在关于 "伊斯兰国 "系列的这一节中,我们试图评估 "伊斯兰国 "建立一个真正的、可持续的政体的能力。伊斯兰国于5月17日占领了拉马迪(伊拉克,安巴尔省,如Mitchell Prothero, McClatchy DC, 2015年5月17日),三天后于2015年5月20日占领了帕尔米拉(Tadmur, 叙利亚,霍姆斯省)(如Oryx blog, 2015年5月21日)--除其他外,显示了战胜两支不同政府军队的能力,一支由美国为首的60多个国家(U.S. Gov)的联军加上什叶派民兵和可能的伊朗支持的军队。美国政府)加上什叶派民兵和可能的伊朗支持的军队,另一支由俄罗斯、伊朗和真主党支持的军队,两个战线上的两个战略城市相隔620公里--美国官员突然承认,不,对伊斯兰国的战争 ...

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发布者:Dr Helene Lavoix (MSc PhD Lond)

Helene Lavoix博士 is President and Founder of The Red Team Analysis Society. She holds a doctorate in political studies and a MSc in international politics of Asia (distinction) from the School of Oriental and African Studies (SOAS), University of London, as well as a Master in finance (valedictorian, Grande École, France). An expert in strategic foresight and early warning, especially for national and international security issues, she combines more than 25 years of experience in international relations and 15 years in strategic foresight and warning. Dr. Lavoix has lived and worked in five countries, conducted missions in 15 others, and trained high-level officers around the world, for example in Singapore and as part of European programs in Tunisia. She teaches the methodology and practice of strategic foresight and early warning, working in prestigious institutions such as the RSIS in Singapore, SciencesPo-PSIA, or the ESFSI in Tunisia. She regularly publishes on geopolitical issues, uranium security, artificial intelligence, the international order, China’s rise and other international security topics. Committed to the continuous improvement of foresight and warning methodologies, Dr. Lavoix combines academic expertise and field experience to anticipate the global challenges of tomorrow.

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