北约发布了最新的2017年战略展望分析报告。
据路透社采访的北约最高盟军转型指挥官丹尼斯-梅西尔将军称，该报告将与一份SACT "配套报告一起使用，该报告描绘了北约在春季应该如何应对这些趋势"...... "为2019年的北约政治指导提供信息"。
为未来确定的一些要点是。
- 不稳定性增加
- 对抗和战争的可能性增加
- 新兴的和重新崛起的大国（又称俄罗斯和中国）对北约和西方的挑战不断加剧。
- 不对称的人口变化
- 迅速的城市化
- 日益两极化的社会
- 新技术和新兴技术的重要性不断提高，它们提供了巨大的机会，但也带来了挑战和脆弱性
- 全球化的影响
- 气候变化和相关的跨领域影响、水安全、粮食安全和资源竞争的重要性不断上升
从北约下载pdf报告
柏林（路透社）--北约的一份报告说，中国日益增长的军事力量和重新崛起的俄罗斯将在未来几年对跨大西洋联盟构成越来越大的挑战，而北约加强其能力的举措可能会引发一场新的冷战式军备竞赛。
发布者：Dr Helene Lavoix (MSc PhD Lond)
Helene Lavoix博士 is President and Founder of The Red Team Analysis Society. She holds a doctorate in political studies and a MSc in international politics of Asia (distinction) from the School of Oriental and African Studies (SOAS), University of London, as well as a Master in finance (valedictorian, Grande École, France).
An expert in strategic foresight and early warning, especially for national and international security issues, she combines more than 25 years of experience in international relations and 15 years in strategic foresight and warning. Dr. Lavoix has lived and worked in five countries, conducted missions in 15 others, and trained high-level officers around the world, for example in Singapore and as part of European programs in Tunisia.
She teaches the methodology and practice of strategic foresight and early warning, working in prestigious institutions such as the RSIS in Singapore, SciencesPo-PSIA, or the ESFSI in Tunisia. She regularly publishes on geopolitical issues, uranium security, artificial intelligence, the international order, China’s rise and other international security topics.
Committed to the continuous improvement of foresight and warning methodologies, Dr. Lavoix combines academic expertise and field experience to anticipate the global challenges of tomorrow.
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