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粮食安全。中国-俄罗斯和乌克兰-人类世的战争(4)

乌克兰战争和巨大的放大效应 自2022年2月24日俄罗斯开始进攻以来,汹涌的战争引发了对全球粮食和能源价格紧张的放大效应。由于西方的 "后",石油、天然气、煤炭和农产品的价格趋势已经在上升 ...

乌克兰战争、大干旱和即将到来的全球粮食危机--人类世战争(3)。

乌克兰战争是一场完美的风暴 乌克兰战争引发了一场涉及能源和粮食危机的全球旋风。后者非常奇特,因为它将战争对全球农业系统的影响与大规模的极端天气事件相结合,如美国中西部的特大干旱。战争是全球性的破坏 事实上,...

乌克兰的核战场--人类世的战争 (2)

一个核战区(艺术指导。Jean-Dominique Lavoix-Carli 图片。Recognize Productions via Pexels)。2022年2月24日,在俄罗斯对乌克兰的进攻一开始,经过两天的战斗,俄罗斯军队接管了切尔诺贝利发电厂,1986年在那里发生了历史性的核事故(Mary Kekatos, "Seizure of Chernobyl Plant ...

白俄罗斯和移民的武器化--人类世的战争(1)。

Belarus borders: theatre of operations Since July 2021, the Belarusian government literally projects migrants to the borders of Poland, Latvia and Lithuania. Those people come from Syria, Iraq, Lebanon, Iran, Kurdistan, Afghanistan, Algeria, Morocco, the Republic of Congo, Cameroon and Venezuela (Yuras Karmanau, “Explainer: What’s behind the Belarus-Poland border crisis ?”, AP, November 11, 2021). …

"沙丘"--适应气候变化的动力策略

(Art direction: Jean-Dominique Lavoix-Carli Photo: John Getchel) A movie and a thought experiment in strategic foresight The 2021 “Dune” movie by Denis Villeneuve is a deep reflexion about the future of political and strategic power (Denis Villeneuve, Dune, 2021). This movie explores the deep connections between the source and exercise of strategic power and the …

会不会有气候内战?

Towards climate civil wars? “Climate wars” will not “only” be interstate wars. In our precedent article, we saw that current conflicts are integrating climate related tensions. This process is literally transforming certain conflicts into “proto-climate wars” (Jean-Michel Valantin, “What are Climate Wars ?”, The Red Team Analysis Society, 2 November 2021). This transformation follows the …

什么是气候战争?

As climate change intensifies, a major issue is to understand how rapidly changing geophysics and war are intertwined. Since 2013, at the Red Team Analysis Society we study the way climate change, the military and geopolitics interact (Climate change security, The Red Team Analysis Society). Since then, things have changed dramatically. The complex relationship between …

军队与 "气候打击"--2021年夏季(1)。

The impacts of climate change are intensifying. Some of these are the multiplying extreme weather events, such as mega wildfires and giant floods. The intensity and the scale of these events are now so important threatening for infrastructures, ecosystems and human life, that they entail a growing mobilisation of military forces. Thus, we need to …

南极中国(1)。极寒之地的策略

                                                Going South While being under the increasing pressure of climate change, the Antarctic is attracting the strategic attention of China. Since 1983, China is a member of the 1959 international Antarctic treaty. This international treaty defines Antarctica as a scientific preserve and bans all military activity on the continent (The Antarctic Treaty). …

中国的捕鱼船队、影响力和饥饿战争

(Art design: Jean-Dominique Lavoix-Carli) The Chinese fishing fleet is a gigantic organisation. It is composed of a mind-numbing number of ships, “somewhere” between 2.600 and 17.000 distant-water fishing ships (M. Guttierez, A. Daniels, G. Jobbins, G. Guttierez Almazor, C. Montengro, China’s Distant Water Fleet, Scale, Impact and Governance, ODI, 2020). These myriads of ships operate …

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