From Process of Strategic Foresight to Analytical Modeling
Building Actionable Scenarios
For Strategic Foresight and Early Warning,
Risk Management, and Crisis Anticipation
Course 1 + 2
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With this bundle, you can enroll at once for the two courses of our training program on strategic foresight and warning and risk management. The online resources will be available for one year.
- From Process of Strategic Foresight to Analytical Modeling (see details here)
- Scenario building (see details here)
With the first course, From Process of Strategic Foresight to Analytical Modeling, you will find out about the process of anticipation and its various methodologies, from strategic foresight and warning, early warning, to risk management. Then you will see in detail the various biases we need to mitigate and strategies to overcome them and learn about the importance of models in analysis. You will learn to create, step by step, practically with examples and exercises, the model or mapping for your issue or risk. You will thus learn to identify all the drivers, factors and actors for your issue or risk and to link them. As a result, you will thus have mastered the core of most if not all foresight methodologies. And you will be fully ready for the second programme.
With the second course, scenario-building or scenario analysis for strategic foresight and risk management, you will learn how to build top of the range actionable scenarios and to communicate them to decision-makers. You will move from scenario fundamentals and guiding principles through selection of key variables to developing scenario branches to obtain a set of scenarios. You will also learn to find indicators and to assess the probability for each scenario.
The two courses were developed specifically for issues and risks related to international relations, international and national security, politics and geopolitics as well as global risks and uncertainties. They can however be of interest to anyone involved in dealing with the future.