Bibliography & Links

Considering the work involved in updating a bibliography, most of the bibliographic links on SF&W methodology are now included either in training curricula or in our online course. Here are only a very few of the most important work.

  1. Methodology of SF&W
  2. SF&W – biases
  3. Content and Analysis

(The bibliography related to governance, state, state-building and the construction of the underlying dynamic network for Everstate has been moved 这里)


1- Methodology

Arcade, Jacques, Godet, Michel, Meunier, Francis, and Roubelat, Fabrice, “Structural Analysis with the MICMAC Method & Actors’ Strategy with MACTOR Method,” 千年项目。未来研究方法,3.0版, Ed. Jerome C. Glenn and Theodore J. 2009, Ch 11.

Curry, Andrew & Schultz, Wendy “Roads Less Travelled: Different Methods, Different Futures,” Journal of Futures Studies, May 2009, 13(4): 35 – 60.

Epstein, Joshua M. “Why Model?” Santa Fe Institute Working Papers, 2008

Glenn, Jerome C. and The Futures Group International, "Scenarios," 。 千年项目。未来研究方法,3.0版, Ed.Jerome C. Glenn和Theodore J. 2009,第19章。

Grabo, Cynthia M. , 预测突发事件。战略预警的分析Jan Goldman编辑,(Lanham MD: University Press of America, May 2004)。

Hanneman, Robert A. and Mark Riddle. 2005. Introduction to social network methods. Riverside, CA: University of California, Riverside (published in digital form at )

Ritchey, Tom; “Morphological analysis,” The Millennium Project: Futures Research Methodology, Version 3.0, Ed. Jerome C. Glenn and Theodore J. 2009, Ch 17.

2 – SF&W – biases

Anderson, Craig A., Mark R. Lepper, and Lee Ross. “社会理论的持久性。解释在信誉不佳的信息持续存在中的作用.” J我们的人格与社会心理学杂志 1980, Vol. 39, No.6, 1037-1049.

豪雅,小理查德J, 情报分析的心理学, Center for the Study of Intelligence, Central Intelligence Agency, 1999.

3- Content and analysis


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