Expect Consulting is a consultancy specialised on jihadist groups, notably in Africa. It is based in Geneva and Paris.
Dr Warren H. Fishbein
Dr Fishbein is a Washington, D.C.-based independent consultant focused on foresight and warning for global security issues. Dr Fishbein worked for 29 years in the U.S. Intelligence Community as an analyst, analytic manager, and innovation leader prior to his retirement in 2011. From 2008 to 2011, he served as Coordinator of the Global Futures Forum—a multinational community of intelligence and security services that addresses transnational and emerging security challenges through unclassified collaboration. In that same period, he co-organized and led the “Actionable Foresight” project that brought together foresight specialists from across the US government to discuss how better to incorporate their products into decision making. In earlier phases of his career, Dr Fishbein led scenario-based foresight exercises on a variety of topics, managed analytic teams focused on regional and methodological issues, and analyzed trans-Atlantic area political and security trends.
Dr Fishbein is the author of Wage Restraint By Consensus: Britain’s Search for an Incomes Policy Agreement, 1965-79 (London, Routledge, 1984), and, with Gregory Treverton, Making Sense of Transnational Threats, (Washington, Sherman Kent Center, 2004.) His chapter on “Prospective Sense Making” appears in Christoph Meyer and Chiara de Franco (eds.), Forecasting, Warning and Responding to Transnational Risks (London, Palgrave Macmillan, 2011). He has delivered numerous presentations at governmental and academic forums on foresight and warning. He holds a PhD in Political Science from the Massachusetts Institute of Technology.
Leonardo Frisani (Master in International Security) – Analyst
Born and raised in Milan, he holds a BA in History (University of Milan), an Advanced Diploma in British and European Studies (University of Oxford) and a Master in International Security (Sciences Po). He has also studied in Budapest (National University of Public Service) as an Erasmus student and worked as a Research Analyst Intern at the Consejo Argentino para las Relaciones Internacionales of Buenos Aires. Thanks to these experiences, he has widened and deepened the scope of his areas of interest that now include geopolitics, climate change, macroeconomics, international energy and history.