International Order and New Paradigm Archives • The Red Team Analysis Society

The Houthis, Bab el-Mandeb, and Maritime Transport

Dr Helene Lavoix (MSc PhD Lond) — Thu, 08 Oct 2026 14:16:52 +0000

(Art direction and design; illustration created with AI: Jean-Dominique Lavoix-Carli) Fighting rages in Yemen, as the strategic battle for control over Bab el-Mandeb, the West Coast, and its mountainous defense line intensifies. Whatever the current battlefield dynamics, a profound shift occurred in September 2026. On 10 September, the Houthis seized the port city of Mocha, …

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Beyond Geopolitics: Understanding the Critical Pressures Reshaping Our World.

Dr Helene Lavoix (MSc PhD Lond) — Thu, 09 Apr 2026 15:57:00 +0000

As energy markets destabilize and old alliances fracture, we look back at our foundational analysis on how civilizations respond to tectonic pressure.

WATCH OUT – The Iran War, Saudi Arabia, and the Houthis

Dr Helene Lavoix (MSc PhD Lond) — Mon, 30 Mar 2026 15:13:49 +0000

What: Saudi Arabia is a key actor in the US-Israel vs Iran war thanks to its strategy and geographical location. As a result of the conflict, Saudi Arabia could see its place as major regional actor enhanced. On the short term, much hinges on future Houthis' actions...

Impacts of the U.S. Threat against Greenland: the U.S.-EU Trade Deal, the EU Parliament and the Future of Europe

Dr Helene Lavoix (MSc PhD Lond) — Mon, 02 Feb 2026 12:05:18 +0000

(Art direction and design: Jean-Dominique Lavoix-Carli) Following the 2026 summit in Davos, the American threat on Greenland has taken a less dramatic turn. However, the issue has not disappeared. Meanwhile, the impacts of the crisis are wide-ranging and will be long-lasting. As a result, we must continue monitoring how events unfold. Critically, we also need …

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The American Threat against Greenland: When Should It Have Triggered a Watch?

Dr Helene Lavoix (MSc PhD Lond) — Wed, 21 Jan 2026 11:44:46 +0000

(Art design: Jean-Dominique Lavoix-Carli) On 23 December 25, Trump declared again he wanted to take over Greenland.1 By December 25, tensions over the issue were already high, especially between the U.S. and the Kingdom of Denmark.2 Yet, the American statements made during late December 25 and even early January 26 were also, sometimes, met with …

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The Real War: U.S. vs. China – Video

Dr Helene Lavoix (MSc PhD Lond) — Fri, 21 Nov 2025 09:44:54 +0000

(Art design – featured image: Jean-Dominique Lavoix-Carli) The tension between the U.S. and China, marked by constant ups and downs between the two giants, has become a permanent feature of the 21st-century international order. It impacts us all. It must be mainstreamed into our analyses, into the way we anticipate and foresee the future. What …

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Trump geopolitics (3) – Towards the US-China war in Latin America and the Caribbean ?

Dr Jean-Michel Valantin (PhD Paris) — Wed, 19 Nov 2025 09:13:40 +0000

(Art direction and design: Jean-Dominique Lavoix-Carli – Photo: The USS Gerald R. Ford US DVIDS) Thunder in the Caribbean Since 17 August 2025, the US Southern Command has dramatically scaled up its presence and activity in the Caribbean. For example, the Command has deployed 4,000 Marines against narco-terrorist cartels. There is also a massive naval …

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Uranium for the U.S. Nuclear Renaissance – 2: Towards a global geopolitical race

Dr Helene Lavoix (MSc PhD Lond) — Fri, 17 Jan 2025 15:40:48 +0000

(Art direction and design: Jean-Dominique Lavoix-CarliPhotos credits : Didier Descouens & Egor Kamelev) The uranium requirements created by the planned American nuclear renaissance are immense and unprecedented (see Helene Lavoix, “Uranium for the U.S. Nuclear Renaissance: Meeting Unprecedented Requirements (1)“, The Red Team Analysis Society, 27 November 2024). Yet, the production of uranium in the …

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Stabilising Or Escalating a Protest Movement?

Dr Helene Lavoix (MSc PhD Lond) — Fri, 16 Feb 2024 11:05:36 +0000

Farmers’ protests have spread throughout Europe (notably France, Germany, Hungary, the Netherlands, Poland, Romania…) since at least mid-2023 with escalation at the start of 2024, as well as in India although for different reasons. In this light, we republish two articles that address the issue of protests and how they should or could be answered. …

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Which Country has the most Influence in the World?

Dr Helene Lavoix (MSc PhD Lond) — Mon, 29 Jan 2024 11:22:21 +0000

(Art direction and design: Jean-Dominique Lavoix-Carli) Editor’s note — June 2026: This analysis was originally published in January 2024. Since then, the US attacked Iran twice. First, during the twelve-days war, it succoured its ally Israel, which had launched the war against Iran on 13 June.1 Second, again with Israel, on 28 February 2026, the …

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