Access or return to the Horizon Scanning Board page.
The arrows show if the signal (or the piece of information briefly analysed) indicates a strengthening or weakening of the trend, problem, issue.
➚ Strengthening, Escalation
➙ Still strong or high but no change in intensity
➘ Still strong or high but decreasing intensity
➘ Decreasing intensity towards medium intensity of issue
➘ Stabilising
The figure gives the level of intensity of the issue, problem, or threat. We use the Heidelberg University Conflict Barometer Intensity of conflict typology.
➀ dispute
➁ non-violent crisis
➂ violent crisis
➃ limited war
➄ war
It is coupled with typical colours for enhanced information, from green for dispute to bright red for war: ➀ ➁ ➂ ➃ ➄
