Understand the Future of the Modern State Archives • The Red Team Analysis Society

Stabilising Or Escalating a Protest Movement?

Dr Helene Lavoix (MSc PhD Lond) — Fri, 16 Feb 2024 11:05:36 +0000

Farmers’ protests have spread throughout Europe (notably France, Germany, Hungary, the Netherlands, Poland, Romania…) since at least mid-2023 with escalation at the start of 2024, as well as in India although for different reasons. In this light, we republish two articles that address the issue of protests and how they should or could be answered. …

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Quantum Optimization and the Future of Government

Dr Helene Lavoix (MSc PhD Lond) — Mon, 28 Oct 2019 07:22:58 +0000

Quantum optimization is a direct practical application for quantum computing. Moreover, actors can already use it, even with the nascent and imperfect quantum computers currently available. The Volkswagen Group, Daimler, Ericsson, Total, Airbus (including with the Airbus Quantum Computing Challenge – AQCC)), Boeing, EDF, are examples of companies with ongoing research projects involving quantum optimization. …

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Signal: Spanish Stabilising Reassertion of Rule over Catalonia

Dr Helene Lavoix (MSc PhD Lond) — Tue, 31 Oct 2017 08:20:44 +0000

Impact on Issues and Uncertainties ? ➂ Perceptions, reactions and interactions outside Barcelona, notably in independence towns and areas, as well as outside major “central regional” political and civil servant circles (critical uncertainty). ➘➘➘ ➁ Large peaceful civil resistance and disobedience across Catalonia for Independence ➘➘➘ ➁ Civil Unrest in Catalonia against Spain ➘➙ ➁ Secessions and deep changes of nations …

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Signals: Catalonia Prepares for Spain Take Over

Dr Helene Lavoix (MSc PhD Lond) — Fri, 27 Oct 2017 09:51:43 +0000

Impact on Issues ? ➂ towards ➃ The way Spain will practically implement the take over of Catalan administrations and institutions is critical (critical uncertainty) ➚➚➚ ➂ Large peaceful civil resistance and disobedience across Catalonia for Independence ➚➚➚ ➂ Civil Unrest in Catalonia against Spain ➚ ➁ Secessions and deep changes of nations within the EU… and globally Update 15:45 – …

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Signal: Two Regions in Italy Vote Heavily for Autonomy

Dr Helene Lavoix (MSc PhD Lond) — Mon, 23 Oct 2017 08:01:19 +0000

Impact on Issues ? Italy, Lombardy and Veneto: towards autonomy? ? The end of an Italian nation? ? The future of the Italian State? ? The Italian South reaction ? ➚➚ ➁ Deep changes for the nations and their modern-state, and “liberal democracies”, within the EU… and globally (high uncertainty) ? The EU structure (including staff) and governance must …

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Signals: Catalonia Answers Spain, Spain Jails two Catalan Leaders…

Dr Helene Lavoix (MSc PhD Lond) — Tue, 17 Oct 2017 07:56:52 +0000

Impact on Issues ➚➚ ➂ Civil Unrest in Catalonia against Spain ➚ ➁ Secessions and deep changes of nations within the EU… and globally On 16 October 2017 morning, Carlos Puigdemont answered Madrid’s ultimatum (see previous signal) through a letter (as displayed below). The letter shows a resolve to remain on the positions expressed on 10 October, while trying …

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Signals: Catalonia Declaration of Independence, Spain Reaction (updated 16:04 CET 11 Oct 2017)

Dr Helene Lavoix (MSc PhD Lond) — Wed, 11 Oct 2017 08:06:04 +0000

Impact on Issues ➘➚ ➂ Catalonia vs Spain ➚ ➁ Secessions and deep changes of nations within the EU… and globally Should Madrid be conciliant, the way Catalonia offered to operationalise the independence it declared could be stabilising. It is however unlikely events will unfold that simply and peacefully, considering Spain position on 10 October evening. A lull or …

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Signal: Political Dealings and Scenarios in Spain vs Catalonia

Dr Helene Lavoix (MSc PhD Lond) — Tue, 10 Oct 2017 09:42:49 +0000

Impact on Issues ➘ + ➙ ➂ Catalonia vs Spain (see further outlined scenarios below) – ➚ ➁ Secessions and deep changes of nations within the EU… and globally Warning (Opportunity) – Opportunity to plan ahead for the EU and its member states, as well as worldwide? Independence is meant to be declared by Catalonia President Carles Puigdemont on 10 …

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Signals – Spain and Catalonia: Constitutional Court Order, Media Polarization…

Dr Helene Lavoix (MSc PhD Lond) — Fri, 06 Oct 2017 07:15:05 +0000

Impact on Issues ➚➚ ➂ Catalonia vs Spain The situation continues to escalate in terms of political dynamics between Catalonia and Spain. The signals are so numerous that rather than presenting them one at a time, we shall list them below, and assess them as escalating or stabilising. Note two main points in terms of …

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Signal: Spanish King statement on Catalonia referendum

Dr Helene Lavoix (MSc PhD Lond) — Wed, 04 Oct 2017 05:07:07 +0000

Impact on Issues ➚ ➂ Catalonia vs Spain The legitimacy ties that still hold Catalonia to the remaining part of Spain are being currently damaged first by the violence inflicted during the referendum, and then by the absence of denunciation of this very violence by the King. This is a worrying signal that is highly …

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