Commentaires sur : Pouvez-vous faire une analyse impartiale ? La menace nucléaire russe https://redanalysis.org/fr/2022/10/31/can-you-unbias-analysis-russian-nuclear-threat/ Prospective stratégique et alerte précoce ･ Risques politiques et géopolitiques · Scénarios Mon, 07 Nov 2022 09:35:18 +0000 toutes les heures 1 Par : Dr Helene Lavoix (MSc PhD Lond) https://redanalysis.org/fr/2022/10/31/can-you-unbias-analysis-russian-nuclear-threat/#comment-25489 Sat, 05 Nov 2022 06:59:39 +0000 https://redanalysis.org/?p=35600#comment-25489 En réponse à MPi.

Thank you for your effort.
This is a start. However, references are missing, as well as statements from NATO, the EU and member states, China, etc
Hence you do not really try to look at the overall process.

On my comment on peace – i’ll add references on Monday, you are right they are missing – actually I stand by them, and what you write shows you do too: Ukraine and the West spearheaded by the US do not want peace first. They want Ukraine to win over Russia and to recover all the territories annexed by Russia. Wanting a victory and wanting peace are not the same thing. Meanwhile, they expect to contain Russia, and for some hope to see a regime change in Russia (see Biden’s speech in Poland).

]]> Par : MPi https://redanalysis.org/fr/2022/10/31/can-you-unbias-analysis-russian-nuclear-threat/#comment-25485 Fri, 04 Nov 2022 15:40:54 +0000 https://redanalysis.org/?p=35600#comment-25485 context is indeed king
02/06/20 russian Exec order on mobilization, adds “our people” to reasons to use force, extending doctrine extra-territorially
25/02/22 -putin orders nuke force readiness review, a veiled threat to not interfere in special operation in ukraine launched at same time
21/04/22 US congressional research service document warns of over interpreting russian doctrine, despite the extraterritoriality of “our people”
15/09/22 – biden says pls don’t. doesn’t mention nukes explicitly and makes no statement regarding doctrine or posture
21/09/22 adress by Putin

when you consider all relevant interactions, it is clearly putin taking a step forward first, casting a net over russian speaking ukranians before he moves, eventually dragging a very clearly non-escalatory warning out of the biden, and finally putin doubles down.

then there’s this statement: “assuming peace were really the aim – which is obviously not the case in the Western world” which is a bold statement to make without actually providing evidence of the west doing anything but call for cessation of hostilities, return of land taken by force, and provision of defensive, non-escalatory weapons to ukraine (himars yes, atacms no)

do i win a cookie?

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