" class="more-link">Continue reading<span class="screen-reader-text"> "Long COVID and the Fifth Wave &#8211; Three Scenarios"</span></a></p>]]></description>
		
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			<slash:comments>0</slash:comments>
		
		
		<post-id xmlns="com-wordpress:feed-additions:1">31400</post-id>	</item>
		<item>
		<title>Long COVID and the Fifth Wave &#8211; The Hidden Pandemic</title>
		<link>https://redanalysis.org/2021/11/22/long-covid-and-the-fifth-wave-the-hidden-pandemic/</link>
					<comments>https://redanalysis.org/2021/11/22/long-covid-and-the-fifth-wave-the-hidden-pandemic/#respond</comments>
		
		<dc:creator><![CDATA[Dr Helene Lavoix (MSc PhD Lond)]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Mon, 22 Nov 2021 12:02:31 +0000</pubDate>
				<category><![CDATA[COVID19 Scenarios]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Featured]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[covid-19]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[featured]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Open Access]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[U.K.]]></category>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">https://redanalysis.org/?p=31189</guid>

					<description><![CDATA[(Art design: Jean-Dominique Lavoix-Carli) More than 110 million people have experienced or still suffer from Long COVID since the start of the pandemic (Chen Chen et al., full references and detail of calculation below). This is the number that follows from the findings of a study systematically reviewing the research done on Long COVID until &#8230; <p class="link-more"><a href="https://redanalysis.org/2021/11/22/long-covid-and-the-fifth-wave-the-hidden-pandemic/" class="more-link">Continue reading<span class="screen-reader-text"> "Long COVID and the Fifth Wave &#8211; The Hidden Pandemic"</span></a></p>]]></description>
		
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			<slash:comments>0</slash:comments>
		
		
		<post-id xmlns="com-wordpress:feed-additions:1">31189</post-id>	</item>
		<item>
		<title>The Fifth Wave of the COVID-19 Pandemic and Lethality</title>
		<link>https://redanalysis.org/2021/11/09/the-fifth-wave-of-the-covid-19-pandemic-and-lethality/</link>
					<comments>https://redanalysis.org/2021/11/09/the-fifth-wave-of-the-covid-19-pandemic-and-lethality/#respond</comments>
		
		<dc:creator><![CDATA[Dr Helene Lavoix (MSc PhD Lond)]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Tue, 09 Nov 2021 10:43:15 +0000</pubDate>
				<category><![CDATA[Americas]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[COVID19 Scenarios]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Featured]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[covid-19]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[covid19 antiviral treatment]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[featured]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Open Access]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[U.S]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[vaccine]]></category>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">https://redanalysis.org/?p=31006</guid>

					<description><![CDATA[(Art design: Jean-Dominique Lavoix-Carli) As the global fifth wave of the COVID-19 pandemic has now started, should we be worried about it? How lethal will it be? This article and the next will focus on direct health-related impacts of the COVID-19 pandemic fifth wave. Indeed, these effects are those that determine all others. Here, we &#8230; <p class="link-more"><a href="https://redanalysis.org/2021/11/09/the-fifth-wave-of-the-covid-19-pandemic-and-lethality/" class="more-link">Continue reading<span class="screen-reader-text"> "The Fifth Wave of the COVID-19 Pandemic and Lethality"</span></a></p>]]></description>
		
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			<slash:comments>0</slash:comments>
		
		
		<post-id xmlns="com-wordpress:feed-additions:1">31006</post-id>	</item>
		<item>
		<title>Towards a Covid-19 Fifth Wave</title>
		<link>https://redanalysis.org/2021/10/27/towards-a-covid-19-fifth-wave/</link>
					<comments>https://redanalysis.org/2021/10/27/towards-a-covid-19-fifth-wave/#respond</comments>
		
		<dc:creator><![CDATA[Dr Helene Lavoix (MSc PhD Lond)]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Wed, 27 Oct 2021 08:44:59 +0000</pubDate>
				<category><![CDATA[COVID19 Scenarios]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Featured]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[featured]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Open Access]]></category>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">https://redanalysis.org/?p=30974</guid>

					<description><![CDATA[Are we at the beginning of a fifth wave of the COVID-19 pandemic? If yes, is it dangerous and should we be worried about it? Alternatively, is the COVID-19 pandemic over? Has the COVID-19 pandemic evolved towards an endemic illness that is not more dangerous than the seasonal flu? Meanwhile, have we just accepted COVID-19 &#8230; <p class="link-more"><a href="https://redanalysis.org/2021/10/27/towards-a-covid-19-fifth-wave/" class="more-link">Continue reading<span class="screen-reader-text"> "Towards a Covid-19 Fifth Wave"</span></a></p>]]></description>
		
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			<slash:comments>0</slash:comments>
		
		
		<post-id xmlns="com-wordpress:feed-additions:1">30974</post-id>	</item>
		<item>
		<title>COVID-19 Vaccinations, Hope or Mirage?</title>
		<link>https://redanalysis.org/2021/01/27/covid-19-vaccinations-hope-or-mirage/</link>
					<comments>https://redanalysis.org/2021/01/27/covid-19-vaccinations-hope-or-mirage/#comments</comments>
		
		<dc:creator><![CDATA[Dr Helene Lavoix (MSc PhD Lond)]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Wed, 27 Jan 2021 17:49:29 +0000</pubDate>
				<category><![CDATA[COVID19 Scenarios]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[covid-19]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[featured]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[vaccine]]></category>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">https://www.redanalysis.org/?p=28482</guid>

					<description><![CDATA[(Art design: Jean-Dominique Lavoix-Carli Photo:&#160;torstensimon) The world has started a race for immunisation against the COVID-19. Vaccines are now perceived as the universal panacea, the miracle that will save us all from the pandemic. We shall, finally, be able to find back our old life. Are we right to hope? Or are we likely to &#8230; <p class="link-more"><a href="https://redanalysis.org/2021/01/27/covid-19-vaccinations-hope-or-mirage/" class="more-link">Continue reading<span class="screen-reader-text"> "COVID-19 Vaccinations, Hope or Mirage?"</span></a></p>]]></description>
		
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			<slash:comments>2</slash:comments>
		
		
		<post-id xmlns="com-wordpress:feed-additions:1">28482</post-id>	</item>
		<item>
		<title>How China Could Win the War against the Covid-19 Pandemic</title>
		<link>https://redanalysis.org/2021/01/18/how-china-could-win-the-war-against-the-covid19-pandemic/</link>
					<comments>https://redanalysis.org/2021/01/18/how-china-could-win-the-war-against-the-covid19-pandemic/#comments</comments>
		
		<dc:creator><![CDATA[Dr Helene Lavoix (MSc PhD Lond)]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Mon, 18 Jan 2021 14:40:41 +0000</pubDate>
				<category><![CDATA[China]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[COVID19 Scenarios]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[covid-19]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[featured]]></category>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">https://www.redanalysis.org/?p=28277</guid>

					<description><![CDATA[(Art design: Jean-Dominique Lavoix-Carli) As 2021 starts, Europe struggles again against a COVID-19 new wave and the spread of new SARS-CoV-2 variants. Japan strengthens its state of emergency against the COVID-19. The U.S. reports 4.462 deaths on 12 January 2021, i.e. almost precisely 1,5 time 9/11. Meanwhile, China also fights a rise in new symptomatic &#8230; <p class="link-more"><a href="https://redanalysis.org/2021/01/18/how-china-could-win-the-war-against-the-covid19-pandemic/" class="more-link">Continue reading<span class="screen-reader-text"> "How China Could Win the War against the Covid-19 Pandemic"</span></a></p>]]></description>
		
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			<slash:comments>1</slash:comments>
		
		
		<post-id xmlns="com-wordpress:feed-additions:1">28277</post-id>	</item>
		<item>
		<title>France and 3 Scenarios for the COVID-19 Second Wave</title>
		<link>https://redanalysis.org/2020/11/11/france-3-scenarios-for-covid-19-second-wave/</link>
					<comments>https://redanalysis.org/2020/11/11/france-3-scenarios-for-covid-19-second-wave/#comments</comments>
		
		<dc:creator><![CDATA[Dr Helene Lavoix (MSc PhD Lond)]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Wed, 11 Nov 2020 17:49:01 +0000</pubDate>
				<category><![CDATA[COVID19 Scenarios]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Europe]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[covid-19]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[France]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[scenarios]]></category>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">https://www.redanalysis.org/?p=28022</guid>

					<description><![CDATA[Design: Jean-Dominique Lavoix-Carli Eleven months into the COVID-19 pandemic the second wave spreads. More than 50 million people were contaminated globally by 9 November 2020 (COVID-19 Dashboard by the Center for Systems Science and Engineering (CSSE) at Johns Hopkins University). More than 1.25 million people had died by then (ibid.). On 10 November, Europe crossed &#8230; <p class="link-more"><a href="https://redanalysis.org/2020/11/11/france-3-scenarios-for-covid-19-second-wave/" class="more-link">Continue reading<span class="screen-reader-text"> "France and 3 Scenarios for the COVID-19 Second Wave"</span></a></p>]]></description>
		
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			<slash:comments>2</slash:comments>
		
		
		<post-id xmlns="com-wordpress:feed-additions:1">28022</post-id>	</item>
		<item>
		<title>Scenarios to Navigate the COVID-19 Pandemic and its Possible Futures  (1)</title>
		<link>https://redanalysis.org/2020/07/24/scenarios-to-navigate-the-covid-19-pandemic-and-its-possible-futures-1/</link>
					<comments>https://redanalysis.org/2020/07/24/scenarios-to-navigate-the-covid-19-pandemic-and-its-possible-futures-1/#respond</comments>
		
		<dc:creator><![CDATA[Dr Helene Lavoix (MSc PhD Lond)]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Thu, 23 Jul 2020 22:05:00 +0000</pubDate>
				<category><![CDATA[COVID19 Scenarios]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Real World Examples of Scenarios]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[covid-19]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[featured]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[scenarios]]></category>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">https://www.redanalysis.org/?p=27395</guid>

					<description><![CDATA[This article presents nested scenarios to handle the uncertainty created by the COVID-19 pandemic. Our aim is to provide an organised framework to foresee the future of our world as it lives through the pandemic, while easing understanding. Such a comprehension, which brings together the past, the present and possible futures is necessary to allow &#8230; <p class="link-more"><a href="https://redanalysis.org/2020/07/24/scenarios-to-navigate-the-covid-19-pandemic-and-its-possible-futures-1/" class="more-link">Continue reading<span class="screen-reader-text"> "Scenarios to Navigate the COVID-19 Pandemic and its Possible Futures  (1)"</span></a></p>]]></description>
		
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			<slash:comments>0</slash:comments>
		
		
		<post-id xmlns="com-wordpress:feed-additions:1">27395</post-id>	</item>
		<item>
		<title>Scenarios for the Covid-19 and Post-Covid-19 Worlds &#8211; a Bibliography</title>
		<link>https://redanalysis.org/2020/07/03/scenarios-for-covid-19-and-post-covid-19-worlds-a-bibliography/</link>
					<comments>https://redanalysis.org/2020/07/03/scenarios-for-covid-19-and-post-covid-19-worlds-a-bibliography/#comments</comments>
		
		<dc:creator><![CDATA[Dr Helene Lavoix (MSc PhD Lond)]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Fri, 03 Jul 2020 15:15:51 +0000</pubDate>
				<category><![CDATA[COVID19 Scenarios]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Real World Examples of Scenarios]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[covid-19]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Open Access]]></category>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">https://www.redanalysis.org/?p=27109</guid>

					<description><![CDATA[The COVID-19 and post-COVID-19 worlds are fraught with uncertainties. We still have to face many unknown regarding the disease and thus the pandemics (e.g. Julie Steenhuysen, &#8220;Scientists just beginning to understand the many health problems caused by COVID-19&#8220;, Reuters, 26 June 2020). Yet, we must take decisions and act when the fog clouds our horizon. &#8230; <p class="link-more"><a href="https://redanalysis.org/2020/07/03/scenarios-for-covid-19-and-post-covid-19-worlds-a-bibliography/" class="more-link">Continue reading<span class="screen-reader-text"> "Scenarios for the Covid-19 and Post-Covid-19 Worlds &#8211; a Bibliography"</span></a></p>]]></description>
		
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		<post-id xmlns="com-wordpress:feed-additions:1">27109</post-id>	</item>
		<item>
		<title>The emergence of a COVID-19 international order</title>
		<link>https://redanalysis.org/2020/06/15/emergence-of-a-covid-19-international-order/</link>
					<comments>https://redanalysis.org/2020/06/15/emergence-of-a-covid-19-international-order/#respond</comments>
		
		<dc:creator><![CDATA[Dr Helene Lavoix (MSc PhD Lond)]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Mon, 15 Jun 2020 17:26:43 +0000</pubDate>
				<category><![CDATA[COVID19 Scenarios]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[International Order and New Paradigm]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[covid-19]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Open Access]]></category>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">https://www.redanalysis.org/?p=26838</guid>

					<description><![CDATA[The COVID-19 seems to plunge the world further into a deep confusion. Messages are most of the time contradictory. They vary according to countries and actors, from &#8220;the epidemic is behind us&#8221;, &#8220;let us all go back to business as usual and work towards recovery&#8221; to worries of possible starting new pandemic wave. This confusion &#8230; <p class="link-more"><a href="https://redanalysis.org/2020/06/15/emergence-of-a-covid-19-international-order/" class="more-link">Continue reading<span class="screen-reader-text"> "The emergence of a COVID-19 international order"</span></a></p>]]></description>
		
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		<post-id xmlns="com-wordpress:feed-additions:1">26838</post-id>	</item>
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