The Chronicles of Everstate: a practical example of foresight analysis
As example of a detailed scenario and how to create one, besides usual posts, Red (team) Analysis will publish a new part of the Chronicles of Everstate, a fictional state created to imagine and tell the story of potential futures for the governance of our – very real – states or countries. When first published, the new post will be displayed on the home page, then will be accessible through the menu in “The Chronicles of Everstate,” as shown on the navigating map. The foresight methodology applied is explained in the section “Analyse.” The software Gephi was used to create the dynamic graph and then throughout the whole foresight analysis.
Published by Dr Helene Lavoix (MSc PhD Lond)
Dr Helene Lavoix is President and Founder of The Red Team Analysis Society. She holds a doctorate in political studies and a MSc in international politics of Asia (distinction) from the School of Oriental and African Studies (SOAS), University of London, as well as a Master in finance (valedictorian, Grande École, France).
An expert in strategic foresight and early warning, especially for national and international security issues, she combines more than 25 years of experience in international relations and 15 years in strategic foresight and warning. Dr. Lavoix has lived and worked in five countries, conducted missions in 15 others, and trained high-level officers around the world, for example in Singapore and as part of European programs in Tunisia.
She teaches the methodology and practice of strategic foresight and early warning, working in prestigious institutions such as the RSIS in Singapore, SciencesPo-PSIA, or the ESFSI in Tunisia. She regularly publishes on geopolitical issues, uranium security, artificial intelligence, the international order, China’s rise and other international security topics.
Committed to the continuous improvement of foresight and warning methodologies, Dr. Lavoix combines academic expertise and field experience to anticipate the global challenges of tomorrow.
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