First Circle (formerly)

The First Circle was set up within the framework of the initial creation of The Red TeamAnalysis Society in 2013, then in London. We are highly grateful for the early and friendly support of these highly respected individuals, with a background, experience and interests organically linked to our purpose. If the structure of the first circle is now defunct, notably considering the multiple changes of positions of these individuals, we, of course, keep them in our network of selected expert when possible.

By alphabetical order:


Etienne Dubern, France, CEO, Boislandry consulting, specialised in intelligence analysis, with a focus on Africa and the Balkans. He is a former senior analyst and diplomat for the French government where he served between 1992 and 2008 and a reserve Lt-colonel of the French Armed Forces.  See full bio


David W. Hamon, U.S., Distinguished Analyst and Consultant,  has over 33 years of experience in international security affairs. He and recently completed a nine-year secondment to the Defense Threat Reduction Agency and is a former Director of Analytic Services, Inc., (ANSER). 

Patrick Nathan

Patrick Nathan, Singapore. After having been Vice President Corporate Information and Communications, SMRT,  and deputy director of the National Security Coordination Centre, Prime Minister’s Office, where he notably contributed to and led the creation and development of its Risk Assessment and Horizon Scanning program between 2004 and 2011, Patrick is now Senior Advisor for Deloitte in Strategic Risk Anticipation, Risk Management, Crisis Management, Business ContinuityManagement, Crisis Communications and Crisis Simulation Exercises.

Paul Schulte

Paul Schulte, U.K., Honorary Professor, Institute for Conflict, Cooperation, and Security, University of Birmingham; Visiting Senior Research Fellow, Centre for Science and Security Department of War Studies, King’s College, University of London; Non-Resident Senior Associate, Carnegie Europe and Carnegie Endowment Nuclear Policy Program, held throughout his career eminent government positions related to security and defense and within the MOD.