influence Archives • The Red Team Analysis Society

Which Country has the most Influence in the World?

Dr Helene Lavoix (MSc PhD Lond) — Mon, 29 Jan 2024 11:22:21 +0000

(Art direction and design: Jean-Dominique Lavoix-Carli) Editor’s note — June 2026: This analysis was originally published in January 2024. Since then, the US attacked Iran twice. First, during the twelve-days war, it succoured its ally Israel, which had launched the war against Iran on 13 June.1Kevin Huggard and Mallika Yadwad, “The road to the Israel-Iran war – …

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The Chinese Fishing Fleet, Influence and Hunger Wars

Dr Jean-Michel Valantin (PhD Paris) — Tue, 20 Apr 2021 08:45:31 +0000

(Art design: Jean-Dominique Lavoix-Carli) The Chinese fishing fleet is a gigantic organisation. It is composed of a mind-numbing number of ships, “somewhere” between 2.600 and 17.000 distant-water fishing ships (M. Guttierez, A. Daniels, G. Jobbins, G. Guttierez Almazor, C. Montengro, China’s Distant Water Fleet, Scale, Impact and Governance, ODI, 2020). These myriads of ships operate …

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Winning the Race to Exascale Computing – AI, Computing Power and Geopolitics (4)

Dr Helene Lavoix (MSc PhD Lond) — Mon, 24 Sep 2018 07:11:09 +0000

This article focuses on the race to exascale computing and its multi-dimensional political and geopolitical impacts, a crucial response major actors are implementing in terms of High Performance Computing (HPC) power, notably for the development of their artificial intelligence (AI) systems. It thus ends for now our series on HPC as driver of and stake for AI, among the five we identified in Artificial Intelligence – Forces, Drivers and Stakes: the classical big data, HPC and the race to quantum supremacy as related critical uncertainty, algorithms, "sensors and expressors", and finally needs and usages.

The Red (team) Analysis Weekly No122, 17 October 2013

Dr Helene Lavoix (MSc PhD Lond) — Thu, 17 Oct 2013 11:09:28 +0000

One of the most important signals of the week was not only, unsurprisingly, the last episode in the never-ending politician American infighting over the debt ceiling, but also, the perceptible fatigue across a wide range of world actors, who were being taken hostage by representatives they had not elected over issues that did not concern …

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2218 – 2223 EVT – A Polity in Shambles (Mamominarch)

Dr Helene Lavoix (MSc PhD Lond) — Sun, 06 May 2012 08:00:35 +0000

Post updated 10 May 2012. Last weeks’ summary: In 2012 EVT, Everstate (the ideal-type corresponding to our very real countries created to foresee the future of governance and of the modern nation-state) knows a rising dissatisfaction of its population. To face the various difficulties and widespread discontent, in a first scenario, Everstate’s governing bodies implement the Mamominarch programme of drastic reduction of state’s spending over five years through devolution, privatisation and outsourcing. By 2018 EVT, besides a generalised rising insecurity for most Everstatans, the now fragile state cannot efficiently manage the complex catastrophes that start hitting Everstate in May. Further pressures and perceptions of the way they are answered lead to radicalisation and polarisation along three lines: local independence with direct membership to the Regional Union – with now a battle over Trueland …

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2218 – 2223 EVT – Escalation (Mamominarch)

Dr Helene Lavoix (MSc PhD Lond) — Sun, 29 Apr 2012 07:57:06 +0000

Last weeks’ summary: In 2012 EVT, Everstate (the ideal-type corresponding to our very real countries created to foresee the future of governance and of the modern nation-state) knows a rising dissatisfaction of its population. To face the various difficulties and widespread discontent, in a first scenario, Everstate’s governing bodies implement the Mamominarch programme of drastic reduction of state’s spending. By 2018 EVT, the result is involution, with a rising insecurity for most Everstatans. The now fragile state cannot efficiently manage the complex catastrophes that start hitting Everstate in May. As a result, tension rises relatively uniformly while grievances increase heterogeneously. Inability to answer this multiform situation leads to a new political mobilisation, besides the classical old parties, proponents of Mamominarch: movements for local independence and direct membership in the Regional Union, including a powerful Movement for …

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2213 – 2218 EVT – Involution (Mamominarch)

Dr Helene Lavoix (MSc PhD Lond) — Sun, 01 Apr 2012 08:00:31 +0000

Last episodes’ summary: In 2212 EVT, Everstate (the ideal-type corresponding to our very real countries created to foresee the future of governance and of the modern nation-state) knows a rising dissatisfaction of its population. To face the various difficulties and widespread discontent, in a first scenario, Everstate’s governing bodies implement as policies the conclusions of the Mamominarch Commission: a programme of drastic reduction of public expenses …

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2213 – 2218 EVT – Shrinking the Income of the Nation (Mamominarch)

Dr Helene Lavoix (MSc PhD Lond) — Sun, 25 Mar 2012 07:00:24 +0000

Last episodes’ summary: In 2212 EVT, Everstate (the ideal-type corresponding to our very real countries created to foresee the future of governance and of the modern nation-state) knows a rising dissatisfaction of its population. To face the various difficulties and widespread discontent, in a first scenario, Everstate’s governing bodies have transformed the conclusions of the Mamominarch Commission into policies: a programme of drastic reduction of public …

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