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	<title>国际秩序与新范式档案 • The Red Team Analysis Society</title>
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	<description>战略前瞻与早期预警 ･ 政治与地缘政治风险 · 情景分析</description>
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	<title>国际秩序与新范式档案 • The Red Team Analysis Society</title>
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		<title>胡塞武装、巴布尔曼德贝赫港和海上运输</title>
		<link>https://redanalysis.org/zh/2026/10/08/%e8%83%a1%e5%a1%9e%e6%ad%a6%e8%a3%85bab-al-mandeb%e6%b5%b7%e4%b8%8a%e8%bf%90%e8%be%93/</link>
					<comments>https://redanalysis.org/zh/2026/10/08/%e8%83%a1%e5%a1%9e%e6%ad%a6%e8%a3%85bab-al-mandeb%e6%b5%b7%e4%b8%8a%e8%bf%90%e8%be%93/#comments</comments>
		
		<dc:creator><![CDATA[Dr Helene Lavoix (MSc PhD Lond)]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Thu, 08 Oct 2026 14:16:52 +0000</pubDate>
				<category><![CDATA[Featured]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[International Order and New Paradigm]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Middle-East and North Africa]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Resources crisis]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[War]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[featured]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Houthi]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[maritime security]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Open Access]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Yemen]]></category>
		<guid ispermalink="false">https://redanalysis.org/?p=45370</guid>

					<description><![CDATA[(Art direction and design; illustration created with AI: Jean-Dominique Lavoix-Carli) Fighting rages in Yemen, as the strategic battle for control over Bab el-Mandeb, the West Coast, and its mountainous defense line intensifies. Whatever the current battlefield dynamics, a profound shift occurred in September 2026. On 10 September, the Houthis seized the port city of Mocha, &#8230; <p class="link-more"><a href="https://redanalysis.org/zh/2026/10/08/%e8%83%a1%e5%a1%9e%e6%ad%a6%e8%a3%85bab-al-mandeb%e6%b5%b7%e4%b8%8a%e8%bf%90%e8%be%93/" class="more-link">继续阅读<span class="screen-reader-text">“The Houthis, Bab el-Mandeb, and Maritime Transport”</span></a></p>]]></description>
		
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		<post-id xmlns="com-wordpress:feed-additions:1">45370</post-id>	</item>
		<item>
		<title>超越地缘政治：了解重塑我们世界的关键压力。.</title>
		<link>https://redanalysis.org/zh/2026/04/09/%e8%b6%85%e8%b6%8a%e5%9c%b0%e7%bc%98%e6%94%bf%e6%b2%bb%e7%9a%84%e5%85%b3%e9%94%ae%e5%8e%8b%e5%8a%9b/</link>
					<comments>https://redanalysis.org/zh/2026/04/09/%e8%b6%85%e8%b6%8a%e5%9c%b0%e7%bc%98%e6%94%bf%e6%b2%bb%e7%9a%84%e5%85%b3%e9%94%ae%e5%8e%8b%e5%8a%9b/#comments</comments>
		
		<dc:creator><![CDATA[Dr Helene Lavoix (MSc PhD Lond)]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>四, 09 四月 2026 15:57:00 +0000</pubDate>
				<category><![CDATA[Climate Change, Planetary Boundaries and Geopolitics]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Extreme Environments Security]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Future Wars]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[International Order and New Paradigm]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[civilisation]]></category>
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		<category><![CDATA[featured-insight-1]]></category>
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		<guid ispermalink="false">https://redanalysis.org/?p=37802</guid>

					<description><![CDATA[随着能源市场的动荡和旧联盟的破裂，我们回顾了我们对文明如何应对构造压力的基础分析。.]]></description>
		
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			<slash:comments>1</slash:comments>
		
		
		<post-id xmlns="com-wordpress:feed-additions:1">37802</post-id>	</item>
		<item>
		<title>小心--伊朗战争、沙特阿拉伯和胡塞武装</title>
		<link>https://redanalysis.org/zh/2026/03/30/%e5%b0%8f%e5%bf%83%e6%b2%99%e7%89%b9%e9%98%bf%e6%8b%89%e4%bc%af%e8%b5%a2%e5%be%97%e4%bc%8a%e6%9c%97%e6%88%98%e4%ba%89/</link>
					<comments>https://redanalysis.org/zh/2026/03/30/%e5%b0%8f%e5%bf%83%e6%b2%99%e7%89%b9%e9%98%bf%e6%8b%89%e4%bc%af%e8%b5%a2%e5%be%97%e4%bc%8a%e6%9c%97%e6%88%98%e4%ba%89/#respond</comments>
		
		<dc:creator><![CDATA[Dr Helene Lavoix (MSc PhD Lond)]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Mon, 30 Mar 2026 15:13:49 +0000</pubDate>
				<category><![CDATA[Energy Security]]></category>
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		<category><![CDATA[Watch Out]]></category>
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		<category><![CDATA[Saudi Arabia]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Yemen]]></category>
		<guid ispermalink="false">https://redanalysis.org/?p=43596</guid>

					<description><![CDATA[什么？
由于其战略和地理位置，沙特阿拉伯是美以战争中的关键角色。由于这场冲突，沙特阿拉伯作为主要地区行为体的地位可能会得到加强。从短期来看，很大程度上取决于胡塞武装未来的行动...]]></description>
		
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		<post-id xmlns="com-wordpress:feed-additions:1">43596</post-id>	</item>
		<item>
		<title>美国对格陵兰威胁的影响：美国-欧盟贸易协议、欧盟议会和欧洲的未来</title>
		<link>https://redanalysis.org/zh/2026/02/02/%e5%a8%81%e8%83%81-%e6%a0%bc%e9%99%b5%e5%85%b0%e4%b8%8e%e6%ac%a7%e7%9b%9f%e7%9a%84%e8%b4%b8%e6%98%93%e5%8d%8f%e8%ae%ae/</link>
					<comments>https://redanalysis.org/zh/2026/02/02/%e5%a8%81%e8%83%81-%e6%a0%bc%e9%99%b5%e5%85%b0%e4%b8%8e%e6%ac%a7%e7%9b%9f%e7%9a%84%e8%b4%b8%e6%98%93%e5%8d%8f%e8%ae%ae/#respond</comments>
		
		<dc:creator><![CDATA[Dr Helene Lavoix (MSc PhD Lond)]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Mon, 02 Feb 2026 12:05:18 +0000</pubDate>
				<category><![CDATA[Americas]]></category>
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		<category><![CDATA[Greenland]]></category>
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		<guid ispermalink="false">https://redanalysis.org/?p=43126</guid>

					<description><![CDATA[(艺术指导和设计：Jean-Dominique Lavoix-Carli）2026 年达沃斯峰会之后，美国对格陵兰的威胁已不再那么引人注目。然而，这个问题并没有消失。与此同时，这场危机的影响范围广泛，并将长期存在。因此，我们必须继续关注事态的发展。至关重要的是，我们还需要... <p class="link-more"><a href="https://redanalysis.org/zh/2026/02/02/%e5%a8%81%e8%83%81-%e6%a0%bc%e9%99%b5%e5%85%b0%e4%b8%8e%e6%ac%a7%e7%9b%9f%e7%9a%84%e8%b4%b8%e6%98%93%e5%8d%8f%e8%ae%ae/" class="more-link">继续阅读<span class="screen-reader-text">“美国对格陵兰威胁的影响：美国-欧盟贸易协议、欧盟议会和欧洲的未来”</span></a></p>]]></description>
		
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		<post-id xmlns="com-wordpress:feed-additions:1">43126</post-id>	</item>
		<item>
		<title>美国对格陵兰的威胁：何时应触发监视？</title>
		<link>https://redanalysis.org/zh/2026/01/21/%e7%be%8e%e5%9b%bd%e5%a8%81%e8%83%81%e6%a0%bc%e9%99%b5%e5%85%b0%e8%a7%82%e5%af%9f/</link>
					<comments>https://redanalysis.org/zh/2026/01/21/%e7%be%8e%e5%9b%bd%e5%a8%81%e8%83%81%e6%a0%bc%e9%99%b5%e5%85%b0%e8%a7%82%e5%af%9f/#respond</comments>
		
		<dc:creator><![CDATA[Dr Helene Lavoix (MSc PhD Lond)]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Wed, 21 Jan 2026 11:44:46 +0000</pubDate>
				<category><![CDATA[Americas]]></category>
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		<category><![CDATA[Featured]]></category>
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		<category><![CDATA[Methodology of Early Warning and Scanning]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Methodology of Strategic Foresight and Early Warning]]></category>
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		<category><![CDATA[Denmark]]></category>
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		<guid ispermalink="false">https://redanalysis.org/?p=42976</guid>

					<description><![CDATA[(艺术设计：Jean-Dominique Lavoix-Carli）12 月 25 日 23 时，特朗普再次宣布要接管格陵兰。1 到 12 月 25 日，格陵兰问题已经非常紧张，尤其是美国和丹麦王国之间。 <p class="link-more"><a href="https://redanalysis.org/zh/2026/01/21/%e7%be%8e%e5%9b%bd%e5%a8%81%e8%83%81%e6%a0%bc%e9%99%b5%e5%85%b0%e8%a7%82%e5%af%9f/" class="more-link">继续阅读<span class="screen-reader-text">“美国对格陵兰的威胁：何时应触发监视？”</span></a></p>]]></description>
		
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		<post-id xmlns="com-wordpress:feed-additions:1">42976</post-id>	</item>
		<item>
		<title>真正的战争：美国对中国 - 视频</title>
		<link>https://redanalysis.org/zh/2025/11/21/%e4%b8%ad%e7%be%8e%e5%ae%9e%e6%88%98%e8%a7%86%e9%a2%91/</link>
					<comments>https://redanalysis.org/zh/2025/11/21/%e4%b8%ad%e7%be%8e%e5%ae%9e%e6%88%98%e8%a7%86%e9%a2%91/#respond</comments>
		
		<dc:creator><![CDATA[Dr Helene Lavoix (MSc PhD Lond)]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Fri, 21 Nov 2025 09:44:54 +0000</pubDate>
				<category><![CDATA[Americas]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[China]]></category>
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		<guid ispermalink="false">https://redanalysis.org/?p=42432</guid>

					<description><![CDATA[(艺术设计--特写图片：Jean-Dominique Lavoix-Carli）美国和中国之间的紧张关系，以两个巨人之间的不断起伏为标志，已成为 21 世纪国际秩序的永久特征。它影响着我们所有人。我们必须将其纳入我们分析的主流，纳入我们预测和展望未来的方式。什么... <p class="link-more"><a href="https://redanalysis.org/zh/2025/11/21/%e4%b8%ad%e7%be%8e%e5%ae%9e%e6%88%98%e8%a7%86%e9%a2%91/" class="more-link">继续阅读<span class="screen-reader-text">“真正的战争：美国与中国 - 视频”</span></a></p>]]></description>
		
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		<post-id xmlns="com-wordpress:feed-additions:1">42432</post-id>	</item>
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		<title>特朗普地缘政治（3）--中美在拉美和加勒比地区的战争走向？</title>
		<link>https://redanalysis.org/zh/2025/11/19/%e7%89%b9%e6%9c%97%e6%99%ae-%e5%9c%b0%e7%bc%98%e6%94%bf%e6%b2%bb-%e7%be%8e%e5%9b%bd-%e4%b8%ad%e5%9b%bd-%e6%88%98%e4%ba%89-%e6%8b%89%e4%b8%81%e7%be%8e%e6%b4%b2-%e5%8a%a0%e5%8b%92%e6%af%94%e5%9c%b0/</link>
					<comments>https://redanalysis.org/zh/2025/11/19/%e7%89%b9%e6%9c%97%e6%99%ae-%e5%9c%b0%e7%bc%98%e6%94%bf%e6%b2%bb-%e7%be%8e%e5%9b%bd-%e4%b8%ad%e5%9b%bd-%e6%88%98%e4%ba%89-%e6%8b%89%e4%b8%81%e7%be%8e%e6%b4%b2-%e5%8a%a0%e5%8b%92%e6%af%94%e5%9c%b0/#respond</comments>
		
		<dc:creator><![CDATA[Dr Jean-Michel Valantin (PhD Paris)]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Wed, 19 Nov 2025 09:13:40 +0000</pubDate>
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		<category><![CDATA[China]]></category>
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		<guid ispermalink="false">https://redanalysis.org/?p=42400</guid>

					<description><![CDATA[(艺术指导和设计：让-多米尼克-拉沃瓦-卡利 - 照片：自 2025 年 8 月 17 日以来，美国南方司令部在加勒比海地区的存在和活动急剧增加。例如，该司令部部署了 4000 名海军陆战队员打击毒品恐怖主义卡特尔。此外，还有一支庞大的海军 ... <p class="link-more"><a href="https://redanalysis.org/zh/2025/11/19/%e7%89%b9%e6%9c%97%e6%99%ae-%e5%9c%b0%e7%bc%98%e6%94%bf%e6%b2%bb-%e7%be%8e%e5%9b%bd-%e4%b8%ad%e5%9b%bd-%e6%88%98%e4%ba%89-%e6%8b%89%e4%b8%81%e7%be%8e%e6%b4%b2-%e5%8a%a0%e5%8b%92%e6%af%94%e5%9c%b0/" class="more-link">继续阅读<span class="screen-reader-text">特朗普地缘政治（3）--中美在拉美和加勒比地区的战争走向？</span></a></p>]]></description>
		
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		<post-id xmlns="com-wordpress:feed-additions:1">42400</post-id>	</item>
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		<title>美国核复兴所需的铀--2：走向全球地缘政治竞赛</title>
		<link>https://redanalysis.org/zh/2025/01/17/%e9%93%80-%e7%be%8e%e5%9b%bd%e6%a0%b8%e5%a4%8d%e5%85%b4-%e5%85%a8%e7%90%83%e5%9c%b0%e7%bc%98%e6%94%bf%e6%b2%bb%e7%ab%9e%e8%b5%9b/</link>
					<comments>https://redanalysis.org/zh/2025/01/17/%e9%93%80-%e7%be%8e%e5%9b%bd%e6%a0%b8%e5%a4%8d%e5%85%b4-%e5%85%a8%e7%90%83%e5%9c%b0%e7%bc%98%e6%94%bf%e6%b2%bb%e7%ab%9e%e8%b5%9b/#comments</comments>
		
		<dc:creator><![CDATA[Dr Helene Lavoix (MSc PhD Lond)]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Fri, 17 Jan 2025 15:40:48 +0000</pubDate>
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		<category><![CDATA[uranium]]></category>
		<guid ispermalink="false">https://redanalysis.org/?p=40441</guid>

					<description><![CDATA[(艺术指导和设计：让-多米尼克-拉沃瓦-卡利图片来源 ：Didier Descouens &amp; Egor Kamelev）计划中的美国核复兴对铀的需求是巨大的、前所未有的（见 Helene Lavoix，"美国核复兴对铀的需求：满足前所未有的需求 (1)"，《Red Team Analysis Society》，2024 年 11 月 27 日：满足前所未有的需求 (1)"，《Red Team Analysis Society》，2024 年 11 月 27 日）。然而，美国的铀生产...... <p class="link-more"><a href="https://redanalysis.org/zh/2025/01/17/%e9%93%80-%e7%be%8e%e5%9b%bd%e6%a0%b8%e5%a4%8d%e5%85%b4-%e5%85%a8%e7%90%83%e5%9c%b0%e7%bc%98%e6%94%bf%e6%b2%bb%e7%ab%9e%e8%b5%9b/" class="more-link">继续阅读<span class="screen-reader-text">"美国核复兴所需的铀--2：走向全球地缘政治竞赛</span></a></p>]]></description>
		
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		<post-id xmlns="com-wordpress:feed-additions:1">40441</post-id>	</item>
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		<title>是稳定还是升级抗议运动？</title>
		<link>https://redanalysis.org/zh/2024/02/16/%e7%a8%b3%e5%ae%9a-%e5%8d%87%e7%ba%a7-%e6%b3%95%e5%9b%bd-%e9%bb%84%e8%89%b2-vest-%e8%bf%90%e5%8a%a8/</link>
					<comments>https://redanalysis.org/zh/2024/02/16/%e7%a8%b3%e5%ae%9a-%e5%8d%87%e7%ba%a7-%e6%b3%95%e5%9b%bd-%e9%bb%84%e8%89%b2-vest-%e8%bf%90%e5%8a%a8/#respond</comments>
		
		<dc:creator><![CDATA[Dr Helene Lavoix (MSc PhD Lond)]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Fri, 16 Feb 2024 11:05:36 +0000</pubDate>
				<category><![CDATA[Europe]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[International Order and New Paradigm]]></category>
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		<category><![CDATA[Understand the Future of the Modern State]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[belief system]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[civil unrest]]></category>
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		<guid ispermalink="false">http://www.redanalysis.org/?p=3518</guid>

					<description><![CDATA[至少从 2023 年年中开始，农民的抗议活动已经遍布欧洲（尤其是法国、德国、匈牙利、荷兰、波兰、罗马尼亚......），并在 2024 年初升级，印度也是如此，尽管原因各不相同。有鉴于此，我们重新发表两篇文章，探讨抗议问题以及应该或可以如何应对。... <p class="link-more"><a href="https://redanalysis.org/zh/2024/02/16/%e7%a8%b3%e5%ae%9a-%e5%8d%87%e7%ba%a7-%e6%b3%95%e5%9b%bd-%e9%bb%84%e8%89%b2-vest-%e8%bf%90%e5%8a%a8/" class="more-link">继续阅读<span class="screen-reader-text">"稳定还是升级抗议运动？</span></a></p>]]></description>
		
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		<post-id xmlns="com-wordpress:feed-additions:1">3518</post-id>	</item>
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		<title>哪个国家在世界上最具影响力？</title>
		<link>https://redanalysis.org/zh/2024/01/29/%e5%9b%bd%e9%99%85%e5%bd%b1%e5%93%8d-%e7%be%8e%e5%9b%bd-%e4%bf%84%e7%bd%97%e6%96%af-%e4%b8%ad%e5%9b%bd/</link>
					<comments>https://redanalysis.org/zh/2024/01/29/%e5%9b%bd%e9%99%85%e5%bd%b1%e5%93%8d-%e7%be%8e%e5%9b%bd-%e4%bf%84%e7%bd%97%e6%96%af-%e4%b8%ad%e5%9b%bd/#comments</comments>
		
		<dc:creator><![CDATA[Dr Helene Lavoix (MSc PhD Lond)]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Mon, 29 Jan 2024 11:22:21 +0000</pubDate>
				<category><![CDATA[Americas]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[China]]></category>
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		<category><![CDATA[Featured]]></category>
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		<category><![CDATA[Russia]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[dynamic network]]></category>
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		<guid ispermalink="false">https://redanalysis.org/?p=38382</guid>

					<description><![CDATA[（艺术指导与设计：让-多米尼克·拉沃瓦-卡利）编者按——2026年6月：本文最初发表于2024年1月。自那时起，美国已两次对伊朗发动袭击。 首先，在“十二日战争”期间，美国支援了其盟友以色列——以色列于6月13日对伊朗发动了战争。¹ 其次，同样与以色列联手，2026年2月28日，…… <p class="link-more"><a href="https://redanalysis.org/zh/2024/01/29/%e5%9b%bd%e9%99%85%e5%bd%b1%e5%93%8d-%e7%be%8e%e5%9b%bd-%e4%bf%84%e7%bd%97%e6%96%af-%e4%b8%ad%e5%9b%bd/" class="more-link">继续阅读<span class="screen-reader-text">"哪个国家在世界上最具影响力？"</span></a></p>]]></description>
		
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