Portal to the Chronicles of Everstate: Exploring the Future of the Nation-State

Listen to The Chronicles of Everstate as podcasts. As we develop the episodes, for a limited time, all articles of the Chronicle of Everstate are open access (free). The podcasts are created with NotebookLM, reviewed by the author.

The Chronicles of Everstate are scenarios for a fictional state created to imagine and tell the story of the potential futures for our – very real – states or countries.

Table of Content

Setting the Stage: Creating and Navigating the Chronicles of Everstate

• Creating Everstate (Open Access)
• Everstate’s characteristics (Open Access)
• Creating Evertime (Open Access)
• Everstate: Setting the stage (I) (Open Access)
• Everstate: Setting the stage (II) (Open Access)
• Tragic Events: Testing Scenarios (Temporarily free / Premium)
• The Chronicles of Everstate: the Actors (Temporarily free / Premium)

The Futures of Everstate

All the narratives below are temporarily free / premium articles (members-only).

How it all started
Everstate in 2212 EVT

• 2212 EVT: Rising Discontent
• 2212 EVT: Seeking Security
• 2212 EVT: Budget Deficit and Liquidity
• 2212 EVT: Public Resources and Lenders

• 2212 EVT: the Power of Novstate
• 2212 EVT: Ideological Stakes in an Outdated Worldview
• 2212 EVT: Material Stakes in an Outdated Worldview

During the year, Everstate is notably faced with a critical juncture point and three possible scenarios evolve from there.

Scenario 1 – Mamominarch
Off with the State

• 2212 EVT – Scenario 1 – Mamominarch: Off with the State
• 2212-2213 EVT – Implementing the Mamominarch conclusions

Podcast Everstate Episode 5 and following – Forthcoming

• 2213 – 2218 EVT – Trade Balance Deficit
• 2213 – 2218 EVT – Shrinking the Income of the Nation
• 2213 – 2218 EVT – Involution

Complex catastrophes strike…

• 2218 – 2223 EVT – Complex Catastrophes
• 2218 – 2223 EVT – From Grievances to Political Mobilisation
• 2218 – 2223 EVT – Escalation
• 2218 – 2223 EVT – A Polity in Shambles

Scenario 2: Panglossy
Same Old, Same Old

• 2212 EVT – Scenario 2 – Panglossy: Same Old, Same Old
• 2212 EVT – New Government, New Opposition, Last Hope
• 2212-2213 EVT – Restoring Growth
• 2213 – 2218 EVT – Increasing wages: not enough, too late?
• 2213 – 2218 EVT – Investing for Green Growth without Liquidity (I)
• 2213 – 2218 EVT – Investing for Green Growth without Liquidity (2)
• 2213 – 2218 EVT – Green Growth in Action
• 2213 – 2218 EVT – Novstate-Air: Fighting Air Pollution for Profit
• 2213 – 2218 EVT – Unforeseen Outrage: Privatising the Commons
• 2213 – 2218 EVT – Learning from Water Privatization?
• To be continued

Bibliography on nations, governance and the modern state (Open Access)

Notes

• 
  A Short FAQ on Scenarios for Strategic Foresight, Early Warning and Risk Management
• 
  Are your Strategic Foresight Scenarios Valid?
• 
  How to Analyse Future Security Threats (4): Scenarios and War
• 
  Scenarios: Improving the Impact of Foresight thanks to Biases
• 
  Evaluating Likelihoods for Libya – Scenario 2 Intervention
• 
  Evaluating Likelihoods for Libya – Scenario 2 Methodology

We are republishing the whole Chronicles of Everstate considering their relevance to the second decade of the twenty-first century. This very pertinence shows the validity of our methodology and approach. Given proper resources, SF&W or risk management products are an investment for actors that can help them steer their strategies and policies not only on the very short term but also over a long time.
The mapping for the Chronicles of Everstate was developed throughout 2010 and 2011. The scenarios were written between June 2011 and July 2012. For the scenarios themselves, the re-publishing process will only update the form and the technical part, but not the content, to allow for lessons learned.

Featured image: Detail of the frontispiece of the book Leviathan by Thomas Hobbes via Wikimedia Commons.