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	<title>也门档案 • Red Team Analysis Society</title>
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	<description>战略前瞻与早期预警 ･ 政治与地缘政治风险 · 情景分析</description>
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<site xmlns="com-wordpress:feed-additions:1">128105080</site>	<item>
		<title>胡塞武装、巴布尔曼德贝赫港和海上运输</title>
		<link>https://redanalysis.org/zh/2026/10/08/%e8%83%a1%e5%a1%9e%e6%ad%a6%e8%a3%85bab-al-mandeb%e6%b5%b7%e4%b8%8a%e8%bf%90%e8%be%93/</link>
					<comments>https://redanalysis.org/zh/2026/10/08/%e8%83%a1%e5%a1%9e%e6%ad%a6%e8%a3%85bab-al-mandeb%e6%b5%b7%e4%b8%8a%e8%bf%90%e8%be%93/#comments</comments>
		
		<dc:creator><![CDATA[Dr Helene Lavoix (MSc PhD Lond)]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>2026年10月8日，星期四 14:16:52 +0000</pubDate>
				<category><![CDATA[Featured]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[International Order and New Paradigm]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Middle-East and North Africa]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Resources crisis]]></category>
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		<category><![CDATA[featured]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Houthi]]></category>
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		<guid ispermalink="false">https://redanalysis.org/?p=45370</guid>

					<description><![CDATA[（艺术指导与设计；AI生成的插图：让-多米尼克·拉沃瓦-卡利）也门战火正酣，围绕曼德海峡、西海岸及其山地防线控制权的战略战役愈演愈烈。 无论当前战场局势如何，2026年9月发生了一场深刻转变。9月10日，胡塞武装占领了港口城市摩卡……. <p class="link-more"><a href="https://redanalysis.org/zh/2026/10/08/%e8%83%a1%e5%a1%9e%e6%ad%a6%e8%a3%85bab-al-mandeb%e6%b5%b7%e4%b8%8a%e8%bf%90%e8%be%93/" class="more-link">继续阅读<span class="screen-reader-text">“胡塞武装、曼德海峡与海上运输”</span></a></p>]]></description>
		
					<wfw:commentrss>https://redanalysis.org/zh/2026/10/08/%e8%83%a1%e5%a1%9e%e6%ad%a6%e8%a3%85bab-al-mandeb%e6%b5%b7%e4%b8%8a%e8%bf%90%e8%be%93/feed/</wfw:commentrss>
			<slash:comments>1</slash:comments>
		
		
		<post-id xmlns="com-wordpress:feed-additions:1">45370</post-id>	</item>
		<item>
		<title>小心--伊朗战争、沙特阿拉伯和胡塞武装</title>
		<link>https://redanalysis.org/zh/2026/03/30/%e5%b0%8f%e5%bf%83%e6%b2%99%e7%89%b9%e9%98%bf%e6%8b%89%e4%bc%af%e8%b5%a2%e5%be%97%e4%bc%8a%e6%9c%97%e6%88%98%e4%ba%89/</link>
					<comments>https://redanalysis.org/zh/2026/03/30/%e5%b0%8f%e5%bf%83%e6%b2%99%e7%89%b9%e9%98%bf%e6%8b%89%e4%bc%af%e8%b5%a2%e5%be%97%e4%bc%8a%e6%9c%97%e6%88%98%e4%ba%89/#respond</comments>
		
		<dc:creator><![CDATA[Dr Helene Lavoix (MSc PhD Lond)]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Mon, 30 Mar 2026 15:13:49 +0000</pubDate>
				<category><![CDATA[Energy Security]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Featured]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[International Order and New Paradigm]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Middle-East and North Africa]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[War]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Watch Out]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[featured]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Houthi]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Open Access]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Saudi Arabia]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Yemen]]></category>
		<guid ispermalink="false">https://redanalysis.org/?p=43596</guid>

					<description><![CDATA[什么？
由于其战略和地理位置，沙特阿拉伯是美以战争中的关键角色。由于这场冲突，沙特阿拉伯作为主要地区行为体的地位可能会得到加强。从短期来看，很大程度上取决于胡塞武装未来的行动...]]></description>
		
					<wfw:commentrss>https://redanalysis.org/zh/2026/03/30/%e5%b0%8f%e5%bf%83%e6%b2%99%e7%89%b9%e9%98%bf%e6%8b%89%e4%bc%af%e8%b5%a2%e5%be%97%e4%bc%8a%e6%9c%97%e6%88%98%e4%ba%89/feed/</wfw:commentrss>
			<slash:comments>0</slash:comments>
		
		
		<post-id xmlns="com-wordpress:feed-additions:1">43596</post-id>	</item>
		<item>
		<title>注意 - 也门和沙特阿拉伯</title>
		<link>https://redanalysis.org/zh/2026/02/06/%e5%b0%8f%e5%bf%83%e4%b9%9f%e9%97%a8-%e6%b2%99%e7%89%b9%e9%98%bf%e6%8b%89%e4%bc%af/</link>
					<comments>https://redanalysis.org/zh/2026/02/06/%e5%b0%8f%e5%bf%83%e4%b9%9f%e9%97%a8-%e6%b2%99%e7%89%b9%e9%98%bf%e6%8b%89%e4%bc%af/#respond</comments>
		
		<dc:creator><![CDATA[Dr Helene Lavoix (MSc PhD Lond)]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Fri, 06 Feb 2026 18:39:52 +0000</pubDate>
				<category><![CDATA[Featured]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Horizon Scanning Board]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Methodology of Early Warning and Scanning]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Middle-East and North Africa]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[War]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Watch Out]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Gulf States]]></category>
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		<category><![CDATA[Middle East]]></category>
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		<category><![CDATA[Saudi Arabia]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Yemen]]></category>
		<guid ispermalink="false">https://redanalysis.org/?p=43273</guid>

					<description><![CDATA[海湾权力动态与红海安全 - 地区领导权的结构性变化]]></description>
		
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			<slash:comments>0</slash:comments>
		
		
		<post-id xmlns="com-wordpress:feed-additions:1">43273</post-id>	</item>
		<item>
		<title>红海中的启示--人类世战争 (9)</title>
		<link>https://redanalysis.org/zh/2024/02/20/%e7%ba%a2%e6%b5%b7%e4%b8%ad%e7%9a%84%e5%90%af%e7%a4%ba-%e4%ba%ba%e7%b1%bb%e4%b8%96%e6%88%98%e4%ba%89-9/</link>
					<comments>https://redanalysis.org/zh/2024/02/20/%e7%ba%a2%e6%b5%b7%e4%b8%ad%e7%9a%84%e5%90%af%e7%a4%ba-%e4%ba%ba%e7%b1%bb%e4%b8%96%e6%88%98%e4%ba%89-9/#comments</comments>
		
		<dc:creator><![CDATA[Dr Jean-Michel Valantin (PhD Paris)]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Tue, 20 Feb 2024 09:45:42 +0000</pubDate>
				<category><![CDATA[Environmental Geostrategy]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Featured]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Middle-East and North Africa]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[War]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[featured]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Open Access]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[somali piracy]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Somalia]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Yemen]]></category>
		<guid ispermalink="false">https://redanalysis.org/?p=38496</guid>

					<description><![CDATA[(艺术指导和设计：Jean-Dominique Lavoix-Carli）鉴于加沙战争所开启的历史序列的速度和政治密度，本第三篇文章仅涵盖 2023 年 10 月 20 日至 2024 年 2 月 10 日这一时期。2023 年 12 月，五角大楼在红海发起了 "繁荣守护者行动"。该行动是美国 ... <p class="link-more"><a href="https://redanalysis.org/zh/2024/02/20/%e7%ba%a2%e6%b5%b7%e4%b8%ad%e7%9a%84%e5%90%af%e7%a4%ba-%e4%ba%ba%e7%b1%bb%e4%b8%96%e6%88%98%e4%ba%89-9/" class="more-link">继续阅读<span class="screen-reader-text">"红海中的启示--人类世战争（9）"</span></a></p>]]></description>
		
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			<slash:comments>3</slash:comments>
		
		
		<post-id xmlns="com-wordpress:feed-additions:1">38496</post-id>	</item>
		<item>
		<title>了解伊斯兰国的体系--也门的Wilayat和Wali</title>
		<link>https://redanalysis.org/zh/2016/02/22/%e4%b9%9f%e9%97%a8-%e4%bc%8a%e6%96%af%e5%85%b0-%e5%9b%bd%e5%ae%b6/</link>
		
		<dc:creator><![CDATA[Dr Helene Lavoix (MSc PhD Lond)]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Mon, 22 Feb 2016 10:41:02 +0000</pubDate>
				<category><![CDATA[Middle-East and North Africa]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[The Islamic State]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[featured]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Islamic state]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Yemen]]></category>
		<guid ispermalink="false">https://www.redanalysis.org/?p=11243</guid>

					<description><![CDATA[<p>当我们开始更好地了解伊斯兰国体系的系列报道时，我们将wilayat（"负责的"、"统治的"）确定为分析单位和系统，然后对其进行监测，以预见和警告伊斯兰国的整体发展（见了解伊斯兰国的体系--结构和wilayat，2015年5月4日）。自那时起，当地发生了演变，而研究伊斯兰国的学生所收集的知识体系也在增长。也门的情况尤其如此。早在2015年5月，根据当时的证据，我们的理解是，也门有一个wilayat，即萨那wilayat，被松散地归类为那些战斗占主导地位的wilayat的一部分，而且只有极少数的wilayat。 </p>
<p class="link-more"><a href="https://redanalysis.org/zh/2016/02/22/%e4%b9%9f%e9%97%a8-%e4%bc%8a%e6%96%af%e5%85%b0-%e5%9b%bd%e5%ae%b6/" class="more-link">继续阅读<span class="screen-reader-text">"了解伊斯兰国的体系--也门的Wilayat和Wali"</span></a></p>
 		]]></description>
		
		
		
		<post-id xmlns="com-wordpress:feed-additions:1">11243</post-id>	</item>
		<item>
		<title>了解伊斯兰国的体系--结构和Wilayat</title>
		<link>https://redanalysis.org/zh/2015/05/04/%e4%ba%86%e8%a7%a3%e4%bc%8a%e6%96%af%e5%85%b0%e5%9b%bd%e5%ae%b6-%e7%b3%bb%e7%bb%9f-%e7%bb%93%e6%9e%84%e5%92%8c%e7%bb%b4%e6%8b%89%e4%ba%9a%e7%89%b9/</link>
					<comments>https://redanalysis.org/zh/2015/05/04/%e4%ba%86%e8%a7%a3%e4%bc%8a%e6%96%af%e5%85%b0%e5%9b%bd%e5%ae%b6-%e7%b3%bb%e7%bb%9f-%e7%bb%93%e6%9e%84%e5%92%8c%e7%bb%b4%e6%8b%89%e4%ba%9a%e7%89%b9/#respond</comments>
		
		<dc:creator><![CDATA[Dr Helene Lavoix (MSc PhD Lond)]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Mon, 04 May 2015 07:52:00 +0000</pubDate>
				<category><![CDATA[The Islamic State]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Afghanistan]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Algeria]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Daesh]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[featured]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Iraq]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[IS]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[ISIS]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Islamic state]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Libyan war]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Nigeria]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Open Access]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Pakistan]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Salafism]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Sinai]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[state building]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[state formation]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Syria issues]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[wilayat]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Yemen]]></category>
		<guid ispermalink="false">https://www.redanalysis.org/?p=9631</guid>

					<description><![CDATA[媒体上每天都会出现关于 "伊斯兰国 "和战争演变的相互矛盾的信息，而分析家、评论家和官方声明也同样摇摆不定。例如，2015 年 4 月 13 日，"五角大楼发言人史蒂夫-沃伦陆军上校 "强调 "伊斯兰国 "已经 "割让了 5000 到 6000 平方英里的领土"，描绘了一幅 "更美好的画卷"，因为... <p class="link-more"><a href="https://redanalysis.org/zh/2015/05/04/%e4%ba%86%e8%a7%a3%e4%bc%8a%e6%96%af%e5%85%b0%e5%9b%bd%e5%ae%b6-%e7%b3%bb%e7%bb%9f-%e7%bb%93%e6%9e%84%e5%92%8c%e7%bb%b4%e6%8b%89%e4%ba%9a%e7%89%b9/" class="more-link">继续阅读<span class="screen-reader-text">"了解伊斯兰国的体系--结构和Wilayat"</span></a></p>]]></description>
		
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			<slash:comments>0</slash:comments>
		
		
		<post-id xmlns="com-wordpress:feed-additions:1">9631</post-id>	</item>
		<item>
		<title>红色（小组）分析第197周--中东的不稳定平衡状态</title>
		<link>https://redanalysis.org/zh/2015/04/02/%e7%ba%a2%e8%89%b2%e5%9b%a2%e9%98%9f-%e5%88%86%e6%9e%90-%e5%91%a8%e6%8a%a5-197-%e4%b8%ad%e4%b8%9c%e5%9c%b0%e5%8c%ba%e7%9a%84%e4%b8%8d%e7%a8%b3%e5%ae%9a%e5%b9%b3%e8%a1%a1%e7%8a%b6%e5%86%b5/</link>
					<comments>https://redanalysis.org/zh/2015/04/02/%e7%ba%a2%e8%89%b2%e5%9b%a2%e9%98%9f-%e5%88%86%e6%9e%90-%e5%91%a8%e6%8a%a5-197-%e4%b8%ad%e4%b8%9c%e5%9c%b0%e5%8c%ba%e7%9a%84%e4%b8%8d%e7%a8%b3%e5%ae%9a%e5%b9%b3%e8%a1%a1%e7%8a%b6%e5%86%b5/#respond</comments>
		
		<dc:creator><![CDATA[Dr Helene Lavoix (MSc PhD Lond)]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Thu, 02 Apr 2015 14:27:08 +0000</pubDate>
				<category><![CDATA[Future Wars]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[International Order and New Paradigm]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Middle-East and North Africa]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[The Weekly Scan - Editorial Archives]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[China]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Iran]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[IS]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[ISIS]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Middle East]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Open Access]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Russia]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[U.S]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[world order]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Yemen]]></category>
		<guid ispermalink="false">https://www.redanalysis.org/?p=9463</guid>

					<description><![CDATA[每周我们的扫描都会收集薄弱的--和不太薄弱的--信号......阅读4月2日的扫描→世界--本周有三篇文章特别有趣，不仅本身如此，在一起阅读时也是如此。阿迈勒-穆达拉里《对不起，奥巴马。为《国家利益》撰写的《对不起，奥巴马：阿拉伯世界不再需要美国》，关注沙特领导的 "新阿拉伯精神 "带来的自豪感和 "新阿拉伯精神"。 <p class="link-more"><a href="https://redanalysis.org/zh/2015/04/02/%e7%ba%a2%e8%89%b2%e5%9b%a2%e9%98%9f-%e5%88%86%e6%9e%90-%e5%91%a8%e6%8a%a5-197-%e4%b8%ad%e4%b8%9c%e5%9c%b0%e5%8c%ba%e7%9a%84%e4%b8%8d%e7%a8%b3%e5%ae%9a%e5%b9%b3%e8%a1%a1%e7%8a%b6%e5%86%b5/" class="more-link">继续阅读<span class="screen-reader-text">"红色（小组）分析周刊197--中东的不稳定平衡"</span></a></p>]]></description>
		
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		<post-id xmlns="com-wordpress:feed-additions:1">9463</post-id>	</item>
		<item>
		<title>红色（小组）分析周刊196--也门，走向联合国的终点？</title>
		<link>https://redanalysis.org/zh/2015/03/26/the-red-team-analysis-weekly-196-yemen-towards-the-end-of-the-u-n/</link>
					<comments>https://redanalysis.org/zh/2015/03/26/the-red-team-analysis-weekly-196-yemen-towards-the-end-of-the-u-n/#respond</comments>
		
		<dc:creator><![CDATA[Dr Helene Lavoix (MSc PhD Lond)]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Thu, 26 Mar 2015 16:07:10 +0000</pubDate>
				<category><![CDATA[Future Wars]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[International Order and New Paradigm]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Middle-East and North Africa]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[The Weekly Scan - Editorial Archives]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[China]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Egypt]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Iran]]></category>
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		<guid ispermalink="false">https://www.redanalysis.org/?p=9432</guid>

					<description><![CDATA[每周我们的扫描都会收集一些微弱的--和不太微弱的--信号......阅读3月26日的扫描 → 世界--当全世界都在猜测可能促使德国之翼的副驾驶坠毁飞机的动机时，当恐怖主义意图的假设很可能在每个人的脑海中时，本周有非常多的众包文章...... <p class="link-more"><a href="https://redanalysis.org/zh/2015/03/26/the-red-team-analysis-weekly-196-yemen-towards-the-end-of-the-u-n/" class="more-link">继续阅读<span class="screen-reader-text">"红（队）分析》第 196 周--也门，联合国走向终结？</span></a></p>]]></description>
		
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		<post-id xmlns="com-wordpress:feed-additions:1">9432</post-id>	</item>
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		<title>红色（团队）分析周刊第140期--远东和全球的新战略格局？</title>
		<link>https://redanalysis.org/zh/2014/02/20/%e7%ba%a2%e8%89%b2%e5%9b%a2%e9%98%9f-%e5%88%86%e6%9e%90%e5%91%a8%e5%88%8a-no140-%e8%bf%9c%e4%b8%9c%e5%92%8c%e5%85%a8%e7%90%83%e7%9a%84%e6%96%b0%e6%88%98%e7%95%a5%e9%85%8d%e7%bd%ae/</link>
					<comments>https://redanalysis.org/zh/2014/02/20/%e7%ba%a2%e8%89%b2%e5%9b%a2%e9%98%9f-%e5%88%86%e6%9e%90%e5%91%a8%e5%88%8a-no140-%e8%bf%9c%e4%b8%9c%e5%92%8c%e5%85%a8%e7%90%83%e7%9a%84%e6%96%b0%e6%88%98%e7%95%a5%e9%85%8d%e7%bd%ae/#respond</comments>
		
		<dc:creator><![CDATA[Dr Helene Lavoix (MSc PhD Lond)]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Thu, 20 Feb 2014 15:48:06 +0000</pubDate>
				<category><![CDATA[East Asia and Pacific]]></category>
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		<guid ispermalink="false">https://www.redanalysis.org/?p=6596</guid>

					<description><![CDATA[社论 - 在远东和全球实现新的战略格局？日本、中国、美国和俄罗斯--当许多人都在关注上一轮全球抗议活动时，现在是在乌克兰、委内瑞拉和泰国（尽管那里的局势在众包新闻中不受重视），或者是在看似...... <p class="link-more"><a href="https://redanalysis.org/zh/2014/02/20/%e7%ba%a2%e8%89%b2%e5%9b%a2%e9%98%9f-%e5%88%86%e6%9e%90%e5%91%a8%e5%88%8a-no140-%e8%bf%9c%e4%b8%9c%e5%92%8c%e5%85%a8%e7%90%83%e7%9a%84%e6%96%b0%e6%88%98%e7%95%a5%e9%85%8d%e7%bd%ae/" class="more-link">继续阅读<span class="screen-reader-text">"红色（团队）分析周刊第140期--远东和全球的新战略格局？"</span></a></p>]]></description>
		
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		<title>红海上的变化气候</title>
		<link>https://redanalysis.org/zh/2013/11/25/%e6%b5%b7%e4%b8%8a%e5%8f%98%e8%bf%81%e7%9a%84%e6%b0%94%e5%80%99%e9%97%ae%e9%a2%98/</link>
		
		<dc:creator><![CDATA[Dr Jean-Michel Valantin (PhD Paris)]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Mon, 25 Nov 2013 11:21:03 +0000</pubDate>
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		<guid ispermalink="false">http://www.redanalysis.org/?p=5561</guid>

					<description><![CDATA[<p>自2011年 "阿拉伯之春 "以来，人们看到了一系列根深蒂固的旧独裁政权被推翻（Georges Corm, Le Proche-Orient éclaté, 2012），从突尼斯到也门，或者像在叙利亚，被一场可怕的内战所取代。然而，由此释放出来的非常复杂的政治力量，不仅植根于中东不断变化的社会、政治和宗教背景。新的社会环境动态也出现了，它揭示了其中一些社会的可怕的脆弱性，即将失去他们所依赖的资源。因此，他们在非常紧张的战略背景下，努力寻找新的资源，或新的方式和手段。这些新的趋势在红海周围尤其令人印象深刻，在那里，中东的权力关系被深深地改变了。 </p>
<p class="link-more"><a href="https://redanalysis.org/zh/2013/11/25/%e6%b5%b7%e4%b8%8a%e5%8f%98%e8%bf%81%e7%9a%84%e6%b0%94%e5%80%99%e9%97%ae%e9%a2%98/" class="more-link">继续阅读<span class="screen-reader-text">"红海上的变化气候"</span></a></p>
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